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2017 14th International Conference on the European Energy Market (EEM)最新文献

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Assessing the upward demand response potential for mitigating the wind generation curtailment: A case study 评估缓解风力发电削减的上升需求响应潜力:案例研究
Pub Date : 2017-06-06 DOI: 10.1109/EEM.2017.7981857
Mubbashir Ali, Jussi Ekström, A. Alahäivälä, M. Lehtonen
The increased penetration of intermittent renewable generation has already resulted in spilling and it is projected that renewable energy curtailment level will continue to soar. This paper presents a framework to assess the flexibility of domestic thermal loads and Electric vehicles (EVs) charging load for power sink as a means to reduce wind energy curtailment during different times of a year. The objective of the framework is to jointly optimize the flexible loads to mitigate the curtailment thereby increasing the utilization of intermittent renewable generation. The proposed model is applied to the Finnish power system. The simulation results suggested that the proper activation of demand response (DR) is a feasible curtailment mitigation option but with an important caveat that potential subdued as the renewable penetration increases in the system.
间歇性可再生能源发电渗透率的增加已经导致了泄漏,预计可再生能源弃电水平将继续飙升。本文提出了一个框架来评估国内热负荷和电动汽车(ev)充电负荷的灵活性,以减少一年中不同时间的弃风。该框架的目标是共同优化灵活负荷,以减轻弃电,从而增加间歇性可再生能源发电的利用率。该模型应用于芬兰电力系统。模拟结果表明,适当激活需求响应(DR)是一种可行的削减方案,但有一个重要的警告,即随着可再生能源在系统中的渗透率增加,潜力会减弱。
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引用次数: 5
The effects of harmonized European climate policy targets in comparison to national targets utilizing a European electricity market model 将统一的欧洲气候政策目标与利用欧洲电力市场模型的国家目标进行比较
Pub Date : 2017-06-06 DOI: 10.1109/EEM.2017.7981987
Lukas Nacken, T. Möbius
We develop a fundamental electricity market model which optimizes the future capacity mix regarding the emission reduction targets and renewable deployment targets for the majority of the European Union member states. By applying that model, we can show the distributional effects between a theoretical harmonized and the current national planning of emission and renewable energy targets. Based on our research, we identify economic inefficiencies in the national climate targets of individual member states.
我们开发了一个基本的电力市场模型,该模型针对大多数欧盟成员国的减排目标和可再生能源部署目标,优化了未来的容量组合。通过应用该模型,我们可以显示理论协调和当前国家排放和可再生能源目标规划之间的分布效应。根据我们的研究,我们确定了各个成员国在国家气候目标方面的经济效率低下。
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引用次数: 1
Trading on local energy markets: A comparison of market designs and bidding strategies 地方能源市场的交易:市场设计与投标策略的比较
Pub Date : 2017-06-06 DOI: 10.1109/EEM.2017.7981938
Esther Mengelkamp, P. Staudt, Johannes Garttner, Christof Weinhardt
Increasing renewable energy sources and innovative information and communication systems open up new challenges and opportunities to integrate distributed generation into the energy supply system. Formerly centralized energy systems need to be adapted to take full advantage of the immense potential of decentralized energy generation and smart, interconnected energy end users. We introduce a local electricity market on which prosumers and consumers of a community are able to trade electricity directly amongst each other. This local electricity market supports the local integration of renewable energy generation. It facilitates a local balance of energy supply and demand and hence reduces the need for extensive electricity transmission. We introduce, evaluate and compare two local market designs, a direct peer-to-peer market and a closed order book market, as well as two agent behaviors, zero-intelligence agents and intelligently bidding agents. We derive four scenarios by combining each market design with each agent behavior, respectively. All market scenarios offer similar economic advantages for the market participants. However, the peer-to-peer market with intelligent agents appears to be the most advantageous as it results in the lowest average overall electricity price.
