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City-Specific Racial Differences in the Labor Supply of Women 女性劳动力供给的城市种族差异
IF 0.9 Q3 Social Sciences Pub Date : 2019-12-17 DOI: 10.52324/001c.11212
J. Gardner, Natalia A. Kolesnikova
Theoretical and empirical analyses typically ignore geographic variation in female employment and racial differences in female employment outcomes. We document that there is substantial heterogeneity in female employment with respect to geographic location, race, and their interaction. We show that a parsimonious set of area-level controls explains a substantial portion of that heterogeneity. Our results suggest that analyses that ignore geographic variation may misstate the determinants of female employment, possibly producing erroneous conclusions and policy prescriptions. They also suggest that understanding geographic heterogeneity is crucial to understanding racial differences in female employment as well as female employment itself.
理论和实证分析通常忽略了女性就业的地理差异和女性就业结果的种族差异。我们记录了女性就业在地理位置、种族及其相互作用方面存在实质性的异质性。我们表明,一套简约的区域级控制解释了这种异质性的很大一部分。我们的研究结果表明,忽视地理差异的分析可能会错误地描述女性就业的决定因素,可能会得出错误的结论和政策处方。他们还指出,理解地域异质性对于理解女性就业中的种族差异以及女性就业本身至关重要。
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引用次数: 1
The Rust Belt, the Sunbelt, and the Concentration of Poverty Within Large U.S. Cities 铁锈地带、阳光地带和美国大城市的贫困集中
IF 0.9 Q3 Social Sciences Pub Date : 2019-12-05 DOI: 10.52324/001c.11161
S. Hegerty
Previous research that has quantified the dispersion of U.S. urban poverty has often focused on metropolitan areas rather than on central cities themselves. Detroit, for example, shares a region with wealthy suburbs and thus appears to have concentrated poverty, but the city itself is uniformly poor and has few pockets of wealth. This study calculates four measures of household poverty concentration across block groups inside 74 U.S. cities, finding poor Rust Belt cities such as Detroit to have diffuse poverty. We also isolate a group of low-poverty, high-concentration cities in the U.S. South and West, as well as outliers that include Sunbelt cities with more diffuse poverty than predicted. Regression analysis finds the poverty rate itself to explain most of the variation in poverty concentration, with ethnic composition and the share of service employment also playing a potential role. Calculating changes in tract level poverty distributions from 2010 to 2015, we find that the concentration of poverty has decreased overall and that growth in the share of Hispanic residents might help explain these decreases.
以前量化美国城市贫困分布的研究往往集中在大都市地区,而不是中心城市本身。例如,底特律与富裕的郊区共享一个地区,因此似乎集中了贫困,但城市本身却普遍贫穷,几乎没有富人。这项研究计算了美国74个城市中不同街区的家庭贫困集中度的四种衡量标准,发现底特律等贫穷的“铁锈地带”城市存在分散性贫困。我们还隔离了美国南部和西部的一组低贫困、人口高度集中的城市,以及包括阳光地带城市在内的异常值,这些城市的贫困比预期的更为分散。回归分析发现贫困率本身可以解释贫困集中的大部分变化,种族构成和服务业就业的份额也起着潜在的作用。通过计算2010年至2015年地区贫困分布的变化,我们发现贫困的集中度总体上有所下降,西班牙裔居民比例的增长可能有助于解释这些下降。
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引用次数: 4
Population Dynamics and Spatial Dependence: Evidence from Brazilian Cities 人口动态与空间依赖:来自巴西城市的证据
IF 0.9 Q3 Social Sciences Pub Date : 2019-11-29 DOI: 10.52324/001c.11127
D. Silva, R. S. Neto
This paper focuses on Brazil's population dynamics between 1970 and 2010. The first objective is to explore the behavior of Brazil's population distribution, revisiting the traditional rank-size rule and Markov chain approaches. To increase the accuracy of the information on the dynamics and evolution of the population distribution, spatial dependence is introduced through spatial Markov chains. The distribution shape may indicate that divergence in population size of minimum comparable areas (MCAs) is decreasing. The Zipf's law estimation indicates that the population distribution is, every decade, moving away from Pareto law. The Markov chain approach indicates, as main evidence, the high persistence of MCAs to remain in their own class size from one decade to another over the entire period, and that different spatial contexts have different effects on regional transitions.
