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The Sensitivity of Family-Related Behaviors to Economic and Social Turbulence in Post-Socialist Countries, 1970-2010 后社会主义国家家庭相关行为对经济社会动荡的敏感性(1970-2010
Q2 DEMOGRAPHY Pub Date : 2023-09-18 DOI: 10.12765/cpos-2023-19
Sunnee Billingsley, Juho Härkönen, Maria Hornung
Many demographic challenges and new trends have been observed across formerly state socialist countries after embarking on their political and economic transition. Including countries that range from Eastern Europe to Central Asia, this study explores whether some family-related events were more sensitive to the transformation that occurred in the 1990s than others, and whether the disruption was immediate or delayed across this wide range of contexts. Based on year-specific hazard ratios over four decades, results point to changes in fertility patterns being clearly linked to the transition. Second birth rates reacted almost immediately to societal disruption, whereas a more delayed change occurred for first births. Although abrupt changes in marriage and divorce rates also occurred, these changes often began before the transition and therefore may be part of longer-term developments. That second births were the most sensitive family event to the immediate change in conditions may be due to economic costs, but also unique characteristics related both to its lack of conferring a new social role on the individual, such as in the case of marriage and parenthood, and the narrower window of time in which this event usually occurs. The delayed changes in first births may instead reflect changes in norms and culture that influenced younger individuals when they reached childbearing ages. * This article belongs to a special issue on “Demographic Developments in Eastern and Western Europe Before and After the Transformation of Socialist Countries”.
在开始政治和经济转型后,许多前国家社会主义国家都观察到许多人口挑战和新趋势。包括从东欧到中亚的国家,本研究探讨了一些与家庭有关的事件是否比其他事件对20世纪90年代发生的转变更敏感,以及在这种广泛的背景下,这种破坏是立即发生的还是延迟发生的。根据过去40年的具体年份风险比,结果表明,生育模式的变化显然与这种转变有关。第二胎出生率几乎立即对社会混乱做出反应,而第一胎出生率的变化则更为滞后。虽然结婚率和离婚率也发生了突然的变化,但这些变化往往在过渡之前就开始了,因此可能是长期发展的一部分。第二次生育是对条件的直接变化最敏感的家庭事件,这可能是由于经济成本,但也有独特的特点,因为它不赋予个人新的社会角色,例如在婚姻和为人父母的情况下,以及这种事件通常发生的时间窗口较窄。第一次生育的延迟变化可能反映了规范和文化的变化,这些变化在年轻人达到生育年龄时影响了他们。*本文属于“社会主义国家转型前后东欧和西欧人口发展”特刊。
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引用次数: 0
Life Satisfaction Among Italian Migrants, Italian Stayers, and Swiss Natives: Who Fares Better? 意大利移民、意大利旅居者和瑞士本地人的生活满意度:谁过得更好?
IF 0.8 Q2 DEMOGRAPHY Pub Date : 2023-08-21 DOI: 10.12765/cpos-2023-18
Iuna Dones
Although reasons for migration may differ, it can be argued that international migrants have a common goal: improving the living conditions and well-being for themselves and their families. However, we still know relatively little about how older migrants evaluate their well-being and the implications of migration for their life satisfaction. This paper aims to contribute to this body of research. In a first part, we focus on two comparisons: 1) The life satisfaction level of older Italian migrants in Switzerland compared to that of older Swiss natives, and 2) The life satisfaction level of older Italian migrants in Switzerland compared to that of older Italian stayers in Italy. In a second part, we investigate the determinants of life satisfaction in each of these three groups. The article draws on an original survey carried out in Switzerland and Italy (N = 1,654).Against the current comparative literature on older migrants and non-migrants, we hypothesized that older Italian migrants in Switzerland display lower life satisfaction than older Swiss natives, and that older Italian migrants in Switzerland display higher life satisfaction than older stayers in Italy. We expected to observe these differences even when accounting for sociodemographic characteristics. While migrants’ average life satisfaction levels are lower than the levels of Swiss natives, this difference is fully mediated by sociodemographic variables. Migrants also report slightly lower life satisfaction levels than stayers; this difference remains significant at the p<0.1 level but diminishes as we control for sociodemographic characteristics. When investigating the life satisfaction determinants of each group, we find similarities among the three groups: being in good health and being able to make financial ends meet are positively correlated with life satisfaction, while experiencing age-related discrimination is negatively correlated with life satisfaction. Having a partner is only positively correlated with satisfaction for Swiss natives, and religiosity is only positively correlated with satisfaction for stayers.The importance of this paper is threefold: 1) it investigates older migrants’ life satisfaction, an area of research that is underdeveloped, 2) it compares migrants to stayers, a comparison that is seldom found in the current literature but necessary to understand the implications of having a migratory background, and 3) it highlights the importance of policy interventions addressing the socioeconomic inequalities of older migrants.
