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Attitudes on Family Law as an Electoral Cleavage: Survey Evidence from Tunisia 对家庭法作为选举分裂的态度——来自突尼斯的调查证据
IF 1 Q2 LAW Pub Date : 2020-08-29 DOI: 10.1163/18763375-01202003
Salih Yasun
Most societies in the Middle East and North Africa region (mena) are subject to strict family laws. Do these laws affect voters’ decisions? In this article, I argue that public attitudes on family law constitute an issue-based social cleavage in Tunisia, and I examine the influence of family law on whether individuals vote for Ennahda, the largest conservative party, or Nidaa Tounes, the authoritarian successor party. Findings from a Multinomial Logistic Regression on Afrobarometer data indicate that individuals who hold more egalitarian views on women’s inheritance rights are less likely to vote for Ennahda and more likely to vote for Nidaa Tounes, whereas there is no statistically significant relationship between opinions on women’s divorce rights and voting. These study findings suggest that the attitudes on provisions of family law are an alternative source of social cleavage in emerging democracies, which can have relevance in other country settings in the mena.
中东和北非地区的大多数社会都要遵守严格的家庭法。这些法律会影响选民的决定吗?在这篇文章中,我认为公众对家庭法的态度构成了突尼斯基于问题的社会分裂,我研究了家庭法对个人是投票给最大的保守党Ennahda还是独裁继承党Nidaa Tounes的影响。Afrobarometer数据的多项式逻辑回归结果表明,对女性继承权持更平等观点的人不太可能投票给Ennahda,而更有可能投票给Nidaa Tounes,而对女性离婚权的看法与投票之间没有统计学上的显著关系。这些研究结果表明,对家庭法条款的态度是新兴民主国家社会分裂的另一个来源,这可能与梅纳的其他国家环境有关。
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引用次数: 1
Between Exclusivism and Inclusivism: The Jordanian Muslim Brotherhood’s Divided Reponses to the “Arab Spring” 在排他性与包容性之间——约旦穆斯林兄弟会对“阿拉伯之春”的分裂回应
IF 1 Q2 LAW Pub Date : 2020-04-24 DOI: 10.1163/18763375-01201003
J. Wagemakers
This article focuses on how and why some Jordanian Muslim Brothers have engaged in relatively exclusive, Islamist ways of confronting the regime during the “Arab Spring,” while others adopted a more inclusive, national strategy in the same period. As such, this article not only contributes to our knowledge of divisions within the Jordanian Muslim Brotherhood, but also shows how this can impact Islamist-regime relations in the Arab world. It argues that the organization as a whole initially wanted to exploit the uprisings in the region through a relatively exclusive, Islamist approach to the regime, but that others within the organization disagreed with this method as the “Arab Spring” proved mostly unsuccessful. Aware of the dangers of provoking the state from a position of increased isolation, these members advocated a more inclusive attitude toward the regime and others. While both groups were ultimately unsuccessful, the latter at least survived as a legal entity, while the Muslim Brotherhood lost its official presence in the kingdom because the regime was able to exploit the existing divisions within the organization.