本文关注的是1970年至2010年间巴西的人口动态。第一个目标是探索巴西人口分布的行为,重新审视传统的秩-大小规则和马尔可夫链方法。为了提高种群分布动态演化信息的准确性,通过空间马尔可夫链引入空间依赖性。其分布形态可能表明最小可比区种群规模的差异正在减小。齐夫定律估计表明,人口分布每十年都偏离帕累托定律。马尔可夫链方法作为主要证据表明,在整个时期内,从一个十年到另一个十年,MCAs保持在自己的班级规模上的高度持久性,并且不同的空间背景对区域过渡有不同的影响。
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引用次数: 2
A Quantile Regression Approach to Examine Changes in County Unemployment Rates in Indiana during the Great Recession 大衰退期间印第安纳州县失业率变化的分位数回归方法
IF 0.9 Q3 Social Sciences Pub Date : 2019-11-25 DOI: 10.52324/001c.11094
Arundhati Srinivasan, Kathryn G. Arano
We take a closer look at changes in county unemployment rates in Indiana during the Great Recession and evaluate how local population and the mix of sectoral employment influence these patterns. Using a quantile regression approach, we specifically observe the impacts on counties on both tails of the changes in unemployment distribution. We find the impact of sectoral composition of a county’s workforce depends on its geographical classification. Overall, greater reliance on pro-cyclical industries, most notably manufacturing, magnifies the increases in unemployment during the recession. This effect is further amplified for MSA counties. In contrast, counter-cyclical industries, education in particular, insulates the counties in the top 10th percentile of the distribution of changes in unemployment rates, and a stronger insulation effect is observed for MSA counties. At the bottom 10th percentile, education marginally amplifies changes in unemployment rates for MSA counties, whereas it insulates non-MSA counties from the same distribution.
我们仔细研究了大衰退期间印第安纳州县失业率的变化,并评估了当地人口和部门就业组合如何影响这些模式。使用分位数回归方法,我们具体观察了失业分布变化对县的影响。我们发现,一个国家劳动力的部门构成的影响取决于其地理分类。总体而言,对顺周期行业(最明显的是制造业)的更大依赖,放大了衰退期间失业率的增长。这种影响在MSA县进一步放大。相反,反周期产业,特别是教育,将失业率变化分布的前10%的县隔离开来,并且在MSA县观察到更强的隔离效应。在最底层的10%,教育略微放大了MSA县失业率的变化,而非MSA县则与同样的分布隔绝开来。
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引用次数: 0
Universities, Agglomeration, and Regional Innovation 大学、集聚与区域创新
IF 0.9 Q3 Social Sciences Pub Date : 2019-11-07 DOI: 10.52324/001c.10940
Michael J. Orlando, Michael A. Verba, S. Weiler
Urban agglomeration is an important correlate to regional innovation. Large population centers pool knowledge workers and facilitate spillovers essential to innovative activity. And large populations provide more cost-effective locations for non-labor inputs to innovation, including local infrastructure that may facilitate innovative activity. However, university locations may also agglomerate these innovative in-puts, even absent the agglomerative effects of large populations. Regional policymakers may find it useful to differentiate between various correlates to innovation. This paper exploits the collinearity of universities and population with regional human capital to apportion the relationship between these regional correlates of innovation into human-capital related and non-human-capital related channels. We identify a correlation between universities and regional innovation that reflects a relationship between innovation and regional human capital correlated with university presence. None of this relationship can be apportioned to factors correlated with university presence and uncorrelated with local human capital. A key methodological contribution of this paper is the analytical framework, which can be extended to a larger number of aggregate factors and causal channels.
