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Determinants of Croatian Non-Life Insurance Companies’ Efficiency 克罗地亚非寿险公司效率的决定因素
IF 0.7 Q4 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2022-12-22 DOI: 10.17535/crorr.2022.0011
Tomislava Pavić Kramarić, M. Pervan, M. Ćurak
Although a relatively large number of studies have been focused on evaluating the efficiency of insurance companies from different aspects, analysis of factors that determine the achieved level of insurers’ efficiency is still in their inception. While these studies primarily encompass insurance companies operating in developed insurance markets, such research based on the sample of Croatian non-life insurers does not exist. Therefore, this paper is focused on the efficiency drivers of the insurance companies that operate in the Croatian non-life insurance market. The research is based on data for 18 insurance companies in the period from 2009 to 2021. Applying Data envelopment analysis (DEA) and Truncated regression, the research results show that age and ownership influence the efficiency of non-life insurance companies in Croatia, while the companies’ size, leverage, and product diversification are not confirmed as significant determinants of the efficiency.
虽然已经有相当多的研究侧重于从不同方面评价保险公司的效率,但对决定保险公司效率达到水平的因素的分析仍处于起步阶段。虽然这些研究主要包括在发达保险市场经营的保险公司,但并不存在以克罗地亚非人寿保险公司为样本的这种研究。因此,本文将重点研究在克罗地亚非寿险市场经营的保险公司的效率驱动因素。该研究基于2009年至2021年期间18家保险公司的数据。应用数据包络分析(DEA)和截断回归分析,研究结果表明,年龄和所有权影响克罗地亚非寿险公司的效率,而公司规模、杠杆率和产品多样化并不是效率的重要决定因素。
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引用次数: 0
The independent component analysis with the linear regression – predicting the energy costs of the public sector buildings in Croatia 独立成分分析与线性回归-预测克罗地亚公共部门建筑的能源成本
IF 0.7 Q4 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2022-12-22 DOI: 10.17535/crorr.2022.0013
Marinela Mokriš
In the European Union, the public sector buildings are considered significant energy consumers and are, thus, the subject of several directives that aim to ensure the renovation of existing and the construction of new buildings as nearly zero-energy buildings. Therefore, as part of the decision making, it is necessary to properly plan the renovation or construction. This research provides models for predicting the energy costs of the public sector buildings, which are dependent upon its characteristics (i. e., constructional, occupational, energy, etc.). For this purpose, a real data set of Croatian public buildings was used, which included 150 variables and 1724 observations. Since the data set consisted of a large number of variables, the motivation for the dimensionality reduction was addressed first. Then, the independent component analysis, the principal component analysis, and the factor analysis were performed as the dimensionality reduction methods for variable extraction. The results of these analyses were used as inputs for modelling the energy costs of the public sector buildings. The obtained models were compared to the model built on original variables. The obtained models show the application potential in decision making for building renovation and construction in the public sector of Croatia, whereas the best performance of prediction in terms of RMSE and SMAPE was achieved by the model that integrated the independent component analysis with the linear regression.
在欧洲联盟,公共部门的建筑被视为重要的能源消耗者,因此,公共部门建筑是几项指令的主题,这些指令旨在确保翻新现有建筑和建造新建筑,使其成为几乎零能源的建筑。因此,作为决策的一部分,有必要对翻新或施工进行适当的规划。这项研究为预测公共部门建筑的能源成本提供了模型,这些成本取决于其特征(即建筑、职业、能源等)。为此,使用了克罗地亚公共建筑的真实数据集,其中包括150个变量和1724个观测值。由于数据集由大量变量组成,因此首先解决了降维的动机。然后,采用独立成分分析、主成分分析和因子分析作为变量提取的降维方法。这些分析的结果被用作公共部门建筑能源成本建模的输入。将获得的模型与建立在原始变量上的模型进行比较。所获得的模型显示了在克罗地亚公共部门建筑翻新和施工决策中的应用潜力,而RMSE和SMAPE的最佳预测性能是通过将独立分量分析与线性回归相结合的模型实现的。
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引用次数: 1
Efficiency of Indian General Insurance Companies 印度一般保险公司的效率
IF 0.7 Q4 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2022-12-22 DOI: 10.17535/crorr.2022.0014
R. Sinha, Violeta Cvetkoska, Filip Peovski
In the current millennium, the Indian general insurance market has witnessed major structural changes because of the establishment of a market regulator and the initiation of entry deregulation. The present study evaluates the efficiency performance of fifteen Indian general insurance companies for the period 2011/12 - 2016/17 using a robust nonparametric approach. The study also seeks to explain efficiency by considering the influence of environmental variables on the efficiency scores. The results indicate that efficiency is positively related to ownership, insurer age, market share, and return on equity but negatively related to size.