这篇文章的重点是,在“阿拉伯之春”期间,一些约旦穆斯林兄弟是如何以及为什么以相对排外的伊斯兰方式对抗政权的,而另一些兄弟在同一时期则采取了更具包容性的国家战略。因此,这篇文章不仅有助于我们了解约旦穆斯林兄弟会内部的分歧,还展示了这将如何影响阿拉伯世界的伊斯兰政权关系。它认为,该组织作为一个整体,最初希望通过对政权采取相对排外的伊斯兰主义方法来利用该地区的起义,但该组织内部的其他人不同意这种方法,因为“阿拉伯之春”被证明大多不成功。意识到将国家从日益孤立的境地激怒的危险,这些成员主张对政权和其他人采取更具包容性的态度。虽然这两个组织最终都没有成功,但后者至少作为一个法律实体幸存了下来,而穆斯林兄弟会失去了在沙特的正式存在,因为该政权能够利用该组织内部现有的分歧。
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引用次数: 20
Shifting Reputations for “Moderation”: Evidence from Qatar, Jordan, and Morocco “温和”声誉的转变:来自卡塔尔、约旦和摩洛哥的证据
IF 1 Q2 LAW Pub Date : 2020-04-24 DOI: 10.1163/18763375-01201002
Annelle R. Sheline
The article examines the monarchies of Qatar, Jordan, and Morocco to demonstrate how specific policies and ideologies do not necessarily correspond with the label of “moderate,” which instead primarily reflects a reputational strategy. Prior to 2011, Qatar had cultivated an image as a relatively “liberal” Gulf monarchy, but although few policy changes occurred, after 2011 the emirate was seen as sponsoring terrorism. The government of Morocco developed a reputation for promoting “moderate Islam,” yet religious intolerance persists, while the Jordanian regime has focused less on cultivating a moderate image than previously. Government efforts to develop a specific reputation reflect strategic maneuvering for both international religious soft power as well as consolidation of domestic control. Combining nine months of ethnographic fieldwork involving interviews with government officials, religious bureaucrats, and embassy personnel, the paper offers insights into how the strategic use of reputation has shifted in the post-2011 context.
这篇文章考察了卡塔尔、约旦和摩洛哥的君主国,以证明具体的政策和意识形态不一定符合“温和”的标签,而“温和”主要反映了一种声誉策略。2011年之前,卡塔尔一直树立着相对“自由”的海湾君主制形象,但尽管政策几乎没有变化,但2011年之后,卡塔尔被视为支持恐怖主义。摩洛哥政府以宣扬“温和的伊斯兰教”而闻名,但宗教不容忍现象依然存在,而约旦政权比以前更不注重培养温和的形象。政府为发展特定声誉所做的努力反映了对国际宗教软实力的战略操纵以及对国内控制的巩固。该论文结合了九个月的民族志实地调查,包括对政府官员、宗教官僚和大使馆工作人员的采访,深入了解了在2011年后的背景下,声誉的战略使用是如何发生变化的。
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引用次数: 4
Fragmentation, Disintegration, and Resurgence: Assessing the Islamist Field in Yemen 分裂、解体与复兴:也门伊斯兰领域的评估
IF 1 Q2 LAW Pub Date : 2020-04-24 DOI: 10.1163/18763375-01201004
S. P. Yadav
The well-developed literature on Islamist politics has tended to focus on partisan and welfare institutions within the context of existing states. Civil war raises important questions about whether and how the relevance of such institutions changes when the state itself fragments. This article seeks to understand Islamism in Yemen as a kind of post-organizational political field. At a theoretical scale, Yemen’s civil war and the transformation of the country’s Islamist politics offers lessons about the fixity of categorical distinctions within and across forms of Islamist activity. This article works to map dynamics of fragmentation within pre-war Islamist organizations, the disintegration of authority among Islamist leaders in the context of war, and the effect of each of these processes on the resurgence and partial transformation of particular Islamist claims. The field, as an analytic approach less firmly tied to the state itself, allows for a consideration of Islamist politics as articulated locally but shaped as well by transnational engagement with ideas and institutions.
