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An Analysis of the Impact of Dual Crises on Hong Kong’s Financial Development 双重危机对香港金融发展的影响分析
Pub Date : 2021-12-02 DOI: 10.26549/jfr.v5i2.7003
Wang Keyi
According to the GFCI ranking from 2018-2020, Hong Kong fell from third to sixth, surpassing cities in other Asian countries and some inland cities in China. Hong Kong’s marginalization has intensified because of the impact of the new crown epidemic and anti-repair incidents. However, Hong Kong’s marginalization is indeed somewhat inappropriate. As far as the situation is concerned, Hong Kong still has a strong competitiveness, although it is lagging behind, but Hong Kong should think deeply about the strategy and system of “one country, two systems”, believe in the country’s strategic intention and adjust its state in time to re-exclude the public’s understanding of its marginalization.
根据GFCI 2018-2020年的排名,香港从第三名降至第六位,超过了其他亚洲国家的城市和中国一些内陆城市。由于新冠疫情和反修事件的影响,香港的边缘化加剧。然而,香港的边缘化确实有些不合适。就形势而言,香港虽然落后,但仍有很强的竞争力,但香港应该深刻思考“一国两制”的战略和制度,相信国家的战略意图,及时调整自己的状态,重新排除公众对其边缘化的理解。
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引用次数: 0
The End of Western Economic Growth Theory 西方经济增长理论的终结
Pub Date : 2021-12-02 DOI: 10.26549/jfr.v5i2.6877
Chen Peixiong
Economics is a science that studies how the economy grows, so the theory of economic growth is the most important theory of economics. In the real market economy society, people achieve the goal of economic growth through two kinds of economic activities: production and transaction. Then a correct economic growth theory must be one that can explain both production and transaction economic activities. Just like Newton’s law of universal gravitation in physics, it can explain the motion law of all objects. For a long time, we have been dominated by the western economic growth theory of western mainstream economics. It is not difficult to find that it has a fatal defect, which can only explain production economic activities but not transaction economic activities. So it can’t explain the Chinese economy, and it can’t explain the western economy. The new economic growth theory proposed in this paper makes up for the defects of western economic growth theory, and it is the terminator of western economic growth theory. This is a revolution of new economics to traditional western economics.
经济学是一门研究经济如何增长的科学,所以经济增长理论是经济学中最重要的理论。在现实的市场经济社会中,人们通过生产和交易两种经济活动来实现经济增长的目标。那么,正确的经济增长理论必须是既能解释生产经济活动又能解释交易经济活动的理论。就像物理学中的牛顿万有引力定律一样,它可以解释一切物体的运动规律。长期以来,我们一直被西方主流经济学的西方经济增长理论所支配。不难发现,它有一个致命的缺陷,即只能解释生产经济活动,而不能解释交易经济活动。所以它不能解释中国经济,也不能解释西方经济。本文提出的新经济增长理论弥补了西方经济增长理论的缺陷,是西方经济增长理论的终结者。这是新经济学对西方传统经济学的一次革命。
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引用次数: 0
An Analysis of the Value and Strategies of Microblog Marketing 微博营销的价值与策略分析
Pub Date : 2020-05-29 DOI: 10.26549/jfr.v4i1.3513
Junyan Du
Microblog marketing is that the enterprise uses the platform of Sina microblog to carry out its own marketing activities. Every fan and even every netizen are potential business participants. With microblog marketing, the enterprise intends to create a good image for the company and products and achieve marketing goals by means of communicating with customers by updating daily content or publishing topics that may be of interest to customers. 
微博营销就是企业利用新浪微博这个平台,开展自己的营销活动。每一个粉丝,甚至每一个网友都是潜在的商业参与者。微博营销是企业通过日常更新内容或发布客户可能感兴趣的话题,与客户进行沟通,为企业和产品塑造良好的形象,达到营销目的。
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引用次数: 1
Implications of Fama-French Models and Critical Evaluation of Cost of Equity Approach in Explanation of Variations in Expected Stock Returns Fama-French模型与权益成本法在解释股票预期收益变动中的意义
Pub Date : 2020-05-29 DOI: 10.26549/jfr.v4i1.3775
B. Gao
CAPM theory that solves relationship between asset return and asset risk for potential investment project by CML and SML, is illustrated in the first section as an introduction of further analysis of corporate valuation techniques. Fama and French three factor model is perceived as a revision of CAPM, although it stills has severe weaknesses. CAPM theory solves relationship between asset return and asset risk for potential investment project by CML and SML.
