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The China-Italy Comprehensive Strategic Partnership: Overview and Pathways to Progress 中意全面战略伙伴关系:概述与发展路径
IF 0.2 Q3 Social Sciences Pub Date : 2021-08-05 DOI: 10.1142/S2377740020500153
Men Honghua, Jiang Pengfei
2020, the year that the world was engulfed by the Covid-19 pandemic, was also the 50th anniversary of diplomatic relations between China and Italy. The China-Italy comprehensive strategic partnership plays an important role in deepening China-EU cooperation, advancing the Belt and Road Initiative, and building a community with a shared future for humanity. China-Italy relations should be studied within the analytical framework of strategic partnership which has gained traction in China’s foreign policy narrative. Beijing’s pursuit of strategic partnerships aims at forging stable and enduring relations that are driven by common interests in a world of proliferating challenges and geopolitical uncertainties. While making steady progress, the partnership is also facing multi-dimensional challenges. China and Italy should strengthen strategic dialogue to build mutual trust and constantly improve their institutionalized cooperation. Economically, they should work out broader areas for collaboration and better manage their competition to achieve win-win results. At the level of people-to-people exchange, mutual understanding and trust should be enhanced to eliminate misconception and prejudice. At the regional level, the China-EU-Italy trilateral relationship should be consolidated to shield bilateral cooperation from the volatility of China-EU relations. In the global arena, China and Italy should also step up efforts to catalyze international financial reforms and address global challenges such as climate change, economic governance, and global public health emergencies by improving policy coordination and aligning global strategies.
2020年是新冠肺炎疫情席卷全球的一年,也是中意建交50周年。中日全面战略伙伴关系对深化中欧合作、推进“一带一路”倡议建设、构建人类命运共同体具有重要作用。中意关系应在战略伙伴关系的分析框架内进行研究,战略伙伴关系在中国外交政策叙事中得到了推动。北京寻求战略伙伴关系的目的是在一个充满挑战和地缘政治不确定性的世界中,建立由共同利益驱动的稳定和持久的关系。伙伴关系在稳步发展的同时,也面临多方面挑战。中意应加强战略对话,增进互信,不断完善制度化合作。在经济上,他们应该制定更广泛的合作领域,更好地管理竞争,以实现双赢。在人文交流层面,应增进相互理解和信任,消除误解和偏见。在地区层面,应巩固中欧-意大利三方关系,使双边合作免受中欧关系波动的影响。在全球舞台上,中意还应加强政策协调,调整全球战略,推动国际金融改革,应对气候变化、经济治理和全球突发公共卫生事件等全球性挑战。
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引用次数: 1
Regional Connectivity in Pakistan and Central Asian Republics 巴基斯坦和中亚共和国的区域互联互通
IF 0.2 Q3 Social Sciences Pub Date : 2021-01-01 DOI: 10.1142/s2377740021500147
Sarwat Rauf
This article analyzes the emerging economic corridors and growing geographical connectivity in Pakistan and Central Asian Republics (CARs). It hypothesizes that economic corridors and infrastructure building in CARs and Pakistan are connecting inaccessible areas to prosperous regions. The idea of geographical connectivity through economic corridors is not new for landlocked Central Asia and least connected South Asia. In the past some efforts have been made to connect South Asia with Central Asia by great powers. However, such efforts had been overshadowed by tensions between key regional states and political hostilities within states. Since China is facilitating Pakistan and CARs in the building of new infrastructure to make remote areas accessible, several political and regional changes are taking place. Construction of new corridors presents diverse challenges for Pakistan and Central Asia. The article specifies a conceptual understanding of regional connectivity through economic corridors, and then underlines the set-up of new infrastructure. It also assesses the problems attached to the connectivity projects. Currently, connectivity projects under the Belt and Road Initiative have been modernizing the old trade routes in Central and South Asia, and new infrastructure is being built, granting opportunities of increased trade. Even though the announcement of regional connectivity projects by China in Pakistan and CARs has raised hopes as well as suspicions, CARs and Pakistan are visibly involved in the accomplishment of regional connectivity.
