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Primer Coloquio sobre la actividad pesquera en México: La Pesca Comercial de Ribera: oportunidades y conflictividades. Instituto de Geografía, UNAM Ciudad Universitaria, Cd. Mx., 21 y 22 de septiembre de 2017 关于墨西哥渔业活动的第一次讨论会:商业沿海渔业:机会和冲突。地理研究所,UNAM Ciudad Universitaria, Cd. Mx。, 2017年9月21日和22日
Q3 Social Sciences Pub Date : 2017-12-01 DOI: 10.14350/rig.59585
Joaquín Daniel Nava Martínez
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引用次数: 0
Modelo morfométrico para determinar áreas susceptibles a procesos de ladera 确定斜坡过程易感区域的形态模型
Q3 Social Sciences Pub Date : 2017-12-01 DOI: 10.14350/rig.57318
Adolfo Quesada Román , Gustavo Barrantes Castillo

In tropical countries where both internal and external active geodynamic conditions exist and relief modeling is constantly changing, hillside processes are one of the most recurring natural hazards that cause human and economic losses each year. In Costa Rica, for example, these phenomena cause approximately 30% of the disasters that affect the country each year. The study area comprises a section of 52 km2 in the extreme geographical coordinates: 10,23 ° N and 10,18 ° S; -84.23 ° W and -84.14 ° E; which is located on the northeast slope of the Poás volcano in Costa Rica and has the physical characteristics of rainfall above 2000 mm per year, intense tectonic dynamics associated with different tectonic faults and dense tropical vegetation. The objective of this work is to show a morphometric model to determine susceptible areas to hillslope processes, starting from the case study of the most affected region by the landslides triggered during the Cinchona Earthquake in 2009. The morphometry or geomorphometry is the quantitative analysis of the terrestrial surface; among its fundamental variables are altimetry or hypsometry, slope of the terrain and drainage density. The morphometric methods used are based on the approaches of Simonov (1985), Lugo (1988) and Zamorano (1990). Seven morphometric maps were developed that indirectly explain the geomorphological dynamics of this territory. Firstly, the cartography of dissection density, depth of dissection, relief energy and total erosion were performed. The density of the dissection calculates the concentration of river channels in a specific area, aiming to establish zones of greater or lesser concentration of river courses and therefore with greater river erosion. The depth of the dissection aims to measure the erosive capacity or activity of rivers vertically, as it analyzes the areas where river erosion has been more (or less) intense over time and provides an indirect relationship of the parameters that allow the dissection to increase, such as lithology, terrain inclination, precipitation and substrate weakness planes. The relief energy determines the maximum difference of the relative height in meters in a specific area and represents the potential energy that emerges from the relief. The total erosion determines zones with greater or less erosion of the recorded relief by means of the density of the curves of level in a determined area (by minimum spatial unit of analysis). All these parameters were analyzed from the three morphological regions that make up the study area (Poás volcanic complex, pyroclastic ramps and valley slopes), and then integrate these variables into the slope susceptibility map. Subsequently, the results of the map of susceptibility to hillside processes were compared with the coseismic mass movements of 2009, which resulted in that 98% of these phenomena coincided with the areas of frequent occurrence and maximum occurrence. In addition, the rupture s

