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Facilitating Transmission Expansion to Support Efficient Decarbonization of the Electricity Sector 促进输电扩张,支持电力部门高效脱碳
Pub Date : 2022-04-01 DOI: 10.5547/2160-5890.10.2.PJOS
P. Joskow
Over at least the next 30 years, achieving decarbonization targets will require replacing most fossil-fueled generators with zero carbon wind and solar generation along with energy storage to manage intermittency. However, achieving decarbonization targets in a cost-efficient manner will require significant investments in new intra-regional and interregional transmission capacity. In this paper, I identify and discuss potential reforms to reduce the numerous barriers to planning, building, compensating, and financing this transmission capacity. By comparing and contrasting U.S. and European responses to similar challenges, I provide suggestions for institutional, regulatory, planning, compensation and cost allocation policies that can reduce the barriers to efficient expansion of transmission capacity.
至少在接下来的30年里,要实现脱碳目标,就需要用零碳的风能和太阳能发电取代大多数化石燃料发电机,并采用储能系统来管理间歇性发电。然而,以具有成本效益的方式实现脱碳目标将需要对新的区域内和区域间传输能力进行大量投资。在本文中,我确定并讨论了潜在的改革,以减少规划、建设、补偿和资助这种传输能力的众多障碍。通过比较和对比美国和欧洲对类似挑战的反应,我为制度、监管、规划、补偿和成本分配政策提供建议,这些政策可以减少有效扩大输电能力的障碍。
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引用次数: 8
Modelling Net Zero and Sector Coupling: Lessons for European Policy Makers 净零和部门耦合建模:给欧洲决策者的教训
Pub Date : 2022-04-01 DOI: 10.5547/2160-5890.10.2.MPOL
M. Pollitt, C. Chyong
Net Zero (NZ) is the name given to the policy target of reducing to zero (net) GHG emissions across the economy. In March 2020 the European Commission proposed a European Climate Law aimed at legislating for Net Zero across the European Union, this has recently (as of June 2021) become law having passed through the European Parliament and Council. While the prospects for electricity decarbonisation to 2030 are promising, the necessity of deep decarbonisation of the entire energy system by 2050 remains challenging. Sector coupling is commonly understood as integrating the energy consuming sectors (such as buildings, transport, and industry), and optimising them with the energy supply sector. The joint decarbonisation of the electricity and gas sectors is seen as critical to the achievement of the NZ target in the European Union and the UK. What a NZ implies for energy and environmental policy can be clarified by appropriate energy system modelling.
净零(NZ)是指在整个经济中将温室气体(净)排放减少到零的政策目标。2020年3月,欧盟委员会提出了一项欧洲气候法,旨在为整个欧盟的净零排放立法,该法律最近(截至2021年6月)已通过欧洲议会和理事会成为法律。尽管到2030年实现电力脱碳的前景充满希望,但到2050年实现整个能源系统深度脱碳的必要性仍然具有挑战性。部门耦合通常被理解为整合能源消耗部门(如建筑、运输和工业),并与能源供应部门一起优化它们。在欧盟和英国,电力和天然气行业的联合脱碳被视为实现新西兰目标的关键。新西兰对能源和环境政策意味着什么,可以通过适当的能源系统建模来澄清。
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引用次数: 10
Biomethane for Electricity in Mexico: A Prospective Economic Analysis 墨西哥生物甲烷发电:前瞻性经济分析
Pub Date : 2021-04-01 DOI: 10.5547/2160-5890.10.2.HNUN
H. Núñez
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引用次数: 1
Aiming for Carbon Neutrality: Which Environmental Taxes Does Spain Need by 2030? 以碳中和为目标:到2030年西班牙需要哪些环境税?