不断增加的可再生能源和创新的信息和通信系统为将分布式发电纳入能源供应系统带来了新的挑战和机遇。以前的集中式能源系统需要进行调整,以充分利用分散能源生产和智能、互联的能源终端用户的巨大潜力。我们推出了一个本地电力市场,在这个市场上,一个社区的产消者和消费者可以直接相互交易电力。这个本地电力市场支持本地可再生能源发电的整合。它促进了当地能源供需的平衡,从而减少了对广泛电力传输的需求。我们介绍、评价和比较了两种本地市场设计,一种是直接点对点市场,另一种是封闭订单簿市场,以及两种代理行为:零智能代理和智能竞价代理。通过将每种市场设计与每种代理行为相结合,我们分别导出了四种场景。所有的市场情景都为市场参与者提供了类似的经济优势。然而,具有智能代理的点对点市场似乎是最有利的,因为它可以产生最低的平均总电价。
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引用次数: 112
Managing energy risk — A case study of Bulgaria with no nuclear power 管理能源风险——以无核电的保加利亚为例
Pub Date : 2017-06-06 DOI: 10.1109/EEM.2017.7981903
E. Dimitrova, N. Chokani, R. Abhari
This work investigates the impact of no license renewal for both reactors of Bulgaria's Kozloduy nuclear power plant. High spatial and temporal resolution power flow simulations for ten interconnected countries in central and southeastern Europe are conducted for 2016–2020. To account for new wind capacity, a novel approach that optimizes wind turbine placement in each new wind power plant and ranks the wind plants in terms of financial performance is used. It is shown that as the reactors are decommissioned, generation in Bulgaria shifts towards coal. CO2 emissions increase by 20% in 2020 compared to 2013. Electricity prices increase by 10% and 25%, respectively, with one and two reactors shutdown. Bulgaria changes from being a net exporter to an importer. Nevertheless, security of supply in terms of covering demand through imports is not compromised.
这项工作调查了保加利亚Kozloduy核电站的两个反应堆没有更新许可证的影响。对中欧和东南欧10个互联国家进行了2016-2020年的高时空分辨率潮流模拟。为了计算新风容量,采用了一种新颖的方法,优化每个新风电厂的风力涡轮机位置,并根据财务绩效对风电厂进行排名。这表明,随着反应堆的退役,保加利亚的发电转向煤炭。与2013年相比,2020年二氧化碳排放量将增加20%。随着一个和两个反应堆的关闭,电价分别上涨10%和25%。保加利亚从净出口国变为净进口国。然而,通过进口满足需求的供应安全并没有受到损害。
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引用次数: 0
Segmentation of low voltage consumers for designing individualized pricing policies
Pub Date : 2017-06-06 DOI: 10.1109/EEM.2017.7981862
M. Kotouza, Antonios C. Chrysopoulos, P. Mitkas
In recent years, the liberation of distribution and energy services has led towards competitive Energy Market environments. In these Markets, the participating suppliers need to provide more reliable services, specifically tailored to each customer or group of customers with similar needs. Thus, it is important to identify the consumer types in their portfolio, through Customer Load Profiling. In this paper, algorithms that provide robust and reliable clustering results are examined, as tools for meaningful Low Voltage consumers' segmentation. A number of experiments on two different data sets were implemented to provide an insight to the proposed attributes' input selection. Additionally, a set of custom pricing schemes was produced based on the segmentation results and the peak and cost reduction are estimated. The results are promising and enhance our understanding of the long-term gains that can be obtained by well-defined customer segmentation and the design of individualized pricing schemes.
近年来,分配和能源服务的解放导致了竞争激烈的能源市场环境。在这些市场中,参与的供应商需要提供更可靠的服务,专门为每个客户或有类似需求的客户群体量身定制。因此,通过客户负载分析来确定投资组合中的消费者类型是很重要的。在本文中,提供鲁棒和可靠的聚类结果的算法进行了检验,作为有意义的低压消费者分割的工具。在两个不同的数据集上进行了大量的实验,以提供对所建议的属性输入选择的洞察。在此基础上,提出了一套基于分割结果的定制定价方案,并对峰值和成本降低进行了估计。结果是有希望的,并且增强了我们对通过明确的客户细分和个性化定价方案设计可以获得的长期收益的理解。
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引用次数: 2
What is the impact of the EU Energy Union on electricity prices? Results for selected member states 欧盟能源联盟对电价的影响是什么?选定成员国的结果
Pub Date : 2017-06-06 DOI: 10.1109/EEM.2017.7982025
B. Breitschopf, Jakob Wachsmuth
This paper analyses how strongly EU energy policies have driven electricity wholesale prices. Especially, it investigates whether the activities of the Energy Union directed to increasing competition in the electricity system, creating an internal market without barriers for electricity flows, supplying sustainable and secure electricity, has led to a decline in electricity prices. Therefore, renewable shares, degree of competition, cross border flows as well as fossil fuel prices and demand for electricity serve as explaining variables in a fixed/random effects model. The results suggest a significant impact of renewable energies, competition and market integration on wholesale electricity prices. Moreover, the analysis displays that increasing RE levies offset the decline in energy supply costs, which results in increasing retail prices.