在存在内部和外部活跃地球动力条件和地形模式不断变化的热带国家,山坡过程是每年造成人员和经济损失的最常见的自然灾害之一。例如,在哥斯达黎加,每年影响该国的灾害中约有30%是由这些现象造成的。研究区位于北纬10.23°和南纬10.18°的极端地理坐标上,面积为52 km2;-84.23°W和-84.14°E;它位于哥斯达黎加Poás火山的东北坡,其物理特征是年降雨量在2000毫米以上,与不同构造断层相关的强烈构造动力学和茂密的热带植被。本研究的目的是从2009年金鸡纳地震中受滑坡影响最严重的地区的案例研究开始,展示一个形态计量模型来确定易受山坡过程影响的地区。地貌计量学或地貌计量学是对地表的定量分析;其基本变量包括高程或次高程、地形坡度和排水密度。所使用的形态计量学方法是基于Simonov(1985)、Lugo(1988)和Zamorano(1990)的方法。研究人员绘制了七幅地貌测量图,间接地解释了该地区的地貌动态。首先进行了剖分密度、剖分深度、地形起伏能和总侵蚀的制图;剖分密度计算了特定区域内河道的浓度,旨在建立河道浓度较高或较低的区域,从而产生较大的河流侵蚀。剖分深度的目的是测量河流的垂直侵蚀能力或活动,因为它分析了河流侵蚀随着时间的推移更强烈(或更少)的区域,并提供了允许剖分增加的参数的间接关系,如岩性、地形倾斜、降水和基底薄弱面。起伏能决定了某一特定区域内相对高度的最大差值(以米为单位),代表了从起伏中产生的势能。总侵蚀量通过确定区域内水平曲线的密度(通过最小空间分析单位)来确定所记录地形的侵蚀程度较大或较小的区域。所有这些参数从构成研究区的三个形态区域(Poás火山杂岩、火山碎屑斜坡和山谷斜坡)中进行分析,然后将这些变量整合到斜坡敏感性图中。随后,将山坡过程敏感性图的结果与2009年同震地块运动的结果进行比较,发现98%的现象与多发区和最大多发区重合。此外,利用2009年重力过程的破裂面与实际地震事件验证了该模型,预测准确率为78%。可以肯定的是,尽管该模型没有使用任何地震参数,但该模型在预测同震边坡运动方面表现出很好的性能。因此,可以预期极端天气事件引起的斜坡运动对它们的核查也同样可以接受。根据已获得的结果,可以肯定的是,形态计量模型的最大优点是使用了容易从两个基本变量中获得的形态计量参数:水文网和高程等高线。正是由于这些原因,该方法可以在贫穷国家的领土上应用,因为它提供了这种基本资料。然而,该模型的局限性在于数据源的规模和构成研究区域网格的分析单元的大小。最后,这一模式可以在其他地区或国家复制,作为灾害风险管理和土地利用规划决策的基本投入。
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引用次数: 13
Accesibilidad espacial de los servicios de prevención y control del cáncer-cervicouterino en San Luis Potosí 圣路易斯宫颈癌预防和控制服务的空间可达性potosi
Q3 Social Sciences Pub Date : 2017-12-01 DOI: 10.14350/rig.56936
Mónica Terán-Hernández

Background

Accessibility to health care is a key objective, internationally speaking, to the satisfaction of population health needs. Equity and quality in access to health services (WHO, 2014). Borgonovi and Compagni (2013:34) argue that “medical care should be accessible and equitable for the entire population, based on sustainable attention economically, socially and politically speaking”. Recent studies that incorporate the spatial analysis show that the Cervical Cancer (CC) is a disease which evolution provides a very valuable period of time for its prevention, for that its well-timed care depends a lot on the accessibility to medical services and the spatial distribution of related socioeconomic factors (Mc Grail And Lorenzo-Luaces, 2009; Cheng et al., 2011; Terán-Hernández et al., 2016a). The CC is the fourth most common cancer in women and the seventh overall in the world, affecting 528,000 individuals each year worldwide, with an age-standardised incidence rate (ASR) of 14.0 per 100,000 women. CC is reflected in different geographic distributions. It is a significant public health problem, especially in low and middle-income/Gross Domestic Product (GDP) countries. In Mexico, CC affects 13,960 women 15 years old or older (ASR 23.3, incidence rate per 100,000) annually. The incidence of CC is higher in states with high marginalisation, where women have little or no access to early detection and treatment. For example, in San Luis Potosí (SLP) state, which ranks 8th in CC mortality risk in the country (Lazcano et al., 2008) and ASR of 52.80 per 100,000.

Objective

Design a method of spatial planning in the health sector that can be used on a daily basis in San Luis Potosí (SLP). To be exact, that it meets the needs, technical, and financial conditions of the government of the State and local governments. It is proposed that the method should be: simple (the technical capabilities of planners do not cover complicated mathematics); and feasible in financial terms (e.g. avoid working with databases that involve maintenance and upgrades to high cost).

Methods

It derives from the perspective of Geography of health, which between its lines of investigations, deals with the theme to estimate global and local accessibility of medical services. We used a method of spatial interaction as an indicator of the territorial dimension in the potential access to services at three scales of territorial disaggregation: by locality, municipality and by jurisdiction.

