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Somewhere Between a Rock and an Outer Space: Regenerating Apocalyptic Education. 在岩石和外太空之间:重建启示录教育。
IF 0.8 Q4 REGIONAL & URBAN PLANNING Pub Date : 2022-03-01
Kenjus Watson, Tiffani Marie

As Black people, our everyday existence invites us to remember that anti-blackness is the foundation of modern civilization and has metastasized throughout every construction of civil society (Sharpe, 2016). Our existence within schools unveils them as self-replicating enclosures spawned by the plantation to undermine Black life (Sojoyner, 2017). In this paper, we use an Apocalyptic Educational framework (Marie & Watson, 2020) to share research on the biological (telomere) impact of schooling and anti-blackness. We aim to distinguish education from schooling and disrupt normative beliefs that more Black children accessing better schools will lead to their social, economic, and physiological wellness.

作为黑人,我们的日常生活让我们记住,反黑是现代文明的基础,并已渗透到公民社会的每一次建设中(Sharpe, 2016)。我们在学校的存在揭示了它们是种植园产生的自我复制的围墙,破坏了黑人的生活(Sojoyner, 2017)。在本文中,我们使用了一个启示录教育框架(Marie & Watson, 2020)来分享关于学校教育和反黑人的生物(端粒)影响的研究。我们的目标是将教育与学校教育区分开来,并打破那些认为更多黑人儿童进入更好的学校将导致他们的社会、经济和生理健康的规范观念。
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引用次数: 0
Towards Sustainable Island Futures: Design for Ocean Wave Energy 迈向可持续岛屿的未来:海浪能源的设计
IF 0.8 Q4 REGIONAL & URBAN PLANNING Pub Date : 2021-06-01 DOI: 10.6531/JFS.202106_25(4).0003
Max Willis, Greta Adamo, J. Hanna, J. Auger
This article explores the role of the future in contemporary technology design, and elaborates how imagination can influence the present through the mechanism of speculation. Three applications of futures are introduced: extrapolation examines present data and trends to predict possible futures, reflecting on the present imagines possible futures for insights on current practices, while backcasting visualizes a preferred future and plots a trajectory from the present to achieve it. Design speculations for Ocean Wave Energy capture systems are presented that illustrate the shaping of the future with conceptual prototypes, and a future narrative when humanity has averted a climate catastrophe.
本文探讨了未来在当代技术设计中的作用,并阐述了想象力如何通过思辨机制影响现在。介绍了未来的三种应用:外推法考察了当前的数据和趋势,以预测可能的未来,反思当前,想象可能的未来以洞察当前的实践,而反向预测则可视化了一个首选的未来,并绘制了从现在到实现它的轨迹。介绍了海浪能捕获系统的设计推测,用概念原型说明了未来的塑造,以及当人类避免了气候灾难时的未来叙事。
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引用次数: 2
Exploring Digital Transformation in Higher Education and Research via Scenarios 通过场景探索高等教育和研究的数字化转型
IF 0.8 Q4 REGIONAL & URBAN PLANNING Pub Date : 2021-03-01 DOI: 10.6531/JFS.202103_25(3).0006
M. Barzman, M. Gerphagnon, G. Aubin‐Houzelstein, G. Baron, Alain Bénard, François Bouchet, Juliette Dibie-Barthélemy, J. Gibrat, S. Hodson, Evelyne Lhoste, Caroline Martin, Y. Moulier-Boutang, Sébastien Perrot, Fabrice Phung, C. Pichot, M. Siné, Thierry Venin, O. Mora
Digital transformation induces rapid and profound changes in higher education and research (HER). With this foresight, INRAE and Agreenium, two French public HER institutions centered on food, agriculture and the environment, explore the challenges they face in a world increasingly dependent on digital resources. Four scenarios generated via morphological analysis provide researchers, teachers and institutions a heuristic framework to anticipate risks and opportunities in terms of: platformization of research, commodification of knowledge and the ascendency of data; pressing demands to respond to planet-wide emergencies; renewed multi-stakeholder relations between civil society and the academic community; and limits on energy and raw materials devoted to digital uses.
