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State Economic Impacts of Industrial Park Development: Evidence from Virginia’s Tobacco Region Megasite Program 工业园区发展对国家经济的影响:来自弗吉尼亚州烟草地区大型项目的证据
IF 0.9 Q3 Social Sciences Pub Date : 2022-08-27 DOI: 10.52324/001c.37971
T. Rephann
Industrial park development is commonly advocated by state and local economic developers to aid in business attraction efforts. However, there is limited evidence of its effectiveness in promoting economic growth, particularly in rural and lagging regions in comparison to other economic development tools. This paper examines the literature on the relationship between business site availability and economic development and the rationale for public sector industrial land development assistance. Results from a survey of local economic developers in Virginia are used to characterize industrial park absorption and occupant attributes. Using this information, ex-ante state economic and tax revenue impact analyses are performed for a state-funded industrial park development program serving a rural region of Virginia, the Tobacco Region Megasite Program. The paper examines conditions that affect the economic and tax revenue impact potential of industrial parks and highlights remaining information gaps.
工业园区的发展通常是由国家和地方经济开发商提倡的,以帮助吸引商业的努力。然而,与其他经济发展工具相比,它在促进经济增长方面的有效性证据有限,特别是在农村和落后地区。本文考察了有关商业用地可用性与经济发展之间关系的文献,以及公共部门工业用地开发援助的基本原理。对弗吉尼亚州当地经济开发商的调查结果被用来表征工业园区的吸收和占用属性。利用这些信息,对国家资助的工业园区发展项目(烟草地区大型项目)进行了预先的州经济和税收影响分析,该项目服务于弗吉尼亚州的农村地区。本文考察了影响工业园区经济和税收影响潜力的条件,并强调了仍然存在的信息差距。
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引用次数: 1
Regional Resilience in China: The Response of the Provinces to the Growth Slowdown 中国的区域弹性:各省对经济增长放缓的反应
IF 0.9 Q3 Social Sciences Pub Date : 2022-04-22 DOI: 10.52324/001c.35253
Anping Chen, N. Groenewold
Since 2007 China’s real GDP growth rate has slowed from a level of over 10% per annum to below 7%. Given China’s regional diversity, an important aspect of the slowdown is the possible spatial variation in its experience. This is the issue we consider in this paper and we analyse this question in the context of the regional economic resilience framework. We proceed in two stages. In the first we analyse a measure of provincial slowdown (a sensitivity index) based just on growth rates and use cross-section regressions to investigate the determinants of this index, using a range of provincial characteristics common in the resilience literature. We find that economic structure, demographic factors and education all play a role, although with signs that are often at odds with the existing literature. In the second stage we decompose regional growth rates into national and province-specific components using a VAR model and argue that since resilience concerns the response of provinces to a national shock, it is properly analysed using just the national component of the growth rate rather than the growth rate as such. We therefore analyse a sensitivity index based just on the national component of growth and find many differences between the two sets of results. Using the second index matters for the determinants which are significant as well as for the magnitude of their coefficients. It appears that some of the influences found to be significant in the first stage are there only because of their influence on growth via the province-specific component of the growth rate and in this sense are spurious.
自2007年以来,中国的实际GDP增长率已从每年10%以上的水平降至7%以下。鉴于中国的区域多样性,经济放缓的一个重要方面是其经历可能存在的空间差异。这是我们在本文中考虑的问题,我们在区域经济弹性框架的背景下分析这个问题。我们分两个阶段进行。首先,我们分析了基于增长率的省级放缓(敏感性指数)的衡量标准,并使用横截面回归来调查该指数的决定因素,使用弹性文献中常见的一系列省级特征。我们发现,经济结构、人口因素和教育都发挥了作用,尽管其迹象往往与现有文献不一致。在第二阶段,我们使用VAR模型将区域增长率分解为国家和省份特定的组成部分,并认为由于弹性涉及省份对国家冲击的反应,因此仅使用增长率的国家组成部分而不是增长率本身进行分析是正确的。因此,我们分析了一个仅基于增长的国家成分的敏感性指数,并发现两组结果之间存在许多差异。使用第二个指标是重要的决定因素,以及其系数的大小。似乎在第一阶段发现的一些显著影响只是因为它们通过增长率的省份特定组成部分对增长产生影响,从这个意义上说,这些影响是虚假的。
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引用次数: 1
What Landmarks Do Visitors Remember about a Place? 游客会记住一个地方的哪些地标?
