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Optiguard, Inc.: Series A–Round Term Sheet Optiguard, Inc.: a轮投资意向书
Pub Date : 2017-08-04 DOI: 10.2139/ssrn.3010600
Susan J. Chaplinsky
"OptiGuard. Inc.: Series A–Round Term Sheet" focuses on an entrepreneur in the cybersecurity industry who is attempting raise a first round of venture financing in November 2015. To date, the firm has been unsuccessful in attracting funding from venture capitalists (VCs) and has instead relied on a small seed round from local investors. With funds running short, the entrepreneur is again attempting to raise funds from VCs. During this process, it receives a bridge loan from a reputable venture capital firm to tide it over until it can complete a Series A round with the same firm. In November 2015, it receives the terms for a $5 million Series A round, and the students must evaluate the adequacy of the offer in light of other comparable financing rounds and how the terms will affect the future performance and other aspects of the firm in light of the high likelihood of future financing rounds. The case's main teaching purpose is to provide a basic understanding of the legal and financial issues encountered in early-stage investments. The case incorporates the term sheet for the proposed Series A round, and the pre–Series A capitalization of the company. The study questions pose several direct questions to the students to help them focus on the features of the term sheet that have the largest impact on the company's valuation and control.The case has been used successfully in an MBA-level entrepreneurial finance and private equity course, and a JD/MBA course in private equity. To facilitate preparation of the case, the materials include a student spreadsheet file (UVA-F-1798X) of the case exhibits, a detailed teaching note (UVA-F-1798TN), and an instructor file (UVA-F-1798TN).The companion note, "Early-Stage Term Sheets" (UVA-F-1730), is a useful background reading for the case. Excerpt UVA-F-1798 Rev. Sept. 5, 2017 OptiGuard, Inc.: Series A-Round Term Sheet In November 2015, Richard Mannix, CEO of OptiGuard, Inc., was in the process of seeking additional financing for his young cybersecurity company. Up to this point, Mannix had been unsuccessful in attracting venture-capital (VC) funding, and had only been able to raise $ 315,000 in seed capital from angel investors to develop the firm's first security-software applications. During the summer of 2015, with funds growing short, he began to search again for additional VC funding. In September 2015, he secured a bridge loan of $ 350,000 from Woodland Venture Partners (WVP), a Boston-based VC firm, which gave the firm some breathing room until a Series A–round financing could be completed. The bridge loan was straight debt, and repayment was contingent upon the completion of a Series A round. In November, Mannix was finally able to secure an offer from WVP for $ 5.0 million in convertible preferred stock. While Mannix welcomed the offer, he was uncertain whether the terms of the proposed agreement and the amount offered met his company's growing needs. With only $ 5.0 million coming from the Ser
“OptiGuard。“a轮投资意向书”关注的是一位网络安全行业的企业家,他正试图在2015年11月进行第一轮风险融资。迄今为止,该公司一直未能吸引到风险资本家(vc)的资金,而是依赖于当地投资者的一小轮种子资金。由于资金短缺,这位企业家再次试图从风投那里筹集资金。在这个过程中,它从一家信誉良好的风险投资公司获得一笔过桥贷款,帮助它渡过难关,直到它能够完成与同一家公司的a轮融资。2015年11月,它收到了500万美元a轮融资的条款,学生们必须根据其他类似的融资轮来评估报价的充分性,以及这些条款将如何影响公司未来的业绩和其他方面,因为未来融资轮的可能性很大。本案例的主要教学目的是提供对早期投资中遇到的法律和财务问题的基本了解。该案例包含了拟议的A轮融资的投资意向书,以及该公司在A轮融资前的资本化情况。研究问题向学生提出了几个直接的问题,以帮助他们关注对公司估值和控制影响最大的投资意向书特征。该案例已成功应用于MBA级创业金融与私募股权课程,以及私募股权JD/MBA课程。为了便于案例的准备,材料包括案例展示的学生电子表格文件(UVA-F-1798X),详细的教学笔记(UVA-F-1798TN)和教师文件(UVA-F-1798TN)。配套的说明“早期投资意向书”(UVA-F-1730)是一个有用的案例背景读物。2015年11月,OptiGuard公司的首席执行官Richard Mannix正在为他的年轻网络安全公司寻求额外的融资。在此之前,Mannix一直未能吸引到风险投资(VC)资金,只能从天使投资者那里筹集到31.5万美元的种子资金,用于开发公司的第一个安全软件应用程序。2015年夏天,由于资金越来越短缺,他开始再次寻找额外的风险投资。2015年9月,他从总部位于波士顿的风投公司Woodland Venture Partners获得了35万美元的过桥贷款,这让公司在完成a轮融资之前有了一些喘息的空间。过渡性贷款是直接债务,偿还取决于完成a轮融资。去年11月,Mannix终于获得了WVP 500万美元可转换优先股的收购要约。尽管Mannix对收购要约表示欢迎,但他不确定拟议协议的条款和报价是否能满足公司日益增长的需求。由于A轮融资仅为500万美元,OptiGuard可能在两年内需要额外的资金。此外,WVP的经验主要是资助以医疗保健为导向的初创企业,在技术投资方面的经验较少。Mannix在对WVP的报价做出决定之前,需要解决两个问题:500万美元是否足以获得公司40%以上的股权,以及拟议的合同条款在可能的后续融资中如何发挥作用. . . .
