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Changes in the industrial structure of GDP and stock indices also with regard to industry 4.0 GDP和股票指数的产业结构变化也与工业4.0有关
Pub Date : 2018-01-01 DOI: 10.15208/BEH.2018.29
Božena Chovancová, Michaela Dorocáková, Viera Malacka
The second half of the 20th century brought breakthroughs in the field of science and technology, which significantly affected not only the growth of labour productivity and economic growth, but also brought changes in industrial structures and changes in share of individual industries in GDP. Even more strikingly, these changes have been reflected in the stock market, with leading companies from the field of information technology, which affect the flow and processing of information in revolutionary way. The onset of so-called internet economy at the beginning of the 1990s significantly changes also the structure of stock indices. Business services lure investors particularly into the area of financial services, which also show high degree of appreciation of the investment. New phenomenon nowadays is and expected changes in industrial structures not only in GDP, but also in the structure of stock markets will be brought by new phase of industrial revolution Industry 4.0. The aim of this paper is to quantify and analyse the current state and position of individual industries in the structure of GDP and stock indices and to outline new tendencies and to predict changes in these indicators with regards to the realization of 4th phase of industrial revolution.
20世纪下半叶科技领域的突破,不仅对劳动生产率的提高和经济增长产生了重大影响,也带来了产业结构的变化和各个产业占GDP比重的变化。更引人注目的是,这些变化已经反映在股票市场上,来自信息技术领域的领先公司以革命性的方式影响着信息的流动和处理。20世纪90年代初所谓的互联网经济的兴起也极大地改变了股指的结构。商业服务特别吸引投资者进入金融服务领域,这也显示出高度的投资增值。新一阶段的工业革命工业4.0所带来的产业结构变化,不仅是GDP的变化,而且是股票市场结构的变化,是当今的新现象。本文的目的是量化和分析单个行业在GDP和股指结构中的现状和地位,勾勒出新的趋势,并预测这些指标在第四次工业革命实现方面的变化。
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引用次数: 10
Love of money, gender, religiosity: The impact on ethical perceptions of future professional accountants 对金钱、性别、宗教信仰的热爱:对未来职业会计师道德观念的影响
Pub Date : 2018-01-01 DOI: 10.15208/BEH.2018.31
I. Nazaruddin, S. Rezki, Yasya Rahmanda
Accountants are either directly or indirectly partly responsible for corporate frauds, so it is important to know the underlying reasons why such unethical behavior occurred. This study aims to analyze the moderation impact of religiosity and gender on the relation between love of money with student’s ethical perception. There were 144 questionnaires from accounting students. As hypothesized, the results of the study revealed love of money have a negative impact to student’s ethical perception. The interaction between intrinsic religiosity and love of money are able to weaken the negative effect of love of money to student’s ethical perception, however the extrinsic religiosity is vice versa. Gender has no significant effect on love of money relationship with ethical perception.
会计师直接或间接地对公司欺诈负有部分责任,因此了解这种不道德行为发生的潜在原因很重要。本研究旨在分析宗教信仰和性别对大学生爱财与伦理知觉关系的调节作用。共有144份问卷来自会计系学生。正如假设的那样,研究结果揭示了爱钱对学生的道德观有负面影响。内在宗教性与爱财性的交互作用能够减弱爱财性对学生伦理感知的负面影响,而外在宗教性则相反。性别对爱财关系与伦理知觉无显著影响。
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引用次数: 10
Household savings, financing and economic growth in South Africa 南非的家庭储蓄、融资和经济增长
Pub Date : 2018-01-01 DOI: 10.15208/BEH.2018.09
I. Mongale, Tumelo Mashamaite, N. Khoza
The South African economy is characterised by low levels of household savings which play a very crucial role in stimulating sustained economic growth. At the same time consumers borrow in order to consume. The paper intends to investigate the impact of household savings and financing on economic growth in South Africa. The study is envisaged to assist monetary authorities and policy makers to mitigate this problem. An annual time series data covering the period from 1980 to 2014 is analysed by means of the Vector Error Correction Model approach. The Johansen Cointegration test results confirmed the existence of a long run relationship amongst variables under investigations. Moreover, the results suggest that financing, namely; credit extensions and leasing finance have positive relationships with the country’s economic growth while household savings indicate a negative relationship with growth. That being the case, the recommendation is that since it has been established by other studies that a rapid increase in credit is not commonly perceived to be one of the leading indicators of financial instability, policymakers are advised to consider imposing stringent credit control measures so that the demand for financing can be kept under control.
