Pub Date : 2016-03-01DOI: 10.6531/JFS.2016.20(3).E143
A. Simpson
{"title":"Futures Journalism A Strategy to Shift Our Focus from Current Affairs to Long-Term Solutions","authors":"A. Simpson","doi":"10.6531/JFS.2016.20(3).E143","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.6531/JFS.2016.20(3).E143","url":null,"abstract":"","PeriodicalId":44849,"journal":{"name":"Journal of Futures Studies","volume":null,"pages":null},"PeriodicalIF":0.8,"publicationDate":"2016-03-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"71327051","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Pub Date : 2016-03-01DOI: 10.6531/JFS.2016.20(3).E145
G. Taylor
{"title":"Concluding Comments: Developing a Strategy for Accelerating the Emergence of a Sustainable Global System","authors":"G. Taylor","doi":"10.6531/JFS.2016.20(3).E145","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.6531/JFS.2016.20(3).E145","url":null,"abstract":"","PeriodicalId":44849,"journal":{"name":"Journal of Futures Studies","volume":null,"pages":null},"PeriodicalIF":0.8,"publicationDate":"2016-03-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"71327082","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Pub Date : 2016-03-01DOI: 10.6531/JFS.2016.20(3).E133
Leif Olsen
This paper responds to e.g. UN’s 17 Sustainable Development Goals, COP 21’s Paris Agreement and the ongoing work within the EU/EC to develop more responsive tax systems across Members States. Although many such reports and proposals have been issued, and some useful tools developed to facilitate environmental impact-assessment in economic terms (e.g. SEEA), the platform for this debate still remains the century-old assumption that income and profit must constitute a basis for taxation. This paper describes why and how the tax system must be even more fundamentally redesigned;
{"title":"A New Accounting and Taxation Paradigm","authors":"Leif Olsen","doi":"10.6531/JFS.2016.20(3).E133","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.6531/JFS.2016.20(3).E133","url":null,"abstract":"This paper responds to e.g. UN’s 17 Sustainable Development Goals, COP 21’s Paris Agreement and the ongoing work within the EU/EC to develop more responsive tax systems across Members States. Although many such reports and proposals have been issued, and some useful tools developed to facilitate environmental impact-assessment in economic terms (e.g. SEEA), the platform for this debate still remains the century-old assumption that income and profit must constitute a basis for taxation. This paper describes why and how the tax system must be even more fundamentally redesigned;","PeriodicalId":44849,"journal":{"name":"Journal of Futures Studies","volume":null,"pages":null},"PeriodicalIF":0.8,"publicationDate":"2016-03-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"71327032","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Pub Date : 2016-03-01DOI: 10.6531/JFS.2016.20(3).I1
G. Taylor, J. Ramos
{"title":"Introduction to the Special Issue on ＂Exploring Paths to a Viable Future＂","authors":"G. Taylor, J. Ramos","doi":"10.6531/JFS.2016.20(3).I1","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.6531/JFS.2016.20(3).I1","url":null,"abstract":"","PeriodicalId":44849,"journal":{"name":"Journal of Futures Studies","volume":null,"pages":null},"PeriodicalIF":0.8,"publicationDate":"2016-03-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"71327095","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Pub Date : 2016-03-01DOI: 10.6531/JFS.2016.20(3).E123
G. Taylor
Humanity now faces a dangerous dilemma: on one hand leading scientists predict that if we continue to burn coal, gas and oil the environmental consequences are likely to be catastrophic (e.g. Hansen et al., 2013); on the other hand many economists argue that if we stop using fossil fuels our industrial civilization will run out of energy and collapse (e.g. Canes, 2015). Although renewable technologies are beginning to compete with fossil fuels in the production of electricity, electricity is only 20% of energy use (IEA, 2014). In other areas—e.g. most heating, industrial production and transport—renewable alternatives are either non-existent or not yet cost-competitive. Because the global economy still requires fossil fuels, any efforts to quickly cut carbon pollution will reduce output. This is an enormous problem as most people—especially those struggling to get by in developing countries— are not prepared to accept lower standards of living. In addition fossil fuel producing countries and companies are not prepared to forgo coal, gas and oil revenues. This dilemma underlies the failure of international negotiations to agree to sharp reductions in greenhouse gas emissions. While most decision-makers accept that climate change poses growing threats, they are unwilling to enact policies likely to cripple their businesses and national economies. As a result it is hard to imagine any scenario in which action will be taken in time to prevent dangerous climate change. Yet time is of the essence: already glaciers are melting, coral reefs are bleaching, rainforests are burning, and many critical agricultural areas are becoming hotter and drier (e.g. Ricke et al., 2013). We must find solutions, or doom our children to living on a dying planet.
