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Runout prediction of potential landslides based on the multi-source data collaboration analysis on historical cases 基于历史案例多源数据协作分析的潜在山体滑坡径流预测
IF 4.5 3区 地球科学 Q1 Earth and Planetary Sciences Pub Date : 2024-04-25 DOI: 10.31035/cg2023138
Jun Sun , Yu Zhuang , Ai-guo Xing

Long runout landslides involve a massive amount of energy and can be extremely hazardous owing to their long movement distance, high mobility and strong destructive power. Numerical methods have been widely used to predict the landslide runout but a fundamental problem remained is how to determine the reliable numerical parameters. This study proposes a framework to predict the runout of potential landslides through multi-source data collaboration and numerical analysis of historical landslide events. Specifically, for the historical landslide cases, the landslide-induced seismic signal, geophysical surveys, and possible in-situ drone/phone videos (multi-source data collaboration) can validate the numerical results in terms of landslide dynamics and deposit features and help calibrate the numerical (rheological) parameters. Subsequently, the calibrated numerical parameters can be used to numerically predict the runout of potential landslides in the region with a similar geological setting to the recorded events. Application of the runout prediction approach to the 2020 Jiashanying landslide in Guizhou, China gives reasonable results in comparison to the field observations. The numerical parameters are determined from the multi-source data collaboration analysis of a historical case in the region (2019 Shuicheng landslide). The proposed framework for landslide runout prediction can be of great utility for landslide risk assessment and disaster reduction in mountainous regions worldwide.

长滑坡涉及巨大的能量,由于其移动距离长、流动性大、破坏力强,因此具有极大的危险性。数值方法已被广泛用于预测滑坡滑出,但如何确定可靠的数值参数仍是一个基本问题。本研究通过多源数据协作和对历史滑坡事件的数值分析,提出了一种预测潜在滑坡滑出的框架。具体而言,对于历史滑坡案例,滑坡引发的地震信号、地球物理勘测以及可能的现场无人机/手机视频(多源数据协作)可以从滑坡动力学和沉积特征方面验证数值结果,并帮助校准数值(流变)参数。随后,校准后的数值参数可用于数值预测该地区潜在滑坡的滑出,其地质环境与所记录的事件类似。在中国贵州 2020 年嘉善营滑坡中应用滑出预测方法,与现场观测结果相比,结果合理。数值参数是根据该地区历史案例(2019 年水城滑坡)的多源数据协作分析确定的。所提出的滑坡径流预测框架对全球山区滑坡风险评估和减灾具有重要意义。
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引用次数: 0
Unraveling the hydraulic properties of loess for landslide prediction: A study on variations in loess landslides in Lanzhou, Dingxi, and Tianshui, China 为滑坡预测揭示黄土的水力特性:中国兰州、定西和天水黄土滑坡变化研究
IF 4.5 3区 地球科学 Q1 Earth and Planetary Sciences Pub Date : 2024-04-25 DOI: 10.31035/cg2024006
Gao-chao Lin , Wei Liu , Xing Su

Loess has distinctive characteristics, leading to frequent landslide disasters and posing serious threats to the lives and properties of local residents. The involvement of water represents a critical factor in inducing loess landslides. This study focuses on three neighboring cities sequentially situated on the Loess Plateau along the direction of aeolian deposition of loess, namely Lanzhou, Dingxi, and Tianshui, which are densely populated and prone to landslide disasters. The variations in hydraulic properties, including water retention capacity and permeability, are investigated through Soil Water Characteristic Curve (SWCC) test and hydraulic conductivity test. The experimental findings revealed that Tianshui loess exhibited the highest water retention capacity, followed by Dingxi loess, while Lanzhou loess demonstrated the lowest water retention capacity. Contrastingly, the results for the saturated permeability coefficient were found to be the opposite: Tianshui loess showed the lowest permeability, whereas Lanzhou loess displayed the highest permeability. These results are supported and analyzed by scanning electron microscopy (SEM) observation. In addition, the water retention capacity is mathematically expressed using the van Genuchten model and extended to predict unsaturated hydraulic properties of loess. The experimental results exhibit a strong accordance with one another and align with the regional distribution patterns of disasters.

