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2017 14th International Conference on the European Energy Market (EEM)最新文献

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Dynamic dimensioning of balancing reserve 平衡储备的动态标注
Pub Date : 2017-06-01 DOI: 10.1109/EEM.2017.7981896
J. Sprey, P. Schultheis, A. Moser
Dimensioning and procurement of sufficient balancing reserves are elementary to safeguard operational security as well as frequency quality. Nevertheless, the current development and structural changes in the electrical power system lead to new challenging tasks in terms of balancing the system while using the interconnected system and resources in an efficient way. This as well as the increasing volatile feed-in of renewable energy sources rises the questions of the validity of static methods to dimension reserves. Therefore, this paper presents a method to determine the demand of balancing reserve with a dynamic approach — allowing to take the effects of the Imbalance Netting Process into account. Notwithstanding, a sufficient amount of balancing reserves in every situation has to be determined to ensure a secure network operation at all times.
尺寸和足够的平衡储备的采购是保障运行安全和频率质量的基础。然而,当前电力系统的发展和结构变化,在平衡系统的同时,如何有效地利用互联系统和资源,给电力系统带来了新的挑战。这以及可再生能源不断增加的不稳定馈入,提出了静态方法衡量储量有效性的问题。因此,本文提出了一种动态确定平衡储备需求的方法——允许考虑不平衡净额结算过程的影响。尽管如此,必须在每种情况下确定足够数量的平衡储备,以确保网络在任何时候都能安全运行。
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引用次数: 5
Empirical comparison of three models for determining market clearing prices in Turkish day-ahead electricity market 土耳其日前电力市场出清价格三种模型的实证比较
Pub Date : 2017-06-01 DOI: 10.1109/EEM.2017.7981855
Gookhan Ceyhan, Nermin Kurt, H. Sahin, Kursad Derinkuyu
Bidders in day-ahead electricity markets want to sell/buy electricity when their bids generate positive surplus and not to take an action when the reverse holds. However, non-convexities in these markets cause conflicts between the actions that the bidders want to take and the actual market results. In this work, we investigate the non-convex market clearing problem of Turkish market operator and propose three different rule sets. The first rule set allows both rejection of bids with positive surplus and acceptance of bids with negative surplus. The second and the third sets only allow one of these conflicted cases. By using total surplus maximization as the objective, we formulate three models and statistically explore their performance with the real data taken from Turkish market operator.
日前电力市场的竞价者希望在他们的出价产生正盈余时卖出/购买电力,而在相反的情况下不采取行动。然而,这些市场的非凸性导致了竞标者想要采取的行动与实际市场结果之间的冲突。本文研究了土耳其市场经营者的非凸市场出清问题,提出了三种不同的规则集。第一个规则集允许拒绝有正盈余的投标,也允许接受有负盈余的投标。第二组和第三组只允许这些冲突情况中的一种。本文以总盈余最大化为目标,建立了三种模型,并利用土耳其市场运营商的实际数据对其绩效进行了统计分析。
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引用次数: 4
The changing landscape of world gas markets at the horizon 2020 2020年世界天然气市场格局的变化
Pub Date : 2017-06-01 DOI: 10.1109/EEM.2017.7981888
S. Heidari, C. Weber
The global natural gas market is undergoing substantial changes by 2020. Therefore, studying these changes and their impacts is of high importance. In this study, a mixed complementarity model is used to simulate the global natural gas market for 2020. Further, scenarios on the key changes in the future natural gas system are defined and their impact investigated. In particular, shale gas developments as well as new transmission capacities are investigated. The results of simulation show that, the U.S. as a new LNG supplier can considerably affect the global natural gas market. In this case, a reduction of 20% on LNG wholesale prices with respect to 2015 is observed. This may lead to higher natural gas consumption in LNG dependent countries. In additions, results of simulation indicate that, setting up new transmission infrastructure as well as new pipelines within Europe, will not influence the wholesale prices.