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引用次数: 0
Hamilton's Electronics Services, Inc.: The Second Year 汉密尔顿电子服务公司:第二年
Pub Date : 2017-07-14 DOI: 10.2139/ssrn.3002714
Luann J. Lynch, Almand R. Coleman, M. M. Frank
The owner of Hamilton's has provided his CPA with all the company's invoices, bank statements, and a lot of other miscellaneous business-related information for the company's second year. He has asked the CPA to reconstruct, in summary form, all the company's second-year transactions and to create an income statement for its second year of operations and a balance sheet at the end of that year. Excerpt UVA-C-2396 Rev. Oct. 26, 2017 Hamilton's Electronics Services, Inc.: The Second Year David Hamilton had worked as the senior technician at a large electronics sales and service company for more than 15 years. Just over two years ago, he decided that what he really wanted was to be self-employed. After turning in his resignation, he started his own company. Hamilton announced the opening of Hamilton's Electronics Services, Inc. (Hamilton's), an electronics repair company that serviced all makes and models of electronic equipment. As he reflected on his company's first two years of operation, he thought about how busy he had been. He was grateful that he had hired Janet Lucas, a local CPA, to handle the accounting for his company after its first year of operation, and he had renewed his contract with her for its second year. Hamilton provided Lucas with all the company's invoices, bank statements, and a lot of other miscellaneous business-related information. He had asked Lucas to reconstruct, in summary form, all the company's transactions that had occurred during its second year and to provide him with an income statement for its second year of operations and a balance sheet at the end of that year. Lucas got to work immediately. She had the company's balance sheet for the end of the first year (Exhibit 1). As she had discovered the previous year, the information Hamilton had provided her with contained everything she needed to complete a summary analysis of transactions, to transfer all the data into individual accounts, and to prepare an income statement and a balance sheet for the company's second year. From the information Hamilton had given her, Lucas prepared the following summary of things that had occurred during the company's second year of operations. . . .
Hamilton's的老板向他的注册会计师提供了公司第二年的所有发票、银行对账单和许多其他与业务相关的杂项信息。他已要求注册会计师以汇总形式重建公司第二年的所有交易,并为公司第二年的运营创建损益表,并在该年年底创建资产负债表。摘录UVA-C-2396 Rev. 2017年10月26日汉密尔顿电子服务公司:第二年大卫汉密尔顿在一家大型电子销售和服务公司担任高级技术员超过15年。就在两年多前,他决定自己真正想要的是自主创业。递交辞呈后,他开了自己的公司。汉密尔顿宣布成立汉密尔顿电子服务公司(Hamilton’s),这是一家电子维修公司,为所有品牌和型号的电子设备提供服务。当他回顾公司头两年的运营时,他想起了自己有多忙。他很感激自己聘请了当地的注册会计师珍妮特·卢卡斯(Janet Lucas),让她在公司运营一年后处理会计事务,并与她续签了第二年的合同。汉密尔顿向卢卡斯提供了公司所有的发票、银行对账单和许多其他与业务相关的杂项信息。他要求卢卡斯以摘要的形式,重建公司第二年发生的所有交易,并向他提供公司第二年的损益表和当年年底的资产负债表。卢卡斯马上开始工作。她有公司第一年年底的资产负债表(表1)。正如她在前一年发现的那样,汉密尔顿提供给她的信息包含了她完成交易汇总分析、将所有数据转移到个人账户、准备公司第二年的损益表和资产负债表所需的一切。根据汉密尔顿给她的信息,卢卡斯准备了以下公司运营第二年发生的事情的总结. . . .
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引用次数: 0
Southwest Airlines: Where's the Luv? 西南航空公司:爱人在哪里?