南非经济的特点是家庭储蓄水平低,这在刺激持续经济增长方面起着非常关键的作用。与此同时,消费者借钱是为了消费。本文旨在调查南非家庭储蓄和融资对经济增长的影响。预计这项研究将有助于货币当局和政策制定者减轻这一问题。采用向量误差修正模型方法对1980 ~ 2014年的年度时间序列数据进行了分析。约翰森协整检验结果证实了所调查的变量之间存在长期关系。此外,结果表明,融资,即;信贷扩张和租赁融资与国家经济增长呈正相关,而家庭储蓄与经济增长呈负相关。在这种情况下,建议是,由于其他研究已经确定,信贷的快速增长通常不会被认为是金融不稳定的主要指标之一,因此建议政策制定者考虑实施严格的信贷控制措施,以使融资需求能够得到控制。
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引用次数: 4
The impact of government consumption on the private expenditures in developing country: the case of Indonesia 发展中国家政府消费对私人支出的影响:以印度尼西亚为例
Pub Date : 2018-01-01 DOI: 10.15208/BEH.2018.1
H. Kuncoro
The relationship between government actions and private reactions is an important subject of continuing discussion in fiscal policy. This paper provides empirical evidence on the impact of government consumption on private expenditures in the case of Indonesia over the period of 1990–2012. We use Almost Ideal Demand System (AIDS) model to analyze the quarterly data of household consumption, investment, government spending, and import in compliance with the national income product based on expenditure approach. The results confirm that the government expenditure crowds-out household consumption. In contrast, it crowds-in firm investment and import. The elasticity of government expenditure with respect to income is the lowest while that of investment is the highest. Those findings suggest that the public sector is decreasing in relative importance gradually taken over by private sector to promote economic growth. As the economy grows, the economic policies of governments should have a tendency to more heavily focus on economic stabilization especially in relation to external imbalance induced by tendency of increase in import.
政府行为和私人反应之间的关系是财政政策中持续讨论的一个重要主题。本文以1990-2012年印度尼西亚为例,提供了政府消费对私人支出影响的实证证据。本文运用近乎理想需求系统(AIDS)模型,按照基于支出法的国民收入产品,对家庭消费、投资、政府支出和进口的季度数据进行了分析。结果证实,政府支出挤占了居民消费。相反,它吸引了大量企业投资和进口。政府支出相对于收入的弹性最低,而投资相对于收入的弹性最高。这些调查结果表明,公共部门在促进经济增长方面的相对重要性正在下降,逐渐被私营部门所取代。随着经济的增长,各国政府的经济政策应更加注重经济稳定,特别是与进口增加趋势引起的外部不平衡有关。
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引用次数: 5
Forecasting on the long-term sustainability of the employees provident fund in Malaysia via the Box-Jenkins’ ARIMA model 通过Box-Jenkins的ARIMA模型预测马来西亚雇员公积金的长期可持续性
Pub Date : 2018-01-01 DOI: 10.15208/BEH.2018.04
Sallahuddin Hassan, Zalila Othman
This study employs the use of Box-Jenkins’ ARIMA (1,1,0) model for the estimation and forecasts based on the annual data of EPF balances, which serve as a proxy to EPF sustainability, together with the yearly data of possible determinants namely investment earnings, nominal income, elderly population, life expectancy and mortality rate in Malaysia for the 1960 – 2010 and 2010 - 2014 periods, respectively. Amid a negative sentiment and conceivably bleak outlook on the long term EPF inadequacy to provide adequate incomes to elderly persons, the prognosis of this study instead reveals otherwise and is found to be in support for the long term prospect and sustainability of the EPF. With necessary improvements are underway to strengthen the performance of the administered EPF system, it is likely to believe that the EPF organization is committed to promoting its product as a more inclusive and equitable scheme in Malaysia.
