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Solar Irradiance Forecasting for Informed Solar Systems Design and Financing Decisions 预测太阳辐照度,为太阳能系统设计和融资决策提供依据
IF 1.4 Q4 ENGINEERING, ELECTRICAL & ELECTRONIC Pub Date : 2024-06-06 DOI: 10.23919/SAIEE.2024.10551303
Ronewa Mabodi;Jahvaid Hammujuddy
This research presents the implementation and evaluation of machine learning models to predict solar irradiance (W/m2). The objective is to provide valuable insights for making informed decisions regarding solar system design and financing. A thorough exploratory data analysis was conducted on the Southern African Universities Radiometric Network (SAURAN) data collected at the University of Pretoria’s station to gain insights into the patterns of solar irradiance over the past 10 years. Python’s functions and libraries are utilized extensively for conducting exploratory data analysis, model implementation, model testing, forecasting, and data visualization. Random Forest (RF), k-Nearest Neighbors (KNN), Feedforward Neural Network (FFNN), Support Vector Regression (SVR), and eXtreme Gradient Boosting models (XGBoost) are implemented and evaluated. The KNN model was found to be superior achieving a relative Root Mean Squared Error (RMSE), relative Mean Absolute Error (MAE), and R-Squared (R2) of 5.77%, 4.51% and 0.89 respectively on testing data. The variable importance analysis revealed that temperature (X!) exerted the greatest influence on predicting solar irradiance, accounting for 44% of the predictive power. The KNN model is suitable to inform solar systems design and financing decisions. Directions for future studies are identified and suggestions for areas of exploration are provided to contribute to the advancement of solar irradiance predictions.
本研究介绍了预测太阳辐照度(瓦/平方米)的机器学习模型的实施和评估。目的是为太阳能系统的设计和融资决策提供有价值的见解。对比勒陀利亚大学站点收集的南部非洲大学辐射测量网络(SAURAN)数据进行了全面的探索性数据分析,以深入了解过去 10 年的太阳辐照度模式。Python 的函数和库被广泛用于进行探索性数据分析、模型实施、模型测试、预测和数据可视化。随机森林 (RF)、k-近邻 (KNN)、前馈神经网络 (FFNN)、支持向量回归 (SVR) 和极梯度提升模型 (XGBoost) 得到了实施和评估。在测试数据中,KNN 模型的相对均方根误差 (RMSE)、相对平均绝对误差 (MAE) 和 R 平方 (R2) 分别为 5.77%、4.51% 和 0.89。变量重要性分析表明,温度(X!)KNN 模型适用于太阳能系统的设计和融资决策。研究还确定了未来的研究方向,并提出了探索领域的建议,以促进太阳辐照度预测的发展。
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引用次数: 0
Leveraging MobileNetV3 for In-Field Tomato Disease Detection in Malawi via CNN 利用 MobileNetV3,通过 CNN 在马拉维进行番茄病害田间检测
IF 1.4 Q4 ENGINEERING, ELECTRICAL & ELECTRONIC Pub Date : 2024-06-06 DOI: 10.23919/SAIEE.2024.10551304
Lindizgani K. Ndovie;Emmanuel Masabo
Malawi’s economy heavily depends on agriculture, including both commercial and subsistence farming. Smallholder and small-medium enterprises leading the production of tomatoes in Malawi cannot satisfy local demand due to problems such as pests, diseases, unstable markets, and high costs. Many farmers lack the expertise to effectively manage these threats. To address the problem of tomato leaf disease identification, this research aimed to develop an automated system for tomato leaf disease detection by utilizing data augmentation techniques, MobileNetV3, and Convolutional Neural Network algorithms. We trained models on secondary data collected from the public PlantVillage dataset and tested the resultant classifiers on primary data of local farm images. The experimental results demonstrate that both models tested better on the PlantVillage dataset. Additionally, with an accuracy of 92.59% and a loss of 0.2805, the pre-trained MobileNetV3 model conventionally performs better than a CNN model. However, when tested on the primary field dataset, the models did not meet expectations for generalization, with the pre-trained MobileNetV3 achieving an accuracy of 9.2%, and loss of 12.91 and the CNN achieving an accuracy of 10.14%, and loss of 8.11. The experiments aided in showing that the models trained on the PlantVillage dataset are not as effective when applied in real-world scenarios. Further improvements are needed to enhance the models’ generalization in real-world scenarios.
