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Journal of Defense Modeling and Simulation-Applications Methodology Technology-JDMS最新文献

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Generating realistic two-line element sets for notional space vehicles and constellations 为概念空间飞行器和星座生成现实的双线元素集
IF 0.8 Q3 Engineering Pub Date : 2022-03-08 DOI: 10.1177/15485129231166140
T. Rockwood, G. Steeger, Matthew D. Stein
As space becomes increasingly populated with new satellites and systems, modeling and simulation of existing and future systems becomes more important. The two-line element set has been the standard format for sharing data about a satellite’s orbit since the 1960s, and well-developed algorithms can predict the future location of satellites based on these data. In order to simulate potential future systems, especially when mixed with existing systems, data must be generated to represent the desired orbits. We present a means to create two-line element sets with parameters that closely resemble real satellite behavior and rely on a novel approach to calculate the mean motion for even greater accuracy.
随着太空中越来越多的新卫星和新系统的出现,对现有和未来系统的建模和仿真变得更加重要。自20世纪60年代以来,双线元集一直是共享卫星轨道数据的标准格式,成熟的算法可以根据这些数据预测卫星的未来位置。为了模拟潜在的未来系统,特别是当与现有系统混合时,必须生成数据来表示期望的轨道。我们提出了一种方法来创建具有与真实卫星行为非常相似的参数的双线元素集,并依赖于一种新的方法来计算更高精度的平均运动。
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引用次数: 0
A metric for quantifying nonlinearity in k-dimensional complex-valued functions 量化k维复值函数非线性的度量
IF 0.8 Q3 Engineering Pub Date : 2022-03-03 DOI: 10.1177/15485129221080399
Larry C. Llewellyn, M. Grimaila, D. Hodson, Scott Graham
Modeling and simulation is a proven cost-efficient means for studying the behavioral dynamics of modern systems of systems. Our research is focused on evaluating the ability of neural networks to approximate multivariate, nonlinear, complex-valued functions. In order to evaluate the accuracy and performance of neural network approximations as a function of nonlinearity (NL), it is required to quantify the amount of NL present in the complex-valued function. In this paper, we introduce a metric for quantifying NL in multi-dimensional complex-valued functions. The metric is an extension of a real-valued NL metric into the k-dimensional complex domain. The metric is flexible as it uses discrete input–output data pairs instead of requiring closed-form continuous representations for calculating the NL of a function. The metric is calculated by generating a best-fit, least-squares solution (LSS) linear k-dimensional hyperplane for the function; calculating the L2 norm of the difference between the hyperplane and the function being evaluated; and scaling the result to yield a value between zero and one. The metric is easy to understand, generalizable to multiple dimensions, and has the added benefit that it does not require a closed-form continuous representation of the function being evaluated.
建模和仿真是研究现代系统的系统行为动力学的一种行之有效的方法。我们的研究重点是评估神经网络近似多元、非线性、复值函数的能力。为了评估神经网络近似作为非线性函数的精度和性能,需要量化复值函数中NL的数量。在本文中,我们引入了一个度量来量化多维复值函数中的NL。该度规是将实值NL度规扩展到k维复域。度量是灵活的,因为它使用离散的输入-输出数据对,而不是需要封闭形式的连续表示来计算函数的NL。度量是通过生成函数的最佳拟合最小二乘解(LSS)线性k维超平面来计算的;计算超平面与待求函数之差的L2范数;将结果缩放到0到1之间的值。这个度量很容易理解,可以推广到多个维度,并且还有一个额外的好处,那就是它不需要对被求值的函数进行封闭形式的连续表示。
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引用次数: 0
The whole is greater than the sum of its parts: possibility and potential at the intersection between artificial intelligence and education & training 整体大于部分的总和:人工智能与教育和培训之间的交集的可能性和潜力
IF 0.8 Q3 Engineering Pub Date : 2022-03-01 DOI: 10.1177/15485129221078519
J. Cohn, E. Vorm, Erin Baker
