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Running Randomized Field Experiments for Energy Efficiency Programs: A Practitioners Guide 运行能源效率项目的随机现场实验:实践者指南
Pub Date : 2016-06-01 DOI: 10.5547/2160-5890.5.2.RGAN
R. Gandhi, Christopher R. Knittel, P. Pedro, A. Wolfram
Researchers and professional evaluators are increasingly turning to randomized field experiments to evaluate energy efficiency programs and policies. This article provides a brief overview of several experimental methods and discusses their application to energy efficiency programs. We highlight experimental designs, such as randomized encouragement and recruit-and-deny, that are particularly well suited for situations where participation cannot be enforced. The article then discusses several implementation issues that can arise and characterizes applications that are a good fit for a randomized experiment. We also address the most common objections to field experiments, and share the best practices to consider when designing and implementing a field experiment in this space.
研究人员和专业评估人员越来越多地转向随机现场实验来评估能源效率计划和政策。本文简要概述了几种实验方法,并讨论了它们在能源效率计划中的应用。我们强调实验设计,例如随机鼓励和招募-拒绝,特别适合无法强制参与的情况。然后,本文将讨论可能出现的几个实现问题,并描述适合随机实验的应用程序的特征。我们还讨论了对现场实验最常见的反对意见,并分享了在这个领域设计和实施现场实验时要考虑的最佳实践。
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引用次数: 20
Is the Grass Greener on the Other Side 这山望着那山高
Pub Date : 2016-06-01 DOI: 10.5547/2160-5890.5.2.LBUI
Linda T Bui
I investigate whether households face reduced access to energy efficient goods in low income and minority neighborhoods. Using data from 27,000 zip codes, I uncover empirical regularities in access to three categories of ENERGYSTAR@ goods: light bulbs, electronics, and appliances. I find that (1) lower income neighborhoods experience reduced access to ENERGYSTAR@ goods; and that (2) for light bulbs and household appliances, more diverse neighborhoods have greater access to energy efficient goods than more homogeneous neighborhoods, regardless of race. The opposite holds true for household electronics. This is the first study of this issue.
我调查了低收入和少数族裔社区的家庭是否面临获得节能产品的机会减少。通过使用来自27000个邮政编码的数据,我发现了ENERGYSTAR@商品的三个类别的经验规律:灯泡、电子产品和电器。我发现(1)低收入社区获得ENERGYSTAR@商品的机会减少;(2)就灯泡和家用电器而言,不分种族,更多样化的社区比更单一的社区更容易获得节能产品。家用电器的情况正好相反。这是对这一问题的首次研究。
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引用次数: 6
Wholesale and retail electricity markets in Japan: Results of market revitalization measures and prospects for the current reform 日本批发和零售电力市场:市场振兴措施的结果和当前改革的前景
Pub Date : 2016-06-01 DOI: 10.5547/2160-5890.5.1.KOFU
Kenta Tatsumi
This study provides an overview of the current status of the wholesale and retail electricity markets in Japan, with a focus on the results of market revitalization policies, such as the thermal power bidding system, regular backup, and partial supply system. This study also offers a perspective on the future of the Electricity System Reform policy currently under way. Throughout the history of Japan's electricity market reform, the implementation of full-scale retail deregulation and the unbundling of electricity generation from the transmission and distribution (T&D) sectors have been significant issues. The outcomes and issues generated by market revitalization efforts indicate that reforms have entered the crucial stage that determines whether consumers will actually benefit from them.
本研究概述了日本批发和零售电力市场的现状,重点介绍了市场振兴政策的结果,如火电招标制度、定期备用和部分供应制度。本研究也对目前正在进行的电力系统改革政策的未来提供了一个视角。纵观日本电力市场改革的历史,全面解除零售管制和从输配电(T&D)部门分拆发电一直是重大问题。市场振兴工作产生的结果和问题表明,改革已进入决定消费者是否真正从中受益的关键阶段。
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引用次数: 10
Heterogeneity of State Shale Gas Regulations 各州页岩气法规的异质性
Pub Date : 2015-06-01 DOI: 10.5547/2160-5890.4.1.AKRU
A. Krupnick, N. Richardson, M. Gottlieb
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引用次数: 10
Negotiating effective institutions against climate change 就应对气候变化的有效机制进行谈判
Pub Date : 2015-06-01 DOI: 10.5547/2160-5890.4.2.CGOL
C. Gollier, J. Tirole
In environmental matters, the free riding generated by the lack of collective action is aggravated by concerns about leakages and by the desire to receive compensation in future negotiations. The dominant "pledge and review" approach to mitigation will deliver appealing promises and renewed victory statements, only to prolong the waiting game. The climate change global commons problem will be solved only through coherent carbon pricing. We discuss the roadmap for the negotiation process. Negotiators must return to the fundamentals: the need for uniform carbon pricing across countries, for verification, and for a governance process to which countries would commit. Each country would enjoy subsidiarity in its allocation of efforts within the country. We suggest an enforcement scheme based on financial and trade penalties to induce all countries to participate and comply with the agreement. Finally, the choice among economic approaches, whether a carbon price commitment or a cap-and-trade, is subject to trade-offs, on which alternative reasonable views may co-exist. We discuss monitoring reasons for why we personally favor an international cap-and-trade agreement.