黄土具有鲜明的特点,导致滑坡灾害频发,严重威胁当地居民的生命和财产安全。水的参与是诱发黄土滑坡的关键因素。本研究以黄土高原沿黄土风化沉积方向依次分布的三个相邻城市为研究对象,即兰州、定西和天水,这三个城市人口密集,易发生滑坡灾害。通过土壤水特征曲线(SWCC)试验和导水率试验研究了水力特性的变化,包括保水能力和渗透性。实验结果表明,天水黄土的保水能力最高,其次是定西黄土,而兰州黄土的保水能力最低。与此相反,饱和渗透系数的结果却恰恰相反:天水黄土的透水性最低,而兰州黄土的透水性最高。这些结果得到了扫描电子显微镜(SEM)观察结果的支持和分析。此外,还利用 van Genuchten 模型对保水能力进行了数学表达,并扩展到黄土非饱和水力特性的预测。实验结果显示出很强的一致性,并与灾害的区域分布模式相吻合。
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引用次数: 0
Zircon U-Pb ages in the Nuratau ophiolitic mélange in the southern Tianshan, Uzbekistan: Implication for the closure of Paleo-Asian Ocean 乌兹别克斯坦天山南部Nuratau蛇绿混杂岩的锆石U-Pb年龄:古亚洲洋关闭的影响
IF 4.5 3区 地球科学 Q1 Earth and Planetary Sciences Pub Date : 2024-04-25 DOI: 10.31035/cg2023114
Kai Weng , Ji-fei Cao , Divayev-Farid Karibovich , Jahongir-Jurabekovich Movlanov , Bo Chen , Zhong-ping Ma
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引用次数: 0
Enhancing landslide hazards survey and management to reduce the loss of human lives and properties 加强滑坡灾害调查和管理,减少生命和财产损失
IF 4.5 3区 地球科学 Q1 Earth and Planetary Sciences Pub Date : 2024-04-25 DOI: 10.31035/cg2024080
Yong-shuang Zhang
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引用次数: 0
Identification and distribution of 13003 landslides in the northwest margin of Qinghai-Tibet Plateau based on human-computer interaction remote sensing interpretation 基于人机交互遥感解译的青藏高原西北缘 13003 个滑坡体的识别与分布
IF 4.5 3区 地球科学 Q1 Earth and Planetary Sciences Pub Date : 2024-04-25 DOI: 10.31035/cg2023140
Wei Wang , Yuan-dong Huang , Chong Xu , Xiao-yi Shao , Lei Li , Li-ye Feng , Hui-ran Gao , Yu-long Cui , Shuai Wu , Zhi-qiang Yang , Kai Ma

The periphery of the Qinghai-Tibet Plateau is renowned for its susceptibility to landslides. However, the northwestern margin of this region, characterised by limited human activities and challenging transportation, remains insufficiently explored concerning landslide occurrence and dispersion. With the planning and construction of the Xinjiang-Tibet Railway, a comprehensive investigation into disastrous landslides in this area is essential for effective disaster preparedness and mitigation strategies. By using the human-computer interaction interpretation approach, the authors established a landslide database encompassing 13003 landslides, collectively spanning an area of 3351.24 km2 (36°N–40°N, 73°E–78°E). The database incorporates diverse topographical and environmental parameters, including regional elevation, slope angle, slope aspect, distance to faults, distance to roads, distance to rivers, annual precipitation, and stratum. The statistical characteristics of number and area of landslides, landslide number density (LND), and landslide area percentage (LAP) are analyzed. The authors found that a predominant concentration of landslide origins within high slope angle regions, with the highest incidence observed in intervals characterised by average slopes of 20° to 30°, maximum slope angle above 80°, along with orientations towards the north (N), northeast (NE), and southwest (SW). Additionally, elevations above 4.5 km, distance to rivers below 1 km, rainfall between 20-30 mm and 30–40 mm emerge as particularly susceptible to landslide development. The study area's geological composition primarily comprises Mesozoic and Upper Paleozoic outcrops. Both fault and human engineering activities have different degrees of influence on landslide development. Furthermore, the significance of the landslide database, the relationship between landslide distribution and environmental factors, and the geometric and morphological characteristics of landslides are discussed. The landslide H/L ratios in the study area are mainly concentrated between 0.4 and 0.64. It means the landslides mobility in the region is relatively low, and the authors speculate that landslides in this region more possibly triggered by earthquakes or located in meizoseismal area.