城市群是区域创新的重要关联。庞大的人口中心聚集了知识工作者,促进了对创新活动至关重要的溢出效应。大量人口为创新的非劳动力投入提供了更具成本效益的场所,包括可能促进创新活动的当地基础设施。然而,即使没有大量人口的聚集效应,大学所在地也可能聚集这些创新投入。地区政策制定者可能会发现,区分与创新相关的各种因素是有用的。本文利用大学和人口与区域人力资本的共线性关系,将创新的区域相关因素划分为人力资本相关渠道和非人力资本相关渠道。我们确定了大学与区域创新之间的相关性,这反映了创新与与大学存在相关的区域人力资本之间的关系。这些关系都不能解释为与大学存在相关而与当地人力资本无关的因素。本文在方法论上的一个关键贡献是分析框架,它可以扩展到更多的综合因素和因果渠道。
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引用次数: 7
Place-Based Factors and the Performance of Farm-Level Entrepreneurship: A Spatial Interaction Model of Agritourism in the U.S. 地方因素与农场创业绩效:美国农业旅游的空间互动模型
IF 0.9 Q3 Social Sciences Pub Date : 2019-10-16 DOI: 10.52324/001c.10800
A. V. Sandt, Sarah A. Low, B. Jablonski, S. Weiler
We apply farm-level data to a two-stage model to explore how three different theories of comparative advantage influence the propensity of a farm or ranch to adopt an agritourism enterprise and the level of economic activity tied to that enterprise. Findings suggest that a county's entrepreneurial spirit and scenic byways increase the propensity to adopt agritourism, but natural endowments and agglomeration are the primary drivers of agritourism economic activity. Results should assist policy makers as well as rural economic development researchers in leveraging community strengths to increase economic activity in the agritourism industry and its surrounding rural economies.
我们将农场层面的数据应用到一个两阶段模型中,以探索三种不同的比较优势理论如何影响农场或牧场采用农业旅游企业的倾向以及与该企业相关的经济活动水平。研究结果表明,县域的企业家精神和风景优美的小路增加了农业旅游的倾向,但自然禀赋和集聚是农业经济活动的主要驱动力。研究结果应有助于决策者和农村经济发展研究人员利用社区力量,增加农业旅游业及其周边农村经济的经济活动。
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引用次数: 9
A Role for Regional Science in Analyzing Water Issues 区域科学在分析水问题中的作用
IF 0.9 Q3 Social Sciences Pub Date : 2019-08-31 DOI: 10.52324/001c.10213
Christa D. Court, Elham Erfanian
The World Economic Forum has consistently ranked water crises as one of the top five most impactful issues facing humanity, alongside but not completely separate from issues such as climate change and natural disasters (World Economic Forum, 2019). A growing population and changing climate will only further stress the constrained water system. Acute and ongoing societal disruptions, caused by significant declines in the available quality and quantity of fresh water around the globe, underscore the importance of water to human life and a functional society. The papers in this special issue highlight the role that regional scientists can and should play in informed decision-making related to water at the local, regional, and national scale.
世界经济论坛一直将水危机列为人类面临的五大最具影响力的问题之一,与气候变化和自然灾害等问题并列,但并非完全分开(世界经济论坛,2019年)。不断增长的人口和不断变化的气候只会进一步加剧本已受到限制的水系统的压力。全球各地可用淡水质量和数量的大幅下降造成了严重和持续的社会混乱,这凸显了水对人类生活和一个功能良好的社会的重要性。本期特刊中的论文强调了区域科学家能够而且应该在地方、区域和国家尺度上与水有关的知情决策中发挥的作用。
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引用次数: 0
A Multi-Regional Input-Output (MRIO) Analytical Framework for Assessing the Regional Economic Impacts of Rising Water Prices 水价上涨对区域经济影响的多区域投入产出分析框架
IF 0.9 Q3 Social Sciences Pub Date : 2019-08-27 DOI: 10.52324/001c.10172
Kevin Credit, Elizabeth A. Mack, S. Wrase
Understanding the regional economic implications of rising water and wastewater services is important, because these services are household necessities. To date, however, there are few (if any) studies examining the link between water costs and indicators of economic vitality such as jobs, output, and regional income. To advance work on this particular topic, this paper proposes a novel methodology that estimates changes in household spending information from the Consumer Expenditure Survey (CES) for a particular change in water prices. This vector of final demand changes is then linked to multi-regional input-output (MRIO) models to estimate the regional economic impacts associated with changes in consumer spending patterns. To demonstrate this methodology, three water price increase scenarios are derived, and associated changes in final demand estimated.
