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The return of comparative economic systems: An extension of János Kornai's contribution 比较经济制度的回归:János科尔奈贡献的延伸
4区 经济学 Q3 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2023-11-03 DOI: 10.1556/032.2023.00029
Bruno Dallago, Sara Casagrande
Abstract Kornai profoundly contributed to place the system to the centre of economic analysis. His multidisciplinary system paradigm is fundamental for understanding and analysing the variety of economic solutions and its consequences. The strong scientific foundation of Kornai's approach provides a fruitful opportunity to further develop and apply it to the most fundamental economic issues, such as explaining the different performance and strength of different economies and societies. The inclusion of a multidisciplinary perspective has the significant advantage of keeping under control non-economic factors that influence economic activities and performance and allows to account for the real behaviour and evolution of economies and societies. It can also contribute to explain the resilience of economic and social systems and economies. The paper takes stock of the importance of Kornai's analysis and method and applies them to better understanding the nature and working of the European Union and its difficulties. Based on Kornai's approach, the paper considers how the European Union should evolve to make itself workable and resilient in front of a threatening international environment.
科尔奈对将这一制度置于经济分析的中心做出了深刻的贡献。他的多学科系统范式是理解和分析各种经济解决方案及其后果的基础。科尔奈方法的强大科学基础为进一步发展并将其应用于最基本的经济问题提供了富有成效的机会,例如解释不同经济体和社会的不同表现和实力。纳入多学科观点具有重要的优势,可以控制影响经济活动和绩效的非经济因素,并能够解释经济和社会的实际行为和演变。它还有助于解释经济和社会制度和经济的复原力。本文评估了科尔奈的分析和方法的重要性,并将其应用于更好地理解欧盟的性质和运作及其困难。基于科尔奈的方法,本文考虑了欧盟应该如何发展,使自己在一个充满威胁的国际环境面前变得可行和有弹性。
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引用次数: 0
Kornai's “main line of causality”: The case of socialist Albania and SFR Yugoslavia, with a special focus on their banking sectors' ownership structure 科尔奈的“因果关系主线”:以社会主义阿尔巴尼亚和南斯拉夫联邦共和国为例,特别关注其银行业的所有权结构
4区 经济学 Q3 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2023-11-03 DOI: 10.1556/032.2023.00041
Eszter Kazinczy
Abstract Based on the structure of János Kornai's ‘main line of causality’, two unique country cases are compared within the former European socialist bloc: Albania and the Socialist Federal Republic of Yugoslavia. The research provides a comparative analysis with an overview of the two countries' development between World War II and the fall of the socialist regimes. Special attention is paid to the period following the 1970s as the underlying reforms had been implemented in Yugoslavia by then, leading to fundamentally different socialist prototypes. Regarding the differences, the analysis also gives an insight into the structure of the two respective banking systems. Kornai's ‘main line of causality’ provides the framework for the current research, supplemented by the respective literature. The analysis concludes that despite the fact that all blocks of the causality line differed in the two systems, similar challenges had to be addressed during the transition period. Furthermore, Albania and the successor states of Yugoslavia reflected a range of common characteristics, which implies the relevance of path dependence.
基于János科尔奈的“因果关系主线”的结构,比较了前欧洲社会主义集团内部的两个独特的国家案例:阿尔巴尼亚和南斯拉夫社会主义联邦共和国。该研究提供了一个比较分析,概述了两国在第二次世界大战和社会主义政权垮台之间的发展。特别注意1970年代以后的时期,因为当时南斯拉夫已经实施了基本的改革,导致了根本不同的社会主义原型。关于这些差异,分析还深入了解了两国各自银行体系的结构。Kornai的“因果关系主线”为当前的研究提供了框架,并辅以相应的文献。分析得出的结论是,尽管两个系统的因果关系线的所有块都不同,但在过渡期间必须解决类似的挑战。此外,阿尔巴尼亚和南斯拉夫的继承国反映了一系列共同特征,这意味着路径依赖的相关性。
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引用次数: 0
The place of dichotomous structures in the thought system of János Kornai 二分结构在János科尔奈思想体系中的地位
4区 经济学 Q3 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2023-11-03 DOI: 10.1556/032.2023.00033
Péter Mihályi
Abstract The most significant concept of János Kornai's oeuvre is the shortage economy theory as it was presented in Anti-equilibrium more than fifty years ago. According to this, modern economies are never in equilibrium. On the markets of goods and services, the aggregate demand is either significantly higher or significantly lower than the aggregate supply. This dichotomous model is discussed in the first part of the paper. After the collapse of the communist system in 1989/90, shortages disappeared everywhere unexpectedly quickly. But it was also an unexpected development that the institutions of liberal democracy have not developed in several countries and/or collapsed after a short period. Regarding Hungary, Kornai issued an alarm signal at the turn of 2010/2011. He was the first who said that the Orbán regime had turned the country into an autocracy in barely a year. The second part of the paper examines whether Kornai's assertion, shared by many transition-economy specialist, that there are only two political systems (democracies and autocracies) is adequate for the entire range of post-socialist countries. The author's answer to this question is negative.