青藏高原周边地区以易发生滑坡而闻名。然而,这一地区的西北边缘,由于人类活动有限,交通不便,对滑坡的发生和扩散仍然缺乏足够的探索。随着新疆-西藏铁路的规划和建设,对该地区灾难性滑坡的全面调查对于有效的防灾减灾战略至关重要。作者采用人机交互解释方法,建立了一个包含 13003 个滑坡的滑坡数据库,总面积达 3351.24 平方公里(36°N-40°N,73°E-78°E)。该数据库包含多种地形和环境参数,包括区域海拔、坡角、坡面、与断层的距离、与道路的距离、与河流的距离、年降水量和地层。分析了滑坡数量和面积、滑坡数量密度(LND)和滑坡面积百分比(LAP)的统计特征。作者发现,滑坡主要集中在高坡角区域,平均坡度为 20° 至 30°、最大坡角超过 80°、坡向为北部(N)、东北部(NE)和西南部(SW)的区间滑坡发生率最高。此外,海拔高于 4.5 千米、河流距离低于 1 千米、降雨量介于 20-30 毫米和 30-40 毫米之间的地区特别容易发生滑坡。研究区域的地质组成主要包括中生代和上古生代露头。断层和人类工程活动对滑坡的发展都有不同程度的影响。此外,还讨论了滑坡数据库的意义、滑坡分布与环境因素的关系以及滑坡的几何和形态特征。研究区域的滑坡高/低比主要集中在 0.4 至 0.64 之间。这意味着该地区的滑坡流动性相对较低,作者推测该地区的滑坡更有可能是由地震引发的,或者位于震源区。
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引用次数: 0
Automated machine learning for rainfall-induced landslide hazard mapping in Luhe County of Guangdong Province, China 中国广东省陆河县降雨诱发山体滑坡灾害绘图的自动化机器学习
IF 4.5 3区 地球科学 Q1 Earth and Planetary Sciences Pub Date : 2024-04-25 DOI: 10.31035/cg2024064
Tao Li , Chen-chen Xie , Chong Xu , Wen-wen Qi , Yuan-dong Huang , Lei Li

Landslide hazard mapping is essential for regional landslide hazard management. The main objective of this study is to construct a rainfall-induced landslide hazard map of Luhe County, China based on an automated machine learning framework (AutoGluon). A total of 2241 landslides were identified from satellite images before and after the rainfall event, and 10 impact factors including elevation, slope, aspect, normalized difference vegetation index (NDVI), topographic wetness index (TWI), lithology, land cover, distance to roads, distance to rivers, and rainfall were selected as indicators. The WeightedEnsemble model, which is an ensemble of 13 basic machine learning models weighted together, was used to output the landslide hazard assessment results. The results indicate that landslides mainly occurred in the central part of the study area, especially in Hetian and Shanghu. Totally 102.44 s were spent to train all the models, and the ensemble model WeightedEnsemble has an Area Under the Curve (AUC) value of 92.36% in the test set. In addition, 14.95% of the study area was determined to be at very high hazard, with a landslide density of 12.02 per square kilometer. This study serves as a significant reference for the prevention and mitigation of geological hazards and land use planning in Luhe County.

滑坡灾害绘图对于区域滑坡灾害管理至关重要。本研究的主要目的是基于自动机器学习框架(AutoGluon)构建中国陆河县降雨诱发的滑坡灾害图。通过降雨前后的卫星图像共识别出 2241 个滑坡点,并选取了海拔、坡度、坡向、归一化差异植被指数(NDVI)、地形湿润指数(TWI)、岩性、土地覆盖、道路距离、河流距离和降雨量等 10 个影响因子作为指标。使用加权集合模型(WeightedEnsemble model)输出滑坡危害评估结果,该模型由 13 个基本机器学习模型加权集合而成。结果表明,滑坡主要发生在研究区域的中部,尤其是河田和尚湖。所有模型的训练耗时共计 102.44 秒,在测试集中,集合模型 WeightedEnsemble 的曲线下面积(AUC)值为 92.36%。此外,14.95% 的研究区域被确定为极高危险区,滑坡密度为每平方公里 12.02 次。这项研究对陆河县地质灾害防治和土地利用规划具有重要的参考价值。
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引用次数: 0
List of 85 typical catastrophic landslides from March 2004 to February 2024 2004 年 3 月至 2024 年 2 月 85 次典型灾难性山体滑坡一览表
IF 4.5 3区 地球科学 Q1 Earth and Planetary Sciences Pub Date : 2024-04-25 DOI: 10.31035/cg2024079
Rui-chen Chen , Yong-shuang Zhang
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引用次数: 0
Airblast evolution initiated by Wangjiayan landslides in the Ms 8.0 Wenchuan earthquake and its destructive capacity analysis 汶川 8.0 级地震中王家岩滑坡引发的气爆演化及其破坏能力分析
IF 4.5 3区 地球科学 Q1 Earth and Planetary Sciences Pub Date : 2024-04-25 DOI: 10.31035/cg2023154
Yu-feng Wang , Qian-gong Cheng , Qi Zhu

