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The US-Pakistan relationship in South Asia, 2001-2012: A case study of Afghanistan 2001-2012年南亚的美巴关系:以阿富汗为例
Pub Date : 2019-12-30 DOI: 10.1453/JEPE.V6I4.1993
Liaqat Ali Chandio, Amir Ahmed Khuhro
Abstract. The bilateral relationship between Pakistan and the US created since independence in 1947 to 2012 Pakistan.  This anxiety assisted Pakistan to examination partners in world politics and produced alignment with the US. US concentration in South Asia was to comprehending the USSR to thwart communist enlargement towards the Middle East.  Pakistan amalgamated the US alliance arrangement to getting military aid and military cooperation.  Pakistan was predictable as key US confederate and acknowledged bulky quantities of military aid. In the Indo-Pakistan War US did not buttressed it in contradiction of India and Pakistan turned to China. When India tested nuclear and Pakistan to hasten its own nuclear programme in contradiction of the non-proliferation intentions of the US. When USSR Confronted on Afghanistan and both states came closer.  In the Afghan civil wars, Pakistan subsidized the pro-Pakistan Taliban and tried to admittance gas in Central Asia and encompass Iranian inspiration. After 9/11 instance US bequeathed Pakistan good aid compendium in contradiction of al-Qaeda and the Taliban in Afghanistan. Later Pakistan was acknowledged non-NATO assistant. The US attacked with drones created anti-American feeling in Pakistan military. Other side Osama bin Laden was found in the Pakistani territory. . Notwithstanding all these difficulties, relations never penniless down entirely and US continuous to bounce aid to the Pakistan. Keywords. Aid, Convergent, Divergent, Pakistan, Terrorism, US. JEL. C53, E27, F41, F47.
摘要巴基斯坦和美国之间的双边关系是自1947年巴基斯坦独立到2012年建立的。这种焦虑促使巴基斯坦审视世界政治中的伙伴,并与美国结盟。美国在南亚的集中是为了理解苏联,以阻止共产主义向中东扩张。巴基斯坦合并了美国的联盟安排,以获得军事援助和军事合作。巴基斯坦是美国的主要盟友,并承认了大量的军事援助。在印巴战争中,由于印度和巴基斯坦转向中国,美国没有支持它。当印度和巴基斯坦进行核试验,以加速自己的核计划,这与美国的不扩散意图相矛盾。当苏联对抗阿富汗时,两国走得更近了。在阿富汗内战中,巴基斯坦资助了亲巴基斯坦的塔利班,并试图在中亚引进天然气,并包括伊朗的灵感。9/11事件后,美国给巴基斯坦留下了良好的援助纲要,以对抗基地组织和阿富汗的塔利班。后来巴基斯坦被承认为非北约的助手。美国的无人机袭击在巴基斯坦军方引发了反美情绪。另一边本拉登在巴基斯坦境内被发现。尽管有这些困难,两国关系从未彻底破裂,美国继续向巴基斯坦提供援助。关键词。援助,趋同,分歧,巴基斯坦,恐怖主义,美国。冻胶。C53 e27 f41 f47。
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引用次数: 1
Pak-Japan comparative study of consumption tax (value added tax) and its effects on economic growth rate and gross savings 日本-日本消费税(增值税)及其对经济增长率和总储蓄影响的比较研究
Pub Date : 2019-10-21 DOI: 10.1453/JEPE.V6I3.1938
Shahid Hussain Dahri, N. Shaikh, Parveen Shah
Abstract. The purpose of this research attempt is to statistically observe the causal impact of consumption tax (value added tax) on GDP/economic growth and gross savings in Pakistan as well as in Japan and their comparative analysis for the period defined (1989 to 2015). Furthermore, to explore if the increase in value-added tax is either contributing to rising growth rate or increasing gross savings using time series secondary data. It is found through running regression that tax on goods and services (value added tax) maintains significant and healthy/positive association with gross domestic product growth rate and gross saving in Japan and Pakistan also. An increase in value-added tax contributes more to gross savings in Japan and Pakistan than the economic growth rate. The policymakers in Japan and Pakistan need to design policies to increase value-added tax rates to increase gross savings that could be utilized to increase physical and human capital investment to increase more production to achieve sustained economic growth. Also, this study guides Japan and Pakistan policymakers to restrict the export of the primary product to avoid value-added tax loss. Keywords. Consumption tax, VAT, Economic growth, GDP growth, Gross savings. JEL. H22, E21, O47.