在当前的千年里,由于建立了市场监管机构并开始放松对进入市场的管制,印度普通保险市场发生了重大的结构变化。本研究使用稳健的非参数方法评估了15家印度普通保险公司在2011/12年至2016/17年期间的效率表现。该研究还试图通过考虑环境变量对效率得分的影响来解释效率。结果表明,效率与所有权、保险公司年龄、市场份额和股本回报率呈正相关,但与规模呈负相关。
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引用次数: 0
PVAR model with collapsed instruments in the real exchange rates misalignment's analysis 带崩溃工具的PVAR模型在实际汇率失调中的分析
IF 0.7 Q4 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2022-12-22 DOI: 10.17535/crorr.2022.0015
Josip Arnerić, Antoni Šitum
The causes and the consequences of the real exchange rates misalignment's of European Union (EU) members were examined in this paper by implementing stationary panel vector autoregression (PVAR) model with fixed effects. PVAR methodology was recognized as the most appropriate in line with data structure and the objectives of the research. For estimation purpose, the generalized method of moments (GMM) in first differences, with a reduced number of instruments, was applied. Primarily objective was to find whether a collapsed matrix of instruments helps in reducing the dynamic panel bias within the two--step estimation of PVAR model when employing the first difference GMM estimator. Even though, the benefits of collapsed instrument matrix have been documented in rare simulation studies, this paper empirically demonstrates it's utility considering balanced panel data. In that context, recommendations to potential users are given and supported by open source codes in the RStudio environment. Besides, auxiliary findings contribute to a better understanding of influential channels through which EU policy makers should reduce a real exchange rates misalignment's.
本文通过建立具有固定效应的平稳面板向量自回归模型,研究了欧盟成员国实际汇率失调的原因和后果。PVAR方法被认为是最符合数据结构和研究目标的方法。为了估计目的,采用了减少仪器数量的第一差分广义矩量法。主要目的是发现当使用第一差分GMM估计器时,在PVAR模型的两步估计中,仪器的折叠矩阵是否有助于减少动态面板偏差。尽管在罕见的模拟研究中已经记录了崩溃仪器矩阵的好处,但本文在考虑平衡面板数据的情况下实证证明了它的效用。在这种情况下,RStudio环境中的开源代码会向潜在用户提供建议并提供支持。此外,辅助调查结果有助于更好地理解欧盟政策制定者应通过哪些有影响力的渠道来减少实际汇率失调。
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引用次数: 0
Developing a Bi-Level Structure for Evaluation of Regional Bank Branch Managers Focusing on their Consumption 建立以消费为中心的区域银行分行经理的双层评价结构
IF 0.7 Q4 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2022-12-22 DOI: 10.17535/crorr.2022.0010
Mona Habibpoor, M. Alirezaee, J. Rashidinia
Regional bank branch management is the most important elements of a bank’s structure. Each regional bank branch manager (RBBM) manages a large group of branches. In this paper, we develop a bi-level structure for the evaluation of RBBMs. In the developed bi-level structure, RBBMs are positioned at the upper level, and each RBBM has a group of branches located at the lower level. Generally, each RBBM, including their branches, tries to use inputs and produce outputs efficiently. However, each branch performs according to its goals and limited resources. The evaluation is a data envelopment analysis (DEA)-based model that focuses on the bank’s consumption perspective. We apply the suggested model to a real-world case study to evaluate five RBBMs, who altogether manage 110 branches in one of the expert banking systems.