The fields of Artificial Intelligence (AI) and Education & Training (E&T) are experiencing an unprecedented resur-gence. This is due in no small part to recent advances in the science and technology that drive discovery and inno-vation in these fields. The development of ever more pow-erful and efficient processing systems, a renaissance in allied fields like neuroscience, data analytics and visualiza-tion, cognitive science, cognitive computing, and advances in materials science have collectively enabled the solution of challenges to these fields which, only a decade ago, appeared insurmountable. Consequently, it is timely to explore the possibilities and potential benefits to be accrued when these two fields intersect. The goals of this special issue are threefold: (1) to promote understanding of AI for education and training applications, (2) to gain awareness of research and development activities in AI that are appli-cable to education and training applications, and (3) to characterize the reciprocal benefits that advances in education and training have on the further advancement of AI. The issue begins with two ‘‘perspective pieces’’ that set the stage for understanding different approaches viewing the between AI a in a that unique of to frame the discussion of aligning AI with E&T to learning
人工智能(AI)和教育培训(E&T)领域正在经历前所未有的复苏。这在很大程度上要归功于推动这些领域发现和创新的科学技术的最新进展。越来越强大和高效的处理系统的发展,神经科学、数据分析和可视化、认知科学、认知计算等相关领域的复兴,以及材料科学的进步,共同使这些领域的挑战得以解决,这些挑战在十年前似乎是不可逾越的。因此,探索这两个领域相交时产生的可能性和潜在效益是及时的。本期特刊的目标有三个:(1)促进对教育和培训应用中人工智能的理解,(2)提高对适用于教育和培训应用的人工智能研究和开发活动的认识,以及(3)描述教育和培训方面的进步对人工智能进一步发展的互惠效益。这个问题从两个“视角”开始,它们为理解不同的方法奠定了基础,以一种独特的方式来看待AI和E&T之间的关系,从而形成了将AI与学习结合起来的讨论
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引用次数: 0
Gaming AI without AI 没有AI的游戏AI
IF 0.8 Q3 Engineering Pub Date : 2022-02-13 DOI: 10.1177/15485129221074352
A. Frank
War games have played an essential role in the development of military force structures, strategies, operational concepts, and more. Military organizations are currently confronting uncertainties over the ways in which Artificial Intelligence (AI) may affect warfare at nearly every level, from combat tactics to operational concepts to force structure to deterrence and national and international security. This paper explores how game designers and players can approach questions regarding how AI may be employed in alternative contexts allowing for insight into how emerging and imagined technologies may affect warfare at many different levels of analysis. It identifies six application areas of AI technologies that games should consider—(1) principal–agent relations, (2) organizational and operational complexity, (3) attention management, (4) exploratory analysis, (5) information exploitation and model validation, and (6) adaptive behavior in open-ended systems—and suggests conceptual and practical strategies for investigating them in games that can be played in the absence of real-world systems and algorithms that perform these functions.
军事演习在军事力量结构、战略、作战概念等方面的发展中发挥了至关重要的作用。军事组织目前正面临着人工智能(AI)可能在几乎每个层面影响战争的方式的不确定性,从战斗战术到作战概念,从力量结构到威慑以及国家和国际安全。本文探讨了游戏设计师和玩家如何处理有关如何在替代环境中使用人工智能的问题,从而深入了解新兴和想象中的技术如何在许多不同的分析层面上影响战争。它确定了游戏应该考虑的人工智能技术的六个应用领域——(1)委托-代理关系,(2)组织和操作复杂性,(3)注意力管理,(4)探索性分析,(5)信息开发和模型验证,(6)开放式系统中的自适应行为——并提出了在没有执行这些功能的现实世界系统和算法的情况下,在游戏中研究这些技术的概念和实践策略。
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引用次数: 2
Artificial intelligence for wargaming and modeling 用于兵棋推演和建模的人工智能
IF 0.8 Q3 Engineering Pub Date : 2022-02-08 DOI: 10.1177/15485129211073126
P. Davis, P. Bracken
In this paper, we discuss how artificial intelligence (AI) could be used in political-military modeling, simulation, and wargaming of conflicts with nations having weapons of mass destruction and other high-end capabilities involving space, cyberspace, and long-range precision weapons. AI should help participants in wargames, and agents in simulations, to understand possible perspectives, perceptions, and calculations of adversaries who are operating with uncertainties and misimpressions. The content of AI should recognize the risks of escalation leading to catastrophe with no winner but also the possibility of outcomes with meaningful winners and losers. We discuss implications for the design and development of families of models, simulations, and wargames using several types of AI functionality. We also discuss decision aids for wargaming, with and without AI, informed by theory and exploratory work using simulation, history, and earlier wargaming.
