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The Effect of Government Debt on Private Investment in Advanced Economies: Does Institutional Quality Matter? 发达经济体政府债务对私人投资的影响:制度质量重要吗?
IF 0.6 Q3 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2022-03-16 DOI: 10.47743/saeb-2022-0006
Van Nguyen
Unlike developing economies, advanced economies easily borrow debt to finance budget deficits. Government debt is one of the active measures of fiscal policy in these economies to run the economy and overcome its cyclicality. Most related studies note that government debt reduces private investment. Does it hold for advanced economies? Does institutional quality significantly affect the government debt – private investment relationship in these economies? For the answer, the study applies the PMG estimator (PMG) and the two-step difference GMM Arellano & Bond estimator (D-GMM) to investigate the impacts of government debt, institutional quality, and their interaction on private investment in 36 advanced economies from 2002 through 2019. The estimated results report that government debt crowds out private investment, while institutional quality enhances it. However, their interaction crowds out it. It seems counter-intuitive. Besides, economic growth and trade openness increase private investment while inflation decreases it. These results indicate the crucial implications for central governments in advanced countries in using and managing government debt.
与发展中经济体不同,发达经济体很容易通过举债来弥补预算赤字。政府债务是这些经济体财政政策的积极措施之一,以管理经济并克服其周期性。大多数相关研究指出,政府债务减少了私人投资。它适用于发达经济体吗?制度质量是否会显著影响这些经济体的政府债务与私人投资关系?为了得到答案,本研究应用PMG估计量(PMG)和两步差分GMM-Arellano&Bond估计量(D-GMM)调查了2002年至2019年36个发达经济体的政府债务、制度质量及其相互作用对私人投资的影响。估计结果显示,政府债务挤掉了私人投资,而机构质量提高了私人投资。然而,它们的互动挤掉了。这似乎与直觉相悖。此外,经济增长和贸易开放增加了私人投资,而通货膨胀降低了私人投资。这些结果表明,发达国家的中央政府在使用和管理政府债务方面具有重要意义。
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引用次数: 0
Financial Inclusion, Poverty, and Income Inequality: Evidence from High, Middle, and Low-income Countries 普惠金融、贫困和收入不平等:来自高、中、低收入国家的证据
IF 0.6 Q3 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2022-03-11 DOI: 10.47743/saeb-2022-0005
Driss Tsouli
The past two decades have witnessed a high national importance to financial inclusion around the world. This paper intends to explore the impact of financial inclusion on poverty reduction and income inequality in the world, high, middle, and low-income countries. For this purpose, a new composite financial inclusion was constructed with three dimensions for finding various macroeconomic variables affecting the level of financial inclusion for 122 economies, including 32 from high-income, 38 from upper middle income, 38 from lower middle income, and 14 from low-income countries. Then the impact of financial inclusion, on poverty and income inequality, for the world and then for high, middle, and low-income countries was investigated. The estimates reveal that rule of law significantly affects financial inclusion for the world, high, middle, and low-income countries. But age dependency ratio influences the financial inclusion only for our full sample. However, population density significantly decreases financial inclusion just in the full sample and Upper middle-income countries. Education completion impacts significantly financial inclusion just in upper middle income. While literacy has a higher impact on financial inclusion in high-income countries. The findings also indicate that financial inclusion is significantly correlated with lower poverty for the full sample. The link between financial inclusion and income inequality has been found for high-income countries and lower-middle-income countries.
在过去的二十年里,各国都高度重视金融包容性。本文旨在探讨金融包容性对世界、高收入、中等收入和低收入国家减贫和收入不平等的影响。为此,构建了一个新的复合金融包容性模型,该模型具有三个维度,用于寻找影响122个经济体金融包容性水平的各种宏观经济变量,其中32个来自高收入国家,38个来自中上收入国家,38%来自中下收入国家,14个来自低收入国家。然后调查了金融包容性对贫困和收入不平等的影响,对世界以及高收入、中等收入和低收入国家的影响。这些估计表明,法治对世界、高收入、中等收入和低收入国家的金融包容性产生了重大影响。但年龄抚养比仅对我们的全样本影响金融包容性。然而,仅在全样本和中等偏上收入国家,人口密度显著降低了金融包容性。教育完成对中等偏上收入人群的金融包容性产生了显著影响。而在高收入国家,识字对金融包容性的影响更大。研究结果还表明,在整个样本中,金融包容性与较低的贫困程度显著相关。高收入国家和中低收入国家的金融包容性与收入不平等之间存在联系。
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引用次数: 1
Does the Remittance Generate Economic Growth in the South East European Countries? 汇款是否促进了东南欧国家的经济增长?
