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Methodology for risk management in dams from the event tree and FMEA analysis 从事件树和FMEA分析探讨大坝风险管理方法
IF 0.5 Q4 ENGINEERING, GEOLOGICAL Pub Date : 2022-08-16 DOI: 10.28927/sr.2022.070221
Rafaela Fernandes, A. Sieira, Armando Menezes Filho
Some studies that analyze the risk of dam failures estimate that between 2016 and 2025 about 30 major tragedies should be expected. Failure records between 1900 and 2014 indicate that there is an average of three ruptures every two years, considering only the failures that were officially registered and investigated. It can be said that the potential for dam failures will be driven by the economy, since cost has been the main variable considered in the design, construction, operation, monitoring and closing plan of these structures. As companies reduce investments in maintenance, risk management and failure prevention, there is an incentive for economic recovery, competitiveness of product value and debt reduction, required by investors. The result has been a decrease in specialized labor, to the point that companies no longer have sufficient knowledge about the engineering and operational skills that apply to tailings and water management. Learning from the dams’ tragedies is practically non-existent, in Brazil and worldwide, leading to catastrophic environmental and social consequences. Failures will occur as long as they are viewed and treated as unpredictable, thereby lacking risk management. The proposed risk management method, presented in this paper, considers the information of inspection and instrumentation, identifying risks from event trees, separately, intolerable, tolerable and acceptable risks. The intolerable risks are conducted for FMEA-type failure analysis, where severe, intermediate and mild failures are assessed. The objective is to enable the development of an assertive and effective action plan for dam safety management.
一些分析大坝溃坝风险的研究估计,在2016年至2025年之间,预计将发生大约30起重大悲剧。1900年至2014年的故障记录表明,仅考虑官方登记和调查的故障,平均每两年发生三次破裂。可以说,大坝溃坝的可能性将由经济驱动,因为在这些结构的设计、建造、运营、监测和关闭计划中,成本一直是考虑的主要变量。随着企业减少在维护、风险管理和故障预防方面的投资,投资者所要求的经济复苏、产品价值竞争力和债务削减的激励就出现了。其结果是专业劳动力的减少,以至于企业不再具备适用于尾矿和水管理的工程和操作技能的足够知识。在巴西和世界范围内,从大坝的悲剧中吸取教训几乎是不存在的,这导致了灾难性的环境和社会后果。失败将会发生,只要他们被视为不可预测的,因此缺乏风险管理。本文提出的风险管理方法考虑了检查和仪器的信息,从事件树中分别识别不可容忍、可容忍和可接受的风险。对不可承受风险进行fmea型失效分析,对严重、中度和轻度失效进行评估。目标是为大坝安全管理制定一项自信和有效的行动计划。
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引用次数: 0
Performance evaluation of rigid inclusions for settlement control of grain silos in tropical soils 刚性包涵体控制热带土壤粮仓沉降的性能评价
IF 0.5 Q4 ENGINEERING, GEOLOGICAL Pub Date : 2022-08-16 DOI: 10.28927/sr.2022.004822
J. Rebolledo, Isabelle Santiago, H. Bernardes, T. Mendes
This study presents the evaluation of the performance of grain silos reinforced by rigid inclusions in soils of the Central-West region of Brazil, during its construction and operation. Therefore, a group of eight silos with 32.4 m in diameter, 30 m in height, and 12,000 t of storage capacity (each silo) was numerically analyzed using the three-dimensional Finite Element Method (FEM, Plaxis 3D). The stratigraphy of the Experimental Field of the University of Brasilia, Brazil (CEGUnB) was considered in the analysis. The performance of using a system of rigid inclusions to reinforce the soil beneath the raft was compared with the behavior of an isolated raft. Two models were developed: in the first one, an independent silo was considered, its behavior was analyzed during its construction and operation stages by varying the length of the inclusions; in the second model, the group of eight silos was considered and their behavior was studied for different combinations of loading. The rigid inclusions system proved to be an efficient foundation solution that allows controlling total and differential displacements during the construction and serviceability stages of the silo, helping to prevent the formation of cracks in the structural elements and grain contamination by the excessive opening of the raft-perimeter beam structural joint.