在环境问题上,由于缺乏集体行动而产生的搭便车现象由于担心泄漏和希望在今后的谈判中得到赔偿而更加严重。占主导地位的“承诺和审查”缓解方法将提供吸引人的承诺和更新的胜利声明,只会延长等待的游戏。气候变化全球公地问题只有通过统一的碳定价才能得到解决。我们讨论了谈判进程的路线图。谈判代表必须回到基本问题上来:各国需要统一的碳定价,需要核查,需要各国愿意承诺的治理程序。每个国家在分配其国内的努力时将享有辅助性。我们建议建立一个以财政和贸易惩罚为基础的执行方案,以促使所有国家参与和遵守协定。最后,在经济方法之间的选择,无论是碳价格承诺还是限额与交易,都需要权衡取舍,在此基础上,各种合理的观点可能并存。我们将讨论为什么我们个人支持国际总量控制与交易协议的监控原因。
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引用次数: 103
Towards a general “Europeanization” of EU Member States’ energy policies? 迈向欧盟成员国能源政策的全面“欧洲化”?
Pub Date : 2015-06-01 DOI: 10.5547/2160-5890.4.2.SSTR
Sebastian Strunz, E. Gawel, P. Lehmann
It is often argued that energy policy is too fragmented across EU Member States and should be "Europeanized" to pave the way towards an efficiently organized European power system, which rests on the internal market for energy and a pan-European super-grid. However, this view neglects i) the heterogeneity of European energy policies in terms of harmonization and centralization, ii) economic arguments in favor of decentralization and iii) legal as well as political-economic obstacles against centralization of decision making. In this vein, we point out that a plea for a stronger role of the EU needs to be made with care and differentiation.
人们经常认为,欧盟成员国之间的能源政策过于分散,应该“欧洲化”,为建立一个高效组织的欧洲电力系统铺平道路,该系统依赖于内部能源市场和泛欧超级电网。然而,这种观点忽略了1)欧洲能源政策在协调和集中方面的异质性,2)赞成分散的经济论据,3)反对集中决策的法律和政治经济障碍。在这种情况下,我们指出,要求欧盟发挥更大作用的请求需要谨慎和区别对待。
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引用次数: 33
Factors influencing shale gas production forecasting: Empirical studies of Barnett, Fayetteville, Haynesville, and Marcellus Shale plays 影响页岩气产量预测的因素:Barnett、Fayetteville、Haynesville和Marcellus页岩区块的实证研究
Pub Date : 2015-06-01 DOI: 10.5547/2160-5890.4.1.SIKO
Svetlana Ikonnikova, John R. Browning, G. Gülen, K. Smye, Scott W. Tinker
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引用次数: 22
All quiet on the western front? Transmission capacity development in the Nordic electricity market 西线一切平静?北欧电力市场的输电能力发展
Pub Date : 2015-06-01 DOI: 10.5547/2160-5890.4.2.MMAK
M. Makkonen, M. Nilsson, S. Viljainen
Infrastructure plays an obvious and crucial role in electricity markets. Physical infrastructure must exist for the supply to meet demand in real time. In addition, it accommodates the efficient exchange of cost-efficient production across borders, and can bean important part ofsharingresourcesforreliabilitypurposes.However, in the historically successful Nordic electricity market, the cross-border transmission grid investments are lagging behind the original schedule agreed between the Nordic TSOs. Moreover, in early 2013, the Norwegian and Swedish Transmission System Operators (TSOs) cancelled the planned, by many considered critical, Hasle (Westlink) transmission capacity increase. This paper addresses several issues concerning the cross-border transmission planning and its role for successful integration of the electricity markets. We aim at evaluating the impact of different institutional requirements for key entities as well as the changing governance structure to highlight how the infrastructure development paths are dependent on these. The evaluation of the governance structure presented in this paper is based on the historical experiences of the Nordic electricity market. Our findings suggest that the national goals in transmission development contradict the Nordic capacity development targets.