尽管移民的原因可能不同,但可以说,国际移民有一个共同的目标:改善自己和家人的生活条件和福祉。然而,我们对老年移民如何评估他们的幸福感以及移民对他们生活满意度的影响仍然知之甚少。本文旨在为这一研究机构做出贡献。在第一部分中,我们重点进行了两个比较:1)在瑞士的意大利老年移民的生活满意度与瑞士本地老年人的生活满意度相比,以及2)在瑞士意大利老年移民与在意大利的意大利老年人的生活满意度相比。在第二部分中,我们调查了这三组人生活满意度的决定因素。这篇文章引用了在瑞士和意大利进行的一项原始调查(N = 1654)。根据目前关于老年移民和非移民的比较文献,我们假设在瑞士的意大利老年移民比瑞士本地老年人表现出更低的生活满意度,而在瑞士的义大利老年移民比在意大利的年长滞留者表现出更高的生活满意度。即使考虑到社会人口特征,我们也希望观察到这些差异。虽然移民的平均生活满意度低于瑞士本地人,但这种差异完全是由社会人口变量介导的。移民的生活满意度也略低于留守者;这种差异在p<0.1的水平上仍然显著,但随着我们控制社会人口特征,这种差异会减少。在调查每组的生活满意度决定因素时,我们发现三组之间有相似之处:健康状况良好和经济收支平衡与生活满意度呈正相关,而经历与年龄相关的歧视与生活满意度负相关。对于瑞士本地人来说,有伴侣只与满意度呈正相关,而宗教信仰只与住宿者的满意度呈正相关。这篇论文的重要性有三个方面:1)它调查了老年移民的生活满意度,这是一个尚未发展的研究领域;2)它将移民与留守者进行了比较,这种比较在当前文献中很少出现,但对于理解移民背景的含义是必要的,3)它强调了解决老年移民社会经济不平等问题的政策干预措施的重要性。
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引用次数: 0
Paid Parental Leave Reforms and Mothers’ Employment in Austria, France and Hungary 奥地利、法国和匈牙利的带薪育儿假改革与母亲就业
IF 0.8 Q2 DEMOGRAPHY Pub Date : 2023-08-17 DOI: 10.12765/cpos-2023-17
Zsuzsanna Makay
This study focuses on changes in the length of paid parental leave in Austria, France and Hungary between the 1960s and the first decade of the 2000s. Its aim is to analyse to what extent extensions and reductions of the duration of paid parental leave affect mothers’ labour market entry after childbirth. For each country, periods according to the different policy reforms are analysed and data from the Generations and Gender Survey are used to account for changes in mothers’ labour market entry. Scholars have argued that too long periods of paid parental leave might act as work-reducing policy in that they hinder women’s labour market entry while short leaves have positive effects on labour market participation and wages. This phenomenon is studied in three countries with very different conciliation policies. Results for Austria show that the introduction of more flexibility into the leave legislation in 2008 increased mothers’ relative risks of labour market entry especially among higher educated women. In France, the extension of paid leave for second born children in 1994 reduced labour market entry. We found however, no significant effect of the 1986 reform for third children and the 2004 reform introducing a paid leave of six months for first-born children. In Hungary, labour market entry of mothers was influenced by structural changes which accompanied the political transition of 1989 and resulted in longer leave take up of mothers. Labour market entry before the transition was more intensive than ever since that. * This article belongs to a special issue on “Demographic Developments in Eastern and Western Europe Before and After the Transformation of Socialist Countries”.