IF 0.9 Q3 Social Sciences Pub Date : 2022-04-22 DOI: 10.52324/001c.35254
Todd Gabe
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引用次数: 0
The Social and Economic Factors Underlying the Incidence of COVID-19 Cases and Deaths in US Counties During the Initial Outbreak Phase 在疫情爆发初期,美国县COVID-19病例和死亡发生率背后的社会和经济因素
IF 0.9 Q3 Social Sciences Pub Date : 2022-04-22 DOI: 10.52324/001c.35255
Nivedita Mukherji
This paper uncovers the socioeconomic and health/lifestyle factors that can explain the differential impact of the coronavirus pandemic on different parts of the United States during the initial outbreak phase of the pandemic. Using a dynamic panel representation of an epidemiological model of disease spread, the paper develops a Vulnerability Index for US counties from the daily reported number of cases over a 20-day period of rapid disease growth. County-level economic, demographic, and health factors are used to explain the differences in the values of this index and thereby the transmission and concentration of the disease across the country. These factors are also used to examine the number of reported deaths. The paper finds that counties with high median income have a high incidence of cases but reported lower deaths. Income inequality, as measured by the Gini coefficient, is found to be associated with more deaths and more cases. The remarkable similarity in the distribution of cases across the country and the distribution of distance-weighted international passengers served by the top international airports is evidence of the spread of the virus by way of international travel. The distributions of age, race and health risk factors such as obesity and diabetes are found to be particularly significant factors in explaining the differences in mortality across counties. Counties with better access to health care, as measured by the number of primary care physicians per capita, have lower deaths, and so do places with more health awareness as measured by flu vaccination prevalence. Environmental health conditions such as the amount of air pollution are found to be associated with counties with higher deaths from the virus. It is hoped that research such as these will help policymakers to develop risk factors for each region of the country to better contain the spread of infectious diseases in the future.
本文揭示了社会经济和健康/生活方式因素,这些因素可以解释冠状病毒大流行在大流行爆发初期对美国不同地区的不同影响。本文使用疾病传播流行病学模型的动态面板表示,根据20天疾病快速增长期间每天报告的病例数,为美国各县制定了脆弱性指数。县级经济、人口和健康因素被用来解释该指数值的差异,从而解释疾病在全国的传播和集中。这些因素也用于检查报告的死亡人数。论文发现,收入中位数高的县发病率高,但报告的死亡率较低。研究发现,以基尼系数衡量的收入不平等与更多的死亡和病例有关。全国各地病例分布和主要国际机场服务的距离加权国际旅客分布显著相似,这是病毒通过国际旅行传播的证据。年龄、种族和健康风险因素(如肥胖和糖尿病)的分布被发现是解释各县死亡率差异的特别重要因素。以人均初级保健医生的数量衡量,获得卫生保健机会更好的县的死亡率较低;以流感疫苗接种普及率衡量,卫生意识更强的地区的死亡率也较低。研究发现,空气污染程度等环境卫生条件与该病毒死亡率较高的县有关。人们希望,诸如此类的研究将帮助决策者为该国的每个地区制定风险因素,以便在未来更好地控制传染病的传播。
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引用次数: 13
The Effects of Tornadoes on Housing Prices in Moore, Oklahoma 龙卷风对俄克拉荷马州摩尔市房价的影响
IF 0.9 Q3 Social Sciences Pub Date : 2022-04-17 DOI: 10.52324/001c.34682
Whoi Cho, Brian E. Whitacre, Claudia A Rhoades
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引用次数: 0
Neighborhood Land Uses as Predictors of the Upward Mobility of Poor Youth 社区土地利用作为贫困青年向上流动的预测因素
IF 0.9 Q3 Social Sciences Pub Date : 2022-04-17 DOI: 10.52324/001c.34681
K. Ihlanfeldt
: Land uses within the neighborhood where poor youths reside have important effects on their development and therefore may predict their welfare as adults. Mean household incomes as adults and teenage birth rates of youth growing up in poor households are predicted based upon the land uses within the neighborhood they occupied as teenagers. Controlling for an extensive set of neighborhood socioeconomic and demographic variables, land uses are found to add to our understanding of the characteristics of places with upward mobility. Differences in land use between white and minority youth neighborhoods are also found to explain racial gaps in adult outcomes.