本研究对巴西中西部地区土壤中刚性夹杂物加固粮仓在施工和运营过程中的性能进行了评估。因此,使用三维有限元法(FEM,Plaxis 3D)对一组直径为32.4 m、高度为30 m、存储容量为12000 t的八个筒仓(每个筒仓)进行了数值分析。分析中考虑了巴西巴西利亚大学实验田的地层学。将使用刚性夹杂物系统加固筏板下方土壤的性能与独立筏板的性能进行了比较。建立了两个模型:第一个模型考虑了一个独立的筒仓,通过改变夹杂物的长度来分析其在施工和运行阶段的行为;在第二个模型中,考虑了一组八个筒仓,并研究了它们在不同荷载组合下的行为。刚性夹杂物系统被证明是一种有效的基础解决方案,可以在筒仓的施工和正常使用阶段控制总位移和差位移,有助于防止结构元件中形成裂缝和因筏板周边梁结构接头的过度开口而造成的颗粒污染。
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引用次数: 0
Use of low-cost accelerometers for landslides monitoring: results from a flume experiment 低成本加速度计在滑坡监测中的应用:水槽实验结果
IF 0.5 Q4 ENGINEERING, GEOLOGICAL Pub Date : 2022-08-16 DOI: 10.28927/sr.2022.078621
M. Otero, Ana Abreu, A. Askarinejad, Marcela Guimarães, E. Macedo, A. Corsi, Rynaldo Z. H. Almeida
Early Warning Systems (EWS) are non-structural measures for landslides disaster prevention. They are based on the detection of impending failure signals. The results of a landslide simulation experiment where accelerometers were used to identify pre-failure signals are presented in this paper. Landslide was simulated in a tilting flume filled with sandy soil. During the experiment, the flume was fixed at 30° inclination and water percolated through the soil until it slid. Accelerometers were embedded into the soil and recorded acceleration data from the beginning of the experiment until failure. Acceleration data were analyzed in time domain aiming at estimating translational velocity of the movement. Angular variation was also estimated from acceleration data. The experiment was recorded with a camera and pictures were used for Particle Image Velocimetry (PIV) analysis, in order to validate the estimated translational velocity. Results showed that accelerometers can identify prefailure signals before any macroscopic movement could indicate impending failure in fast to very fast landslides, showing their potential to be used in EWS. Validation of estimated velocities was not always possible due to PIV setup constraints and the velocity of the mass movement simulated. In fact, the estimated translational velocities seem to be unreliable. On the other hand, the results suggest that acceleration data and angular position variation trend and rate can be incorporated into EWS.
预警系统(EWS)是滑坡灾害预防的非结构性措施。它们基于对即将发生的故障信号的检测。本文给出了利用加速度计识别滑坡破坏前信号的模拟实验结果。滑坡是在充满砂土的倾斜水槽中模拟的。在实验过程中,水槽固定在30°的倾斜度,水通过土壤渗透,直到它滑动。加速度计被嵌入土壤中,并记录从实验开始到失败的加速度数据。在时域中分析加速度数据,旨在估计运动的平移速度。还根据加速度数据估算了角度变化。用相机记录实验,并使用图片进行粒子图像测速(PIV)分析,以验证估计的平移速度。结果表明,加速度计可以在任何宏观运动表明快速到非常快的滑坡即将发生故障之前识别故障前信号,显示出其在EWS中使用的潜力。由于PIV设置限制和模拟的质量运动速度,估计速度的验证并不总是可能的。事实上,估计的平移速度似乎是不可靠的。另一方面,结果表明,加速度数据和角位置变化趋势和速率可以被纳入EWS。
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引用次数: 1
Effect of steel slag on the mechanical behavior of surficial yellow marl of Tabriz 钢渣对大不里士表层黄色泥灰岩力学性能的影响
IF 0.5 Q4 ENGINEERING, GEOLOGICAL Pub Date : 2022-08-16 DOI: 10.28927/sr.2022.071821
Hossein Soltani-Jigheh, Hamed Golmohammadi, Manouchehr Tajrostami
Fine-grained soils usually have low shear strength and bearing capacity and high swelling potential in the wet state, therefore, they have often to be stabilized by additives. The main objective of this study is to determine the possible effects of ground-granulated blast-furnace slag on the physical and mechanical properties of fine-grained soil. For this purpose, a number of Atterberg, compaction, California bearing ratio (CBR), unconfined compression and freeze-thaw tests were conducted on fine-grained soil. Steel slag (SS) inclusion reduced plasticity index of soil from 44% to 20% when slag content increased from 0% to 55.0%. Moreover, the slag addition improved soil CBR with maximum improvement rate in the sample consists to 55% slag. This increment in CBR was about 140% and 154% for 2.54 mm and 5.08 mm penetration respectively. In addition, slag inclusion raised soil strength with a maximum increment of 132% for clay mixed with 55% slag. Water content and volume changes in freeze-thaw cycles also decreased with increasing percentage of SS, therefore mixtures durability increased.
