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”RUSSIAN DISEASE” AS A STAGE OF THE EVOLUTION OF THE GRONINGEN EFFECT “俄罗斯病”是格罗宁根效应演变的一个阶段
Pub Date : 2022-09-29 DOI: 10.33983/0130-9757-2022-5-41-63
S. Kapkanshchikov
The article describes the “symptoms” and the methods of unfolding of the “Dutch disease”. Transitioning of Russia’s “Dutch disease” to a more acute form is viewed as a cyclical process predetermined by both an excessive strengthening of Rouble and by wide gaps in profitability between natural resource complex and other industries. The article also explains the meaning of the so-called “Russian disease” as well as the drivers of its spreading through Russia’s economy. The author argues that an acceleration of Russia’s GDP growth is not possible under the narrow framework of the natural resource extraction economic model which justifies in author’s view a need for transition from the resource economy to an economy based on science and technology development.
文章描述了“荷兰病”的“症状”和展开的方法。俄罗斯的"荷兰病"向更严重形式的转变被视为一个周期性过程,卢布的过度升值以及自然资源综合体与其他行业之间的巨大盈利差距预先决定了这一过程。这篇文章还解释了所谓的“俄罗斯病”的含义,以及它在俄罗斯经济中蔓延的驱动因素。作者认为,在自然资源开采经济模式的狭隘框架下,俄罗斯GDP增长的加速是不可能的,因此作者认为,俄罗斯需要从资源经济向科技发展经济转型。
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引用次数: 0
THE MIXED ECONOMY OF THE USSR: LESSONS FOR RUSSIA 苏联的混合经济:给俄罗斯的教训
Pub Date : 2022-09-29 DOI: 10.33983/130-9757-2022-5-101-115
A. Kolganov
The need for technological modernization of the Russian economy within the framework of the existing economic model is not realized. This makes us turn to the study of alternative models, among which the domestic experience of a regulated mixed economy during the period of the new economic policy deserves attention. It was the world’s first mixed economy model that included a set of regulatory methods based on strategic planning. In addition to the strategic plan itself, this model included direct budget investment, budget subsidies, government orders, regulation of monopoly prices, methods of credit expansion and restriction. Based on this model, such elements of economic modernization were implemented as expanded training of qualified workers and specialists, the development of independent research and development activities in key areas of technological progress, the creation of new industries and enterprises in high-tech sectors of the economy, the organization of import substitution. The implementation of these measures also included the extensive use of foreign technical assistance and the involvement of workers and specialists from abroad. It seems that this experience can be adapted to the realities of the modern Russian economy in order to ensure real progress in the direction of its technological modernization.
在现有经济模式的框架内实现俄罗斯经济技术现代化的需要没有实现。这使得我们转向对替代模式的研究,其中新经济政策时期国内有管制的混合经济的经验值得关注。这是世界上第一个包含一套基于战略规划的监管方法的混合经济模式。除了战略规划本身外,该模式还包括直接预算投资、预算补贴、政府命令、垄断价格调控、信贷扩张和限制等方法。在这一模式的基础上,实施了经济现代化的要素,如扩大对合格工人和专家的培训,在技术进步的关键领域开展独立的研究和发展活动,在经济的高技术部门建立新的工业和企业,组织进口替代。这些措施的执行还包括广泛利用外国技术援助和外国工人和专家的参与。这一经验似乎可以适应现代俄罗斯经济的现实,以确保在其技术现代化的方向上取得真正的进展。
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引用次数: 0
RUSSIAN EDUCATION IN THE FIELD OF ECONOMIC THEORY: AN UPDATE IS NEEDED 俄罗斯在经济理论领域的教育需要更新
Pub Date : 2022-09-29 DOI: 10.33983/0130-9757-2022-5-4-21
A. Buzgalin, S. Glazyev
The article argues the conclusion about the need to reform the education system in the field of economic theory. The reason for this is both the general problems known for many decades of reducing this field of teaching to courses in micro- and macroeconomics with some additions, and new circumstances — profound changes in economic life in the world in general and in Russia in particular. The authors show that the beginning of qualitative changes in technology, the aggravation of global problems and geopolitical confrontations necessitated transformations in the space of economic relations and institutions. The still dominant model of late capitalism is in crisis, which is recognized not only by critics, but also by adherents of this system (in particular, the leaders of the Davos Forum). In the Russian Federation, the changes in economic life are even more profound. In these conditions, fundamental economic education is necessary, which adequately reflects the changes taking place, preparing entrepreneurs, civil servants, households to make decisions in new conditions. Based on neoclassical postulates, micro- and macroeconomic theory, even if supplemented by developments in behavioral economics and new institutionalism, cannot fully reflect new phenomena. Meanwhile, at present, the teaching of economic theory is reduced to these courses, although there are important exceptions (courses, textbooks in China, Russia, the USA, Europe) that show the fruitfulness of a different model of teaching economic theory, which includes not only neoclassics. The article concludes with a system of concrete proposals for the restructuring of the education system in the field of economic theory in Russia.
