As Black people, our everyday existence invites us to remember that anti-blackness is the foundation of modern civilization and has metastasized throughout every construction of civil society (Sharpe, 2016). Our existence within schools unveils them as self-replicating enclosures spawned by the plantation to undermine Black life (Sojoyner, 2017). In this paper, we use an Apocalyptic Educational framework (Marie & Watson, 2020) to share research on the biological (telomere) impact of schooling and anti-blackness. We aim to distinguish education from schooling and disrupt normative beliefs that more Black children accessing better schools will lead to their social, economic, and physiological wellness.
{"title":"Somewhere Between a Rock and an Outer Space: Regenerating Apocalyptic Education.","authors":"Kenjus Watson, Tiffani Marie","doi":"","DOIUrl":"","url":null,"abstract":"<p><p>As Black people, our everyday existence invites us to remember that anti-blackness is the foundation of modern civilization and has metastasized throughout every construction of civil society (Sharpe, 2016). Our existence within schools unveils them as self-replicating enclosures spawned by the plantation to undermine Black life (Sojoyner, 2017). In this paper, we use an Apocalyptic Educational framework (Marie & Watson, 2020) to share research on the biological (telomere) impact of schooling and anti-blackness. We aim to distinguish education from schooling and disrupt normative beliefs that more Black children accessing better schools will lead to their social, economic, and physiological wellness.</p>","PeriodicalId":44849,"journal":{"name":"Journal of Futures Studies","volume":null,"pages":null},"PeriodicalIF":0.8,"publicationDate":"2022-03-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC9988589/pdf/nihms-1856399.pdf","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"9096918","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Pub Date : 2021-06-01DOI: 10.6531/JFS.202106_25(4).0003
Max Willis, Greta Adamo, J. Hanna, J. Auger
This article explores the role of the future in contemporary technology design, and elaborates how imagination can influence the present through the mechanism of speculation. Three applications of futures are introduced: extrapolation examines present data and trends to predict possible futures, reflecting on the present imagines possible futures for insights on current practices, while backcasting visualizes a preferred future and plots a trajectory from the present to achieve it. Design speculations for Ocean Wave Energy capture systems are presented that illustrate the shaping of the future with conceptual prototypes, and a future narrative when humanity has averted a climate catastrophe.
{"title":"Towards Sustainable Island Futures: Design for Ocean Wave Energy","authors":"Max Willis, Greta Adamo, J. Hanna, J. Auger","doi":"10.6531/JFS.202106_25(4).0003","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.6531/JFS.202106_25(4).0003","url":null,"abstract":"This article explores the role of the future in contemporary technology design, and elaborates how imagination can influence the present through the mechanism of speculation. Three applications of futures are introduced: extrapolation examines present data and trends to predict possible futures, reflecting on the present imagines possible futures for insights on current practices, while backcasting visualizes a preferred future and plots a trajectory from the present to achieve it. Design speculations for Ocean Wave Energy capture systems are presented that illustrate the shaping of the future with conceptual prototypes, and a future narrative when humanity has averted a climate catastrophe.","PeriodicalId":44849,"journal":{"name":"Journal of Futures Studies","volume":null,"pages":null},"PeriodicalIF":0.8,"publicationDate":"2021-06-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"43411523","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Pub Date : 2021-03-01DOI: 10.6531/JFS.202103_25(3).0006
M. Barzman, M. Gerphagnon, G. Aubin‐Houzelstein, G. Baron, Alain Bénard, François Bouchet, Juliette Dibie-Barthélemy, J. Gibrat, S. Hodson, Evelyne Lhoste, Caroline Martin, Y. Moulier-Boutang, Sébastien Perrot, Fabrice Phung, C. Pichot, M. Siné, Thierry Venin, O. Mora
Digital transformation induces rapid and profound changes in higher education and research (HER). With this foresight, INRAE and Agreenium, two French public HER institutions centered on food, agriculture and the environment, explore the challenges they face in a world increasingly dependent on digital resources. Four scenarios generated via morphological analysis provide researchers, teachers and institutions a heuristic framework to anticipate risks and opportunities in terms of: platformization of research, commodification of knowledge and the ascendency of data; pressing demands to respond to planet-wide emergencies; renewed multi-stakeholder relations between civil society and the academic community; and limits on energy and raw materials devoted to digital uses.