IF 0.6 Q3 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2022-03-11 DOI: 10.47743/saeb-2022-0004
Kaltrina Kajtazi, Besnik Fetai
This paper aims to examine the causal relationships between remittances and economic growth in 10 Southeast European developing countries, including Greece as a developed country. The research uses various econometric techniques, such as OLS, fixed-effects model, random-effects model, and Hausman-Taylor IV estimators. The regression results have shown up that there is a positive link between remittances and economic growth in 10 Southeastern European countries. Findings support the hypothesis that the remittance inflows generate economic growth in 10 Southeast European countries. Despite this, a positive relationship is also revealed between foreign direct investment, final consumption expenditure, gross capital formation, exports, and economic growth. The only exchange rate does not have a causal link on economic growth, meaning that the exchange rate does not affect economic growth. Since the remittances have a positive effect on the economic growth, and they represent a large source of external financing in Southeast European countries, the government should implement the right policies to reflect on encouraging and channelizing the remittance inflows for investment purposes, which in turn lead to a reduction of migration and unemployment. The study is original and makes effort to promote the role and significance of remittance inflows in the Southeast European developing countries, including Greece. The findings of the study might be valuable for Governments of these countries and other policymakers to channels remittances for investment purposes.
本文旨在考察包括发达国家希腊在内的10个东南欧发展中国家的汇款与经济增长之间的因果关系。该研究使用了各种计量经济学技术,如OLS、固定效应模型、随机效应模型和Hausman-TaylorIV估计量。回归结果表明,10个东南欧国家的汇款与经济增长之间存在正相关。研究结果支持汇款流入在10个东南欧国家产生经济增长的假设。尽管如此,外国直接投资、最终消费支出、资本形成总额、出口和经济增长之间也存在积极关系。唯一的汇率与经济增长没有因果关系,这意味着汇率不会影响经济增长。由于汇款对经济增长有积极影响,而且汇款是东南欧国家的一个重要外部融资来源,政府应实施正确的政策,鼓励和引导汇款流入投资目的,从而减少移民和失业。该研究具有独创性,旨在促进汇款流入在包括希腊在内的东南欧发展中国家的作用和意义。这项研究的结果可能对这些国家的政府和其他政策制定者将汇款用于投资目的很有价值。
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引用次数: 4
Joining the Anti-Brand Communities on the Internet: Who and Why 加入互联网上的反品牌社区:谁和为什么
IF 0.6 Q3 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2022-03-10 DOI: 10.47743/saeb-2022-0003
Amélia Brandão, P. Popoli, Inês Passos Tomás
This paper aimed to empirically deepen our understanding of the growing phenomenon of negative consumer-brand relationships in the Internet, striving to investigate “who and why” consumers join anti-brand communities against the top ten global brands. In particular, this study aims to investigate whether the consumers’ profile affects whether they develop negative feelings or not, and the main reasons for their negative feelings. Methodologically, this study is based on the quantitative methodology of the survey and on the statistical verification of several research hypotheses formulated on the impact of the main consumer characteristics (gender, age, country of origin, education, empathy) on their behavior towards the hated brands. Regarding “who”, our findings show that gender, age and country of origin are the main consumer characteristics affecting both their negative feelings towards brands and their willingness to join an anti-brand community. Regarding “why”, low quality of products/services and a lack of corporate social responsibility are the main reasons for hating brands. Finally, this study contributes to knowledge of negative consumer-brand relationships in the Internet domain and provides advanced insights into consumer behavior with reference to the top global brands. It also encourages further research on the interconnections among the central questions of this paper, i.e., who and why individuals join anti-brand communities, and represents a starting point for further studies aimed at expanding the consumer characteristics investigated in this paper, including personality traits. This study also pioneers the profile of anti-brand community participants in the Internet, which is so pertinent in the rise of marketing 5.0.