数字化转型引发了高等教育和研究(HER)快速而深刻的变化。有了这一远见,法国两家以食品、农业和环境为中心的公共HER机构INRAE和Agreenium探索了他们在日益依赖数字资源的世界中所面临的挑战。通过形态分析生成的四种情景为研究人员、教师和机构提供了一个启发式框架,以预测以下方面的风险和机遇:研究平台化、知识商品化和数据优势;应对全球紧急情况的紧迫要求;恢复民间社会与学术界之间的多方利益攸关方关系;限制用于数字用途的能源和原材料。
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引用次数: 10
COVID-19 and Pandemic Preparedness: Foresight Narratives and Public Sector Responses 2019冠状病毒病和大流行防范:前瞻性叙述和公共部门应对
IF 0.8 Q4 REGIONAL & URBAN PLANNING Pub Date : 2021-01-01 DOI: 10.6531/jfs.202109_26(1).0001
I. Milojević
The management of the COVID-19 pandemic is a novel global challenge being addressed in real time. While some countries and regions of the world have had more recent experience managing similar viruses (such as SARS), all have had to deal with the new corona virus and the novel challenges that it presents. Public policy responses are rapidly changing, sometimes daily. This article focuses on how foresight narratives have impacted policymaking as related to the COVID-19 pandemic. More specifically, it provides an overview of the use of foresight within the public sector prior to the pandemic. It also investigates the key narratives in circulation during the implementation of governments' strategic objectives and the realization of visions of a 'pandemic-free' society. The approach used here is that of narrative foresight which predominantly focuses on the stories that individuals, organizations, states and civilizations tell themselves about the future. In addition to the overarching narratives, the article also investigates more specifically the most commonly used metaphors prior to and during the COVID-19 pandemic. The goal of the article is to ascertain which lessons we can learn in terms of successes and failures of narrative foresight in action', so as to be able to utilise this knowledge for future global problems. Finally, the article argues that many current metaphors and narratives are linked to 'futures fallacies' - detrimental thinking patterns about the future. It then concludes by briefly investigating alternative narratives and metaphors which are more likely to facilitate the desired future of adequate pandemic preparedness.
COVID-19大流行的管理是实时应对的一项新的全球挑战。虽然世界上一些国家和地区最近有了管理类似病毒(如SARS)的经验,但所有国家和地区都必须应对新的冠状病毒及其带来的新挑战。公共政策的反应正在迅速变化,有时每天都在变化。本文重点关注与COVID-19大流行相关的前瞻性叙事如何影响政策制定。更具体地说,它概述了在大流行之前公共部门使用预见的情况。报告还调查了在执行政府战略目标和实现"无大流行病"社会愿景期间流传的主要说法。这里使用的方法是叙事预见,主要关注个人、组织、国家和文明对自己讲述的关于未来的故事。除了总体叙述外,本文还更具体地调查了COVID-19大流行之前和期间最常用的隐喻。本文的目的是确定我们可以从“行动中的叙事远见”的成功和失败中吸取哪些教训,以便能够利用这些知识解决未来的全球问题。最后,文章认为,许多当前的隐喻和叙述都与“未来谬误”——关于未来的有害思维模式——有关。然后,它简要地调查了更有可能促进充分流行病防范的理想未来的替代叙述和比喻。
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引用次数: 4
Data-Driven Smart Sustainable Cities of the Future: A Novel Model of Urbanism and Its Core Dimensions, Strategies, and Solutions 数据驱动的未来智慧可持续城市:城市主义的新模式及其核心维度、战略和解决方案
IF 0.8 Q4 REGIONAL & URBAN PLANNING Pub Date : 2021-01-01 DOI: 10.6531/JFS.202012_25(2).0009
Simon Elias Bibri, J. Krogstie
The big data revolution is heralding an era where instrumentation, datafication, and computation are increasingly pervading the very fabric of cities. Big data technologies are seen as a powerful force that has great potential for improving and advancing urban sustainability thanks especially to the IoT. Therefore, they have become essential to the functioning of sustainable cities. Besides, yet knowing to what extent we are actually making any progress towards sustainable cities remains problematic, adding to the conflicting, or at least fragmented, picture that arises of change on the ground in the light of the escalating urbanization trend. In a nutshell, new circumstances require new responses. One of these responses that has recently gained prevalence worldwide is the idea of “data-driven smart sustainable cities.” This paper sets out to identify and integrate the underlying components of a novel model for data-driven smart sustainable cities of the future. This entails amalgamating the prevailing and emerging paradigms of urbanism in terms of their strategies and solutions, namely compact cities, eco-cities, data–driven smart cities, and environmentally data-driven smart sustainable cities. This amalgamation is grounded in the outcomes of the four case studies conducted on six of the ecologically and technologically leading cities in Europe. This empirical research is part of an extensive futures study, which aims to analyze, investigate, and develop a novel model for data-driven smart sustainable cities of the future using backcasting as a strategic planning process. We argue that the proposed model has great potential to improve and advance the contribution of sustainable cities to the goals of sustainability by harnessing its synergistic effects thanks to data-driven technologies and solutions. This new model is believed to be the first of its kind and thus has not been, to the best of our knowledge, produced, nor is it currently under investigation, elsewhere.
