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Modeling the volatility of Asian REIT markets 亚洲房地产投资信托基金市场波动模型
IF 0.8 Q3 Economics, Econometrics and Finance Pub Date : 2016-09-01 DOI: 10.1080/14445921.2016.1235757
Wei Kang Loo, Melati Ahmad Anuar, S. Ramakrishnan
Abstract This paper analyzed the volatility behavior of Asian real estate investment trust (REIT) markets. The autoregressive conditional heteroscedasticity (ARCH)-family models were applied for the purpose of conducting the in-sample fitting test and out-of-sample forecasting test. Results showed that the fractional integrated EGARCH model was the best model in forecasting the volatility for most of the Asian REIT markets. The outcome of this study would be useful for REIT investors in understanding the volatility of the Asian REIT markets. Similarly, policy-makers can also make use of this information to create derivate pricing for the future.
摘要本文分析了亚洲房地产投资信托(REIT)市场的波动行为。采用自回归条件异方差(ARCH)家族模型进行样本内拟合检验和样本外预测检验。结果表明,分数积分EGARCH模型是预测亚洲大部分REIT市场波动率的最佳模型。本研究的结果将有助于REIT投资者了解亚洲REIT市场的波动。同样,政策制定者也可以利用这些信息为未来制定衍生品定价。
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引用次数: 2
The dynamic of linkages of Islamic REITs in mixed-asset portfolios in Malaysia 马来西亚混合资产投资组合中伊斯兰REITs的动态联系
IF 0.8 Q3 Economics, Econometrics and Finance Pub Date : 2016-09-01 DOI: 10.1080/14445921.2016.1235758
A. T. Rozman, M. N. Razali, Nurul Afiqah Azmi, H. Ali
Abstract Islamic REIT (I-REITs) were introduced to the Malaysian stock market approximately ten years ago. This paper assesses dynamic linkages by using the Granger causality test of I-REITs. The study period is from 2008 to 2014. The study concentrates on comparisons between I-REITs and conventional REITs (C-REITs) and provides a better overview of comparisons and linkages of both asset classes. A Cointegration Test determined that a mixed-asset portfolio is cointegrated and shows less diversification benefits between the mixed-asset portfolios. The Granger causality test results has identified that industry portfolio can cause Granger I-REITs’ returns to change. This further confirms that I-REITs have good potential to diversify within any asset classes, including shares and bonds.
伊斯兰房地产投资信托基金(I-REITs)大约在十年前被引入马来西亚股市。本文采用格兰杰因果检验方法对投资信托基金的动态关联性进行了评估。研究时间为2008年至2014年。该研究集中于I-REITs与传统REITs (C-REITs)之间的比较,并更好地概述了这两种资产类别的比较和联系。协整检验确定混合资产组合是协整的,并且混合资产组合之间的多元化效益较小。格兰杰因果检验结果表明,行业投资组合会导致格兰杰I-REITs收益发生变化。这进一步证实了I-REITs在任何资产类别(包括股票和债券)中都具有良好的多元化潜力。
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引用次数: 2
The impacts of the trails on property values surrounding Jejudo in Korea: using quantile regressions 韩国济州岛周边道路对房地产价值的影响:使用分位数回归
IF 0.8 Q3 Economics, Econometrics and Finance Pub Date : 2016-09-01 DOI: 10.1080/14445921.2016.1235759
S. Jung
Abstract The purpose of this study is to quantitatively analyze the effect of Jeju Olle Trails on nearby land prices. Land sale prices are designated as the dependent variable and zoning type and land category, shape of the land, and the width of bordering roads as independent variables. Land price data for actual sales for seven areas surrounding Olle Trails were examined with a geographic information system program to determine the exact distance of land parcels from nearby trekking courses. A quantile regression model is used to estimate the effect of trail proximity to nearby land prices. Through this quantile regression model, the difference in the effects of trail proximity between low-priced and high-priced land is captured. This study shows no significance for the variable up to quantile 0.6; however, the variable becomes significant from the 0.7 quantile and up. This suggests that plots in the top 30% of land prices are affected by the presence of trails, but the plots in the bottom 70% are not affected by this variable. For every 100 m distance from an Olle Trail, land price falls by 0.054%.