Pub Date : 2017-07-06 DOI: 10.2139/ssrn.2997757
D. Nielsen, R. Goldberg, E. N. Weiss, O. Wight
This case details the history of Southwest Airlines (LUV) and emphasizes the benefits of a focused strategy. The case demonstrates how a competent service strategy together with operations efficiency can lead to profit, and it explains the concept of an integrated approach tying together the customer value proposition with operational and human resource capabilities. At the time of the case, LUV must consider whether or not it should change some of its operational tactics. Excerpts from a talk that LUV's former CEO, Herb Kelleher, gave at the Darden School of Business is available to complement the case. Please see Elliott N. Weiss, "Herb Kelleher and the Four Ps Toward High Performance: People, Purpose, Process, Philosophy (MEDIA)," UVA-OM-1173M. Excerpt UVA-OM-1571 Rev. Jul. 8, 2019 Southwest Airlines: Where's the Luv? Q4 2016 Gary Kelly, the CEO of Southwest Airlines (LUV), examined his computer screen once more, hoping to see something different. It was October 26, 2016, and LUV's stock price (NYSE: LUV) had just dropped more than 8.5% in premarket trading. After more than four decades of consecutive profitability, LUV's most recent earnings call had indicated a 4%-to-5% expected drop in Q4 revenue per available passenger seat mile. But as noted by industry analysts, many other airlines had seen a Q3 and Q4 boost “due to stronger September results, following a summer in which the Zika virus and terrorism deterred some passengers from flying.” On July 20, a major information-technology failure had put the entire operation into disarray. This failure had required several days to rectify, left tens of thousands of passengers stranded, and cost the company tens of millions of dollars. Shortly after the meltdown, four of the major employee unions (pilots, flight attendants, mechanics, and ramp agents) at LUV had issued a vote of no confidence in Kelly's leadership and in that of COO Mike Van de Ven. Both the pilot and flight-attendant unions had new contracts with LUV that were finally moving to a union vote; these might now be in jeopardy. Several hundred pilots had recently picketed both the board meeting in Chicago and Dallas Love Field, one of the main domiciles of LUV, for the first time in the airline's history. LUV sought concessions from flight attendants such as a longer duty day, but with the impact of the IT meltdown fresh in their memories, flight attendants were pushing back. . . .
本案例详细介绍了西南航空公司(LUV)的历史,并强调了集中战略的好处。本案例展示了合格的服务策略和运营效率如何带来利润,并解释了将客户价值主张与运营和人力资源能力结合在一起的集成方法的概念。在这种情况下,LUV必须考虑是否应该改变一些操作策略。LUV前首席执行官赫伯•凯莱赫在达顿商学院(Darden School of Business)的演讲节选可作为本案的补充。参见Elliott N. Weiss,“Herb Kelleher和通向高绩效的四个p: People, Purpose, Process, Philosophy (MEDIA)”,UVA-OM-1173M。摘录UVA-OM-1571 Rev. 2019年7月8日西南航空公司:爱在哪里?美国西南航空公司(Southwest Airlines)首席执行官加里·凯利(Gary Kelly)再次检查了自己的电脑屏幕,希望能看到一些不同的东西。那是2016年10月26日,LUV的股价(纽交所代码:LUV)在盘前交易中刚刚下跌超过8.5%。经过40多年的连续盈利,LUV最近的财报电话会议显示,第四季度每可用乘客座位英里的收入预计将下降4%至5%。但正如行业分析师所指出的那样,许多其他航空公司的第三季度和第四季度都出现了增长,“因为9月份的业绩更为强劲,而今年夏天,寨卡病毒和恐怖主义使一些乘客不敢乘坐飞机。”7月20日,一次重大的信息技术故障使整个行动陷入混乱。这一故障需要几天时间才能纠正,导致数万名乘客滞留,并使该公司损失数千万美元。事故发生后不久,LUV的四个主要员工工会(飞行员、空乘人员、机械师和停机位代理)对凯利和首席运营官迈克·范德文的领导能力投了不信任票。飞行员和乘务员工会都与LUV签订了新合同,最终由工会投票决定;这些现在可能处于危险之中。最近,数百名飞行员在芝加哥和达拉斯洛夫菲尔德(LUV的主要总部之一)的董事会会议上进行了纠察,这是该航空公司历史上的第一次。LUV向空乘人员寻求让步,比如延长值勤日,但由于IT崩溃的影响对他们记忆犹新,空乘人员正在反击. . . .
