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Economic and Environmental Impacts of Fracking: A Case Study of the Marcellus Shale 水力压裂对经济和环境的影响:以马塞勒斯页岩为例
IF 1.8 Pub Date : 2016-09-05 DOI: 10.1561/101.00000075
Timothy J. Considine, Nicholas B. Considine, Robert Watson
While many studies examine the individual costs and benefits from fracking, there are no studies that provide a unified comparison of costs and benefits. This study attempts to fill this void by conducting a cost–benefit analysis of developing natural gas from the Marcellus shale formation in Pennsylvania. Using more than seven thousand well records, this study estimates production decline curves for vintages of Marcellus wells and their productivity growth over time. The value added created from constructing and operating a recent average Marcellus well is estimated. Environmental impacts are estimated based upon several thousand records of environmental violations impacting air, land, and water resources. Air emissions are estimated during the life cycle of the well from drilling, hydraulic fracturing, production, transportation, and consumption. Using estimates of environmental damage costs, the economic value of these environmental impacts is estimated. The economic benefits, including the environmental benefits from displacing coal, range from $14 to over $30 million with an expected value of $23 million per well. These estimates are likely a lower bound because they do not include the benefits that arise from lower natural gas due to shale energy development. Environmental impact costs range from $162 to $755 thousand per well with the largest impacts arising from diesel use by water pumps and trucks, forest disruption from pipeline construction, and methane lost during flow back and downstream methane leakage. These environmental costs were estimated using relatively high estimates for environmental impacts and damage costs. Unknown impacts may remain, however, from unreported environmental violations and from possible long-term health impacts. Nevertheless, this study finds that the economic benefits from fracking substantially exceed the costs of known environmental impacts.
虽然许多研究都考察了水力压裂的成本和收益,但没有研究对成本和收益进行统一比较。本研究试图通过对开发宾夕法尼亚州Marcellus页岩地层天然气的成本效益分析来填补这一空白。该研究使用了7000多口井的记录,估计了Marcellus井的产量下降曲线及其随时间的生产率增长。对Marcellus井的新建和运营所创造的附加价值进行了估算。环境影响的估计是基于数千个影响空气、土地和水资源的环境违法记录。在油井的整个生命周期中,从钻井、水力压裂、生产、运输到消费,都可以估算出空气排放量。利用对环境损害成本的估计,估计这些环境影响的经济价值。经济效益,包括取代煤炭带来的环境效益,从1400万美元到3000多万美元不等,每口井的预期价值为2300万美元。这些估计可能是一个下限,因为它们不包括页岩能源开发带来的天然气价格下降带来的好处。每口井的环境影响成本从162美元到75.5万美元不等,其中最大的影响来自水泵和卡车使用柴油、管道建设对森林的破坏、回流过程中的甲烷损失和下游甲烷泄漏。这些环境成本是根据相对较高的环境影响和损害成本估算出来的。然而,由于未报告的环境违法行为和可能的长期健康影响,可能仍然存在未知的影响。然而,这项研究发现,水力压裂的经济效益大大超过了已知环境影响的成本。
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引用次数: 11
The Devil in the Detail: A Practical Guide on Designing Payments for Environmental Services 细节中的魔鬼:设计环境服务付款的实用指南
IF 1.8 Pub Date : 2016-07-13 DOI: 10.1561/101.00000076
S. Engel
Payments for environmental services (PES) have become a popular approach to address environmental degradation. However, evidence on its effectiveness is scarce and rather mixed. PES is not a panacea, but there are many cases where PES can be a promising tool. Yet, poor PES design translates into poor performance of the instrument. PES design is a complex task; the devil is in the detail of a number of PES design features. The purpose of this paper is to provide guidance in dealing with this complexity through a comprehensive review of PES design that is accessible to both academics and practitioners. Practitioner guidelines on deciding whether PES is the best approach and for selecting among alternative design features are presented. PES design has to start from a careful understanding of the specific ecological and socio-economic context. We now know a lot about which design features are best suited to which context. It is time to put these insights into practice.
