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Economic freedom of the world: wholly owned subsidiaries and joint ventures as binary response 世界经济自由:全资子公司和合资企业作为二元反应
IF 3.5 Q1 Social Sciences Pub Date : 2022-10-12 DOI: 10.1080/19186444.2022.2127610
Mohd. Nadeem Bhat, Firdos Ikram, M. N. Rahman, Mohd Hammad Naeem
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引用次数: 2
Geopolitical risk and uncertainty: how transnational corporations can use scenario planning for strategic resilience 地缘政治风险和不确定性:跨国公司如何利用情景规划提高战略弹性
IF 3.5 Q1 Social Sciences Pub Date : 2022-10-02 DOI: 10.1080/19186444.2022.2145865
Meelis Kitsing
Abstract This article shows conceptually how scenario planning method can be used in corporate strategy-making by considering both risks and uncertainties. Risk assessments can be used as foundation for trends shaping transnational corporations which form basic assumptions for scenarios. Uncertainties are key drivers of geopolitical developments in which combination alternative scenarios emerge. Various geopolitical scenarios developed by different foresight teams and ranging from direct war to conditional cooperation are outlined in the article. Most importantly, implications of these scenarios are explored for transnational corporations with particular focus on improving strategic resilience.
本文从概念上展示了情景规划方法如何在考虑风险和不确定性的情况下用于企业战略制定。风险评估可作为形成跨国公司的趋势的基础,这些趋势构成各种情景的基本假设。不确定性是地缘政治发展的关键驱动因素,在这些发展中出现了各种组合的替代方案。文章概述了由不同的预见小组开发的各种地缘政治情景,从直接战争到有条件的合作。最重要的是,本文探讨了这些情景对跨国公司的影响,并特别关注提高战略弹性。
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引用次数: 1
The nexus between real exchange rate misalignment and US–China trade: evidence from post RMB regimes 实际汇率失调与中美贸易之间的关系:来自后人民币制度的证据
IF 3.5 Q1 Social Sciences Pub Date : 2022-10-02 DOI: 10.1080/19186444.2022.2127392
Shaher Abbas, Xiaoyong Lu, Minrong Qiu, Chen Ai, Gui Peng
Abstract This paper investigates the impact of real exchange rate volatility and misalignment on exports and imports between China and the United States. Our empirical analysis used the quarterly time series data over the 1994Q:1–2019Q:4 period. We used the ARDL-bound testing approach for the short- and long-run relationship. The empirical results reveal that China’s real exchange rate volatility and misalignment significantly impact China’s real exports and imports over the sample period. In the short-run, the relationship between real exchange rate misalignments and China’s exports is positive, whereas negative with imports from the United States. In the long run, the real exchange rate misalignment positively affects exports and negatively affects imports. The evidence suggests that both higher real exchange rate volatility and misalignment directly affect the relative price of goods and encourage China exports to United States.
摘要本文研究了实际汇率波动和汇率失调对中美进出口贸易的影响。我们的实证分析使用了1994年第四季度至2019年第四季度的季度时间序列数据。我们对短期和长期关系使用了绑定了ardl的测试方法。实证结果表明,在样本期内,中国的实际汇率波动和失调显著影响了中国的实际进出口。在短期内,实际汇率失调与中国出口呈正相关,而与从美国进口呈负相关。长期来看,实际汇率失调对出口产生积极影响,对进口产生消极影响。证据表明,较高的实际汇率波动和汇率失调直接影响商品的相对价格,并鼓励中国向美国出口。
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引用次数: 0
The effect of foreign direct investment on economic growth in developing countries 外国直接投资对发展中国家经济增长的影响
IF 3.5 Q1 Social Sciences Pub Date : 2022-10-02 DOI: 10.1080/19186444.2022.2146967
Ezo Emako, S. Nuru, M. Menza
Abstract The article considers analysing the effect of sector-specific foreign direct investment (FDI) (the primary, secondary, and tertiary sectors) on economic growth in 19 developing countries over the period 2005–2018. Variables such as human capital, domestic investment, financial development, openness of the economy, labour force, and arable land were included as control variables. A robust two-step system generalised method of moments (GMM) was utilised for the analysis of the data. The study found that FDI’s growth effect is indeed influenced by its sectoral composition in developing countries. The finding reveals that FDI in manufacturing has a positive and statistically significant influence on economic growth, whereas FDI in the tertiary sector has a statistically significant negative effect on economic growth, but FDI in the primary sector has a negative but negligible effect on economic growth. Lastly, it can be concluded from the above results that the more manufacturing FDI that countries attract, the greater their economic growth will be. In light of this, the countries should provide special incentives like tariff reductions, tax holidays, and cheap-rented land supplies in order to attract more manufacturing sector FDI.
