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Substituabilité entre assurance et auto-assurance : une propriété robuste à l’asymétrie d’information et à l’ambiguïté 保险和自我保险之间的可替代性:对信息不对称和模糊性的健壮性
IF 0.3 4区 经济学 Q3 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2020-01-01 DOI: 10.3917/redp.304.0111
Marielle Brunette, A. Corcos, S. Couture, François Pannequin
Nous etudions l’effet de l’inobservabilite par l’assureur de l’effort d’auto-assurance de l’assure sur la relation de substitution entre assurance et auto-assurance. Nous apprehendons l’effet de cette inobservabilite d’abord dans un contexte de risque, puis nous etendons l’analyse au cas ou l’assure, contrairement a l’assureur, n’a qu’une connaissance ambigue de son risque d’accident. Nous trouvons que l’information quant au niveau d’effort ne revet de dimension strategique ni dans le risque ni dans l’ambiguite : les assures choisissent des niveaux d’effort identiques que l’effort soit observable ou non. Il en resulte que la propriete de substituabilite entre assurance et auto-assurance est robuste a la fois a l’asymetrie d’information et a l’ambiguite. Les implications pour les pouvoirs publics et pour les assureurs sont discutees. Code JEL : D81
我们研究了保险公司对被保险人自我保险努力的不可观察性对保险与自我保险替代关系的影响。我们首先在风险的背景下考虑这种不可观察性的影响,然后将分析扩展到投保人不同于保险人,对其事故风险的知识不明确的情况。我们发现,关于努力水平的信息在风险或模棱两可方面都没有战略维度:保险公司选择的努力水平与观察到的努力水平相同。因此,保险和自我保险之间的可替代性特性对信息不对称和模糊性都是稳健的。讨论了对公共当局和保险公司的影响。JEL代码:D81
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引用次数: 0
Monetary policy and asset prices in the euro area since the global financial crisis 全球金融危机以来欧元区的货币政策与资产价格
IF 0.3 4区 经济学 Q3 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2020-01-01 DOI: 10.3917/redp.302.0257
Christophe Blot, P. Hubert, Fabien Labondance
This paper assesses the non-linear effects of monetary policy in the euro area since the global financial crisis on both asset prices and their imbalances component, for the stock and housing markets. We compute these imbalances as the difference between asset prices and a benchmark value that we approximate with fundamentals in a discounted cash-flow model, the fitted value of asset prices in a data-driven model or the trend in a standard trend/cycle filtering model. We find that ECB monetary policy has affected both stock and house prices in the euro area since?2008. However, we show that monetary policy influences stock price imbalances but not house price imbalances. Exploring further the mechanism, we find that this response of stock price imbalances is driven by central bank information shocks, not by pure policy shocks.
本文评估了自全球金融危机以来欧元区货币政策对资产价格及其失衡成分(股票和房地产市场)的非线性影响。我们将这些不平衡计算为资产价格与基准价值之间的差异,我们在贴现现金流模型中使用基本原理近似,在数据驱动模型中计算资产价格的拟合值,或在标准趋势/周期过滤模型中计算趋势。我们发现,自2008年以来,欧洲央行的货币政策影响了欧元区的股票和房价。然而,我们表明货币政策影响股票价格失衡,而不是房价失衡。进一步探讨机制,我们发现这种股票价格失衡的反应是由央行的信息冲击驱动的,而不是单纯的政策冲击。
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引用次数: 6
Are Affirmative Action Policies so Impossible 平权行动政策是不可能的吗
IF 0.3 4区 经济学 Q3 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2018-11-01 DOI: 10.3917/REDP.286.1123
Julien Combe
Affirmative action policies are a widely used tool for policy makers. One of their objectives is to improve the welfare of a targeted group of students during a school admission procedure. However, it is well-know in the matching literature that these policies can lead to perverse effects: the targeted students can be hurt by the policy intended to help them. In this paper, we take an interim-welfare perspective and show that, in the particular framework of aligned preferences and indifferent schools, the well-known Deferred Acceptance algorithm never hurts the minority students’ welfare once an affirmative action policy is implemented. We also highlight the welfare effects of the ordering defining how the seats of a school are allocated throughout the matching procedure, known as a precedence order. Our main proof elicits two effects of a reinforcement of an affirmative action policy. A direct effect where the policy increases the probability to be assigned to the schools where the policy was reinforced. And an indirect one: in decreasing the competition from other minority students, the policy increases the expected utility of a student, even if this latter has been rejected by the schools where the policy was reinforced. We provide counter examples to show that the environment that we consider is a tight domain for the positive effects on minority students. Last, we perform simulations to study the interim-welfare effects of affirmative actions when we depart from the framework of i) aligned preferences preferences ii) indifferent schools. With indifferent schools, they support that the more correlated are the preferences, the better the affirmative action policy performs. They also show that the rules used to break the indifference of the schools perform differently: a Multiple Tie Breaking rule tends to hurt less the minority students then the Single Tie Breaking rule.