到2020年,全球天然气市场将发生重大变化。因此,研究这些变化及其影响具有重要意义。本文采用混合互补模型对2020年全球天然气市场进行了模拟。此外,还定义了未来天然气系统中关键变化的情景,并研究了它们的影响。特别是,页岩气的开发以及新的传输能力进行了调查。模拟结果表明,美国作为一个新的LNG供应国可以对全球天然气市场产生相当大的影响。在这种情况下,与2015年相比,液化天然气批发价格降低了20%。这可能导致依赖液化天然气的国家天然气消费量增加。此外,模拟结果表明,在欧洲境内建立新的输电基础设施和新的管道不会影响批发价格。
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引用次数: 3
Intraday market asymmetries — A Nordic example 日内市场不对称——一个北欧的例子
Pub Date : 2017-06-01 DOI: 10.1109/EEM.2017.7981920
Emilie Rosenlund Soysal, O. Olsen, K. Skytte, Jonas K. Sekamane
While the majority of electricity in the Nordic and Baltic countries is traded at the day-ahead market, producers and consumers can use the intraday market to adjust their production commitments according to updated forecasts closer to the time of delivery. This reduces the need for balancing, particularly important for VRE producers, but it also means that the price formation at intraday market can change optimal bidding strategy in the day-ahead market. Through econometric modelling of intraday price premiums, this paper investigates intraday price asymmetries, which potentially can lead to strategic bidding. The intraday market is per definition symmetric, as prices for power sales always correspond to prices for power purchases, however, we find that this symmetry is not reflected in the price structure in regards to the total load adjustment needs.
虽然北欧和波罗的海国家的大部分电力是在日前市场交易的,但生产商和消费者可以利用日内市场根据更接近交付时间的最新预测来调整其生产承诺。这减少了对平衡的需求,这对VRE生产商来说尤其重要,但这也意味着日内市场的价格形成可以改变前一天市场的最优出价策略。通过日内价格溢价的计量经济模型,本文研究了可能导致策略性竞价的日内价格不对称。根据定义,日内市场是对称的,因为电力销售价格总是对应于电力购买价格,然而,我们发现这种对称性并没有反映在关于总负荷调整需求的价格结构中。
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引用次数: 12
Where are the electricity load hot spots in 2035? A load curve analysis considering demographic and technological changes 2035年电力负荷热点在哪里?考虑人口和技术变化的负荷曲线分析
Pub Date : 2017-06-01 DOI: 10.1109/EEM.2017.7981993
Anna-Lena Klingler, Rainer Elsland, T. Bossmann
Model-based analysis is assigned a central role in the discussions on how to design the energy system and yet there is substantial need for further research here, especially in mapping power demand and load development with high spatial resolution (NUTS 3). A methodological approach is developed in this study that addresses this research gap using sequential bottom-up modelling analyses. The result shows that the sectoral composition of electricity demand in particular causes regional variations in load patterns. Using the method we developed, conclusions can also be drawn regarding future regional load development. A future increase in peak loads is to be expected, which will be concentrated on regions with high levels of electric mobility. It will not be possible to absorb this increase by smart management of vehicle charging alone.