摘要本研究的目的是统计观察消费税(增值税)对巴基斯坦和日本的GDP/经济增长和总储蓄的因果影响,并对所定义的时期(1989年至2015年)进行比较分析。此外,利用时间序列二手数据探讨增值税的增加是否有助于提高增长率或增加总储蓄。通过运行回归发现,商品和服务税(增值税)与日本和巴基斯坦的国内生产总值增长率和总储蓄也保持着显著的健康/正相关关系。在日本和巴基斯坦,增值税的增加对总储蓄的贡献大于经济增长率。日本和巴基斯坦的政策制定者需要制定政策,提高增值税税率,增加总储蓄,从而增加物质和人力资本投资,增加产量,实现持续的经济增长。同时,本研究也为日本和巴基斯坦政策制定者限制初级产品出口以避免增值税损失提供了指导。关键词。消费税,增值税,经济增长,GDP增长,总储蓄。冻胶。H22 e21 o47。
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引用次数: 1
The behaviour of imports in Cameroon: An analysis through the equilibrium and disequilibrium models 喀麦隆的进口行为:通过均衡和非均衡模型的分析
Pub Date : 2019-10-11 DOI: 10.1453/JEPE.V6I3.1922
Elie Ngongang
Abstract. We have attempted, in this paper, to evaluate the structure and determinants of the demand for imports in Cameroon at the aggregated and disaggregated levels, using an equilibrium and disequilibrium models. It emerges from econometric estimation that real income, the real exchange rate and the variable capacity to importand industrialization were the determining factors in Cameroon imports. The degradation of imports illustrates the elastic or inelastic nature of imported products. Cameroon must reshape her development strategies towards industrialization in order for them to achieve a progressive reduction of their imports. This imperative situation would be a means that cannot be ignored by the Cameroon if it wants to attract foreign direct investment which is a source for the development of firms and for boosting productivity. Keywords. Structure, Imports, Development of firms, Industrialization, Cameroon. JEL. C20, F20, F30.
摘要在本文中,我们试图使用均衡和非均衡模型,在汇总和分解水平上评估喀麦隆进口需求的结构和决定因素。从计量经济学估计可以看出,实际收入、实际汇率和进口和工业化的可变能力是喀麦隆进口的决定因素。进口产品的退化说明了进口产品的弹性或非弹性。喀麦隆必须重新制定其面向工业化的发展战略,以便逐步减少进口。如果喀麦隆想要吸引外国直接投资,这种迫切的情况将是喀麦隆不能忽视的手段,因为外国直接投资是企业发展和提高生产力的来源。关键词。结构,进口,企业发展,工业化,喀麦隆。冻胶。C20 f20 f30。
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引用次数: 0
A simple model explaining the interaction between special interest spending and voter choices 一个解释特殊利益支出和选民选择之间相互作用的简单模型
Pub Date : 2019-09-08 DOI: 10.1453/JEPE.V6I3.1920
A. Murphy
Abstract. This research develops a model of eligible voters rationally maximizing their stochastic utility functions in their decisions with respect to casting ballots in elections that result in voting decision being largely determined by social and psychological factors heterogeneously maleable by political expenditures. The wealthiest agents utilize their overwhelming financial resources to promote only candidates cooperating with their special interests to attract public attention, which exerts social pressure on voters to cast ballots only for those politicians who represent those agents. The model, which enables exacting computation of the benefits to politicians, special interest groups, and voters from their political actions, is shown to supply insightful explanations for the 2016 U.S. Presidential polling results for the four leading candidates. Voters were effectively swayed by large political expenditures to select from the two candidates who represented the agents providing the financial backing to market their special interests. Keywords. Special interests, Voter utility, Elections, Political marketing. JEL. D71, D72, F50.