本文从经济理论的角度论证了教育体制改革的必要性。这样做的原因是几十年来将这一教学领域简化为微观和宏观经济学课程所带来的普遍问题,以及新的情况-世界经济生活的深刻变化,特别是在俄罗斯。作者指出,技术质变的开始、全球问题和地缘政治对抗的加剧,使经济关系和制度空间的变革成为必要。晚期资本主义仍然占主导地位的模式正处于危机之中,这一点不仅被批评者所认识,而且也被这一体系的追随者(尤其是达沃斯论坛的领导人)所认识。在俄罗斯联邦,经济生活的变化更为深刻。在这种情况下,基础经济教育是必要的,它能充分反映正在发生的变化,使企业家、公务员和家庭作好在新情况下作出决定的准备。以新古典主义假设为基础的微观和宏观经济理论,即使辅以行为经济学和新制度主义的发展,也不能充分反映新现象。与此同时,目前,经济理论的教学被简化为这些课程,尽管有重要的例外(中国、俄罗斯、美国、欧洲的课程和教科书)显示出一种不同的经济理论教学模式的成果,其中不仅包括新古典主义。文章最后提出了俄罗斯经济理论教育体制改革的具体建议。
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引用次数: 2
ISLAMIC DEPOSIT INSURANCE SYSTEM: THE EVIDENCE OF MALAYSIA 伊斯兰存款保险制度:以马来西亚为例
Pub Date : 2022-09-29 DOI: 10.33983/0130-9757-2022-5-116-128
A. Nagimova
The article discusses a model for protecting Shariah-comliant investors by creating an Islamic deposit insurance system that built into the traditional financial system. In particular, the article is aimed to identify the architecture and principles of such a system in Malaysia. A qualitative approach that based on primary and secondary data obtained using the methods of in-depth expert interviews, content analysis, case studies and literature review has been applied. The results of this study will be useful to participants and organizers of the Islamic finance market, as they allow to identify important details that help launch the Islamic deposit insurance system in the post-Soviet area. This study can also be used in the educational process as a reference material on Islamic financial practices that have developed in the world.
本文讨论了一种保护符合伊斯兰教法的投资者的模式,即在传统金融体系中建立一个伊斯兰存款保险制度。特别是,本文旨在确定这样一个系统在马来西亚的架构和原则。本研究采用了定性研究方法,通过深入的专家访谈、内容分析、案例研究和文献综述等方法获得了第一手和第二手数据。本研究的结果将对伊斯兰金融市场的参与者和组织者有用,因为它们可以确定有助于在后苏联地区启动伊斯兰存款保险制度的重要细节。本研究也可作为世界各国伊斯兰金融实践的参考资料,运用于教育过程中。
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引用次数: 0
SMART CITIES IN EURASIAN ECONOMIC UNION: OUTLOOK FOR RUSSIAN REGIONAL TECHNOLOGICAL LEADERSHIP 欧亚经济联盟中的智慧城市:俄罗斯区域技术领导地位的展望
Pub Date : 2022-09-29 DOI: 10.33983/0130-9757-2022-5-64-82
S. Kamolov, S. S. Glazyeva, Samal K. Tazhiyeva
Smart Cities have been in the focus of scientific community, states, and city authorities for over decade now. Unprecedented urbanization rates are forcing governments to think about how to provide comfortable and safe living in high population density regions. Our research shows that this subject is making its way to priority matter of regional integration associations around the globe. For instance, the European Union (EU) and the Association of Southeast Asian Nations (ASEAN) are already implementing joint projects and initiatives in the field of smart cities. It is expected that due to the development of the digital agenda of the Eurasian Economic Union smart cities will be discussed within the EAEU. Regarding these trends, the authors raise a research question whether Russia, taking advantage of such strategic advantages as geographical remoteness from global innovation hubs, cultural and historical multidimensional ties, and relying on rich experience in the development of smart city technologies, can effectively compete with foreign technology suppliers and achieve technological leadership in the Eurasian region. We apply a comprehensive methodology based on the methods of Gartner, NASA and PM Solutions to derive the empirical data and evidence-based conclusions on market structure, industry and geographical breakdowns and evaluate Russia’s technological prospects in the region for the following decade.