在关于如何设计能源系统的讨论中,基于模型的分析被赋予了核心作用,然而,这里还需要进一步的研究,特别是在绘制高空间分辨率的电力需求和负荷发展(NUTS 3)方面。本研究开发了一种方法学方法,使用顺序自下而上的建模分析来解决这一研究差距。结果表明,电力需求的部门构成尤其会导致负荷模式的区域差异。利用我们开发的方法,还可以得出关于未来区域负荷发展的结论。预计未来高峰负荷的增加将集中在电动交通水平高的地区。仅靠智能管理车辆充电是不可能吸收这一增长的。
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引用次数: 2
Experiences with auctions for renewable energy support 有可再生能源支持拍卖的经验
Pub Date : 2017-06-01 DOI: 10.1109/EEM.2017.7981922
David Mora, Marco Islam, Emilie Rosenlund Soysal, L. Kitzing, Ana Lucia Amazo Blanco, Sonja Förster, Silvana Tiedemann, F. Wigand
Auctions is an increasingly popular instrument for introducing competitiveness in the support schemes for renewable energy, however, designing successful auctions appears to be a challenge. Policy makers seeking to introduce auctions are faced with a range of design choices, which may affect the auction outcome significantly. This paper investigates the past experiences with auction implementations in 13 countries. We highlight popular design choices and evaluate auction performances based on a set of assessment criteria. We find that as a market-based support mechanism auctions can help driving down support costs, however, they are also prone to design errors. Adjusting the auction design to the specific conditions (national and marked) is a key parameter for success.
拍卖是在可再生能源支持计划中引入竞争力的一种日益流行的手段,然而,设计成功的拍卖似乎是一项挑战。寻求引入拍卖的政策制定者面临着一系列设计选择,这可能会对拍卖结果产生重大影响。本文考察了13个国家过去实施拍卖的经验。我们突出流行的设计选择,并根据一套评估标准评估拍卖表现。我们发现,作为一种基于市场的支持机制,拍卖可以帮助降低支持成本,然而,它们也容易出现设计错误。将拍卖设计调整到具体情况(国家和标记)是成功的关键参数。
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引用次数: 16
Development options for distribution tariff structures in Finland 芬兰分销关税结构的发展选择
Pub Date : 2017-06-01 DOI: 10.1109/EEM.2017.7981930
S. Honkapuro, Jouni Haapaniemi, J. Haakana, J. Lassila, N. Belonogova, J. Partanen, K. Lummi, A. Rautiainen, A. Supponen, S. Repo, P. Järventausta
In this paper, we study the development options of tariff structures in electricity distribution in Finland. We compare the impacts of three different tariffs from the viewpoints of customers, distribution system operator (DSO), electricity supplier, and society. Analyzed tariffs are (1) energy oriented tariff, which is currently in use, (2) power limit tariff, and (3) power tariff. Based on the analyses, it seems that it is justified to include power based price component in distribution tariff. Generally, the impacts of both analyzed power based tariffs are quite similar. However, it seems that power tariff is a bit stronger candidate. Nevertheless, it should be noted that the benefits of the power-oriented pricing, illustrated in the paper, could be achieved only by well-designed tariff system. Although analyses are based on Finnish case, most of the results are generalizable to other countries also.
本文研究了芬兰配电电价结构的发展选择。我们从消费者、配电系统运营商、电力供应商和社会的角度比较了三种不同关税的影响。所分析的关税有(1)目前正在使用的能源导向关税(2)限电关税(3)电力关税。在此基础上,认为在配电网电价中纳入电价构成是合理的。一般来说,两种分析的基于电力的关税的影响非常相似。然而,电价似乎是一个更有力的候选人。然而,应当指出,只有通过精心设计的关税制度才能实现文件中所说明的以电力为导向的定价的好处。虽然分析是基于芬兰的案例,但大多数结果也可以推广到其他国家。
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引用次数: 6
Smart demand side management: Storing energy or storing consumption — It is not the same! 智能需求侧管理:存储能源还是存储消耗——这是不一样的!
Pub Date : 2017-06-01 DOI: 10.1109/EEM.2017.7981929
J. Geske, R. Green, Qixin Chen, Yi Wang
Energy storage and demand response (DR) are options for coping with the rising share of intermittent renewable generation in countries attempting to reduce environmental damage from electricity. So far little is known about the potential and the impact of DR on the system and on the markets. In this research, it is shown how electricity demand can be derived rationally from reasonable preferences for consumption timing in an environment of load- and price uncertainty. This demand is then aggregated to the market level and a timing market equilibrium is defined. It is then discussed if DR can be considered as a “storage” technology.