平权行动政策是政策制定者广泛使用的工具。他们的目标之一是在学校录取过程中提高目标学生群体的福利。然而,在相应的文献中众所周知,这些政策可能会导致反常的效果:目标学生可能会受到旨在帮助他们的政策的伤害。在本文中,我们采用了一种临时福利的视角,并表明,在特定的偏好一致和不同学校的框架下,一旦实施平权政策,著名的延迟录取算法不会损害少数民族学生的福利。我们还强调了在整个匹配过程中如何分配学校座位的顺序的福利影响,称为优先顺序。我们的主要证据引出了加强平权行动政策的两个效果。直接影响是政策增加了分配给政策加强的学校的概率。还有一个间接影响:在减少来自其他少数族裔学生的竞争的同时,该政策提高了学生的预期效用,即使该政策得到加强的学校拒绝了这一预期效用。我们提供了反例来表明,我们认为环境是一个紧密的领域,对少数民族学生的积极影响。最后,我们进行了模拟,研究了当我们离开i)一致偏好偏好ii)不同学校的框架时,平权行动的临时福利效应。对于不平等的学校,他们支持这样的观点:偏好的相关性越强,平权行动政策的效果就越好。他们还表明,用来打破学校冷漠的规则表现不同:多次打破平局规则往往比单一打破平局规则对少数民族学生的伤害要小。
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引用次数: 2
Wage Premium and Wage Penalty in Marriage versus Cohabitation 婚姻与同居中的工资溢价与工资罚款
IF 0.3 4区 经济学 Q3 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2018-09-13 DOI: 10.3917/REDP.285.0745
Carole Bonnet, B. Jeandidier, Anne Solaz
Empirical evidence has shown that married men generally earn more and married women earn less than their unmarried counterparts. However, the control group of “not married” differs between studies, over time and between countries, such that the message remains somewhat fuzzy. It is not clear whether the type of union or the fact of being in a union is responsible for these wage penalties and premiums. This article aims to analyze whether marriage pays more than cohabitation in a country such as France, where cohabiting and married partnerships have both coexisted for years. Thanks to a rich dataset with information on both the marital and work history of both partners, we are able to estimate the effect on hourly wages of being married relative to being in a cohabiting union. Taking into account selections into marriage (rather than cohabitation) and into the labor market with a possible differential in sharing of paid work within the couple, our results show that the men’s marriage premium is due entirely to a positive selection into marriage. While the process of within-couple marital specialization strongly reduces a woman’s hourly wage, there is no evidence of any additional marriage penalty for women. The within-couple gender wage gap is similar for married and cohabiting partners, after controlling for selection into marriage.