本文旨在实证加深我们对互联网中日益增长的负面消费者-品牌关系现象的理解,试图调查“谁和为什么”消费者加入反品牌社区,对抗全球十大品牌。特别是,本研究旨在调查消费者的个人资料是否影响他们是否产生负面情绪,以及他们产生负面情绪的主要原因。在方法论上,本研究基于调查的定量方法,并对主要消费者特征(性别、年龄、原籍国、教育程度、同理心)对其对讨厌品牌行为的影响的几个研究假设进行了统计验证。关于“谁”,我们的研究结果表明,性别、年龄和原籍国是影响他们对品牌的负面情绪和加入反品牌社区意愿的主要消费者特征。关于“为什么”,产品/服务质量低和缺乏企业社会责任是讨厌品牌的主要原因。最后,本研究有助于了解互联网领域的负面消费者-品牌关系,并参考全球顶级品牌提供对消费者行为的深入见解。它还鼓励进一步研究本文的核心问题之间的相互联系,即谁和为什么个人加入反品牌社区,并代表了进一步研究的起点,旨在扩大本文调查的消费者特征,包括个性特征。这项研究还开创了互联网上反品牌社区参与者的形象,这与营销5.0的兴起非常相关。
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引用次数: 2
The Effect of Earnings Volatility on Stock Price Delay 盈余波动对股价延迟的影响
IF 0.6 Q3 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2022-01-20 DOI: 10.47743/saeb-2022-0002
Joong-Seok Cho
In this study, I examine the relation between earnings volatility and stock price response delay. I study the effect of the uncertainty of earnings and their components on the stock price response to value-relevant information. For more volatile earnings and earnings components, it is more complex for investors to reliably understand and impound information into stock prices. When earnings and components provide opaque and uncertain information about the future cash flows, I expect that investors are more divergent in their interpretations and delayed in arriving at their future cash flow estimates. To measure firms’ response to value-relevant information, I adopt a parsimonious measure of stock price response to information developed by Hou and Moskowitz (2005). I use five-year rolling standard deviations of earnings and components for earnings and components volatility measures. As an additional earnings volatility measure, I adopt the degree to which earnings volatility deviates from cash flow volatility. My study demonstrates that earnings volatility negatively affects stock price response to information. As I hypothesize, the more volatile earnings and components are, the more delayed the market reacts to value-relevant information. Among earnings and their components, the effect of cash flow volatility is the most influential.
在本研究中,我考察了盈余波动与股价反应延迟之间的关系。我研究了收益及其组成部分的不确定性对股票价格对价值相关信息的反应的影响。对于波动性更大的收益和收益组成部分,投资者要可靠地理解并将信息扣押到股票价格中是更复杂的。当收益和组成部分提供了关于未来现金流量的不透明和不确定的信息时,我预计投资者在他们的解释上更加分歧,并且延迟到达他们的未来现金流量估计。为了衡量企业对价值相关信息的反应,我采用了由Hou和Moskowitz(2005)开发的股票价格对信息反应的简约度量。我使用收益和组成部分的五年滚动标准差来衡量收益和组成部分的波动性。作为额外的收益波动度量,我采用收益波动偏离现金流波动的程度。我的研究表明,盈利波动负向影响股价对信息的反应。正如我所假设的那样,收益和成分股越不稳定,市场对价值相关信息的反应就越滞后。在收益及其构成要素中,现金流波动率的影响最大。
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引用次数: 0
The Impact of Changes in Basel Capital Requirements on the Resilience of African Commercial Banks 巴塞尔资本要求变化对非洲商业银行弹性的影响
IF 0.6 Q3 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2022-01-20 DOI: 10.47743/saeb-2022-0001
Damilola Oyetade, Adefemi A. Obalade, P. Muzindutsi
Focusing on a panel sample of 41 commercial banks over the period of 2000-2018, this study examined the effect of capital adequacy on the resilience of commercial banks in Africa under changing Basel levels (II, III, and the proposed Basel IV). The study created sample representative banks for the proposed Basel IV and used two measures, namely Z-score and CAMELS, to capture bank resilience. Using the panel logistic regression and fixed effect model, we found that capital adequacy, liquidity, earnings management efficiency, and macroeconomic conditions are key determinants of the resilience of commercial banks in Africa. Additionally, Basel compliant banks tend to be less prone to macroeconomic factors. Based on the positive and significant impact of all Basel capital ratios on Zscore, the results suggest that a high level of capital requirements increases African banks' resilience, and banks with higher capital can absorb risk exposures.