CAPM理论通过CML和SML来解决潜在投资项目的资产收益和资产风险之间的关系,在第一节中作为对公司估值技术进一步分析的介绍。Fama和French的三因素模型被认为是对CAPM的修正,尽管它仍然存在严重的缺陷。CAPM理论通过CML和SML来解决潜在投资项目的资产收益与资产风险之间的关系。
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引用次数: 0
An Empirical Research of Futures Program Trading Based on RSI And CCI Indicators 基于RSI和CCI指标的期货程序交易实证研究
Pub Date : 2020-05-29 DOI: 10.26549/jfr.v4i1.2993
Li Aiquan, Pan Hui, Weishi Shu, Ke Qi
Over the years, many scholars have conducted a wealth of empirical research on the effectiveness of technical indicator analysis in the financial market, and the conclusions are obviously different. Among them, two program trading models based on RSI and CCI indicators achieve an annual return rate of more than 180% in the empirical research of palm oil futures program trading, but the amount of data used in this study is too small, and the transaction cost is not considered. As the actual trading process has the characteristics that investors pay more attention to the sustainability of the model's profitability, and that investors’ trading varieties are diverse and with high transaction cost, this paper further verifies the sustainability and general applicability of these two models: using the closing price of 1-day and 30-minute K-line of 18 kinds of commodity futures in recent 10 years to investigate the changes of annual return rate, maximum withdrawal ratio etc. under different transaction costs and K-line cycles. The results show that the model’s profitability is time-varying, and the transaction cost has a greater influence on the rate of return of 30-minute K-lines than that of 1-day K-lines.
多年来,许多学者对技术指标分析在金融市场中的有效性进行了丰富的实证研究,得出的结论明显不同。其中,基于RSI和CCI指标的两种程序化交易模型在棕榈油期货程序化交易的实证研究中实现了180%以上的年收益率,但本研究使用的数据量太少,且未考虑交易成本。由于实际交易过程中投资者更注重模型盈利能力的可持续性,以及投资者交易品种多样、交易成本高的特点,本文进一步验证了这两种模型的可持续性和普遍适用性:利用近10年18种商品期货的1日收盘价和30分钟k线,考察不同交易成本和k线周期下的年收益率、最大提现率等的变化。结果表明,模型的盈利能力是时变的,交易成本对30分钟k线收益率的影响大于1天k线收益率。
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引用次数: 0
Investor Sentiment and Cross-Sectional Return after Share Issuance: Evidence from Seasonal Equity Offering in China Market 股票发行后投资者情绪与横截面收益:来自中国市场季节性股票发行的证据
Pub Date : 2020-05-29 DOI: 10.26549/jfr.v4i1.3482
Di Liu
Our research on private placement of equity on China capital market reveals that firms prefer to equity financing when their stock price is overvalued and investor sentiment is high, following the market timing hypothesis. However, after private issuance, we document a significant positive abnormal return within three years. We believe firms choose to polish their financial statement before the exit of institutional investors and controlling shareholders. Through manipulation of discretional accruals, firms improve the profitability and market valuation, and help institutional investors and controlling shareholders obtain the abnormal return after private placement of equity. Nevertheless, such manipulation cannot be sustained and will do harm to other investors in the long-term.
我们对中国资本市场私募股权融资的研究表明,在股价被高估和投资者情绪高涨的情况下,企业更倾向于股权融资,符合市场时机假说。然而,在非公开发行后,我们在三年内记录了显著的正异常回报。我们认为,在机构投资者和控股股东退出之前,企业会选择优化其财务报表。企业通过操纵可支配性应计利润,提高盈利能力和市场估值,帮助机构投资者和控股股东获得定向增发股权后的异常收益。然而,这种操纵是无法持续的,从长远来看会损害其他投资者的利益。
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引用次数: 0
Training and Development Strategies for Senior and Middle Level Managers with the Purpose of Learning Organizations 以学习型组织为目标的中高层管理人员培训与发展策略
Pub Date : 2020-05-29 DOI: 10.26549/jfr.v4i1.3271
Da Rong
In the presence of dynamic organizational environment and a growing supply of ‘knowledgeable employees’ which require more professional managers to address their fast changing and increasing needs, senior and middle level managers are now required to keep up with the dynamic and learning environment more than ever. In order to train senior and middle level managers, the article has recommended four perspectives to encourage the development of learning manager. The first aspect for senior and middle level mangers is to integrate learning talents into their practices. The second point is to encourage managers to provide strong support for individuals and teams to develop a learning organization. The third point encourages learning managers and organizations to be composed into the culture of the organization. The last point advocates for more open and free dissemination of information and knowledge to be allowed within an organization. 
