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2019 Portland International Conference on Management of Engineering and Technology (PICMET)最新文献

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Planning for Change in the Electric Power Industry: A Primer for Transactive Energy Scenario Development 电力工业变革的规划:交互式能源情景发展入门
J. Binus
The electric power industry and its associated infrastructures (a.k.a. "the grid") are evolving from centrally planned, organized, and operated networks of players, technologies, and resources to systems of systems that are increasingly digitized and distributed in their operation and innovative capacity. Subsequently, strategic planners and technology managers associated with the electric power industry are faced with a range of scenarios to evaluate, including one that considers the emergence of commercialized transactive energy systems in the coming ten-year time horizon. The crafting of a transactive energy scenario can help inform technology innovation and management efforts that benefit consumers, electricity providers, and society by providing planners with a tool to investigate key drivers of change and a range of desired attributes of future technologies that could be employed to address emerging customer needs, wants, and expectations. This paper introduces readers to key elements associated with the market emergence and adoption of transactive energy systems in order to encourage their inclusion in long-term scenario portfolios being utilized to inform electric power industry planning efforts.
电力工业及其相关的基础设施(又称电力工业)。“网格”)正在从集中规划、组织和操作的参与者、技术和资源网络演变为系统的系统,这些系统在运行和创新能力方面日益数字化和分布式。随后,与电力行业相关的战略规划者和技术管理人员面临着一系列需要评估的情景,包括考虑在未来十年时间范围内出现的商业化交易能源系统。通过为规划者提供一种工具来调查变革的关键驱动因素和一系列未来技术的期望属性,可以用来解决新兴的客户需求、愿望和期望,构建一个可交互的能源场景可以帮助为技术创新和管理工作提供信息,从而使消费者、电力供应商和社会受益。本文向读者介绍了与市场出现和采用交易能源系统相关的关键因素,以鼓励将其纳入长期情景组合,为电力行业规划工作提供信息。
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引用次数: 2
The Policy Diffusion of China's National Indigenous Innovation Demonstration Zones: A Case Study on Zhongguancun 中国自主创新示范区的政策扩散——以中关村为例
Xuanting Ye, Defang Yang, Yun Liu, Zhenwei Zhang, Jian Zhang
In order to promote the development of national indigenous innovation demonstration zones, Chinese government has set out a series of policies, which intend to improve the institutional system of science and technology innovation, develop the strategic emerging industries, and accelerate the transformation of the economic development mode. This paper raises the analysis on the relevant policies of 17 China's national indigenous innovation demonstration zones. The paper delineates the status quo of and the classification of the policies. By using the method of policy document analysis, the paper explores the characteristics of policy tool and the paths of policy diffusion. Based on the aforesaid research, the paper intends to investigate the policy diffusion of Zhongguancun national indigenous innovation demonstration zones, and to propose the suggestions to promote the development of these zones.
为了促进国家自主创新示范区的发展,中国政府出台了一系列政策,旨在完善科技创新的制度体系,发展战略性新兴产业,加快转变经济发展方式。本文对中国17个国家自主创新示范区的相关政策进行了分析。本文概述了政策的现状和分类。本文运用政策文件分析的方法,探讨了政策工具的特征和政策扩散的路径。在此基础上,本文拟对中关村国家自主创新示范区的政策扩散进行研究,并提出促进中关村国家自主创新示范区发展的建议。
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引用次数: 0
Latent Pattern Extraction and Factorization of Firm Bankruptcies and Metabolism in Japan 日本企业破产与新陈代谢的潜在模式提取与分解
Hiroko Yamano, I. Sakata
Maintenance and replacement are key elements of transaction management for companies to survive in a highly volatile market. Companies that have too low or too high rates of transactional continuity tend to leave the market, especially in severe times, such as in the aftermath of The Great East Japan Earthquake. In other words, the metabolism of transactions is the key to companies' survival. However, the question is what types of companies that were replaced by other companies and disappeared from the partner companies' list. In this study, we focused on business bankruptcies, which affect the structure of partner firms' transaction networks. Using the data of 1,406,690 cumulative companies over the 10 years from 2007 to 2016 in Japan, provided by Tokyo Shoko Research, Ltd., we investigated the features of companies to identify any patterns in the cases of bankruptcy. We analyzed the business status related to bankruptcy, including discontinuance, suspension, merger, and resumption. To illustrate the latent features of bankruptcies with various corporate features, we used tensor factorial analysis, which reduces data complexity and enables a reasonable interpretation. The analysis results of factorization seem to clarify previously hidden knowledge to support transaction management.