区域银行分行管理是银行结构中最重要的组成部分。每个地区银行分行经理(RBBM)管理着一大群分行。在本文中,我们开发了一个用于RBBM评估的双层结构。在开发的双层结构中,RBBM位于上层,每个RBBM都有一组位于下层的分支。通常,每个RBBM,包括其分支,都试图有效地使用输入并产生输出。然而,每个分支都根据其目标和有限的资源来执行。该评估是一个基于数据包络分析(DEA)的模型,侧重于银行的消费视角。我们将建议的模型应用于真实世界的案例研究,以评估五家RBBM,他们在一个专家银行系统中总共管理着110家分行。
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引用次数: 0
Economic contribution and integration of Croatian ICT sectors 克罗地亚信息和通信技术部门的经济贡献和一体化
IF 0.7 Q4 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2022-12-22 DOI: 10.17535/crorr.2022.0012
Damira Keček, Davor Mikulić, Katarina Fotova Čiković
Despite the numerous benefits of information and communications technology (ICT) in promoting economic growth and sustainable development, its impacts are insufficiently researched. In particular, there have been few attempts to quantity the contribution of ICT sectors to national economies or the level of integration between ICT sectors. In this paper, an alternative model of sector extraction is developed to quantify the importance of ICT sectors in open and closed input--output systems. The proposed model calculates the contribution of ICT sectors to the national gross value added and employment, as well as the cross-sectoral and intra-sectoral deliveries between ICT sectors. The model is applied to study the Croatian ICT sectors in the years 2010 and 2020. The results indicate that the ICT manufacturing industries lag behind ICT service industries in Croatia. The level of integration differs between individual ICT sectors.
尽管信息和通信技术在促进经济增长和可持续发展方面有许多好处,但其影响研究不足。特别是,很少有人试图量化信通技术部门对国民经济的贡献或信通技术部门之间的一体化程度。在本文中,开发了一个部门提取的替代模型,以量化信息和通信技术部门在开放和封闭的投入产出系统中的重要性。拟议模型计算了信息和通信技术部门对国家增加值和就业的贡献,以及信息和通信科技部门之间的跨部门和部门内交付。该模型用于研究2010年和2020年克罗地亚信息和通信技术部门。结果表明,克罗地亚的信息通信技术制造业落后于信息通信技术服务业。各个信通技术部门的一体化程度不同。
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引用次数: 0
Monitoring Stock Market Returns 监察股市回报
IF 0.7 Q4 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2022-07-12 DOI: 10.17535/crorr.2022.0005
Filip Peovski, Violeta Cvetkoska, Predrag Trpeski, I. Ivanovski
Financial analysis plays a major role in investing the disposable income of various economic agents. Stock markets are predominantly made up of small investors with limited information and low capabilities for a suitable analysis. Researchers, as well as practitioners, are divided over the findings on the adequacy of technical analysis in investing. This paper examines the Markov chain process in the stock market to discover the essential links and probabilities for the stocks’ transition through three states of stagnation, growth, and decline (i.e., stagnant, bull, and bear markets). The subject of analysis is a randomly selected portfolio of 20 shares traded on the New York Stock Exchange. The data suggest that the portfolio relatively quickly, in four trading days, achieves equilibrium probabilities that allow a certain amount of predictability of future movements. At the same time, when analyzing the expected time intervals for the first transition, we found that the portfolio returns to a state of growth much faster than a decline. In addition, the results negate the basic habits of frequent trading, herding, and taking a short position in events of negative price fluctuations. Our research contributes towards observing regularities and stock market efficiency with a clear goal of improving expectations and technical analysis for small individual investors.
财务分析在投资各种经济主体的可支配收入方面发挥着重要作用。股票市场主要由信息有限、分析能力低下的小投资者组成。研究人员和从业者对投资中技术分析的充分性的发现存在分歧。本文研究了股票市场中的马尔可夫链过程,以发现股票通过停滞、增长和下跌三种状态(即停滞、牛市和熊市)转变的基本环节和概率。分析对象是在纽约证券交易所随机选择的20只股票的投资组合。数据表明,投资组合在四个交易日内相对较快地实现了均衡概率,这使得未来的走势具有一定的可预测性。同时,在分析第一次转换的预期时间间隔时,我们发现投资组合恢复到增长状态的速度远快于下降状态。此外,研究结果否定了在价格负波动的情况下频繁交易、羊群交易和做空的基本习惯。我们的研究有助于观察规律和股票市场效率,明确目标是提高小型个人投资者的预期和技术分析。
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引用次数: 0
A Valuable Remark on Lipschitz in the First Variable Definition and System of Nonlinear Variational Inequalities 关于Lipschitz在非线性变分不等式第一变量定义和系统中的一个有价值的注记
IF 0.7 Q4 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2022-07-12 DOI: 10.17535/crorr.2022.0009
Ayache Benhadid
The goal of this paper is to present a critique on the incorrect use of the Lipschitz definition concerning the first variable and/or the second variable in the literature on the system of variational inequalities by many authors. The possible impact of this paper is rather important, it questions the results of different authors, particularly when taking into account that some of these papers are published in quite good mathematical journals. As a result, not only that the proofs are wrong, but also the credibility of the theorems themselves is compromised. In addition, this paper illustrate, using a counterexample, that there is an error in setting up first variable definition and the results obtained in listed references do not hold up in H × H.