Results

The 73.29% of potential users to services that offer the medical units has a very unfavourable accessibility, mainly to the southeast of the state. The spatial distribution of the offer does not correspond to the spatial distribution of demand. The only medical attention unit certified as an oncological centre and where all dysplasia cases are referred to is the

背景从国际上讲,获得卫生保健是满足人口健康需求的一个关键目标。获得保健服务的公平和质量(世卫组织,2014年)。Borgonovi和Compagni(2013:34)认为,“基于经济、社会和政治上的可持续关注,医疗保健应该对所有人口都是可获得和公平的”。最近结合空间分析的研究表明,宫颈癌(CC)是一种疾病,进化为其预防提供了非常宝贵的时间,因为它的及时护理在很大程度上取决于医疗服务的可及性和相关社会经济因素的空间分布(Mc Grail和Lorenzo-Luaces, 2009;Cheng et al., 2011;Terán-Hernández等人,2016a)。CC是女性中第四大最常见的癌症,也是世界上第七大最常见的癌症,全球每年有52.8万人受到影响,年龄标准化发病率(ASR)为14.0 / 10万女性。CC体现在不同的地理分布上。这是一个重大的公共卫生问题,特别是在低收入和中等收入/国内生产总值(GDP)国家。在墨西哥,每年有13960名15岁或以上的妇女罹患CC (ASR 23.3,发病率每10万人)。在高度边缘化的州,CC的发病率更高,那里的妇女很少或根本无法获得早期检测和治疗。例如,在圣路易斯Potosí (SLP)州,其CC死亡率风险在全国排名第八(Lazcano等人,2008年),ASR为每10万人52.80。目的设计一种可在圣路易斯市日常使用的卫生部门空间规划方法Potosí (SLP)。确切地说,它满足了州政府和地方政府的需求、技术和财政条件。建议方法应是:简单(规划人员的技术能力不包括复杂的数学);并且在财务上可行(例如,避免使用涉及高成本维护和升级的数据库)。方法从卫生地理学的角度出发,在其调查路线之间,处理估计全球和当地医疗服务可及性的主题。我们使用了一种空间相互作用的方法,作为地域维度在三个地域分解尺度上的潜在服务获取指标:按地区、按直辖市和按管辖权。结果73.29%的医疗单位服务潜在用户可达性非常差,主要分布在州东南部。报价的空间分布与需求的空间分布不一致。唯一被认证为肿瘤中心并转诊所有异常增生病例的医疗单位是伊格纳西奥·莫罗内斯·普列托医生医院或Niño y la Mujer医院(在认证过程中),它们位于SLP市的市区,根据我们研究中计算的可及性指数排名第五和第六。对于居住在远离州首府的内社会主义贫困区的大多数妇女来说,在疾病发展到晚期之前,该医院不是早期发现和治疗的可行选择。因此,医疗单位无法满足其各自影响地区(例如东南地区)产生的需求。结论该方法的结果显示了这些服务可及性的空间差异。建议将空间可达性作为卫生领域领土层面的一项指标,以便区分处于不利地位的地区,以便在空间上重新组织服务,从而解决卫生部门规划者必须纠正的这种差距。此外,在比较不同区域聚集水平之间的访问不平等水平时,正如我们的数据所表明的那样,信息聚集可能隐藏非常不同的现实,这是非常明显的对比,因此你应该考虑服务规划的空间维度,而不仅仅是人员配置的监管方面。
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引用次数: 5
Tendencia en el siglo XXI del Índice de Diferencias Normalizadas de Vegetación (NDVI) en la parte sur de la península de Baja California 下加利福尼亚半岛南部归一化植被差异指数(NDVI)的21世纪趋势
Q3 Social Sciences Pub Date : 2017-12-01 DOI: 10.14350/rig.57214
Salinas-Zavala César Augusto , Raúl Octavio Martínez-Rincón , María Verónica Morales-Zárate

The use of remote sensing in scientific research has revolutionized our understanding by revealing the diversity and complexity of terrestrial systems, something difficult to appreciate in the past. One of the tools most extensively used in this field is the Normalized Difference Vegetation Index (NDVI), which is a system for the remote monitoring of vegetation in a synoptic temporal and spatial scale. In this particular case, we are interested in analyzing not only the average spatial or temporal behavior of the NDVI, but any trends it may display. It is a simple but nonetheless important method for the study of temporal series, since it allows to identify, in a general sense, a positive (increase) or negative (decrease) pattern of the elements in a particular environment during a given period.