维护和替换是事务管理的关键要素,使公司能够在高度不稳定的市场中生存。交易连续性比率过低或过高的公司往往会退出市场,尤其是在严重时期,比如东日本大地震之后。换句话说,交易的新陈代谢是公司生存的关键。但问题是,哪些类型的公司被其他公司取代,从合作公司名单中消失。在本研究中,我们关注企业破产对合作伙伴交易网络结构的影响。利用东京商工研究有限公司提供的日本2007 - 2016年10年间累计1,406,690家企业的数据,我们研究了企业的特征,以发现破产案例中的任何模式。我们分析了与破产相关的经营状况,包括停业、暂停、合并和恢复。为了说明具有各种公司特征的破产的潜在特征,我们使用了张量因子分析,这降低了数据的复杂性并使合理的解释成为可能。因式分解的分析结果似乎澄清了以前隐藏的知识,以支持事务管理。
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引用次数: 0
The Key Success Factors of Biotech Start-Up Firms: Characteristics and Attributes of the Management Teams of High-Performing Biotech Start-Ups 生物技术初创企业成功的关键因素:高绩效生物技术初创企业管理团队的特征与属性
Yoshimi Harada, S. Sengoku
Biotech start-up firms have become the major originator of innovative products in the pharmaceutical industry. The composition and capability of the management team are key factors in their steady growth and are more elastic than other resources such as the size of capital and number of products. However, the characteristics and dynamics of the management team are not fully understood in Japan, resulting in limited value creation. To address this issue, the present study conducted a systematic review of representative publications on the key success factors of biotech start-up firms. Considering the massive investment and long time before generating revenue with a lower success rate in uncertain situations, we defined firms' success in terms of achieving initial public offering or entering a clinical study (internal factors) and the significance of support from venture capitalists and alliances with large corporations (external factors). Furthermore, we identified the key characteristics of the management team of a start-up firm in terms of its transformation over time, modes of contribution by a seed originator, legitimacy, and scientific understanding.
生物技术初创公司已成为制药行业创新产品的主要发起者。管理团队的组成和能力是其稳定增长的关键因素,并且比其他资源(如资金规模和产品数量)更具弹性。然而,在日本,管理团队的特点和动态并没有得到充分的了解,导致价值创造有限。为了解决这个问题,本研究对生物技术创业公司的关键成功因素的代表性出版物进行了系统的回顾。考虑到大量的投资和在不确定的情况下较低的成功率较长时间才能产生收入,我们根据实现首次公开发行或进入临床研究(内部因素)和风险资本家支持的重要性以及与大公司的联盟(外部因素)来定义公司的成功。此外,我们确定了初创公司管理团队的关键特征,包括其随时间的转变、种子发起人的贡献模式、合法性和科学理解。
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引用次数: 1
Domain Process Model Overcome Limitations of Engineering Models for Developing Artificial Intelligent Systems 领域过程模型克服了开发人工智能系统的工程模型的局限性
Gary Langford, John Green, Daniel P. Burns, Alexander Keller, D. C. Schmidt
The integrated set of prognostic domains (ISPD) of technology presented here provides a normative means to construct a wholly new process model for guiding Technology Management of Artificial Intelligent Systems (AIS). Seventeen domains represent all-inclusive stakeholder perspectives that encapsulate lifecycle analyses, evaluations, feasibilities, and tradeoffs with the domain contexts. Following Systems Model-Based thinking (SMBT), a postulated focal point interaction is the entry condition from which each domain is considered and thereafter traversed. Domains are interactive with each other through concurrent, iterative, recursive, and non-recursive processes. This interactive work continues until the completion milestones of each domain are satisfied. Techniques such as agile, progressive, prescriptive, and spiral are used as appropriate to reconcile functional and process requirements, risk, schedule, and budget. An important factor of ISPD is that multiple concepts of operation, widely diverse architectures, and explicitly differentiable designs are inevitable and highly desirable. The entire gamut of interactions of AIS with other posited systems is exposed and examined by the work carried out in each domain. While the ISPD was inspired by the use of SMBT with traditional process models, the essences of ISPD were extracted from developing systems of systems products and services. SMBT was piloted on a one-year project to integrate informational, social, and behavioral exchanges between humans and intelligent systems. This paper introduces SMBT for designing and building AIS by applying ISPD.