摘要本研究的目的是定量分析济州五来步道对附近土地价格的影响。卖地价格被指定为因变量,而分区类型和土地种类、土地形状、边界道路宽度被指定为自变量。通过地理信息系统程序,研究了Olle小径周围七个地区的实际销售地价数据,以确定地块与附近徒步路线的确切距离。使用分位数回归模型来估计步道接近附近土地价格的影响。通过该分位数回归模型,捕获了低地价和高地价土地之间的路径接近效应的差异。本研究显示,在分位数0.6以下的变量没有显著性;然而,这个变量从0.7分位数开始变得显著。这表明,地价前30%的地块受到小径存在的影响,但地价后70%的地块不受该变量的影响。距离奥勒步道每100米,地价就下跌0.054%。
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引用次数: 0
Variances in rateable values in rating practice in Zambia: the role of mental models in value assessment 赞比亚评等实践中应课差饷价值的差异:心理模型在价值评估中的作用
IF 0.8 Q3 Economics, Econometrics and Finance Pub Date : 2016-05-03 DOI: 10.1080/14445921.2016.1225151
E. Munshifwa, Niraj Jain, Busiku S. Kaunda, Lilias Masiba, Jimmy Lungu, Nelly Chunda-Mwango, Anthony Mushinge, Wilson Ngoma
Abstract Rating valuation is an essential process for local government taxation and revenue generation in Zambia. However, preliminary evidence indicates that the assessment of rateable value is problematic as the same statutory valuation process may lead to different value outcomes. This is especially evident when valuations are undertaken by public valuation surveyors on one side and private valuation surveyors on the other. This has resulted in disagreements in Rating Tribunal hearings at which private valuation surveyors represent the objectors. This paper questions why such differences arise. The paper finds that, besides information factors, a major cause is valuation surveyor-specific factors which, among others, include adoption of different methods and viewpoints. Therefore, the question arises: why do valuation surveyors have different viewpoints or “mental models” if the whole process is specified in the Rating Act of 1997? The study concludes that the Rating Act of 1997 is insufficiently specific concerning the actual calculation of the rateable value, leaving the interpretation of value to individual valuation surveyors. The paper argues that the explanation for differences in values can be found in understanding the “mental models” of valuation surveyors, hence going beyond conventional explanations.
评级评估是赞比亚地方政府税收和创收的重要过程。然而,初步证据显示,应课差饷租值的评估存在问题,因为相同的法定估价程序可能导致不同的估值结果。当估价由公共估价测量师和私人估价测量师进行时,这一点尤其明显。这导致在差饷审裁处的聆讯中,由私人物业估价测量师代表反对人士出席的聆讯出现分歧。本文质疑为什么会出现这种差异。本文发现,造成估价偏差的主要原因除了信息因素外,还有估价师自身的因素,其中包括采用不同的方法和观点。因此,问题出现了:如果整个过程都在1997年的《差饷法》中规定,为什么估价测量师会有不同的观点或“心理模型”?该研究的结论是,1997年的《差饷法》对应课差饷价值的实际计算不够具体,将价值的解释留给了个别估价测量师。本文认为,价值差异的解释可以在理解估值测量师的“心智模型”中找到,从而超越传统的解释。
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引用次数: 4
The economic value of the Colombo Public Library, Sri Lanka: contingent valuation approach 斯里兰卡科伦坡公共图书馆的经济价值:条件评估方法
IF 0.8 Q3 Economics, Econometrics and Finance Pub Date : 2016-05-03 DOI: 10.1080/14445921.2016.1203231
P. Kaluthanthri, J. Edirisinghe
Abstract Net Revenue of a public library is not an indicator of the true value of services rendered by a public library to the wider society. The peoples’ perception of the service of the library or economic value is the true value of the library. The Contingent Valuation Method (CVM) used to assess the economic value of a public library which is not a service in the free market economy. This study employs CVM: a branch of the Stated Preference Method to measure the economic value of the Colombo Public Library (CPL) Sri Lanka. The payment vehicle is a Trust Fund. The logistic regression has been applied to estimate the Willingness to Pay (WTP) of citizens which elicited through single bound dichotomous choice question with onetime payment option. The WTP for the population is aggregated by using mean probabilistic logic WTP of the sample. The study found that annualized economic value of the CPL is higher than its total capital and recurrent expenditure per year. Thus, continuation of public funding is acceptable even CPL makes financial losses to the Colombo Municipal Council.