人类现在面临着一个危险的困境:一方面，顶尖科学家预测，如果我们继续燃烧煤炭、天然气和石油，环境后果可能是灾难性的(例如Hansen et al.， 2013);另一方面，许多经济学家认为，如果我们停止使用化石燃料，我们的工业文明将耗尽能源并崩溃(例如Canes, 2015)。虽然可再生能源技术在电力生产方面开始与化石燃料竞争，但电力仅占能源使用的20% (IEA, 2014)。在其他领域，例如……大多数供暖、工业生产和运输可再生能源替代品要么不存在，要么还没有成本竞争力。由于全球经济仍然需要化石燃料，任何迅速减少碳污染的努力都会减少产量。这是一个巨大的问题，因为大多数人，尤其是那些在发展中国家挣扎度日的人，还没有准备好接受生活水平的降低。此外，化石燃料生产国和公司不准备放弃煤炭、天然气和石油的收入。这一困境是国际谈判未能就大幅减少温室气体排放达成一致的根本原因。虽然大多数决策者承认气候变化构成了越来越大的威胁，但他们不愿意制定可能削弱其企业和国民经济的政策。因此，很难想象在任何情况下，人们会及时采取行动，防止危险的气候变化。然而，时间是至关重要的:冰川已经在融化，珊瑚礁正在褪色，雨林正在燃烧，许多重要的农业区正在变得越来越热，越来越干燥(例如Ricke等人，2013)。我们必须找到解决办法，否则我们的孩子就只能生活在一个垂死的星球上。
{"title":"A Win-Win Strategy for Fossil-Fuel Producers and Environmentalists","authors":"G. Taylor","doi":"10.6531/JFS.2016.20(3).E123","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.6531/JFS.2016.20(3).E123","url":null,"abstract":"Humanity now faces a dangerous dilemma: on one hand leading scientists predict that if we continue to burn coal, gas and oil the environmental consequences are likely to be catastrophic (e.g. Hansen et al., 2013); on the other hand many economists argue that if we stop using fossil fuels our industrial civilization will run out of energy and collapse (e.g. Canes, 2015). Although renewable technologies are beginning to compete with fossil fuels in the production of electricity, electricity is only 20% of energy use (IEA, 2014). In other areas—e.g. most heating, industrial production and transport—renewable alternatives are either non-existent or not yet cost-competitive.\u0000Because the global economy still requires fossil fuels, any efforts to quickly cut carbon pollution will reduce output. This is an enormous problem as most people—especially those struggling to get by in developing countries— are not prepared to accept lower standards of living. In addition fossil fuel producing countries and companies are not prepared to forgo coal, gas and oil revenues.\u0000This dilemma underlies the failure of international negotiations to agree to sharp reductions in greenhouse gas emissions. While most decision-makers accept that climate change poses growing threats, they are unwilling to enact policies likely to cripple their businesses and national economies.\u0000As a result it is hard to imagine any scenario in which action will be taken in time to prevent dangerous climate change. Yet time is of the essence: already glaciers are melting, coral reefs are bleaching, rainforests are burning, and many critical agricultural areas are becoming hotter and drier (e.g. Ricke et al., 2013). We must find solutions, or doom our children to living on a dying planet.","PeriodicalId":44849,"journal":{"name":"Journal of Futures Studies","volume":null,"pages":null},"PeriodicalIF":0.8,"publicationDate":"2016-03-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"71327440","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Pub Date : 2016-01-01DOI: 10.6531/JFS.2016.20(3).A21
Marie-Laure Mimoun-Sorel
To change our future we have to change the way our society educates children. Our modern system of education is mainly interested in formatting children to serve growth, consumption and competition. Over the years, the person has been erased to become a function to nourish blinded consumerism. This way of thinking and doing has participated in creating complex unsustainability in all spheres of our society governed by the power of profit. This being said, changing educational systems would take too long and the need for a viable future cannot wait. In this article, I demonstrate that a solution lies in the way teachers could approach their class in order to initiate a transformation from inside the existing system. The content of what they teach stays the same, but adopting a Transdisciplinary Attitude, teachers switch priority in order to exercise and extend their Duty of Care: care for individuals, communities and human species among other species. Doing so, it becomes possible to prioritise student’s quality of being while disciplines taught become instruments to help the child flourish, not the opposite. Then, a powerful peaceful insurrection of consciousness
{"title":"Adopting a transdisciplinary attitude in the classroom, to create a viable future","authors":"Marie-Laure Mimoun-Sorel","doi":"10.6531/JFS.2016.20(3).A21","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.6531/JFS.2016.20(3).A21","url":null,"abstract":"To change our future we have to change the way our society educates children. Our modern system of education is mainly interested in formatting children to serve growth, consumption and competition. Over the years, the person has been erased to become a function to nourish blinded consumerism. This way of thinking and doing has participated in creating complex unsustainability in all spheres of our society governed by the power of profit. This being said, changing educational systems would take too long and the need for a viable future cannot wait. In this article, I demonstrate that a solution lies in the way teachers could approach their class in order to initiate a transformation from inside the existing system. The content of what they teach stays the same, but adopting a Transdisciplinary Attitude, teachers switch priority in order to exercise and extend their Duty of Care: care for individuals, communities and human species among other species. Doing so, it becomes possible to prioritise student’s quality of being while disciplines taught become instruments to help the child flourish, not the opposite. Then, a powerful peaceful insurrection of consciousness","PeriodicalId":44849,"journal":{"name":"Journal of Futures Studies","volume":null,"pages":null},"PeriodicalIF":0.8,"publicationDate":"2016-01-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"71327371","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Pub Date : 2015-12-01DOI: 10.6531/JFS.2015.20(2).A81
P. Corsi
In the face of fast growing concerns for sustainability in all wakes of human endeavor around the planet, this paper aims to support a generative process for exploring futures conceptions and seeks to contribute to professional futurists’ design abilities. It is a contribution to connect practical social and business innovation with actionable futures thinking. The approach is founded on design innovation methodology backed by C-K theory, a constructive prototyping strategy, which can account for any moment when a ＂futures potential＂ happens. To illustrate the process, a series of matching field experiments are portrayed, whereby kick-off propositions led to blueprint concepts and, through their systematic expansion, were carried into project briefs that could be implemented with planners, policy makers, and project managers. The illustrated content provides decision-makers an operational and sharable framework.