大数据革命预示着一个时代的到来,在这个时代,仪器、数据和计算将越来越多地渗透到城市的方方面面。大数据技术被视为一股强大的力量,在改善和推进城市可持续性方面具有巨大潜力,尤其是物联网。因此,它们对可持续城市的运作至关重要。此外,了解我们在迈向可持续城市的道路上到底取得了多大程度的进展仍然是一个问题,这加剧了在城市化趋势不断升级的背景下出现的冲突,或者至少是支离破碎的变化图景。简而言之,新的情况需要新的反应。其中一个最近在全球范围内流行的回应是“数据驱动的智能可持续城市”的想法。本文旨在确定并整合数据驱动的未来智能可持续城市新模型的基本组成部分。这需要在战略和解决方案方面整合现有的和新兴的城市主义模式,即紧凑型城市、生态城市、数据驱动的智慧城市和环境数据驱动的可持续智慧城市。这种融合是基于对欧洲六个生态和技术领先城市进行的四个案例研究的结果。本实证研究是一项广泛的未来研究的一部分,该研究旨在分析、调查和开发一种新的模型,用于数据驱动的未来智能可持续城市,将回溯作为战略规划过程。我们认为,由于数据驱动的技术和解决方案,该模型具有巨大的潜力,可以通过利用其协同效应来改善和推进可持续城市对可持续发展目标的贡献。据我们所知,这款新车型被认为是同类车型中的第一款,因此没有在其他地方生产,也没有在其他地方接受调查。
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引用次数: 11
Applying the Futures Wheel and Macrohistory to the Covid19 Global Pandemic 将未来之轮和宏观历史应用于covid - 19全球大流行
IF 0.8 Q4 REGIONAL & URBAN PLANNING Pub Date : 2020-12-01 DOI: 10.6531/JFS.202012_25(2).0006
P. Daffara
This paper investigates the systemic impacts of the COVID-19 pandemic and experiments with using two foresight methods with different time horizons to broaden the exploration. The Futures Wheel of consequences is applied to the global shock and pandemic of COVID-19 to firstly analyse systemic impacts of the virus within a short to medium timeframe. Then, four macrohistorical models are applied, to time two probable future trajectories resulting from the bifurcation point of the pandemic. The conclusion provides: (1) insights on the methodology of integrating the Futures Wheel and Macrohistory and proposes that they are indeed complimentary if a common spatial scale is used to link them, and (2) that the city is a practical and effective spatial scale to integrate the methods and their systemic impacts, and (3) real world actions in response to the pandemic, at the scale of the city, that may require further research.
