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Indigenous Internationalism Against Imprisoned Indigeneity in Australia and Palestine 反对澳大利亚和巴勒斯坦被监禁土著人的土著国际主义
IF 1.6 3区 社会学 Q1 Arts and Humanities Pub Date : 2024-03-21 DOI: 10.1080/19436149.2024.2321549
Kim Alley, Lorenzo Veracini
Indigenous Australians and Palestinians experience some of the highest rates of incarceration and state violence in the world. In this article’s first section we focus comparatively on administrati...
澳大利亚原住民和巴勒斯坦人是世界上监禁率和国家暴力发生率最高的人群。在本文的第一部分,我们将重点比较澳大利亚和巴勒斯坦的行政管理和国家暴力情况。
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引用次数: 0
Hydro-Political Relations Between Turkey and Iraq Over the Tigris and Euphrates Rivers: Dyadic Relationships and Structure Matter 土耳其和伊拉克在底格里斯河和幼发拉底河上的水文政治关系:二元关系和结构问题
IF 1.6 3区 社会学 Q1 Arts and Humanities Pub Date : 2024-03-21 DOI: 10.1080/19436149.2024.2303575
Luay Hussien Aldalooi
This article addresses the hydro-political relationship between Iraq and Turkey by applying the framework of hydro-hegemony. During the Cold War, the Turkish-Iraqi hydro-relationship was influenced...
本文运用水文霸权框架探讨伊拉克与土耳其之间的水文政治关系。冷战期间,土耳其与伊拉克的水文关系受到了...
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引用次数: 0
The Visual Narratives of the 1979 Iranian Revolution 1979 年伊朗革命的视觉叙事
IF 1.6 3区 社会学 Q1 Arts and Humanities Pub Date : 2024-03-20 DOI: 10.1080/19436149.2024.2309446
Marouf Cabi
This article analyzes a series of documentaries on the 1979 Iranian Revolution broadcast by Iran International and Manoto television channels. While covering the era of the Pahlavi dynasty, especia...
本文分析了伊朗国际电视台和 Manoto 电视频道播放的一系列有关 1979 年伊朗革命的纪录片。在报道巴列维王朝时代的同时,特别是在伊朗革命期间。
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引用次数: 0
Dark Humor and ‘Humor Talk’ in Algeria’s Hirak 阿尔及利亚《希拉克》中的黑色幽默与 "幽默话题
IF 1.6 3区 社会学 Q1 Arts and Humanities Pub Date : 2024-02-22 DOI: 10.1080/19436149.2023.2298128
Elizabeth M. Perego
Since February 2019, observers and activists alike have commented on the outpouring of humorous expression that Algeria’s ongoing Hirak (‘movement’) for political change has fostered. The present w...
自 2019 年 2 月以来,观察家和活动家都对阿尔及利亚正在进行的 Hirak("运动")政治变革所引发的幽默表达进行了评论。现在的...
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引用次数: 0
Editorial Note 编辑说明
IF 1.6 3区 社会学 Q1 Arts and Humanities Pub Date : 2024-01-30 DOI: 10.1080/19436149.2024.2309775
Eric Hooglund
Published in Middle East Critique (Ahead of Print, 2024)
发表于《中东评论》(2024 年,提前出版)
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引用次数: 0
Discourse Analysis of Social Justice Policies in Post-Revolutionary Iran 革命后伊朗社会正义政策的话语分析
3区 社会学 Q1 Arts and Humanities Pub Date : 2023-11-14 DOI: 10.1080/19436149.2023.2266867
Reza Safari Shali
Abstract:The article aims to analyze the discursive transformations of social justice to realize social welfare during five successive administrations in the Islamic Republic of Iran from 1981 to 2021. It analyzes institutional texts and official speeches by the presidents of each administration based on the discourse analysis method of Ernesto Laclau and Chantal Mouffe. The findings demonstrate that each government differently articulated the signifier of justice in its social policies. However, the central signification was tied to ‘poverty eradication’ in all five administrations. However, social justice was not considered a comprehensive discourse nor an inclusive strategic process, but rather was defined discursively by each government as a government-oriented project in a short-term perspective, mainly by reducing social justice to economic growth and redistribution of resources. Finally, according to the comprehensive discourse of the Islamic Revolution, I suggest the need to redefine social justice as the aim of realizing social welfare in Iranian society with regard to the comprehensive, multi-dimensional definition of justice which include: (1) equal access to resources and opportunities by providing backgrounds, range and scope for such opportunities; (2) considering the principle of entitlement and necessities; and (3) attention to redistributive justice and expansion of the government’s sup portive umbrella by focusing on the vulnerable and disadvantaged groups (social, physical and mental).Key Words: Discourse analysisIranSocial JusticeSocial SecurityWelfare AcknowledgmentsThe author would like to thank all colleagues who helped me in various way while I was writing this article, especially Prof. Mostafa Azkia and Pezhman Barkhordari, a PhD student of sociology at Kharazmi University in Tehran.Disclosure statementNo potential conflict of interest was reported by the author(s).Notes1 Gholam Abbas Tavasoli (Citation2003) In Search of Social Politics in Islam, Social Welfare Magazine, 10 (3), p. 81.2 Charities.3 It is a form of almsgiving often collected by the Muslims. It is considered a religious obligation for those who meet the necessary criteria of wealth to help the needy.4 Literally ‘one fifth’. In Islam it refers to the required religious obligation of any Muslim to pay 20 percent of their acquired wealth from certain sources toward specified causes.5 It is the financial compensation paid to the victim or heirs of a victim in the cases of murder, bodily harm or property damage by mistake.6 Jafar HezarJarribi & Reza Safari Shali (Citation2013) Discourse on Justice in the Bills of the Post-Islamic Development Program, Emphasizing Poverty Reduction and Deprivation, Journal of Social Sciences, Faculty of Social Sciences, Allameh Tabatabaei University. 20(61), p.1.7 Friedrich A. Hayek (1978) The Constitution of Liberty (The University of Chicago Press).8 Reza Safari Shali (Citation2013) Review of the Discourse of Social Justice in P
Mehran Kamrava和Manochehr Dorraj(2008)《今日伊朗:伊斯兰共和国生活百科全书》(伦敦:Greenwood出版社).2527 . Tara Povey(2019)伊朗的改革主义,经济自由化和民众动员,中东批判,DOI: 10.1080/19436149.2019.166475726 Mohamad Khatami (Citation2000)关于政治发展,经济发展和安全的总统演讲选择(德黑兰:Tarh-e now Publications)保守主义者或传统主义者有时称自己为“原则主义者”,即坚持革命的原则,因为他们“相信宗教法学家的最高统治”美联社。从原件存档的;Mehr住房项目在伊朗30个省实施。它的目的是为低收入群体提供住房,政府试图通过免费提供土地来鼓励房屋建设。30 https://www.irna.ir/news/82745976/31 Rahim, Zayerkabe等人(2020)哈塔米,艾哈迈迪内贾德和鲁哈尼政府中正义话语演变的社会学背景分析,《经济社会学与发展两季刊》,第9年,第2期,第127-149页。
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引用次数: 0
Social Construction of Population Policies and Problems in Iran Since 1963 1963年以来伊朗人口政策与问题的社会建构
3区 社会学 Q1 Arts and Humanities Pub Date : 2023-11-09 DOI: 10.1080/19436149.2023.2268860
Abouali Vedadhir, Seyedhadi Marjaei