这项研究的重点是奥地利、法国和匈牙利在20世纪60年代到21世纪头十年期间带薪育儿假的长度变化。其目的是分析带薪育儿假的延长和缩短在多大程度上影响母亲在分娩后进入劳动力市场。对每个国家的不同政策改革时期进行了分析,并使用世代和性别调查的数据来解释母亲进入劳动力市场的变化。学者们认为,过长的带薪育儿假可能会成为减少工作的政策,因为这会阻碍妇女进入劳动力市场,而短假对劳动力市场的参与和工资有积极影响。这一现象在三个和解政策截然不同的国家进行了研究。奥地利的结果表明,2008年在休假立法中引入更多灵活性增加了母亲进入劳动力市场的相对风险,尤其是受过高等教育的妇女。在法国,1994年延长二胎子女的带薪休假减少了进入劳动力市场的人数。然而,我们发现,1986年对第三个孩子的改革和2004年对第一胎孩子引入6个月带薪假期的改革没有显著影响。在匈牙利,母亲进入劳动力市场受到1989年政治过渡带来的结构性变化的影响,这些变化导致母亲休假时间延长。转型前的劳动力市场进入比那之后的任何时候都要密集。*本文属于“社会主义国家转型前后东欧和西欧人口发展”特刊。
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引用次数: 1
Ukrainian Refugees in Germany: Evidence From a Large Representative Survey 德国的乌克兰难民:来自一项大型代表性调查的证据
IF 0.8 Q2 DEMOGRAPHY Pub Date : 2023-08-08 DOI: 10.12765/cpos-2023-16
H. Brücker, A. Ette, M. Grabka, Yuliya Kosyakova, Wenke Niehues, Nina Rother, C. Spieß, S. Zinn, M. Bujard, Adriana R Cardozo Silva, Jean Philippe Décieux, Amrei Maddox, Nadja Milewski, Lenore Sauer, S. Schmitz, Silvia Schwanhäuser, M. Siegert, H. Steinhauer, K. Tanis
This study describes the first wave of the IAB-BiB/FReDA-BAMF-SOEP Survey on Ukrainian Refugees in Germany, a unique panel dataset based on over 11,000 interviews conducted between August and October 2022. The aim of the IAB-BiB/FReDA-BAMF-SOEP Survey is to provide a data-infrastructure for theory-driven and evidence-based research on various aspects of integration among Ukrainian refugees in Germany, the second most important destination country in the EU after Poland, hosting over a million people who arrived in Germany shortly after the Russian invasion of Ukraine. Based on the survey, this study also provides first insights into demographic, educational, linguistic, occupational, and social characteristics of this population. The analyses revealed that the refugee population comprised mostly young and educated individuals, with a significant proportion of females without partners and female-headed separated families. While German language skills were limited, about half of Ukrainian refugees had attended or were attending language courses. However, the integration process faced significant challenges, as the participation of children in day-care was relatively low, and the self-reported life satisfaction was markedly below the average of the German population. The study highlights the need for targeted policy measures to address such issues. Additionally, policies may aim at harnessing the high potential of the Ukrainian refugees for the German labor market. Given that a substantial proportion would like to stay in Germany permanently, policymakers should take note of these findings and aim to facilitate their long-term integration process to ensure that these refugees may thrive in Germany.