本文分析了巴基斯坦和中亚共和国(CARs)新兴经济走廊和日益增长的地理连通性。报告假设,中非共和国和巴基斯坦的经济走廊和基础设施建设正在将交通不便的地区与繁荣地区连接起来。通过经济走廊实现地理上的互联互通,对于内陆的中亚和连通程度最低的南亚来说并不新鲜。在过去,一些大国为连接南亚和中亚做出了一些努力。然而,这些努力因地区主要国家之间的紧张关系和国家内部的政治敌对行动而蒙上阴影。由于中国正在帮助巴基斯坦和中非共和国建设新的基础设施,使偏远地区能够进入,一些政治和地区变化正在发生。新走廊的建设给巴基斯坦和中亚带来了各种挑战。文章详细阐述了通过经济走廊实现区域互联互通的概念,然后强调了新基础设施的建立。报告还评估了与互联互通项目相关的问题。当前,“一带一路”倡议下的互联互通项目正在使中亚和南亚的旧贸易路线现代化,新的基础设施正在建设中,为增加贸易提供了机会。尽管中国在巴基斯坦和金砖国家宣布的区域互联互通项目给人们带来了希望和怀疑,但金砖国家和巴基斯坦显然参与了实现区域互联互通。
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引用次数: 1
The Future of the Indo-Pacific 印度-太平洋的未来
IF 0.2 Q3 Social Sciences Pub Date : 2021-01-01 DOI: 10.1142/s2377740021500093
Gui Xi
With rising geopolitical tensions in the Indo-Pacific, ASEAN is running the risk of becoming a victim of a hegemonic war against China waged by the United States and its Quad partners, a pessimistic scenario for the future of the Indo-Pacific. However, ASEAN has made it clear that ASEAN centrality should play a leading role in shaping the emerging regional architecture. ASEAN’s unique geopolitical position, the ASEAN Way as a special socialization process, and its extensive engaging networks with major powers can help the regional grouping obtain bargaining power to maintain its centrality. Also, the robust China-ASEAN relations can also facilitate ASEAN to maintain its centrality and thus avoid the trap of great power rivalry in the Indo-Pacific.
随着印太地区地缘政治紧张局势的加剧,东盟面临着成为美国及其四方伙伴对中国发动的霸权战争受害者的风险,这对印太地区的未来来说是一种悲观的情况。然而,东盟明确表示,东盟中心地位应在塑造新兴区域架构方面发挥主导作用。东盟独特的地缘政治地位、作为特殊社会化进程的东盟方式及其与大国的广泛接触网络,可以帮助该地区集团获得议价能力,以保持其中心地位。此外,中国与东盟关系的强大也有助于东盟保持其中心地位,从而避免印太地区大国竞争的陷阱。
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引用次数: 4
U.S.-China Relations Under the Trump Administration: Changes and Challenges 特朗普政府下的美中关系:变化与挑战
IF 0.2 Q3 Social Sciences Pub Date : 2020-02-19 DOI: 10.1142/s2377740019500210
Sanja Arežina
The beginning of the 21st century witnessed remarkable changes in the distribution of global power. The lack of strategic vision by the United States has resulted in a power crisis, which in turn accelerates the trends of new multipolarity with several power centers in the world. Since President Trump took office in January 2017, the United States has been challenging the established norms of international relations on many fronts and, in particular, shifting its policy toward China to one that trumpets geopolitical rivalry amid their economic interdependence. The ever increasing anxiety of the United States has undermined multilateralism and globalization, generating profound consequences and impacts on major-power relations around the world. In the future, Washington and Beijing must seek common goals that can bring them together to resolve disagreements and set boundaries for potential conflicts. The U.S. leadership should always keep in mind that China is an important partner; and if the two powers fail to cooperate, there will be devastating implications for the whole world. In the meantime, Washington and Beijing need to be aware that an acute conflict of any kind between two high-tech countries may substantially change the world for all.