在试图减少电力对环境破坏的国家,能源储存和需求响应(DR)是应对间歇性可再生能源发电份额不断上升的选择。到目前为止,人们对DR对系统和市场的潜力和影响知之甚少。在这项研究中,它显示了电力需求如何在负荷和价格不确定的环境中,从合理的消费时间偏好中合理地推导出来。然后将这种需求汇总到市场水平,并定义一个时机市场均衡。然后讨论了DR是否可以被视为一种“存储”技术。
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引用次数: 0
Market coupling and the impact of cross border flows on the balancing of power demand 市场耦合及跨境流动对电力需求平衡的影响
Pub Date : 2017-06-01 DOI: 10.1109/EEM.2017.7982019
A. Baczyńska, M. Wierzbowski
The paper presents the analysis of coordinated power flows in Central Eastern Europe(CEE) region (Germany, Poland, Czech Republic and Slovakia) interconnected by the AC power lines. Analysis is undertaken in two aspects technical and economic and covers the period from 1st of January 2015 till 30th of November 2016. The paper embraces comparison between planned and real (measured) power flows with justifying flow compatibility with the prices and checking market functioning. The paper relates to the loop flows in this region and analyses the impact of the PST commissioning on the Polish German border on 22nd of July 2016. The article is based on the official market data (planned flows) and atual values of the flow (real flows) on the cross-borders.
本文分析了中欧和东欧(CEE)地区(德国、波兰、捷克和斯洛伐克)在交流电力线连接下的协调潮流。从技术和经济两个方面进行分析,时间为2015年1月1日至2016年11月30日。本文包括计划和实际(测量)潮流的比较,以证明潮流与价格的兼容性和检查市场功能。本文涉及该地区的环流,并分析了2016年7月22日PST调试对波兰德国边境的影响。本文基于官方市场数据(计划流量)和跨境流量的实际值(实际流量)。
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引用次数: 4
Regulatory barriers for activating flexibility in the Nordic-Baltic electricity market 激活北欧-波罗的海电力市场灵活性的监管障碍
Pub Date : 2017-06-01 DOI: 10.1109/EEM.2017.7981948
C. Bergaentzlé, K. Skytte, Emilie Rosenlund Soysal, Luis Boscán, O. Olsen
The rapid growth of variable renewable energy (VRE) and the expected decrease of conventional generation capacities will generate more flexibility needs in power systems and require flexibility resources to be activated. Flexibility potentials do exist, whether they refer to installed generation, load adjustment or to a greater coupling to other energy sectors. In this paper, we identify the framework conditions that influence the provision of VRE-friendly flexibility in the Nordic and Baltic electricity sector, i.e., the market and regulatory settings that act as drivers or barriers to flexibility. We find that the most restrictive barriers against flexibility are emitted by public authorities as part of broader policy strategies. Overall, we find that current regulatory and market framework conditions do not hinder flexibility. However, despite that, flexibility remains limited due to a lack of coherent instruments intended to both the demand and supply-side to effectively act flexibly.
可变可再生能源(VRE)的快速增长和常规发电能力的预期下降将对电力系统产生更大的灵活性需求,需要激活灵活性资源。无论是装机发电、负荷调整还是与其他能源部门的更大耦合,灵活性潜力确实存在。在本文中,我们确定了影响北欧和波罗的海电力部门提供vre友好灵活性的框架条件,即作为灵活性驱动因素或障碍的市场和监管环境。我们发现,对灵活性最具限制性的障碍是公共当局作为更广泛政策战略的一部分而发出的。总体而言,我们发现当前的监管和市场框架条件并不妨碍灵活性。然而,尽管如此,灵活性仍然有限,因为缺乏旨在使供需双方有效灵活行动的一致文书。
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引用次数: 6
期刊
2017 14th International Conference on the European Energy Market (EEM)
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