本研究描述了IAB-BiB/FReDA-BAMF-SOEP对德国乌克兰难民的第一波调查,这是一个独特的面板数据集,基于2022年8月至10月期间进行的11,000多次访谈。IAB-BiB/FReDA-BAMF-SOEP调查的目的是为乌克兰难民在德国融合的各个方面提供理论驱动和循证研究的数据基础设施。德国是欧盟仅次于波兰的第二大目的地国,在俄罗斯入侵乌克兰后不久就接待了100多万抵达德国的人。在调查的基础上,本研究还首次深入了解了这一人群的人口统计学、教育、语言、职业和社会特征。分析显示,难民人口主要是受过教育的年轻人,其中很大一部分是没有伴侣的女性和女性为户主的离散家庭。虽然德语技能有限,但约有一半的乌克兰难民参加过或正在参加语言课程。然而,融入过程面临着重大挑战,因为儿童参加日托的比例相对较低,自我报告的生活满意度明显低于德国人口的平均水平。该研究强调需要有针对性的政策措施来解决这些问题。此外,政策可能旨在利用乌克兰难民在德国劳动力市场的巨大潜力。鉴于很大一部分难民希望永久留在德国,政策制定者应该注意到这些发现,并致力于促进他们的长期融入过程,以确保这些难民在德国茁壮成长。
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引用次数: 0
The Division of Routine and Non-Routine Housework Among Migrant and Native Couples in Germany 德国移民夫妇与本土夫妇日常家务与非日常家务的分工
IF 0.8 Q2 DEMOGRAPHY Pub Date : 2023-07-31 DOI: 10.12765/cpos-2023-15
Theresa Nutz, Lisa Schmid, Reinhard Pollak
Gender inequality in the division of household chores is a persistent issue over time and across country contexts, while differences within and between native and migrant couples remain largely unclear. Relying on the German country case, this study examines the association between partners’ migration constellations and the division of housework. We differentiate between natives and first-generation migrants, and within first-generation migrants, we differentiate by their regions of origin. For the division of housework, we analyse traditionally female routine tasks and male non-routine tasks. Following gender and resource explanations, this study expects gendered variation in the way native, migrant, and mixed (i.e., native/migrant) couples divide housework. Utilising novel data from the German Family Demography Panel Study (FReDA-GGS sample, 2021), the paper employs OLS regression models to predict the division of housework among 11,223 cohabiting different-sex couples. The study finds a gender-traditional divide in routine household tasks among migrant couples, with heterogeneity across regions of origin. Specifically, women in Asian and Eastern European couples tend to do more routine tasks than their native counterparts, while the division of routine housework in couples from Western countries is more egalitarian. In mixed couples, the division of routine tasks is highly unequal if the male partner is a migrant. Non-routine tasks in mixed couples are, however, mostly performed by the native partner, irrespective of gender. The results suggest that the division of routine housework conforms to traditional gender roles across most migrant groups, while non-routine housework, such as financial tasks that require country-specific knowledge, is influenced by the native status, which serves as a resource in itself.* This article belongs to a special issue on “Family Research and Demographic Analysis – New Insights from the German Family Demography Panel Study (FReDA)”.
家务分工中的性别不平等是一个长期存在的问题,在不同的国家背景下也是如此,而本地夫妇和移民夫妇内部和之间的差异在很大程度上仍不清楚。本研究以德国为个案,考察伴侣的迁移星座与家务分工之间的关系。我们区分本地人和第一代移民,在第一代移民中,我们根据他们的原籍地区进行区分。在家务分工方面,我们分析了传统的女性常规任务和男性非常规任务。根据性别和资源解释,本研究预计本地、移民和混合(即本地/移民)夫妇分担家务的方式会发生性别差异。利用德国家庭人口学小组研究的新数据(FReDA-GGS样本,2021),该论文采用OLS回归模型预测了11223对不同性别同居夫妇的家务分工。这项研究发现,移民夫妇在日常家务劳动中存在性别传统差异,不同原籍地区之间存在异质性。具体而言,亚洲和东欧夫妇中的女性往往比本国夫妇做更多的家务,而西方国家夫妇的家务分工更为平等。在混合伴侣中,如果男性伴侣是移民,那么日常任务的分配是非常不平等的。然而,混合伴侣的非常规任务大多由本地伴侣完成,不分性别。研究结果表明,在大多数移民群体中,日常家务的划分符合传统的性别角色,而非日常家务,如需要特定国家知识的财务任务,则受到当地身份的影响,这篇文章属于“家庭研究和人口分析——德国家庭人口小组研究的新见解”的特刊。