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引用次数: 0
Sarak Wholesale: Wishing for Control 萨拉批发:希望控制
Pub Date : 2017-07-06 DOI: 10.2139/ssrn.2997756
Timothy M. Laseter
The owner of a Cape Town, South Africa–based business, Sarak Wholesale Supplies, struggles to manage his cash flow and get his inventory under control (Sarak Wholesale has no formal order-cycle process). To improve the level of service Sarak Wholesale provided to its clients, he would need to formalize its ordering procedures. Excerpt UVA-OM-1570 May 19, 2017 Sarak Wholesale: Wishing for Control Sifiso Mulder looked through his inventory of goods, which he sold through his Cape Town, South Africa–based business, Sarak Wholesale Supplies. He had built the business through hustle and salesmanship…and perhaps a creative flair for figuring out what Cape Town tourists would find interesting. He supplied hundreds of entrepreneurial retailers, from the gift shop at Robben Island, to street vendors at Cape Town Stadium, to the shopkeepers at Bay Harbor Market in Hout Bay. None of his customers could afford a big inventory investment, so he had built his business through low costs and great service. Despite the growth in revenue—or perhaps because of it—Mulder struggled to manage his cash flow. He had convinced a few of his suppliers to provide inventory on consignment, but most required payment up front. Regardless, he knew that he needed to get his inventory under control if he wanted to make money. Because money was tight, he had started cutting back on inventory…but that had led to lots of out-of-stocks, which was hurting his reputation for customer service. Framing the Problem Mulder wasn't quite sure how to begin tackling the stock-out problem that had plagued Sarak Wholesale during the previous tourist season. He decided early on that his first goal should be to determine a reorder point for every stock-keeping unit (SKU) stocked by Sarak Wholesale to avoid missing sales revenue due to stock-outs without incurring needless costs. Mulder wasn't quite sure what would be an appropriate service level. He also wasn't convinced that the service level should be the same across all product categories. As an initial target, however, Mulder felt that Sarak Wholesale should have all standard gift items with the South African flag in stock and available for sale at least 90% of the time. He was less sure about the specialty with only the items that had the name of a particular destination like Robben Island or Table Mountain National Park printed on them. He thought such specialty items could have lower service levels because they were relevant to fewer customers. Mulder also wondered about deciding the right service level by product category. He worried about the competition in caps and coffee mugs, which mostly carried logos of the tourist attraction but could also be labeled with clever slogan, such as “I Love Hip-Hop” on his kiddie baseball caps. On the other hand, he knew his custom knives (sold on consignment) were not readily available to his customers from other wholesalers. After running his initial analysis, he decided that he
Sarak Wholesale Supplies是南非开普敦一家企业的老板,他努力管理自己的现金流并控制库存(Sarak Wholesale没有正式的订单周期流程)。为了提高Sarak Wholesale向客户提供的服务水平,他需要将其订购程序正式化。Sarak批发:希望控制Sifiso Mulder查看他的货物库存,他通过他在南非开普敦的业务Sarak批发供应销售。他通过推销和推销建立起了自己的生意,也许他还有一种创造性的天赋,能发现开普敦游客会感兴趣的东西。他为数百家创业零售商供货,从罗本岛(Robben Island)的礼品店,到开普敦体育场(Cape Town Stadium)的街头小贩,再到豪特湾(Hout Bay)海湾市场(Bay Harbor Market)的店主。他的客户没有一个能负担得起大量的库存投资,所以他通过低成本和优质服务建立了自己的业务。尽管收入有所增长,或许正因为如此,穆德努力管理他的现金流。他已经说服了一些供应商提供寄售库存,但大多数供应商都要求预付货款。不管怎样,他知道,如果他想赚钱,就必须控制好库存。由于资金紧张,他开始削减库存,但这导致了大量缺货,这损害了他在客户服务方面的声誉。穆德不太确定如何开始解决在上一个旅游季节困扰萨拉克批发公司的缺货问题。他很早就决定,他的第一个目标应该是为Sarak Wholesale库存的每个库存单位(SKU)确定一个再订货点,以避免因缺货而损失销售收入,同时又不产生不必要的成本。穆德不太确定什么是合适的服务水平。他也不相信所有产品类别的服务水平都应该相同。然而,作为最初的目标,穆德认为Sarak Wholesale应该有所有带有南非国旗的标准礼品库存,并且至少有90%的时间可供销售。他不太确定是什么特产,因为只有印有罗本岛(Robben Island)或桌山国家公园(Table Mountain National Park)等特定目的地名称的商品。他认为这类特色商品的服务水平可能较低,因为它们与较少的顾客相关。穆德还想知道如何根据产品类别来决定合适的服务水平。他担心在帽子和咖啡杯上的竞争,这些东西大多带有旅游景点的标志,但也可以贴上聪明的标语,比如他的儿童棒球帽上的“我爱嘻哈”。另一方面,他知道他的定制刀具(寄售)不容易从其他批发商那里买到。在进行了初步分析后,他决定,他应该看看服务水平的调整将如何影响他的安全库存水平,并最终影响他的成本,以便决定. . . .