Abstract:Population has been and continues to be a significant matter of concern and contention in Iran. A range of different claims-makers, with varying dramas, ideologies, resources, rhetorical strategies and schemas have made claims that name and frame the population problem in particular ways to influence policy processes, and the experiences, meanings, and practices of people in everyday life. As a result, since 1967, mainly in post-revolutionary Iran, there has been the rise and fall of contesting narratives of the population as a social problem. Drawing on theoretical insights from social constructionism, we track these debates. In particular, we are interested in how claims-makers use rhetorical strategies and mobilize resources to convince others and to influence policy processes through social problem games and works. In other words, we examine the claims-making activities around the population as a social problem over the last half-century in Iran, showing how an understanding of these activities can enrich our understanding of definitional processes. We also discuss how certain discourses, policies and social constructions of population and family planning have become dominant and have influenced cultural meanings, popular images and the daily life experiences of people, particularly women and their prospects of reproduction and motherhood, for the most part, in the shadow of interpretations of Islamic Sharia law enforced since the 1979 Revolution. Building on the constructionist analysis and interoperation of contesting anti-natalist and pronatalist claims and policies over the last half-century in Iran, this article highlights how images of population problems are constructed socio-culturally with actual impact on individuals’ everyday lives in society, and how people find ways to respond, resist and counter the dominant discourses and policies about family planning, population and reproduction and family. Hence, the contesting claims, definitions and discourses around population have not been merely abstract points of debate, but they have penetrated the emotions, memories, relationships, prospects and practices of people in Iran. The results reveal that there are several existing and emerging dialectics, paradoxes, and uncertainties on population policies and problems at multiple levels, with each of these definitions having key insights and implications for policy-related scientific research (science), the policy process and its outcomes, reproductive prospects and the practices of people (public).Key Words: Claims-making activitiesIranpopulation policiesreproductionsocial constructionism AcknowledgmentsWe are warmly grateful to Professor Dorothy Pawluch (McMaster University) for her enduring contributions to social constructionism and for her valuable ideas on the very first draft of this manuscript. We also would like to thank Professor Mahmoud Ghazi Tabatabaei (University of Tehran) and Dr. S. M. Hani Sadati (The Centre for Co