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引用次数: 1
Should Mama or Papa Work? Variations in Attitudes towards Parental Employment by Country of Origin and Child Age 妈妈还是爸爸应该工作?按原籍国和儿童年龄划分的对父母就业态度的差异
IF 0.8 Q2 DEMOGRAPHY Pub Date : 2023-07-17 DOI: 10.12765/cpos-2023-14
Ludovica Gambaro, C. Spieß, Katharina Wrohlich, Elena Ziege
Employment among mothers has been rising in recent decades, although mothers of young children often work fewer hours than other women do. Parallel to this trend, approval of maternal employment has increased, albeit not evenly across groups. However, differences in attitudes remain unexplored despite their importance for better understanding mothers’ labour market behaviour. Meanwhile, the employment of fathers has remained stable and attitudes towards paternal employment do not differ as much as attitudes towards maternal employment do between socio-economic groups. This paper examines attitudes towards maternal and paternal employment. It focuses on Germany, drawing on data from the German Family Demography Panel Study (FReDA). The survey explicitly asks whether mothers and fathers should be in paid work, work part-time or full-time, presenting respondents with fictional family profiles that vary the youngest child’s age. Unlike previous studies, the analysis compares the views of respondents with different origins: West Germany, East Germany, immigrants from different world regions, and second-generation migrants in West Germany. The results highlight remarkable differences between respondents from West and East Germany, with the former group displaying strong approval for part-time employment among mothers and fathers of very young children and the latter group reporting higher approval for full-time employment. Immigrant groups are far from homogenous, holding different attitudes depending on their region of origin. Taken together, the results offer a nuanced picture of attitudes towards maternal and paternal employment. We discuss these findings in relation to labour markets participation in Germany. * This article belongs to a special issue on “Family Research and Demographic Analysis – New Insights from the German Family Demography Panel Study (FReDA)”.
近几十年来,母亲的就业率一直在上升,尽管有年幼孩子的母亲的工作时间往往比其他女性短。与这一趋势平行的是,对产妇就业的认可有所增加,尽管各群体之间并不均衡。然而,尽管态度的差异对于更好地理解母亲的劳动力市场行为很重要,但它们仍未得到探索。与此同时,父亲的就业保持稳定,社会经济群体之间对父亲就业的态度并不像对母亲就业的态度那样大。本文考察了对母亲和父亲就业的态度。它以德国为重点,借鉴了德国家庭人口统计小组研究(FReDA)的数据。该调查明确询问了父母是否应该从事有薪工作、兼职还是全职,并向受访者提供了不同年龄的虚构家庭资料。与以往的研究不同,该分析比较了来自不同国家的受访者的观点:西德、东德、来自世界不同地区的移民和西德的第二代移民。调查结果突出了西德和东德受访者之间的显著差异,东德人强烈支持有年幼孩子的父母从事兼职工作,而西德人则更支持全职工作。移民群体远非同质化,根据他们的原籍地区持有不同的态度。综上所述,调查结果提供了一幅关于母亲和父亲就业态度的微妙图景。我们讨论了与德国劳动力市场参与相关的这些发现。*本文属于“家庭研究和人口分析——来自德国家庭人口统计小组研究(FReDA)的新见解”特刊。
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引用次数: 1
Transitions to Second Birth and Birth Intervals in France and Spain: Time Squeeze or Social Norms? 法国和西班牙向二胎和生育间隔的过渡:时间挤压还是社会规范?