本研究以2000-2018年期间41家商业银行的面板样本为重点,研究了资本充足率对非洲商业银行在不断变化的巴塞尔协议水平(II、III和拟议的巴塞尔协议IV)下的弹性的影响。该研究为拟议的巴塞尔协议IV创建了样本代表性银行,并使用了两种衡量标准,即Z-score和camel,来捕捉银行的弹性。利用面板逻辑回归和固定效应模型,我们发现资本充足率、流动性、盈余管理效率和宏观经济条件是非洲商业银行弹性的关键决定因素。此外,遵守巴塞尔协议的银行往往不太容易受到宏观经济因素的影响。基于所有巴塞尔资本充足率对Zscore的积极和显著影响,结果表明,高水平的资本要求增加了非洲银行的弹性,资本水平较高的银行可以吸收风险敞口。
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引用次数: 2
How to Measure Flamenco Performer Value? A Cultural Economic Approach 如何衡量弗拉门戈表演者的价值?文化经济方法
IF 0.6 Q3 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2021-12-06 DOI: 10.47743/saeb-2021-0033
Jesús Heredia-Carroza, Helena Isabel Barroso Saraiva, Carlos Chavarría-Ortíz
This article designs an empirical methodology to measure the perceived value of the performers, specifically using the significant example of flamenco performer. The methodology is based on an Ordered Logit Model whose dependent variable is the valuation of the flamenco performer by spectators, which complements the research carried out by Heredia-Carroza (2019). The results show that virtuosity, feelings, Roma origin of the performer are significant and they have a positive effect in the valuation of it. Also, spectator’s features as time consuming and number of albums acquired have a positive effect in the performer valuation. Finally, the results have a greater importance as they provide recording companies, an instrument that reduces uncertainty about the characteristics of the performer and it can also be used as a decision-making instrument for future signings of performers in record companies based on the spectators’ perceptions. This methodology could be replicated for the study of other musical genres.
本文设计了一种实证方法来衡量表演者的感知价值,特别是使用弗拉门戈表演者的显著例子。该方法基于有序Logit模型,其因变量是观众对弗拉门戈表演者的评价,这补充了herdia - carroza(2019)的研究。结果表明,演奏者的精湛技艺、情感、罗马血统对其评价有显著的正向影响。此外,观众的耗时特征和获得的专辑数量对表演者的评价也有积极的影响。最后,这些结果的重要性更大,因为它们为唱片公司提供了一种工具,可以减少表演者特征的不确定性,也可以作为唱片公司未来根据观众的看法与表演者签约的决策工具。这种方法可以复制到其他音乐类型的研究中。
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引用次数: 1
Who Participates in Popular Feasts and Festivals? An Empirical Approach from Cultural Economics Applied to the Carnival of Barranquilla (Colombia) 谁参加大众节日?哥伦比亚巴兰基亚狂欢节的文化经济学实证研究
IF 0.6 Q3 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2021-12-02 DOI: 10.47743/saeb-2021-0032
Aaron Espinosa Espinosa,Luis Palma Martos,Luis Aguado Quintero
The empirical analysis of individual participation in local and popular feasts and festivals is a field little explored by cultural economists. This article proposes a methodological scheme to analyse the profile of the participants in local and popular feasts and carnivals, allowing the establishment of a taxonomy that captures the heterogeneity of the participants replicable to other festivities and carnivals around the world. Similarly, participation equations that allow the analysis of the influence of context variables on individual decisions to participate in these types of events are estimated. For this, the Carnival of Barranquilla, the largest and most representative popular celebration in Colombia and declared by UNESCO as Intangible Cultural Heritage of Humanity, is used as a case study. The data were obtained from the Citizen Perception Survey of the Barranquilla Cómo Vamos programme, which evaluates the quality of life and the fulfilment of development plans in that city, and an empirical strategy is employed consisting of the estimation of a probit discrete choice model, which allows modelling the individual decisions of a time-intensive good, such as a carnival, with a strong influence of traditional variables, such as cultural capital and the availability of leisure time, and other context variables: location of people in the territory, stratification and poverty. The different profiles found offer information on the different strategies that can be implemented from public policy to stimulate greater participation by the population in popular festivities and festivals.