本文提出的技术预测域集成集(ISPD)为构建一个全新的过程模型提供了一种规范手段,用于指导人工智能系统(AIS)的技术管理。17个领域代表了包含所有利益相关者的观点,这些观点封装了生命周期分析、评估、可行性,以及与领域上下文的权衡。遵循基于系统模型的思维(SMBT),假设的焦点交互是每个域被考虑并随后遍历的入口条件。域通过并发的、迭代的、递归的和非递归的过程相互交互。这种交互工作将继续进行,直到满足每个领域的完成里程碑。适当地使用敏捷、渐进、规范和螺旋等技术来协调功能和过程需求、风险、进度和预算。ISPD的一个重要因素是,多种操作概念、广泛多样的体系结构和明确可微分的设计是不可避免的,也是非常可取的。AIS与其他假定系统的整个交互范围暴露并通过在每个领域进行的工作进行检查。虽然ISPD的灵感来自传统过程模型中SMBT的使用,但ISPD的精髓是从开发系统产品和服务的系统中提取出来的。SMBT试点项目为期一年,旨在整合人类与智能系统之间的信息、社会和行为交流。本文介绍了应用ISPD设计和构建AIS系统的SMBT。
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引用次数: 0
Mitigating High-Skill Brain Drain in Low-Growth Economies: An Examination of Existing Brain-Drain Threats in New Mexico and Strategy and Policy Alternative to Address Them 减缓低增长经济体的高技能人才流失:对新墨西哥州现有人才流失威胁及解决这些威胁的战略和政策选择的考察
Aaron Cowan, K. Cowan, S. Walsh
This study analyzes the challenges faced by struggling or low-growth economies when they lose highly skilled human capital via the process of "brain drain" or "ability drain." Such losses pose severe potential hazards to technology-based economic development. Factors related to these phenomena are characterized and examined via literature review and mixed methodology analysis to compare and contrast potential ways to manage brain drain and even achieve positive "brain gain" through individual and business-oriented strategies and policy alternatives.
