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Institutional Barriers to The Growth of Human Capital of Highly-Skilled Professionals 高技能人才人力资本增长的制度障碍
IF 0.6 Q4 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2021-09-25 DOI: 10.17835/2076-6297.2021.13.3.131-143
A. Karavay, Fctas Ras
The factors that currently determine Russian professionals' quality of human capital is analised in the article. Authors use the multinomial logistic regression and methods of content analysis based on the data of the RLMS HSE in 2019 and the FCTAS RAS in 2021. It is shown that the main role in the processes of accumulation and renewal of their human capital is played by factors related to the specific of socio-economic institutions in Russia. Employment in the main sectors of the Russian economy – industry, trade and services – does not require professionals to further increase their human capital. The concentration of enterprises from industries where highly qualified specialists are usually in demand in the most urbanized regions causes an unequal distribution of high-quality human capital between large cities and other localities. It is also shown that the influence of age on the processes of accumulation of human capital is nonlinear. The possibility to get into the group with the highest quality of human capital for professionals are drained even before the age of 40. At the same time, from the age of 45, the chances for them to have human capital with its typical quality for highly-skilled professionals begin to decrease, which is associated with discrimination in the Russian labor market of older workers and the inexpediency for them to invest in their human capital in these conditions. The results show how difficult it will be in the current conditions and considering the inevitable aging of the population to implement the plans of the country's leadership to increase the share of high-tech enterprises and increase labor productivity without changing the institutional environment.
本文分析了目前影响俄罗斯专业人员人力资本质量的因素。作者以RLMS 2019年HSE数据和FCTAS 2021年RAS数据为基础,采用多项逻辑回归和内容分析方法。研究表明,与俄罗斯社会经济制度的特殊性有关的因素在其人力资本积累和更新过程中发挥了主要作用。俄罗斯经济的主要部门- -工业、贸易和服务业- -的就业不需要专业人员进一步增加其人力资本。在城市化程度最高的地区,通常需要高素质专家的行业的企业集中,造成了大城市和其他地区之间优质人力资本的不平等分配。年龄对人力资本积累过程的影响是非线性的。对于专业人士来说,进入拥有最高质量人力资本的群体的可能性甚至在40岁之前就消失了。与此同时,从45岁开始,他们拥有具有高技能专业人员典型素质的人力资本的机会开始减少,这与俄罗斯劳动力市场对老年工人的歧视以及在这种情况下他们不适宜投资人力资本有关。结果表明,在当前条件下,考虑到不可避免的人口老龄化,在不改变制度环境的情况下,实施国家领导层提高高新技术企业份额和提高劳动生产率的计划是多么困难。
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引用次数: 0
Nudge in The Conditions of Digital Transformation: Behavioral Basis 数字化转型条件下的助推:行为基础
IF 0.6 Q4 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2021-09-25 DOI: 10.17835/2076-6297.2021.13.3.102-116
A. Shmakov
Digital transformation in most cases has a positive impact on the economy. However, there is a possibility of negative consequences that worsen the standard of life of the population. Society wants to avoid a decline in living standards. The state policy to minimize the risks of digitalization should be developed for these purposes. Digital transformation leads to the complication of the technological environment, to the deformation of social relations, to a change in decision-making processes. The complexity of the technogenic environment leads to increased cognitive distortions and irrational behavior. Living standards are declining as a result. Classical approaches to government regulation often do not take into account psychophysiological and sociocultural behavioral factors. As a result, the regulation does not have the expected effect. This is especially evident in situations of uncertainty and longtime intervals. Behavioral economics and nudge can help solve these problems. This article provides a systematization and description of the factors that determine behavior. Decision-making processes are characterized. A systematization and explanation of cognitive distortions is proposed. An overview of approaches to the use of nudges to prevent cognitive distortions is proposed. Cases of using nudges to reduce the risks of digitalization are presented.