发达的伊斯兰政治文献倾向于关注现有国家背景下的党派和福利机构。内战引发了一个重要问题,即当国家本身分裂时,这些机构的相关性是否以及如何改变。本文试图将也门的伊斯兰主义理解为一种后组织政治领域。在理论层面上,也门内战和该国伊斯兰政治的转变为伊斯兰活动形式内部和之间的明确区别提供了教训。本文致力于绘制战前伊斯兰组织内部分裂的动态,战争背景下伊斯兰领导人权威的瓦解,以及这些过程中的每一个对特定伊斯兰主张的复兴和部分转变的影响。该领域作为一种与国家本身联系不那么紧密的分析方法,允许考虑伊斯兰政治,这种政治在当地表达,但也受到跨国与思想和机构接触的影响。
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引用次数: 3
Exclusion and Violence After the Egyptian Coup 埃及政变后的排斥与暴力
IF 1 Q2 LAW Pub Date : 2020-04-24 DOI: 10.1163/18763375-01201005
S. Brooke, Elizabeth R. Nugent
Scholars of Islamism have long grappled with the relationship between political participation and ideological change, theorizing that political exclusion and state repression increase the likelihood of Islamist groups using violence. The trajectory of post-2011 Egypt offers a chance to systematically evaluate these theories using subnational data. Pairing district-level electoral returns from pre-coup presidential elections with post-coup levels of anti-state and sectarian violence, we find that districts where Muslim Brotherhood-affiliated candidate Mohammed Morsi performed well in 2012 witnessed more anti-state and sectarian (anti-Christian) violence following the 2013 military coup. The same relationship holds for the performance of liberal Islamist Abdel Moneim Abu El-Fotouh, which is consistent with arguments that political exclusion alone may also drive violence.
长期以来,研究伊斯兰主义的学者一直在努力研究政治参与与意识形态变化之间的关系,他们从理论上认为,政治排斥和国家镇压增加了伊斯兰组织使用暴力的可能性。2011年后埃及的发展轨迹为利用地方数据系统地评估这些理论提供了机会。将政变前总统选举的地区级选举结果与政变后的反国家和宗派暴力水平进行对比,我们发现,穆斯林兄弟会(Muslim brotherhood)候选人穆罕默德·穆尔西(Mohammed Morsi)在2012年表现良好的地区,在2013年军事政变后出现了更多的反国家和宗派(反基督教)暴力。同样的关系也适用于自由派伊斯兰主义者阿卜杜勒·莫尼姆·阿布·福图赫(Abdel Moneim Abu El-Fotouh)的表现,这与政治排斥本身也可能导致暴力的观点是一致的。
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引用次数: 6
Introduction to the Special Issue on “Islamist Politics After the Arab Uprisings” 《阿拉伯起义后的伊斯兰政治》特刊简介
IF 1 Q2 LAW Pub Date : 2020-04-24 DOI: 10.1163/18763375-01201008
M. Lynch, J. Schwedler
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引用次数: 3
Introduction 介绍
IF 1 Q2 LAW Pub Date : 2020-04-24 DOI: 10.1163/18763375-01201006
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引用次数: 1
After the Massacre: Women’s Islamist Activism in Post-Coup Egypt 大屠杀后:埃及政变后的妇女伊斯兰主义活动
IF 1 Q2 LAW Pub Date : 2020-04-24 DOI: 10.1163/18763375-01201007
S. Elmasry, Neil Ketchley
This paper draws on event data and interviews to examine the effects of repression on the gendered dynamics of Islamist mobilization in Egypt following the 2013 military coup. Our analysis shows that women’s anti-coup groups were more likely to mobilize following the killing of up to 1,000 anti-coup protestors at Rabaa al-Adawiyya in August 2013. Women’s protests were also more likely in the home districts of those killed at Rabaa. Informant testimony indicates that the Rabaa massacre figured as a transformative event that female activists drew on to motivate their involvement in street protests. Taken together, our findings suggest that very harsh repression can enable women’s participation in Islamist street politics – but this activism can come at a considerable personal cost for participants. Women who joined anti-coup protests were subjected to calibrated sexual violence by Egyptian security forces as well as other social penalties.