{"title":"Exploring Digital Transformation in Higher Education and Research via Scenarios","authors":"M. Barzman, M. Gerphagnon, G. Aubin‐Houzelstein, G. Baron, Alain Bénard, François Bouchet, Juliette Dibie-Barthélemy, J. Gibrat, S. Hodson, Evelyne Lhoste, Caroline Martin, Y. Moulier-Boutang, Sébastien Perrot, Fabrice Phung, C. Pichot, M. Siné, Thierry Venin, O. Mora","doi":"10.6531/JFS.202103_25(3).0006","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.6531/JFS.202103_25(3).0006","url":null,"abstract":"Digital transformation induces rapid and profound changes in higher education and research (HER). With this foresight, INRAE and Agreenium, two French public HER institutions centered on food, agriculture and the environment, explore the challenges they face in a world increasingly dependent on digital resources. Four scenarios generated via morphological analysis provide researchers, teachers and institutions a heuristic framework to anticipate risks and opportunities in terms of: platformization of research, commodification of knowledge and the ascendency of data; pressing demands to respond to planet-wide emergencies; renewed multi-stakeholder relations between civil society and the academic community; and limits on energy and raw materials devoted to digital uses.","PeriodicalId":44849,"journal":{"name":"Journal of Futures Studies","volume":null,"pages":null},"PeriodicalIF":0.8,"publicationDate":"2021-03-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"48835962","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Pub Date : 2021-01-01DOI: 10.6531/jfs.202109_26(1).0001
I. Milojević
The management of the COVID-19 pandemic is a novel global challenge being addressed in real time. While some countries and regions of the world have had more recent experience managing similar viruses (such as SARS), all have had to deal with the new corona virus and the novel challenges that it presents. Public policy responses are rapidly changing, sometimes daily. This article focuses on how foresight narratives have impacted policymaking as related to the COVID-19 pandemic. More specifically, it provides an overview of the use of foresight within the public sector prior to the pandemic. It also investigates the key narratives in circulation during the implementation of governments' strategic objectives and the realization of visions of a 'pandemic-free' society. The approach used here is that of narrative foresight which predominantly focuses on the stories that individuals, organizations, states and civilizations tell themselves about the future. In addition to the overarching narratives, the article also investigates more specifically the most commonly used metaphors prior to and during the COVID-19 pandemic. The goal of the article is to ascertain which lessons we can learn in terms of successes and failures of narrative foresight in action', so as to be able to utilise this knowledge for future global problems. Finally, the article argues that many current metaphors and narratives are linked to 'futures fallacies' - detrimental thinking patterns about the future. It then concludes by briefly investigating alternative narratives and metaphors which are more likely to facilitate the desired future of adequate pandemic preparedness.