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引用次数: 0
Larry Puglia and the T. Rowe Price Blue Chip Growth Fund Larry Puglia和T. Rowe Price蓝筹成长基金
Pub Date : 2017-07-06 DOI: 10.2139/ssrn.2997712
Kenneth M. Eades, Dorothy C. Kelly
Set in late 2016, this case recounts the remarkable performance record of Blue Chip Growth Fund (BCGF), a mutual fund managed by Larry Puglia at T. Rowe Price, Inc. The case describes the investment style of Puglia, whose record with BCGF had on average outperformed the S&P 500 since the inception of the fund in 1993. The tasks for the student are to assess the performance of the fund, consider the sources of its success, and decide on the sustainability of Puglia's performance. Consistent with the introductory nature of the case, the analysis requires no numerical calculations. The instructor should not be deceived, however: the absorption of capital-market background and the implications of financial concepts in the case will fully occupy the novice. This case updates and replaces "Bill Miller and Value Trust" (UVA-F-1481) and "Peter Lynch and the Fidelity Magellan Fund" (UVA-F-0777). The case is intended for use in the opening stages of a finance course. It provides a nontechnical introduction to the U.S. equity markets and lays the foundation for some basic concepts in finance. Excerpt UVA-F-1772 Jun. 12, 2017 Larry Puglia and the T. Rowe Price Blue Chip Growth Fund By late 2016, Larry J. Puglia had been managing the $ 33 billion T. Rowe Price Blue Chip Growth Fund (Blue Chip Growth Fund) for more than 23 years. One of the fund's original managers, Puglia had been the sole manager of the open-ended mutual fund since 1997 and had generated superior returns on average for his investors over the life of the fund. Since inception in mid-1993 through September 30, 2016, the fund had returned an average annual total return of 10.12%, outperforming the 9.12% return of the fund's benchmark, the Standard & Poor's 500 Index (S&P 500). For most fund managers, beating the S&P 500 in any single year was an accomplishment, yet Puglia had served his investors well by performing better than competitor funds both in bull markets, such as that of the late 1990s, as well as the bear markets, such as that of the first decade of the 2000s. Exhibit 1 presents a summary of the Blue Chip Growth Fund. Exhibits 2 and 3 show the fund's performance and annual return versus its benchmark and other funds in the large-cap growth category. While Puglia, working out of T. Rowe Price's Baltimore, Maryland, headquarters, rarely had the best overall performance in any given year, and other managers had beaten his results over short-term periods, his overall long-term performance relative to the index was truly impressive. He ranked 20th out of 558 U.S. stock mutual funds with a single portfolio manager, and Morningstar had awarded the Blue Chip Growth Fund its coveted five-star rating for the fund's five-year performance, placing it in the top 10% of 1,285 mutual funds investing in large-capitalization growth stocks. Puglia had also been nominated by Morningstar as one of five finalists for Domestic Fund Manager of the Year in 2013. The fund had been recognized as an IBD
本案例以2016年底为背景,讲述了蓝筹成长基金(BCGF)的卓越业绩记录。BCGF是一只共同基金,由T. Rowe Price, Inc.的拉里•普利亚管理。该案例描述了普利亚的投资风格。自1993年BCGF成立以来,普利亚在BCGF的平均表现优于标准普尔500指数。学生的任务是评估基金的表现,考虑其成功的来源,并决定Puglia业绩的可持续性。与案例的介绍性相一致,分析不需要数值计算。指导者不应被欺骗,然而:吸收资本市场背景和金融概念的含义在情况下将完全占据新手。本案例更新并取代了“比尔·米勒和价值信托”(UVA-F-1481)和“彼得·林奇和富达麦哲伦基金”(UVA-F-0777)。本案例旨在用于金融课程的开始阶段。它提供了对美国股票市场的非技术介绍,并为金融的一些基本概念奠定了基础。截至2016年底,Larry J. Puglia管理规模达330亿美元的T. Rowe Price蓝筹股增长基金(蓝筹股增长基金)已超过23年。普利亚是该基金最初的经理之一,自1997年以来一直是这只开放式共同基金的唯一经理,在基金成立期间,他为投资者创造了较高的平均回报。自1993年年中成立以来,截至2016年9月30日,该基金的年平均总回报率为10.12%,超过了该基金基准标准普尔500指数(S&P 500) 9.12%的回报率。对于大多数基金经理来说,在任何一年中超过标准普尔500指数都是一项成就,但Puglia在牛市(如上世纪90年代末)和熊市(如本世纪头十年)的表现都好于竞争对手,为投资者带来了很好的回报。表1是蓝筹成长基金的摘要。图2和图3显示了该基金相对于基准基金和其他大型成长型基金的表现和年回报率。普利亚在T. Rowe Price位于马里兰州巴尔的摩市的总部工作,他在某一年的整体表现很少是最好的,其他经理在短期内的表现也超过了他,但他相对于该指数的整体长期表现确实令人印象深刻。在由一名投资组合经理管理的558只美国股票共同基金中,他排名第20位。晨星公司(Morningstar)对蓝筹股增长基金(Blue Chip Growth Fund)的五年业绩给予了令人垂涎的五星评级,使其在投资于大型成长型股票的1,285只共同基金中排名前10%。普利亚还被晨星公司提名为2013年年度国内基金经理的五名决赛选手之一。该基金被《投资者商业日报》(IBD)评为2016年IBD最佳共同基金奖得主。此外,《Money》杂志一直将该基金评为年度最佳基金,Kiplinger的《个人理财》杂志将该基金列入其最受欢迎的25只基金名单。
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引用次数: 0
Set in Stone 石沉大海
Pub Date : 2017-06-05 DOI: 10.2139/ssrn.2980785
Y. Grushka-Cockayne, Pascale Crama, Elizabeth Tang, Arup Banerjee
