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Promoting involvement of early-career scientists from the Asia-Pacific region in regional integrated and sustainable development through active participation and networking 通过积极参与和建立网络,促进亚太地区早期职业科学家参与区域综合和可持续发展
Pub Date : 2023-01-25 DOI: 10.30852/sb.2023.2091
Shuyu Wang, I. Lake, G. Langendijk, Ying Yang
Climate change is affecting global ecosystems, natural resources, and human well-being. The near- and long-term future sustainable development of society requires robust climate change information at regional scales. To contribute to the purpose mentioned above, WCRP CORDEX (the World Climate Research Programme’s Coordinated Regional Climate Downscaling Experiment) initialised a collaboration with the APN (Asia-Pacific Network for Global Change Research), as the two programmes share common goals in advocating climate science as well as transferring climate knowledge for effective management. This APN project, entitled “Promoting Involvement of Early Career Scientists from the Asia-Pacific Region in Regional Integrated and Sustainable Development through Active Participation and Networking”, was a result of this collaboration. Specifically, the project was aimed at supporting early-career scientists from the Asia-Pacific region to attend an international science conference on regional climate science (ICRC-CORDEX 2019) and facilitate them in international partnership-building. It also contributed to enhancing communication and cooperation amongst regional climate research teams within and beyond the Asia-Pacific region. As one of the most important activities of the conference, the project supported an event for early-career scientists. The completion of the project consolidated global collaboration between the climate research community and that of adaptation-impact studies, as well as facilitated interaction with end-users. It was also a successful showcase of the scientific strategies of APN and CORDEX.
气候变化正在影响全球生态系统、自然资源和人类福祉。未来社会的近期和长期可持续发展需要可靠的区域尺度气候变化信息。为实现上述目标,世界气候研究计划(WCRP) CORDEX(世界气候研究计划的协调区域气候缩减实验)与亚太全球变化研究网络(APN)建立了合作关系,因为这两个计划在倡导气候科学和转移气候知识以进行有效管理方面有着共同的目标。这个名为“通过积极参与和网络促进亚太地区早期职业科学家参与区域综合和可持续发展”的APN项目就是这种合作的结果。具体而言,该项目旨在支持亚太地区的早期职业科学家参加区域气候科学国际科学会议(ICRC-CORDEX 2019),并促进他们建立国际伙伴关系。它还有助于加强亚太地区内外区域气候研究团队之间的交流与合作。作为会议最重要的活动之一,该项目支持了一个面向早期职业科学家的活动。该项目的完成巩固了气候研究界与适应影响研究界之间的全球合作,并促进了与最终用户的互动。这也是APN和CORDEX科学策略的成功展示。
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引用次数: 0
Climate science communication in Pakistan: A compulsive need 巴基斯坦的气候科学传播:迫切需要
Pub Date : 2022-12-28 DOI: 10.30852/sb.2022.2032
R. Kiani, A. Kiyani
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引用次数: 0
Historical drought and its trend in South Asia: Spatial and temporal analysis 2000-2020 南亚历史干旱及其趋势:2000-2020年的时空分析
Pub Date : 2022-12-26 DOI: 10.30852/sb.2022.2022
H. Kafle, Soni Khaitu, D. Gyawali, D. Shrestha, D. Koirala, M. Kamaruzzaman, Vimal Khawas, A. Rasheed, S. Sobue, Y. Yamaguchi
Every year, South Asian countries suffer from declining agricultural outputs due to climate extremes such as floods and droughts. Recurrent droughts have depressed rural economies and enhanced widespread hunger and human migration to South Asian cities (Miyan, 2015). Due to climatic changes, the region is projected to experience rising temperatures and more frequent extreme weather events in the long term (Trenberth et al., 2014). Accurate predictions of drought, its impact, and early detection facilities are not present in most South Asian countries due to a lack of sufficient hydro-meteorological datasets, poor access to satellite products, and shortages of well-trained staff. This study seeks to address these deficiencies scientifically by analysing historical drought conditions on a regional scale using open-access satellite products. The Drought Severity Index (DSI) has been employed to assess meteorological droughts from 2000 to 2020 and to prepare drought severity maps for the South Asian region. Results from DSI were further compared with the Standardised Precipitation Index (SPI) in Nepal and Bangladesh. The results identified pre-monsoon months as the driest period in South Asian countries experiencing severe to moderate drought.