{"title":"COVID-19 and Pandemic Preparedness: Foresight Narratives and Public Sector Responses","authors":"I. Milojević","doi":"10.6531/jfs.202109_26(1).0001","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.6531/jfs.202109_26(1).0001","url":null,"abstract":"The management of the COVID-19 pandemic is a novel global challenge being addressed in real time. While some countries and regions of the world have had more recent experience managing similar viruses (such as SARS), all have had to deal with the new corona virus and the novel challenges that it presents. Public policy responses are rapidly changing, sometimes daily. This article focuses on how foresight narratives have impacted policymaking as related to the COVID-19 pandemic. More specifically, it provides an overview of the use of foresight within the public sector prior to the pandemic. It also investigates the key narratives in circulation during the implementation of governments' strategic objectives and the realization of visions of a 'pandemic-free' society. The approach used here is that of narrative foresight which predominantly focuses on the stories that individuals, organizations, states and civilizations tell themselves about the future. In addition to the overarching narratives, the article also investigates more specifically the most commonly used metaphors prior to and during the COVID-19 pandemic. The goal of the article is to ascertain which lessons we can learn in terms of successes and failures of narrative foresight in action', so as to be able to utilise this knowledge for future global problems. Finally, the article argues that many current metaphors and narratives are linked to 'futures fallacies' - detrimental thinking patterns about the future. It then concludes by briefly investigating alternative narratives and metaphors which are more likely to facilitate the desired future of adequate pandemic preparedness.","PeriodicalId":44849,"journal":{"name":"Journal of Futures Studies","volume":null,"pages":null},"PeriodicalIF":0.8,"publicationDate":"2021-01-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"71327696","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Pub Date : 2021-01-01DOI: 10.6531/JFS.202012_25(2).0009
Simon Elias Bibri, J. Krogstie
The big data revolution is heralding an era where instrumentation, datafication, and computation are increasingly pervading the very fabric of cities. Big data technologies are seen as a powerful force that has great potential for improving and advancing urban sustainability thanks especially to the IoT. Therefore, they have become essential to the functioning of sustainable cities. Besides, yet knowing to what extent we are actually making any progress towards sustainable cities remains problematic, adding to the conflicting, or at least fragmented, picture that arises of change on the ground in the light of the escalating urbanization trend. In a nutshell, new circumstances require new responses. One of these responses that has recently gained prevalence worldwide is the idea of “data-driven smart sustainable cities.” This paper sets out to identify and integrate the underlying components of a novel model for data-driven smart sustainable cities of the future. This entails amalgamating the prevailing and emerging paradigms of urbanism in terms of their strategies and solutions, namely compact cities, eco-cities, data–driven smart cities, and environmentally data-driven smart sustainable cities. This amalgamation is grounded in the outcomes of the four case studies conducted on six of the ecologically and technologically leading cities in Europe. This empirical research is part of an extensive futures study, which aims to analyze, investigate, and develop a novel model for data-driven smart sustainable cities of the future using backcasting as a strategic planning process. We argue that the proposed model has great potential to improve and advance the contribution of sustainable cities to the goals of sustainability by harnessing its synergistic effects thanks to data-driven technologies and solutions. This new model is believed to be the first of its kind and thus has not been, to the best of our knowledge, produced, nor is it currently under investigation, elsewhere.
{"title":"Data-Driven Smart Sustainable Cities of the Future: A Novel Model of Urbanism and Its Core Dimensions, Strategies, and Solutions","authors":"Simon Elias Bibri, J. Krogstie","doi":"10.6531/JFS.202012_25(2).0009","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.6531/JFS.202012_25(2).0009","url":null,"abstract":"The big data revolution is heralding an era where instrumentation, datafication, and computation are increasingly pervading the very fabric of cities. Big data technologies are seen as a powerful force that has great potential for improving and advancing urban sustainability thanks especially to the IoT. Therefore, they have become essential to the functioning of sustainable cities. Besides, yet knowing to what extent we are actually making any progress towards sustainable cities remains problematic, adding to the conflicting, or at least fragmented, picture that arises of change on the ground in the light of the escalating urbanization trend. In a nutshell, new circumstances require new responses. One of these responses that has recently gained prevalence worldwide is the idea of “data-driven smart sustainable cities.” This paper sets out to identify and integrate the underlying components of a novel model for data-driven smart sustainable cities of the future. This entails amalgamating the prevailing and emerging paradigms of urbanism in terms of their strategies and solutions, namely compact cities, eco-cities, data–driven smart cities, and environmentally data-driven smart sustainable cities. This amalgamation is grounded in the outcomes of the four case studies conducted on six of the ecologically and technologically leading cities in Europe. This empirical research is part of an extensive futures study, which aims to analyze, investigate, and develop a novel model for data-driven smart sustainable cities of the future using backcasting as a strategic planning process. We argue that the proposed model has great potential to improve and advance the contribution of sustainable cities to the goals of sustainability by harnessing its synergistic effects thanks to data-driven technologies and solutions. This new model is believed to be the first of its kind and thus has not been, to the best of our knowledge, produced, nor is it currently under investigation, elsewhere.","PeriodicalId":44849,"journal":{"name":"Journal of Futures Studies","volume":null,"pages":null},"PeriodicalIF":0.8,"publicationDate":"2021-01-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"71327682","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Pub Date : 2020-12-01DOI: 10.6531/JFS.202012_25(2).0006
P. Daffara
This paper investigates the systemic impacts of the COVID-19 pandemic and experiments with using two foresight methods with different time horizons to broaden the exploration. The Futures Wheel of consequences is applied to the global shock and pandemic of COVID-19 to firstly analyse systemic impacts of the virus within a short to medium timeframe. Then, four macrohistorical models are applied, to time two probable future trajectories resulting from the bifurcation point of the pandemic. The conclusion provides: (1) insights on the methodology of integrating the Futures Wheel and Macrohistory and proposes that they are indeed complimentary if a common spatial scale is used to link them, and (2) that the city is a practical and effective spatial scale to integrate the methods and their systemic impacts, and (3) real world actions in response to the pandemic, at the scale of the city, that may require further research.