本文分析了欧盟能源政策对电力批发价格的推动作用。特别是,它调查了能源联盟旨在增加电力系统的竞争、创造一个对电力流动没有障碍的内部市场、供应可持续和安全的电力的活动是否导致了电价的下降。因此,可再生能源份额、竞争程度、跨境流动以及化石燃料价格和电力需求可以作为固定/随机效应模型中的解释变量。结果表明,可再生能源、竞争和市场整合对批发电价有显著影响。此外,分析表明,提高可再生能源税抵消了能源供应成本的下降,这导致零售价格上涨。
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引用次数: 1
The impact of electrification on power system in Northern Europe 电气化对北欧电力系统的影响
Pub Date : 2017-06-06 DOI: 10.1109/EEM.2017.7981866
Xiaomei Cheng, M. Korpås, H. Farahmand
Electrification is widely considered as a viable strategy for reducing the negative environmental impacts of the energy system. Following this strategy, most attention has been paid to electrification of road transportation, i.e., electric vehicles. In addition, substantial potentials could be exploited in the electrification of offshore oil and gas platforms, as an alternative to on-site gas turbines. In our research, we focus on electrification of the offshore oil and gas installations in the Norwegian continental shelf. We apply a net transfer capacity (NTC) based power market model to analyse the economic consequence of the Norwegian offshore platforms electrification on six Northern European countries. The power market model comprises Norway, Denmark, Sweden, Finland, Germany, and the Netherlands. The objective of the optimisation model is to minimize the operating cost of the power system over the lifetime of the oil and gas offshore platform considered for electrification. The operating cost comprises the sum of fuel cost, start-up cost, and carbon emission cost for all generators. We analysed three scenarios for electrification and carbon prices, and we assumed a development path of wind and solar power that is in line with EU climate policy up to 2050. Firstly, we investigate the power system performance without considering environmental taxes. Secondly, we incorporate the carbon emission cost into the optimisation model to analyse how this affects the production mix in simulated countries. Finally, we introduce the electrification of offshore platforms in Norway into our model to calculate the marginal costs and emissions associated with the increased power consumption. The lifetime for the North Sea offshore platforms' electrification in our research is assumed to be up to the year 2058.
电气化被广泛认为是减少能源系统对环境负面影响的可行策略。根据这一战略,大多数注意力都放在了道路运输的电气化上,即电动汽车。此外,在海上石油和天然气平台的电气化方面,作为现场燃气轮机的替代方案,可以开发出巨大的潜力。在我们的研究中,我们专注于挪威大陆架海上石油和天然气设施的电气化。我们应用基于净转移容量(NTC)的电力市场模型来分析挪威海上平台电气化对六个北欧国家的经济后果。电力市场模式包括挪威、丹麦、瑞典、芬兰、德国和荷兰。优化模型的目标是在考虑电气化的石油和天然气海上平台的生命周期内将电力系统的运行成本降至最低。运行成本包括所有发电机的燃料成本、启动成本和碳排放成本的总和。我们分析了电气化和碳价格的三种情景,并假设了2050年前符合欧盟气候政策的风能和太阳能发展路径。首先,我们在不考虑环境税的情况下研究电力系统的性能。其次,我们将碳排放成本纳入优化模型,以分析这如何影响模拟国家的生产结构。最后,我们将挪威海上平台的电气化引入我们的模型,以计算与电力消耗增加相关的边际成本和排放。在我们的研究中,北海海上平台的电气化寿命预计将持续到2058年。
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引用次数: 4
Design and performance of European balancing power auctions 欧洲平衡电力拍卖的设计与性能
Pub Date : 2017-06-06 DOI: 10.1109/EEM.2017.7981861
Fabian Ocker
In this paper, seven European Frequency Restoration Reserve (FRR) auctions (positive and negative) are investigated both theoretically and empirically. First, the seven FRR market environments (i.e. supply sides and auction designs) are illustrated. Then, a theoretic analysis of the seven FRR auctions is presented. For this, we identify the underlying cost structures and develop the bidding calculus for each FRR auction. These analyses yield conditions for optimal bidding strategies, i.e. profit maximizing bids. We confront our theoretic findings with empirical auction results in the time span from 2014 to mid 2016. Here, we measure the performance of FRR auctions by the extent of which the submitted bids match theoretic predictions. The central result is that empirical auction data of five FRR auctions do not match theoretical predictions. Finally, we conclude implications for a harmonized European FRR auction design.