摘要:在伊朗,人口一直是并将继续是一个令人关注和争论的重大问题。一系列不同的主张制造者,凭借不同的戏剧、意识形态、资源、修辞策略和模式,以特定的方式命名和框架人口问题,以影响政策过程,以及人们在日常生活中的经验、意义和实践。因此,自1967年以来,主要是在革命后的伊朗,关于人口作为一个社会问题的不同叙述起起落落。借鉴社会建构主义的理论见解,我们追踪这些争论。特别是,我们感兴趣的主张制造者如何使用修辞策略和调动资源来说服他人,并通过社会问题游戏和作品影响政策过程。换句话说,我们研究了过去半个世纪在伊朗作为一个社会问题的围绕人口的索赔活动,展示了对这些活动的理解如何丰富我们对定义过程的理解。我们还讨论了某些关于人口和计划生育的话语、政策和社会结构如何占据主导地位,并影响了文化意义、大众形象和人们的日常生活经历,特别是妇女及其生育和母性前景,这在很大程度上是在对1979年革命以来实施的伊斯兰教法的解释的阴影下进行的。本文以建构主义分析,以及过去半个世纪以来伊朗反生育主义与生育主义主张与政策的相互作用为基础,强调人口问题的影像如何在社会文化上建构,并对个人的日常生活产生实际影响,以及人们如何找到回应、抵抗与对抗计划生育、人口、生育与家庭等主流话语与政策的方法。因此,关于人口的不同主张、定义和论述,不仅是抽象的争论点,而且已经渗透到伊朗人民的情感、记忆、关系、前景和实践中。研究结果表明,人口政策和人口问题在多个层面上存在着一些现有的和新出现的辩证法、悖论和不确定性,这些定义对政策相关的科学研究(科学)、政策过程及其结果、生育前景和人们(公众)的实践都有重要的见解和影响。关键词:主张活动伊朗人口政策再生产社会建构主义感谢麦克马斯特大学的Dorothy Pawluch教授对社会建构主义的长期贡献以及在本文初稿中提出的宝贵意见。我们还要感谢Mahmoud Ghazi Tabatabaei教授(德黑兰大学)和S. M. Hani Sadati博士(社区研究中心和麦吉尔大学)对手稿早期版本的贡献。我们也要感谢Fahimeh Ahmadian-Yazdi博士对这份手稿的格式化工作。披露声明作者在本文的研究或写作中没有利益冲突。注1:Akbar Aghajanian(1991),伊朗人口变化,1966-86:一个停滞的人口转型?人口与发展评论,17(4),703-715.2 Mohammad Jalal Abbasi-Shavazi, Amir Mehryar, Gavin Jones和Peter McDonald (Citation2002)。革命、战争和现代化:伊朗的人口政策和生育率变化,《人口研究杂志》,19(1),第25-46.3页,同上。5同上6 Marie lader - fouladi (Citation2021)伊朗伊斯兰共和国的新人口政策和生育率的近期变化,伊朗研究54 (5-6),pp. 907-930.7 Farshad Farzadfar, Mohsen Naghavi和Sadaf G. Sepanlou(2022)伊朗卫生系统绩效:Nader Mehri, Mahmood Messkoub和Suzanne Kunkel (Citation2020)伊朗人口老龄化的趋势,决定因素和影响,老龄化国际,45(4),327-343.9 Goodarz Danaei等(Citation2019)转型中的伊朗,the Lancet, 393(10184), pp. 1984-2005;和Farzadfar等。Mohammad Saleh Ali- taleshi, Sadat Feiznia, Mauro Masiol (Citation2022)伊朗超大城市大气沉积约束元素的季节和空间变化:污染水平,基于pmf的来源分配和风险评估,城市气候,42,101113.12 Danaei等。13 Homayoun Sadeghi-Bazargani等人(Citation2022)。 为实现伊朗长期国家道路安全目标确定研究重点,《全球卫生杂志》(12),第14页Djavad Salehi-Isfahani (Citation2002)伊朗人口、人力资本和经济增长。见Sirageldin主编,《中东地区的人力资本与人口》。(伦敦:i.b. Tauris和开罗,开罗美国大学出版社)Hassan Joulaei, Kamran Bagheri Lankarani, Saeed Shahabi等(Citation2022),伊朗卫生保健系统腐败及其控制策略的关键分析,设拉子电子医学杂志,23(3).16《伊朗历史与政治:国家与社会的辩证法》,(伦敦:劳特利奇出版社),第17页Mir-Taher Mousavi和M. Sheiyani (Citation2015)社会资本和社会健康,(德黑兰:Aghah)(波斯语);18乔尔·贝斯特(Citation2017)《社会问题》(第三版)。(纽约:诺顿公司)《社会问题的思考:建构主义视角导论》,(佛罗里达博卡拉顿:劳特利奇出版社),第20页最佳:“社会问题。”21 Stephen Hilgartner和Charles L. Bosk (Citation1988)。Mahmood Ghazi Tabatabaei和Abouali Vedadhir (Citation2013):“好、坏和丑陋:伊朗人口问题的兴衰:社会问题研究学会(SSSP)”论文发表,纽约,纽约(8月10-12日)Homa Hoodfar和Samad Assadpour (Citation2000)伊朗伊斯兰共和国的人口政策政治,《计划生育研究》,31(1),pp. 19-34.25 Abbasi-Shavazi, et al. Revolution。26 Hoodfar and Assadpour,《政治》27 Aghajanian,《人口》,Abbasi-Shavazi,《近期》。28 Hoodfar and Assadpour,《政治》29 Abbasi-Shavazi, Mehryar Jones和McDonald, <革命>。《人口转型、机会之窗与人口红利:伊朗新人口政策的走向》(2012)。提交给瑞典斯德哥尔摩欧洲人口会议的文件(6月13日至16日)Abbasi-Shavazi等,《革命》;Amir H. Mehryar, Farzaneh Roudi, Akbar Agajanian和Farzaneh Tajdini32 Ladier-Fouladi,《伊斯兰教》。“33 Karim Mahmoodi, Ahmad Mohammadpur和Mehdi Rezaei (Citation2015)伊朗政治背景下的人口政策话语分析,质量与数量,49,pp. 1883-1895.34”Abbasi-Shavazi等。35 Meimanat Hosseini-Chavoshi, Mohammad Jalal Abbasi-Shavazi和Peter McDonald (Citation2016)伊朗的生育、婚姻和计划生育:对未来政策的影响,人口视野,13(1),pp. 31-40.36[37
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引用次数: 0
Editor’s Note Editor’s音符
3区 社会学 Q1 Arts and Humanities Pub Date : 2023-10-22 DOI: 10.1080/19436149.2023.2268861
Eric Hooglund
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引用次数: 0
Sociology of Rival Music Genres and Music Consumption in Post-1979 Revolution Iranian Society 1979年革命后伊朗社会对立音乐流派与音乐消费社会学
3区 社会学 Q1 Arts and Humanities Pub Date : 2023-10-20 DOI: 10.1080/19436149.2023.2266869
Masoud Kowsari
