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Research on the Effectiveness of KMV Model in China's Bond Credit Rating Market KMV模型在中国债券信用评级市场中的有效性研究
Pub Date : 2020-05-29 DOI: 10.26549/jfr.v4i1.3483
Jifeng Sun, Tingwei Sun
In recent years, China's bond market has experienced rapid development, but the pace of credit risk supervision has not kept up. Since 2014, the number of domestic credit bond defaults has increased. In 2016, there were 79 domestic default bonds, with a default amount of up to 40.3 billion Yuan. From the perspective of domestic bond market credit risk supervision and early warning mechanism, rating is not objective, and tracking is not timely also rating methods are backward. Therefore, with the development of big data and other technologies, it is urgent to study credit risk supervision methods suitable for the domestic bond market. On the basis of combing the development of domestic bond market and analyzing the current situation of domestic credit rating, this paper combines the results of theoretical research at home and abroad, the information available in the domestic market, big data mining and automation technology, based on the financial and stock exchange information of listed companies, combined with BS option pricing theory, constructs KMV model.
近年来,中国债券市场发展迅速,但信用风险监管的步伐却没有跟上。自2014年以来,国内信用债券违约数量有所增加。2016年国内违约债券79只,违约金额高达403亿元。从国内债券市场信用风险监管预警机制来看,评级不客观,跟踪不及时,评级方法落后。因此,随着大数据等技术的发展,迫切需要研究适合国内债券市场的信用风险监管方法。本文在梳理国内债券市场发展和分析国内信用评级现状的基础上,结合国内外理论研究成果、国内市场现有信息、大数据挖掘和自动化技术,以上市公司财务和证券交易所信息为基础,结合BS期权定价理论,构建了KMV模型。
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引用次数: 0
Performance Evaluation of Commercial Banks Based on EVA—— Take ICBC for Example 基于EVA的商业银行绩效评价——以工商银行为例
Pub Date : 2020-05-29 DOI: 10.26549/jfr.v4i1.3484
Yuhao Gong
In order to further improve the enterprise performance evaluation system, it is necessary to study the application value of EVA management system in China's listed companies. Based on the data of ICBC from 2016 to 2018, this paper uses EVA method to evaluate and analyze it.
为了进一步完善企业绩效评价体系,有必要研究EVA管理体系在中国上市公司中的应用价值。本文以中国工商银行2016 - 2018年的数据为基础,运用EVA方法对其进行评价和分析。
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引用次数: 0
A Probe into the Oriented Management Mode of "Human Resource Return" “人力资源回报”导向管理模式探讨
Pub Date : 2020-05-29 DOI: 10.26549/jfr.v4i1.1349
Fan Shi
At the present stage, each big enterprise bases itself on the human resource inside the enterprise, increases the human capital investment one after another, pays attention to the human capital investment and the talented person education and training. This paper analyzes how the return on human capital investment is realized in the enterprise and how the enterprise realizes the highest return on human capital investment.
现阶段,各大企业立足于企业内部的人力资源,纷纷加大人力资本投资,注重人力资本投资和人才的教育与培训。本文分析了企业如何实现人力资本投资回报,以及企业如何实现人力资本投资的最高回报。
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引用次数: 0
Strategic Asset Seeking: A Motivation of Chinese Business Groups' International Operation 战略资产寻求:中国企业集团国际化经营的动力
Pub Date : 2020-05-29 DOI: 10.26549/jfr.v4i1.2735
Chenxi Hu
Since the development of Chinese firms, more and more Chinese firms would like to operate their business over the world to increase their strength. For the difficulty of expanding the scale of the company in a short term, many Chinese firms made use of strategy asset seeking to achieve their goal. This article will develop the evidence of Haier Group and Lenovo Group and find the role and effect of their outward strategy asset seeking.
随着中国企业的发展,越来越多的中国企业希望在世界各地开展业务,以增加自己的实力。由于短期内难以扩大公司规模,许多中国企业利用战略资产寻求实现其目标。本文将通过对海尔集团和联想集团的实证分析,找出其对外战略资产寻找的作用和效果。
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引用次数: 0
A Cross-Border E-Commerce Intellectual Property Rights 一、跨境电子商务知识产权
Pub Date : 2020-05-29 DOI: 10.26549/jfr.v4i1.3727
Linjun Cai
As an intangible property right, intellectual property is a very important economic resource, which is of great significance for merchants to enter the international market. With the development of The Times, more and more merchants begin to look globally and enter the overseas market. In order to gain a foothold and develop in the international market where intellectual property rights are more strictly protected, intellectual property rights have important significance that cannot be ignored by all businesses. Writing significance: Taking NetEase Koala as an example to further understand the IPR protection of cross-border e-commerce.
知识产权作为一种无形产权,是一种非常重要的经济资源,对商家进入国际市场具有重要意义。随着时代的发展,越来越多的商家开始放眼全球,进入海外市场。要想在知识产权保护更加严格的国际市场上立足和发展,知识产权的重要意义是所有企业都不可忽视的。写作意义:以网易考拉为例,进一步了解跨境电商的知识产权保护。
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引用次数: 3
A Study on the Effectiveness of Chinese Farmers' Participation under the Background of Rural Rejuvenation 乡村振兴背景下中国农民参与的有效性研究
Pub Date : 2020-05-29 DOI: 10.26549/jfr.v4i1.3578
Quanhai Yang
The strategy of Rural Revitalization is an important strategic measure to comprehensively promote rural modernization in the period of building a socialist modernization country with Chinese characteristics. In essence, a farmer’s pollical participation is, of course, to inevitably build a new socialist countryside, cultivate new socialist farmers and realize socialist rural modernization. This paper attempts to explore the promotion and efficient realization of farmers' political participation from three ways of improving the subject ability of political participation, first, to improve subject ability; second, to guarantee object conditions, third, to create the proper environment. And this paper illustrates that the modernization of rural areas requires the modernization of farmers' ideology and political consciousness. The comprehensive promotion of the modernization of peasants' ideology and political consciousness is embodied in the practice of political participation.