{"title":"Applying the Futures Wheel and Macrohistory to the Covid19 Global Pandemic","authors":"P. Daffara","doi":"10.6531/JFS.202012_25(2).0006","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.6531/JFS.202012_25(2).0006","url":null,"abstract":"This paper investigates the systemic impacts of the COVID-19 pandemic and experiments with using two foresight methods with different time horizons to broaden the exploration. The Futures Wheel of consequences is applied to the global shock and pandemic of COVID-19 to firstly analyse systemic impacts of the virus within a short to medium timeframe. Then, four macrohistorical models are applied, to time two probable future trajectories resulting from the bifurcation point of the pandemic. The conclusion provides: (1) insights on the methodology of integrating the Futures Wheel and Macrohistory and proposes that they are indeed complimentary if a common spatial scale is used to link them, and (2) that the city is a practical and effective spatial scale to integrate the methods and their systemic impacts, and (3) real world actions in response to the pandemic, at the scale of the city, that may require further research.","PeriodicalId":44849,"journal":{"name":"Journal of Futures Studies","volume":null,"pages":null},"PeriodicalIF":0.8,"publicationDate":"2020-12-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"43576370","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Pub Date : 2020-12-01DOI: 10.6531/JFS.202012_25(2).0003
A. Saniotis, M. Henneberg, Kazhaleh Mohammadi
The novel pathogen Severe Acute Respiratory Syndrome Coronavirus 2 (SARS-CoV-2), the cause of coronavirus disease (COVID-19), has created a global crisis Currently, the limits of public health systems and medical knowhow have been exposed COVID-19 has challenged our best minds, forcing them to return to the drawing board Fear of infection leading to possible life-long morbidity or death has embedded itself in the collective imagination leading to both altruistic and maladaptive behaviours Although, COVID-19 has been a global concern, its advent is a defining moment for artificial intelligence Medicorobots have been increasingly used in hospitals during the last twenty years Their various applications have included logistic support, feeding, nursing support and surface disinfection In this article we examine how COVID-19 is reframing technology/human interactions via medicorobots, and the future implications of this relationship In the last section we predict possible developments in artificial intelligence and how they may benefit future humanity in medicine
{"title":"'Medicorobots' As an Emerging Biopower: How COVID-19 Has Accelerated Artificial Intelligence in A Post Corona-World","authors":"A. Saniotis, M. Henneberg, Kazhaleh Mohammadi","doi":"10.6531/JFS.202012_25(2).0003","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.6531/JFS.202012_25(2).0003","url":null,"abstract":"The novel pathogen Severe Acute Respiratory Syndrome Coronavirus 2 (SARS-CoV-2), the cause of coronavirus disease (COVID-19), has created a global crisis Currently, the limits of public health systems and medical knowhow have been exposed COVID-19 has challenged our best minds, forcing them to return to the drawing board Fear of infection leading to possible life-long morbidity or death has embedded itself in the collective imagination leading to both altruistic and maladaptive behaviours Although, COVID-19 has been a global concern, its advent is a defining moment for artificial intelligence Medicorobots have been increasingly used in hospitals during the last twenty years Their various applications have included logistic support, feeding, nursing support and surface disinfection In this article we examine how COVID-19 is reframing technology/human interactions via medicorobots, and the future implications of this relationship In the last section we predict possible developments in artificial intelligence and how they may benefit future humanity in medicine","PeriodicalId":44849,"journal":{"name":"Journal of Futures Studies","volume":null,"pages":null},"PeriodicalIF":0.8,"publicationDate":"2020-12-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"48444640","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Pub Date : 2020-09-01DOI: 10.6531/JFS.202009_25(1).0005