十多年来,智能城市一直是科学界、各州和市政当局关注的焦点。前所未有的城市化速度迫使政府考虑如何在人口密度高的地区提供舒适和安全的生活。我们的研究表明,这一主题正在成为全球区域一体化协会的优先事项。例如,欧盟(EU)和东南亚国家联盟(ASEAN)已经在智慧城市领域实施联合项目和倡议。由于欧亚经济联盟数字议程的发展,预计将在欧亚经济联盟内部讨论智慧城市问题。针对这些趋势,作者提出了一个研究问题,即俄罗斯是否能够利用地理上远离全球创新中心、文化和历史多维联系等战略优势,并依靠丰富的智慧城市技术开发经验,有效地与外国技术供应商竞争,并在欧亚地区实现技术领先地位。我们采用基于Gartner, NASA和PM Solutions方法的综合方法,得出市场结构,行业和地理细分的实证数据和基于证据的结论,并评估俄罗斯在该地区未来十年的技术前景。
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引用次数: 0
EDUCATION: THE ROLE IN THE FORMATION OF HUMAN POTENTIAL, TECHNOLOGICAL AND SOCIO-ECONOMIC MODERNIZATION OF RUSSIA 教育:在人的潜能的形成,俄罗斯的技术和社会经济现代化中的作用
Pub Date : 2022-08-15 DOI: 10.33983/0130-9757-2022-4-30-47
N. Yakovleva
The article raises one of the most pressing problems caused by both the general crisis of the existing market economy model and the exacerbation of geopolitical contradictions in 2022 — the problem of identifying key factors that ensure technological and socio-economic modernization. One of the least studied aspects of this problem is highlighted — the role of education in the formation of human potential, which in the conditions of transition to the 5th and 6th technological modes becomes the most important source of technological and socio-economic progress. The reason for this is that the main content of these transformations is creative work in its content, while the formation of a person’s creative potential is provided primarily by the education system, understood as the unity of the processes of learning, education and enlightenment. The modern education system, however, is characterized by contradictions associated with the deployment of the processes of commercialization, financialization and bureaucratization of education, which reduces the effectiveness of this area in the formation of human potential and, consequently, the implementation of technological and socio-economic modernization. In conclusion, the main directions of resolving these contradictions are highlighted.
文章提出了现有市场经济模式的普遍危机和2022年地缘政治矛盾的加剧所造成的最紧迫的问题之一——确定确保技术和社会经济现代化的关键因素的问题。这一问题中研究最少的方面之一得到了强调- -教育在形成人类潜能方面的作用,在向第五和第六技术模式过渡的条件下,这成为技术和社会经济进步的最重要来源。其原因是,这些转变的主要内容是创造性的工作,而一个人的创造潜力的形成主要是由教育系统提供的,被理解为学习、教育和启蒙过程的统一。然而,现代教育制度的特点是与教育的商业化、金融化和官僚化进程的部署有关的矛盾,这降低了这一领域在形成人的潜力方面的效力,从而降低了技术和社会经济现代化的实施。最后,指出了解决这些矛盾的主要方向。
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引用次数: 0
MOBILIZATION ECONOMY AS A TECHNOLOGY OF PUBLIC ADMINISTRATION IN THE CONDITIONS OF TOTAL SANCTIONS 动员经济作为一种公共行政技术在全面制裁的条件下
Pub Date : 2022-08-15 DOI: 10.33983/0130-9757-2022-4-4-29
Yu.B. Vinslav
The institutional and managerial features of the world practice of economic sanctions are characterized. The classification of economic sanctions is proposed, as well as the directions of strategic analysis in this area. The features of the application of foreign sanctions to the Russian economy are considered. The content of anti-crisis measures planned to stabilize the Russian economy under sanctions is outlined. The expediency of using the mobilization economic model as a technology of public administration in special conditions is substantiated. The author’s systematization of the state’s actions on the introduction of the mobilization regime is given. The directions of economic transformation in the context of overcoming the crisis are characterized. The features of the management of the industrial sphere at various stages of the use of the mobilization regime are considered. The directions of transformation of corporate business models under the conditions of sanctions are formulated.