摘要:János科尔奈作品中最重要的概念是50多年前在《反均衡》中提出的短缺经济理论。据此,现代经济从未处于均衡状态。在商品和服务市场上,总需求要么显著高于总供给,要么显著低于总供给。本文的第一部分讨论了这种二分模型。1989/90年共产主义制度崩溃后,短缺问题出人意料地迅速消失。但是,自由民主制度在几个国家没有发展起来,或者在短时间内就崩溃了,这也是一个出乎意料的发展。关于匈牙利,科尔奈在2010/2011年之交发出了警报信号。他是第一个说Orbán政权在不到一年的时间里就把国家变成了独裁国家的人。论文的第二部分考察了科尔奈的论断,即只有两种政治制度(民主和专制)是否适用于整个后社会主义国家,这一论断得到了许多转型经济专家的认同。作者对这个问题的回答是否定的。
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引用次数: 0
Potential appendix to János Kornai's “revisited system paradigm” János Kornai“重新审视的系统范式”的潜在附录
4区 经济学 Q3 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2023-11-03 DOI: 10.1556/032.2023.00035
Csaba Fazekas
Abstract János Kornai published an interesting and important paper in 2000 about the “system paradigm”, and another in 2016 about the “system paradigm revisited”. In the last one he made a theoretical approach for differences between democracies, autocracies and dictatorships; made a typology for the most important elements for characterization of different political systems. In the second half of the 2010’s a debate has started among political analysts, public intellectuals and journalists, how we can characterize the new political system of Hungary led by Viktor Orbán. We can read detailed analyses about “hybrid regime”, “limited democracy”, “illiberal democracy”, “plebiscite leader democracy” etc. In this paper I would like to deal with the question of different political systems in general, and – on the experiences of the debates about the current Hungarian system – I would like to think further – the Kornai's model. Kornai pointed out 10 elements for characterization of it (the questions of removable governments, opposition parties in parliaments, elections, civil society, freedom of press, etc.) – I would like to differentiate 10 new potential elements, especially from the side of the political ideas, historical backgrounds and other viewpoints.
摘要János科尔奈在2000年发表了一篇关于“系统范式”的有趣而重要的论文,在2016年又发表了一篇关于“重新审视系统范式”的论文。在最后一篇中,他对民主、专制和独裁之间的差异进行了理论分析;对不同政治制度的最重要要素进行了类型学分析。2010年下半年,政治分析人士、公共知识分子和记者之间展开了一场辩论,讨论如何描述维克托Orbán领导下的匈牙利新政治体系。我们可以读到关于“混合政权”、“有限民主”、“非自由民主”、“公民投票领袖民主”等的详细分析。在本文中,我想从总体上处理不同政治制度的问题,并且——根据关于当前匈牙利制度的辩论经验——我想进一步思考——科尔奈模式。Kornai指出了10个要素来描述它(可罢免政府,议会反对党,选举,公民社会,新闻自由等问题)-我想区分10个新的潜在要素,特别是从政治理念,历史背景和其他观点的角度。
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引用次数: 0
From “actually existing socialism” to actually existing post-socialism: János Kornai and the importance of language reform in political economy 从“现实存在的社会主义”到现实存在的后社会主义:János科尔奈与语言改革在政治经济学中的重要性
4区 经济学 Q3 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2023-11-03 DOI: 10.1556/032.2023.00030
Bálint Madlovics, Bálint Magyar
Abstract This paper discusses the contributions of János Kornai to the “language reform” of socialism and post-socialism, meaning the creation of new conceptual frameworks to replace the mainstream interpretation of the system with a more realistic, critical description. We show that, in the three waves of language reform under the Kádár regime – economics, sociology, and law – Kornai was a trailblazer by introducing concepts like “soft budget constraint,” “plan bargaining,” and “shortage,” which became key concepts for reform economists and dissident intellectuals in Eastern Europe. We discuss Kornai's work on post-socialism as well, particularly his paper “The System Paradigm Revisited,” and point out its merits and shortcomings in the description of the regimes of the region. Presenting our offer for a new language reform, based on Kornai, we underline the importance of proper words for understanding “actually existing post-socialism,” and the task of political economists to revise the current mainstream and analyse the phenomena of post-communist “relational economies.”