在本文中,我们讨论了如何将人工智能(AI)用于政治军事建模、仿真和与拥有大规模杀伤性武器和其他高端能力的国家的冲突的兵棋推演,这些高端能力涉及太空、网络空间和远程精确武器。人工智能应该帮助兵棋推演的参与者和模拟中的代理人,理解对手在不确定性和错误印象的情况下可能的观点、看法和计算。人工智能的内容应该认识到升级的风险,导致没有赢家的灾难,但也有可能产生有意义的赢家和输家。我们讨论了使用几种类型的AI功能的模型、模拟和战争游戏的设计和开发的含义。我们还讨论了有或没有人工智能的兵棋推演的决策辅助工具,通过模拟、历史和早期兵棋推演的理论和探索性工作来提供信息。
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引用次数: 12
Multi-day evaluation of space domain awareness architectures via decision analysis and multi-objective optimization 基于决策分析和多目标优化的空间域感知体系结构多日评估
IF 0.8 Q3 Engineering Pub Date : 2022-01-07 DOI: 10.1177/15485129211067767
A. Vasso, R. Cobb, J. Colombi, Bryan D. Little, David W. Meyer
The US Government is the world’s de facto provider of space object cataloging data, but it is challenged to maintain pace in an increasingly complex space environment. This work advances a multi-disciplinary approach to better understand and evaluate an underexplored solution recommended by national policy in which current collection capabilities are augmented with non-traditional sensors. System architecting techniques and extant literature identified likely needs, performance measures, and potential contributors to a conceptualized Augmented Network (AN). Multiple hypothetical architectures of ground- and space-based telescopes with representative capabilities were modeled and simulated on four separate days throughout the year, then evaluated against performance measures and constraints using Multi-Objective Optimization. Decision analysis and Pareto optimality identified a small, diverse set of high-performing architectures while preserving design flexibility. Should decision-makers adopt the AN approach, this research effort indicates (1) a threefold increase in average capacity, (2) a 55% improvement in coverage, and (3) a 2.5-h decrease in the average maximum time a space object goes unobserved.
美国政府实际上是世界上空间物体编目数据的提供者,但它面临着在日益复杂的空间环境中保持步伐的挑战。这项工作推进了一种多学科方法,以更好地理解和评估国家政策建议的一种未充分探索的解决方案,其中使用非传统传感器增强当前的收集能力。系统架构技术和现有文献确定了可能的需求、性能度量和概念化的增强网络(AN)的潜在贡献者。对具有代表性能力的地面和天基望远镜的多个假设架构在全年的四个不同日子进行建模和模拟,然后使用多目标优化对性能指标和约束进行评估。决策分析和帕累托最优性在保持设计灵活性的同时确定了一组小型的、多样化的高性能架构。如果决策者采用AN方法,这项研究表明:(1)平均容量增加三倍,(2)覆盖范围提高55%,(3)空间物体未被观测到的平均最长时间减少2.5小时。
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引用次数: 0
Cyber risk and vulnerability estimation 网络风险和脆弱性评估
IF 0.8 Q3 Engineering Pub Date : 2022-01-01 DOI: 10.1177/15485129211070058
H. Çam
Recent strides in cyber operations, including description of the threat lifecycle, and component threat models, are currently limited only by the ability to estimate current system state, in terms of vulnerability and subsequent risk. Therefore, it is highly desirable to lay down a testable, repeatable, set of rules, policies, machine learning (ML) and artificial intelligence techniques for modeling and estimating cyber risk, vulnerabilities, and exploits in systems and networks. Recent improvements in learning models, deep learning, and big data analytics have the potential to capture the relationships among the security features and adversary activities to enhance cybersecurity defense and estimation of risk and vulnerabilities. This special issue is composed of six papers that provide insight into cyber risk and vulnerability from various perspectives, including modeling a cybersecurity environment, leveraging ML capabilities, assessing cybersecurity attacks and vulnerabilities, optimizing limited resources of cybersecurity security operation centers, and agent-based target evaluation in an air defense simulation environment. The paper by Dasari, Im, and Geerhart presents an approach to accomplishing mission computation goals and resource requirements for the time-sensitive data processing tasks in tactical computing platforms that are mostly mobile, with limited computing and communication resources. To optimize the computation platforms and algorithms for the mission requirements such as performing computation in mission time, the paper describes a socalled mission class with deterministic polynomial time complexity, wherein the computations must complete in mission time within an environment with limited resources. The paper also investigates feasible models that can