基础设施在电力市场中扮演着明显而关键的角色。物质基础设施必须存在,以便供应能够实时满足需求。此外,它适应了跨境高效交换成本效益的产品,并且可以成为共享资源的重要组成部分,以实现可靠性目的。然而,在历史上成功的北欧电力市场,跨境输电网投资落后于北欧tso之间商定的原始时间表。此外,2013年初,挪威和瑞典输电系统运营商(tso)取消了许多人认为至关重要的Hasle (Westlink)输电容量增加计划。本文讨论了跨境输电规划及其在电力市场成功整合中的作用。我们旨在评估对关键实体的不同制度要求的影响,以及不断变化的治理结构,以突出基础设施发展路径如何依赖于这些要求。本文对治理结构的评价是基于北欧电力市场的历史经验。我们的研究结果表明,国家在输电发展方面的目标与北欧的能力发展目标相矛盾。
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引用次数: 10
European experiences with white certificate obligations: A critical review of existing evaluations 欧洲在白色证书义务方面的经验:对现有评价的批判性审查
Pub Date : 2015-06-01 DOI: 10.5547/2160-5890.4.1.LGIR
L. Giraudet, D. Finon
White certificate obligations impose energy savings targets on energy companies and allow them to trade energy savings certificates. They can be seen as a means of internalizing energy-use externalities and addressing energy efficiency market failures. This paper reviews existing evaluations of experiences with white certificate obligations in Great Britain, Italy and France. Ex ante microeconomic analysis find that the obligation is best modelled as a hybrid subsidy-tax instrument, whereby energy companies subsidize energy efficiency and pass-through the subsidy cost onto energy prices. Ex post static efficiency assessments find largely positive benefit-cost balances, with national differences reflecting heterogeneity in technical potentials. Compliance involved little trading between obligated parties. Whether the cost borne by obligated parties was recovered through increased energy revenue could not be ascertained. Ex post dynamic efficiency assessments find that in addition to addressing liquidity constraints through subsidies, white certificate obligations seem to have addressed informational and organisational market failures. Confidence in these conclusions is limited by the fact that no econometric analysis was performed. Yet the lack of publicly available data, a counterpart to the rationale of the instrument of harnessing private financing, makes any empirical evaluation of white certificate obligations challenging.
白色证书义务将节能目标强加给能源公司,并允许他们交易节能证书。它们可被视为内部化能源使用外部性和解决能源效率市场失灵的一种手段。本文回顾了英国、意大利和法国对白色证书义务的现有评价经验。事前微观经济分析发现,这种义务最好被建模为一种混合补贴-税收工具,即能源公司补贴能源效率,并将补贴成本转嫁到能源价格上。静态后效率评估基本上发现了积极的效益成本平衡,各国的差异反映了技术潜力的异质性。合规涉及的义务方之间的交易很少。无法确定有义务方所承担的费用是否通过增加的能源收入得到补偿。事后动态效率评估发现,除了通过补贴解决流动性限制问题外,白色证书义务似乎还解决了信息和组织市场失灵问题。由于没有进行计量经济分析,这些结论的可信度受到限制。然而,由于缺乏可公开获得的数据(与利用私人融资工具的基本原理相对应),对白色证书义务的任何实证评估都具有挑战性。
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引用次数: 36
An international carbon-price commitment promotes cooperation 国际碳价承诺促进合作
Pub Date : 2015-06-01 DOI: 10.5547/2160-5890.4.2.AOCK
P. Cramton, Axel Ockenfels, S. Stoft
To promote cooperation in international climate negotiations, negotiators should focus on a common commitment. Such commitments have the advantage of facilitating reciprocal "I will if you will" agreements in a group. Reciprocity is the basis for cooperation in repeated public goods games, and a uniform price would provide a natural focal point for a common international commitment. Such a price is also essential for efficient abatement. Countries would retain flexibility in how to implement the price - with cap-and-trade, a carbon tax, or a hybrid approach. Country risk is reduced relative to risk under international cap-and-trade since carbon revenues stay within the country. Price commitments also tend to equalize effort intensity and can facilitate enforcement. To encourage participation by less-developed countries, a green fund is needed to transfer money from richer to poorer countries. Transfers are smaller and more predictable with a uniform price commitment than with international cap and trade.
推动国际气候谈判合作,应聚焦共同承诺。这样的承诺有一个好处,就是在一个群体中促进互惠的“你愿意,我也愿意”的协议。互惠是重复的公共产品博弈中合作的基础,统一的价格将为共同的国际承诺提供一个自然的焦点。这样的价格对于有效减排也是必不可少的。各国将在如何实施价格方面保持灵活性——通过限额与交易、碳税或混合方法。相对于国际总量管制与交易制度下的风险,国家风险降低了,因为碳收入留在国内。价格承诺也倾向于平衡努力强度,并能促进执行。为了鼓励欠发达国家的参与,需要建立一个绿色基金,将资金从富裕国家转移到贫穷国家。与国际限额与交易相比,统一价格承诺的转让规模更小,也更可预测。
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引用次数: 72
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Economics of Energy and Environmental Policy
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