In 2013, the new general manager at Dominion Granite and Marble (DGM), a successful Virginia granite-fabrication company, was convinced DGM would benefit from substantially speeding up its sales process. Getting quotes in the hands of potential customers quickly was the first step. In particular, a new website with online quotation capabilities would go a long way toward capitalizing on the traffic DGM's website already experienced and give the company a competitive edge. The only question was how quickly the website could be developed and at what price. Excerpt UVA-QA-0814 Feb. 11, 2014 SET IN STONE It was a new dawn for Dominion Granite and Marble (DGM). The Virginia granite-fabrication company had a vibrant new owner, an established client base, and a devoted group of employees. And with the addition of 27-year-old Elizabeth Tang, it had a new general manager excited about the company's challenges. These challenges merged her engineering background with the MBA education she was two months shy of completing at the Darden School of Business at the University of Virginia. Given all she had learned about the fabrication industry since she took over on January 1, 2013, Tang was convinced DGM would benefit from substantially speeding up its sales process. Getting quotes in the hands of potential customers quickly was the first step. In particular, a new website with online quotation capabilities would go a long way toward capitalizing on the traffic DGM's website already experienced. Such website capabilities would also offer the company a competitive edge. The only question was how quickly the website could be developed and at what price. Meanwhile, on the opposite coast, Arup Banerjee was also excited about his career trajectory. Like Tang, he was two months away from his MBA graduation from the Haas School of Business at the University of California. The build-up toward finishing his degree and being able to devote 100% of his time to growing his website-design firm was great. DGM was the perfect client. This project would allow his firm, CD SEO, to demonstrate capabilities associated with linking a firm's customer relationship management (CRM) and back-office systems to its website. This capability would open the door to working with other service providers. . . .
2013年,弗吉尼亚州一家成功的花岗岩制造公司Dominion Granite and Marble (DGM)的新任总经理确信,DGM将从大幅加快销售流程中获益。第一步是将报价迅速送到潜在客户手中。特别是,一个具有在线报价功能的新网站将大大有助于利用DGM网站已经经历的流量,并为公司提供竞争优势。唯一的问题是这个网站能以多快的速度开发出来,价格是多少。对于Dominion Granite and Marble (DGM)来说,这是一个新的黎明。这家位于弗吉尼亚州的花岗石制造公司有了一个充满活力的新老板、一个成熟的客户群和一群忠诚的员工。随着27岁的伊丽莎白·唐(Elizabeth Tang)的加入,新总经理对公司面临的挑战感到兴奋。这些挑战将她的工程背景与她在弗吉尼亚大学(University of Virginia)达顿商学院(Darden School of Business)的MBA教育结合在一起,她还差两个月就能完成学业。考虑到她自2013年1月1日接手以来对制造行业的了解,Tang确信DGM将从大幅加快销售流程中受益。第一步是将报价迅速送到潜在客户手中。特别是,一个具有在线报价功能的新网站将在很大程度上利用DGM网站已经经历的流量。这样的网站功能也将为该公司提供竞争优势。唯一的问题是这个网站能以多快的速度开发出来,价格是多少。与此同时,在对岸的海岸,Arup Banerjee也对自己的职业轨迹感到兴奋。和唐一样,他还有两个月就要从加州大学哈斯商学院MBA毕业了。完成他的学位,能够投入100%的时间来发展他的网站设计公司的积累是伟大的。DGM是一个完美的客户。这个项目将允许他的公司CD SEO展示将公司的客户关系管理(CRM)和后台系统链接到其网站的相关能力。此功能将打开与其他服务提供商合作的大门. . . .
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引用次数: 0
A Glum Primer: How to Account for Risk with Uncertain Npvs 阴郁入门:如何计算不确定净现值的风险
Pub Date : 2017-06-02 DOI: 10.2139/ssrn.2975189
P. E. Pfeifer, S. Bodily, Manel Baucells
This note describes a method for adjusting uncertain future cash flows into a present certain equivalent. The use of net present value (NPV) to adjust a stream of future known cash flows into a single-value equivalent adjusted for the time value of money is common practice. The use of simulation to produce a risk profile of NPV values is also now common. While the expected net present value (ENPV) is often used to convert a risk profile of uncertain NPVs into a single-value equivalent, this approach ignores risk and the decision maker's attitude toward risk. Simply put, a 50% probability of receiving an NPV of $1 million is not as attractive as a 100% chance of receiving an NPV of $500,000. The general logarithmic utility model (GLUM) constructs a single certain equivalent from a risk profile (i.e., a “risk-adjusted NPV”) which goes beyond ENPV to incorporate risk aversion into the decision-making criterion. The simplicity and many attractive properties of the GLUM prompt us to suggest it as more attractive than other ways to adjust an NPV risk profile for risk. Excerpt UVA-QA-0849 Rev. Nov. 26, 2018 A GLUM Primer: How to Account for Risk with Uncertain NPVs We use net present value (NPV) to convert a stream of future known cash flows into a single-value equivalent. The NPV tool uses a discount rate to correctly account for the time value of money. We often next use expected net present value (ENPV) to convert a risk profile of uncertain NPVs into a single-value equivalent. Although ENPV accounts for all possible NPVs and their relative likelihoods, it ignores risk and the decision-maker's attitude toward risk. Simply put, a 50% probability of receiving $ 1,000,000 is not as attractive as a 100% chance of receiving $ 500,000. This makes ENPV an incomplete decision-making criterion. The purpose of this note is to describe the general logarithmic utility model (GLUM), which constructs a single-value equivalent from a risk profile. The resulting single-value equivalent is called a “present certain equivalent,” or “risk-adjusted NPV,” which goes beyond ENPV to incorporate risk aversion into the decision-making criterion. The simplicity and many attractive properties of the GLUM prompt us to suggest it as more attractive than other ways to adjust an NPV risk profile for risk. How to Use the GLUM . . .