{"title":"Forcing the Design of Fictional Futures: From Theory to Cases Implementation","authors":"P. Corsi","doi":"10.6531/JFS.2015.20(2).A81","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.6531/JFS.2015.20(2).A81","url":null,"abstract":"In the face of fast growing concerns for sustainability in all wakes of human endeavor around the planet, this paper aims to support a generative process for exploring futures conceptions and seeks to contribute to professional futurists’ design abilities. It is a contribution to connect practical social and business innovation with actionable futures thinking. The approach is founded on design innovation methodology backed by C-K theory, a constructive prototyping strategy, which can account for any moment when a ＂futures potential＂ happens. To illustrate the process, a series of matching field experiments are portrayed, whereby kick-off propositions led to blueprint concepts and, through their systematic expansion, were carried into project briefs that could be implemented with planners, policy makers, and project managers. The illustrated content provides decision-makers an operational and sharable framework.","PeriodicalId":44849,"journal":{"name":"Journal of Futures Studies","volume":null,"pages":null},"PeriodicalIF":0.8,"publicationDate":"2015-12-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"71327202","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Pub Date : 2015-12-01DOI: 10.6531/JFS.2015.20(2).B141
L. Sampson
{"title":"Wellspring of Optimism, a Review of ＂Hieroglyph: Stories and Visions for a Better Future＂","authors":"L. Sampson","doi":"10.6531/JFS.2015.20(2).B141","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.6531/JFS.2015.20(2).B141","url":null,"abstract":"","PeriodicalId":44849,"journal":{"name":"Journal of Futures Studies","volume":null,"pages":null},"PeriodicalIF":0.8,"publicationDate":"2015-12-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"71327246","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Pub Date : 2015-09-01DOI: 10.6531/JFS.2015.20(1).A69
T. Gauthier, K. Wac
Inevitably, healthcare goes pervasive, yet its many potential future scenarios are still to be defined. We employ foresight techniques to define some of these scenarios, as relevant for the current and future state of healthcare in Geneva, Switzerland. We teach the methodology to undergraduate business administration students- potential e.g., managers and policymakers in the future healthcare system of Geneva. Our objective is twofold: to train students at scenario building and to develop scenarios for pervasive healthcare technologies and their social implications. Results include scenarios developed by the students as well as lessons learned with respect to the power of foresight techniques employed with novices in this field.
{"title":"A Foresight Analysis of Pervasive Healthcare Technologies","authors":"T. Gauthier, K. Wac","doi":"10.6531/JFS.2015.20(1).A69","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.6531/JFS.2015.20(1).A69","url":null,"abstract":"Inevitably, healthcare goes pervasive, yet its many potential future scenarios are still to be defined. We employ foresight techniques to define some of these scenarios, as relevant for the current and future state of healthcare in Geneva, Switzerland. We teach the methodology to undergraduate business administration students- potential e.g., managers and policymakers in the future healthcare system of Geneva. Our objective is twofold: to train students at scenario building and to develop scenarios for pervasive healthcare technologies and their social implications. Results include scenarios developed by the students as well as lessons learned with respect to the power of foresight techniques employed with novices in this field.","PeriodicalId":44849,"journal":{"name":"Journal of Futures Studies","volume":null,"pages":null},"PeriodicalIF":0.8,"publicationDate":"2015-09-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"71327018","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Pub Date : 2015-09-01DOI: 10.6531/JFS.2015.20(1).S101
Ruth-Ellen Miller
{"title":"Applying Intuitive Methods in Explorations of Preferred Futures","authors":"Ruth-Ellen Miller","doi":"10.6531/JFS.2015.20(1).S101","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.6531/JFS.2015.20(1).S101","url":null,"abstract":"","PeriodicalId":44849,"journal":{"name":"Journal of Futures Studies","volume":null,"pages":null},"PeriodicalIF":0.8,"publicationDate":"2015-09-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"71327061","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
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