马拉维的经济严重依赖农业,包括商业农业和自给农业。由于病虫害、市场不稳定和成本高昂等问题,马拉维主导番茄生产的小农和中小型企业无法满足当地需求。许多农民缺乏有效管理这些威胁的专业知识。为解决番茄叶病识别问题,本研究旨在利用数据增强技术、MobileNetV3 和卷积神经网络算法开发番茄叶病自动检测系统。我们在从公共 PlantVillage 数据集收集的二级数据上训练了模型,并在本地农场图像的一级数据上测试了由此产生的分类器。实验结果表明,两种模型在植物村数据集上的测试结果都较好。此外,预训练的 MobileNetV3 模型的准确率为 92.59%,损失为 0.2805,传统上比 CNN 模型表现更好。然而,在主要的实地数据集上进行测试时,模型的泛化效果没有达到预期,预训练的 MobileNetV3 的准确率为 9.2%,损失为 12.91,而 CNN 的准确率为 10.14%,损失为 8.11。实验表明,在 PlantVillage 数据集上训练的模型在实际应用中并不那么有效。需要进一步改进,以提高模型在真实世界场景中的泛化能力。
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引用次数: 0
Editors and reviewers 编辑和审查员
IF 1.4 Q4 ENGINEERING, ELECTRICAL & ELECTRONIC Pub Date : 2024-06-06 DOI: 10.23919/SAIEE.2024.10551310
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引用次数: 0
Designing an Autonomous Vehicle Using Sensor Fusion Based on Path Planning and Deep Learning Algorithms 利用基于路径规划和深度学习算法的传感器融合设计自动驾驶汽车
IF 1.4 Q4 ENGINEERING, ELECTRICAL & ELECTRONIC Pub Date : 2024-06-06 DOI: 10.23919/SAIEE.2024.10551314
Bhakti Y. Suprapto;Suci Dwijayanti;Dimsyiar M.A. Hafiz;Farhan A. Ardandy;Javen Jonathan
Autonomous electric vehicles use camera sensors for vision-based steering control and detecting both roads and objects. In this study, road and object detection are combined, utilizing the YOLOv8x-seg model trained for 200 epochs, achieving the lowest segmentation loss at 0.53182. Simulation tests demonstrate accurate road and object detection, effective object distance measurement, and real-time road identification for steering control, successfully keeping the vehicle on track with an average object distance measurement error of2.245 m. Route planning for autonomous vehicles is crucial, and the A-Star algorithm is employed to find the optimal route. In real-time tests, when an obstacle is placed between nodes 6 and 7, the A-Star algorithm can reroute from the original path (5, 6, 7, 27, and 28) to a new path (5, 6, 9, 27, and 28). This study demonstrates the vital role of sensor fusion in autonomous vehicles by integrating various sensors. This study focuses on sensor fusion for object-road detection and path planning using the A* algorithm. Real-time tests in two different scenarios demonstrate the successful integration of sensor fusion, enabling the vehicle to follow planned routes. However, some route nodes remain unreachable, requiring occasional driver intervention. These results demonstrate the feasibility of sensor fusion with diverse tasks in third-level autonomous vehicles.