本文探讨了新冠肺炎大流行的系统性影响,并尝试采用两种不同时间跨度的预测方法来拓宽探索。结果的未来之轮应用于2019冠状病毒病的全球冲击和大流行,首先分析该病毒在中短期内的系统性影响。然后,应用四种宏观历史模型,对大流行的分岔点可能产生的两种未来轨迹进行计时。结论提供了:(1)对整合未来之轮和宏观历史的方法的见解,并提出如果使用一个共同的空间尺度将它们联系起来,它们确实是互补的;(2)城市是一个实用而有效的空间尺度,可以整合这些方法及其系统影响;(3)在城市尺度上应对大流行的现实世界行动,这可能需要进一步研究。
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引用次数: 3
'Medicorobots' As an Emerging Biopower: How COVID-19 Has Accelerated Artificial Intelligence in A Post Corona-World “医疗机器人”作为一种新兴的生物力量:COVID-19如何在后冠状病毒世界加速人工智能
IF 0.8 Q4 REGIONAL & URBAN PLANNING Pub Date : 2020-12-01 DOI: 10.6531/JFS.202012_25(2).0003
A. Saniotis, M. Henneberg, Kazhaleh Mohammadi
The novel pathogen Severe Acute Respiratory Syndrome Coronavirus 2 (SARS-CoV-2), the cause of coronavirus disease (COVID-19), has created a global crisis Currently, the limits of public health systems and medical knowhow have been exposed COVID-19 has challenged our best minds, forcing them to return to the drawing board Fear of infection leading to possible life-long morbidity or death has embedded itself in the collective imagination leading to both altruistic and maladaptive behaviours Although, COVID-19 has been a global concern, its advent is a defining moment for artificial intelligence Medicorobots have been increasingly used in hospitals during the last twenty years Their various applications have included logistic support, feeding, nursing support and surface disinfection In this article we examine how COVID-19 is reframing technology/human interactions via medicorobots, and the future implications of this relationship In the last section we predict possible developments in artificial intelligence and how they may benefit future humanity in medicine
新型病原体严重急性呼吸系统综合征冠状病毒2(SARS-CoV-2)是冠状病毒疾病(新冠肺炎)的病因,它已经造成了一场全球危机,迫使他们回到绘图板上对可能导致终身发病或死亡的感染的恐惧已经嵌入了导致利他主义和适应不良行为的集体想象中。尽管新冠肺炎一直是全球关注的问题,它的出现是人工智能的一个决定性时刻在过去二十年中,医疗机器人越来越多地被用于医院。它们的各种应用包括后勤支持、喂养、护理支持和表面消毒,以及这种关系的未来影响在最后一节中,我们预测了人工智能的可能发展,以及它们如何在医学上造福未来人类
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引用次数: 1
Hong Kong's Unlikely Hope:That Its Future remains Its Past 香港不太可能的希望:它的未来仍然是它的过去
IF 0.8 Q4 REGIONAL & URBAN PLANNING Pub Date : 2020-09-01 DOI: 10.6531/JFS.202009_25(1).0005
J. Eagleton
The thinker Slavoj Zisek (1989, pp. 274-5) tells us that the future is the "supreme object of ideology" and that it is "without form, shape or color: it demands yet exceeds all figuration". Beijing seems to be privileging a future where Hong Kong is increasingly assimilated into the mainland despite promising a high degree of autonomy as part of the "One Country, Two Systems" framework; Hong Kong however privileges a future that maintains this high degree of autonomy. The Extradition Bill of 2019, which led to massive protests, was seen by a broad section of the community as a "tipping point" in Hong Kong's full integration into China. In this essay, the discussion revolves around the date of 2047, the end point of "50 years no change" to Hong Kong's systems as promised in its Basic Law and how the young, the CE, and Xi Jingping see the future. It will be argued that critical elements in Hong Kong see the city as being apart from China, rather than a part of it, a situation that China feels should no longer be the case.
思想家斯拉沃伊·齐塞克(1989,第274-5页)告诉我们,未来是“意识形态的最高对象”,它“没有形式、形状或色彩:它要求但又超越了所有的形象”。尽管承诺在“一国两制”框架下给予香港高度自治,但北京似乎在优先考虑香港日益融入内地的未来;然而,香港的未来将保持这种高度自治。2019年的《逃犯条例》引发了大规模抗议,被香港社会广泛视为香港全面融入中国的“转折点”。有人会说,香港的关键因素认为香港与中国是分离的,而不是中国的一部分,中国认为这种情况不应该再发生了。
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引用次数: 2
Transmedia Storytelling: Addressing Futures Communication Challenge with Video Animation 跨媒体讲故事:用视频动画解决未来的沟通挑战
IF 0.8 Q4 REGIONAL & URBAN PLANNING Pub Date : 2020-09-01 DOI: 10.6531/JFS.202009_25(1).0007
J. Buehring, N. Vittachi
Transmedia storytelling represents a process of communicating integral parts of a narrative across multiple delivery channels. Within the futures field this technique is being recognized as a potential instrument when determining how to present information in futures-oriented projects. Foresight professionals and researchers are often faced with the challenge of communicating large amounts of data generated through qualitative methods such as interviews, interpretive narration, and oral history at the end of a research project. While the process of disseminating research is every research’s obligation, communicating key insights gained from futures-related research, and presenting these in other formats that effectively extend the research results and new knowledge gained to nonexpert audiences, remains a key challenge. The purpose of this research is to address this gap in the literature by answering the question of how to communicate futures scenarios to nonexpert audiences, corporate decisionmakers, and their organizational teams using transmedia storytelling techniques and video animation as a medium. The fourstep process presented in this paper is based on a use case in which academics and designers, at a design school, took the findings of a financial services futures study and applied storytelling and visualization techniques to bring futures scenarios to life with video animation.