数字化转型在大多数情况下对经济产生积极影响。然而,有可能产生负面后果,使人口的生活水平恶化。社会希望避免生活水平的下降。应为此目的制定国家政策,以尽量减少数字化的风险。数字化转型导致技术环境的复杂化,导致社会关系的变形,导致决策过程的变化。技术环境的复杂性导致认知扭曲和非理性行为的增加。因此,生活水平正在下降。政府监管的经典方法往往不考虑心理生理和社会文化行为因素。因此,监管并没有达到预期的效果。这在不确定和间隔时间较长的情况下尤其明显。行为经济学和助推可以帮助解决这些问题。这篇文章对决定行为的因素进行了系统化的描述。决策过程的特征。提出了认知扭曲的系统化和解释。概述了使用轻推来防止认知扭曲的方法。介绍了使用轻推来降低数字化风险的案例。
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引用次数: 2
Narrative Institutional Analysis and The National Innovation System in Russia 叙事制度分析与俄罗斯国家创新体系
IF 0.6 Q4 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2021-09-25 DOI: 10.17835/2076-6297.2021.13.3.081-101
I. Shiriaev, A. A. Kurysheva, V. Volchik
The paper deals with the widespread narratives describing the institutions specific to Russia’s innovation system. Narrative economics provides an interdisciplinary research perspective, due to its focus on qualitative data that were ignored by the conventional economics for a long time. We emphasize that narrative analysis is rooted in the methodological framework of original institutional economics. Literature review using the PRISMA method did not identified any examples of applying narrative analysis to institutional studied of Russia’s innovation system. The empirical data for this paper involve popular narratives contained in 43 rating media sources extracted from a Russian information analysis agency Integrum. The sources were selected using the real-time media monitoring and analysis system Medialogia. The study covered the period from January 1, 2010 to July 1, 2021. Content analysis of the core ideas extracted from scholarly publications and media sources allowed to identify common narratives on institutional arrangement of Russia’s innovation system, that impede commercialization of innovations. However, conflicting approaches are provided by the literature to deal with related problem situations. The viral spread of popular narratives that affect the actors of Russia’s innovation system is illustrated by one of the typical narratives about the Russian innovation system. The research implications can be useful for developing a strategy for state innovation policy. Improved methodology for assessing virality of narratives and their power, as well as the empirical testing of proposed hypotheses remain the subject for future research.
本文讨论了对俄罗斯创新体系特有制度的广泛描述。叙事经济学关注传统经济学长期忽视的定性数据,提供了一个跨学科的研究视角。我们强调,叙事分析植根于原始制度经济学的方法论框架。使用PRISMA方法的文献回顾没有发现任何将叙事分析应用于俄罗斯创新体系制度研究的例子。本文的实证数据涉及从俄罗斯信息分析机构Integrum提取的43个评级媒体来源中的流行叙事。使用实时媒体监测和分析系统Medialogia选择来源。研究时间为2010年1月1日至2021年7月1日。对从学术出版物和媒体来源中提取的核心思想进行内容分析,可以识别出阻碍创新商业化的俄罗斯创新体系制度安排的共同叙述。然而,文献提供了相互矛盾的方法来处理相关的问题情况。流行叙事的病毒式传播影响了俄罗斯创新体系的参与者,并通过一种关于俄罗斯创新体系的典型叙事来说明。研究结果可为制定国家创新政策战略提供参考。评估叙事的病毒性及其力量的改进方法,以及对所提出的假设的实证检验,仍然是未来研究的主题。
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引用次数: 2
State Paternalism: from Science to Scientometrics 国家家长制:从科学到科学计量学
IF 0.6 Q4 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2021-09-25 DOI: 10.17835/2076-6297.2021.13.3.020-036
A. Rubinstein
The article presents the results of the study of public opinion in the context of science reforming. The adoption of the Law on the Russian Academy of Sciences has in fact liquidated academic freedoms and consolidated state interference into scientific life by simultaneously escalating the use of Scientometrics. Respondents' assessments of the use of Scientometric indicators and journal rankings indicate that most economists do not trust the Scientometric tools. Based on the results of a sociological survey of the community of economists in 2020, the article concludes that there is a "managerial failure" of the paternalistic state. An analysis of the Scientometric indicators used in Scopus is also presented, including three well-known metrics: CiteScore", SNIP, and SCImago (SJR). In addition to the description of the sample of journals and the scale of monitoring, the author presents the criterion of ranking the journals MWR and the algorithm of its definition in comparison with the SJR indicator in Scopus. The final part of the paper discusses the econometric model based on the hypothesis that there are links between the ranking of journals, obtained on the basis of a sociological survey of economists, and the estimates of the "usefulness" of the introduction of relevant Scientometric indicators by the same respondents. The calculations performed have confirmed the formulated hypothesis and allowed to quantitatively measure the impact of the respondents' attitude to Scientometric indicators on the value of private ratings reflecting the Scientific level of the journal, the public prestige of the journal and Interest in the journal publications.