细粒土通常具有较低的抗剪强度和承载力,在潮湿状态下具有较高的膨胀潜力,因此,它们通常必须通过添加剂来稳定。本研究的主要目的是确定磨细高炉矿渣对细粒土物理力学性能的可能影响。为此,对细粒土进行了大量的阿太堡、压实、加州承载比(CBR)、无侧限抗压和冻融试验。当矿渣含量从0%增加到55.0%时,钢渣(SS)夹杂使土壤的塑性指数从44%降低到20%。此外,矿渣的加入提高了土壤的CBR,最大改善率为55%。对于2.54mm和5.08mm的穿透,CBR的增量分别约为140%和154%。此外,掺入55%矿渣的粘土,掺入矿渣可提高土壤强度,最大增量为132%。冻融循环中的含水量和体积变化也随着SS百分比的增加而减少,因此混合物的耐久性增加。
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引用次数: 0
Contribution for a root pile installation control approach using a digital odometer 使用数字里程计的根桩安装控制方法的贡献
IF 0.5 Q4 ENGINEERING, GEOLOGICAL Pub Date : 2022-08-03 DOI: 10.28927/sr.2022.077121
José Melchior Filho, A. Moura, F. Monteiro
A root pile is a form of injection pile (cast-in-place with pressure, with very distinct construction aspects from the known micropile type). During the mortar shaft development, these piles are inserted using distinct injection pressures of up to 500 kPa. Static load tests are typically used to control root piles, which can be an expensive and time-consuming testing procedure. Static load tests were performed on eight monitored piles with diameters of 350 and 410 mm to investigate root pile performance control during pile installation. This research presents a refined and developed alternative methodology for confirming root pile performance using a digital odometer attached to the drill rig’s rotatory head. The methodology consists of monitoring variables obtained during pile installation related to pile bearing capacity. Moreover, empirical equations with simple and relevant applications to estimate root pile bearing capacity during installation are proposed. The developed equations produced results consistent with the values obtained from static load testing on the test piles. Therefore, the results suggest that the proposed methodology is a viable alternative for root pile performance control.
根桩是灌注桩的一种形式(带压灌注,与已知的微型桩类型具有非常不同的施工方面)。在砂浆竖井开发过程中,使用高达500kPa的不同注入压力插入这些桩。静载荷测试通常用于控制根桩,这可能是一个昂贵且耗时的测试程序。对8根直径分别为350和410 mm的监测桩进行了静载荷试验,以研究桩安装过程中的根桩性能控制。这项研究提出了一种改进和发展的替代方法,用于使用连接在钻机旋转头上的数字里程表来确认根桩性能。该方法包括监测在桩安装过程中获得的与桩承载力相关的变量。此外,还提出了具有简单和相关应用的经验方程,用于估算安装过程中的根桩承载力。所开发的方程产生的结果与试验桩静载荷试验获得的值一致。因此,研究结果表明,所提出的方法是一种可行的根桩性能控制方法。
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引用次数: 0
Simplified model for dam rockfill creep and influence of constructive delay of concrete face 大坝堆石蠕变简化模型及混凝土面板施工延误的影响
IF 0.5 Q4 ENGINEERING, GEOLOGICAL Pub Date : 2022-08-03 DOI: 10.28927/sr.2022.074221
Renato Raposo, Yasletty Zamora Hernández, A. Assis
Advances in equipment and tools implemented for geotechnics have been allowing design to be supported by numerical simulations. However, even with sophisticated resources, the dam geotechnical engineering industry still lacks few information on laboratory parameters as in the case of Concrete Face Rockfill Dams (CFRD). It is necessary to simplify the use of back-analysis that represent real CFRD, in search of tools that can be applied in the industry. The objectives include the simplification of the behavior of the linear modules associated with a linear coefficient representing the vertical creep and evaluation of the influence of the constructive delay of the concrete face in a specific case. The text goes through examples of real CFRD simulations, as a theoretical background. The CFRD calibration model includes an elegant representation of the vertical orthotropic rockfill creep with only two calibration parameters. The displacements