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Islamic economics: Intertemporal prices, interest rates and discount rates 伊斯兰经济学:跨时价格、利率和贴现率
IF 1 Q3 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2024-08-05 DOI: 10.1111/ecaf.12659
Gerald R Steele
<p>The discussion draws upon core aspects of microeconomics and macroeconomics. Relevant comparisons are between (<i>a</i>) analyses as respectively introduced by Adam Smith and John Maynard Keynes, and (<i>b</i>) analyses constrained by Islamic religious law (Sharia) as interpreted and developed by Islamic scholars.</p><p>The views here reported reflect conversations at the conference ‘Mainstreaming Islamic Economics in Islamic Banking and Finance’ held at the Markfield Institute of Higher Education, Leicestershire, UK, in July 2023. The discussion also draws from Steele (<span>2022</span>) and Koehler (<span>2023</span>).</p><p>The ‘classical’ economic distinctions of the eighteenth century between the economically productive contributions of labourers, landowners, and capitalists were superseded in the late nineteenth century by the analytical approach of ‘neoclassical’ economics. The focus then became supply, demand, and the costs incurred in producing and sending goods and services to market. With production and distribution occurring over periods of varying length, payments forthcoming further into the future generally have a lower commercial value than payments immediately received. That distinction is systematised in the valuation of discounted cash flows. In broad terms, as labour-intensive methods generally deliver goods promptly to market, capital-intensive methods deliver greater volumes over extended periods.</p><p>In making appropriate adjustments, as directed by competitive discount rates, cost-efficient investments are achievable: for example, those relating to hiring premises, purchasing materials and machinery, recruiting labour and marketing products. As discount rates fall/rise, optimal readjustments to those components can be made. Motivated by competition, returns from production periods of different length eventually equalise. Such systematic adjustments underpin Austrian business cycle theory (see Steele, <span>1988</span>, <span>1992</span>).</p><p>Under a planned (state-controlled) system, dirigiste interventions might set production targets. In a competitive free-enterprise economy, decisions taken by consumers and businesses determine market prices and sales. Large profits and disastrous failures are features common to both. The general relevance is (<i>a</i>) that shortages and surpluses are indicative of suboptimal adjustments, and (<i>b</i>) that all investments are intertemporal activities, where the application of appropriate discount rates allows rational evaluations of prospective returns across different production periods.</p><p>Schematically, the mathematical presentations of interest rates and discount rates are conceptually equivalent: one forward-looking, the other backward-looking. Together, it is those presentations that indicate optimal deployments of labour, capital and other productive inputs. Yet, where time per se is generally relevant to profitability, it is only in respect of the payment of intere