世界经济制裁实践的体制和管理特点是有特点的。提出了经济制裁的分类,以及这一领域的战略分析方向。本文审议了外国制裁对俄罗斯经济适用的特点。概述了在制裁下稳定俄罗斯经济的反危机措施的内容。运用动员经济模式作为一种特殊条件下的公共管理技术的方便性得到了证实。作者对国家在引入动员制度时的行动进行了系统化的分析。在克服危机的背景下,经济转型的方向是有特点的。在使用动员制度的各个阶段,审议了工业领域管理的特点。提出了制裁条件下企业商业模式转型的方向。
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引用次数: 2
ON THE METHODOLOGY OF THE COMPLEMENTARY CURRENCIES PROJECT ANALYSIS 论互补货币项目分析的方法论
Pub Date : 2022-08-15 DOI: 10.33983/0130-9757-2022-4-114-128
H. Valiullin, Liubov’ A. Shiryaeva
The paper is devoted to some methodological aspects of interdisciplinary analysis of Projects for Complementary Currencies (CC-Projects) have been sometime realized both in domestic and foreign economic practice. The analysis is focused mostly on the revealing both of the CC-projects’ basic characteristics and conditions necessary for the effective CCs emission and their circulation. An emphasis is also paid to sampling of possible methodological approaches to an elaboration of successful projects and relevant payment systems. Among the main missions carried out by the projects (especially based on the local currencies, LCs) the authors have highlighted the revival of the local economies, mitigation or even complete absorption of external shocks (due to the countercyclical nature of the action of complementary currency acting as a buffer, countercyclical buffer) and, in addition, the supporting of social trust. It might be suggested that in some sense CCs are focused on turning the target territories for them into reliable islands of socio-economic stability. The paper contains its authors’ effort to reveal why some observed projects with a multifunctional load relevant to them do not always manage to serve as an effective tool for strengthening market relations on the ground. This is one of the important components of the undertaken empirical analysis of different CCs which one time were implemented in various areas of many countries of the world.
本文对国内外经济实践中已实现的互补货币项目(CC-Projects)的跨学科分析方法进行了探讨。分析的重点是揭示CCs项目的基本特征和有效排放的必要条件及其循环。还强调对拟订成功项目和有关支付制度的可能方法进行抽样。在项目执行的主要任务中(特别是以当地货币为基础),提交人强调了重振当地经济、减轻甚至完全吸收外部冲击(由于互补货币作为缓冲、反周期缓冲的作用具有反周期性质),此外,还支持社会信任。也许有人认为,在某种意义上,CCs的重点是把它们的目标领土变成社会经济稳定的可靠岛屿。本文包含了作者的努力,揭示了为什么一些与他们相关的多功能负荷的观察项目并不总是能够作为加强市场关系的有效工具。这是对曾经在世界上许多国家的不同地区实施的不同CCs进行的经验分析的重要组成部分之一。
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引用次数: 0
THE IMPACT OF PROFESSIONAL SKILLS IN THE USE OF INFORMATION AND COMMUNICATION TECHNOLOGIES ON THE INCOME FROM EMPLOYMENT: GENERATIONAL DIFFERENTIATION 使用信息和通信技术的专业技能对就业收入的影响:代际差异
Pub Date : 2022-08-15 DOI: 10.33983/0130-9757-2022-4-93-113.
V. Bobkov, E. Odintsova, I. Shichkin
The article presents the results of a research aimed at identifying the level of proficiency in the use of ICT tools (ICT skill levels) among employed and unemployed and also generational groups (youth, middle and older generation), as well as identifying the quality of employment and income depending on the level of ICT skills of employed and their generational groups. The author’s classification of the ICT skills levels is presented and, on its basis, a quantitative identification of the ICT skills levels among the employed and unemployed is carried out. It was found that among the employed, 40.5% have the ICT skills required for work, including 1.8% are distinguished by the presence of specialized skills corresponding to the third (highest) level, the remaining 59.5% have basic ICT skills. Among the unemployed, compared to the employed, the share of those with only basic ICT skills not related to professional activity (75.1%) is significantly higher, while the share of those with the third (highest) (0.9%) and second (24.0%) the level of ICT skills, on the contrary, is lower relative to the employed. Generational differences in the levels of ICT skills among employed and unemployed were revealed. Among the youth, the proportion of those who possess the highest ICT skills and have realized their labor potential is higher than for the employed as a whole and their other generational groups. Estimates of the distribution of employed and their generational groups according to the level of income from the main employment, determined on the basis of original system of social standards, depending on the level of ICT skills, are obtained. As a result of the research, it was revealed that a higher level of ICT skills increases the chances of realizing the existing labour potential. Meanwhile, as higher the level of ICT skills, the greater chances of “converting” them into higher incomes due to employment. It is shown that implementation of labour potential in the labour market with a higher level of ICT skills determines lower risks of reducing the quality of employment, and also increases the chances for employed people to ensure higher standards of material prosperity in their households.