This paper analyzes the average behavior and sustained trend of NDVI per pixel for the southern portion of the Baja California Peninsula, Mexico, during the period 2001-2015. MODIS images obtained from the public database Land Processes Distributed Active Archive Center (LPDAAC,https://lpdaac.usgs.gov/) of the National Aeronautics and Space Administration (NASA) were used. The information is in binary format with a 250-m spatial resolution (pixel unit), and a 16-day temporal resolution (MOD13Q1). NDVI data corresponding to the southern portion of the Baja California Peninsula are available in two tiles (h07v06 and H08v06); therefore, techniques for processing tiled images were applied to produce each average 16-day image and, subsequently, work on a monthly basis. MODIS products were cut and reprojected from the Universal Transverse Mercator (UTM) system to the WGS84 geographic coordinate system; MODIS data to obtain the average value and the trend of NDVI per pixel were processed using the programming software R through different libraries. A total of 1 377 985 pixels were analyzed, 67.04% of which showed average NDVI values between 0.1 and 0.3, consistent with arid zones. However, values > 0.5 were recorded in areas with a high vegetation cover in high altitudes, with peak values (> 0.8) within Sierra La Laguna Biosphere Reserve (RBSL), located to the south of the peninsula. The trend analysis revealed that in this same area within RBSL, the NDVI trend values are negative, indicating loss of vegetation vigor. Negative trend values matched closely the areas with the highest population density and tourism development around RBSL, indicating that the southern region of the peninsula is facing a strong pressure that is leading to alterations in the system. Its magnitude should have to be evaluated to determine if it causes structural changes only or if functional changes are also involved. Although the tourism sector has boosted economic growth in the southern portion of the Baja California peninsula, this activity has also involved the greatest alterations to the natural system, which is particularly

遥感技术在科学研究中的应用,通过揭示过去难以理解的陆地系统的多样性和复杂性,彻底改变了我们的认识。归一化植被指数(NDVI)是一种在天气时空尺度上对植被进行远程监测的工具之一。在这种特殊情况下,我们感兴趣的不仅是分析NDVI的平均空间或时间行为,还有它可能显示的任何趋势。这是研究时间序列的一种简单但重要的方法,因为它允许在一般意义上识别特定环境中特定时期元素的正(增加)或负(减少)模式。本文分析了2001-2015年墨西哥下加利福尼亚半岛南部每像元NDVI的平均变化和持续趋势。使用的MODIS图像来自美国国家航空航天局(NASA)的公共数据库陆地过程分布式主动档案中心(LPDAAC,https://lpdaac.usgs.gov/)。信息为二进制格式,空间分辨率为250 m(像素单位),时间分辨率为16天(MOD13Q1)。下加利福尼亚半岛南部对应的NDVI数据分为两个瓦(h07v06和H08v06);因此,处理平铺图像的技术被应用于生成平均16天的图像,然后按月工作。将MODIS产品从通用横墨卡托(UTM)系统切割并重新投影到WGS84地理坐标系;利用编程软件R通过不同的库对MODIS数据进行处理,得到每像素NDVI的平均值和趋势。共分析1 377 985个像元,平均NDVI值在0.1 ~ 0.3之间的占67.04%,与干旱区一致。然而,值>在高海拔植被覆盖度高的地区记录到0.5个,峰值为(>0.8)在塞拉拉古纳生物圈保护区(RBSL)内,位于半岛的南部。趋势分析表明,在同一区域内,NDVI趋势值为负值,表明植被活力丧失。负趋势值与RBSL周围人口密度和旅游开发最高的地区密切匹配,表明半岛南部地区正面临强大的压力,导致系统发生变化。必须对其大小进行评估,以确定它是否只引起结构变化,还是也涉及功能变化。虽然旅游部门促进了下加利福尼亚半岛南部的经济增长,但这一活动也涉及到对自然系统的最大改变,这在沿海子系统中尤为明显。这些旅游开发和城市化进程,除了破碎化之外,还造成了尚未在天气尺度上测量的干扰程度。这第一个近似为继续寻找变化的模式奠定了基础,这些模式可能是所分析系统状况的指标。反过来,这些指标可用于制定有用的决策指标,特别是在旅游发展倡议的规划方面。正如本文所讨论的那样,设计不良的项目的实施可能是生态系统的主要压力源,最终可能导致系统的结构和功能变化。
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引用次数: 5
Q3 Social Sciences Pub Date : 2017-08-01 DOI: 10.14350/rig.59524
Josefina Morales
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引用次数: 1
Q3 Social Sciences Pub Date : 2017-08-01 DOI: 10.14350/rig.59523
Mariana Favila Vázquez
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引用次数: 0
Q3 Social Sciences Pub Date : 2017-08-01 DOI: 10.14350/rig.59525
Virginie Thiébaut
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引用次数: 0
Percepciones de la gestión del turismo en dos reservas de biosfera ecuatorianas: Galápagos y Sumaco 厄瓜多尔两个生物圈保护区:加拉帕戈斯群岛和苏马科的旅游管理观念
Q3 Social Sciences Pub Date : 2017-08-01 DOI: 10.14350/rig.47805
Andrea Muñoz Barriga

