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The Influence of Foreign Direct Investments on Regional Development in Croatia 外国直接投资对克罗地亚区域发展的影响
IF 0.4 Q2 Economics, Econometrics and Finance Pub Date : 2014-12-29 DOI: 10.15179/CES.16.2.3
Ines Kersan-Škabić, Lela Tijanić
The aim of this study was to determine the influence of foreign direct investments (FDI) on regional development in Croatia and to contribute to previous studies that deal with regional FDI re-allocations. Our analysis was conducted at the NUTS 3 level (21 Croatian counties) and applied panel data analysis to determine the influence of FDI as well as other factors that proved to be significant in regional development in Croatia. The results point out that investment (i.e., both domestic and foreign direct investments), labor productivity, and export have a positive and significant influence on regional development, while absorptive capacity has a negative influence. It is therefore important to strengthen the absorptive capacity of Croatian regions to create a favorable investment environment and to provide good preconditions for the development of other factors of regional development. Findings are relevant for policy makers who should take more proactive roles in attracting FDI as a way of strengthening regional development in Croatia. This may help policy-makers to act locally to achieve cohesion, but it can also be important for foreign investors that observe regional FDI determinants in the European Union.
这项研究的目的是确定外国直接投资对克罗地亚区域发展的影响,并对以前关于区域外国直接投资再分配的研究作出贡献。我们的分析是在NUTS 3级别(21个克罗地亚县)进行的,并应用面板数据分析来确定外国直接投资的影响以及其他被证明对克罗地亚区域发展具有重要意义的因素。结果表明,投资(即国内直接投资和外国直接投资)、劳动生产率和出口对区域发展具有显著的正向影响,而吸收能力对区域发展具有负向影响。因此,必须加强克罗地亚各地区的吸收能力,以创造有利的投资环境,并为区域发展的其他因素的发展提供良好的先决条件。调查结果与决策者有关,他们应该在吸引外国直接投资方面发挥更积极的作用,作为加强克罗地亚区域发展的一种方式。这可能有助于政策制定者在当地采取行动以实现凝聚力,但对于观察到欧盟地区外国直接投资决定因素的外国投资者来说,这也很重要。
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引用次数: 9
Human Capital and Export Decisions: The Case of Small and Medium Enterprises in Kosovo 人力资本与出口决策:科索沃中小企业的案例
IF 0.4 Q2 Economics, Econometrics and Finance Pub Date : 2014-12-29 DOI: 10.15179/CES.16.2.4
Petrit Gashi
Abstract Following the propositions of firm internationalization theories including the Melit’z dynamic model of export participation, this paper investigates the effects of human capital on the export decisions of Kosovo’s firms. Using a unique dataset of around 500 Small and Medium Enterprises, econometric estimates show mixed indications regarding the relationship between the propensity to export and longevity in export markets and human capital variables, measured by the education of the workforce, and investment in training. While education generally has a negative effect on exporting decisions, the latter shows a consistent positive effect. In the context of Kosovo, this dichotomy may reflect in part the effect of the underperforming education system in Kosovo, which does not produce the right level and/or mix of skills required by the private sector; this, in turn, forces SMEs to invest in increasing workforce capacities. Another Petrit Gashi Faculty of Economics, University of Prishtina, Kosovopetrit.gashi@uni-pr.eduCroEconSurVol. 16No. 2December 2014pp. 91-120Received: September 11, 2014Accepted: November 13, 2014Research Articledoi:10.15179/ces.16.2.4
摘要本文根据企业国际化理论,包括Melit’z出口参与动态模型,研究了人力资本对科索沃企业出口决策的影响。使用约500家中小型企业的独特数据集,计量经济学估计显示,关于出口倾向和出口市场寿命与人力资本变量(通过劳动力的教育程度和培训投资来衡量)之间的关系,有不同的迹象。虽然教育通常对出口决策有负面影响,但后者显示出一贯的积极影响。在科索沃的情况下,这种二分法可能部分反映了科索沃表现不佳的教育系统的影响,该系统没有培养出私营部门所需的适当水平和/或技能组合;这反过来又迫使中小企业投资于提高劳动力能力。另一位Petrit Gashi,普里什蒂纳大学经济学院,Kosovopetrit.gashi@uni-pr.eduCroEconSurVol。16号2014年12月2页。收稿日期:2014年9月11日收稿日期:2014年11月13日研究论文doi:10.15179/ces.16.2.4
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引用次数: 11
Institutional and Socio-Economic Convergence in the European Union 欧盟的制度和社会经济趋同
IF 0.4 Q2 Economics, Econometrics and Finance Pub Date : 2014-12-29 DOI: 10.15179/CES.16.2.1
Jordi López-Tamayo, Raúl Ramos, Jordi Suriñach
The objective of this paper is to analyze convergence in institutional, social, and macroeconomic conditions between EU member states. Our analysis covers the period 1995-2013 and considers the potential impact of the Great Recession. With this aim, we use a composite indicator that combines information from 51 hard and soft indicators, and we estimate convergence equations for the composite indicator and its seven dimensions considering different country groups. The obtained results show evidence of conditional convergence among EU member states but limited evidence of unconditional convergence over the considered period.