摘要公共图书馆的净收入并不能反映公共图书馆向社会提供的服务的真正价值。人们对图书馆服务或经济价值的感知才是图书馆的真正价值。条件估价法(CVM)用于评估公共图书馆在自由市场经济中不是一种服务的经济价值。本研究采用CVM:陈述偏好法的一个分支来衡量斯里兰卡科伦坡公共图书馆(CPL)的经济价值。支付工具是信托基金。采用logistic回归方法对具有一次性支付选项的单界二分类选择问题中公民的支付意愿进行了估计。总体的WTP通过使用样本的平均概率逻辑WTP进行聚合。研究发现,CPL的年化经济价值高于其每年的总资本和经常性支出。因此,即使CPL给科伦坡市议会造成财政损失,继续提供公共资金也是可以接受的。
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引用次数: 0
The dilemma and future of property valuation education in China 中国房产估价教育的困境与未来
IF 0.8 Q3 Economics, Econometrics and Finance Pub Date : 2016-05-03 DOI: 10.1080/14445921.2016.1203721
Yan Xiao, Nelson D. Chan
Abstract Foreign fund investments in China create demand for real estate appraisal for foreign investment projects, and they expect to have quality valuation services. The majority of real estate appraisers in China are not familiar with the needs and requirements of foreign clients. Apart from technical capabilities, they are not good at writing English appraisal reports. It is difficult for them to compete with international appraisers. The core of the problems lies in real estate education in China. This paper aims to study the current condition and the gap in real estate education between China and selected foreign countries, and subsequently recommend what need to be done to raise the level of Chinese real estate education and hence appraisers to meet the expectations of international clients. The study finds that while raising the level of Chinese real estate appraisal education to match the selected countries is possible, there is a long way to go.
外资在华投资产生了对外商投资项目房地产评估的需求,他们希望获得优质的评估服务。中国大多数房地产估价师并不熟悉外国客户的需求和要求。除了技术能力,他们也不擅长写英文鉴定报告。他们很难与国际估价师竞争。问题的核心在于中国的房地产教育。本文旨在研究中国房地产教育的现状和与国外的差距,并建议如何提高中国房地产教育水平,从而提高估价师的水平,以满足国际客户的期望。研究发现,虽然提高中国房地产评估教育水平以与所选国家相匹配是可能的,但还有很长的路要走。
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引用次数: 1
Valuers’ strategies for coping with the dearth of market data in two Nigerian cities: Ibadan and Abeokuta 尼日利亚两个城市伊巴丹和阿贝奥库塔的估价师应对市场数据缺乏的策略
IF 0.8 Q3 Economics, Econometrics and Finance Pub Date : 2016-05-03 DOI: 10.1080/14445921.2016.1225150
T. Ashaolu, M. O. Olaniran
Abstract Access to and analysis of data, especially market-related data, remains central to professional valuation. This paper examines the ease of eliciting market data for valuation purposes by valuers in the residential property sector and the reaction to the dearth of data among valuers in the two south-western Nigerian cities of Ibadan and Abeokuta. A five-point Likert-type scale was used to measure respondents’ disposition towards alternative data sources with the results analysed using weighted mean score and logit regression. The study revealed that rental value and comparable sales price were most easily accessed with the greatest challenge being to access property yields and appropriate rates of depreciation. Given the difficulties in accessing data, it was found that valuers in the study area either make recourse to colleagues, shift to the next available method or adopt various alternative data-scooping measures, with years of practical experience, position in the firm and professional status exerting considerable influence on decisions. The paper suggests the establishment of a centralized databank for Nigerian valuers and a requirement for them to maintain a logbook of valuation computations with records of data used to justify otherwise inexplicable valuations, with further research into the interpretation and derivation of yields among Nigerian valuers recommended.