The tourism is considered as one of the key strategies to promote environmental conservation and socio-economic development oflocal communities in protected areas. UNESCO biosphere reserves are protected areas of extraordinary natural and cultural value, conceived as places for reconciliation between conservation and development. The primary objective of this research was to evaluate the key elements of the current management of tourism and its contribution to biodiversity conservation and development in two Ecuadorian biosphere reserves: Galapagos Islands and Sumaco (Amazon Basin). Moreover, the sustainability of tourism was evaluated. Data collection for the case studies was performed by the combination of quantitative and qualitative methods. Surveys were applied to residents in both reserves in order to find out about their socio-demographic characteristics, their main economic activities for supporting themselves and their attitude towards tourism, their level of knowledge about biosphere reserves, and their perception about advantages or disadvantages of living in a biosphere reserve. For qualitative analysis, in-depth semi-structured interviews with the main stakeholders in both biosphere reserves were applied. Experts in the management of protected areas, as well as representatives of different sectors directly and indirectly associated with tourism were interviewed. Although tourism is a concept that could be developed in accordance with the environment in these natural areas, in the case of Galapagos it is one of the main threats for the conservation of biodiversity in the archipelago due to the increasing number of tourists, among others. In contrast, in Sumaco tourism could be an important sustainable alternative to mining and oil extraction, which are the current threats to the conservation of the area.

There are serious problems in both reserves, mainly linked to the contamination of water resources. Such pollution imposes risks to the health to both, residents and tourists. The invasion of exotic species in Galapagos is one of the most serious threats to the conservation, while deforestation in combination with illegal logging and mining activities is the greatest danger in Sumaco.

Migration processes undoubtedly shape the attitudes and values of the current population in both reserves. In Galapagos most residents are immigrants, whereas in Sumaco a significant portion is Kichwa people who belong to the area's native population. In general, the inhabitants in both areas have not yet developed a true environmental awareness. Their awareness is based on usage, in the sense of “use it today and do not worry about it tomorrow”.

In both reserves, tourist services offered by local communities have low quality standards and are targeted on a market segment consisting of tourists with a low budget. Thus, the community revenues obtained from tourism are generally only a small percentage of the total tourism market.