obtained from a CFRD are represented with a linear elastic constitutive model with linear vertical deformation in time. The result is well adjusted both in the construction phase and during filling. Further on, six different slab constructive delay sequencing arrangements were simulated. The study uses a numerical device that makes it possible to drive the concrete slab in its correct design thickness. Among the stress results, the step-by-step sequencing of the slab following the rockfill reached the worst horizontal stresses, reaching almost 45 MPa, which exceeds the typical compressive strengths of conventional concretes that can affect the structural integrity of the slab. The results suggest that step-by-step sequencing should be avoided. In the case studied, the balanced behavior could be achieved in a concreting scenario maintaining the constructive delay of the slab with at least half the height of the dam. It is important to point out that all this work considerations serve for a specific example. Any generalization should be avoided or associated with broader complementary studies, as each dam is a unique work and must be studied individually, case by case.
岩土工程设备和工具的进步使设计能够得到数值模拟的支持。然而,即使拥有丰富的资源,大坝岩土工程行业仍然缺乏关于混凝土面板堆石坝(CFRD)实验室参数的信息。为了寻找可在行业中应用的工具,有必要简化代表真实CFRD的反向分析的使用。目标包括简化与表示垂直蠕变的线性系数相关的线性模块的行为,并评估特定情况下混凝土面施工延迟的影响。本文以实际面板堆石坝模拟实例为理论背景。CFRD校准模型包括一个只有两个校准参数的正交各向异性垂直堆石蠕变的优雅表示。从CFRD获得的位移用线性弹性本构模型表示,该模型具有随时间变化的线性垂直变形。结果在施工阶段和填筑期间都得到了很好的调整。此外,还模拟了六种不同的板构造延迟排序安排。该研究使用了一种数字设备,使混凝土板达到正确的设计厚度成为可能。在应力结果中,堆石之后的板的逐步顺序达到了最差的水平应力,几乎达到45MPa,这超过了传统混凝土的典型抗压强度,而传统混凝土会影响板的结构完整性。结果表明,应避免逐步测序。在所研究的案例中,在混凝土浇筑的情况下,可以实现平衡行为,保持面板的施工延迟至少为大坝高度的一半。需要指出的是,所有这些工作考虑因素都是一个具体的例子。应避免任何概括,或将其与更广泛的补充研究联系起来,因为每个大坝都是一项独特的工作,必须逐个研究。
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引用次数: 0
Estimative of shaft and tip bearing capacities of single piles using multilayer perceptrons 用多层感知器估算单桩的桩身和桩端承载力
IF 0.5 Q4 ENGINEERING, GEOLOGICAL Pub Date : 2022-07-27 DOI: 10.28927/sr.2022.077821
Luciana Amâncio, Silvrano Adonias Dantas Neto, Renato Cunha
There are an increasing number of studies that use the artificial neural networks (ANN) as a prediction tool in the field of foundations with satisfactory results. In this paper, multilayer perceptrons are used to develop prediction models for the shaft and tip bearing capacities of single piles based on a supervised training using the error back propagation algorithm. Results from static load tests carried out on 95 instrumented single piles executed in different regions of Brazil were used in the ANN modelling. The prediction models of shaft and tip bearing capacities of single piles were obtained portraying indicated in the validation phase determination coefficients equal to 95% and 99%, respectively. To demonstrate their applicability and efficiency, such models were used to estimate the bearing capacity of single piles unused in the models’ development, as well as groups of two and three piles. The results demonstrated that the neuron models were much closer to the values of the bearing capacities measured in single pile tests and groups of piles, than the estimated results using semi-empirical methods. As a result of overestimating the predicted bearing capacities in relation to the results of the load tests, it is recommended to use models applying reduction factors of 0.88 for single piles, and 0.75 for groups of up to three piles.