每年,南亚国家都因洪水和干旱等极端气候而遭受农业产量下降。频繁的干旱抑制了农村经济,加剧了广泛的饥饿和向南亚城市的人口迁移(Miyan, 2015)。由于气候变化,预计该地区在长期内将经历气温上升和更频繁的极端天气事件(Trenberth et al., 2014)。由于缺乏足够的水文气象数据集、难以获得卫星产品以及缺乏训练有素的工作人员,大多数南亚国家不存在对干旱及其影响的准确预测和早期检测设施。这项研究试图通过使用开放获取卫星产品在区域范围内分析历史干旱条件来科学地解决这些缺陷。干旱严重程度指数(DSI)已被用于评估2000 - 2020年的气象干旱,并为南亚地区编制干旱严重程度图。DSI的结果进一步与尼泊尔和孟加拉国的标准化降水指数(SPI)进行了比较。结果表明,季风前的几个月是南亚国家经历严重到中度干旱的最干旱时期。
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引用次数: 0
Pathways to strengthening capabilities: A case for the adoption of climate-smart agriculture in Pakistan 加强能力的途径:巴基斯坦采用气候智能型农业的案例
Pub Date : 2022-12-20 DOI: 10.30852/sb.2022.2021
Muhammad Saqib Sultan, M. A. Khan, H. Khan, B. Ahmad
Pakistan has an agro-based economy with a high dependency on the sector, contributing 19.2% to the country’s GDP. The country's geographical position makes agriculture highly vulnerable to climate change as it frequently faces periods of extreme weather events - flooding, droughts, and heatwaves. Due to growing environmental issues and institutional incapacities, there is an observed trend of urbanisation and depleting natural resources. Changes in land use and water scarcity cause reduced productivity and compromised economic growth. The country needs to adopt Climate-Smart Agriculture (CSA) as an adaptation measure against climate change. CSA is an approach to adopting agricultural systems strategies to minimise climate impacts and preserve natural resources.This study explores the intervention that enhanced the capabilities of provincial agriculture service-delivery organisations in the adoption of CSA. It produced a country-specific CSA resource kit and delivered training for agriculture extension officers and frontline government officers in Balochistan and Khyber Pakhtunkhwa provinces. The Pakistan Agriculture Research Council (PARC) and the Asia-Pacific Network for Global Change Research (APN) jointly delivered the project in line with the broader mission of research support, building government capacities and suggesting science-based response strategies as adaptation measures. The project experience highly recommends the adoption of CSA in Pakistan.
巴基斯坦是以农业为基础的经济,对该部门的依赖程度很高,占该国GDP的19.2%。该国的地理位置使农业极易受到气候变化的影响,因为它经常面临极端天气事件——洪水、干旱和热浪。由于日益严重的环境问题和体制能力不足,城市化和自然资源枯竭趋势明显。土地利用的变化和水资源短缺导致生产力下降和经济增长受到损害。该国需要采用气候智能型农业(CSA)作为应对气候变化的适应措施。CSA是一种采用农业系统战略以尽量减少气候影响和保护自然资源的方法。本研究探讨了提高省级农业服务组织采用CSA能力的干预措施。它制作了一套针对具体国家的CSA资源包,并为俾路支省和开伯尔-普赫图赫瓦省的农业推广官员和一线政府官员提供了培训。巴基斯坦农业研究理事会(PARC)和亚太全球变化研究网络(APN)根据研究支持、建设政府能力和建议基于科学的应对战略作为适应措施的更广泛使命,联合交付了该项目。项目经验强烈建议在巴基斯坦采用CSA。
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引用次数: 1
Assessment of the feasibility of applying payment for forest ecosystem services in Vietnamese mangrove forests 越南红树林森林生态系统服务付费可行性评估
Pub Date : 2022-12-19 DOI: 10.30852/sb.2022.2016
T. H. Nguyen, B. Dell, R. Harper
Mangroves can play a major role in efforts to mitigate climate change through two pathways. These are (1) carbon sequestration following reforestation of areas where mangroves previously existed, and (2) protection of existing carbon stores in intact mangrove forests. There is considerable international interest in carbon mitigation by governments and businesses as a way of meeting emissions reduction targets, and this could result in significant investment in mangrove restoration and protection. This is likely to have positive benefits in terms of coastal protection, biodiversity protection and new economic activity. This project examined three aspects of mangroves related to the emerging carbon economy. There has been considerable (0.2 million hectares) mangrove restoration in Vietnam and this activity provides insights into the causes of project success or failure. A review of this restoration concluded that the failure of several past restoration projects in Vietnam could be attributed to poor species and site selection and lack of incentives to engage residents in long-term management. The economic, environmental and social aspects of mangrove-shrimp farming or aquaculture (MAS) systems in Ca Mau Province, Vietnam, were examined, and it was concluded that this approach allows the achievement of these multiple objectives. Whereas, most of the discussion around mangroves and their role in carbon management is at the international and national levels, implementation occurs at the local level. It was found that whereas local stakeholders had a reasonable understanding of climate change, they were less clear about carbon markets and the role that mangroves can play. This points to the need for new educational programmes. The study concluded that monitoring and verification systems for both carbon and biodiversity are essential to allow the resultant multiple benefits of carbon mitigation projects to be realised.