本文讨论了János Kornai对社会主义和后社会主义“语言改革”的贡献,即创造新的概念框架,以更现实、更批判性的描述取代对系统的主流解释。我们表明,在Kádár政权下的三波语言改革浪潮中——经济学、社会学和法学——科尔奈是先行者,他引入了“软预算约束”、“计划议价”和“短缺”等概念,这些概念成为东欧改革经济学家和持不同政见的知识分子的关键概念。我们也讨论了科尔奈关于后社会主义的著作,特别是他的论文《重新审视的系统范式》,并指出其在描述该地区政权方面的优点和缺点。在提出以科尔奈语为基础的新的语言改革建议时,我们强调了恰当的词汇对于理解“实际存在的后社会主义”的重要性,以及政治经济学家修正当前主流和分析后共产主义“关系经济”现象的任务。
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引用次数: 0
János Kornai on planning and disequilibrium: Theoretical dilemmas and solutions János科尔奈论计划与非均衡:理论困境与解决之道
4区 经济学 Q3 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2023-11-03 DOI: 10.1556/032.2023.00032
Wladimir Andreff
Abstract János Kornai has achieved a wide-scope multifaceted theoretical analysis moving from Marx to Walras-Lange, then to post-Keynesian disequilibrium economics, and eventually, to Hayek and economic institutionalism. Such a travel is not without meeting dilemmas that Kornai has had to struggle with and opt to resolve them in some way. Such process is illustrated first with a planner's dilemma. On the one hand, Kornai has elaborated on – together with Tamás Lipták – a mathematically ‘super’ solution to finding the optimal plan through a two-level planning procedure. But once implemented the latter has appeared to be too slow, and Kornai has rejected Lange's ideas for Hayek's criticism against central planning. A second dilemma is about how to analyse a centrally-planned shortage (excess demand) economy in which those industries privileged in the planners' pecking order priorities were producing an excess supply of (useless) goods. Kornai did not find a solution in the current disequilibrium economics but, instead, in a ‘lax’ communist bureaucracy generating a soft budget constraint. The third dilemma is that Kornai's views about disequilibria have not converged with the Post-Keynesian disequilibrium models. The latter were unable to conceive a simultaneous excess demand and excess supply in a same market, due to their so-called shorter-side rule. Instead, Kornai has found a solution that fits with theorising the observed micro (or even infra-micro) disequilibria in a Debreu's book, some years after having published a hard criticism of neo-classical microeconomics. A final question is raised: is Kornai's theory a decisive contribution to the analysis of comparative economic systems – that no one denies – or has he added some value to a more general theory of economic disequilibrium?
摘要János科尔奈实现了从马克思到瓦尔拉斯-兰格,再到后凯恩斯非均衡经济学,最后到哈耶克和经济制度主义的广泛、多方面的理论分析。这样的旅行并非没有遇到科尔奈不得不挣扎的困境,并选择以某种方式解决它们。这个过程首先用计划者的困境来说明。一方面,Kornai与Tamás Lipták一起详细阐述了一个数学上的“超级”解决方案,通过两级规划程序找到最佳方案。但一旦实施后,后者似乎太慢了,而且科尔奈拒绝了兰格对哈耶克批评中央计划的观点。第二个难题是如何分析中央计划的短缺(需求过剩)经济,在这种经济中,那些被规划者优先考虑的行业正在生产(无用)商品的过剩供应。科尔奈没有在当前的经济失衡中找到解决方案,而是在一个“宽松”的共产主义官僚机构中找到了一个软预算约束。第三个困境是,科尔奈关于非均衡的观点并未与后凯恩斯主义非均衡模型趋同。由于他们所谓的短期规则,后者无法想象在同一个市场上同时存在过度需求和过度供给。相反,科尔奈找到了一个解决方案,与德布鲁(Debreu)书中观察到的微观(甚至是次微观)不平衡的理论化相吻合。几年前,他发表了对新古典微观经济学的严厉批评。最后一个问题提出了:科尔奈的理论是对比较经济体系分析的决定性贡献——没有人否认这一点——还是他为更普遍的经济非均衡理论增添了一些价值?