21世纪初,全球力量分布发生了显著变化。美国缺乏战略眼光导致了一场权力危机,这反过来又加速了世界上几个权力中心的新多极趋势。自特朗普总统2017年1月上任以来,美国一直在许多方面挑战既定的国际关系准则,尤其是将其对华政策转变为在经济相互依存的情况下宣扬地缘政治竞争的政策。美国日益增长的焦虑破坏了多边主义和全球化,对世界大国关系产生了深远影响。未来,华盛顿和北京必须寻求共同的目标,使他们能够共同解决分歧,并为潜在冲突设定界限。美国领导层应该始终牢记,中国是重要的合作伙伴;如果这两个大国不能合作,将对整个世界产生毁灭性的影响。与此同时,华盛顿和北京需要意识到,两个高科技国家之间的任何形式的严重冲突都可能极大地改变世界。
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引用次数: 2
Boundary Standoff and China-India Relations: A Chinese Scholar’s Perspective 边界对峙与中印关系:一个中国学者的视角
IF 0.2 Q3 Social Sciences Pub Date : 2020-01-01 DOI: 10.1142/s2377740020500141
Z. Liu
The China-Indian boundary and territorial dispute is one of the major issues affecting Sino-Indian bilateral relations. This issue was a legacy of the British colonialists, but unfortunately, it has been fully inherited by the Indian ruling class. Over the past 60 years, China and India have missed three opportunities to resolve this issue. The Indian ruling class wanted to achieve “absolute security” and therefore introduced a “forward policy”, which led to the 1962 conflict. After the war, India occupied almost all of the strategic commanding heights in the border area between the two countries by continuously encroaching on Chinese territory and pushing the Line of Actual Control (LAC) toward the Chinese side. After Prime Minister Modi came to power in 2014, he adopted the Doval Doctrine and “offensive defense” policy in the border area, with a view to continuing the encroachment on Chinese territory and occupying the strategic commanding heights. The aim was to force China to resolve the border issue in accordance with India’s intentions, so that India can then shift its strategic focus to the Indian Ocean. China-U.S. strategic rivalry and Hindu nationalism have fueled India’s behavior in the border region, and the peaceful resolution of the 2017 Donglang/Doklam standoff has emboldened India, making the bloodshed in Galwan Valley an inevitable incident. That India’s Home Minister Amit Shah categorically declared in August 2019 in Parliament that Aksai Chin was part of new Ladakh Union Territory shows that the Indian government has restored its position on the western sector boundary that the Vajpayee Administration had abandoned in 2003. India is using the Galwan conflict as an excuse to pursue its policy of economic de-Sinicization and strategic alliance with the U.S. and other Western countries. In the future, China-Indian border conflict is likely to become commonplace due to India’s expansionism.
中印边界和领土争端是影响中印双边关系的重大问题之一。这个问题是英国殖民主义者遗留下来的,但不幸的是,它被印度统治阶级完全继承了。60年来,中印三次错失解决这一问题的机会。印度统治阶级希望实现“绝对安全”,因此推出了“前进政策”,这导致了1962年的冲突。战后,印度通过不断侵占中国领土,将实际控制线推向中国一侧,占领了两国边境地区几乎所有的战略制高点。2014年莫迪总理上台后,在边境地区推行“多瓦尔主义”和“进攻性防御”政策,意在继续侵占中国领土,占领战略制高点。其目的是迫使中国按照印度的意图解决边界问题,这样印度就可以将战略重点转移到印度洋。中美。战略竞争和印度教民族主义助长了印度在边境地区的行为,2017年东朗/洞朗对峙的和平解决使印度更加大胆,使加尔万河谷的流血事件成为不可避免的事件。印度内政部长阿米特·沙阿于2019年8月在议会明确宣布阿克赛钦是新拉达克联邦领土的一部分,这表明印度政府已经恢复了瓦杰帕伊政府在2003年放弃的西段边界的地位。印度正以加尔湾冲突为借口,推行其经济去中国化政策,并与美国和其他西方国家结成战略联盟。未来,由于印度的扩张主义,中印边境冲突可能会变得司空见惯。
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引用次数: 0
Regional Transformation of the Horn of Africa 非洲之角的区域转型
IF 0.2 Q3 Social Sciences Pub Date : 2020-01-01 DOI: 10.1142/s2377740020500190
Chun Zhang
The Horn of Africa (HoA) is on the threshold of a long-term transformation as the result of a confluence of political, economic, and social changes, namely, generational political leadership turnover as a reflection of the rise of a younger population; a palpable shift in governance approach from a “security-first” model to a “development-centered” one; and the return of geopolitics across the Red Sea, following global and regional political realignments. To steer the transformation in a sustainable and peaceful direction, the HoA has to enlist the assistance of external actors both as a source of trade and investment and as guarantors of regional peace and stability. This region-wide transformation presents challenges and opportunities for the implementation of the Chinese-proposed Belt and Road Initiative (BRI). Beijing should better align the economic connectivity-focused BRI with the development-centered approach of regional states, build national and regional capacity for HoA security governance, and join local and external actors in a multilateral effort to ensure a peaceful, secure, and economically dynamic HoA.