乡村振兴战略是建设中国特色社会主义现代化国家时期全面推进农村现代化的重要战略举措。农民政治参与的本质当然是建设社会主义新农村、培育社会主义新农民、实现社会主义农村现代化的必然要求。本文试图从提高农民政治参与主体能力的三个途径来探讨促进农民政治参与并有效实现农民政治参与:一是提高主体能力;二是要保证客体条件,三是要创造适宜的环境。农村现代化需要农民思想政治意识的现代化。全面推进农民思想政治意识现代化,体现在政治参与实践中。
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引用次数: 0
The Research of Walmart Global Expansion 沃尔玛全球扩张研究
Pub Date : 2020-05-29 DOI: 10.26549/jfr.v4i1.3090
Qiwei Shen
Purpose: To entering into the international market successfully, the company ought to do all-round and in-depth research. This paper aims to study the process of Walmart’s global expansion and find the solutions to solve the relevant risks. Design/Methodology/Approach: In-depth interviews with 5 persons were conducted to collect their rankings of social media sites and the reasons for visiting each of the sites.
目的:为了成功进入国际市场,公司应该做全面深入的研究。本文旨在研究沃尔玛全球扩张的过程,并寻找解决相关风险的方法。设计/方法/方法:对5个人进行深度访谈,收集他们对社交媒体网站的排名以及访问每个网站的原因。
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引用次数: 0
Analysis of Fintech Regulation Based on G-SIBs Fintech Index 基于G-SIBs金融科技指数的金融科技监管分析
Pub Date : 2020-05-29 DOI: 10.26549/jfr.v4i1.3250
Yimeng Zhai
At present, Chinese financial supervision departments are constrained by information asymmetry and higher supervision costs, so their effectiveness in the ever-changing financial supervision needs to be improved urgently. Based on the G-SIBs fintech index, this paper analyzes the scores of fintech r&d, promotion, application and other indicators, aiming to explain the necessity of fintech regulation, and puts forward measures to strengthen fintech regulation.
目前,我国金融监管部门受到信息不对称和监管成本较高的制约,在瞬息万变的金融监管中,其有效性亟待提高。本文以G-SIBs金融科技指数为基础,分析金融科技研发、推广、应用等指标得分,旨在说明金融科技监管的必要性,并提出加强金融科技监管的措施。
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引用次数: 1
Empirical Research on the Influence of Marine High-end Human Resources on Marine Knowledge Innovation——With Organizational Incentive and Technological Innovation as Mediating Variable 海洋高端人力资源对海洋知识创新影响的实证研究——以组织激励和技术创新为中介变量
Pub Date : 2020-05-29 DOI: 10.26549/jfr.v4i1.3514
Weihong Zhang
The main purpose of this paper is to explore the intermediary role of policy incentives and marine technological innovation in marine high-end human capital promoting marine knowledge innovation. Previous studies on the impact of marine high-end human capital on marine knowledge innovation mainly focused on the direct impact of marine high-end human capital on marine knowledge innovation, while ignoring the role of intermediary variables. Based on 512 sample survey data from 138 organizations in 16 coastal cities of China, this paper uses structural equation model to examine the relationship between high-end human capital and policy incentives, technological innovation and marine knowledge innovation. The research shows that marine high-end human capital has an impact on marine knowledge innovation through policy incentives and marine technology innovation. Policy incentives and marine technology innovation play a full intermediary role in the relationship between marine high-end human capital and marine knowledge innovation.
本文的主要目的是探讨政策激励和海洋技术创新在海洋高端人力资本促进海洋知识创新中的中介作用。以往关于海洋高端人力资本对海洋知识创新影响的研究主要集中在海洋高端人力资本对海洋知识创新的直接影响上,而忽略了中介变量的作用。本文基于中国16个沿海城市138个组织的512个抽样调查数据,运用结构方程模型考察了高端人力资本与政策激励、技术创新和海洋知识创新的关系。研究表明,海洋高端人力资本通过政策激励和海洋技术创新对海洋知识创新产生影响。政策激励和海洋技术创新在海洋高端人力资本与海洋知识创新之间起着充分的中介作用。
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引用次数: 0
Analysis and Forecast of Urban Economic Vitality in Northeast China 东北地区城市经济活力分析与预测
Pub Date : 2020-05-29 DOI: 10.26549/jfr.v4i1.3238
Xuan Cui, Yali Zhang, Lingyi Wei
Taking into account the passage of time, the original economic vitality index will vary with changes in social development, we use the BP neural network nearly a decade as the original GDP data for the next 30 years the GDP forecast. BP neural network in 1985, proposed by Rumelhart, the algorithm solves the system of learning problems multilayer neural network connection weights hidden layer [1].It consists of an input layer, a hidden layer, and an output layer. The principle is to continuously adjust the network weights and thresholds by transmitting errors backward and then correcting the errors to achieve the desired input-output mapping.
考虑到时间的推移,原始经济活力指数会随着社会发展的变化而变化,我们使用BP神经网络作为近十年原始GDP数据对未来30年的GDP进行预测。BP神经网络于1985年由Rumelhart提出,该算法解决了多层神经网络连接权隐层的系统学习问题[1]。它由输入层、隐藏层和输出层组成。其原理是不断调整网络权值和阈值,将误差向后传递,再对误差进行修正,以达到期望的输入输出映射。
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引用次数: 0
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