minimize energy and maximize memory, efficiency, and computational power. The paper by Shah, Farris, Ganesan, and Jajodia investigates various optimization methods of vulnerability selection against some constraints (e.g., personnel-hour allocations, as well as vulnerability age, severity, and persistence score requirements) of Cyber-Security Operations Centers. The paper presents two different mathematical models and approaches to vulnerability selection for mitigation with either single attribute value selection or multiple attribute value selection in decision-making process. The empirical results indicate that the multiple attribute value optimization policy performs better in satisfying all vulnerability attribute requirements. The paper by Werth, Griffith, Hairston, and Morris focuses on the development of a virtual, modular testbed to provide a high-fidelity model of the cyber and physical components of a networked generator system. A highfidelity model of the generator was included to allow the evaluation of more types of threat models. Supply chain attacks with simulated hardware and software trojans are examined in case studies. The proposed testbed provides an opport
网络操作的最新进展,包括对威胁生命周期的描述和组件威胁模型,目前仅受限于评估当前系统状态的能力,即脆弱性和后续风险。因此,非常需要制定一套可测试、可重复的规则、策略、机器学习(ML)和人工智能技术,用于建模和评估系统和网络中的网络风险、漏洞和利用。最近在学习模型、深度学习和大数据分析方面的改进有可能捕捉安全特征和对手活动之间的关系,以增强网络安全防御和风险和漏洞的评估。本期特刊由六篇论文组成,从不同的角度提供了对网络风险和漏洞的洞察,包括网络安全环境建模,利用机器学习功能,评估网络安全攻击和漏洞,优化网络安全运营中心的有限资源,以及防空模拟环境中基于代理的目标评估。Dasari, Im和Geerhart的论文提出了一种在战术计算平台中完成任务计算目标和时间敏感数据处理任务的资源需求的方法,战术计算平台主要是移动的,计算和通信资源有限。为了优化计算平台和算法,满足在任务时间内进行计算等任务需求,本文描述了一种具有确定性多项式时间复杂度的任务类,即在有限资源的环境下,必须在任务时间内完成计算。本文还研究了可以最小化能量和最大化内存,效率和计算能力的可行模型。Shah, Farris, Ganesan和Jajodia的论文研究了针对网络安全运营中心的一些约束条件(如人员小时分配、漏洞年龄、严重性和持久性评分要求)的各种漏洞选择优化方法。本文提出了决策过程中单属性值选择和多属性值选择两种不同的脆弱性选择数学模型和方法。实证结果表明,多属性值优化策略能更好地满足所有漏洞属性需求。这篇由Werth、Griffith、Hairston和Morris撰写的论文主要关注虚拟模块化测试平台的开发,以提供网络发电机系统的网络和物理组件的高保真模型。该生成器包含了一个高保真模型,以便对更多类型的威胁模型进行评估。供应链攻击与模拟硬件和软件木马进行了案例研究。提出的测试平台为研究人员提供了一个机会,可以在不损害实际昂贵系统的情况下实施和观察网络安全攻击的影响。Krall、Kuhl和Yang的论文通过提供一种罕见事件模拟建模和分析技术(即网络的重要性抽样)来研究网络风险的估计,该技术参数化地放大了网络的某些方面,使罕见事件更频繁地发生。该调查已将定制的重要性抽样方法应用于安全框架,该框架能够对网络配置进行分析比较。仿真建模方法考虑攻击者的行为和通过网络的攻击进程,包括目标机器的选择、漏洞和攻击成功的可能性,以及对网络风险的估计。Dasgupta, Akhtar和Sen的论文提供了对ML漏洞问题,安全漏洞及其相应的网络安全防御技术的分析的全面调查,其中ML算法在训练和测试阶段容易受到攻击。这个关于网络安全中的机器学习的调查描述了基本的
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引用次数: 0
Performance gains from adaptive eXtended Reality training fueled by artificial intelligence 由人工智能推动的自适应扩展现实训练带来的性能提升
IF 0.8 Q3 Engineering Pub Date : 2021-12-29 DOI: 10.1177/15485129211064809
K. Stanney, JoAnn Archer, Anna Skinner, Charis K. Horner, C. Hughes, Nicholas P Brawand, E. Martin, Stacey A. Sanchez, Larry Moralez, C. Fidopiastis, R. Perez
While virtual, augmented, and mixed reality technologies are being used for military medical training and beyond, these component technologies are oftentimes utilized in isolation. eXtended Reality (XR) combines these immersive form factors to support a continuum of virtual training capabilities to include full immersion, augmented overlays that provide multimodal cues to personalize instruction, and physical models to support embodiment and practice of psychomotor skills. When combined, XR technologies provide a multi-faceted training paradigm in which the whole is greater than the sum of the constituent capabilities in isolation. When XR applications are adaptive, and thus vary operational stressors, complexity, learner assistance, and fidelity as a function of trainee proficiency, substantial gains in training efficacy are expected. This paper describes a continuum of XR technologies and how they can be coupled with numerous adaptation strategies and supportive artificial intelligence (AI) techniques to realize personalized, competency-based training solutions that accelerate time to proficiency. Application of this training continuum is demonstrated through a Tactical Combat Casualty Care training use case. Such AI-enabled XR training solutions have the potential to support the military in meeting their growing training demands across military domains and applications, and to provide the right training at the right time.