Airblasts, as one common phenomenon accompanied by rapid movements of landslides or rock/snow avalanches, commonly result in catastrophic damages and are attracting more and more scientific attention. To quantitatively analyze the intensity of airblast initiated by landslides, the Wangjiayan landslide, occurred in the Wenchuan earthquake, is selected here with the landslide propagation and airblast evolution being studied using FLUENT by introducing the Voellmy rheological law. The results reveal that: (1) For the Wangjiayan landslide, its whole travelling duration is only 12 s with its maximum velocity reaching 36 m/s at t=10 s; (2) corresponding to the landslide propagation, the maximum velocity, 28 m/s, of the airblast initiated by the landslide also appears at t=10 s with its maximum pressure reaching 594.8 Pa, which is equivalent to violent storm; (3) under the attack of airblast, the load suffered by buildings in the airblast zone increases to 1300 Pa at t=9.4 s and sharply decreased to –7000 Pa as the rapid decrease of the velocity of the sliding mass at t=10 s, which is seriously unfavorable for buildings and might be the key reason for the destructive collapse of buildings in the airblast zone of the Wangjiayan landslide.

气爆是伴随山体滑坡或岩崩/雪崩快速运动的一种常见现象,通常会造成灾难性的破坏,越来越受到科学界的关注。为了定量分析滑坡引发的气爆强度,本文选取了汶川地震中发生的王家岩滑坡,通过引入 Voellmy 流变定律,利用 FLUENT 对滑坡传播和气爆演化进行了研究。研究结果表明(1) 对于王家岩滑坡,其整个滑行时间仅为 12 s,在 t=10 s 时最大速度达到 36 m/s;(2) 与滑坡传播相对应,由滑坡引发的气爆的最大速度 28 m/s 也出现在 t=10 s,其最大压力达到 594.8 Pa,相当于狂风暴雨;(3)在气爆的作用下,气爆区内建筑物所受荷载在t=9.4 s时增加到1300 Pa,在t=10 s时随着滑体速度的急剧下降而急剧下降到-7000 Pa,对建筑物严重不利,这可能是王家岩滑坡气爆区内建筑物破坏性倒塌的关键原因。
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引用次数: 0
Exploring mechanism of hidden, steep obliquely inclined bedding landslides using a 3DEC model: A case study of the Shanyang landslide in Shaanxi Province, China 利用3DEC模型探索隐蔽陡斜阶地滑坡的机理:中国陕西省山阳滑坡案例研究
IF 4.5 3区 地球科学 Q1 Earth and Planetary Sciences Pub Date : 2024-04-25 DOI: 10.31035/cg2024044
Jia-yun Wang , Zi-long Wu , Xiao-ya Shi , Long-wei Yang , Rui-ping Liu , Na Lu

Catastrophic geological disasters frequently occur on slopes with obliquely inclined bedding structures (also referred to as obliquely inclined bedding slopes), where the apparent dip sliding is not readily visible. This phenomenon has become a focal point in landslide research. Yet, there is a lack of studies on the failure modes and mechanisms of hidden, steep obliquely inclined bedding slopes. This study investigated the Shanyang landslide in Shaanxi Province, China. Using field investigations, laboratory tests of geotechnical parameters, and the 3DEC software, this study developed a numerical model of the landslide to analyze the failure process of such slopes. The findings indicate that the Shanyang landslide primarily crept along a weak interlayer under the action of gravity. The landslide, initially following a dip angle with the support of a stable inclined rock mass, shifted direction under the influence of argillization in the weak interlayer, moving towards the apparent dip angle. The slide resistance effect of the karstic dissolution zone was increasingly significant during this process, with lateral friction being the primary resistance force. A reduction in the lateral friction due to karstic dissolution made the apparent dip sliding characteristics of the Shanyang landslide more pronounced. Notably, deformations such as bending and uplift at the slope's foot suggest that the main slide resistance shifts from lateral friction within the karstic dissolution zone to the slope foot's resistance force, leading to the eventual buckling failure of the landslide. This study unveils a novel failure mode of apparent dip creep-buckling in the Shanyang landslide, highlighting the critical role of lateral friction from the karstic dissolution zone in its failure mechanism. These insights offer a valuable reference for mitigating risks and preventing disasters related to obliquely inclined bedding landslides.