由于政治、经济和社会变革的汇合,非洲之角(HoA)正处于长期转型的边缘,即世代政治领导人更替反映了年轻人口的崛起;治理方法从“安全第一”模式明显转变为“以发展为中心”模式;以及在全球和地区政治调整之后,红海地缘政治的回归。为了引导转型朝着可持续与和平的方向发展,HoA必须寻求外部行为者的援助,既是贸易和投资的来源,也是地区和平与稳定的保障者。这一区域性转变为中国提出的“一带一路”倡议的实施带来了挑战和机遇。北京应更好地将以经济互联互通为重点的“一带一路”倡议与地区国家以发展为中心的方针相结合,建设国家和地区HoA安全治理能力,并与当地和外部行为者一道,共同努力确保HoA的和平、安全和经济活力。
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引用次数: 1
Beware the Kindleberger Trap in Global Health Governance 警惕全球卫生治理中的金德尔伯格陷阱
IF 0.2 Q3 Social Sciences Pub Date : 2020-01-01 DOI: 10.1142/s2377740020500177
Jiyong Jin
The Covid-19 pandemic is both a public health crisis and a stress test for global health governance. Effective health governance hinges on the provision of global public goods for health. Generally, the hegemon underwrites the operation and stability of the global public health architecture by ensuring the sustained supply of global public goods for health. But when the hegemon is unable or unwilling to shoulder this responsibility, global health governance may run the risk of falling into a Kindleberger Trap. The leadership vacuum that is opening up amid the coronavirus pandemic is accelerating the process. At present, China should adopt a three-pronged approach to promote bilateral health cooperation with leading countries like the United States, strengthen regional institution-building with ASEAN, South Korea, Japan, and Belt and Road countries, and improve the performance, credibility, and integrity of global organizations like the WHO and G-20. The Kindleberger Trap in global health governance can be overcome by adapting regional health coordination to make it more agile and effective.
新冠肺炎大流行既是一场公共卫生危机,也是对全球卫生治理的压力测试。有效的卫生治理取决于为卫生提供全球公共产品。一般来说,霸主通过确保全球卫生公共产品的持续供应,为全球公共卫生架构的运作和稳定提供保障。但当霸主无法或不愿承担这一责任时,全球卫生治理可能会陷入金德尔伯格陷阱。在新冠疫情期间出现的领导真空正在加速这一进程。当前,中国应三管齐下,推进与美国等主要国家的双边卫生合作,加强与东盟、韩国、日本、“一带一路”国家的区域制度建设,提高世界卫生组织、二十国集团等全球性组织的绩效、公信力和完整性。全球卫生治理中的金德尔伯格陷阱可以通过调整区域卫生协调来克服,使其更加灵活和有效。
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引用次数: 0
Changes in International Arms Control and China’s Role 国际军控的变化与中国的作用
IF 0.2 Q3 Social Sciences Pub Date : 2020-01-01 DOI: 10.1142/s2377740020500128
Chunsi Wu
The international arms control regime has arrived at a crossroads as the United States pulls out of a number of international treaties and launches a new round of defense and military buildup in pursuit of absolute strategic and technological superiority. Under the Trump administration’s “America First” doctrine, Washington is leading the global arms control cause astray. The article traces the international arms control regime’s liberal institutionalist roots and situates the positions of the world’s largest nuclear powers in it. It analyzes the strengths and weaknesses of the regime and put forward a number of policy measures to improve it. It argues that the officially recognized nuclear powers, especially the United States and Russia, should assume the lion’s share of maintaining global strategic stability. The author highlights the most urgent challenges in the current arms control regime and outlines China’s role and responsibilities as a rising military power in the evolution of the arms control cause.