环境服务付费(PES)已成为解决环境退化问题的一种流行方法。然而,关于其有效性的证据很少,而且相当复杂。PES不是万能的,但是在很多情况下,PES是一个很有前途的工具。然而,糟糕的PES设计导致仪器性能不佳。PES设计是一项复杂的任务;问题在于PES设计特性的一些细节。本文的目的是通过对PES设计的全面回顾,为学术界和实践者提供处理这种复杂性的指导。提出了关于决定PES是否是最佳方法以及在可选设计特征中进行选择的从业者指南。PES设计必须从对特定生态和社会经济背景的仔细理解开始。我们现在知道哪些设计特性最适合哪些环境。是时候将这些见解付诸实践了。
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引用次数: 170
Intrinsic motivation, norms and environmental behaviour : The dynamics of overarching goals 内在动机,规范和环境行为:总体目标的动态
IF 1.8 Pub Date : 2016-07-13 DOI: 10.1561/101.00000077
L. Steg, S. Lindenberg, K. Keizer
The understanding, prediction, and encouragement of pro-environmental behaviour (i.e., behaviour that impacts the environment as little as possible) depend to a large extent on understanding the motivational dynamics of pro-environmental behaviour. In this review paper, we discuss the state of the art with regard to these dynamics. We explain the importance of three types of goals underlying behaviour: the hedonic goal to feel good, the gain goal to enhance one's resources, and the normative goal to act appropriately. The strength of these goals differs across situation, which affects which aspects in the situation people attend to, how they evaluate these aspects, and which choices they make. We describe factors affecting the strength of goals, and how the normative goal to act appropriately can be strengthened so as to encourage sustained pro-environmental actions. More specifically, we propose that values affect the chronic strength of goals. Besides, various situational factors can affect the strength of goals in a particular situation. These situational factors explain why people do not have stable preferences and why they do not always act upon the values they prioritise. Finally, we discuss strategies that can be employed to encourage pro-environmental actions. These strategies are either aimed at reducing the conflict between different goals by aligning the hedonic and/or gain goal with the normative goal, or at strengthening the normative goal so that people will act pro-environmentally even though this may reduce the realisation of their hedonic or gain goals.
对亲环境行为(即尽可能少影响环境的行为)的理解、预测和鼓励在很大程度上取决于对亲环境行为的动机动力学的理解。在这篇综述文章中,我们讨论了关于这些动力学的最新进展。我们解释了行为背后三种目标的重要性:享乐目标(感觉良好)、获得目标(增加资源)和规范目标(适当行动)。这些目标的强度在不同的情况下是不同的,这影响了人们在这种情况下关注哪些方面,他们如何评估这些方面,以及他们做出哪些选择。我们描述了影响目标强度的因素,以及如何适当地加强规范性目标,以鼓励持续的亲环境行动。更具体地说,我们认为价值观会影响目标的长期强度。此外,在特定情境下,各种情境因素会影响目标的强度。这些情境因素解释了为什么人们没有稳定的偏好,为什么他们不总是按照他们优先考虑的价值观行事。最后,我们讨论了可用于鼓励亲环境行动的策略。这些策略要么旨在通过使享乐和/或收益目标与规范目标保持一致来减少不同目标之间的冲突,要么旨在加强规范目标,以便人们采取有利于环境的行动,即使这可能会降低他们享乐或收益目标的实现。
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引用次数: 83
Environmental and Natural Resource Economics Decisions Under Risk and Uncertainty: A Survey 风险与不确定性下的环境与自然资源经济决策研究
IF 1.8 Pub Date : 2016-07-12 DOI: 10.1561/101.00000074
W. Shaw
This survey paper presents the reader with the economics of risk and uncertainty, narrowly focusing on environmental and natural resources problems. Risk involves known, but uncertainty or ambiguity involves unknown, probabilities, or at least a lack of precision about them. Some theoretical review is provided for decision making under both risk and uncertainty, but emphasis is on critically reviewing the newest relevant empirical work. Topics covered include elicitation of risks or subjective probabilities, nonmarket valuation, value of a statistical life, but also optimal extraction of resources. The paper concludes by offering suggestions for future directions of research.
这篇调查论文向读者介绍了风险和不确定性的经济学,狭隘地关注环境和自然资源问题。风险涉及已知,但不确定性或模糊性涉及未知、概率,或至少缺乏对它们的精确性。本文对风险和不确定性下的决策提供了一些理论回顾,但重点是批判性地回顾最新的相关实证工作。涵盖的主题包括风险或主观概率的引出,非市场评估,统计生命的价值,以及资源的最佳提取。最后,对今后的研究方向提出了建议。
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引用次数: 10
Understanding the Economics of Waste: Drivers, Policies, and External Costs 理解浪费经济学:驱动因素、政策和外部成本
IF 1.8 Pub Date : 2016-06-06 DOI: 10.1561/101.00000071
Thomas C. Kinnaman
This survey reviews the economics literature on solid waste published since 2000. This survey also summarizes the results of the lifecycle literature estimating the magnitudes of the external marginal cost of waste disposal and the external marginal benefit associated with recycling. The external marginal cost of landfill disposal is found to be rather small. The external marginal benefit of recycling certain materials is found to be comparatively large. If these estimates are true, then conditions at solid waste landfills and incinerators may no longer be the driving source of market failure in the industry. Instead the sizable external benefits associated with recycling some materials may explain the need for policy.