红树林可以通过两种途径在减缓气候变化的努力中发挥重要作用。它们是:(1)在以前存在红树林的地区重新造林后的碳封存,以及(2)保护完整红树林中现有的碳储存。作为实现减排目标的一种方式,各国政府和企业对减少碳排放有着相当大的国际兴趣,这可能导致对红树林恢复和保护的大量投资。这可能会对海岸保护、生物多样性保护和新的经济活动产生积极的影响。该项目研究了与新兴碳经济相关的红树林的三个方面。越南已经有相当大的红树林恢复(20万公顷),这一活动为项目成功或失败的原因提供了见解。对这一恢复的回顾得出结论,越南过去几个恢复项目的失败可归因于物种和地点选择不良以及缺乏鼓励居民参与长期管理的激励措施。对越南金茅省红树林虾养殖或水产养殖系统的经济、环境和社会方面进行了审查,得出的结论是,这种方法可以实现这些多重目标。然而,大多数关于红树林及其在碳管理中的作用的讨论都是在国际和国家层面进行的,而实施则发生在地方层面。研究发现,尽管当地利益相关者对气候变化有合理的了解,但他们对碳市场和红树林可以发挥的作用不太清楚。这表明有必要制定新的教育计划。该研究的结论是,碳和生物多样性的监测和验证系统对于实现碳减缓项目的多重效益至关重要。
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引用次数: 0
Enhancing capacity of scientists and practitioners for promoting more sustainable and resilient food systems in Indonesia and the South Pacific 提高科学家和从业人员的能力,促进印度尼西亚和南太平洋地区更具可持续性和抵御力的粮食系统
Pub Date : 2022-12-12 DOI: 10.30852/sb.2022.2004
W. Bellotti, John J. A. Ingram
Three Resilient Food Systems training workshops were delivered in Bogor, Indonesia, Suva, Fiji, and Port Vila, Vanuatu. The workshops provided young and early-career professionals with the latest international thinking on food systems and resilience. The workshop teaching material was based on the IFSTAL (Interdisciplinary Food System Teaching and Learning; www.ifstal.ac.uk) programme initially developed in the United Kingdom. The intensive six-day workshop programme integrates learning across three connected themes: food systems and resilience concepts, soft system methodology, and personal skills and development. Each workshop is locally contextualised with field trips, local inspirational guest speakers, and local real-world food system case studies. Throughout the duration of the workshop, participants apply new concepts and methodologies to their case studies, thereby enhancing their understanding and learning. Participant evaluation of the workshops was overwhelmingly positive, and pleasingly, participants reported positive learning outcomes across all three learning themes. These workshops represent just the initial step in a necessarily long and sustained effort to establish a community of food system professionals across Indonesia and Pacific Island states.
在印度尼西亚茂物、斐济苏瓦和瓦努阿图维拉港举办了三个抗灾粮食系统培训讲习班。这些研讨会为年轻和刚入职的专业人士提供了有关粮食系统和恢复力的最新国际思想。讲习班的教材是根据IFSTAL(跨学科食品系统教学;www.ifstal.ac.uk)计划最初在英国发展。为期六天的密集研讨会计划整合了三个相互关联的主题的学习:粮食系统和弹性概念、软系统方法以及个人技能和发展。每个工作坊都有当地的实地考察,当地鼓舞人心的演讲嘉宾,以及当地现实世界的食物系统案例研究。在整个研讨会期间,参与者将新的概念和方法应用于他们的案例研究,从而增强他们的理解和学习。参与者对研讨会的评价非常积极,令人高兴的是,参与者在所有三个学习主题中都报告了积极的学习成果。这些研讨会仅仅是在印度尼西亚和太平洋岛屿国家建立食品系统专业人员社区的必要长期和持续努力的第一步。
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引用次数: 1
Facilitating knowledge sharing and co-creation between communities of climate research and its users 促进气候研究团体及其用户之间的知识共享和共同创造
Pub Date : 2022-11-11 DOI: 10.30852/sb.2022.1994
Xuebin Zhang, Zhihong Jiang
Climate impacts and risks involve climatic impact drivers, the exposure and vulnerability of natural and socioeconomic systems, and a strong interdependency exists between climate, nature and human society. Effective climate change adaptation requires effective knowledge sharing and co-creation between communities of climate research and its users. This pilot project of the World Climate Research Programme, supported by the Asia-Pacific Network for Global Change Research and other funders, brought together experts and future leaders from the two communities to familiarise themselves with the aspects of the other discipline. The project demonstrated that knowledge-sharing and co-creation benefit everyone involved and good progress in bridging the gap between the two communities can be made. We also learned that going beyond one’s own training is challenging and fixing the gap requires both communities’ long-term and sustained commitment.