旅游业被认为是促进保护区环境保护和当地社区社会经济发展的关键战略之一。教科文组织生物圈保护区是具有非凡自然和文化价值的保护区,旨在实现保护与发展之间的和谐。本研究的主要目的是评估厄瓜多尔加拉帕戈斯群岛和苏马科(亚马逊盆地)两个生物圈保护区目前旅游业管理的关键要素及其对生物多样性保护和发展的贡献。此外,还对旅游业的可持续性进行了评价。案例研究的数据收集采用定量和定性相结合的方法。对两个保护区的居民进行了调查,以了解他们的社会人口特征、主要的经济活动和对旅游的态度、他们对生物圈保护区的知识水平以及他们对生活在生物圈保护区的利弊的看法。为了进行定性分析,对两个生物圈保护区的主要利益相关者进行了深入的半结构化访谈。对保护区管理方面的专家以及与旅游业直接或间接有关的不同部门的代表进行了采访。虽然旅游业是一个可以根据这些自然地区的环境发展的概念,但在加拉帕戈斯群岛,由于游客数量的增加,旅游业是群岛生物多样性保护的主要威胁之一。相比之下,在苏马科,旅游业可以成为采矿和石油开采的重要可持续替代品,这是目前对该地区保护的威胁。这两个保护区都存在严重问题,主要与水资源污染有关。这种污染给居民和游客的健康都带来了风险。外来物种的入侵是对加拉帕戈斯保护的最严重威胁之一,而森林砍伐与非法伐木和采矿活动相结合是苏马科最大的危险。移民过程无疑塑造了两个保护区现有人口的态度和价值观。在加拉帕戈斯群岛,大多数居民是移民,而在苏马科,很大一部分是属于该地区土著人口的克奇瓦人。总的来说,这两个地区的居民还没有形成真正的环保意识。他们的意识是建立在使用的基础上的,在“今天用,明天不用担心”的意义上。在这两个保护区,当地社区提供的旅游服务质量标准较低,目标市场是由预算较低的游客组成的。因此,社区从旅游中获得的收入通常只占整个旅游市场的一小部分。这种情况在加拉帕戈斯群岛更为明显,那里经营豪华游轮和酒店的大公司的大部分收入来自旅游业。其中许多公司的总部设在厄瓜多尔的主要城市和国外,这意味着他们在这些城市纳税,而不是在他们经营的地方。旅游业经济利益分配的不平等导致了居民的沮丧情绪。尽管如此,旅游业仍然是一个有利可图的行业,居民们尽量充分利用它,不管成本的影响。临时和非法旅游活动往往是正常状态的事情:未登记的房子为游客提供房间,出租汽车司机提供旅游没有持有许可证,旅游船主,导游,甚至大型旅游公司经营没有合法执照。这种情况导致服务质量下降,业务不受控制地增加,随之而来的价格倾销和目的地的整体下降。负责控制和管理旅游活动的机构在技术和后勤能力方面存在一些严重的限制;主要是缺乏工作人员和资金。加拉帕戈斯由于其特殊的地位,增加了资金经理和工作人员的数量来控制和管理,但在许多情况下,这些人并不完全胜任他们的职位。Sumaco只有很少的旅游专家可以帮助发展旅游业。旅游业中所有利益相关者之间的协调和规划仍然是一项正在进行的工作,以确保对旅游目的地的适当管理。无论如何,当地社区正在这两个生物圈保护区开展重要活动。充分的规划和协调是实现加拉帕戈斯群岛和苏马科岛旅游业可持续发展的必要条件。
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引用次数: 6
Aportes teórico-metodológicos para un Sistema de Alerta Temprana de conflictos socioambientales. Experiencias en torno al Proyecto Mirador, Ecuador 社会环境冲突预警系统的理论和方法贡献。厄瓜多尔米拉多项目的经验
Q3 Social Sciences Pub Date : 2017-08-01 DOI: 10.14350/rig.52264
Luis Sánchez Vázquez , María Beatriz Eguiguren Riofrío

The article describes the theoretical and methodological design of an innovative Socio-environmental Conflicts Monitoring Model with an Early Warning System (scmm+ews) in El Pangui, Ecuador. The design of this model is a response to the growing socio-environmental tensions and disputes in the canton, influenced by the advent of large-scale mining. This mega-project, named “el Mirador”, is carried out by the Chinese consortium Ecua Corrientes S.A. (ecsa). It launches a transformation process that inevitably affects the use and exploitation of natural resources (land and water) and generates serious social and environmental conflicts, which have led to a strong resistance movement in the area. However, residents in favor of mining still expect the project to bring progress and economic development to the canton, through new sources of employment and investment by the national government. This generates a high rate of division and social conflict in relation to large-scale mining, which has resulted in several episodes of violence in recent years.

Under these conditions of tension and violence, a special concern arises from academia and civil society organizations to contribute to non-violent management of these conflicts. From the Observatorio de Conflictos Socioambientales of the Technical University of Loja, and with support from the German Technical Cooperation (giz), we decided to launch an intervention combining academic vision with fieldwork, in close collaboration with institutional actors and civil society at the local level.

The scmm + ews has been designed within the theoretical framework of the Peace and Conflicts Studies. Model implementation is a participatory process for systematic collection of quantitative and qualitative data, its multiparcial analysis and targeted dissemination. Its methodological proposal relies on the analysis of statistical data and perceptions of the local population, by monitoring a series of key social and environmental variables. The monitoring is carried out using two main methods: statistical data collection reports and official reports; and research of perception and satisfaction of the local population on the variables through surveys. In order to get a more reliable diagnosis of the perception of the population, qualitative research is carried out in parallel through in-depth interviews with key actors. With the information obtained, the need for issuance of an Early Warning report to the competent authorities (at local, provincial and state-level) can be defined.