将人工神经网络(ANN)作为地基预测工具的研究越来越多,并取得了满意的结果。本文基于误差反向传播算法的监督训练,利用多层感知器建立了单桩桩身和桩顶承载力的预测模型。在巴西不同地区进行的95个仪器单桩静载试验结果用于人工神经网络建模。建立了单桩桩身承载力和桩顶承载力预测模型,验证阶段确定系数分别为95%和99%。为验证模型的适用性和有效性,分别对模型开发过程中未使用的单桩、二桩组和三桩组进行了承载力估算。结果表明,神经元模型比半经验方法的估计结果更接近于单桩试验和群桩的承载力实测值。由于与荷载试验结果相比,对预测承载力的估计过高,建议对单桩使用折算系数为0.88的模型,对最多三桩的组桩使用折算系数为0.75的模型。
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引用次数: 1
Lining forces in tunnel interaction problems 隧道相互作用问题中的衬砌力
IF 0.5 Q4 ENGINEERING, GEOLOGICAL Pub Date : 2022-07-27 DOI: 10.28927/sr.2022.077221
António Pedro, José Grazina, J. Almeida e Sousa
In big cities the construction of new tunnels in close proximity to existing ones is unavoidable given the densely and growing occupation of the subsoil. The interaction between tunnels in such conditions is well identified in the literature and has been thoroughly investigated in the past. However, most of those studies are focused on the effect of the ground conditions and relative position between tunnels on the ground movements and often disregard the impact induced by the second excavation on the lining forces of both tunnels. To provide further insight into this subject a numerical study of the sequential excavation of side-by-side twin tunnels is presented in this paper. The study also assesses the influence of parameters that have not been covered in the previous studies, namely the stiffness of the lining and the initial stress conditions. The results confirm that significant interaction occurs when the tunnels are spaced less than one diameter, where a considerable increase on both hoop forces and bending moments, particularly on the lining of the existing tunnel, is observed after the second excavation. For a spacing higher than two diameters the interaction between tunnels is almost negligible. The magnitude of the lining forces and of the interaction effects are also dependent of the stiffness of the linings and of the initial stress conditions.
在大城市里,由于地下空间的密集和不断增加,在靠近现有隧道的地方修建新隧道是不可避免的。在这种条件下,隧道之间的相互作用在文献中得到了很好的确定,并且在过去已经进行了彻底的研究。然而,这些研究大多集中在地面条件和隧道之间的相对位置对地面运动的影响上,而往往忽略了二次开挖对两条隧道衬砌力的影响。为了进一步深入了解这一问题,本文对相邻双隧道的顺序开挖进行了数值研究。本研究还评估了先前研究中未涉及的参数的影响,即衬砌刚度和初始应力条件。结果证实,当隧道间距小于一个直径时,会发生显著的相互作用,在第二次开挖后,观察到环力和弯矩都有相当大的增加,特别是在现有隧道的衬砌上。当隧道间距大于两倍直径时,隧道间的相互作用几乎可以忽略不计。衬砌力的大小和相互作用的影响也取决于衬砌的刚度和初始应力条件。
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引用次数: 0
Soil-water characteristic curve of polypropylene fibrereinforced sandy soil 聚丙烯纤维增强砂土土水特性曲线
IF 0.5 Q4 ENGINEERING, GEOLOGICAL Pub Date : 2022-07-15 DOI: 10.28927/sr.2022.070021
Cíntia Castro, A. Soares, Marcos Aguiar
Fibre reinforcement is considered a good alternative for improving the geotechnical properties of soil. However, studies that investigate its behaviour, accounting for the unsaturated condition, and the hydraulic behaviour of soil mixtures with fibre, are limited. Therefore, the current study evaluates the impact of the inclusion of polypropylene fibres on the hydraulic behaviour of soil through geotechnical characterisation, scanning electron microscopy (SEM), macroporosity and microporosity tests, and filter paper tests. The soil-water characteristic curve (SWCC) of different mixtures of fibre-reinforced soil was adjusted by the models enshrined in the literature, using polypropylene fibres of length 6 mm, diameter 18 μm, and fibre contents 0.25% (SF025), 0.75% (SF075), 1.0% (SF100), and 1.25% (SF125) relative to the dry weight of the soil. The results indicated a transition from unimodal to bimodal shape in the SWCC for the polypropylene fibre-reinforcement, suggesting that their inclusion altered the soil structure. The same bimodal behaviour of SWCC was observed in all reinforced samples that produced similar values of air-entry suction and residual volumetric water content, but with increased water retention for the same level of suction for higher fibre content. The results of the tension table test indicated an increase in the volume of macropores with an increase in fibre content and a decrease in micropore volumes. These results agree with the compaction tests, which showed a decrease in the dry maximum density with an increased fibre content, whereas the optimum water content increased.