本文分析了2005-2018年期间19个发展中国家特定行业的外国直接投资(FDI)(第一、第二和第三产业)对经济增长的影响。控制变量包括人力资本、国内投资、金融发展、经济开放度、劳动力、耕地等。采用稳健的两步系统广义矩量法(GMM)对数据进行分析。研究发现,发展中国家FDI的增长效应确实受到其部门构成的影响。研究发现,制造业FDI对经济增长具有统计学上显著的正向影响,而第三产业FDI对经济增长具有统计学上显著的负向影响,而第一产业FDI对经济增长具有统计学上显著的负向影响,但可以忽略不计。最后,从以上结果可以得出结论,一国吸引的制造业FDI越多,其经济增长就越快。有鉴于此,各国应提供关税减免、免税期和廉价租赁土地供应等特殊激励措施,以吸引更多制造业FDI。
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引用次数: 0
Introduction for the special issue geopolitical risks and transnational corporations: the case of the Ukrainian Crisis 专题导论地缘政治风险与跨国公司:以乌克兰危机为例
IF 3.5 Q1 Social Sciences Pub Date : 2022-10-02 DOI: 10.1080/19186444.2022.2141050
Xiaotong Zhang, Érick Duchesne
Abstract This special issue aims at further understanding of geopolitical risks facing multinational corporations in the context of the Russia–Ukraine war. In the Introduction, we first provide an overview of the contributions of each article in this Special Issue. Secondly, we offer a definition of a geopolitical risk, as “an international risk provoked by geography-related acts” and explain the underlying causes of these risks as associated with evolving geopolitical structures. Thirdly, we assess the price to pay for failing to anticipate geopolitical risks, using the Ukrainian Crisis as a Case in Point. In conclusion, we propose that it is essential to increase the focus on the “geo” components of “geopolitics,” to better understand the true meanings of geopolitical risks.
本期特刊旨在进一步了解跨国公司在俄乌战争背景下面临的地缘政治风险。在引言部分,我们首先概述了本期特刊每篇文章的贡献。其次,我们给出了地缘政治风险的定义,即“由地理相关行为引发的国际风险”,并解释了这些风险与地缘政治结构演变相关的潜在原因。第三,我们以乌克兰危机为例,评估了未能预见地缘政治风险所要付出的代价。综上所述,我们建议加强对“地缘政治”的“地缘”成分的关注,以更好地理解地缘政治风险的真正含义。
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引用次数: 1
Chinese transnational corporations in the Ukraine crisis: risk perception and mitigation 乌克兰危机中的中国跨国公司:风险感知与缓解
IF 3.5 Q1 Social Sciences Pub Date : 2022-10-02 DOI: 10.1080/19186444.2022.2144082
Shaohua Yan, Xu Yao, Bin Ma
Abstract As the most consequential geopolitical event in the post-Cold War era, the Ukraine Crisis has given rise to intensive debates over the impacts of geopolitics on the operation of transnational corporations. While lots of attention has been paid to the impacts of the crisis on global economies and business operations, there is still limited understanding of how Chinese transnational corporations (CTCs) perceive and respond to the geopolitical risks associated with the Ukraine crisis. This article contributes to the literature by studying the risk perceptions and mitigations of CTCs towards the Ukraine crisis. It argues that CTCs’ risk perceptions have centred on three aspects, including the Russia-Ukraine war itself, the sanctions imposed by western countries and the possible deterioration of China-EU-US relations. Based on these risk perceptions, CTCs have turned to diversified strategies to mitigate the geopolitical risks linked with the Ukraine crisis, with low-profile compliance being the dominant strategy among CTCs.