本研究分析了陷入困境或低增长经济体在通过“人才流失”或“能力流失”过程失去高技能人力资本时所面临的挑战。这种损失对以技术为基础的经济发展构成严重的潜在危害。通过文献综述和混合方法分析,对与这些现象相关的因素进行了描述和检查,以比较和对比管理人才流失的潜在方法,甚至通过个人和企业导向的战略和政策选择实现积极的“人才获取”。
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引用次数: 0
A Study of Factors in the U.S. Automotive Industry that Influence Use and Procurement Outcomes for Electronic Supply Chain Management (eSCM) 影响电子供应链管理(eSCM)使用和采购结果的美国汽车行业因素研究
J. Joyce, D. McAllen, Abubaker Haddud
The U.S. automotive industry is a critical component of the nation's economic growth because of its use of innovative technologies that provide strategic advantages for business and operational practices. This study focused on electronic supply chain management (e-SCM) in the automotive industry and used two factors, ease of system use (EOU) and perception of organizational usefulness (PU), to investigate its impact on procurement outcomes and the organization's decision to use e-SCM. An online survey was used to gather responses from 144 people employed in supply chain management within the U.S. automotive industry regarding perceptions based on the technology acceptance model (TAM). The results found that two variables, perceptions of organizational usefulness and ease of use, affected the final adoption of e-SCM systems within organizations. The study also found that individual experience and educational level were significant in predicting work outcomes, which are important for supporting continued innovation, sustainability, and industry success. Recommendations for future research include studies in alternative industries, such as agriculture, textiles, pharmaceutical and electronics, using a similar research model and survey instrument, as well as, research in automotive industries in other countries looking for similarities and differences with the U.S. based findings.
美国汽车工业是国家经济增长的重要组成部分,因为它使用创新技术,为商业和运营实践提供战略优势。本研究聚焦于汽车行业的电子供应链管理(e-SCM),并使用两个因素,即系统易用性(EOU)和组织有用性感知(PU),来调查其对采购结果和组织使用电子供应链管理决策的影响。一项在线调查收集了144名美国汽车行业供应链管理人员对基于技术接受模型(TAM)的看法的回应。结果发现两个变量,组织有用性和易用性的感知,影响了组织内电子供应链管理系统的最终采用。研究还发现,个人经验和教育水平在预测工作成果方面具有重要意义,这对于支持持续创新、可持续性和行业成功至关重要。对未来研究的建议包括对替代行业的研究,如农业、纺织、制药和电子,使用类似的研究模型和调查工具,以及对其他国家汽车行业的研究,寻找与美国研究结果的异同。
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引用次数: 0
Autonomous Vehicle Technology Development: A Patent Survey Based on Main Path Analysis 自动驾驶汽车技术发展:基于主路径分析的专利综述
R. L. Cho, John S. Liu, M. Ho
This study surveys the patents on autonomous vehicles in a systematic and quantitative manner. Autonomous vehicle has been widely discussed recently due to the fast improvement in the related technologies. Aside from investigating the patent owners who are participating in development of autonomous vehicles, we apply main path analysis to uncover the technology developing trajectory. Three major findings are highlighted for further discussion: communication system will be further developed to pursue vehicle-to-everything, the perception technologies will integrate artificial intelligent, and the vehicle makers will cooperate with ICT companies to develop autonomous vehicle. Monitoring these observations may help companies to evaluate their future directions on R&D management, IP management, and business strategy development for autonomous vehicle.
本研究对自动驾驶汽车专利进行了系统、定量的调查。近年来,由于相关技术的快速发展,自动驾驶汽车受到了广泛的讨论。除了对参与自动驾驶汽车开发的专利所有人进行调查外,我们还采用主路径分析来揭示技术的发展轨迹。重点讨论了三个主要发现:通信系统将进一步发展以追求车辆到一切,感知技术将整合人工智能,汽车制造商将与ICT公司合作开发自动驾驶汽车。监测这些观察结果可以帮助公司评估他们在自动驾驶汽车的研发管理、知识产权管理和商业战略发展方面的未来方向。
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引用次数: 1
The Emergence of the Personalized Medicine Innovation Ecosystem in British Columbia: Selective Revealing, Strategic Timing and Success 不列颠哥伦比亚省个性化医疗创新生态系统的出现:选择性揭示、战略时机与成功
Andrew Park, E. Maine
Personalized medicine is a growing subsector within medicine and biotechnology, having become a new subdomain of research within the traditional biotechnology industry. This study aims to identify, classify and analyze the emergence of the personalized medicine innovation ecosystem in British Columbia in order to inform innovation policy. We draw on and contribute to the Innovation Ecosystems and the Open Innovation literatures by examining the emergence of the personalized medicine industry in British Columbia, and the commercialization patterns and strategies of the firms within it. In this paper we identify and study the formation, open innovation mechanisms, financing and value creation of companies with technologies related to personalized medicine. Of the 94 PM firms founded in B.C., 64 are currently active, with 48% in therapeutics, 38% in diagnostics, and 14% in digital health. We find evidence of the importance of the Open Innovation mechanisms of selective revealing and of strategic timing to value creation by personalized medicine ventures.