摘要本研究建立了一个合格选民在选举投票决策中理性最大化其随机效用函数的模型,该模型导致投票决策在很大程度上由社会和心理因素决定,并受到政治支出的异质影响。最富有的代理人利用其压倒性的财政资源,只支持与他们的特殊利益合作的候选人,以吸引公众的注意,这对选民施加了社会压力,使他们只把票投给代表这些代理人的政治家。该模型可以精确计算政治家、特殊利益集团和选民从他们的政治行为中获得的利益,并为2016年美国总统大选的4位主要候选人的投票结果提供了深刻的解释。选民们实际上受到巨额政治支出的影响,从两位候选人中做出选择,这两位候选人代表了为推销自己的特殊利益提供财政支持的代理人。关键词。特殊利益,选民效用,选举,政治营销。冻胶。D71, d72, f50。
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引用次数: 2
Happy 20th birthday Euro: An integrated analysis of the stability status in the Eurozone’s equity markets 欧元20岁生日快乐:欧元区股票市场稳定状况的综合分析
Pub Date : 2019-09-08 DOI: 10.1453/JEPE.V6I3.1919
Bachar Fakhry
Abstract. We celebrate the 20 th anniversary of the introduction of the Euro by reviewing one of the key elements: the integration of the Eurozone financial markets. Introducing a multivariate volatility test based on the asymmetrical BEKK (ABEKK) multivariate GARCH model of volatility to analyse the stable market pre-condition hypothesis of the integrated Eurozone equity markets across the euro’s timeline. Extending our analysis to the impact of the rise of the populist political movement on the Eurozone financial markets during the last few years. The first and most important contribution is the introduction of a multivariate volatility test based on the ABEKK to analyse the stability of the integration in the Eurozone equity markets. However, another key contribution is the analysis of a period where the whole concept of European integration is coming into question by the rise of the populist political movement. This research could be of importance to the ECB in stabilising the Eurozone financial markets as well as market participants in portfolio optimization within the Eurozone. Our results point to a difference in financial market integration depending on the definition. The empirical evidence found that market participants tend to react differently according to the affinity of the market participants to the event/news. In essence, market participants are driven by the “time and space” effect. This would point to evidence that the Eurozone equity markets was never truly integrated in the econometrics sense as defined later on. However, our literature review did identify evidence that the Eurozone equity markets was integrated in accordance with the definition of Baele et al., ( 2004 ). Hence it really does depend on the definition used. Generally, our policy recommendations are for a committee to be setup to unify the communication and actions of the European Union during crises. A better way of communicating the work and concept of the European Union to the population. Finally, a slower paced policy of integration to overcome the sense of loss national identity which recently many are plying on. Keywords. Euro, European integration, Volatility test, Asymmetric BEKK, Multivariate GARCH, Volatility spillover, News contagion, Equity markets. JEL. C12, C58, E44, F36, G15.
摘要为了庆祝欧元问世20周年,我们回顾了其中一个关键因素:欧元区金融市场的一体化。引入基于波动性的不对称BEKK (ABEKK)多元GARCH模型的多元波动性检验,分析欧元区一体化股票市场在欧元时间线上的市场稳定前提假设。将我们的分析延伸到过去几年民粹主义政治运动的兴起对欧元区金融市场的影响。第一个也是最重要的贡献是引入了基于ABEKK的多元波动性测试来分析欧元区股票市场一体化的稳定性。然而,另一个关键贡献是对一个时期的分析,在这个时期,整个欧洲一体化的概念由于民粹主义政治运动的兴起而受到质疑。这项研究可能对欧洲央行稳定欧元区金融市场以及市场参与者在欧元区投资组合优化方面具有重要意义。我们的研究结果表明,金融市场整合的差异取决于定义。实证研究发现,市场参与者对事件/新闻的亲和程度不同,市场参与者的反应也不同。从本质上讲,市场参与者是受“时间和空间”效应驱动的。这将表明,欧元区股票市场从未像后来定义的那样,在计量经济学意义上真正一体化。然而,我们的文献综述确实发现了证据,表明欧元区股票市场是按照Baele等人(2004)的定义进行整合的。因此,它确实取决于所使用的定义。总的来说,我们的政策建议是成立一个委员会,统一欧盟在危机期间的沟通和行动。更好地向民众宣传欧洲联盟的工作和概念。最后,一项步调较慢的一体化政策,以克服最近许多人正在利用的丧失民族认同的感觉。关键词。欧元,欧洲一体化,波动率检验,非对称BEKK,多元GARCH,波动率溢出,新闻传染,股票市场。冻胶。C12, c58, e44, f36, g15。
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引用次数: 1
The challenges of researching corporate power: The case of Shell Petroleum Development Company in Nigeria (SPDC) 企业权力研究的挑战:以壳牌石油开发公司尼日利亚分公司为例
Pub Date : 2019-07-18 DOI: 10.1453/JEPE.V6I2.1870
E. Egharevba, F. Ovenseri-Ogbomo
Abstract. The research on Transnational Corporations (TNCs) in Nigeria is encumbered or fraught with methodological challenges. Thus, this paper which relies on desk research, unveils the conceptualization of TNCs, Corporate Powers and the Doctrine of Domicile thereby interrogating the methodological encumbrances – (security, secrecy and access challenges) experienced in conducting researches on the modus operandi of TNCs in Nigeria with focus on Shell Petroleum Development Company in Nigeria (SPDC). The consideration of Transnational Corporations’ exploration of the lacuna created by weak or moribund state institutions, escalating corruption, lack of adequate knowledge of rights and double standards become sacrosanct in bringing about ease in the challenges of researching corporate power. The paper argues that in weak African states, the doctrine of domicile manifests through threat of divestment, undue influence on government, casualization of workers, corrupt practices and tax evasion where corporate power employ hegemonic tendencies in pursuit of  its profit maximization drive.. Keywords. Transnational corporations, Liquefied natural gas, Multinational energy corporations, OPEC, SPDC. JEL. H11, H50, C13, C22.