贫困青年居住的社区内的土地使用对他们的发展有重要影响,因此可以预测他们成年后的福利状况。在贫困家庭长大的青少年成年后的平均家庭收入和青少年生育率是根据他们青少年时期居住的社区内的土地使用情况来预测的。通过控制一系列广泛的社区社会经济和人口变量,我们发现土地利用增加了我们对具有向上流动性的地方特征的理解。白人和少数族裔青年社区之间的土地使用差异也被发现可以解释成年后的种族差异。
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引用次数: 0
Economic Downturn, Change in Unemployment, and the Midwest: A Quantile Regression Approach 经济衰退、失业变化与中西部:分位数回归方法
IF 0.9 Q3 Social Sciences Pub Date : 2022-04-17 DOI: 10.52324/001c.34680
Kathryn G. Arano, Arundhati Srinivasan
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引用次数: 0
Measuring Knowledge-capital Stock and Its Relationship with Economic Growth in the Mexican States 墨西哥各州知识资本存量测量及其与经济增长的关系
IF 0.9 Q3 Social Sciences Pub Date : 2021-12-22 DOI: 10.52324/001c.31062
Vicente German-Soto, Alma Leticia Rodríguez Hernández
: This work proposes a new technique for measuring knowledge capital that applies the concept of Euclidian distance to factors often considered pillars of knowledge. Importantly, this methodological proposal can suitably treat variables assessed using different measurement units and scales. The empirical exercise considers the 32 Mexican states between 2000 and 2016, with results classifying the economies into high and low knowledge levels and estimates of the link between knowledge and economic growth, confirming the hypothesis of decreasing returns and demonstrating a positive relationship with knowledge capital. The conclusions recommend strengthening knowledge capital in all regions to boost economic growth and transition to a knowledge economy.
这项工作提出了一种测量知识资本的新技术,该技术将欧几里得距离的概念应用于通常被认为是知识支柱的因素。重要的是,该方法建议可以适当地处理使用不同测量单位和尺度评估的变量。实证研究考虑了2000年至2016年间墨西哥的32个州,结果将经济分为高知识水平和低知识水平,并估计了知识与经济增长之间的联系,证实了收益递减的假设,并证明了与知识资本的正相关关系。结论建议在所有地区加强知识资本,以促进经济增长和向知识经济过渡。
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引用次数: 0
Are We in the 4th Wave of Economic Development? 我们正处于第四次经济发展浪潮吗?
IF 0.9 Q3 Social Sciences Pub Date : 2021-12-16 DOI: 10.52324/001c.30813
S. Deller
: How states, as well as communities, have approached economic growth and development policy has varied over time, going through various stages or waves. The idea that we have gone through three such stages or waves has been widely discussed and studied by both academics and practitioners. In this address, I lay out a series of arguments that we have entered a fourth stage or wave in how communities approach economic growth and development. Specifically, communities are refocusing their attention less so on promoting business development and more on making their community attractive to people. Sometimes referred to as “place-making,” the idea is that if we make the community as attractive to people as possible, people will want to live in the community and create business opportunities. This shift from focusing on people rather than businesses is fundamental to how communities think about economic growth and development.
当前位置各州和社区如何处理经济增长和发展政策随着时间的推移而变化,经历了不同的阶段或浪潮。我们经历了三个这样的阶段或浪潮,这一观点在学术界和实践者中都得到了广泛的讨论和研究。在这次演讲中,我提出了一系列论点,认为我们已经进入了社区如何处理经济增长和发展的第四个阶段或浪潮。具体来说,社区正在将注意力从促进商业发展转向如何吸引人们。有时被称为“场所营造”,其理念是,如果我们让社区尽可能吸引人们,人们就会想住在社区里,并创造商业机会。这种从关注人而不是企业的转变,对社区如何看待经济增长和发展至关重要。
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引用次数: 4
Effects of Speed Cameras on Intersection Accidents: Evidence from Dayton 超速摄像头对十字路口事故的影响:来自代顿的证据
IF 0.9 Q3 Social Sciences Pub Date : 2021-12-15 DOI: 10.52324/001c.30972
Kevin Willardsen
: Over 30,000 people die annually in automobile accidents in the United States, which equates to about 10 in every 100,000 deaths. Empirical evidence on the effectiveness of speed cameras is mixed primarily due to the endogeneity of the timing and placement of the cameras. I am able to circumvent these issues by leveraging multiple court cases and political infighting that turn the cameras off, on, and off again on two separate data sets. Using a before-after and a difference-in-differences estimator over a twenty-year period, I find all three exogenous shocks suggest roughly the same effect. Speed cameras are weakly effective at preventing the total number of monthly accidents (0.3), certain types of “Angle” accidents (0.15), and most importantly, the severity of those accidents (0.14), which equate to about an 18.5%, 20%, and 41% decrease respectively.
美国每年有3万多人死于车祸,相当于每10万人中有10人死于车祸。关于测速摄像机有效性的经验证据是混合的,主要是由于摄像机的时间和位置的内生性。我可以通过利用多个法庭案件和政治内讧来规避这些问题,这些案件和政治内讧可以在两个独立的数据集上反复打开、关闭摄像头。使用前后对比和差异中之差的20年估计,我发现所有三种外生冲击都显示出大致相同的影响。测速摄像头在防止每月事故总数(0.3)、某些类型的“角度”事故(0.15)以及最重要的事故严重程度(0.14)方面的效果较弱,分别相当于减少18.5%、20%和41%。
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Review of Regional Studies
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