乌克兰危机作为后冷战时代最重大的地缘政治事件,引发了地缘政治对跨国公司经营影响的激烈争论。虽然危机对全球经济和商业运营的影响已经引起了很多关注,但对于中国跨国公司(ctc)如何感知和应对与乌克兰危机相关的地缘政治风险,人们的理解仍然有限。本文通过研究ctc对乌克兰危机的风险认知和缓解措施,为文献做出了贡献。它认为,ctc的风险认知集中在三个方面,包括俄乌战争本身、西方国家实施的制裁以及中国-欧盟-美国关系可能恶化。基于这些风险认知,ctc已转向采取多样化策略来减轻与乌克兰危机相关的地缘政治风险,其中低调合规是ctc的主导策略。
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引用次数: 2
How political risk in host country affects FDI: an explanation for the paradox of China’s investment risk preference 东道国政治风险如何影响FDI:对中国投资风险偏好悖论的解释
IF 3.5 Q1 Social Sciences Pub Date : 2022-10-02 DOI: 10.1080/19186444.2022.2151792
Kai Liu, Wen Miao, Haoyi Jia
Abstract In recent years, the scale of China’s outward foreign direct investment has been expanding, and the political risks are also intensifying. How does political risk affect the decision-making of outward foreign direct investment? This paper collected the relevant data of 134 countries from 2003 to 2016, using the regression method of System Generalised Method of Moments. It studies the political risk preference of outward foreign direct investment in the world and China. The study found that there is no political risk preference in the world as a whole. In contrast, China’s outward foreign direct investment has obvious political risk preference. China does not have a political risk preference for developed countries. At the same time, China has shown strong default risk preference for emerging market countries and countries along the "the Belt and Road". This study adds default risk when measuring political risk, and further subdivides political risk into five categories, taking into account their internal interaction mechanism. In addition, this paper not only studies the similarities and differences of outward foreign direct investment 's political risk preferences between China and the world, but also introduces investment motivation to better explain the location choice of China’s outward foreign direct investment.
近年来,中国对外直接投资规模不断扩大,政治风险也在加剧。政治风险如何影响对外直接投资决策?本文采用系统广义矩量法(System Generalised method of Moments)的回归方法,收集了2003 - 2016年134个国家的相关数据。研究了世界各国和中国对外直接投资的政治风险偏好。研究发现,全球整体上不存在政治风险偏好。相比之下,中国对外直接投资具有明显的政治风险偏好。中国对发达国家没有政治风险偏好。与此同时,中国对新兴市场国家和“一带一路”沿线国家表现出强烈的违约风险偏好。本研究在衡量政治风险时加入了违约风险,并进一步将政治风险细分为五类,并考虑到它们之间的内在互动机制。此外,本文不仅研究了中国与世界对外直接投资政治风险偏好的异同,还引入了投资动机,以更好地解释中国对外直接投资的区位选择。
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引用次数: 1
The impact of transformational leadership on CWBs: the moderating effect of management level in a developing country 变革型领导对CWBs的影响:发展中国家管理水平的调节作用
IF 3.5 Q1 Social Sciences Pub Date : 2022-09-22 DOI: 10.1080/19186444.2022.2118492
Mohsen Akbari, Amina Omrane, Hani Nikookar-Gohari, Ebrahim Ranji
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引用次数: 2
Export performance: a study of labour and capital intensive manufacturing industries in India 出口表现:对印度劳动和资本密集型制造业的研究
IF 3.5 Q1 Social Sciences Pub Date : 2022-09-08 DOI: 10.1080/19186444.2022.2116898
Sonali M. Mohapatra
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引用次数: 6
Analysing export quality and ecological footprint nexus: evidence from South Asian countries 出口质量与生态足迹关系分析:来自南亚国家的证据
IF 3.5 Q1 Social Sciences Pub Date : 2022-08-17 DOI: 10.1080/19186444.2022.2108270
M. Mazhar, Muhammad Tariq Majeed
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引用次数: 3
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