经验证据表明,已婚男性通常比未婚男性挣得多,而已婚女性挣得少。然而,“未婚”的对照组在不同的研究、不同的时间和不同的国家之间有所不同,因此信息仍然有些模糊。目前尚不清楚是工会的类型还是加入工会的事实造成了这些工资罚款和奖金。这篇文章的目的是分析在法国这样的国家,结婚是否比同居更划算。在法国,同居和已婚伴侣关系共存多年。多亏了一个包含双方婚姻和工作历史信息的丰富数据集,我们能够估算出结婚对小时工资的影响,而不是同居。考虑到结婚(而不是同居)和进入劳动力市场的选择,以及夫妻之间在有偿工作分担方面可能存在的差异,我们的研究结果表明,男性的婚姻溢价完全是由于积极的婚姻选择。虽然夫妻内部婚姻专业化的过程大大降低了妇女的时薪,但没有证据表明对妇女的婚姻有任何额外的惩罚。在控制了选择结婚的因素后,已婚和同居伴侣之间的男女工资差距是相似的。
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引用次数: 2
Innovation and Growth from a Schumpeterian Perspective 熊彼特视角下的创新与增长
IF 0.3 4区 经济学 Q3 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2018-09-01 DOI: 10.3917/REDP.285.0693
P. Aghion
In this lecture we argue that important aspects of the growth process cannot easily be accounted for using models where capital accumulation is the main source of growth. The four aspects we emphasize in this lecture are: the transition trap, secular stagnation, the recent rise in top income inequality, and firm dynamics. The lecture argues that by contrast these aspects can be addressed by the Schumpeterian growth paradigm in which: (i) growth results primarily from innovation; (ii) innovation responds to incentives shaped by economic policies and institutions; (iii) new innovations replace old technologies (creative destruction).
在这一讲中,我们认为增长过程的重要方面不容易用资本积累是增长的主要来源的模型来解释。我们在本讲座中强调的四个方面是:过渡陷阱、长期停滞、最近收入不平等的加剧和企业动态。讲座认为,相比之下,这些方面可以通过熊彼特的增长范式来解决,其中:(1)增长主要来自创新;创新对经济政策和制度形成的激励作出反应;新的革新取代旧的技术(创造性破坏)。
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引用次数: 4
What does “we” want? Team Reasoning, Game Theory, and Unselfish Behaviours “我们”想要什么?团队推理、博弈论和无私行为
IF 0.3 4区 经济学 Q3 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2018-07-12 DOI: 10.3917/REDP.283.0311
Guilhem Lecouteux
this editorial presents the main contributions of the theory of team reasoning in game theory, and the issues that remain to be solved before this theory could become a credible alternative to ?orthodox? game theory. I argue in particular that an approach based on collective agency rather than rational choice theory and social preferences offer a scientifically preferable theory of unselfish behaviours, both in terms of parsimony and empirical validation. I review the economic literature on team reasoning, and highlight the contributions of the papers of the present volume to tackle the open issues of the theory of team reasoning.
这篇社论介绍了博弈论中团队推理理论的主要贡献,以及在该理论成为“正统”理论的可靠替代方案之前仍有待解决的问题。游戏理论。我特别指出,一种基于集体代理而不是理性选择理论和社会偏好的方法提供了一种科学上更可取的无私行为理论,无论是在节俭方面还是在经验验证方面。我回顾了关于团队推理的经济文献,并强调了本卷论文的贡献,以解决团队推理理论的开放问题。
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引用次数: 6
Decisions on Public Projects with Negative Externalities: Veil of Ignorance or Impartial Spectator? 具有负外部性的公共项目决策:无知的面纱还是公正的旁观者?
IF 0.3 4区 经济学 Q3 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2018-05-22 DOI: 10.3917/REDP.282.0251
Camilla Colombo, W. Gaertner
There are public projects which many people welcome because they are expected to be beneficial for society at large. On the other hand, however, these projects may generate larger negative externalities for certain parts of society. One example is the erection of a nuclear power-plant, a measure that is widely considered to render a country?s energy provision less dependent on supply from outside. On the other hand, it possibly causes a feeling of insecurity among people who live in the vicinity of such a power station, and can furthermore have negative economic consequences in so far as the price of land and of houses may decline in this area. How should decisions on public projects with larger negative externalities be taken? Assuming that the benefits for all those who are directly or indirectly affected by such a project are roughly the same, a cost-sharing or burden-sharing method is proposed that focuses on a weighted difference between the economic performance of a particular region and the average performance of all regions concerned. The weight is to be determined by an impartial observer.