Pub Date : 2021-04-01 DOI: 10.5547/2160-5890.10.2.JBLZ
J. Blazquez, J. Martin-Moreno, R. Pérez, J. Ruiz
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引用次数: 3
The Cost of Finance and the Cost of Carbon: A Case Study of Britain’s only PWR 融资成本与碳排放成本:以英国唯一的压水堆为例
Pub Date : 2021-04-01 DOI: 10.5547/2160-5890.10.2.DNEW
D. Newbery
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引用次数: 1
Long-term Energy and Climate Scenarios - An Introduction 长期能源和气候情景-导论
Pub Date : 2020-06-01 DOI: 10.5547/2160-5890.9.1.chir
C. Hirschhausen
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引用次数: 0
Lessons from Modeling 100% Renewable Scenarios Using GENeSYS-MOD 使用GENeSYS-MOD建模100%可再生情景的经验教训
Pub Date : 2020-06-01 DOI: 10.5547/2160-5890.9.1.poei
P. oei, Thorsten Burandt, K. Hainsch, Konstantin Löffler, C. Kemfert
The main aim of models has never been to provide numbers, but insights. Still, challenges prevail for modelers to use the best configuration of their models to provide helpful insights. In the case of energy system modelling, this becomes even more complicated due to increasing complexity of the energy system transition through the potential and need for sector coupling. This paper therefore showcases specific characteristics and challenges for energy system modelling of 100% renewable scenarios. The findings are based on various applications and modifications of the framework GENeSYS-MOD examining different regional characteristics for high renewable configurations in the world, China, India, South-Africa, Mexico, Europe, Germany, and Colombia. The paper elaborates on our experiences of the last years of choosing the best, yet still computable, configuration of GENeSYS-MOD with respect to spatial and time resolution as well as sufficient detailed description of the energy system transition effects. The aim of this paper is therefore twofold, to better understand and interpret existing models as well as to improve future modeling exercises.
模型的主要目的从来不是提供数据,而是提供见解。尽管如此,建模者仍然面临着使用其模型的最佳配置来提供有用的见解的挑战。在能源系统建模的情况下,由于能源系统通过部门耦合的潜力和需求转换的复杂性日益增加,这变得更加复杂。因此,本文展示了100%可再生能源情景的能源系统建模的具体特征和挑战。研究结果基于对框架GENeSYS-MOD的各种应用和修改,研究了世界上不同地区的高可再生配置特征,包括中国、印度、南非、墨西哥、欧洲、德国和哥伦比亚。本文详细阐述了我们过去几年在空间和时间分辨率方面选择GENeSYS-MOD的最佳但仍然可计算的配置的经验,以及对能量系统跃迁效应的足够详细的描述。因此,本文的目的是双重的,为了更好地理解和解释现有的模型,以及改进未来的建模练习。
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引用次数: 15
Beyond the inverted U-shape: Challenging the long-term relationship of the Environmental Kuznets Curve hypothesis 超越倒u型:挑战环境库兹涅茨曲线假说的长期关系
Pub Date : 2020-06-01 DOI: 10.5547/2160-5890.9.1.lsor
Lars Sorge, A. Neumann
This paper empirically tests the validity of the postulated Environmental Kuznets Curve for a panel of 69 countries from 1971 to 2014 which are clustered into all-, high-, middle-, and lower-income groupings. Since the quadratic EKC specification between carbon dioxide emissions and GDP produces highly biased results in favour of an inverted U-shaped pattern, we adopt a cubic formulation and estimate the long-term coefficients signs and significance accounting for country specific slope heterogeneity. Our empirical results rather support a N-shaped than an inverted U-shaped pattern for the pollution income relationship particularly in the all-income panel. We find no evidence of an inverted U-shaped pattern associated with the EKC hypothesis in any panel. Our analysis indicates that promoting economic growth is not a panacea to simply grow out of pollution related problems in the long-term.
本文对1971年至2014年69个国家的环境库兹涅茨曲线的有效性进行了实证检验,这些国家被划分为所有、高、中、低收入群体。由于二氧化碳排放和GDP之间的二次EKC规范产生高度偏向的结果,有利于倒u型模式,我们采用三次公式并估计长期系数符号和显著性,考虑到国家特定的斜率异质性。我们的实证结果更倾向于支持污染收入关系的n型而不是倒u型模式,特别是在全收入面板中。我们在任何面板中都没有发现与EKC假设相关的倒u形模式的证据。我们的分析表明,促进经济增长并不是长期解决污染相关问题的灵丹妙药。
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引用次数: 3
On the Techno-economic Benefits of a Global Energy Interconnection 论全球能源互联网的技术经济效益
Pub Date : 2020-06-01 DOI: 10.5547/2160-5890.9.1.cbre
C. Breyer, D. Bogdanov, A. Aghahosseini, Ashish Gulagi, M. Fasihi