随着变革的步伐加快,对法学裁决的要求也越来越高,法特瓦可能需要合并不同的思想流派,或决定如何通过创新来适应新的风险管理实践。与此平行的考虑因素涉及西方普通法(也称判例法)的发展实践;也就是说,先例是由司法当局和公共陪审团确定的,他们的审议工作受到先前类似先例的制约。为了消除矛盾和/或混乱,普通法可能会被立法所取代。独立银行和金融公司在正规化的 "市场 "中竞争是最近的发展。作为一家德国信贷机构,Bankhaus August Lenz &amp; Co.AG 的支付服务部门于 2022 年被 Raisin UK 收购,Raisin UK 是一个在线平台,为英国境内外 400 多家银行、房屋建筑协会和符合伊斯兰教法的账户提供服务。正如英国授权银行受到英国金融服务补偿计划(Financial Services Compensation Scheme)的保护一样,在英国合作银行开立的账户也同样受到保护。作为最后的 "保证",伊斯兰银行可承诺 "补偿 "提议,如果利润低于商定的 "预期利润率",则适用该提议。宏观经济学是二十世纪的 "创新"。随着 20 世纪 30 年代大萧条的长期化,约翰-梅纳德-凯恩斯宣传了这样一种观点,即可以(也应该)通过管理政府行为来维持充分就业4 。鉴于大部分税收来自于劳动所得,在经济衰退时,收入减少,社会和福利支出就会增加:也就是说,主权预算盈余与商业周期成反比。因此,"如果各国能够学会通过国内政策为自己提供充分就业......就不需要任何重要的经济力量来使任何一个国家的利益与其邻国的利益相悖"(凯恩斯,1936 年,第 382 页)。从英国在 20 世纪 40 年代的最初尝试到今天,有益的社会和政治结果5 一直是英国财政部和英格兰银行的目标。战后的初步复苏使人们对宏观经济举措寄予厚望,但长期的成功却令人失望。为了使宏观经济干预措施行之有效,有必要对经济现状和未来的预期走势进行经济预测,无论是否有财政和货币干预措施。英国前财政大臣丹尼斯-希利(Denis Healey)将宏观经济预测比作天气,表达了他的普遍失望:"虽然准确的预测是政策协调的先决条件,但事实证明,宏观经济预测一般不会比统计推断更好。经济预测偶尔准确,通常是其数量和多样性的结果。因此,对经济预测者有两种分类:"不知道的人和不知道自己不知道的人"。同样令人痛心的还有这样的评论:"经济预测的唯一作用就是让占星术看起来值得尊敬"。为了应对这种诱惑,英格兰银行的 "基准利率 "决定已不再受财政部的影响。然而,不同政客的大胆主张--激发了 "独立中央银行 "的概念--却被另一种解释所削弱。7 与欧洲和北美的传统中央银行大体一致,英格兰银行的直接政策目标是稳定物价(将通胀率保持在 2%),然后支持政府的经济政策,包括增长和就业目标。这意味着银行利率(以及对未来利率水平的预期)会影响所有期限的利率,因此是金融机构、商业银行和国际货币估值决策的核心。宏观经济分析离不开财政政策(由主权国家财政部制定)和货币政策(由主权国家中央银行制定),两者的后果相互依存。例如,如果赤字支出推动物价上涨,货币政策就必须更加严格,以抑制通货膨胀。
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引用次数: 0
Monitoring the state or the market: From laissez faire to market fundamentalism By Vito Tanzi. Cambridge University Press. 2023. 232 pp. £70.00 (hbk). ISBN: 978-100943447. £22.99 (pbk). ISBN: 978-1009434478. £21.84 (ebk). ISBN: 978-1009434430 监督国家或市场:从自由放任到市场原教旨主义 作者:Vito Tanzi。剑桥大学出版社。 2023.232页。70.00英镑(平装本)。ISBN:978-100943447。£22.99 (pbk).ISBN:978-1009434478。21.84 英镑(电子书)。ISBN: 978-1009434430
IF 1 Q3 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2024-06-27 DOI: 10.1111/ecaf.12635
Carlo Stagnaro
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引用次数: 0
The economics of China's Holistic View of National Security: A preliminary assessment 中国整体国家安全观的经济学意义:初步评估
IF 1 Q3 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2024-06-27 DOI: 10.1111/ecaf.12646
Kerry Liu

From December 2020, China made a significant shift towards prioritising security over development. This study delves into the economic repercussions of China's security policy, specifically the Holistic View of National Security. The evolution of this security policy is analysed utilising Baidu Index data. The components of the policy, encompassing political, economic, financial and technology security, are scrutinised, with the economic burdens it imposes being highlighted. China's recent legislative measures concerning national security are assessed, with their potential to hamper economic growth. The adverse effects of the security policy on the economy are uncovered by examining foreign direct investment data, industry sector trends, and the responses of the largest listed firms.