本文介绍了科学改革背景下的民意研究成果。《俄罗斯科学院法》的通过实际上扼杀了学术自由,并通过同时升级科学计量学的使用,巩固了国家对科学生活的干预。受访者对科学计量指标和期刊排名使用情况的评估表明,大多数经济学家不相信科学计量工具。根据2020年对经济学家社区的社会学调查结果,文章得出结论,家长式国家存在“管理失败”。本文还分析了Scopus中使用的科学计量学指标,包括三个著名的指标:CiteScore、SNIP和SCImago (SJR)。除了对期刊样本和监测规模的描述外,作者还提出了期刊MWR的排名标准及其定义算法,并与Scopus中的SJR指标进行了比较。论文的最后一部分讨论了计量经济学模型,该模型基于一个假设,即根据经济学家的社会学调查得出的期刊排名与同一受访者对引入相关科学计量指标的“有用性”的估计之间存在联系。所进行的计算证实了制定的假设,并允许定量测量受访者对科学计量指标的态度对反映期刊科学水平的私人评级价值的影响,期刊的公众声望和对期刊出版物的兴趣。
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引用次数: 2
Import of Scientific Policy Instruments in Contemporary Russia 当代俄罗斯科学政策工具的引进
IF 0.6 Q4 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2021-09-25 DOI: 10.17835/2076-6297.2021.13.3.037-052
M. Kurbatova, S. Levin, K. Sablin
Characteristic features of contemporary scientific policy of Russia in the context of its instruments import are highlighted in the article. Instruments are analyzed as institutions according to the D. North interpretation. It was revealed that the main imports are the instruments those ensure the accountability of the academic community (academia). Grant funding system, scientometrics and academic excellence programs are these instruments. In the conditions of contemporary Russia the accountability of scientists and scholars to society turns into accountability to the vertical of power. The motivation of its representatives includes both the idea of public benefits as well as the task of private efficiency maximizing when to select the goals and instruments of scientific policy. It is shown that the selection process includes three main levels: political, governmental and departmental. Imported instruments are gradually transformed in accordance with the interests of the actors participating in the vertical administrative bargaining at all these levels. The goals set at the political level to strengthen economic and political positions of the country in the world are gradually being replaced with the tasks of maximizing the private efficiency of high-ranking participants in this bargaining. As a result, a qualitative modification of the sphere of science occurs. It is not just about the limitation of academic community autonomy, but about its incorporation into the vertical of power in the conditions of contemporary Russia. This fact leads to the changing of motivation and structure of academia. Academic researchers and scholars are gradually being replaced by politicized academic administrators and specific academic entrepreneurs. They are differ if compare them with the western academic entrepreneurs. The latter are focused on the competitive economic markets, while the first concentrate their attention on the redistribution of resources within the framework of vertical administrative bargaining.