1. Motivations underlying the research The global energy supply in the coming decades is framed by several challenges. Climate change mitigation requires defossilisation of energy supply by mid-21st century to a net-zero greenhouse gas (GHG) emission society. Renewable electricity has been utilised and expanded for more than 100 years for the case of hydropower to achieve an installed capacity base of more than 1100 GW for an excellent energy return on energy invested characteristics, based on highest technical lifetimes of all power generating technologies. Since the 2000s, two variable renewable electricity (VRE) technologies, solar photovoltaics (PV) and wind energy, have received very high growth rates of about 46% and 22% per year, respectively, leading to a total installed capacity of about 500 GW and 593 GW, respectively, by the end of 2018. The advantage of these two major VRE technologies is their enormous scalability and huge resource potential, exceeding total global energy demand by orders of magnitude, particularly for the case of solar energy. The achieved cost level of about 20-25 €/MWh and 25-30 €/MWh for solar PV and wind energy, respectively, at very good sites, brings both technologies to the forefront as a major source of energy in the 21st century. A future energy system will be mainly built on solar and wind energy and thus will have high shares of renewables in the energy system. The outline of the future energy system is based on solid fundamental insights and respecting sustainability guardrails. However, it is not yet discussed in broad what may be the optimised power system structure. Two poles are scientifically discussed and can be summarised as the Super Grid approach and a decentralised Smart Grid approach. The paper features the Super Grid approach from major regions and continents to a global perspective, so that the potential of a global energy interconnection can be discussed. 2. A short account of the research performed A global energy interconnection has been suggested first by Buckminster Fuller 1971. In 1992, the Global Energy Network Institute shifted the view for utilising renewable energy sources. Kurokawa linked the concept of a global grid to the abundant global solar energy resource available in the 2000s. Liu further lifted the discussion on global energy interconnection in recent years. Most of the studies outline the energetic benefits of the Super Grid approach, but often lack in comparative economic analyses showing that a Super Grid approach would lead to lower energy system cost than a decentralised energy system. The team of Breyer showed in recent years that major regions in the world would benefit from a Super Grid approach. The Super Grid results clearly reveal the enormous benefits of the Super Grid approach. The most remarkable research result is the cross-border electricity trade from the highly decentralised approach to the Super Grid approach of 17%. Consequently, it can be concluded th
1. 未来几十年的全球能源供应将面临几个挑战。减缓气候变化需要在21世纪中叶实现能源供应的非化石化,以实现温室气体净零排放社会。可再生电力的利用和扩展已有100多年的历史,以水电为例,其装机容量基础超过1100吉瓦,基于所有发电技术中最高的技术寿命,其能源投资特性具有出色的能源回报。自2000年代以来,两种可变可再生电力(VRE)技术,太阳能光伏(PV)和风能,分别以每年约46%和22%的速度增长,到2018年底,总装机容量分别约为500吉瓦和593吉瓦。这两种主要VRE技术的优势在于其巨大的可扩展性和巨大的资源潜力,超过全球能源总需求的数量级,特别是太阳能。在非常好的地点,太阳能光伏和风能分别达到了20-25欧元/兆瓦时和25-30欧元/兆瓦时的成本水平,使这两种技术成为21世纪主要能源的前沿。未来的能源系统将以太阳能和风能为主,可再生能源将在能源系统中占有很高的份额。未来能源系统的轮廓是基于坚实的基本见解和尊重可持续性护栏。然而,目前还没有广泛讨论什么可能是最优的电力系统结构。科学地讨论了两个极点,可以概括为超级电网方法和分散的智能电网方法。本文从主要地区和大洲到全球视角,介绍了超级电网方法,从而可以讨论全球能源互联的潜力。2. 巴克明斯特·富勒(Buckminster Fuller)在1971年首先提出了全球能源互联。1992年,全球能源网络研究所改变了对利用可再生能源的看法。黑川将全球电网的概念与2000年代全球丰富的太阳能资源联系起来。刘进一步提升了近年来关于全球能源互联的讨论。大多数研究概述了超级电网方法的能源效益,但往往缺乏比较经济分析,表明超级电网方法将导致能源系统成本低于分散的能源系统。布雷耶的研究小组近年来表明,世界主要地区将从超级电网方法中受益。超级电网的结果清楚地揭示了超级电网方法的巨大好处。最显著的研究成果是跨境电力交易从高度去中心化的方式向超级电网方式的17%。结果表明,成本优化后的电力系统主要表现为分散化特征
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引用次数: 27
Competitiveness of Energy-Intensive Industries in Europe: The Crisis of the Oil Refining Sector between 2008 and 2013 欧洲能源密集型产业的竞争力:2008 - 2013年炼油行业的危机
Pub Date : 2020-06-01 DOI: 10.5547/2160-5890.8.2.rmar
R. Marschinski, J. Barreiro‐Hurlé, R. Lukach
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引用次数: 5
期刊
Economics of Energy and Environmental Policy
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