气候影响和风险涉及气候影响驱动因素、自然和社会经济系统的暴露度和脆弱性,气候、自然和人类社会之间存在很强的相互依赖性。有效的气候变化适应需要气候研究界及其用户之间有效的知识共享和共同创造。这个由亚太全球变化研究网络和其他资助者支持的世界气候研究计划试点项目,汇集了两界的专家和未来领导人,使他们熟悉另一学科的各个方面。该项目表明,知识共享和共同创造使所有参与的人受益,并且可以在弥合两个社区之间的差距方面取得良好进展。我们还了解到,超越自己的训练是具有挑战性的,解决这一差距需要两个社区的长期和持续的承诺。
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引用次数: 0
Supporting regional and international cooperation in research on extremes in climate prediction and projection ensembles: Workshop summary 支持区域和国际合作研究极端气候预测和预估组合:研讨会摘要
Pub Date : 2022-10-27 DOI: 10.30852/sb.2022.1977
June‐Yi Lee, W. Merryfield, Sang-Myeoung Moon, Suhee Han
Weather and climate extremes have enormous impacts on society, and are becoming more severe and frequent as the world warms. Most developing countries in the Asia-Pacific region are highly vulnerable to risks associated with heatwaves and cold spells, droughts and floods, tropical cyclones, wildfires, and other extremes. To support regional and international cooperation for research on weather and climate extremes in the Asia-Pacific region, the World Climate Research Programme (WCRP) hosted an online workshop on Extremes in Climate Prediction Ensembles (ExCPEns) from 25 to 28 October 2021 with the support of Asia-Pacific Network for Global Change Research (APN). The workshop aimed to advance the rapidly emerging science of exploiting subseasonal, seasonal, annual to decadal and long-term prediction ensembles to improve the prediction and understanding of weather and climate extreme events. An Early Career Scientist (ECS) event followed the ExCPEns workshop and consisted of a discussion and networking forum for ECS from APN member developing countries, along with a series of ECS training lectures and discussion sessions. Through the workshop and discussions among stakeholders, important scientific results on prediction and future changes in weather and climate extremes were communicated. Moreover, new research topics spanning these different time scales were identified and prioritized.
极端天气和气候对社会有着巨大的影响,随着全球变暖,极端天气和气候正变得越来越严重和频繁。亚太地区大多数发展中国家极易受到热浪和寒流、干旱和洪水、热带气旋、野火和其他极端天气相关风险的影响。为了支持亚太地区天气和气候极端事件研究的区域和国际合作,世界气候研究计划(WCRP)在亚太全球变化研究网络(APN)的支持下,于2021年10月25日至28日主办了气候预测集合中的极端事件(excens)在线研讨会。研讨会的目的是促进快速发展的利用亚季节、季节、年度到十年和长期预测组合的科学,以提高对天气和气候极端事件的预测和理解。在excens研讨会之后,举办了一个早期职业科学家(ECS)活动,包括APN成员发展中国家的早期职业科学家的讨论和网络论坛,以及一系列的早期职业科学家培训讲座和讨论会。通过研讨会和利益相关者之间的讨论,交流了关于天气和极端气候预测和未来变化的重要科学成果。此外,还确定了跨越这些不同时间尺度的新研究课题,并对其进行了优先排序。
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引用次数: 0
A multicriteria approach to assessing the sustainability of community-based ecotourism in Central Vietnam 评估越南中部社区生态旅游可持续性的多标准方法
Pub Date : 2022-10-03 DOI: 10.30852/sb.2022.1938
T. Nguyen, H. Hoang, Tan Quang Nguyen, Ubukata Fumikazu, Thao Thi Phuong Vo, C. V. Nguyen
Nature exploration, or ecotourism, has been an essential part of tourism, and today takes on a much broader meaning beyond tourism that includes conserving nature and culture and improving people’s lives, especially in the indigenous community. Community-based ecotourism (CBET) has specific benefits closely related to the sustainability of natural ecosystems and community development. CBET can be defined as nature-based tourism, helping shape the types of tourism services, planning and developing