自动驾驶电动汽车使用摄像头传感器进行基于视觉的转向控制,并同时检测道路和物体。本研究将道路和物体检测结合起来,利用经过 200 次历时训练的 YOLOv8x-seg 模型,实现了 0.53182 的最低分割损失。仿真测试表明,道路和物体检测准确,物体距离测量有效,用于转向控制的实时道路识别成功地使车辆保持在轨道上,平均物体距离测量误差为 2.245 米。在实时测试中,当 6 号和 7 号节点之间有障碍物时,A-Star 算法可以从原来的路径(5、6、7、27 和 28)重新选择新路径(5、6、9、27 和 28)。本研究通过整合各种传感器,证明了传感器融合在自动驾驶汽车中的重要作用。本研究的重点是使用 A* 算法对目标-道路检测和路径规划进行传感器融合。在两种不同场景下进行的实时测试表明,传感器融合的成功整合使车辆能够按照规划的路线行驶。不过,有些路线节点仍然无法到达,需要驾驶员偶尔进行干预。这些结果表明,在第三级自动驾驶汽车中执行不同任务的传感器融合是可行的。
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引用次数: 0
Notes for authors 作者须知
IF 1.4 Q4 ENGINEERING, ELECTRICAL & ELECTRONIC Pub Date : 2024-06-06 DOI: 10.23919/SAIEE.2024.10551320
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引用次数: 0
Editors and reviewers 编辑和审查员
IF 1.4 Q4 ENGINEERING, ELECTRICAL & ELECTRONIC Pub Date : 2024-03-08 DOI: 10.23919/SAIEE.2024.10463749
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引用次数: 0
Self-synchronizing on-off-keying visible light communication system for intra- and inter-vehicle data transmission 用于车内和车间数据传输的自同步开关键控可见光通信系统
IF 1.4 Q4 ENGINEERING, ELECTRICAL & ELECTRONIC Pub Date : 2024-03-08 DOI: 10.23919/SAIEE.2024.10463748
S. Achari;A. Y. Yang;J. Goodhead;B. Swanepoel;L. Cheng
Visible light communication is a present technology which allows data to be transmitted by modulating information onto a light source. It has many advantages over traditional radio frequency communication and up to 10,000 times larger bandwidth. Many existing research in visible light communication assumes a synchronized channel, however, this is not always easily achieved. This paper proposes a novel synchronized VLC system with the potential to ensure reliable communication in both intra- and inter-vehicle communication. The protocol achieves synchronization at the symbol level using the transistor-transistor logic protocol and achieves frame synchronizations with markers. Consequently, the deployment of the system in both intra- and inter-vehicle communication may present numerous advantages over existing data transmission processes. A practical application where visible light communication is used for media streaming is also previewed. In addition, various regions of possible data transmission are determined to infer forward error correction schemes to ensure reliable communication.
可见光通信是目前一种通过将信息调制到光源上进行数据传输的技术。与传统的射频通信相比,可见光通信具有许多优势,其带宽最高可达 10,000 倍。现有的许多可见光通信研究都假设有一个同步信道,但这并不容易实现。本文提出了一种新型同步 VLC 系统,有望确保车内和车际通信的可靠性。该协议使用晶体管-晶体管逻辑协议实现符号级同步,并通过标记实现帧同步。因此,与现有的数据传输流程相比,在车内和车际通信中部署该系统具有诸多优势。此外,还预览了将可见光通信用于媒体流的实际应用。此外,还确定了各种可能的数据传输区域,以推断前向纠错方案,确保通信的可靠性。
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引用次数: 0
Green hydrogen: A clean energy solution for Germany's transportation sector 绿色氢能:德国交通领域的清洁能源解决方案
IF 1.4 Q4 ENGINEERING, ELECTRICAL & ELECTRONIC Pub Date : 2024-03-08 DOI: 10.23919/SAIEE.2024.10463751
A. D. Asiegbu;M. T. E. Kahn;A. M. Almaktoof
The need for sustainable and environmentally friendly energy sources is very important if future generations are to be spared of the misdoings of past generations. Climate change, environmental pollution, radiation pollution, and altering of the balanced ecology of the green planet earth is now a significant challenge, because if not mitigated, some island nations will disappear in the future, due to human activities energized by unsustainable fossil fuels. Based on these facts, Germany has taken concrete and important steps to stem the tide of this ill wind by embracing the Green Hydrogen system. This is more obvious in the transport system that produces more than 40% of Green House Gases in Europe. Because Germany is an industrialized European nation, the government has introduced Green Hydrogen for transportation in accordance with European Union energy policy. Therefore, this paper provides a clear, concise analysis and implementation of Green Hydrogen energy in the smart energy system. The paper presents Green Hydrogen analysis in transportation in four sections, namely, Geographical, Chemical, social, and economic aspects, respectively. The last section of this paper is the discussion of results from cost/feasibility analysis, which shows that although the expected or forecasted GH cost is US$7.11per kg from 2020 to 2050, the current growth in the green hydrogen infrastructure and technology, reduced the overall cost of GH in 2020 to $1.60/kg. An erudite conclusion and recommendations are made at the end of this research.