AbstractThis article examines the genesis of and competition among rival music genres in post-revolutionary Iran. Rival genres (pop music, rap music, rock music, traditional music, etc.) are genres that gradually emerged and developed since the 1920s. Relying on Pierre Bourdieu’s theory of cultural field I point out the important music genres in post-revolutionary Iran that act as a means of expressing conflict over the borders of the field, and why in this field, contrary to Bourdieu’s theory, instead of a bipolar situation, a multi-genre situation prevails. Then, with the data obtained from my previous research and that of others who mostly live in Iran, I try to depict a picture of music consumption based on the rival music genres in the field and show how, contrary to the ideals and slogans of the Islamic Revolution, under the influence of global youth culture, the consumption of popular music has become the dominant consumption.Key Words: Culturefield of music productionglobal youth cultureIranian culturemusic consumptionmusic genresmusic tastepopular musicpost-revolutionary Iranian culture Disclosure StatementThe author reported no conflict of interests in the research for or writing of this article.Notes1 P. Bourdieu (Citation1993) The Field of Cultural Production: Essays on Art and Literature (New York: Columbia University Press), p. 42.2 M. Mohammadi (Citation2017) Modal Modernities: Formations of Persian Classical Music and the Recording of a National Tradition (Create Space: An Amazon.com Company), p. 88.3 J. During (2004[1984]) Sonnat va Tahavol dar Mosigi-ye Irani [La musique iranienne: Tradition et évolution, Paris: Editions Recherche sur les civilisations] (Tehran: Toos Publication), p. 31.4 L. C. Miller (Citation1999) Music and Song in Persia: The Art of Avaz (London: Curzon Press); L. Nooshin (Citation1996) The Processes of Creation and Recreation in Persian Classical Music, Unpublished Doctoral thesis, Goldsmiths’ College.5 Miller, Music and Song in Persia: The Art of Avaz, p. 34.6 Ibid, p. 52.7 Ibid, p. 29.8 H. Salehyar (Citation2015) The Revival of Iranian Classical Music during the Second Pahlavi Period: The Influence of the Politics of “Iranian-ness”, Unpublished Doctoral thesis, Department of Music, University of Alberta.9 M. Gelbart (Citation2021) Romanticism, the Folk, and Musical Nationalisms, in: Benedict Tylor (ed) The Cambridge Companion to Music and Romanticism, pp. 74–91 (Cambridge: Cambridge University Press).10 M. Shahabi (Citation2003) Jahani-shodan-e Javani: Khorde Farhangha-ye Javani dar Asr-e Jahani-shodan [Globalization of Youth: Youth Subcultures in the Age of Globalization], Quarterly Journal of Youth Studies, 1(5), p. 9.11 G. Rekabtalaei (Citation2019) Iranian Cosmopolitanism: A Cinematic History, pp. 184–231 (Cambridge: Cambridge University Press).12 N. Siamdoust (Citation2017) Soundtrack of the Revolution: The Politics of Music in Iran (Stanford University Press), p. 46.13 A. Youssefzadeh (Citation2000)