有许多人欢迎的公共项目,因为他们被期望对整个社会有益。然而,另一方面,这些项目可能对社会的某些部分产生更大的负面外部性。一个例子是建立核电站,这一措施被广泛认为会使一个国家?美国能源供应减少对外部供应的依赖。另一方面,它可能会使住在这种发电站附近的人产生不安全感,而且还可能产生消极的经济后果,因为该地区的土地和房屋价格可能会下降。对于负面外部性较大的公共项目,应如何做出决策?假设所有直接或间接受这种项目影响的人的利益大致相同,建议采用一种费用分担或负担分担方法,着重于某一特定区域的经济绩效与所有有关区域的平均绩效之间的加权差异。重量应由一位公正的观察者来决定。
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引用次数: 0
Prélèvement à la source de l’impôt sur le revenu et année de transition 所得税的预扣税和过渡年
IF 0.3 4区 经济学 Q3 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2018-05-01 DOI: 10.3917/REDP.286.1199
Gilles Le Garrec, V. Touzé
Le passage au prelevement a la source de l’impot sur le revenu en 2018 en France pose deux difficultes. D’abord, puisque les impots preleves en 2017 le seront sur la base des revenus 2016 et ceux de l’annee 2018 sur ceux de l’annee 2018, les revenus 2017 pourraient ne pas etre fiscalises, laissant ainsi place a une « annee blanche » . Ensuite, les contribuables perdraient l’avantage du paiement de l.’impot avec une annee de decalage, caracterisant ainsi une hausse implicite d’impot. Dans cet article, nous evaluons differentes options de la reforme selon le traitement specifique des deux points soulignes. Si l’annee 2017 n’est effectivement pas .fiscalisee mais que la hausse implicite est neutralisee, nous montrons que la reforme se traduirait par une perte fiscale pour l’Etat de l’ordre de 75 milliards d’euros. A l’inverse, si l’annee blanche est bien accompagnee de la hausse fiscale, alors l.’ Etat verrait ses rentrees fiscales totales augmenter relativement au taux de croissance nominal de l’economie. Pour ce qui est des contribuables, nous montrons que quelque soient les modalites de la reforme, cette derniere aboutirait a un impact inegalitaire, toujours en faveur des generations les plus âges au detriment des nouveaux et potentiellement des futurs contribuables. Nous proposons une procedure qui permettrait de neutraliser l’effet generationnel inequitable associe au passage au prelevement a la source.
2018年,法国向所得税来源征税的转变带来了两个困难。首先,由于2017年的税收将基于2016年的收入,2018年的税收将基于2018年的收入,2017年的收入可能不征税,从而为“白色年”留下了空间。然后,纳税人将失去纳税一年的优势,从而导致隐性税收增加。在本文中,我们根据强调的两点的具体处理来评估不同的改革方案。如果2017年实际上没有征税,但隐含的增长被抵消了,我们表明改革将导致国家大约750亿欧元的税收损失。相反,如果白色的一年伴随着税收的增加,那么国家的总税收收入将相对于经济的名义增长率增加。就纳税人而言,我们表明,无论改革的形式如何,它都会产生不平等的影响,总是有利于老一辈人,而损害新的和潜在的未来纳税人。我们提出了一种程序,可以抵消从源头征税的转变所带来的不公平的代际影响。
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引用次数: 0
An ordinal approach to the measurement of inequality in asset ownership: methodology and an application to Mexican data. 衡量资产所有权不平等的序数方法:方法及其对墨西哥数据的应用。
IF 0.3 4区 经济学 Q3 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2018-02-02 DOI: 10.3917/REDP.285.0969
Valérie Bérenger, J. Deutsch, J. Silber, I. Soloaga
Asset indices based on durable goods ownership and housing characteristics are widely used to proxy wealth when income or expenditure data are not available. In this paper, we propose an ordinal approach to using data on assets when estimating the wealth of a household (or individual). Using Correspondence Analysis, we derive a ranking of the correlations between the various assets and the first factor, a latent variable assumed to represent the standard of living. We then use this correlation ranking of the assets to derive indices of ordinal inequality that have been recently proposed in the literature. We also use the information on the proportion of individuals holding each type of assets to derive again ordinal measures of inequality in asset ownership. Our empirical analysis, based on data covering the various states of Mexico in?2000?and 2010, shows that the correlation between measures of ordinal inequality in asset ownership derived from correspondence analysis and traditional Gini indices of household income is high, and even higher than that between these Gini indices and ordinal inequality indices based on the percentage ownership of the different assets.