在动态的组织环境和不断增长的“知识渊博的员工”的供应,这需要更多的职业经理人来解决他们快速变化和不断增长的需求,高级和中级管理人员现在需要跟上动态和学习环境比以往任何时候都多。为了培养中高层管理者,本文提出了鼓励学习型管理者发展的四个视角。中高层管理者的第一个方面是将学习型人才融入到他们的实践中。第二点是鼓励管理者为个人和团队发展学习型组织提供强有力的支持。第三点鼓励学习型管理者和组织融入到组织的文化中。最后一点主张在一个组织内允许更开放和自由地传播信息和知识。
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引用次数: 0
On Some Legal Problems in Postal Administration 论邮政管理中的若干法律问题
Pub Date : 2020-05-29 DOI: 10.26549/jfr.v4i1.3244
Peng Liu
With the development of e-commerce, the express delivery industry in China has developed rapidly. In the past, the express logistics service with postal service as the core has gradually developed into a competitive situation among many logistics companies, such as EMS, Shunfeng, and “Four Tong & One Da”(Shentong Express, Yuantong Express, Zhongtong Express, Best Express, Yunda Express). With the rapid development of China’s express industry, and the development of e-commerce, the number of online shopping has increased, express has become an important choice for small goods exchanges. As a new industry in China, express service industry greatly promotes the development of social economy. With the rapid development of express industry, China has surpassed the United States and become the largest express country in the world. The proportion of express industry in GDP has exceeded 1%, which is becoming one of the pillar industries in China. At the same time, the development of the industry is not standardized. Due to the difference of service standards and the lack of service quality, the number of consumer complaints is increasing.
随着电子商务的发展,中国的快递业发展迅速。过去,以邮政服务为核心的快递物流业务已逐渐发展成为EMS、顺丰、“四通一达”(申通、圆通、中通、百世、韵达)等多家物流公司的竞争格局。随着中国快递业的快速发展,以及电子商务的发展,网上购物的人数不断增加,快递已经成为小商品交换的重要选择。快递服务业作为中国的新兴产业,极大地促进了社会经济的发展。随着快递业的快速发展,中国已经超过美国,成为世界上最大的快递国家。快递业占GDP的比重已超过1%,正在成为中国的支柱产业之一。同时,行业发展不规范。由于服务标准的差异和服务质量的不足,消费者投诉的数量正在增加。
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引用次数: 0
Research and Overview of Beyond Meat's Disruptive Innovation Beyond Meat颠覆性创新研究与综述
Pub Date : 2020-05-29 DOI: 10.26549/jfr.v4i1.2504
Deming Zhang
In the past, meat is considered to be a luxury because of its high price that not everyone can afford, which only enjoyed on special days or festivals. However, it has become a daily necessity for life nowadays with the rapid economic development, an essential ingredient in every staple in the restaurant or home kitchen, and the main source supply for people to increase energy. Besides, as health education launched, "how to eat healthily" has become the most significant difficulty that needs to be solved for every family. There is no doubt that the market has been increasing and the demand for meat has been growing with the population growth all over the world. The market value of processed meat is expected to rise from 714 billion U.S. dollars in 2016 to over 1.5 trillion dollars by 2022. Poultry is the most popular kind of processed meat, with a 38 percent share of the global market and red meat, which includes pork and beef, takes up about a 33 percent share. From the official report of the worldwide meat market, the quality and the inflated price of meat have become the most concern of the majority people, who deem it as the primary source of protein and nutrition supply. 
在过去,肉被认为是一种奢侈品,因为它的价格很高,不是每个人都能负担得起,只有在特殊的日子或节日里才能享用。然而,随着经济的快速发展,它已经成为人们日常生活的必需品,是餐馆或家庭厨房里每一道主食中必不可少的成分,是人们增加能量的主要来源供应。此外,随着健康教育的开展,“如何吃得健康”已经成为每个家庭需要解决的最重要的难题。毫无疑问,市场一直在增长,对肉类的需求随着世界各地人口的增长而增长。加工肉类的市场价值预计将从2016年的7140亿美元增加到2022年的1.5万亿美元以上。禽肉是最受欢迎的加工肉类,占全球市场的38%,而包括猪肉和牛肉在内的红肉约占33%的份额。从全球肉类市场的官方报告来看,肉类的质量和虚高的价格已经成为大多数人最关心的问题,他们将肉类作为蛋白质和营养供应的主要来源。
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引用次数: 0
How to Recognize and Measure Compound Financial Instruments? 如何确认和计量复合金融工具?
Pub Date : 2020-05-29 DOI: 10.26549/jfr.v4i1.3582
Yan Wang, Zhuqian He, Shijia Yan
Basing on the Xiaomi case, this paper discusses the most appropriate accounting treatment of compound financial instruments under the framework of International Financial Reporting Standards (IFRS) and how other comprehensive income (OCI) plays important role in it. Overall, this paper provides some references for policymaker to standardize financial instruments standard.
本文以小米案例为基础,探讨了国际财务报告准则(IFRS)框架下复合金融工具最恰当的会计处理,以及其他综合收益(OCI)在其中的重要作用。综上所述,本文为政策制定者规范金融工具标准提供了一些参考。
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引用次数: 0
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Journal of Finance Research
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