纤维加固被认为是改善土壤岩土力学性能的一种很好的选择。然而,研究它的行为,考虑到非饱和条件和纤维混合土的水力行为,是有限的。因此,目前的研究通过岩土力学表征、扫描电子显微镜(SEM)、大孔隙率和微孔隙率测试以及滤纸测试来评估聚丙烯纤维包裹体对土壤水力特性的影响。采用长度为6 mm、直径为18 μm的聚丙烯纤维,纤维含量为土壤干重的0.25% (SF025)、0.75% (SF075)、1.0% (SF100)和1.25% (SF125),利用文献模型对不同纤维增强土混合土的土-水特征曲线(SWCC)进行调整。结果表明,聚丙烯纤维增强物在SWCC中由单峰形态向双峰形态转变,表明聚丙烯纤维的加入改变了土壤结构。SWCC的双峰行为在所有增强样品中都被观察到,这些增强样品产生了相似的空气入口吸力值和剩余体积含水量,但在相同的吸力水平下,纤维含量越高,保水率越高。拉伸表试验结果表明,随着纤维含量的增加,大孔体积增大,微孔体积减小。这些结果与压实试验结果一致,随着纤维含量的增加,干最大密度降低,而最佳含水量增加。
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引用次数: 0
Prediction of soil water retention curve based on physical characterization parameters using machine learning 基于物理表征参数的机器学习土壤保水曲线预测
IF 0.5 Q4 ENGINEERING, GEOLOGICAL Pub Date : 2022-07-15 DOI: 10.28927/sr.2022.000222
E. Albuquerque, Lucas Borges, André Cavalcante, S. Machado
This paper explores the potential of machine learning techniques to predict the soil water retention curve based on physical characterization parameters. Results from 794 water retention and suction points obtained from 51 different soils were used in the algorithm. The soil properties used are the percentages of gravel, sand, silt, and clay, the plasticity index, the porosity, and the relation between the volumetric water content and total suction. The data were used as input for machine learning estimators to predict the volumetric water content of a soil with specified physical characterization parameters and suction, the techniques of artificial intelligence were developed in python. Results show that an extremely randomized trees’ estimator can reach a coefficient of determination of 0.99 in the training dataset, with a coefficient of 0.90 in the cross-validation and testing dataset, which measures the generalization capacity. Furthermore, a continuous function can be obtained by fitting a model such as Cavalcante & Zornberg, or van Genuchten, or Costa & Cavalcante (bimodal) to the predictions of the machine learning for use in numerical methods. These results indicate that the proposed machine learning estimator can become an interesting alternative to estimate the soil water retention curve in engineering practice. This work is in progress and the predictions can be improved with the addition of new data. Know how to participate at the end of the paper.
本文探讨了机器学习技术在基于物理表征参数预测土壤保水曲线方面的潜力。算法使用了51种不同土壤的794个水保持点和吸力点的结果。使用的土壤性质是砾石、砂土、粉土和粘土的百分比、塑性指数、孔隙率以及体积含水量与总吸力之间的关系。这些数据被用作机器学习估计器的输入,以预测具有指定物理表征参数和吸力的土壤的体积含水量,人工智能技术在python中开发。结果表明,极端随机化树估计器在训练数据集中的决定系数为0.99,在交叉验证和测试数据集中的决定系数为0.90,衡量了泛化能力。此外,可以通过拟合诸如Cavalcante & Zornberg,或van Genuchten,或Costa & Cavalcante(双峰)等模型来获得连续函数,以用于数值方法的机器学习预测。这些结果表明,所提出的机器学习估计器可以成为工程实践中估计土壤保水曲线的有趣替代方法。这项工作正在进行中,随着新数据的增加,预测可以得到改进。在论文最后知道如何参与。
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引用次数: 3
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