文章强调了俄罗斯在仪器引进背景下当代科技政策的特点。根据诺斯的解释,仪器作为制度来分析。据透露,主要进口的是那些确保学术界(学术界)问责制的工具。拨款制度、科学计量学和学术卓越计划就是这些工具。在当代俄罗斯条件下,科学家和学者对社会的问责转变为对权力纵向的问责。其代表的动机既包括公共利益的理念,也包括在选择科学政策的目标和工具时最大化私人效率的任务。结果表明,选拔过程包括三个主要层次:政治、政府和部门。根据所有这些层面上参与纵向行政谈判的行为者的利益,进口的文书逐渐发生转变。在政治层面上为加强该国在世界上的经济和政治地位而设定的目标正逐渐被使这种谈判的高级参与者的私人效率最大化的任务所取代。结果,科学领域发生了质的变化。这不仅仅是对学术共同体自治的限制,而是在当代俄罗斯的条件下将其纳入权力的纵向。这一事实导致了学术动机和结构的变化。学术研究者和学者正逐渐被政治化的学术管理者和具体的学术企业家所取代。与西方的学院派企业家相比,他们是不同的。后者侧重于竞争性经济市场,而前者则集中注意在纵向行政谈判框架内的资源再分配。
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引用次数: 2
Price Crises in Soviet Economy 1920s and Institutional Effects of the Fundamental Impossibility of Socialism 1920年代苏联经济的价格危机与社会主义根本不可能的制度效应
IF 0.6 Q4 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2021-06-25 DOI: 10.17835/2076-6297.2021.13.2.068-081
A. Kavaliou
The article analyzes the impact of institutional factors on the economic system of the Soviet Russia at the period of New Economic Policy. The first group of factors is associated with the social structure of the soviet village. The specifics of agricultural business activities (in particular, long production period, a gap in the movement of cash flows, impossibility of agricultural labors during the long winter season) led to the potential for localization of the village market in the event of an increase in prices for industrial products. This has repeatedly led to a crisis in the marketing of manufactured goods and food shortages in the cities. The second group of factors concerns institutional changes in ownership. The nationalization of the means of production led to the absence of a capital and labor market and to the impossibility of forming a system of relative prices, which, in a capitalist economy, signals entrepreneurs about the directions of efficient allocation of resources. The article demonstrates that Soviet economists in the 1920s used the same arguments in discussions about economic policy tools that market advocates used in discussion on economic calculation under socialism. The NEP as a system of a mixed economy was doomed due to the inability of the planning authorities to determine the directions of capital investments corresponding to the needs, which, given the relative isolation of the countryside, inevitably led to permanent crises.
文章分析了新经济政策时期制度因素对苏俄经济体制的影响。第一组因素与苏维埃农村的社会结构有关。农业经营活动的特殊性(特别是生产周期长、现金流流动存在缺口、在漫长的冬季不可能有农业劳动力)导致了在工业产品价格上涨的情况下农村市场本地化的潜力。这一再导致制成品销售危机和城市粮食短缺。第二组因素涉及所有权的制度变化。生产资料的国有化导致了资本和劳动力市场的缺失,也导致了相对价格体系的不可能形成,而相对价格体系在资本主义经济中是向企业家发出有效配置资源方向的信号。文章表明,20世纪20年代的苏联经济学家在讨论经济政策工具时使用的论点与市场鼓吹者在讨论社会主义下的经济计算时使用的论点相同。新经济政策作为一种混合经济制度注定要失败,因为计划当局无法根据需要确定资本投资的方向,鉴于农村的相对孤立,这不可避免地导致了永久性的危机。
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引用次数: 0
Human Capital Growth Contra Birth Rate Growth 人力资本增长与出生率增长相反
IF 0.6 Q4 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2021-06-25 DOI: 10.17835/2076-6297.2021.13.2.082-099
Yury V. Latov, Applied Sociology Ras
The necessity of a systemic reboot of the Russian policy of supporting families with children is substantiated, so that the orientation towards the growth of the population of Russia is replaced by the orientation towards increasing the human capital of future Russian workers. The new concept of family policy is based on the adaptation to Russian conditions of some of the basic principles of the policy of birth control in the PRC. The main idea is the need to differentiate fertility incentives for different social groups. They should be the highest for families of specialist workers (professionals), where the spouses have a high education and middle class income. To stimulate the birth and upbringing of children, it is proposed to use not only monetary incentives for the family, based on the scoring of the characteristics of parents, but also stimulation of free time by expanding womenʼs distance employment and pension benefits for «good» adult children. The proposed comprehensive concept is the result of the systematic use of many institutional theories – post-industrial society, modernization, human capital, Maslowʼs pyramid, etc.