IF 0.8 Q2 DEMOGRAPHY Pub Date : 2023-07-11 DOI: 10.12765/cpos-2023-13
Marie-Caroline Compans, Éva Beaujouan, Cristina Suero García
As first births are increasingly postponed across Europe, a strong two-child family norm persists. Past research has examined educational differentials in progressions to second birth, testing various hypotheses but overlooking normative aspects. Comparing fertility surveys from France and Spain, we explore whether late first-time mothers, who have fewer reproductive biological years left to conceive, accelerate the transition to a subsequent child (time squeeze effect). We also consider a normative dimension, i.e., whether women have their first child earlier or later than others in their educational and cohort groups. In both countries, among first-time mothers between 25 and 34 years of age, highly-educated women transitioned to second birth more frequently than less-educated women did. Within the same age group, highly-educated women in Spain had a second child more quickly after the firstborn than their less educated counterparts did, while there is no such difference in France. These results hold after controlling for cohort effects, but are only partly explained by a time squeeze effect. Different normative ages at first birth by education and birth cohort explain the educational gap in the likelihood of transitioning to second birth, but not the birth intervals in Spain. In sum, our analysis demonstrates a persistent educational gap in second births in this country that cannot be reduced to biological or normative effects. This suggests that a broad range of economic constraints play a role, such as unfavourable individual economic conditions and lower levels of institutional support for parenthood.
随着欧洲各地越来越多地推迟生育第一胎,牢固的二孩家庭规范依然存在。过去的研究考察了第二胎过程中的教育差异,测试了各种假设,但忽略了规范方面。通过比较法国和西班牙的生育调查,我们探讨了晚育首次生育的母亲,她们的生育年龄较少,是否会加速向第二个孩子的过渡(时间挤压效应)。我们还考虑了一个规范的维度,即,在她们的教育和队列群体中,妇女是否比其他人更早或更晚生第一个孩子。在这两个国家,在25岁至34岁的第一胎母亲中,受过高等教育的女性比受教育程度较低的女性更频繁地过渡到第二胎。在同一年龄组中,受过高等教育的西班牙女性在生完第一胎后比受教育程度较低的女性更快地生第二胎,而在法国则没有这种差异。在控制了群体效应之后,这些结果仍然成立,但时间挤压效应只能部分解释这些结果。不同教育和出生队列的第一胎标准年龄解释了过渡到第二胎可能性的教育差距,但不能解释西班牙的生育间隔。总而言之,我们的分析表明,在这个国家,二胎的教育差距持续存在,不能归结为生物或规范的影响。这表明,广泛的经济制约因素发挥了作用,例如不利的个人经济条件和较低水平的体制支持生育。
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引用次数: 0
Gaining Consent to Survey Respondents’ Partners: The Importance of Anchors’ Survey Experience in Self-administered Modes 获得调查对象合作伙伴的同意:自主模式下主播调查经验的重要性
IF 0.8 Q2 DEMOGRAPHY Pub Date : 2023-07-06 DOI: 10.12765/cpos-2023-12
Tobias Gummer, Pablo Christmann, Tanja Kunz
Dyadic surveys aim to interview pairs of respondents, such as partners in a relationship. In dyadic surveys, it is often necessary to obtain the anchors’ consent to contact their partners and invite them to a survey. If the survey is operated in self-administered modes, no interviewer is present to improve the consent rate, for example, by providing convincing arguments and additional information. To overcome the challenges posed by self-administered modes for dyadic surveys and to improve consent rates, it is important to identify aspects that positively influence the likelihood of anchors giving consent to contact their partners. Ideally, these aspects are in the hands of the researchers, such as the survey design and aspects of the questionnaire. Thus, in this study, we analyzed the relationship between anchors’ survey experience and their willingness to consent to surveying their partners in self-administered modes. Based on data from the German Family Demography Panel Study (FReDA), we found that the anchors’ perceptions of the questionnaire as “interesting” or “too personal” were related to consent rates. These relationships were consistent across different survey modes and devices. Effects of other aspects of the questionnaire, such as “important for science” and “diverse” varied between modes and devices. We concluded with practical recommendations for survey research and an outlook for future research.* This article belongs to a special issue on “Family Research and Demographic Analysis – New Insights from the German Family Demography Panel Study (FReDA)”.