本文的目的是分析欧盟成员国之间在制度、社会和宏观经济条件方面的趋同。我们的分析涵盖了1995-2013年期间,并考虑了大衰退的潜在影响。为此,我们使用了一个综合了51个软硬指标信息的综合指标,并估计了综合指标及其考虑不同国家群体的七个维度的收敛方程。获得的结果显示了欧盟成员国之间有条件趋同的证据,但在考虑的时期内无条件趋同的证据有限。
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引用次数: 7
Firm Productivity and Type of Innovation: Evidence from the Community Innovation Survey 6 企业生产力与创新类型:来自社区创新调查的证据
IF 0.4 Q2 Economics, Econometrics and Finance Pub Date : 2014-12-29 DOI: 10.15179/CES.16.2.5
N. Stojčić, Iraj Hashi
Having recognized the impact of innovation for the improvement of productivity in firms and for the growth of national economies, researchers have been exploring the innovation process and its underlying factors for over a decade now. Much of the empirical findings in this area have been based on national firm-level studies while research that encompasses several countries, particularly in transition economies, is still rare. This paper attempts to fill this gap by investigating the impact of innovation on firms’ productivity across a number of East and West European countries, using a structural model based on Crepon, Duguet and Mairesse (1998) and a firm-level dataset from the 2006 round of the Community Innovation Survey (CIS6). In contrast to previous studies that focused only on product innovation as the measure of innovation output, we distinguish between firms engaged in only one type of innovation activities (product or process) and those engaged in both types. The results of the investigation provide support for the relationship between different stages of the innovation process and confirm the impact of innovation output on productivity. In addition, we find differences in the productivity associated with the type of innovation activities undertaken.
在认识到创新对提高企业生产率和国民经济增长的影响之后,研究者们已经对创新过程及其潜在因素进行了十多年的探索。这一领域的许多实证研究结果都是基于国家公司一级的研究,而包括几个国家,特别是转型期经济国家的研究仍然很少。本文利用基于Crepon、Duguet和Mairesse(1998)的结构模型和2006年共同体创新调查(CIS6)的企业层面数据,试图通过调查创新对许多东欧和西欧国家企业生产率的影响来填补这一空白。与以往只关注产品创新作为创新产出衡量标准的研究不同,我们区分了只从事一种创新活动(产品或过程)的企业和同时从事两种创新活动的企业。研究结果为创新过程不同阶段之间的关系提供了支持,并证实了创新产出对生产率的影响。此外,我们发现不同类型的创新活动所带来的生产力差异。
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引用次数: 18
Does Misaligned Currency Affect Economic Growth? – Evidence from Croatia 汇率失调会影响经济增长吗?-来自克罗地亚的证据
IF 0.4 Q2 Economics, Econometrics and Finance Pub Date : 2014-12-29 DOI: 10.15179/CES.16.2.2
Tonći Svilokos, Meri Šuman Tolić
The main objective of this paper is to measure the currency misalignment of the Croatian kuna and to reveal whether it affects economic growth for the period 2001 (Q1) to 2013 (Q3). The estimate relies on recent cointegration techniques, VAR models and Granger causality tests. The findings show that there are two misalignment sub-periods for the Croatian kuna: undervaluation in the period from 2000Q1 to 2007Q4 and overvaluation in the period from 2008Q1 to 2013Q3. The evidence reveals that for the whole sample period, the Granger causality goes from misalignments (MISA) to GDP growth under the 10 percent significance level. However, for the two sub-periods no evidence of Granger causality from MISA to GDP growth or vice versa is found. The research also reveals that the currency misalignments in the observed period are relatively small.
本文的主要目的是衡量克罗地亚库纳的货币失调,并揭示它是否影响2001年(Q1)至2013年(Q3)期间的经济增长。估计依赖于最近的协整技术,VAR模型和格兰杰因果检验。研究结果表明,克罗地亚库纳存在两个失调子时期:2000年第一季度至2007年第四季度低估,2008年第一季度至2013年第三季度高估。证据表明,在整个样本期内,格兰杰因果关系从MISA (MISA)到GDP增长在10%显著性水平下。然而,对于这两个子时期,没有证据表明MISA与GDP增长之间存在格兰杰因果关系,反之亦然。研究还表明,在观察到的时期内,货币失调相对较小。
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引用次数: 0
Dorothee Bohle and Béla Greskovits: Capitalist Diversity on Europe's Periphery 多萝西·波尔和贝拉·格雷斯科维茨:欧洲边缘的资本主义多样性
IF 0.4 Q2 Economics, Econometrics and Finance Pub Date : 2014-12-29 DOI: 10.15179/CES.16.2.6
Sonja Avlijaš
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引用次数: 1
Investment Strategy on the Zagreb Stock Exchange Based on Dynamic DEA 基于动态DEA的萨格勒布证券交易所投资策略研究
IF 0.4 Q2 Economics, Econometrics and Finance Pub Date : 2014-04-30 DOI: 10.15179/CES.16.1.5
Tihana Škrinjarić
Nowadays, there is a growing interest in the application of quantitative methods in portfolio management, as the results of their application can be used as guidelines for managing a successful investment portfolio, i.e., a portfolio that outperforms the market. This paper deals with the Data Envelopment Analysis (DEA) approach and a Dynamic Slacks-Based Measure as a method of forming a portfolio which would predominantly outperform the market. In order to test the strategy, data on stocks listed on the Zagreb Stock Exchange were gathered for the period April 2009 – June 2012. Using the quarterly returns, standard deviations and coefficients of skewness as links, a dynamic slacks-based measure approach was applied to evaluate the relative efficiency of stocks in each quarter. The findings indicate that a portfolio based on the results of the optimization beats the market in terms of both returns and risk. This is the first implementation of the dynamic DEA model in stock trading. The results suggest that it is superior to basic DEA models.