本研究采用Box-Jenkins的ARIMA(1,1,0)模型,根据EPF余额的年度数据进行估计和预测,EPF余额作为EPF可持续性的代理,以及马来西亚1960 - 2010年和2010 - 2014年期间可能决定因素的年度数据,即投资收益、名义收入、老年人口、预期寿命和死亡率。在对长期公积金不足以为长者提供足够收入的负面情绪和令人想象的悲观前景中,这项研究的预测反而显示出相反的情况,并发现支持公积金的长期前景和可持续性。目前正在进行必要的改进,以加强管理的EPF制度的绩效,很可能相信EPF组织致力于在马来西亚推广其产品,使其成为一个更具包容性和公平性的计划。
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引用次数: 5
An empirical evidence on the effect of women board representation on firm performance of companies listed in Iraq Stock Exchange 伊拉克证券交易所上市公司女性董事比例对公司绩效影响的实证研究
Pub Date : 2018-01-01 DOI: 10.15208/beh.2018.10
F. Jedi, Sabri Nayan
The Iraqi stock price index performance has been on the decline which indicates a deteriorating performance of the listed companies which is mostly associated with weak corporate governance practices. Despite that fact that Iraq has gone very far in the liberalization of women, Iraqi board of directors is still dominated by men. However, gender diversity is one of the largest concepts of board diversity and a major issue within corporate governance where several studies seek to discover the influence of diversity on firm performance. Considering the inconsistencies in the results of previous studies concerning gender diversity and firm performance relationship, this lack of consensus permit for further research as it is important to investigate the factors in board processes that are crucial to board effectiveness. This article aims at examining the effect of women representation on firm performance of Iraqi listed firms using panel regression analysis. The empirical results of this paper provide evidence of a positive and significant relationship between female directors and firm performance as measured by Return on Assets while no relationship with Tobin’s q. The important policy implication of this finding is that the Iraqi Stock Exchange and Iraqi Security Commission should incorporate gender diversity in corporate governance practices and encourage women directorship in Iraq. Finally, this study provided some suggestions for future researchers.
伊拉克股票价格指数的表现一直在下降,这表明上市公司的业绩正在恶化,这主要与薄弱的公司治理做法有关。尽管伊拉克在妇女自由化方面取得了很大进展,但伊拉克董事会仍然由男性主导。然而,性别多样性是董事会多样性的最大概念之一,也是公司治理中的一个主要问题,一些研究试图发现多样性对公司绩效的影响。考虑到先前关于性别多样性和公司绩效关系的研究结果不一致,这种共识的缺乏允许进一步的研究,因为调查董事会过程中对董事会有效性至关重要的因素是很重要的。本文旨在利用面板回归分析,检验伊拉克上市公司女性代表对公司绩效的影响。本文的实证结果提供了证据,证明女性董事与资产回报率衡量的公司绩效之间存在积极而显著的关系,而与托宾q无关。这一发现的重要政策含义是,伊拉克证券交易所和伊拉克安全委员会应将性别多样性纳入公司治理实践,并鼓励伊拉克的女性董事。最后,本研究对未来的研究者提出了一些建议。
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引用次数: 6
Intergenerational fairness from an economic perspective: Overview of some theoretical and methodological issues 经济学视角下的代际公平:若干理论和方法问题综述
Pub Date : 2018-01-01 DOI: 10.15208/beh.2018.21
F. Chybalski
This paper seeks to conceptualize the term of intergenerational fairness with particular attention paid to possible comparative cross-country studies in this field that would aim at searching for the most efficient welfare policies serving for long-term equilibrium between generations in terms of well-being. According to the concept proposed, intergenerational fairness means such relations between different age groups which, in the context of given economic, political and demographic conditions, do not discriminate against any age group in terms of its present and future living situation. This includes present transfers (today) and their impact on prospects (future). Thus, intergenerational fairness cannot be measured only with reference to the contemporary situation, it must also account for the future.