本文利用事件数据和采访来研究镇压对2013年军事政变后埃及伊斯兰动员的性别动态的影响。我们的分析表明,2013年8月,多达1000名反政变抗议者在Rabaa al-Adawiyya被杀后,妇女反政变团体更有可能动员起来。妇女的抗议活动也更有可能发生在拉巴遇害者的家乡。线人证词表明,拉巴大屠杀被视为一场变革性事件,女性活动家利用这场事件来激励她们参与街头抗议。总之,我们的研究结果表明,非常严厉的镇压可以让女性参与伊斯兰街头政治——但这种激进主义可能会给参与者带来相当大的个人代价。参加反政变抗议活动的妇女受到埃及安全部队的性暴力以及其他社会惩罚。
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引用次数: 4
Sectarian Games: Sovereign Power, War Machines and Regional Order in the Middle East 宗派运动:中东的主权权力、战争机器与区域秩序
IF 1 Q2 LAW Pub Date : 2019-12-16 DOI: 10.1163/18763375-01201001
Simon Mabon
Amidst violent contestation across the Middle East leaving regimes facing – or fearing – popular protests, the regulation of political life became increasingly important. Across the past century, the development of political projects has been driven by regime efforts to maintain power, constructing regime-society relations in such a way to ensure their survival. As a consequence, security is not given; rather, it reflects the concerns of elites and embeds their concerns within society, using a range of domestic, regional and geopolitical strategies to meet their needs. These strategies play on a range of different fears and currents to locate regime interests within broader concerns. A key part of such efforts involves the cultivation and suppression of particular identities, often resulting in contestation and uncertainty within and between states. Drawing on the ideas of Giorgio Agamben, Gilles Deleuze and Felix Guattari, the article argues that the regulation of sect-based identities – and difference – has been a key part of governance strategies in divided societies across the Middle East, albeit varying across time and space.
在整个中东地区的暴力冲突中,政权面临或担心民众的抗议,对政治生活的监管变得越来越重要。在过去的一个世纪里,政治项目的发展一直受到政权维持权力努力的驱动,以这种方式构建政权-社会关系以确保其生存。因此,没有安全保障;相反,它反映了精英们的关切,并将他们的关切嵌入到社会中,利用一系列国内、区域和地缘政治战略来满足他们的需求。这些策略利用了一系列不同的恐惧和潮流,将政权的利益置于更广泛的关注之中。这种努力的一个关键部分涉及培养和压制特定的身份,这往往导致国家内部和国家之间的争论和不确定性。这篇文章借鉴了Giorgio Agamben、Gilles Deleuze和Felix Guattari的思想,认为对基于教派的身份和差异的监管一直是中东地区分裂社会治理策略的关键部分,尽管在不同的时间和空间中有所不同。
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引用次数: 3
The ‘Islamic’ Deployed 部署的“伊斯兰”
IF 1 Q2 LAW Pub Date : 2019-12-16 DOI: 10.1163/18763375-01103001
A. Emon
This Fieldnote challenges scholars of Islam and Muslims to consider how the production of knowledge on Islam and Muslims has long been, and continues to be, intimately associated with projects of governance, whether by the modern state or premodern regime. The present is simply a particularly robust historical period during which, wherever one might stand on the political spectrum, the study of Islam is undertaken in the shadow of the state—a disaggregated project of law and justice, border control, national security, and regulation. This Fieldnote recasts Islam and Muslim in an adjectival sense—‘Islamic’ and ‘Muslim’—in order to highlight their variability in relation to the purposes for which they are deployed. To better understand the dynamics by which the ‘Islamic’ is deployed for purposes of state projects, this Fieldnote outlines four registers of analysis—time, space, scale, and rhetoric—to inspire new research on the production of knowledge in the academic study of Islam and Muslims today.
这份实地考察报告要求伊斯兰教和穆斯林学者考虑,无论是现代国家还是前现代政权,关于伊斯兰教和穆斯林的知识的产生如何长期并继续与治理项目密切相关。现在只是一个特别活跃的历史时期,在这个时期,无论人们站在政治光谱的哪个位置,对伊斯兰教的研究都是在国家的阴影下进行的——这是一个关于法律和司法、边境控制、国家安全和监管的分解项目。本场注从形容词的意义上重新塑造了伊斯兰教和穆斯林——“伊斯兰”和“穆斯林”——以强调它们在部署目的方面的可变性。为了更好地理解“伊斯兰”被用于国家项目的动态,本实地考察概述了四个分析领域——时间、空间、规模和修辞——以启发对当今伊斯兰和穆斯林学术研究中知识生产的新研究。
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引用次数: 0
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Middle East Law and Governance
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