摘要对尼日利亚跨国公司(TNCs)的研究受到阻碍或充满了方法上的挑战。因此,本文以案头研究为基础,揭示了跨国公司、公司权力和注册地原则的概念,从而对尼日利亚跨国公司的运作方式(安全、保密和准入挑战)进行研究时所经历的方法障碍(安全、保密和准入挑战)进行了质疑,重点是尼日利亚壳牌石油开发公司(SPDC)。考虑跨国公司对薄弱或垂死的国家机构、日益加剧的腐败、缺乏足够的权利知识和双重标准所造成的空白的探索,对于缓解研究公司权力的挑战来说是神圣不可侵犯的。本文认为,在非洲弱国,注册地主义表现为撤资威胁、对政府的不当影响、工人的临时工化、腐败行为和逃税,企业权力在追求利润最大化的过程中采用霸权倾向。关键词。跨国公司,液化天然气,跨国能源公司,OPEC, SPDC。冻胶。H11 h50 c13 c22。
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引用次数: 0
China’s enterprises in Africa: Market entry strategies, implications for capacity building, and corporate social responsibility 中国企业在非洲:市场进入策略、能力建设启示与企业社会责任
Pub Date : 2019-07-17 DOI: 10.1453/JEPE.V6I2.1898
J. Anyu, William G. Dzekashu
Abstract. The quest for Africa’s natural resources can be traced when the Portuguese set foot on African soil some 600 years. This was followed by Western Europeans and now China.  Africa is endowed with huge reserves of mineral and natural resources. These have been the constant attraction to foreign countries seeking to control these natural resources and trading. Globalization further made the new scramble for Africa eminent. New plays including China are developing and employing new strategies on how to enter and control these new markets. Chinese enterprises employ the One Belt, One Road (OBOR) and the Belt and Road Initiative (BRI) market entry strategies to penetrate the African Market. This has alarmed the West. Keywords. China’s enterprises, Corporate social responsibility, Africa, Markets, natural resources, Export-import bank, London inter-bank offered rates, Entry strategies, One belt, One road (OBOR), Belt and road initiative (BRI), UN, West, EU, ILO. JEL. C32, C53, E44, G21.
摘要对非洲自然资源的追求可以追溯到大约600年前葡萄牙人踏上非洲土地的时候。西欧人紧随其后,现在是中国。非洲拥有丰富的矿产和自然资源。这些因素一直吸引着寻求控制这些自然资源和进行贸易的外国。全球化进一步加剧了对非洲的新一轮争夺。包括中国在内的新玩家正在开发和采用如何进入和控制这些新市场的新策略。中国企业采用“一带一路”和“一带一路”的市场进入战略,渗透非洲市场。这引起了西方的警觉。关键词。中国企业、企业社会责任、非洲、市场、自然资源、进出口银行、伦敦同业拆借利率、进入战略、一带一路、一带一路倡议、联合国、西方、欧盟、国际劳工组织。冻胶。C32, c53, e44, g21。
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引用次数: 0
Bank credit to the private sector: VECM approach for Albania 向私营部门提供银行信贷:阿尔巴尼亚的VECM办法
Pub Date : 2019-07-16 DOI: 10.1453/JEPE.V6I2.1894
A. Matuka
Abstract. This study evaluates the determinants of bank credit to the private sector in Albania from 2000 to 2017 using a Vector Error Correction Model which includes both demand and supply-side factors. We perform Augmented Dickey Fuller Test, Phillips-Perron test and Johansen cointegration test to ensure the stationarity and long-run relation between explanatory variables. The results show that credit to the private sector is positively related to economic growth. A higher lending rate will decrease the bank credit to the private sector. Further, the decrease of non-performing loans and domestic government debt will increase the funds available for the private sector. The negative sign of error correction term and the diagnostic tests for autocorrelation, normality and ARCH effects ensure that our model is properly defined. Keywords. Bank credit , Vector error eorrection, Albania. JEL. C32, C53, E44, G21.