Dyadic调查旨在采访成对的受访者,例如恋爱关系中的伴侣。在二元调查中,通常需要征得主播的同意才能联系他们的伴侣并邀请他们参加调查。如果调查是以自我管理的模式进行的,则没有采访者在场,例如通过提供令人信服的论据和额外信息来提高同意率。为了克服二元调查的自我管理模式带来的挑战,并提高同意率,重要的是要确定对主播同意联系其伴侣的可能性产生积极影响的方面。理想情况下,这些方面掌握在研究人员手中,例如调查设计和问卷的各个方面。因此,在本研究中,我们分析了主播的调查经验与他们同意以自我管理模式调查伴侣的意愿之间的关系。根据德国家庭人口学小组研究(FReDA)的数据,我们发现主播对问卷“有趣”或“过于个人化”的看法与同意率有关。这些关系在不同的调查模式和设备中是一致的。问卷的其他方面的效果,如“对科学很重要”和“多样性”,因模式和设备而异。最后,我们对调查研究提出了切实可行的建议,并对未来的研究进行了展望。*这篇文章属于“家庭研究和人口统计分析——德国家庭人口小组研究(FReDA)的新见解”特刊。
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引用次数: 1
Spatial Patterns of Recent Ukrainian Refugees in Germany: Administrative Dispersal and Existing Ethnic Networks 最近乌克兰难民在德国的空间格局:行政分散和现有的种族网络
IF 0.8 Q2 DEMOGRAPHY Pub Date : 2023-06-27 DOI: 10.12765/cpos-2023-11
Lenore Sauer, A. Ette, H. Steinhauer, M. Siegert, K. Tanis
Since the beginning of the Russian invasion of Ukraine on February 24, 2022, many people have fled the war and left their home country. By the end of January 2023, more than one million Ukrainian refugees had been registered in Germany alone. In contrast to refugees from other countries of origin in Germany, Ukrainian citizens can choose their place of residence if they have either found private accommodation with family members or friends or do not claim state support. However, little information exists on where within Germany Ukrainian refugees have moved and why certain regions are potentially more attractive than others. There exists a substantial literature on the location choices of migrants in general, showing that the existing level of immigrant concentration is an important determinant, while economic factors have a smaller effect – if not in the initial location choice after immigration, then at least in later location decisions. Whereas these studies mainly focus on labour migrants, research on refugees’ location choices is still scarce, because refugees are usually assigned to specific places of residence by the authorities in many European countries. In the context of forced migration, spatial patterns may therefore largely be related to administrative decisions. In this paper, we aim to answer the question of the settlement patterns of recently arrived refugees from Ukraine in Germany by using current data from the Central Register of Foreigners. These patterns are modelled on the NUTS-3 level and consider the proportion of previous Ukrainian migrants living within those regions as well as additional economic, demographic, and geographical factors. Spatial regression models show that, on the one hand, Ukrainian refugees indeed settle where the number of Ukrainians is already high. The empirical analyses also indicate a correlation between the spatial patterns of refugees in general and Ukrainian refugees, suggesting that dispersal policies may play a role in explaining settlement patterns. Furthermore, affordable housing and lower rents are important explanatory variables.