灾难性地质灾害经常发生在具有斜倾基底结构的斜坡上(也称为斜倾基底斜坡),在这种斜坡上,不易看到明显的倾斜滑动。这种现象已成为滑坡研究的焦点。然而,关于隐蔽、陡峭的斜向倾覆斜坡的破坏模式和机理的研究却十分缺乏。本研究调查了中国陕西省的山阳滑坡。通过实地调查、实验室岩土参数测试和 3DEC 软件,本研究建立了滑坡的数值模型,以分析此类斜坡的破坏过程。研究结果表明,山阳滑坡主要是在重力作用下沿着薄弱夹层滑动。在稳定的倾斜岩体的支撑下,滑坡最初沿倾角方向滑动,但在软弱夹层的成岩作用下,滑坡方向发生了改变,向明显的倾角方向移动。在这一过程中,岩溶溶解带的滑动阻力效应越来越大,横向摩擦力是主要的阻力。岩溶溶解导致侧向摩擦力减小,使山阳滑坡的表观倾角滑动特征更加明显。值得注意的是,坡脚处的弯曲和隆起等变形表明,主要的滑动阻力从岩溶溶蚀区内的侧向摩擦力转移到坡脚的阻力上,导致滑坡最终屈曲破坏。本研究揭示了山阳滑坡明显的倾角蠕动-屈曲的新型破坏模式,突出了岩溶溶蚀带的侧向摩擦力在其破坏机制中的关键作用。这些见解为减轻斜倾覆滑坡的风险和预防相关灾害提供了宝贵的参考。
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引用次数: 0
Exploring deep learning for landslide mapping: A comprehensive review 探索用于滑坡绘图的深度学习:全面回顾
IF 4.5 3区 地球科学 Q1 Earth and Planetary Sciences Pub Date : 2024-04-25 DOI: 10.31035/cg2024032
Zhi-qiang Yang , Wen-wen Qi , Chong Xu , Xiao-yi Shao

A detailed and accurate inventory map of landslides is crucial for quantitative hazard assessment and land planning. Traditional methods relying on change detection and object-oriented approaches have been criticized for their dependence on expert knowledge and subjective factors. Recent advancements in high-resolution satellite imagery, coupled with the rapid development of artificial intelligence, particularly data-driven deep learning algorithms (DL) such as convolutional neural networks (CNN), have provided rich feature indicators for landslide mapping, overcoming previous limitations. In this review paper, 77 representative DL-based landslide detection methods applied in various environments over the past seven years were examined. This study analyzed the structures of different DL networks, discussed five main application scenarios, and assessed both the advancements and limitations of DL in geological hazard analysis. The results indicated that the increasing number of articles per year reflects growing interest in landslide mapping by artificial intelligence, with U-Net-based structures gaining prominence due to their flexibility in feature extraction and generalization. Finally, we explored the hindrances of DL in landslide hazard research based on the above research content. Challenges such as black-box operations and sample dependence persist, warranting further theoretical research and future application of DL in landslide detection.

详细而准确的滑坡清查图对于定量危害评估和土地规划至关重要。传统的方法依赖于变化检测和面向对象的方法,因其依赖于专家知识和主观因素而饱受诟病。近年来,高分辨率卫星图像的进步,加上人工智能的快速发展,特别是数据驱动的深度学习算法(DL),如卷积神经网络(CNN),为滑坡绘图提供了丰富的特征指标,克服了以往的局限性。在这篇综述论文中,研究人员考察了过去七年中应用于各种环境的 77 种具有代表性的基于 DL 的滑坡检测方法。该研究分析了不同 DL 网络的结构,讨论了五种主要应用场景,并评估了 DL 在地质灾害分析中的进步和局限性。研究结果表明,文章数量的逐年增加反映了人们对人工智能绘制滑坡图的兴趣与日俱增,其中基于 U-Net 的结构因其在特征提取和泛化方面的灵活性而日益突出。最后,我们根据上述研究内容探讨了 DL 在滑坡灾害研究中的阻碍因素。黑箱操作和样本依赖性等挑战依然存在,需要进一步的理论研究和未来在滑坡检测中的应用。
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引用次数: 0
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China Geology
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