In the period analyzed, the results showed a high degree of dissatisfaction with the mining company, which generated several conflicts. These results were obtained matching information from both qualitative (interviews with local inhabitants) and quantitative sources (perception indicators), and finally contributed to the issuance of the tw

本文描述了厄瓜多尔El Pangui的一个具有早期预警系统(scmm+ews)的创新型社会环境冲突监测模型的理论和方法设计。该模型的设计是对大规模采矿的影响下,该州日益增长的社会环境紧张局势和争端的回应。这个名为“米拉多”的大型项目由中国财团Ecua Corrientes S.A. (ecsa)实施。它启动了一个转型进程,不可避免地影响到自然资源(土地和水)的使用和开发,并产生严重的社会和环境冲突,导致该地区的强烈抵抗运动。然而,支持采矿的居民仍然期望该项目通过新的就业来源和国家政府的投资,为该州带来进步和经济发展。这就造成了与大规模采矿有关的高度分裂和社会冲突,导致近年来发生了几起暴力事件。在这种紧张和暴力的情况下,学术界和民间社会组织特别关注如何以非暴力方式处理这些冲突。在洛哈技术大学社会环境冲突观察站的支持下,在德国技术合作组织(giz)的支持下,我们决定与地方一级的机构参与者和民间社会密切合作,开展一项将学术愿景与实地工作相结合的干预措施。scmm +新闻是在和平与冲突研究的理论框架内设计的。模型执行是一个参与性的过程,用于系统地收集定量和定性数据,进行多部门分析和有针对性的传播。它的方法建议依赖于通过监测一系列关键的社会和环境变量来分析统计数据和当地人口的看法。监测主要采用两种方法:统计数据收集报告和官方报告;并通过问卷调查,研究当地居民对变量的感知和满意度。为了获得对人口感知的更可靠的诊断,定性研究通过对关键行为者的深入访谈并行进行。根据获得的信息,可以确定是否需要向主管当局(地方、省和州一级)发布预警报告。在分析期间,结果显示出对矿业公司的高度不满,并产生了几次冲突。这些结果与定性(与当地居民的访谈)和定量来源(感知指标)的信息相匹配,最终促成了两份早期预警报告的发布。第一份预警报告于2015年3月27日发布,基于收集到的关于Mirador项目环境影响评估(eia)社会化事件的信息,该报告警告可能发生暴力反采矿抗议活动。第二份报告于2015年9月30日发布,当时在Tundayme教区,没有将土地卖给公司ecsa的家庭被驱逐。在这种情况下,报告的发布并没有有效地进行。考虑到所有这些因素,初步结果指出该模型作为监测社会环境冲突的适当方法工具是有效的。我们的研究结果强调了定性和定量来源相结合的方法的相关性,以确定潜在的暴力冲突。我们还必须指出,模型中存在某些局限性。为了在后期查明冲突,事实证明,通过面谈获得的资料比从指标提供的数据得出的分析更有效。关于提供早期预警的进程,我们也发现了一些困难,以便有效地进行这一进程。该模式也正在审查这个问题,以提出调整和改进方法。总之,我们强调,定量的感知指标与访谈的定性信息相结合,为识别潜在的暴力冲突升级提供了相关信息。我们认为,该模式有助于确保在地方一级就社会环境冲突作出更有效的决策,促进地方机构、学术界和民间社会之间的合作。
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引用次数: 1
Validación de modelos geoestadísticos y convencionales en la determinación de la variación espacial de la fertilidad de suelos del Pacífico Sur de Costa Rica 哥斯达黎加南太平洋土壤肥力空间变异的地理统计和常规模型验证
Q3 Social Sciences Pub Date : 2017-08-01 DOI: 10.14350/rig.54706
Gabriel Garbanzo-León , Bryan Alemán-Montes , Alfredo Alvarado-Hernández , Carlos Henríquez-Henríquez