J. Eagleton
The thinker Slavoj Zisek (1989, pp. 274-5) tells us that the future is the ＂supreme object of ideology＂ and that it is ＂without form, shape or color: it demands yet exceeds all figuration＂. Beijing seems to be privileging a future where Hong Kong is increasingly assimilated into the mainland despite promising a high degree of autonomy as part of the ＂One Country, Two Systems＂ framework; Hong Kong however privileges a future that maintains this high degree of autonomy. The Extradition Bill of 2019, which led to massive protests, was seen by a broad section of the community as a ＂tipping point＂ in Hong Kong's full integration into China. In this essay, the discussion revolves around the date of 2047, the end point of ＂50 years no change＂ to Hong Kong's systems as promised in its Basic Law and how the young, the CE, and Xi Jingping see the future. It will be argued that critical elements in Hong Kong see the city as being apart from China, rather than a part of it, a situation that China feels should no longer be the case.
{"title":"Hong Kong's Unlikely Hope:That Its Future remains Its Past","authors":"J. Eagleton","doi":"10.6531/JFS.202009_25(1).0005","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.6531/JFS.202009_25(1).0005","url":null,"abstract":"The thinker Slavoj Zisek (1989, pp. 274-5) tells us that the future is the ＂supreme object of ideology＂ and that it is ＂without form, shape or color: it demands yet exceeds all figuration＂. Beijing seems to be privileging a future where Hong Kong is increasingly assimilated into the mainland despite promising a high degree of autonomy as part of the ＂One Country, Two Systems＂ framework; Hong Kong however privileges a future that maintains this high degree of autonomy. The Extradition Bill of 2019, which led to massive protests, was seen by a broad section of the community as a ＂tipping point＂ in Hong Kong's full integration into China. In this essay, the discussion revolves around the date of 2047, the end point of ＂50 years no change＂ to Hong Kong's systems as promised in its Basic Law and how the young, the CE, and Xi Jingping see the future. It will be argued that critical elements in Hong Kong see the city as being apart from China, rather than a part of it, a situation that China feels should no longer be the case.","PeriodicalId":44849,"journal":{"name":"Journal of Futures Studies","volume":null,"pages":null},"PeriodicalIF":0.8,"publicationDate":"2020-09-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"44021342","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Pub Date : 2020-09-01DOI: 10.6531/JFS.202009_25(1).0007
J. Buehring, N. Vittachi
Transmedia storytelling represents a process of communicating integral parts of a narrative across multiple delivery channels. Within the futures field this technique is being recognized as a potential instrument when determining how to present information in futures-oriented projects. Foresight professionals and researchers are often faced with the challenge of communicating large amounts of data generated through qualitative methods such as interviews, interpretive narration, and oral history at the end of a research project. While the process of disseminating research is every research’s obligation, communicating key insights gained from futures-related research, and presenting these in other formats that effectively extend the research results and new knowledge gained to nonexpert audiences, remains a key challenge. The purpose of this research is to address this gap in the literature by answering the question of how to communicate futures scenarios to nonexpert audiences, corporate decisionmakers, and their organizational teams using transmedia storytelling techniques and video animation as a medium. The fourstep process presented in this paper is based on a use case in which academics and designers, at a design school, took the findings of a financial services futures study and applied storytelling and visualization techniques to bring futures scenarios to life with video animation.