本文的目的是对许多作者在变分不等式系统的文献中关于第一变量和/或第二变量的Lipschitz定义的错误使用提出批评。这篇论文可能产生的影响相当重要,它质疑不同作者的结果,特别是考虑到其中一些论文发表在相当好的数学期刊上。结果,不仅证明是错误的,而且定理本身的可信度也受到了损害。此外,本文还用一个反例说明,在建立第一变量定义时存在错误,所列参考文献中的结果在H×H中不成立。
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引用次数: 0
Study of Birth-Death Processes with Immigration 移民出生死亡过程研究
IF 0.7 Q4 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2022-07-12 DOI: 10.17535/crorr.2022.0004
Shin K.-S., N. Viswanath
Birth-death processes are applied in the modelling of many biological populations, such as tumour cells and viruses. Various studies have established that birth-death processes, which occurwhen the population size is zero, are not in-line with reality in many situations. Therefore, in this study, the birth-death processes with immigration were investigated. We considered two immigration policies. First, immigration is allowed if and only if the population size is zero. Second, immigration at a constant rate is allowed irrespective of the population size. Birth and death rates were chosen such that the mean population size is a Gompertz function when the immigration rate is zero. The transient population size probability was obtained for both cases. Several tumour growth datasets were fitted using the mean population size of the above models and standard birth-death model without immigration. The two models with immigration provided entirely different probabilities of the population size being zero at an arbitrary epoch when compared with the model without immigration. Moreover, all three models provided a similar fit to the data. For each of the datasets studied, the models that allowed immigration produced less variance than the non-immigration model.
生-死过程应用于许多生物种群的建模,例如肿瘤细胞和病毒。各种研究已经确定,在许多情况下,当人口规模为零时发生的出生-死亡过程与现实不符。因此,在本研究中,研究了移民的出生-死亡过程。我们考虑了两项移民政策。首先,当且仅当人口规模为零时允许移民。其次,无论人口规模大小,都允许以恒定的速度移民。出生率和死亡率的选择使得当移民率为零时,平均人口规模是一个Gompertz函数。得到了两种情况下的暂态种群大小概率。使用上述模型的平均人口规模和无移民的标准出生-死亡模型拟合了几个肿瘤生长数据集。与没有移民的模型相比,有移民的两个模型提供了在任意时期人口规模为零的完全不同的概率。此外,这三种模型都提供了与数据相似的拟合。对于研究的每一个数据集,允许移民的模型比不允许移民的模型产生的方差更小。
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引用次数: 0
A new fitness-based selection operator for genetic algorithms to maintain the equilibrium of selection pressure and population 一种新的基于适应度的遗传算法选择算子,以保持选择压力和种群的平衡
IF 0.7 Q4 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2022-07-12 DOI: 10.17535/crorr.2022.0008
Fakhra Batool Naqvi, Muhammad Yousaf Shad
A genetic algorithm is one of the best optimization techniques for solving complex nature optimization problems. Different selection schemes have been proposed in the literature to address the major weaknesses of GA i.e., premature convergence and low computational efficiency. This article proposed a new selection operator that provides a better trade-off between selection pressure and population diversity while considering the relative importance of each individual. The average accuracy of the proposed operator has been measured by χ2 goodness of fit test. It has been performed on two different populations to show its consistency. Also, its performance has been evaluated on fourteen benchmark problems while comparing it with competing selection operators. Results show the effective performance in terms of two statistics i.e., less average and standard deviation values. Further, the performance indexes and the GA convergence show that the proposed operator takes better care of selection pressure and population diversity.
遗传算法是解决复杂自然优化问题的最佳优化技术之一。文献中提出了不同的选择方案来解决遗传算法的主要缺点,即过早收敛和计算效率低。本文提出了一种新的选择算子,在考虑每个个体的相对重要性的同时,更好地权衡了选择压力和种群多样性。采用χ2拟合优度检验来衡量所提出算子的平均精度。它已在两个不同的人群中进行,以显示其一致性。此外,在与竞争选择算子进行比较的同时,对其性能进行了14个基准问题的评估。结果表明,该方法在两方面的统计数据(即平均值和标准差值)上具有有效的性能。此外,性能指标和遗传算法的收敛性表明,该算法较好地考虑了选择压力和种群多样性。
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引用次数: 0
期刊
Croatian Operational Research Review
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