有必要系统地重新启动俄罗斯支持有子女家庭的政策,以便俄罗斯人口增长的方向被增加未来俄罗斯工人的人力资本的方向所取代。新的家庭政策概念是在适应俄罗斯国情的基础上,对中国计划生育政策的一些基本原则进行了调整。其主要思想是需要区分不同社会群体的生育激励措施。对于有专业人员(专业人士)的家庭,他们的配偶受过高等教育,收入属于中产阶级,他们的税率应该是最高的。为了刺激孩子的出生和抚养,建议不仅使用基于父母特征评分的家庭金钱奖励,而且还通过扩大妇女的远程就业和“好”成年子女的养老金福利来刺激空闲时间。这一综合性概念是系统运用后工业社会、现代化、人力资本、马斯洛金字塔等制度理论的结果。
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引用次数: 1
Digitalization of the Economy: the New Role of Social Media 经济数字化:社交媒体的新角色
IF 0.6 Q4 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2021-06-25 DOI: 10.17835/2076-6297.2021.13.2.006-026
R. Nureev, I. Surkhaev
The article is devoted to the analysis of social networks, the role of which is constantly growing in the context of the digitalization of the economy. The Internet has become an important prerequisite for their spread. If at the beginning of 1990, even in the most developed countries, less than 1% of the population used the Internet, then by 2020 the level of its prevalence in North America and Western Europe exceeded 90%, and in the countries of East, Southeast and West Asia, and Latin America has exceeded 2/3. We live in a rapidly changing world, when the number of active Internet users exceeded 4.66 billion people in early 2021. The speed of obtaining information is currently an important factor in economic activity. Therefore, contacts are growing rapidly, which is reflected in e-mail, which has become an integral part of modern life, pushing far back other forms of communication (newspapers, mail, telegraph, etc.). The rapid acceleration of conflicting information increases the risk of decision-making, many of which must be made in the face of uncertainty. With the growth of social networks, the density of contacts increases and the importance of a fuller use of network benefits increases. Not only is the number of participants changing, but so is the quantity and quality of the most popular websites. Citizens of modern states are more informed than their previous generations. Conducting an electoral system under such conditions turns out to be a task with many unknowns. In these conditions, voting manipulation takes on new features, which were clearly manifested during the American presidential campaigns in the United States in 2008, 2012, 2016. In addition, opportunities are being created to improve the quality of public finance management by increasing the openness of budgeting at the federal and regional levels, that is, the actual implementation of the Vernon Smith auction in practice, which will be an important step in the formation of a genuine civil society.
本文致力于分析社交网络,社交网络的作用在经济数字化的背景下不断增长。互联网已经成为它们传播的重要前提。如果在1990年初,即使在最发达的国家,也只有不到1%的人口使用互联网,那么到2020年,其在北美和西欧的普及水平超过了90%,而在东亚、东南亚和西亚以及拉丁美洲的国家已经超过了2/3。我们生活在一个瞬息万变的世界,2021年初,活跃互联网用户数量超过46.6亿人。获取信息的速度是目前经济活动中的一个重要因素。因此,联系正在迅速增长,这反映在电子邮件上,它已经成为现代生活中不可或缺的一部分,远远超过了其他形式的交流(报纸、邮件、电报等)。相互矛盾的信息的迅速加速增加了决策的风险,其中许多决策必须面对不确定性。随着社会网络的发展,接触的密度增加,更充分地利用网络利益的重要性增加。不仅参与者的数量在变化,而且最受欢迎的网站的数量和质量也在变化。现代国家的公民比他们的前几代人更了解情况。在这种情况下实施选举制度是一项充满未知因素的任务。在这种情况下,投票操纵呈现出新的特征,这在2008年、2012年、2016年的美国总统竞选中得到了明显的体现。此外,正在创造机会,通过增加联邦和区域各级预算编制的公开性来提高公共财政管理的质量,即在实践中实际执行弗农·史密斯拍卖,这将是形成一个真正的文明社会的一个重要步骤。
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引用次数: 1
Public Procurement as an Economic Policy Tool 作为经济政策工具的公共采购
IF 0.6 Q4 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2021-06-25 DOI: 10.17835/2076-6297.2021.13.2.100-115
V. Melnikov, I. N. Karelin
The paper provides the rationale for using the public contractual system of the Russian Federation as a mechanism of a proactive economic policy. A number of works are analyzed that consider expenditure stimulation through a public contractual system as the main regulatory tool, for instance, in building national innovative systems, advancing research and technology, modeling the structure of the economy as well as solving social problems. An empirical analysis of the role of the Russian contractual system is given in view of its impact upon development of the regional economies in 2012–2019. Regular significant relations between the scope of financing public procurement within the contractual system of the Russian Federation and adequate own funds in the regional budgets are confirmed. The trends in elasticity coefficients characterizing correlations between the scope of financing of public and municipal procurement within the Russian public contractual system and particular tax groups in consolidated budgets of the subjects of the Russian Federation in 2012–2019 indicate economic appropriateness of increased procurement costs in terms of simultaneously providing own funds to the budgets. A positive influence of public and municipal procurement upon the level of employment and innovative activity of entities is shown, verifying, therefore, the potential of the Russian contractual system to support social and innovative policy, which is consistent with international evaluations. Conclusions are reached on the expediency of employing the budget and contractual system cumulatively as a proactive mechanism of economic policy to achieve efficient economic orders.