美国退出一系列国际条约,推进新一轮国防和军事建设,谋求绝对战略和技术优势,国际军控体系正走到十字路口。在特朗普政府的“美国优先”主义下,华盛顿正在将全球军备控制事业引入歧途。这篇文章追溯了国际军控制度的自由制度根源,并将世界上最大的核大国的立场置于其中。分析了该制度的优缺点,并提出了完善该制度的若干政策措施。它认为,官方承认的核大国,尤其是美国和俄罗斯,应该承担维护全球战略稳定的最大责任。作者强调了当前军控体制中最紧迫的挑战,并概述了中国作为一个新兴军事大国在军控事业演变中的作用和责任。
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引用次数: 0
Cyclical Globalization and China’s Strategic Options 周期性全球化与中国的战略选择
IF 0.2 Q3 Social Sciences Pub Date : 2020-01-01 DOI: 10.1142/s2377740020500207
Shuai Feng
As the backdrop for contemporary international relations, globalization reflects the way economic and political power are distributed, and provides the grand context for China’s strategic planning. The history and logic of globalization have shown that underpinned by a system of nation-states, globalization proceeds according to an inescapable cyclical pattern. Globalization suffered major setbacks in the aftermath of the 2008 financial crisis and is likely to further lose steam amid an evolving Covid-19 pandemic. A low-ebb phase of globalization will present an increasingly complicated strategic environment featuring intensifying great power rivalry, regionalized supply chains, and growing technology competition. Beijing remains determined to integrate further into the world, but to adapt to a new strategic environment, will vigorously implement the newly unveiled dual circulation strategy. As China sees it, despite all the major setbacks, globalization is an irreversible mega-trend but it will be driven by a new underlying logic.
全球化作为当代国际关系的大背景,反映了经济和政治权力的分配方式,为中国的战略规划提供了大背景。全球化的历史和逻辑表明,在民族国家体系的支撑下,全球化按照不可避免的循环模式进行。2008年金融危机后,全球化遭遇重大挫折,在新冠肺炎疫情不断演变的情况下,全球化可能进一步失去动力。全球化的低谷期将呈现出日益复杂的战略环境,大国竞争加剧,供应链区域化,技术竞争加剧。北京仍然决心进一步融入世界,但要适应新的战略环境,将大力实施新公布的双循环战略。在中国看来,尽管经历了所有重大挫折,全球化是一个不可逆转的大趋势,但它将由一个新的基本逻辑驱动。
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引用次数: 1
China’s Involvement in Syria’s Postwar Reconstruction 中国参与叙利亚战后重建
IF 0.2 Q3 Social Sciences Pub Date : 2020-01-01 DOI: 10.1142/s2377740020500165
Xinping Zhang, Jiawei Dai
After years of war and chaos, the situation in Syria has stabilized with the active intervention of external forces, providing necessary conditions for national reconstruction. Security reconstruction, economic recovery, and political reconciliation will be the three key areas in post-civil war rebuilding. As an important node country along the Belt and Road Initiative, Syria’s urgent need for reconstruction makes it possible for China to play a larger role. Deeper Chinese involvement in postwar reconstruction will not only help restore political and economic order in a war-torn country and its neighborhood, but also improve Beijing’s image as a responsible stakeholder. At the same time, Beijing may find a bumpy road ahead as great power rivalry, Syria’s factional politics and weak economic foundation, and regional terrorism will pose significant challenges. While economic reconstruction should be the focus of Beijing’s efforts, China should also not lose sight of the role it can play in facilitating national political reconciliation in Syria.
经过多年战乱,叙利亚局势在外部势力积极干预下趋于稳定,为国家重建提供了必要条件。安全重建、经济复苏和政治和解将是内战后重建的三个关键领域。叙利亚是“一带一路”建设的重要节点国,重建的迫切需要为中国发挥更大作用提供了条件。中国更深入地参与战后重建,不仅有助于恢复这个饱受战争蹂躏的国家及其周边地区的政治和经济秩序,还将改善北京作为一个负责任的利益相关者的形象。与此同时,由于大国之间的竞争,叙利亚的派系政治和薄弱的经济基础,以及地区恐怖主义将构成重大挑战,北京可能会发现一条崎岖不平的道路。虽然经济重建应该是北京方面努力的重点,但中国也不应忽视它在促进叙利亚全国政治和解方面可以发挥的作用。
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引用次数: 0
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China Quarterly of International Strategic Studies
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