在无法获得收入或支出数据的情况下,基于耐用品所有权和住房特征的资产指数被广泛用于代表财富。在本文中,我们提出了一种序数方法,在估计家庭(或个人)财富时使用资产数据。使用对应分析,我们得出了各种资产与第一个因素之间相关性的排名,第一个因素是一个潜在变量,被认为代表生活水平。然后,我们使用资产的这种相关性排名来推导最近在文献中提出的有序不平等的指数。我们还使用持有每种类型资产的个人比例的信息,再次推导出资产所有权不平等的序数度量。我们的实证分析基于2000年墨西哥各州的数据。和2010年的研究表明,通过对应分析得出的资产所有权序数不平等指标与传统的家庭收入基尼系数之间的相关性很高,甚至高于这些基尼系数与基于不同资产所有权百分比的序数不平等指数之间的相关性。
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引用次数: 1
Complexité des communs et régimes de droits de propriété : le cas des ressources génétiques animales 公地的复杂性和产权制度:以动物遗传资源为例
IF 0.3 4区 经济学 Q3 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2018-01-01 DOI: 10.3917/REDP.281.0109
G. Allaire, J. Labatut, G. Tesnière
Animal breeds are intangible resources created and maintained by selection activities aimed a ?genetic progress?, and they are continuously transformed as a result of these activities and farming practices. Animal breeds (at least for cattle and sheep) have a status of common ownership. The way these common resources are managed, and the genetic progress is generated, controlled and distributed, is based in different national and historical contexts on ?breeding regimes?, made up of rules and political, scientific, informational, technical and organizational devices. Bundles of property rights analytical framework proposed by Schlager and Ostrom [1992] is implemented to distinguish these regimes, considering first the one that is structured in the?1960s in France with the support of the national policy of modernization of agriculture, then the one which today results of recent developments in scientific and technical knowledge, in the context of liberalization of agricultural policies. Each of these regimes got institutionalized in the context of technological breakthroughs: artificial insemination for the first one and genomic selection for the second one. In this article, we analyse the complexity of common resources systems and the evolution of the property rights applied to the case of animal genetic resources and the industry of livestock selection in agriculture. In our analysis of bundle of rights, we add a right of contribution, taking into account the definition of collective breeding objectives aiming at changing the breed?s orientation (leading to an ?alteration? of the breed). While only one breeding organism used to have the monopoly of this right for each breed, it is now threatened by the more competitive emerging regime. The economic stakes are different at each of the two periods.
动物品种是通过以遗传进步为目的的选择活动而创造和维持的无形资源。由于这些活动和耕作方式,它们不断发生变化。动物品种(至少是牛和羊)有共同所有权的地位。管理这些共同资源的方式,以及产生、控制和分配遗传进展的方式,都是基于不同的国家和历史背景下的育种制度。,由规则和政治、科学、信息、技术和组织手段组成。采用Schlager和Ostrom[1992]提出的捆绑产权分析框架来区分这些制度,首先考虑在?20世纪60年代在法国得到农业现代化国家政策的支持,然后是今天在农业政策自由化背景下科学和技术知识的最新发展的结果。每一种制度都是在技术突破的背景下制度化的:第一个是人工授精,第二个是基因组选择。本文以动物遗传资源和农业畜牧选择产业为例,分析了公共资源制度的复杂性和产权的演变。在我们对权利束的分析中,考虑到旨在改变品种的集体繁殖目标的定义,我们增加了一项贡献权。S方向(导致改变)属于同一品种)。虽然过去只有一种繁殖生物对每个品种拥有这种权利的垄断,但现在它受到更具竞争性的新兴制度的威胁。这两个时期的经济利害关系各不相同。
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引用次数: 7
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