本附注描述一种将不确定的未来现金流量调整为当前一定等价物的方法。通常的做法是使用净现值(NPV)将未来已知的现金流调整为按货币时间价值调整的单一价值等价物。利用模拟来产生NPV值的风险概况现在也很普遍。虽然期望净现值(ENPV)经常用于将不确定npv的风险概况转换为单一价值等值,但这种方法忽略了风险和决策者对风险的态度。简单地说,获得100万美元NPV的50%概率不如获得50万美元NPV的100%概率有吸引力。一般对数实用模型(GLUM)从风险概况(即“风险调整NPV”)构建了一个单一的确定当量,它超越了ENPV,将风险厌恶纳入决策标准。GLUM的简单性和许多有吸引力的特性促使我们认为它比其他方法更有吸引力,可以根据风险调整NPV风险概况。我们使用净现值(NPV)将未来已知现金流转换为单一价值等价物。NPV工具使用贴现率来正确解释货币的时间价值。接下来,我们经常使用预期净现值(ENPV)将不确定npv的风险概况转换为单一价值的等价物。尽管ENPV考虑了所有可能的npv及其相对可能性,但它忽略了风险和决策者对风险的态度。简单地说,获得1,000,000美元的50%概率不如获得500,000美元的100%概率有吸引力。这使得ENPV成为一个不完全的决策标准。本说明的目的是描述通用对数实用模型(GLUM),它从风险概况中构建一个单值等效。由此产生的单值等价物被称为“当前确定等价物”或“风险调整NPV”,它超越了ENPV,将风险厌恶纳入决策标准。GLUM的简单性和许多有吸引力的特性促使我们认为它比其他方法更有吸引力,可以根据风险调整NPV风险概况。如何使用GLUM…
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引用次数: 0
Real Options (Abridged) 实物期权(节选)
Pub Date : 2017-06-02 DOI: 10.2139/ssrn.2975165
S. Bodily
This note is an abridged version of QA-0639, "Real Options." Excerpt UVA-QA-0799 Rev. Apr. 9, 2014 Real Options (Abridged) All business decisions are real options, in that they confer the right but not the obligation to take some initiative in the future. —Judy Lewent, CFO, Merck Although you may not go as far as Judy Lewent, who claims that “all business decisions are real options,” you will likely agree that options are critically important in decision making. Understanding how to create them and to value them are vital skills for business, personal, and policy decisions. Decision analysis is an ideal approach to provide insight into options. . . .
本笔记是QA-0639“实物期权”的删节版。实物期权(节选)所有的商业决策都是实物期权,因为它们赋予了在未来采取主动行动的权利,而不是义务。——Judy Lewent,默克公司首席财务官尽管你可能不像Judy Lewent那样认为“所有的商业决策都是真实的选择”,但你可能会同意选择在决策过程中是至关重要的。了解如何创造它们并重视它们是商业、个人和政策决策的重要技能。决策分析是提供对期权的深入了解的理想方法. . . .
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引用次数: 0
R&D Project Selection at Northbanctec Inc Northbanctec公司研发项目选择
Pub Date : 2017-06-02 DOI: 10.2139/ssrn.2975132
Anton Ovchinnikov
Suitable as an assignment or as an exam case, this short case is effective in illustrating the use of linear and integer programming in an assignment problem, wrapped around R&D project selection in a global IT firm. A twist in the case requires the use of binary variables to implement certain logical conditions on which projects can be undertaken by which project teams. The case is suitable for graduate or advanced undergraduate courses or modules on optimization, decision models, management science and the like, both for class discussion and as a part of assignment or exam. A spreadsheet is available to enhance student learning. Excerpt UVA-QA-0762 Rev. Jun. 14, 2011 R&D Project selection at NorthBancTec Inc. NorthBancTec Inc. was a high-end boutique IT firm. Headquartered in Washington, D.C., NorthBancTec had three teams: in Georgetown (United States), in Dubai (United Arab Emirates), and in Novosibirsk (Russia). Because of its small size, NorthBancTec had to be very selective in choosing R&D projects. Table 1 lists the possibilities it had identified for the upcoming year. Table 1. Possible projects, their type, and their projected net benefit. . . .