虽然虚拟、增强和混合现实技术正在用于军事医学训练及其他领域,但这些组成技术往往是孤立使用的。扩展现实(XR)结合了这些身临其境的外形因素,以支持连续的虚拟训练功能,包括完全沉浸,增强覆盖,提供多模态线索,个性化指导,以及物理模型,以支持精神运动技能的具体化和实践。结合起来,XR技术提供了一个多方面的培训范例,其中整体大于孤立的组成能力的总和。当XR应用具有适应性时,操作压力源、复杂性、学习者协助和学员熟练程度的保真度都会发生变化,培训效果有望大幅提高。本文描述了XR技术的连续体,以及它们如何与众多适应策略和支持性人工智能(AI)技术相结合,以实现个性化的、基于能力的培训解决方案,从而加快熟练程度。通过战术战斗伤亡护理训练用例演示了这种连续训练的应用。这种支持人工智能的XR培训解决方案有可能支持军队满足其在军事领域和应用中不断增长的培训需求,并在正确的时间提供正确的培训。
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引用次数: 5
Structure from motion with planar homography estimation: a real-time low-bandwidth, high-resolution variant for aerial reconnaissance 具有平面单应性估计的运动结构:用于空中侦察的实时低带宽、高分辨率变体
IF 0.8 Q3 Engineering Pub Date : 2021-12-14 DOI: 10.1177/15485129211062880
C. Arnold, S. Nykl, Scott Graham, R. Leishman
We propose a new algorithm variant for Structure from Motion (SfM) to enable real-time image processing of scenes imaged by aerial drones. Our new SfM variant runs in real-time at 4 Hz equating to an 80× computation time speed-up compared to traditional SfM and is capable of a 90% size reduction of original video imagery, with an added benefit of presenting the original two-dimensional (2D) video data as a three-dimensional (3D) virtual model. This opens many potential applications for a real-time image processing that could make autonomous vision–based navigation possible by completely replacing the need for a traditional live video feed. The 3D reconstruction that is generated comes with the added benefit of being able to generate a spatially accurate representation of a live environment that is precise enough to generate global positioning system (GPS) coordinates from any given point on an imaged structure, even in a GPS-denied environment.
我们提出了一种新的运动结构(SfM)算法变体,以实现无人机图像的实时图像处理。与传统的SfM相比,我们的新SfM变体以4 Hz的频率实时运行,相当于80倍的计算时间加速,并且能够将原始视频图像的大小减少90%,并且具有将原始二维(2D)视频数据呈现为三维(3D)虚拟模型的额外好处。这为实时图像处理开辟了许多潜在的应用,通过完全取代传统的实时视频馈送,可以使基于视觉的自主导航成为可能。生成的3D重建带来的额外好处是能够生成实时环境的空间精确表示,即使在没有GPS的环境中,也足以从成像结构上的任何给定点生成全球定位系统(GPS)坐标。
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引用次数: 0
On Maskirovka: the dynamics of delay in threat recognition 论Maskirovka:威胁识别中的延迟动力学
IF 0.8 Q3 Engineering Pub Date : 2021-12-03 DOI: 10.1177/15485129211061688
R. Wallace
Across military Zweikampf and public health, error, blindness, and incompetence carry singular burden. Here, we adapt methods developed for the analysis of pandemic mismanagement to the study of armed conflict. Stability of control during such conflict depends on prompt recognition of, and response to, rapidly changing events. In addition to “conventional” Clausewitzian fog and friction, there are almost always inherent or induced delays to threat recognition. For a system to be stable without such delay, there will be a critical lag at which control fails, as it similarly does if institutional cognition sufficiently degrades. In such cases, tactical thrashing becomes manifest. In a military context, there is no way around such dynamics, which are routinely—often brilliantly—exploited.
在军事和公共卫生领域,错误、盲目和无能背负着单一的负担。在这里,我们将为分析大流行病管理不善而开发的方法应用于武装冲突的研究。在这种冲突中,控制的稳定性取决于对迅速变化的事件的迅速认识和反应。除了“传统的”克劳塞维茨式迷雾和摩擦之外,对威胁的识别几乎总是存在固有的或诱发的延迟。如果一个系统要在没有这种延迟的情况下保持稳定,就会存在一个临界滞后,在这个滞后时,控制就会失效,就像制度认知充分退化时一样。在这种情况下,战术上的打击就会显现出来。在军事背景下,没有办法绕过这种动态,它经常被巧妙地利用。
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引用次数: 1
期刊
Journal of Defense Modeling and Simulation-Applications Methodology Technology-JDMS
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