摘要本文探讨了革命后伊朗音乐流派的起源和竞争。竞争类型(流行音乐,说唱音乐,摇滚音乐,传统音乐等)是自20世纪20年代以来逐渐出现和发展的类型。依靠皮埃尔·布迪厄的文化场域理论,我指出了革命后伊朗重要的音乐流派,它们作为一种表达领域边界冲突的手段,以及为什么在这个领域,与布迪厄的理论相反,不是两极的情况,而是多流派的情况盛行。然后,根据我之前的研究和其他主要生活在伊朗的人的研究数据,我试图描绘一幅基于该领域竞争音乐类型的音乐消费图景,并展示如何与伊斯兰革命的理想和口号相反,在全球青年文化的影响下,流行音乐的消费已成为主导消费。关键词:文化,音乐生产领域,全球青年文化,伊朗文化,音乐消费,音乐类型,音乐品味,流行音乐,革命后的伊朗文化披露声明,作者在研究或撰写本文时没有利益冲突。注1 p. Bourdieu (Citation1993)文化生产领域:艺术与文学论文(纽约:哥伦比亚大学出版社),第42.2 M. Mohammadi (Citation2017)模态现代性:波斯古典音乐的形成和民族传统的记录(创造空间:亚马逊公司),第88.3 J. During (2004[1984]) Sonnat va Tahavol dar Mosigi-ye Irani [La musique iranienne: Tradition et samvolution,巴黎:Editions Recherche sur les civilisations](德黑兰:工具出版),页31.4 l.c.米勒(引文1999)音乐和歌曲在波斯:阿瓦兹的艺术(伦敦:Curzon出版社);L. Nooshin (Citation1996) The Processes of Creation and Recreation in Persian Classical Music,未发表的博士论文,Goldsmiths ' college。5 Miller, Music and Song in Persia: The Art of Avaz, p. 34.6 Ibid, p. 52.7 Ibid, p. 29.8 H. Salehyar (Citation2015) Second pah列维时期伊朗古典音乐的复兴:“伊朗性”政治的影响,未发表的博士论文,音乐系,阿尔伯塔大学。9 M. Gelbart (Citation2021)浪漫主义,民间和音乐民族主义,在:本尼迪克特·泰勒(编)的剑桥伴侣音乐和浪漫主义,第74-91页(剑桥:剑桥大学出版社)M. Shahabi (Citation2003) Jahani-shodan-e Javani: Khorde Farhangha-ye Javani dar Asr-e Jahani-shodan[青年的全球化:全球化时代的青年亚文化],青年研究季刊,1(5),p. 9.11 .伊朗世界主义:电影史,pp. 184-231(剑桥:剑桥大学出版社). 2019N. Siamdoust (Citation2017)《革命的原声:伊朗的音乐政治》(斯坦福大学出版社),第46.13页。Youssefzadeh (Citation2000)革命以来伊朗音乐的状况:官方组织的作用来源,英国民族音乐学杂志,9(2),p. 36.14 Siamdoust,革命的配乐:伊朗音乐的政治,p. 250.15期间,Sonnat va Tahavol dar Mosigi-ye Irani, p. 31.16 F。赫玛西(2013)《亲密的异议:革命前伊朗的流行歌曲、诗歌和政治》,民族音乐学,57(1),第57.17页。Baghernia Abkenar (Citation2021)我们知道的播放列表:革命前歌曲对在伊朗运动中建立集体代表性的贡献,论文,社会研究学院,马萨里克大学,布尔诺,第37.18 H. Bastan (Citation2019)伊朗最近的实验电子音乐实践:一项人种学和基于声音的调查,论文,声音艺术研究中心,贝尔法斯特:女王大学。Youssefzadeh (Citation2000)革命以来伊朗音乐的状况:官方组织的作用来源,英国民族音乐学杂志,9(2),p. 36.20 H. Khojasteh (Citation2010) Konesh-e Jamei-ye Karbord-e Mosigi dar Radio[在广播中应用音乐的集体行动],Quarterly Journal of Communication Research, 17(63), p. 54.21 L. Nooshin (Citation2009)“明天是我们的”:重新想象国家,在新伊朗流行音乐中表演青年,in:L. Nooshin主编,《音乐与中东、北非和中亚的权力游戏》,第246页(Aldershot: Ashgate)p. Javadzadeh, M. Kowsari, M. Ameri Shahrabi, A. Abtahi (Citation2021) Maghooleha-ye Tozi-e Mosigi,[音乐分布的文化类别],《伊朗文化研究杂志》,14(2),第71-93页;P. Javadzadeh, M. Kowsari, M。
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引用次数: 0
Feeling of Insecurity and Hope in the Future: Case Study of Tehran 未来的不安全感与希望:德黑兰个案研究
3区 社会学 Q1 Arts and Humanities Pub Date : 2023-10-20 DOI: 10.1080/19436149.2023.2266868
Adel Abdollahi
AbstractIn recent decades, Iranian society has experienced rapid socio-economic changes that seriously affect feelings of hope in the future (HF) among social groups, especially in metropolitan areas such as Tehran. This study on HF, which I conducted in 2019, provides a gender analysis of HF for Tehran residents based on selected demographic variables and indicators of socio-economic and psychological insecurities. It also analyzes organizational and public trust by applying the Classification and Regression Trees (CART). I selected the participants from different areas of Tehran: 590 men and 610 women out of a population of 4,839,249 (3,054,715 men and 1,784,534 women) using two-stage stratified sampling with Probability Proportional to Size (PPS), and I completed with them structured questionnaires. The results showed that HF of Tehran residents is correlated with their gender (P-value = 0.033). Thus, two distinct trees with over 60% accuracies were fitted. Three influential variables on men’s HF were age, socio-economic insecurity, and public trust. Young men had higher HF than older ones.Key Words: Classification and regression trees (CART)Hope in the future (HF)Psychological insecuritysocio-economic insecurityTehran