{"title":"János Kornai on planning and disequilibrium: Theoretical dilemmas and solutions","authors":"Wladimir Andreff","doi":"10.1556/032.2023.00032","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1556/032.2023.00032","url":null,"abstract":"Abstract János Kornai has achieved a wide-scope multifaceted theoretical analysis moving from Marx to Walras-Lange, then to post-Keynesian disequilibrium economics, and eventually, to Hayek and economic institutionalism. Such a travel is not without meeting dilemmas that Kornai has had to struggle with and opt to resolve them in some way. Such process is illustrated first with a planner's dilemma. On the one hand, Kornai has elaborated on – together with Tamás Lipták – a mathematically ‘super’ solution to finding the optimal plan through a two-level planning procedure. But once implemented the latter has appeared to be too slow, and Kornai has rejected Lange's ideas for Hayek's criticism against central planning. A second dilemma is about how to analyse a centrally-planned shortage (excess demand) economy in which those industries privileged in the planners' pecking order priorities were producing an excess supply of (useless) goods. Kornai did not find a solution in the current disequilibrium economics but, instead, in a ‘lax’ communist bureaucracy generating a soft budget constraint. The third dilemma is that Kornai's views about disequilibria have not converged with the Post-Keynesian disequilibrium models. The latter were unable to conceive a simultaneous excess demand and excess supply in a same market, due to their so-called shorter-side rule. Instead, Kornai has found a solution that fits with theorising the observed micro (or even infra-micro) disequilibria in a Debreu's book, some years after having published a hard criticism of neo-classical microeconomics. A final question is raised: is Kornai's theory a decisive contribution to the analysis of comparative economic systems – that no one denies – or has he added some value to a more general theory of economic disequilibrium?","PeriodicalId":45104,"journal":{"name":"Acta Oeconomica","volume":"10 8","pages":"0"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2023-11-03","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"135819183","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":4,"RegionCategory":"经济学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Why rational choice? Reconciling Kornai with rational choice theory 为什么是理性选择?调和科尔奈与理性选择理论
4区 经济学 Q3 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2023-11-03 DOI: 10.1556/032.2023.00034
Adam J. Kaiser, Peter T. Leeson
Abstract János Kornai was an early and influential critic of rational choice theory, who opposed its application to interdisciplinary questions. In this paper, we attempt to show that certain contemporary uses of rational choice theory are perfectly compatible with Kornai's critique of general equilibrium theory, as well as his broader vision of economics as a mode of understanding. To do so, we leverage the insights of several “ordinary language” philosophers to demonstrate that the utility of rational choice theory derives from its grammatical properties rather than the truth values of its axioms.
János科尔奈是理性选择理论的早期和有影响力的批评家,他反对将理性选择理论应用于跨学科问题。在本文中,我们试图表明,理性选择理论的某些当代应用与科尔奈对一般均衡理论的批判以及他将经济学作为一种理解模式的更广泛视野是完全相容的。为此,我们利用几位“普通语言”哲学家的见解来证明,理性选择理论的效用来自其语法属性,而不是其公理的真值。
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引用次数: 0
Modern pillories: Overdue debts of the poor 现代耻辱:穷人的逾期债务
4区 经济学 Q3 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2023-11-03 DOI: 10.1556/032.2023.00038
Edina Berlinger, Zsolt Bihary, Katalin Dobránszky-Bartus, György Molnár
Abstract We model the consequences of the soft budget constraint in the context of retail borrowers. While János Kornai formulated the term of “soft budget constraint” mainly for organizations (firms, banks, municipalities, NGOs, etc.), we show that it can be applied to individual borrowers as well. We derive the feasibility conditions for private and public debt relief programs in a utilitarian framework and find that lenders have no interest in offering payment reductions if non-performing borrowers are few, have small debts, and are difficult to reach – precisely the characteristics of the poor. In this situation, poor debtors serve better as deterrents, similarly if we put them into a pillory. We calibrate the model parameters to survey data on poor households struggling with overdue debts in small villages in a disadvantaged rural region in Hungary. We find that in normal economic circumstances, private debt relief programs are not feasible. State intervention can be justified by positive externalities and moral considerations.