了解供水和污水处理服务上升对区域经济的影响很重要,因为这些服务是家庭必需品。然而,迄今为止,很少有(如果有的话)研究考察水成本与经济活力指标(如就业、产出和区域收入)之间的联系。为了推进这一特定主题的工作,本文提出了一种新的方法,该方法可以根据水价的特定变化来估计消费者支出调查(CES)中家庭支出信息的变化。然后将最终需求变化向量与多区域投入产出(MRIO)模型联系起来,以估计与消费者支出模式变化相关的区域经济影响。为了证明这一方法,推导了三种水价上涨情景,并估计了最终需求的相关变化。
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引用次数: 0
The Role of Interregional Trade in Virtual Water on the Blue Water Footprint and the Water Exploitation Index in Brazil 巴西区域间虚拟水贸易对蓝水足迹和水资源开发指数的影响
IF 0.9 Q3 Social Sciences Pub Date : 2019-08-26 DOI: 10.52324/001c.10168
Jaqueline Coelho Visentin, J. Guilhoto
Brazil is known for its abundant water supply. However, an uneven spatial distribution of water and strong concentration of economic activities has caused some regions to face water restrictions. The objective of this research is to identify the main water users in Brazil, in terms of virtual blue water, and the impacts of the water use pattern on the regional Water Exploitation Index. Among the main results, the hydrographic basin Tiet^{e} was identified as the largest responsible basin for virtual blue water demand, while the hydrographic basin Litoral AL PE PB was an important virtual water supplier. Virtual blue water flows are largely interregional and a majority of the flows (66 percent) were exports from basins where the water balance indicates potential water restrictions. These results suggest that interregional trade in virtual blue water affects water availability for some Brazilian hydrographic basins, potentially undermining water security.
巴西以其丰富的水资源供应而闻名。然而,水资源空间分布不均和经济活动高度集中导致一些地区面临水资源限制。本研究的目的是确定巴西在虚拟蓝水方面的主要用水户,以及用水模式对区域水资源开发指数的影响。结果表明,Tiet^{e}是最大的虚拟蓝水需水量负责流域,而Litoral AL PE PB是重要的虚拟供水量负责流域。虚拟蓝水流量主要是区域间的,大部分流量(66%)来自水资源平衡表明潜在水资源限制的流域。这些结果表明,虚拟蓝水的区域间贸易影响了一些巴西水文盆地的水可用性,潜在地破坏了水安全。
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引用次数: 10
Drought Status, Price, and the Effectiveness of Water Use Restrictions in Pennsylvania 宾夕法尼亚州的干旱状况、价格和用水限制的有效性
IF 0.9 Q3 Social Sciences Pub Date : 2019-08-14 DOI: 10.52324/001c.10040
G. A. Krohn
During droughts, governments and water suppliers typically implement non-price policies to encourage water conservation. The state of Pennsylvania requests voluntary reductions in residential water use during moderate droughts and imposes mandatory restrictions during drought emergencies. This study utilizes data on household water consumption to measure the effectiveness of the water use restrictions in Pennsylvania during the moderate drought years 2015-2017. Results suggest that voluntary water use restrictions have smaller than desired effects and that the effects are larger the higher the marginal price of water, perhaps reflecting a trade-off between non-monetary benefits and the welfare loss from reducing water usage. The effectiveness of voluntary water use restrictions also is found to increase with the length of the drought.
在干旱期间,政府和供水商通常实施非价格政策以鼓励节约用水。宾夕法尼亚州要求在中度干旱期间自愿减少居民用水,并在干旱紧急情况下实施强制性限制。本研究利用家庭用水量数据来衡量宾夕法尼亚州在2015-2017年中度干旱期间用水限制的有效性。结果表明,自愿用水限制的效果比预期的要小,而且边际水价越高,效果越大,这可能反映了减少用水带来的非货币效益和福利损失之间的权衡。自愿限制用水的有效性也随着干旱时间的延长而增加。
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引用次数: 1
期刊
Review of Regional Studies
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