本文提供了利用俄罗斯联邦公共合同制度作为积极经济政策机制的基本原理。分析了一些将通过公共合同制度刺激支出作为主要监管工具的工作,例如,在建立国家创新体系,推进研究和技术,模拟经济结构以及解决社会问题方面。鉴于俄罗斯合同制度对2012-2019年地区经济发展的影响,本文对其作用进行了实证分析。确认了在俄罗斯联邦合同制度内为公共采购筹措资金的范围与区域预算中充足的自有资金之间经常存在的重要关系。俄罗斯公共合同体系内公共和市政采购融资范围与2012-2019年俄罗斯联邦主体综合预算中的特定税收群体之间的相关性的弹性系数趋势表明,从同时为预算提供自有资金的角度来看,增加采购成本在经济上是适当的。报告显示,公共和市政采购对实体的就业和创新活动水平产生了积极影响,从而证实了俄罗斯合同制度支持社会和创新政策的潜力,这与国际评价一致。本文的结论是,将预算和合同制度作为经济政策的一种主动机制,以实现高效的经济秩序,是一种权宜之计。
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引用次数: 4
Regulation of Narrow Price Parity Agreements in Multi-Sided Markets 多边市场中狭义价格平价协议的监管
IF 0.6 Q4 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2021-06-25 DOI: 10.17835/2076-6297.2021.13.2.116-129
Nataliya B. Dzagurova, A. Tikhonova
The article discusses the regulatory regime of digital multi-sided markets. It analyzes narrow price parity clauses designed to prevent a showrooming by depriving the supplier of the right to offer lower rates on its own website than on the platform. In recent years, some EC countries have banned such agreements. It was justified by the perceived benefits of increased vertical competition between suppliers and platforms acting as their distributors. The paper considers the interaction between the supplier and a platform like Booking.com, in the presence of narrow price parity clauses and without them. It is shown that the bans of such agreements may have long-run consequences radically different from the original intentions of the regulator. The reason for this is the reaction of the platform suppressing vertical competition by intensifying competition between the former and the newly attracted suppliers (apartment owners). The resulting uberization of the industry complicates the traditional suppliers (hotels) reproduction processes and negatively affects the welfare of consumers. The inefficiency of the existing regulatory regime of digital multi-sided markets leading to concentration of revenues in the hands of transaction platforms suggest that there is an urgent need to form national platforms, whose function should be to support domestic suppliers, create industry infrastructure, etc…
本文讨论了数字多边市场的监管制度。它分析了狭隘的价格平价条款,这些条款旨在通过剥夺供应商在自己的网站上提供比平台更低价格的权利来防止“样板间”。近年来,一些欧共体国家禁止了此类协议。这是合理的,因为供应商和平台之间的垂直竞争加剧了,作为他们的分销商。本文考虑了供应商与Booking.com等平台之间的互动,在存在和不存在狭窄的价格平价条款的情况下。研究表明,禁止此类协议可能会产生与监管机构最初意图截然不同的长期后果。其原因是平台通过加剧前者和新吸引的供应商(公寓业主)之间的竞争来抑制垂直竞争的反应。由此产生的行业优步化使传统供应商(酒店)的再生产过程复杂化,并对消费者的福利产生负面影响。数字多边市场的现有监管制度效率低下,导致收入集中在交易平台手中,这表明迫切需要建立国家平台,其功能应该是支持国内供应商,创建行业基础设施等……
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引用次数: 0
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