AcknowledgmentsI am immensely grateful to Professor Mostafa Azkia (Tehran University), who invited me to participate in this special issue, which is in honour of his 40+ plus years of promoting sociological research in Iran. I also would like to express my gratitude to Professor Eric Hooglund (Editor of Middle East Critique) for sharing his pearls of wisdom with me during the editing of this article. I thank my colleagues, Dr. Arezoo Bagheri and Dr. Mahsa Saadati at the National Institute for Population Research in Tehran, each of whom provided insight and expertise that were of great assistance in the research, and especially for their statistical assistance, although they may not agree with all the interpretations/conclusions in this article. In addition, I thank all the anonymous reviewers for their insights.Disclosure StatementNo potential conflict of interest was reported by the author(s).Notes1 Ann K.S. Lambton (Citation2000) Theory of government in Iran, trans. into Perian by Ch. Pahlavan (Tehran: Giv).2 Homa Katouzian (Citation2004) The short-term society: A study in the problems of long-term political and economic development in Iran. In: Middle Eastern Studies, 40, 1, p. 1.3 For instance, the average Iranian life expectancy increased for the whole country in both rural and urban areas from 58.9, 62.6, and 55.4 years in 1976 to 75.06, 74.2, 73.2 years in 2016, respectively (Statistical Centre of Iran, Citation1976; Citation2016).4 Ali Asadi. (Citation1977) Cultural Trends and Social Attitudes in Iran, Tehran: Research Institute of Communication Sciences and Development of Iran; and Mohsen Goodarzi (2004) Values and attitudes of Iranians (Tehran:5 Gholam Reza Ghaffari, “Measuring the social capital (second wave),” p. 153
7205;萨法里沙利和塔瓦菲(Citation2018)《评估未来的希望》。[16]安东尼·吉登斯(2014):结构理论:过去、现在和未来。17 .见:安东尼·吉登斯:《结构理论》,第201-221页(伦敦:劳特利奇出版社)(1)社会经济和人口因素对城市未来发展的影响[j] .北京:中国人口研究所[NIPR] . 2016[Rafieian and Shali] (Citation2013)基于都市圈的德黑兰发展水平空间分析。见:Journal of Spatial Planning, pp. 16(4), pp. 25-48.21 Cronbach 's Alpha系数衡量一组调查项目的内部一致性或可靠性G.S. Linoff和M.J.A. Berry (citation),挖掘网络:将客户数据转化为客户价值(纽约:John Wiley & Sons).23L. Nanni, A. Lumini和C. Manna。人工辅助生殖妊娠率预测的数据挖掘方法[j]。见:《医疗保健中的高级计算智能范式》,326,5,页97-111。(柏林,海德堡:施普林格出版社).24D.L. Olson和d.d elen (Citation2008)高级数据挖掘技术(柏林和海德堡:施普林格出版社).25政治中的希望与失望。见:《当代政治》,19(2),页131-145。可在网上查阅:https://www.tandfonline.com。访问日期:2023年1月24日。doi.org/10.1080/13569775.2013.785826.26 P. Piran (Citation2004)灾害社会学在危机管理中的作用。见:《社会福利杂志》,第3期,第13-48页。可在网上查阅:http://refahj.uswr.ac.ir/article-1-2196-fa.html。N. Fazeli (Citation2018):恐惧与现代性;当代伊朗的恐惧和不安全问题。见:《社会文化策略杂志》,7(3),第7-44页。D. Divjak (Citation2019)预测:用过去的经验指导未来的行动。在频率语言:记忆,注意和学习,第205-232(剑桥:剑桥大学出版社);G.29皮尤研究中心(2019)2050年的美国。可在网上查阅:https://www.pewresearch.org/social-trends/2019/03/21/america-in-2050/。M. Hill, J. Vail & J. Wheelock (citation),《不安全的时代:生活在现代社会中的不安全》(伦敦:Routledge出版社);杨建军(2013)职业不安全感与社会情境的关系研究:Einarsdóttir,《社会心理学》,第1期,第1 - 6页。Robert D. Putnam (Citation2015)单独打保龄球:美国不断下降的社会资本。见:《城市读者》,第188-196页(伦敦:劳特利奇出版社);J.S. Coleman (Citation1988),《人力资本创造中的社会资本》,《美国社会学杂志》,1994年,第95-120页;可在网上查阅:33 http://www.jstor.org/stable/2780243。访问日期:2023年1月24日。本研究基于一项名为“影响德黑兰未来希望的社会经济和人口因素”的调查,该调查由国家人口研究所于2019年支持,登记人数为20/15283。
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