destinations provided by communities directly. CBET is supposed to be a sustainable alternative to mass tourism by its potential benefits in Vietnam. The study aims to evaluate the sustainability of four CBET destinations in Central Vietnam through a sustainable ecotourism index (SEI) formed by applying the Analytic Hierarchy Process (AHP) method. Based on the literature review, local people, and experts’ recommendations, a set of fourteen criteria categorized into five groups reflecting the critical attributes of the sustainable CBET that include environmental conservation, economic benefits, community participation, cultural preservation, and empowerment are analyzed. The raw data is obtained from in-depth interviews with 21 experts and 42 households. After normalizing, the results indicate that out of four CBET destinations, one is identified as high sustainability (SEI>4.2), two are neutral (3.4
自然探索或生态旅游一直是旅游业的重要组成部分,今天其含义比旅游广泛得多,包括保护自然和文化以及改善人们的生活,特别是土著社区的生活。基于社区的生态旅游具有与自然生态系统的可持续性和社区发展密切相关的特定效益。CBET可以定义为以自然为基础的旅游,帮助塑造旅游服务类型,规划和发展社区直接提供的目的地。由于CBET在越南的潜在效益,它被认为是大众旅游的可持续替代品。本研究旨在运用层次分析法(AHP)建立可持续生态旅游指数(SEI),评估越南中部四个CBET目的地的可持续性。在文献综述、当地居民和专家建议的基础上,分析了14个标准,分为5类,反映了可持续的CBET的关键属性,包括环境保护、经济效益、社区参与、文化保护和赋权。原始数据来源于对21位专家和42户家庭的深度访谈。归一化后的结果表明,在4个CBET目的地中,1个被确定为高可持续性(SEI>4.2), 2个被确定为中性(3.4
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引用次数: 1
Climate change scenarios over Southeast Asia 东南亚的气候变化情景
Pub Date : 2022-09-20 DOI: 10.30852/sb.2022.1927
J. Sentian, C. Payus, F. Herman, V. Kong
Southeast Asia is one of the world’s regions most vulnerable to climate change impacts with low-lying land, more severe floods and droughts, larger populations, higher dependency on agriculture for the economic sector, and low resilience of communities. Therefore, a study on how future climate change will affect this region has been conducted, and the results are provided in this paper. Projected surface temperatures and total precipitation from the baseline period of 2013 up to 2100 for Southeast Asia were investigated using the Global Climate Model (GCM) and the Weather Research Forecast (WRF) v3.9.1.1 modelling systems under RCP4.5 and RCP8.5 future climate scenarios. The results showed that future temperatures were projected to increase under both climate scenarios RCP4.5 and RCP8.5; however, precipitation was projected to decrease. The temperature was projected to increase by 0.93C and 2.50C under RCP4.5 and 8.5. Meanwhile, precipitation greatly varied under the RCP4.5 and RCP8.5 climate scenarios in both monsoonal seasons. We conclude that the change in climate variables, particularly the temperature and precipitation, could potentially increase the vulnerability of this region.
东南亚是世界上最容易受到气候变化影响的地区之一,地势低洼,洪水和干旱更为严重,人口众多,经济部门对农业的依赖程度较高,社区的复原力较低。因此,对未来气候变化将如何影响该地区进行了研究,并在本文中提供了结果。利用全球气候模式(GCM)和天气研究预报(WRF) v3.9.1.1模式系统在RCP4.5和RCP8.5未来气候情景下对2013 - 2100年基线期东南亚地区的地表温度和总降水进行了预估。结果表明:在RCP4.5和RCP8.5气候情景下,未来气温预估均呈上升趋势;然而,预计降水将减少。在RCP4.5和8.5条件下,温度升高幅度分别为0.93和2.50。同时,在RCP4.5和RCP8.5气候情景下,两个季节的降水量变化较大。我们得出的结论是,气候变量的变化,特别是温度和降水的变化,可能会增加该地区的脆弱性。
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引用次数: 0
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APN Science Bulletin
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