个人参与地方和大众节日的实证分析是文化经济学家很少探索的领域。本文提出了一种方法方案来分析当地和流行的节日和狂欢节参与者的概况,允许建立一个分类法,捕捉参与者的异质性,可复制到世界各地的其他节日和狂欢节。同样,参与方程允许分析环境变量对参与这些类型事件的个人决策的影响。为此,我们以哥伦比亚规模最大、最具代表性、被联合国教科文组织列为人类非物质文化遗产的巴兰基亚狂欢节为例进行研究。数据来自巴兰基亚Cómo Vamos方案的公民感知调查,该方案评估了该城市的生活质量和发展计划的实现情况,并采用了一种经验策略,包括对概率离散选择模型的估计,该模型允许对时间密集型商品(如狂欢节)的个人决定进行建模,该商品受到传统变量(如文化资本和闲暇时间的可用性)的强烈影响。以及其他环境变量:人们在领土上的位置,阶层和贫困。所发现的不同概况提供了可以从公共政策中实施的不同战略的信息,以刺激人们更多地参与流行的庆祝活动和节日。
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引用次数: 0
The Digitalization – Economic Growth Relationship in Developing Countries and the Role of Governance 发展中国家数字化与经济增长的关系及治理的作用
IF 0.6 Q3 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2021-12-01 DOI: 10.47743/saeb-2021-0028
Van Bon
Digital technology is emerging as one of the suitable solutions to help developing economies catch up with advanced economies in the context of globalization. Progress in digital technology promotes economic growth in developing economies because it reduces transaction costs in economic activities and improves workers’ skills and knowledge. Meanwhile, governance is the primary cause of economic growth. Therefore, this study raises a research question of whether governance significantly contributes to the digitalization – economic growth relationship in developing countries or not. For the answer, the study uses the difference GMM Arellano-Bond estimators to empirically examine the effects of digitalization, governance, and their interaction on economic growth for a group of 35 developing countries from 2006 to 2019. Then, the study applies the FE-IV estimator to check the robustness of estimates. The results indicate that digitalization and governance boost economic growth while their interaction hinders it. Furthermore, trade openness also increases economic growth. These findings suggest some crucial policy implications that governments in developing countries should establish appropriate conditions to promote digital technology so that citizens can peacefully express their views on government policies and regulations, which contributes to the economic development of the country.
在全球化背景下,数字技术正成为帮助发展中经济体追赶发达经济体的合适解决方案之一。数字技术的进步促进了发展中经济体的经济增长,因为它降低了经济活动中的交易成本,提高了工人的技能和知识。同时,治理是经济增长的首要原因。因此,本研究提出了一个研究问题,即治理是否对发展中国家的数字化与经济增长关系有显著贡献。为了回答这个问题,该研究使用了不同的GMM Arellano-Bond估计器,对2006年至2019年35个发展中国家的数字化、治理及其相互作用对经济增长的影响进行了实证研究。然后,应用FE-IV估计量来检验估计的稳健性。结果表明,数字化与治理对经济增长有促进作用,而两者的相互作用则会阻碍经济增长。此外,贸易开放也促进了经济增长。这些发现提出了一些重要的政策启示,即发展中国家的政府应该建立适当的条件来促进数字技术,以便公民可以和平地表达他们对政府政策和法规的看法,这有助于国家的经济发展。
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引用次数: 2
Cultural Participation and Subjective Well-Being in Latin America: Does Ethnic-Racial Ascription Matter? 拉丁美洲的文化参与与主观幸福感:族群-种族归属是否重要?
IF 0.6 Q3 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2021-11-26 DOI: 10.47743/saeb-2021-0031
Javier Reyes-Martinez
Cultural participation has been evidenced to bring several benefits to the well-being of individuals. However, the analysis of this relationship has been addressed mostly in the context of Westernized countries, without considering the diversity of populations in Latin America. Therefore, the aim of this manuscript is to explore the association between cultural participation and subjective well-being (measured by life satisfaction) in Latin America, considering ethnic-racial ascription. With data from the 2013 Latinobarómetro survey (n=20204), several ordered logit regression analyses were performed. Results suggest that read books, read news, attend movies, attend theater, visit heritage places, and participation in community celebrations are associated with life satisfaction. However, these relationships show differentiated patterns depending on the ethnic-racial ascription, which implies that the positive impacts of cultural participation cannot be attributed to all populations, highlighting a process of social exclusion where some individuals get benefits of cultural participation, while others do not.
文化参与已被证明给个人的福祉带来了一些好处。然而,对这种关系的分析主要是在西方化国家的背景下进行的,没有考虑到拉丁美洲人口的多样性。因此,本文的目的是探讨拉丁美洲文化参与与主观幸福感(以生活满意度衡量)之间的关系,考虑到民族-种族归属。数据来自2013年Latinobarómetro调查(n=20204),进行了多次有序logit回归分析。研究结果表明,读书、看新闻、看电影、看戏剧、参观古迹和参加社区庆祝活动与生活满意度有关。然而,这些关系表现出不同的模式,取决于民族-种族的归属,这意味着文化参与的积极影响不能归功于所有人群,突出了社会排斥的过程,一些人从文化参与中受益,而另一些人却没有。
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引用次数: 0
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Scientific Annals of Economics and Business
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