如今,人们对定量方法在投资组合管理中的应用越来越感兴趣,因为它们的应用结果可以作为管理成功的投资组合的指导方针,也就是说,一个优于市场的投资组合。本文讨论了数据包络分析(DEA)方法和基于slack的动态度量方法,作为形成优于市场的投资组合的方法。为了测试该策略,收集了2009年4月至2012年6月期间在萨格勒布证券交易所上市的股票的数据。利用季度收益、标准差和偏度系数作为联系,采用动态的基于松弛的度量方法来评估每个季度股票的相对效率。研究结果表明,基于优化结果的投资组合在收益和风险方面都优于市场。这是动态DEA模型在股票交易中的首次实现。结果表明,该模型优于基本DEA模型。
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引用次数: 21
Higher Education in the Digital Age, William G. Bowen, Princeton, NJ: Princeton University Press, 2013, pp. 172, ISBN 978-0-691-15930-0 《数字时代的高等教育》,William G. Bowen,普林斯顿,新泽西州:普林斯顿大学出版社,2013年,第172页,ISBN 978-0-691-15930-0
IF 0.4 Q2 Economics, Econometrics and Finance Pub Date : 2014-04-30 DOI: 10.15179/CES.16.1.7
B. Škrinjarić
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引用次数: 0
Justin Yifu Lin: New Structural Economics: A Framework for Rethinking Development and Policy 林毅夫:新结构经济学:重新思考发展与政策的框架
IF 0.4 Q2 Economics, Econometrics and Finance Pub Date : 2014-04-30 DOI: 10.15179/ces.16.1.6
V. Vučković
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引用次数: 2
Resisting Foreign Competition – A Case Study of France and Germany 抵制外来竞争——以法国和德国为例
IF 0.4 Q2 Economics, Econometrics and Finance Pub Date : 2014-04-30 DOI: 10.15179/CES.16.1.3
Thannaletchimy Thanagopal, P. L. Mouel
This article incorporates both the new trade and the endogenous growth theories to study the determinants of import volumes of France and Germany so as to explain their individual industrial competitiveness strategies – price or quality competition. This article is different because it studies competitiveness of a country’s products by considering its resistance to foreign competition rather than considering exports of these countries. Using disaggregated bilateral data for 16 European countries including Japan and the United States across 15 distinctly classified industries over a period of 20 years (between 1991 and 2010), we use an import demand equation to compare the relative product performances of France and Germany vis-a-vis their exporting competitors. To eliminate the price endogeneity problem, we implement a Two Stage Least Squares (2SLS) estimation technique using the cost of production (which includes the unit labor cost and costs of capital and intermediates), mark-up and distance as instrumental variables for import prices. We also proxy innovation and hence product quality using research and development (R&D) intensity, reported in Product Field. We find that French products are highly substitutable vis-a-vis their foreign competitors in contrast to German products. Germany adopts better quality competitive strategies, thus rendering their products less substitutable and highly differentiated vis-a-vis their foreign counterparts.
本文结合新贸易理论和内生增长理论,研究了法德两国进口量的决定因素,从而解释了两国各自的产业竞争力策略——价格竞争还是质量竞争。这篇文章的不同之处在于,它通过考虑一个国家对外国竞争的抵抗力来研究其产品的竞争力,而不是考虑这些国家的出口。利用包括日本和美国在内的16个欧洲国家在20年间(1991年至2010年)15个不同分类行业的分解双边数据,我们使用进口需求方程来比较法国和德国相对于其出口竞争对手的相对产品性能。为了消除价格内质性问题,我们使用生产成本(包括单位劳动力成本、资本和中间体成本)、加价和距离作为进口价格的工具变量,实施了两阶段最小二乘(2SLS)估计技术。我们还代理创新,从而使用研发(R&D)强度的产品质量,报告在产品领域。我们发现,与德国产品相比,法国产品在外国竞争对手面前具有很强的可替代性。德国采取了更好的质量竞争战略,使得其产品相对于国外同类产品的可替代性较低,差异化程度较高。
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引用次数: 3
期刊
Croatian Economic Survey
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