本文试图将代际公平一词概念化,并特别注意在这一领域可能进行的比较跨国研究,其目的是寻找最有效的福利政策,以促进代际之间在福利方面的长期平衡。根据所提议的概念,代际公平是指不同年龄组之间的关系,在特定的经济、政治和人口条件下,不对任何年龄组的目前和未来生活状况造成歧视。这包括目前(今天)的转移及其对前景(未来)的影响。因此,代际公平不能仅参照当代情况来衡量,它还必须考虑到未来。
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引用次数: 1
A discussion of joint bank and industry concentration 银行与行业联合集中的探讨
Pub Date : 2018-01-01 DOI: 10.15208/BEH.2018.16
Gerasimos T. Soldatos
This article examines bank and industry concentration jointly within the static framework of Cournot competition. The general equilibrium is one in which banks form a multiplant monopoly and firm profit is zero. This is an unstable equilibrium because: (A) Firms have an incentive to (i) collude to “fight banks back” in the context of bilateral monopoly bargaining, and/or (ii) modernize their business towards financial independence; (B) Banks’ best response is (i) innovation too, combined with (ii) disciplinary credit rationing.
本文在古诺竞争的静态框架内对银行集中度和产业集中度进行了联合考察。一般均衡是指银行形成多厂垄断,企业利润为零。这是一个不稳定的均衡,因为:(A)公司有动机(i)在双边垄断谈判的背景下串通起来“反击银行”,和/或(ii)实现业务现代化,实现财务独立;(B)银行的最佳对策是(i)创新,结合(ii)纪律信贷配给。
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引用次数: 0
Intangible factors and productivity: Evidence from Europe at the regional level 无形因素与生产力:来自欧洲区域层面的证据
Pub Date : 2018-01-01 DOI: 10.15208/BEH.2018.23
A. Kaasa
This study investigates how a region’s labour productivity could be influenced by intangible factors such as social capital, government quality, cultural dimensions andreligion – factors that have not received much attention in the previous literature. As another novelty, regional-level data (78 regions of 22 European countries) were analysed. In order to take into account the relationships between various factors of productivity, the structural equation modelling approach is used enabling to find out both direct and indirect effects. The results showed institutional trust and civic participation to be the most important for productivity. Individualism appeared to have a positive and masculinity and power distance a negative total effect on labourproductivity.
本研究探讨了社会资本、政府质量、文化维度和宗教等无形因素如何影响一个地区的劳动生产率,这些因素在以前的文献中没有得到太多的关注。另一个新颖之处是分析了区域层面的数据(22个欧洲国家的78个地区)。为了考虑生产率各要素之间的关系,采用结构方程建模方法,既能找出直接影响,又能找出间接影响。结果显示,制度信任和公民参与对生产力最重要。个人主义似乎对劳动生产率有积极影响,而男性气质和权力距离对劳动生产率有消极影响。
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引用次数: 9
The relationship between economic growth and employee provident fund: An empirical evidence from Malaysia 经济增长与雇员公积金关系:来自马来西亚的经验证据
Pub Date : 2018-01-01 DOI: 10.15208/BEH.2018.18
Sallahuddin Hassan, Zalila Othman, Zalina Mohd Mohaideen
Over the years, Malaysia has progressively accelerated its economic development, thanks to the adherence to high rates of domestic savings and investment. Of which, the Employees Provident Fund (EPF) is one of the schemes that caters for the private sector workers. Specifically, this paper investigates the relationship between economic growth and EPF investment in Malaysia for the period of 1970 – 2014. The model, which is derived from the Cobb-Douglas production function, is tested by econometric techniques; Johansen cointegration and Granger causality within VECM. While the EPF investment is proven statistically insignificant in the short run, there is evidence of the saving/investment-led-growth hypothesis being the long run phenomenon for Malaysia. In view of the possible over-dependence on investment funds in generalgoing forward, the policy makers are recommended to reinforce the government’s initiative in facilitating more business ventures as means to attract incoming funds, including FDI flows, towards streaming into the country.
多年来,由于坚持高国内储蓄率和投资率,马来西亚逐步加快了经济发展。其中,雇员公积金(EPF)是其中一项为私营机构雇员提供服务的计划。具体而言,本文研究了1970 - 2014年马来西亚经济增长与EPF投资之间的关系。该模型由柯布-道格拉斯生产函数推导而来,并通过计量经济学技术进行了检验;VECM中的johnson协整和Granger因果关系。虽然EPF投资在短期内被证明在统计上是微不足道的,但有证据表明储蓄/投资主导增长假说是马来西亚的长期现象。鉴于今后可能过度依赖投资基金,建议决策者加强政府的倡议,促进更多的商业企业,作为吸引流入资金,包括外国直接投资流入该国的手段。
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引用次数: 1
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Business and Economic Horizons
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