{"title":"Transmedia Storytelling: Addressing Futures Communication Challenge with Video Animation","authors":"J. Buehring, N. Vittachi","doi":"10.6531/JFS.202009_25(1).0007","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.6531/JFS.202009_25(1).0007","url":null,"abstract":"Transmedia storytelling represents a process of communicating integral parts of a narrative across multiple delivery channels. Within the futures field this technique is being recognized as a potential instrument when determining how to present information in futures-oriented projects. Foresight professionals and researchers are often faced with the challenge of communicating large amounts of data generated through qualitative methods such as interviews, interpretive narration, and oral history at the end of a research project. While the process of disseminating research is every research’s obligation, communicating key insights gained from futures-related research, and presenting these in other formats that effectively extend the research results and new knowledge gained to nonexpert audiences, remains a key challenge. The purpose of this research is to address this gap in the literature by answering the question of how to communicate futures scenarios to nonexpert audiences, corporate decisionmakers, and their organizational teams using transmedia storytelling techniques and video animation as a medium. The fourstep process presented in this paper is based on a use case in which academics and designers, at a design school, took the findings of a financial services futures study and applied storytelling and visualization techniques to bring futures scenarios to life with video animation.","PeriodicalId":44849,"journal":{"name":"Journal of Futures Studies","volume":null,"pages":null},"PeriodicalIF":0.8,"publicationDate":"2020-09-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"48871589","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Pub Date : 2020-06-01DOI: 10.6531/JFS.202006_24(4).0011
Kuo-Hua Chen, Li-ping Hsu
In a world of continuous change, fostering futures thinking in the education system has been recognized as a preferred and effective outcome to transform the current factory learning orientation into a culture of foresight. A lack of quantitative research on the measurable outcomes of futures learning seems to discouraging its development in the community of higher education. To fill the gap, this research conducted an empirical examination to evaluate the outcomes and impacts of Tamkang University’s future-oriented education; with a quantitative survey of 578 valid samples collected. This study applies the technique of factor analysis with five dimensions of futures thinking were identified: change agent, transdisciplinary system, long-term thinking, concern for others and openness to alternatives. The results indicate that students who have taken futures courses demonstrate statistically significant higher performance in two dimensions of futures thinking, namely transdisciplinary system and openness to alternatives. Additionally, they are more optimistic toward the year 2030. Male students exhibited significantly higher levels of change-agent futures thinking than that of female students. Freshmen, students of the business college and those less active in club activities exhibited lower performance in three dimensions of futures thinking. The initial results should bring guidance for other similar educational institutes that may consider following the path of futures-oriented pedagogical design.
{"title":"Visioning the Future: Evaluating Learning Outcomes and Impacts of Futures-Oriented Education","authors":"Kuo-Hua Chen, Li-ping Hsu","doi":"10.6531/JFS.202006_24(4).0011","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.6531/JFS.202006_24(4).0011","url":null,"abstract":"In a world of continuous change, fostering futures thinking in the education system has been recognized as a preferred and effective outcome to transform the current factory learning orientation into a culture of foresight. A lack of quantitative research on the measurable outcomes of futures learning seems to discouraging its development in the community of higher education. To fill the gap, this research conducted an empirical examination to evaluate the outcomes and impacts of Tamkang University’s future-oriented education; with a quantitative survey of 578 valid samples collected. This study applies the technique of factor analysis with five dimensions of futures thinking were identified: change agent, transdisciplinary system, long-term thinking, concern for others and openness to alternatives. The results indicate that students who have taken futures courses demonstrate statistically significant higher performance in two dimensions of futures thinking, namely transdisciplinary system and openness to alternatives. Additionally, they are more optimistic toward the year 2030. Male students exhibited significantly higher levels of change-agent futures thinking than that of female students. Freshmen, students of the business college and those less active in club activities exhibited lower performance in three dimensions of futures thinking. The initial results should bring guidance for other similar educational institutes that may consider following the path of futures-oriented pedagogical design.","PeriodicalId":44849,"journal":{"name":"Journal of Futures Studies","volume":null,"pages":null},"PeriodicalIF":0.8,"publicationDate":"2020-06-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"42458459","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
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