摘要本研究使用包含需求侧和供给侧因素的矢量误差修正模型,评估了2000年至2017年阿尔巴尼亚私营部门银行信贷的决定因素。我们通过增强Dickey Fuller检验、Phillips-Perron检验和Johansen协整检验来确保解释变量之间的平稳性和长期相关性。结果表明,私营部门信贷与经济增长呈正相关。较高的贷款利率将减少银行对私营部门的信贷。此外,不良贷款和国内政府债务的减少将增加私营部门可用的资金。误差修正项的负号和自相关、正态性和ARCH效应的诊断检验确保了我们的模型是正确定义的。关键词。银行信贷,矢量误差校正,阿尔巴尼亚。冻胶。C32, c53, e44, g21。
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引用次数: 1
Transnational entrepreneurship: An interview with Carlos Arevalo, CEO of Trilegis in el Salvador 跨国创业:对萨尔瓦多Trilegis首席执行官Carlos Arevalo的采访
Pub Date : 2019-07-13 DOI: 10.1453/JEPE.V6I2.1902
J. M. Munoz
Abstract. Interest in transnational entrepreneurship has expanded in recent years. However, there are limited qualitative surveys that shed light on the mindset of the contemporary transnational entrepreneur. This article contributes to academic and business literature by presenting the views of an El Salvador born executive Carlos Arevalo. Carlos Arevalo is CEO of Trilogis, a transportation company in El Salvador that is operating in several international locations. Through an interview conducted by Dr. J. Mark Munoz of Millikin University, with the assistance of business student Kimberly Tejada, Arevalo shares his viewpoints on transnational entrepreneurship and its business implications. Keywords. Transnational entrepreneurship, Entrepreneurship, International business. JEL. L26, M16.
摘要近年来,人们对跨国创业的兴趣日益浓厚。然而,能够揭示当代跨国企业家心态的定性调查有限。本文通过介绍萨尔瓦多出生的高管Carlos Arevalo的观点,为学术和商业文献做出了贡献。Carlos Arevalo是萨尔瓦多运输公司Trilogis的首席执行官,该公司在多个国家开展业务。通过对米利金大学J. Mark Munoz博士的采访,在商学院学生Kimberly Tejada的帮助下,Arevalo分享了他对跨国创业及其商业影响的看法。关键词。跨国创业,企业家精神,国际商业。冻胶。L26 M16。
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引用次数: 0
Government expenditures in Nigeria: Re-examination of Wagner’s law 尼日利亚的政府支出:对瓦格纳法则的重新审视
Pub Date : 2019-06-14 DOI: 10.1453/JEPE.V6I2.1874
Orobosa Abraham Ihensekhien, John Gbubemi Mayuku
Abstract. Nigerian data covering 1981 to 2018 were applied to affirm Wagner’s law with respect to the five different models. The significance of this paper is to establish whether there exists a relationship between total government expenditures and the Nigerian economy. To accomplish the objective of this paper, data were sourced from the Central Bank of Nigeria statistical bulletin of various years. Several statistical and econometric tests were conducted. The results obtained revealed that there exists positive and statistical significance as well as a long-run relationship between the variables employed in the various models and that Wagner’s law was held to exist in the Nigerian economy in the timeframe of the study. It is therefore, recommended that the Nigerian government should improve her sources of income in order to satisfy the increasing demand of her people now and in the future. Keywords. Wagner’s law, Total government expenditures, Real GDP. JEL. H11, H50, C13, C22.
摘要尼日利亚1981年至2018年的数据被用于验证瓦格纳定律对五种不同模型的影响。本文的意义在于确定政府总支出与尼日利亚经济之间是否存在关系。为了完成本文的目的,数据来源于尼日利亚中央银行各年的统计公报。进行了几项统计和计量经济学检验。得到的结果表明,在各种模型中使用的变量之间存在正显著性和统计显著性以及长期关系,并且在研究的时间框架内认为瓦格纳定律存在于尼日利亚经济中。因此,建议尼日利亚政府改善其收入来源,以满足其人民现在和未来日益增长的需求。关键词。瓦格纳定律,政府总支出,实际GDP。冻胶。H11 h50 c13 c22。
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引用次数: 3
期刊
Journal of Economics and Political Economy
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