获取和分析数据,特别是与市场相关的数据,仍然是专业评估的核心。本文考察了住宅房地产行业估价师为估值目的获取市场数据的难易程度,以及尼日利亚西南两个城市伊巴丹和阿贝奥库塔的估价师对数据缺乏的反应。采用李克特五分制量表来衡量受访者对替代数据源的倾向,并使用加权平均分和logit回归分析结果。研究表明,租金价值和可比销售价格是最容易获得的,最大的挑战是获得房地产收益率和适当的折旧率。鉴于获取数据的困难,研究领域的评估师要么求助于同事,要么转向下一个可用的方法,要么采用各种替代的数据挖掘措施,多年的实践经验、在公司的职位和专业地位对决策产生相当大的影响。该论文建议为尼日利亚估价师建立一个中央数据库,并要求他们维护一个估值计算日志,其中包含用于证明其他无法解释的估值的数据记录,并建议进一步研究尼日利亚估价师的收益率解释和推导。
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引用次数: 5
Value gap in Nigerian property compensation practice: measurement and economic effects 尼日利亚财产赔偿实践中的价值差距:计量与经济效应
IF 0.8 Q3 Economics, Econometrics and Finance Pub Date : 2016-05-03 DOI: 10.1080/14445921.2016.1203235
N. A. Bello, O. Olanrele
Abstract The compulsory acquisition of some properties by Ogun State Government, Nigeria, along urban roads for road expansion required compensation for the affected owners. Statutorily, Estate Surveyors and Valuers (ESVs) are the recognized professionals who determine property value in Nigeria. This paper seeks to measure the gap in values between those submitted by ESVs representing the government and those ESVs representing claimants for the same property to investigate the economic implication of the variation on the claimants and the ESVs representing claimants, through the administration of 409 questionnaires to the claimants and the claimants’ ESVs. The findings indicate a gap in value of above 41% between claimant’s ESV’s and government’s ESV’s, leading to an 83.29% (NGN8.88 m) loss of fee to claimant’s ESV’s. It is suggested that the Nigerian Institution of Estate Surveyors and Valuers should recommend standardized building cost per square metre data and provide guidance on an acceptable value gap to minimize the observed wide value gap in the future.
摘要:尼日利亚奥贡州政府强制征用城市道路沿线的一些物业,用于道路扩建,需要对受影响的业主进行赔偿。法定上,房地产测量师和估价师(esv)是尼日利亚公认的确定财产价值的专业人士。本文通过向索赔人和索赔人的esv发放409份问卷,试图衡量代表政府的esv与代表索赔人的esv就同一财产提交的价值差距,以调查索赔人和代表索赔人的esv的差异对经济的影响。调查结果表明,索赔人的ESV与政府的ESV之间的价值差距超过41%,导致索赔人的ESV损失了83.29%(888万挪威克朗)的费用。建议尼日利亚房地产测量师和估价师协会推荐标准化的每平方米建筑成本数据,并就可接受的价值差距提供指导,以尽量减少未来观察到的巨大价值差距。
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引用次数: 4
Alternative assets – a new challenge to property? An analysis of superannuation funds 另类资产——对房地产的新挑战?对退休基金的分析
IF 0.8 Q3 Economics, Econometrics and Finance Pub Date : 2016-05-03 DOI: 10.1080/14445921.2016.1203722
W. Reddy
Abstract Leading Australian superannuation funds now have major exposure of approximately 20% to a sector classified as alternative assets. Within this sector, there are infrastructure products, which have similar characteristics to property. Thus, an ongoing debate on whether alternatives can replicate the performance of property in mixed-asset portfolios. This research examines the diversification benefits of property, infrastructure, private equity, hedge funds and commodities within two-asset and multi-asset optimisation portfolios. It uses ex-post data (1995–2015), from A$431 billion industry superannuation funds balanced portfolio. The methodology also involves substituting smoothed with desmoothed property data to detect any subsequent change in property allocation levels. The results from the two-asset portfolios illustrate that including infrastructure, hedge funds and private equity in the direct property portfolio provides high risk-adjusted returns (.45–.51), although portfolio weight is dominated by direct property. Analysis on multi-asset portfolios clearly shows that substituting smoothed property with desmoothed property data is insignificant to both industry fund performance and its weighting to property. Despite similar asset allocation range assigned to property and infrastructure (0–20%), infrastructure allocation was 3%, lower than property (13%). Strong allocations to property highlight its significance in institutional portfolios, even with the availability of similar alternative assets. For industry superannuation funds, the empirical results show that allocation to property can be higher than current 10%, backed by improved portfolio risk-adjusted returns. The research contributes to both practical and academic fields as it offers a methodological approach on how allocation to property assets can be improved using a series of asset allocation strategies.