我们在零售借款人的背景下建立了软预算约束的后果模型。虽然János Kornai主要为组织(公司,银行,市政当局,非政府组织等)制定了“软预算约束”一词,但我们表明它也可以应用于个人借款人。我们在功利主义框架下推导了私人和公共债务减免计划的可行性条件,并发现如果不良借款人很少,债务小,并且难以接触到-这正是穷人的特征-贷方没有兴趣提供付款减免。在这种情况下,贫穷的债务人可以更好地发挥威慑作用,同样,如果我们把他们戴上镣铐。我们对模型参数进行了校准,以调查匈牙利一个贫困农村地区小村庄中与逾期债务作斗争的贫困家庭数据。我们发现,在正常的经济环境下,私人债务减免计划是不可行的。正外部性和道德考虑可以证明国家干预是合理的。
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引用次数: 0
Contemporary social and political mega-crisis and the goals of economics 当代社会和政治大危机与经济学的目标
4区 经济学 Q3 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2023-11-03 DOI: 10.1556/032.2023.00031
Grzegorz W. Kolodko
Abstract Contemporary economic thought does not deal suitably with the tasks it faces. Neither does it provide a satisfactory explanation of the socio-economic reality, nor does it propose effective methods of solving the mounting problems, especially at the macroeconomic level, in the national economy, and in the mega-economic level, in the world economy. The beyond-GDP reality requires a beyond-GDP economic theory on which a triple balanced – economically, socially and ecologically – beyond-GDP development strategy must be based. It is necessary to formulate anew the goal of economic activity, which cannot be a simple maximization of profit and a quantitative increase in production. The short-term interests of private capital should be subordinated to the long-term public interests, which is to be fostered by appropriate reinstitutionalization of the market economy. The economics has to be more oriented towards addressing the future challenges, and not mainly be inspired by conclusions drawn from observations of past events, which is often of little use in economic policy and development strategy. The new pragmatism is needed.
当代经济思想没有很好地处理它所面临的任务。它既没有对社会经济现实提供令人满意的解释,也没有提出解决日益增多的问题的有效方法,特别是在国民经济宏观经济一级和世界经济大经济一级。超越gdp的现实需要超越gdp的经济理论,经济、社会、生态三重平衡的超越gdp发展战略必须建立在这一理论基础之上。有必要重新制定经济活动的目标,它不能是简单的利润最大化和产量的数量增加。私人资本的短期利益应该服从于长期的公共利益,这需要通过适当的市场经济体制改革来促进。经济学必须更多地面向解决未来的挑战,而不是主要受从对过去事件的观察中得出的结论的启发,这在经济政策和发展战略中往往没有什么用处。新的实用主义是必要的。
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引用次数: 0
Can online banking replace personal banking? A survey of Hungarian banking habits 网上银行能取代个人银行吗?对匈牙利银行业习惯的调查
4区 经济学 Q3 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2023-10-17 DOI: 10.1556/032.2023.00027
Nedim Márton El-Meouch, Ádám Banai, B. Levente Alpek
Abstract One of the important issues of banking today is the role bank branches and online banking solutions play in serving consumers. With the help of a representative Survey of 1,000 adults in Hungary conducted in 2022, we examine how well online and mobile banking solutions can provide a suitable alternative to bank branches. Based on our results, online banking solutions cannot fully replace personal banking in Hungary due to the customers' attitudes, as we can see that their use does not significantly affect the frequency of visits to the bank branch, and their usage rate does not increase with the distance from the bank branch. We also point out that for the Hungarian population the trend of bank branch closures may entail the risk of being left out of the formal financial system mostly for the older, digitally less receptive social strata living in small settlements and in a relatively worse financial situation.
当今银行业的一个重要问题是银行分支机构和网上银行解决方案在服务消费者方面所扮演的角色。在2022年对匈牙利1000名成年人进行的一项代表性调查的帮助下,我们研究了在线和移动银行解决方案在多大程度上可以成为银行分行的合适替代方案。根据我们的研究结果,由于客户的态度,网上银行解决方案在匈牙利并不能完全取代个人银行,因为我们可以看到,网上银行的使用对银行网点的访问频率没有显著影响,其使用率并不随着距离银行网点的距离而增加。我们还指出,对于匈牙利人口来说,银行分行关闭的趋势可能会带来被排除在正式金融体系之外的风险,主要是生活在小定居点和相对较差的财务状况中的老年人,数字接受度较低的社会阶层。
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引用次数: 0
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