自2022年2月24日俄罗斯入侵乌克兰以来,许多人逃离了战争,离开了自己的祖国。截至2023年1月底,仅在德国就有100多万乌克兰难民登记。与在德国的其他原籍国难民不同,如果乌克兰公民与家人或朋友找到私人住所,或者不要求国家支助,他们可以选择居住地。然而,关于乌克兰难民在德国境内迁移到哪里以及为什么某些地区可能比其他地区更有吸引力的信息很少。有大量文献研究了移民的总体区位选择,表明现有的移民集中度水平是一个重要的决定因素,而经济因素的影响较小——如果在移民后的初始区位选择中没有影响,那么至少在后来的区位决策中没有影响。虽然这些研究主要集中在劳工移民上,但关于难民地点选择的研究仍然很少,因为在许多欧洲国家,难民通常被当局分配到特定的居住地。因此,在被迫移徙的情况下,空间格局可能在很大程度上与行政决定有关。在本文中,我们旨在通过使用外国人中央登记册的当前数据来回答最近抵达德国的乌克兰难民的定居模式问题。这些模式以nut -3水平为模型,并考虑了以前居住在这些地区的乌克兰移民的比例以及其他经济、人口和地理因素。空间回归模型显示,一方面,乌克兰难民确实在乌克兰人数量已经很高的地方定居。实证分析还表明,总体难民空间格局与乌克兰难民空间格局之间存在相关性,表明分散政策可能在解释定居格局方面发挥作用。此外,经济适用房和较低的租金是重要的解释变量。
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引用次数: 0
Life-course Factors and Later Life Health in Eastern and Western Europe 东欧和西欧的生命历程因素与晚年健康
IF 0.8 Q2 DEMOGRAPHY Pub Date : 2023-06-06 DOI: 10.12765/cpos-2023-10
Liili Abuladze, Uku Rudissaar, L. Sakkeus, K. Schwanitz
Human development and ageing are lifelong processes, where earlier life conditions and events are interlinked with later life outcomes. Patterns of inequality within and among cohorts emerge over time as products of the interplay between institutional arrangements and individual life, often dependent on childhood or earlier life circumstances. The life conditions and experiences of older adults in Eastern and Western Europe differ significantly, but whether their cumulative effects on later life outcomes vary across these two regions has not been compared. We explore the effects of socioeconomic position, the experience of a period of hunger, the dispossession of assets, and discrimination suffered by parents in respondents’ life courses on later life health inequalities in Europe. Self-reported health, everyday activity limitations, and cognitive functioning are the main outcomes that provide an adequate overview of different health domains. We mainly use data from the seventh wave of the Survey of Health, Ageing, and Retirement in Europe (SHARE 2017) and restrict our sample to respondents aged 65 and older from 26 European countries (N=41,566). We find that older people in Eastern Europe fare worse in self-rated health and everyday activity limitations than Western Europeans, while Eastern Europeans indicate somewhat better outcomes in cognitive functioning. A disadvantaged socioeconomic position in childhood and adulthood has the strongest association with all health outcomes, followed by the experience of hunger over the life course for the whole of Europe. However, we do not find diverging associations between life-course factors and health outcomes in Eastern and Western Europe. We argue that self-reported health, everyday activity limitations and cognitive functioning have to be analysed within their own frameworks and cannot yield conclusions that are uniform for all health outcomes. Moreover, major generalisations either about Eastern or Western Europe must be treated with caution as the regions have very different historical as well as demographic developments and thus cannot be treated as uniform.* This article belongs to a special issue on “Demographic Developments in Eastern and Western Europe Before and After the Transformation of Socialist Countries”.
人类发展和老龄化是一个终身过程,早期的生活条件和事件与后期的生活结果相互关联。随着时间的推移,群体内部和群体之间的不平等模式是制度安排和个人生活之间相互作用的产物,通常取决于童年或早年的生活环境。东欧和西欧老年人的生活条件和经历有很大差异,但这两个地区的老年人对以后生活结果的累积影响是否不同尚未进行比较。我们探讨了社会经济地位、饥饿经历、资产被剥夺以及父母在受访者生活课程中遭受的歧视对欧洲晚年健康不平等的影响。自我报告的健康状况、日常活动限制和认知功能是对不同健康领域进行充分概述的主要结果。我们主要使用第七波欧洲健康、老龄化和退休调查(SHARE 2017)的数据,并将样本限制在来自26个欧洲国家的65岁及以上受访者(N=41566)。我们发现,东欧的老年人在自我评估的健康和日常活动限制方面比西欧人更差,而东欧人在认知功能方面表现出更好的结果。童年和成年时期处于不利社会经济地位与所有健康结果的关系最为密切,其次是整个欧洲一生中的饥饿经历。然而,在东欧和西欧,我们没有发现生命历程因素与健康结果之间的不同关联。我们认为,自我报告的健康状况、日常活动限制和认知功能必须在各自的框架内进行分析,不能得出对所有健康结果都一致的结论。此外,必须谨慎对待关于东欧或西欧的主要概括,因为这些地区的历史和人口发展非常不同,因此不能被视为统一的。*本文属于“社会主义国家转型前后东欧和西欧的人口发展”特刊。
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Comparative Population Studies
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