跨媒体讲故事代表了一个通过多个传递渠道传播故事的过程。在期货领域,当确定如何在面向期货的项目中呈现信息时,这项技术被认为是一种潜在的工具。远见专业人士和研究人员经常面临着在研究项目结束时交流通过访谈、解释性叙述和口述历史等定性方法产生的大量数据的挑战。虽然传播研究的过程是每一项研究的义务,但交流从未来相关研究中获得的关键见解,并以其他形式将这些见解有效地扩展到非专家受众,仍然是一个关键挑战。本研究的目的是通过回答如何使用跨媒体讲故事技术和视频动画作为媒介,向非专业受众、企业决策者及其组织团队传达未来场景的问题,来解决文献中的这一空白。本文中提出的四步流程基于一个用例,在该用例中,设计学院的学者和设计师利用金融服务未来研究的结果,并应用讲故事和可视化技术,通过视频动画将未来场景栩栩如生。
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引用次数: 6
Visioning the Future: Evaluating Learning Outcomes and Impacts of Futures-Oriented Education 展望未来:评估未来教育的学习成果和影响
IF 0.8 Q4 REGIONAL & URBAN PLANNING Pub Date : 2020-06-01 DOI: 10.6531/JFS.202006_24(4).0011
Kuo-Hua Chen, Li-ping Hsu
In a world of continuous change, fostering futures thinking in the education system has been recognized as a preferred and effective outcome to transform the current factory learning orientation into a culture of foresight. A lack of quantitative research on the measurable outcomes of futures learning seems to discouraging its development in the community of higher education. To fill the gap, this research conducted an empirical examination to evaluate the outcomes and impacts of Tamkang University’s future-oriented education; with a quantitative survey of 578 valid samples collected. This study applies the technique of factor analysis with five dimensions of futures thinking were identified: change agent, transdisciplinary system, long-term thinking, concern for others and openness to alternatives. The results indicate that students who have taken futures courses demonstrate statistically significant higher performance in two dimensions of futures thinking, namely transdisciplinary system and openness to alternatives. Additionally, they are more optimistic toward the year 2030. Male students exhibited significantly higher levels of change-agent futures thinking than that of female students. Freshmen, students of the business college and those less active in club activities exhibited lower performance in three dimensions of futures thinking. The initial results should bring guidance for other similar educational institutes that may consider following the path of futures-oriented pedagogical design.
在一个不断变化的世界中,在教育系统中培养未来思维已被认为是将目前的工厂学习导向转变为远见文化的首选和有效结果。缺乏对未来学习的可测量结果的定量研究似乎阻碍了其在高等教育界的发展。为了填补这一空白,本研究对淡江大学未来教育的效果和影响进行了实证检验;通过定量调查,收集有效样本578份。本研究运用因子分析方法,确定了未来思维的五个维度:变革动因、跨学科体系、长期思维、关心他人和对替代方案的开放性。结果表明,选修期货课程的学生在期货思维的两个维度(即跨学科系统和对替代方案的开放性)上表现出统计学上显著的提高。此外,他们对2030年更加乐观。男生的变革动因未来思维水平显著高于女生。新生、商学院学生和社团活动不活跃的学生在未来思维的三个维度上表现较差。初步研究结果将为其他类似的教育机构提供指导,这些机构可能考虑遵循面向未来的教学设计道路。
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引用次数: 7
期刊
Journal of Futures Studies
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