本文介绍了一项研究的结果,该研究旨在确定就业和失业人群以及代际群体(青年、中年人和老年人)使用ICT工具的熟练程度(ICT技能水平),以及确定就业质量和收入取决于就业及其代际群体的ICT技能水平。作者对信息和通信技术技能水平进行了分类,并在此基础上对就业和失业人员的信息和通信技术技能水平进行了定量鉴定。调查发现,在受雇人士中,40.5%具备工作所需的资讯及通讯科技技能,其中1.8%具备第三(最高)级别的专业技能,其余59.5%具备基本的资讯及通讯科技技能。在失业人士中,只具备与专业活动无关的基本资讯及通讯科技技能的比例(75.1%)明显高于就业人士,而具备第三(最高)(0.9%)及第二(24.0%)资讯及通讯科技技能的比例则较就业人士低。在就业和失业之间的信息通信技术技能水平的代际差异揭示。在年轻人中,拥有最高信息通信技术技能并实现其劳动潜力的比例高于整体就业群体和其他代际群体。根据原来的社会标准体系,根据信息和通信技术技能的水平,根据主要就业的收入水平估计就业及其代际群体的分布。研究结果表明,信息和通信技术技能水平的提高增加了实现现有劳动力潜力的机会。同时,ICT技能水平越高,就越有可能通过就业将其“转化”为更高的收入。研究表明,在具有较高ICT技能水平的劳动力市场中,劳动力潜力的实施决定了降低就业质量的风险较低,并且还增加了就业人员确保其家庭物质繁荣更高标准的机会。
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引用次数: 0
BREXIT’S EFFECTS ON GERMAN-UK COOPERATION IN CHEMICAL INDUSTRY 英国脱欧对德英化工合作的影响
Pub Date : 2022-08-15 DOI: 10.33983/10.33983/0130-9757-2022-4-48-61
K. S. Denisenko
Europe is the second largest chemicals producer in the world, yield only to the Asian region, where China is the undisputed leading country. The chemical industry is of great importance for both countries and it determines the structure of their economies. In turn, Brexit significantly affected the current dynamics and state of bilateral relations. Fairly long, stable trade and economic relations with Great Britain were of great importance for German business that did not hide its interest in adopting the agreement, which exclude rigorous trade tariffs and barriers. Being the largest EU economy with a clear export orientation, Germany was not ready to lose a huge export market. That is why Germany has made a significant contribution to negotiation process regulating the UK’s exit from the EU and put an effort to reach the consensus among parties concerned. Managing the UK’s departure from the European Union was not an exception from such ambitious program of six-month Germany’s Presidency of the Council of the EU (July–December 2020). Despite the fact that the Agreement on the UK’s withdrawal from the Eropean Union, which formally ended the state’s membership in the EU, had been adopted, a qualitatively new document was required. The Trade and Cooperation Agreement (TCA) was adopted, which determines a new framework for relations between the EU and the UK. The TCA significantly determines the entire spectrum of cooperation areas and includes the new interplay in the chemical industry, including the implementation of REACH (Registration, Evaluation and Authorisation of Chemicals) regulation. This article focuses on current state of German-UK economic ties and illustrates the role of chemical industry in the economies of both countries as well as points out the countries’ performance in the global industry.
欧洲是世界上第二大化学品生产国,产量仅次于亚洲地区,而中国是无可争议的领先国家。化学工业对两国都非常重要,它决定了两国的经济结构。反过来,英国脱欧对当前双边关系的动态和状态产生了重大影响。与英国相当长期、稳定的贸易和经济关系对德国企业非常重要,因为德国企业毫不掩饰其对采用该协议的兴趣,该协议排除了严格的贸易关税和壁垒。作为欧盟最大的经济体,德国有着明确的出口导向,它不准备失去一个巨大的出口市场。为此,德方为英国脱欧谈判进程作出了重要贡献,努力推动各方达成共识。在德国担任欧盟理事会轮值主席国(2020年7月至12月)为期6个月的雄心勃勃的计划中,处理好英国脱欧问题也不例外。尽管英国退出欧盟的协议(正式结束了英国的欧盟成员国身份)已经获得通过,但仍需要一份质量上新的文件。通过了《贸易与合作协定》(TCA),确定了欧盟与英国关系的新框架。TCA在很大程度上决定了整个合作领域,包括化学工业中的新相互作用,包括实施REACH(化学品注册、评估和授权)法规。本文重点介绍了德英经济关系的现状,说明了化学工业在两国经济中的作用,并指出了两国在全球工业中的表现。
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引用次数: 0
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Russian Economic Journal
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