自 2020 年 12 月起,中国开始向安全优先于发展的方向转变。本研究深入探讨了中国安全政策,特别是 "整体国家安全观 "对经济的影响。本研究利用百度指数数据分析了这一安全政策的演变。该政策的组成部分包括政治、经济、金融和技术安全,并强调了其带来的经济负担。评估了中国近期有关国家安全的立法措施及其阻碍经济增长的可能性。通过研究外国直接投资数据、行业趋势和最大上市公司的反应,揭示了安全政策对经济的不利影响。
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引用次数: 0
Pox Romana: The plague that shook the Roman world By Colin Elliott, Princeton University Press. 2024. pp. 328. £28.00 (hbk). ISBN: 978-0691219158. £19.60 (ebk). ISBN: 978-0691220697 罗马痘:震撼罗马世界的瘟疫》,Colin Elliott 著,普林斯顿大学出版社。 2024. pp.328.28.00英镑(精装本)。ISBN:978-0691219158。19.60英镑(电子书)。ISBN: 978-0691220697
IF 1 Q3 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2024-06-27 DOI: 10.1111/ecaf.12639
Mark Koyama
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引用次数: 0
Milton Friedman: The last conservative By Jennifer Burns. Farrar, Straus and Giroux. 2023. pp. 592. £30.00 (hbk). ISBN: 978–0374601140. £17.38 (pbk). ISBN: 978-1250338204. £12.99 (ebk). ISBN: 978-0374601157 米尔顿-弗里德曼最后的保守派 作者:Jennifer Burns。Farrar, Straus and Giroux.30.00 英镑(精装本)。ISBN:978-0374601140。17.38 英镑(精装本)。ISBN:978-1250338204。12.99英镑(电子书)。ISBN: 978-0374601157
IF 1 Q3 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2024-06-27 DOI: 10.1111/ecaf.12655
Tom Clougherty
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引用次数: 0
Covid-19 and Sweden: What constitutes success? A response to Fredrik Andersson and Lars Jonung Covid-19 和瑞典:什么是成功?回应 Fredrik Andersson 和 Lars Jonung
IF 1 Q3 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2024-06-27 DOI: 10.1111/ecaf.12630
David Goldsmith
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引用次数: 0
The ‘means’ and the ‘ends’ of economic calculation: The missing aspect of an epochal dispute 经济计算的 "手段 "与 "目的":一场划时代争端的缺失
IF 1 Q3 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2024-06-27 DOI: 10.1111/ecaf.12640
Dmitrii Trubnikov

Current technological advances have revived the old socialist calculation debate. While the arguments on the socialist side appear to be backed by exciting technological developments, the pro-market camp still mainly relies on the classical thinking of the Austrian school. A reasonable way to reinvigorate the free-market thesis is to look at the ends of economic calculations, intentionally overlooked during the classical period of the debate. A valuable supplement to the contemporary pro-market position could be found in the ordoliberal vision that emphasised the interdependence of various spheres and the power problem.

当前的技术进步重新引发了旧的社会主义计算辩论。虽然社会主义一方的论点似乎得到了令人振奋的技术发展的支持,但支持市场的阵营仍然主要依赖奥地利学派的经典思想。重振自由市场论点的一个合理途径是审视经济计算的两端,这在经典辩论时期被有意忽略了。强调各领域相互依存和权力问题的秩序自由主义观点可以为当代支持市场的立场提供有价值的补充。
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引用次数: 0
Liberalism's last man: Hayek in the age of political capitalism By Vikash Yadav, University of Chicago Press. 2023. pp. 288. $35.00 (hbk). ISBN: 978-0226821474. $34.99 (ebk). ISBN: 978-0226827360 自由主义的最后一人:政治资本主义时代的哈耶克 作者:Vikash Yadav,芝加哥大学出版社。 2023. pp.$35.00 (hbk).ISBN:978-0226821474。34.99 美元(电子书)。ISBN: 978-0226827360
IF 1 Q3 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2024-06-27 DOI: 10.1111/ecaf.12653
Joshua Bowden
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引用次数: 0
Seven reasons why mission-oriented innovation policies seldom work in practice 以使命为导向的创新政策在实践中很少奏效的七个原因
IF 1 Q3 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2024-06-27 DOI: 10.1111/ecaf.12654
Magnus Henrekson, Christian Sandström, Mikael Stenkula
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引用次数: 0
Economic Affairs Applied Research Workshop 2024 Advancing a Classical Liberal Understanding of the Agenda for a Free Society 经济事务应用研究工作坊 2024 推进古典自由主义对自由社会议程的理解
IF 1 Q3 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2024-06-27 DOI: 10.1111/ecaf.12658
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