适合作为作业或考试案例,这个简短的案例有效地说明了线性和整数规划在作业问题中的使用,围绕着一家全球IT公司的研发项目选择。在这种情况下,需要使用二元变量来实现某些逻辑条件,哪些项目可以由哪些项目团队承担。本案例适用于优化、决策模型、管理学等研究生或高级本科课程或模块,既可作为课堂讨论,也可作为作业或考试的一部分。电子表格可用于加强学生的学习。摘自UVA-QA-0762 Rev. 2011年6月14日NorthBancTec Inc.是一家高端精品IT公司。NorthBancTec总部设在华盛顿特区,有三个团队:乔治敦(美国)、迪拜(阿拉伯联合酋长国)和新西伯利亚(俄罗斯)。由于规模小,NorthBancTec在选择研发项目时必须非常挑剔。表1列出了它为即将到来的一年确定的可能性。表1。可能的项目,它们的类型,以及它们预计的净收益. . . .
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引用次数: 0
Night-Lights and Nearsightedness (a) 夜灯与近视(a)
Pub Date : 2017-06-02 DOI: 10.2139/ssrn.2975184
P. E. Pfeifer, K. Zadnik
Researchers at the University of Pennsylvania were interested in whether exposure to light early in life might affect eye growth and lead to an increased risk of myopia (nearsightedness). Eyes grew rapidly after birth, but myopia usually did not develop until later in life and arose from excessive postnatal eye growth. They knew that the duration of daily light had been shown to increase eye growth in chicks and wondered whether the same might be true for humans. The results startled researchers and might explain the increase in myopia rates over the last two centuries. The B case gives the results of a follow-on study conducted by the Ohio State University. Excerpt UVA-QA-0842 Rev. Nov. 5, 2015 Night-Lights and Nearsightedness (A) Researchers at the University of Pennsylvania were interested in whether exposure to light early in life might affect eye growth and lead to an increased risk of myopia (nearsightedness). Eyes grew rapidly after birth, but myopia usually did not develop until later in life and arose from excessive postnatal eye growth. They knew that the duration of daily light had been shown to increase eye growth in chicks and wondered whether the same might be true for humans. In early 1998, the researchers asked parents of 479 children—from 2 to 16 years of age—who were outpatients in the university's ophthalmology clinic about their child's exposure to light before two years of age. The key question was: “Under which lighting conditions did your child sleep at night before the age of two?” The multiple-choice answers were: “room light,” “night-light,” and “darkness.” Because the children were all outpatients of the clinic, their current eyesight had already been evaluated, recorded, and summarized as either myopic or not myopic. The results startled the researchers. About half the children (232) slept with a night-light, and 34% of this group became myopic. The smallest group was composed of the 75 children who slept in room light; subsequently, 55% became myopic. The overall myopia rate for the group was a shade under 29%. The researchers wrote in the journal Nature, “The prevalence of myopia…during childhood was strongly associated with ambient light exposure during sleep at night in the first two years after birth.” . . .
宾夕法尼亚大学的研究人员对生命早期暴露在光线下是否会影响眼睛生长并导致近视风险增加很感兴趣。出生后眼睛生长迅速,但近视通常直到生命后期才发展,是由于出生后眼睛过度生长引起的。他们知道,每日光照的持续时间已经被证明可以促进小鸡的眼睛发育,他们想知道这是否也适用于人类。研究结果震惊了研究人员,这或许可以解释过去两个世纪近视率上升的原因。B案例给出了俄亥俄州立大学进行的一项后续研究的结果。夜灯与近视(A)宾夕法尼亚大学的研究人员对生命早期暴露在光线下是否会影响眼睛生长并导致近视(近视)风险增加感兴趣。出生后眼睛生长迅速,但近视通常直到生命后期才发展,是由于出生后眼睛过度生长引起的。他们知道,每日光照的持续时间已经被证明可以促进小鸡的眼睛发育,他们想知道这是否也适用于人类。1998年初,研究人员询问了479名儿童的父母,年龄从2岁到16岁不等,这些儿童都是该大学眼科诊所的门诊病人,他们的孩子在两岁之前接触光的情况。关键问题是:“你的孩子在两岁之前晚上在什么样的光照条件下睡觉?”多项选择题的答案是:“房间灯光”、“夜灯”和“黑暗”。由于这些孩子都是诊所的门诊病人,他们目前的视力已经被评估、记录,并总结为近视或不近视。研究结果让研究人员大吃一惊。大约一半的孩子(232人)开着夜灯睡觉,其中34%的人近视了。最小的一组由75名在室内灯光下睡觉的儿童组成;随后,55%的人近视了。这组人的整体近视率略低于29%。研究人员在《自然》杂志上写道:“儿童时期近视的流行与出生后头两年夜间睡眠时的环境光照密切相关。”“……
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引用次数: 0
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