本文对欧洲七次频率恢复储备拍卖(正负两种)进行了理论和实证研究。首先,说明了七个FRR市场环境(即供应方和拍卖设计)。然后,对七次FRR拍卖进行了理论分析。为此,我们确定了潜在的成本结构,并为每个FRR拍卖制定了投标计算。这些分析得出了最优投标策略的条件,即利润最大化投标。我们将理论发现与2014年至2016年中期的实证拍卖结果进行了对比。在这里,我们通过出价与理论预测相匹配的程度来衡量FRR拍卖的表现。核心结果是,五次FRR拍卖的经验拍卖数据与理论预测不符。最后,我们总结了统一的欧洲FRR拍卖设计的影响。
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引用次数: 15
Impact of Generation Shift Key determination on flow based market coupling 代际转移键确定对基于流量的市场耦合的影响
Pub Date : 2017-06-06 DOI: 10.1109/EEM.2017.7981901
Constantin Dierstein
Although Flow Based Market Coupling (FBMC) attempts to predict physical line flows, the algorithm is prone to errors. The cause of prediction errors bases on the dependency of FBMC on linearized parameters like the Generation Shift Keys (GSK). The value of GSK is determined by the calculation strategy and the considered power plants. This paper investigates the impact of both influences under the implementation of a detached Austrian bidding zone in the Central Western European Region (CWE). The results show significant impact of GSK values on the European harmonization process as well as on trade, welfare and congestions for single bidding zones whereas no strategy emerge as generally beneficial.
尽管基于流的市场耦合(FBMC)试图预测物理线流,但该算法容易出错。预测误差的原因是基于FBMC对线性化参数(如生成移位键(GSK))的依赖。GSK的价值由计算策略和考虑的发电厂决定。本文研究了在中欧西欧地区(CWE)实施独立的奥地利招标区时这两种影响的影响。结果显示,GSK价值观对欧洲统一进程以及单一竞标区的贸易、福利和拥堵产生了重大影响,而没有策略出现普遍有益的情况。
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引用次数: 18
Transmission system planning considering solar distributed generation penetration 考虑太阳能分布式发电渗透率的输电系统规划
Pub Date : 2017-06-06 DOI: 10.1109/EEM.2017.7981850
P. Gomes, J. Saraiva
In recent years, power systems have been watching important advancements related with Plug-in-Electrical Vehicles (PEVs), Demand Side Management (DSM), Distributed Generation (DG), Microgrid and Smart Grid installations that directly affect distribution networks while impacting indirectly on Transmission studies. These changes will lead to an extra flexibility on the transmission-distribution boundary and to a significant modification of the load patterns, that are an essential input to planning studies. In this scope, this paper describes a multiyear Transmission Expansion Planning (TEP) solved by Evolutionary Particle Swarm Optimization (EPSO) and incorporating the impact of solar DG penetration. The primary substation load profiles and the solar generation profiles are taken into account on the planning problem. The numerical simulations were conducted using the IEEE 24 bus reliability test system in which the planning horizon is 3 years and the load growth is 2.5 % per year. If demand and solar DG peaks are coincident, then the liquid demand seen by the transmission network gets reduced enabling a reduction of investment costs. In the tested cases, these peaks were not coincident so that the optimal expansion plan remains unchanged even though the injected power from DG is large. This stresses the fact that solar DG may not on an isolated way contribute to alleviate the demand seen by transmission networks but should be associated with storage devices or demand side management programs.
近年来,电力系统在插电式电动汽车 (PEV)、需求侧管理 (DSM)、分布式发电 (DG)、微电网和智能电网安装方面取得了重大进展,直接影响到配电网络,同时间接影响到输电研究。这些变化将导致输电-配电边界更加灵活,并显著改变负荷模式,而负荷模式是规划研究的重要输入。在此范围内,本文介绍了通过进化粒子群优化 (EPSO) 解决的多年期输电扩展规划 (TEP),并纳入了太阳能 DG 渗透率的影响。在规划问题中考虑了主变电站负荷曲线和太阳能发电曲线。利用 IEEE 24 总线可靠性测试系统进行了数值模拟,其中规划期限为 3 年,负荷年增长率为 2.5%。如果需求峰值和太阳能 DG 峰值相吻合,那么输电网络的液体需求量就会减少,从而降低投资成本。在测试案例中,这些峰值并不重合,因此即使 DG 的注入功率很大,最佳扩展计划也不会改变。这就强调了一个事实,即太阳能 DG 并不能孤立地缓解输电网络的需求,而应与储能设备或需求侧管理计划相结合。
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引用次数: 16
期刊
2017 14th International Conference on the European Energy Market (EEM)
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