澳大利亚领先的养老基金现在有大约20%的主要风险敞口被归类为另类资产。在这个行业中,有基础设施产品,与房地产具有相似的特征。因此,关于另类投资是否可以复制混合资产投资组合中房地产的表现的争论正在进行。本研究考察了房地产、基础设施、私募股权、对冲基金和大宗商品在双资产和多资产优化投资组合中的多元化效益。它使用了事后数据(1995-2015),来自4,310亿澳元的行业养老基金平衡投资组合。该方法还涉及将平滑的财产数据替换为平滑的财产数据,以检测财产分配水平的任何后续变化。两种资产组合的结果表明,在直接房地产投资组合中包括基础设施、对冲基金和私募股权提供了高的风险调整回报(0.45 - 0.51),尽管投资组合权重主要由直接房地产主导。对多资产组合的分析清楚地表明,用平滑的房地产数据代替平滑的房地产数据对行业基金的业绩和其在房地产中的权重都不显著。尽管分配给房地产和基础设施的资产配置范围相似(0-20%),但基础设施的配置比例为3%,低于房地产(13%)。对房地产的大量配置凸显了其在机构投资组合中的重要性,即使存在类似的另类资产。对于行业养老基金而言,实证结果表明,在投资组合风险调整后回报率提高的支持下,房地产配置可以高于目前的10%。该研究对实践和学术领域都有贡献,因为它提供了一种方法方法,说明如何使用一系列资产配置策略来改善房地产资产的配置。
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引用次数: 4
The effects of mass rapid transit station on the house prices in Taipei: the hierarchical linear model of individual growth 台北市捷运站对房价之影响:个人成长之层级线性模型
IF 0.8 Q3 Economics, Econometrics and Finance Pub Date : 2016-01-02 DOI: 10.1080/14445921.2016.1158938
F. Liou, Shih-Yu Yang, Borliang Chen, Wan-Ping Hsieh
Abstract A number of studies have examined the impact of mass rapid transit (MRT) systems, especially the transit station, on house prices, and the conclusions vary. While most studies focused on the analysis at an aggregate level, this paper develops a hierarchical hedonic price model of individual growth to investigate the effects of real estate’s proximity to the train stations, together with other house/neighborhood-specific characteristics, on the longitudinal growth pattern of house prices in Great Taipei. Sample houses are those located within a radius of one kilometer from selected MRT stations. The empirical results show that: (1) the growth pattern of housing price in real terms over time is significantly upward; (2) the city in which the house is located and the type of building positively moderate such growth trajectory; and (3) the influences of both the distance to MRT on house prices and on the growth pattern of house prices are insignificant. Discussion and implications of these findings were provided.
许多研究调查了捷运系统(MRT),特别是中转站对房价的影响,结论各不相同。虽然大多数研究都集中在总体水平上进行分析,但本文发展了个体增长的分层享乐价格模型,以研究房地产靠近火车站以及其他房屋/社区特定特征对大台北房价纵向增长模式的影响。样本房屋是指距离选定地铁站一公里半径内的房屋。实证结果表明:(1)实际房价随时间的增长模式显著向上;(2)住宅所在城市和建筑类型对这种增长轨迹具有正向调节作用;③距捷运距离对房价和房价增长模式的影响均不显著。并对这些发现进行了讨论和探讨。
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引用次数: 14
期刊
Pacific Rim Property Research Journal
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