要想让子孙后代免受前人的祸害,就必须使用可持续的环保能源。气候变化、环境污染、辐射污染以及改变绿色地球的生态平衡是目前面临的一个重大挑战,因为如果不加以缓解,一些岛国将在未来消失,原因是人类活动使用了不可持续的化石燃料。基于这些事实,德国已经采取了具体而重要的措施,通过采用绿色氢能系统来阻止这股恶风。这一点在产生欧洲 40% 以上温室气体的运输系统中表现得更为明显。由于德国是欧洲工业化国家,政府已根据欧盟能源政策在交通领域引入绿色氢能。因此,本文对智能能源系统中的绿色氢能源进行了简明扼要的分析和实施。本文分别从地理、化学、社会和经济四个方面对绿色氢能在交通领域的应用进行了分析。本文最后一部分讨论了成本/可行性分析的结果,结果表明,尽管 2020 年至 2050 年预期或预测的温室气体成本为每公斤 7.11 美元,但目前绿色氢能基础设施和技术的发展,使 2020 年温室气体的总体成本降至每公斤 1.60 美元。本研究报告的最后提出了详尽的结论和建议。
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引用次数: 0
Evaluation of unconventional partial discharge and tan delta assessment techniques on medium voltage cable terminations with artificial defects 对带有人工缺陷的中压电缆终端的非常规局部放电和 tan delta 评估技术的评估
IF 1.4 Q4 ENGINEERING, ELECTRICAL & ELECTRONIC Pub Date : 2024-03-08 DOI: 10.23919/SAIEE.2024.10463754
J. V. Bissett;P. A. van Vuuren;J. J. Walker
Reliable cable systems are of utmost importance for electricity distribution- and grid networks. Cable terminations are key components of cable systems but also contribute significantly towards unwanted cable failures and power outages. Although well-developed standards exist in the electricity industry, it is not always possible to execute the most effective tests at power frequency due to financial or logistical reasons. Hence, withstand voltage- and Partial Discharge tests at power frequency are only conducted at a low percentage of electricity utilities. This paper presents the evaluation of unconventional partial discharge fault detection techniques and Very Low Frequency Tan Delta measurements on different cable termination defects. Five artificial cable termination defects were created on single core 6.35/11kV cross linked polyethylene cables, with one “defect-free” termination and five defective ones. Power frequency voltage was applied at increased voltage steps to initiate aging acceleration due to partial discharge. This resulted in insulation deterioration and eventual termination failure. Different data sets were obtained from the Very Low Frequency Tan Delta measurements as well as for the unconventional Partial Discharge measurements. The sequence of failures is compared between the two data sets and evaluated against the root cause failures of the terminations as evaluated by an industry expert. High Frequency Current Transformer and capacitive coupling sensors were used together with an advanced partial discharge data acquisition system. Partial discharge analysis was done to relate the specific on-line trending data with termination failure. Good correlation was found between the two data sets which supports the utilization of unconventional partial discharge measurement for cable acceptance testing. It would be beneficial for the electricity industry to consider unconventional Partial Discharge technology as a suitable alternative for on-site acceptance tests for cable terminations.
可靠的电缆系统对配电和电网网络至关重要。电缆终端是电缆系统的关键部件,但也是造成电缆故障和停电的重要原因。虽然电力行业已制定了完善的标准,但由于资金或物流原因,并不总是能在工频下执行最有效的测试。因此,只有很少一部分电力公司会进行工频耐压和局部放电测试。本文介绍了非常规局部放电故障检测技术和超低频 Tan Delta 测量对不同电缆终端缺陷的评估。在单芯 6.35/11kV 交联聚乙烯电缆上人为制造了五个电缆终端缺陷,其中一个为 "无缺陷 "终端,五个为有缺陷终端。以增加的电压阶跃施加工频电压,以启动局部放电导致的老化加速。这导致绝缘老化,最终导致终端失效。从甚低频 Tan Delta 测量和非常规局部放电测量中获得了不同的数据集。比较了两组数据的故障顺序,并根据行业专家评估的终端故障根本原因进行了评估。高频电流互感器和电容耦合传感器与先进的局部放电数据采集系统一起使用。通过局部放电分析,将特定的在线趋势数据与终端故障联系起来。发现这两个数据集之间存在良好的相关性,从而支持将非常规局部放电测量用于电缆验收测试。考虑将非常规局部放电技术作为电缆终端现场验收测试的合适替代方案,对电力行业大有裨益。
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引用次数: 0
Notes for authors 作者须知
IF 1.4 Q4 ENGINEERING, ELECTRICAL & ELECTRONIC Pub Date : 2024-03-08 DOI: 10.23919/SAIEE.2024.10463753
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引用次数: 0
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SAIEE Africa Research Journal
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