The study validates geo-statistical and conventional models for a soil fertility data set of the South Pacific agricultural lands in the coastal plains of Costa Rica. A metha-analysis was conducted and a best adjustment semivariogram employed to allow using Kriging interpolation. Statistical analysis included frequency distribution, means estimates, correlations and principal components analysis (CP). Values of selected variables were interpolated by ordinary Kriging following four consecutive validation types: field validation, cross validation, errors calculated for each interpolation of validations, subtraction of errors from original data observations, generation of a new field validation, and subsequent cross validation. Interpolations results were analyzed using error absolute average (PAE), error mean square (PCE), prediction affectivity (E) and determination (r2). The data set included soil available information of the counties Corredores, Golfito and Osa previously planted to oil palm, rice, forest and few other crops (named “cultivos varios”). Soils are mainly of alluvial origin in lower positions but with a little more development in the distal part of the hillsides, to include mainly Inceptisols, Ultisols, Entisols and a few Andisols. Variables investigated include pH, exchangeable acidity, Ca, Mg, K, P, Zn, Cu, Fe and Mn. Results shows high variation coefficients mainly for exchangeable acidity and availability of Mg, K, P, Zn, Cu Fe y Mn. Frequency analysis demonstrated abnormal distributions for all elements and tendencies between 25 and 75 percentiles however but normal for pH values. Mean values of variables by crops showed higher numbers under rice plantations pH (6.0), Ca (26.8 cmol (+) L-1), Mg (10.6 cmol (+) L-1) and Mn (34.2 mg L-1). Values for oil palm plantations were significantly higher (α = 005) for exchangeable acidity (0.5 cmol (+) L-1), K (0.8 cmol (+) L-1), P (13.1 mg L-1), Zn (2.8 mg L-1) y Fe (99.8 mg L-1). Spearman correlation analysis found proportional relationships between Ca, Mg, and K and inverse proportional correlation between pH y exchangeable acidity and soil available K and P. Other crops (“cultivos varios”) showed highly variable intermediate values. CP analysis explained 60.8% of nutrients variability in the study area with a relation between forest and other crops among CP1 and CP2 dimensions, probably related to the behavior of K and P under oil palm pH in rice fields. A relationship was also found among dimensions CP2 and CP3 for Fe and Cu under oil palm and pH under other crops. It was determined that soil acidity, pH and availability of Mg and K were strongly related to the nutritional management practices of the different crops and that of Ca particularly to the soil genesis on calcareous materials. Nutrients interpolation validation determined that PAE, PCE, E

该研究验证了哥斯达黎加沿海平原南太平洋农业用地土壤肥力数据集的地质统计学和传统模型。进行了meta分析,并采用了最佳调整半变异函数来允许使用克里格插值。统计分析包括频率分布、均值估计、相关性和主成分分析(CP)。选取变量的值用普通克里格插值法进行四种连续的验证:字段验证、交叉验证、每次验证插值计算的误差、从原始数据观测值中减去误差、生成新的字段验证和随后的交叉验证。采用误差绝对平均(PAE)、误差均方(PCE)、预测影响(E)和确定(r2)对插值结果进行分析。该数据集包括Corredores, Golfito和Osa县以前种植油棕,水稻,森林和其他几种作物(称为“cultivos varios”)的土壤可用信息。下部土壤以冲积土为主,远侧发育较多,主要包括始壤壤、终壤壤、终壤壤和少量安壤壤。研究的变量包括pH、交换酸度、Ca、Mg、K、P、Zn、Cu、Fe和Mn。结果表明,交换酸度和Mg、K、P、Zn、Cu、Fe、Mn的有效性变化系数较大。频率分析表明,所有元素的异常分布和趋势在25到75个百分位数之间,但pH值正常。在pH(6.0)、Ca (26.8 cmol (+) L-1)、Mg (10.6 cmol (+) L-1)和Mn (34.2 Mg L-1)条件下,各作物变量的平均值较高。油棕人工林的交换酸度(0.5 cmol (+) L-1)、K (0.8 cmol (+) L-1)、P (13.1 mg L-1)、Zn (2.8 mg L-1)和Fe (99.8 mg L-1)值显著高于其他人工林(α = 005)。Spearman相关分析发现Ca、Mg和K之间呈正比关系,pH、交换性酸度与土壤速效钾和磷之间呈反比关系。其他作物(“cultivos varios”)的中间值变化很大。CP分析解释了研究区60.8%的养分变异,森林与其他作物在CP1和CP2维度上的关系,可能与稻田油棕pH下K和P的行为有关。油棕下铁和铜的CP2和CP3维度与其他作物的pH也存在一定的相关关系。结果表明,土壤酸度、pH值和镁钾有效性与不同作物的营养管理措施密切相关,而钙的营养管理措施与土壤钙质物质的成因密切相关。营养物质插值验证表明,在去除插值误差后,PAE、PCE、E和r2值改善了预测结果。对插值误差进行减除后的交叉验证结果表明,与现场验证和两种验证相比,插值调整效果最好,并且在不减去营养分布误差的情况下,对南太平洋哥斯达黎加海岸冲积平原的估算效果更好。结果表明,插值后的图所提供的信息很好地反映了评价变量的特殊变异性。这证实了所使用的工具在诊断土壤营养问题或一个地区的土壤肥力条件以及其他类似的空间参考土壤数据方面的相关工作中是有效的。
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引用次数: 4
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Investigaciones Geograficas
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