Adam Smith's Wealth of Nations was first published on the cusp of the American Revolution in the turbulent spring of 1776. In his discussion of the current relationship between Great Britain and her American colonies, Smith expresses optimism regarding the future success of America despite the fact she had not yet declared independence. The root of this optimism can be traced to the concurrence between the ‘new form of government’ that Smith saw the colonists to be ‘employed in contriving’ and Smith's own notions regarding good governance. The American colonies had already governed themselves according to principles shared by Smith and were now on the verge of constructing a new government based on those principles, giving Smith reason to be optimistic about their future as an independent nation.
{"title":"Adam Smith's hopes for a liberal America","authors":"Michaela Loughran, Daniel B Klein","doi":"10.1111/ecaf.12708","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1111/ecaf.12708","url":null,"abstract":"<p>Adam Smith's <i>Wealth of Nations</i> was first published on the cusp of the American Revolution in the turbulent spring of 1776. In his discussion of the current relationship between Great Britain and her American colonies, Smith expresses optimism regarding the future success of America despite the fact she had not yet declared independence. The root of this optimism can be traced to the concurrence between the ‘new form of government’ that Smith saw the colonists to be ‘employed in contriving’ and Smith's own notions regarding good governance. The American colonies had already governed themselves according to principles shared by Smith and were now on the verge of constructing a new government based on those principles, giving Smith reason to be optimistic about their future as an independent nation.</p>","PeriodicalId":44825,"journal":{"name":"ECONOMIC AFFAIRS","volume":"45 2","pages":"203-223"},"PeriodicalIF":1.0,"publicationDate":"2025-05-15","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/epdf/10.1111/ecaf.12708","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"144244734","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
<p>The monetary policy environment has changed considerably since the mid-twentieth century, from the development of economic thinking to the changes in policy priorities and the lessons learned from past experiences. Each transition, from the demise of the gold standard to floating exchange rates, monetary targeting and, more recently, the introduction of inflation targeting, has been a reactive response to the prevailing economic conditions of the time, whether driven by inflation, financial stability concerns, or geopolitical pressures. Despite these changes, the question must be asked: is there a better framework to ensure long-term price stability and economic growth?</p><p>Since the early 1990s inflation targeting has been at the heart of contemporary monetary policy. This regime aims to maintain price stability by keeping inflation close to a medium-term target, generally around 2 per cent annually. While widely adopted by central banks of advanced economies as the global standard, the limitations of this framework have been exposed by financial crises and supply-side shocks. Too often, central banks have underestimated the influence of fiscal policy and their own balance sheet expansions on inflation trends, contributing to monetary policy decisions that have added to the erosion of real incomes and exacerbated the cost-of-living crisis.</p><p>I believe we should have a fundamental rethink of the current monetary policy framework. Central banks should implement a framework that targets the growth rate or level path of nominal GDP (NGDP)<sup>1</sup> rather than relying on an inflation target of 2 per cent. NGDP targeting (NGDPT) offers a more transparent, rule-based approach that reduces subjectivity and the risk of policy errors by looking to stabilise total nominal spending in the economy. In contrast, the current ‘constrained discretion’<sup>2</sup> framework gives policymakers considerable flexibility (discretion) to react to fluctuating economic conditions within loosely defined parameters (constraints). By reducing reliance on discretionary decision-making, NGDPT would increase predictability and transparency for financial markets, thereby allowing central banks to regain any lost credibility.</p><p>NGDPT, also known as nominal income targeting, provides a more flexible and adaptive framework for managing external and supply-side shocks, such as the Covid-19 pandemic and energy price spikes, which contributed to driving inflation to its highest levels in four decades.<sup>3</sup> I argue here that NGDPT is better equipped to maintain long-term economic stability by reducing fluctuations in output and employment more effectively. By reducing reliance on discretionary decision-making, NGDPT would provide a free-market approach to monetary policy and give households and firms clearer guidance on the future path of interest rates.</p><p>My objective is to demonstrate how an NGDPT-based framework could address the deficiencies of the curr
{"title":"Rethinking monetary policy: The case for nominal GDP targeting","authors":"Damian Pudner","doi":"10.1111/ecaf.12711","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1111/ecaf.12711","url":null,"abstract":"<p>The monetary policy environment has changed considerably since the mid-twentieth century, from the development of economic thinking to the changes in policy priorities and the lessons learned from past experiences. Each transition, from the demise of the gold standard to floating exchange rates, monetary targeting and, more recently, the introduction of inflation targeting, has been a reactive response to the prevailing economic conditions of the time, whether driven by inflation, financial stability concerns, or geopolitical pressures. Despite these changes, the question must be asked: is there a better framework to ensure long-term price stability and economic growth?</p><p>Since the early 1990s inflation targeting has been at the heart of contemporary monetary policy. This regime aims to maintain price stability by keeping inflation close to a medium-term target, generally around 2 per cent annually. While widely adopted by central banks of advanced economies as the global standard, the limitations of this framework have been exposed by financial crises and supply-side shocks. Too often, central banks have underestimated the influence of fiscal policy and their own balance sheet expansions on inflation trends, contributing to monetary policy decisions that have added to the erosion of real incomes and exacerbated the cost-of-living crisis.</p><p>I believe we should have a fundamental rethink of the current monetary policy framework. Central banks should implement a framework that targets the growth rate or level path of nominal GDP (NGDP)<sup>1</sup> rather than relying on an inflation target of 2 per cent. NGDP targeting (NGDPT) offers a more transparent, rule-based approach that reduces subjectivity and the risk of policy errors by looking to stabilise total nominal spending in the economy. In contrast, the current ‘constrained discretion’<sup>2</sup> framework gives policymakers considerable flexibility (discretion) to react to fluctuating economic conditions within loosely defined parameters (constraints). By reducing reliance on discretionary decision-making, NGDPT would increase predictability and transparency for financial markets, thereby allowing central banks to regain any lost credibility.</p><p>NGDPT, also known as nominal income targeting, provides a more flexible and adaptive framework for managing external and supply-side shocks, such as the Covid-19 pandemic and energy price spikes, which contributed to driving inflation to its highest levels in four decades.<sup>3</sup> I argue here that NGDPT is better equipped to maintain long-term economic stability by reducing fluctuations in output and employment more effectively. By reducing reliance on discretionary decision-making, NGDPT would provide a free-market approach to monetary policy and give households and firms clearer guidance on the future path of interest rates.</p><p>My objective is to demonstrate how an NGDPT-based framework could address the deficiencies of the curr","PeriodicalId":44825,"journal":{"name":"ECONOMIC AFFAIRS","volume":"45 2","pages":"323-331"},"PeriodicalIF":1.0,"publicationDate":"2025-05-14","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/epdf/10.1111/ecaf.12711","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"144244992","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}