个性化医疗是医学和生物技术中一个不断发展的子领域,已经成为传统生物技术行业研究的一个新的子领域。本研究旨在识别、分类和分析不列颠哥伦比亚省个性化医疗创新生态系统的出现,以便为创新政策提供信息。我们通过研究不列颠哥伦比亚省个性化医疗产业的出现,以及其中的公司的商业化模式和战略,借鉴并贡献了创新生态系统和开放式创新文献。本文对个性化医疗相关技术公司的形成、开放式创新机制、融资和价值创造进行了识别和研究。在bc省成立的94家PM公司中,目前有64家处于活跃状态,其中48%在治疗领域,38%在诊断领域,14%在数字健康领域。我们发现了开放式创新机制的选择性揭示和战略时机对个性化医疗企业价值创造的重要性的证据。
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引用次数: 1
An Assessment of the Factors Influencing the Selection of the Best Carsharing Alternative in Portland Area Using Hierarchical Decision Modeling (HDM) 基于层次决策模型(HDM)的波特兰地区最优拼车选择影响因素评估
Saeed Alzahrani, A. Alzahrani, Xuran Dai, Wei-Chen Hsu, Rashi Tiwari
Carsharing is a business model of car rentals that allows consumers to benefit from a private vehicle for short periods while being relieved of the costs of the purchase and maintenance. Carsharing is a growing industry and some players are trying to get a hold in the already competitive market. The current transportation market offers consumers many options for buying a vehicle, but fewer practical options for using a vehicle occasionally. Carsharing provides the benefits of allowing easy access to vehicles spread across the city that are rented per an hour or day. It is an increasingly common option for locals and tourists who want to get from one place to another without spending too much time on public transports. These have the added benefit of convenience and comfort of four-wheelers without paying much extra, as in the case of conventional rental cars, taxi, or cabs. This paper uses Hierarchical Decision Model (HDM) to evaluate the factors influencing the selection of the best carsharing alternative around Portland area by analyzing different perspectives and criteria that influence the selection. This paper address which criteria are most important to renters and provide recommendations for renters and carsharing businesses. The findings suggest that most essential criteria for the consumers are insurance coverage, reliability, rental cost, drop-off-options, and gas cost.
汽车共享是一种汽车租赁的商业模式,它允许消费者在短期内享受私家车的好处,同时减轻购买和维护的成本。汽车共享是一个不断发展的行业,一些参与者正试图在本已竞争激烈的市场中占有一席之地。目前的交通市场为消费者提供了许多购买车辆的选择,但很少有偶尔使用车辆的实际选择。汽车共享的好处是,可以方便地使用每小时或每天租用的遍布城市的车辆。对于想要从一个地方到另一个地方而不花太多时间在公共交通工具上的当地人和游客来说,这是一个越来越普遍的选择。与传统的出租汽车、出租车或出租汽车不同,这些汽车还具有四轮车的便利和舒适的额外好处,而且不需要额外支付太多费用。本文采用层次决策模型(Hierarchical Decision Model, HDM),通过分析影响最佳共享汽车选择的不同视角和标准,对波特兰地区影响最佳共享汽车选择的因素进行了评价。本文讨论了哪些标准对租车者最重要,并为租车者和汽车共享企业提供了建议。调查结果表明,对消费者来说,最重要的标准是保险范围、可靠性、租赁成本、停车选择和汽油成本。
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引用次数: 3
期刊
2019 Portland International Conference on Management of Engineering and Technology (PICMET)
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