本文对2000年以来发表的固体废物经济学文献进行了综述。本调查还总结了生命周期文献的结果,估计了废物处理的外部边际成本和与回收相关的外部边际效益的大小。垃圾填埋处理的外部边际成本相当小。发现回收某些材料的外部边际效益比较大。如果这些估计是正确的,那么固体废物填埋场和焚化炉的条件可能不再是该行业市场失灵的主要原因。相反,与回收某些材料有关的可观的外部利益可能解释了政策的必要性。
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引用次数: 15
The Economics of Conservation and Finance: A Review of the Literature 保护经济学与金融经济学:文献综述
IF 1.8 Pub Date : 2016-06-06 DOI: 10.1561/101.00000072
Amy W. Ando, Payal Shah
This article summarizes key insights into conservation that come from the intersections of economics and finance: public finance, conservation finance, and financial theory applied to problems of conservation. We discuss some of what has been learned from the study of conservation and finance that helps us to understand when, where, and even whether conservation activities should occur; portfolio theory has been harnessed to help guide conservation planning under uncertainty, and real options theory helps us understand whether to commit to conservation or to wait. We distill some of the extant research on how resources can be gathered to support conservation through local referenda, payment for environmental service programs, private donations, user fees, and value capture through property taxes. The article concludes with suggestions for promising future directions in this area of work.
本文总结了来自经济学和金融学交叉点的关于保护的关键见解:公共财政、保护财政和应用于保护问题的金融理论。我们讨论了从保护和金融研究中学到的一些知识,这些知识有助于我们了解何时,何地,甚至是否应该进行保护活动;投资组合理论已经被用来帮助指导不确定性下的保护计划,实物期权理论帮助我们理解是致力于保护还是等待。我们提炼了一些现存的研究,探讨如何通过地方公民投票、环境服务项目的支付、私人捐赠、用户费用和通过财产税获得价值来收集资源以支持保护。文章最后对这一工作领域的未来发展方向提出了建议。
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引用次数: 13
Land-Use Patterns and Spatially Dependent Ecosystem Services: Some Microeconomic Foundations 土地利用模式与空间依赖生态系统服务:一些微观经济学基础
IF 1.8 Pub Date : 2015-07-06 DOI: 10.1561/101.00000069
D. Lewis, JunJie Wu
This paper develops and reviews some microeconomic foundations for the provision of spatially-dependent ecosystem services from land. We focus on ecosystem services described by a production function with spatial dependencies in the primary input — the amount and pattern of land in particular uses and management. Many ecosystem service production functions are affected by spatial dependences, particularly those involving fish, wildlife, and water quality. We illustrate the various sources of demand for ecosystem services and then provide a novel development of the effects of alternative spatial dependencies on the shape of the supply curve for ecosystem services. Our analysis emphasizes that the optimal supply curve requires a mechanism to coordinate landowners' decisions and internalize the input externalities that arise from production functions being spatially dependent. Finally, we use our framework to illustrate and review some key implications for linking demand and supply for policy design.
本文发展并评述了土地提供空间依赖性生态系统服务的一些微观经济学基础。我们关注的是生态系统服务,它是由生产函数描述的,在主要投入中具有空间依赖性——特别是土地的使用和管理的数量和模式。许多生态系统服务生产功能受到空间依赖性的影响,特别是那些涉及鱼类、野生动物和水质的功能。我们举例说明了生态系统服务需求的各种来源,然后提供了替代空间依赖关系对生态系统服务供给曲线形状影响的新发展。我们的分析强调,最优供给曲线需要一种机制来协调土地所有者的决策,并内化由生产函数空间依赖性引起的投入外部性。最后,我们使用我们的框架来说明和回顾将需求和供给联系起来进行政策设计的一些关键含义。
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引用次数: 8
What Impedes Household Investment in Energy Efficiency and Renewable Energy 是什么阻碍了家庭对能源效率和可再生能源的投资
IF 1.8 Pub Date : 2015-05-21 DOI: 10.1787/5JS1J15G2F8N-EN
Nadia Ameli, N. Brandt
Energy efficiency and renewable energy technologies provide important opportunities to reduce greenhouse gas emissions. However, households fail to take up many clean energy investments that are cost-effective. This paper reviews different explanations for apparent underinvestment in energy efficiency that have been put forward in the literature. While investments in renewable energy technologies are typically not (yet) profitable, many of its drivers are similar to those that determine energy efficiency investments, and the two types of investment are therefore assessed jointly. The paper also provides new evidence regarding barriers to investment in energy efficiency based on the OECD Survey on Household Environmental Behaviour and Attitudes. Finally, policy solutions that would help overcome some of these barriers are also presented.
能源效率和可再生能源技术为减少温室气体排放提供了重要机会。然而,家庭没有采取许多具有成本效益的清洁能源投资。本文回顾了文献中对能源效率明显投资不足的不同解释。虽然对可再生能源技术的投资通常(尚未)有利可图,但其许多驱动因素与决定能源效率投资的驱动因素相似,因此这两种类型的投资被联合评估。本文还根据经合组织家庭环境行为和态度调查提供了有关能源效率投资障碍的新证据。最后,还提出了有助于克服其中一些障碍的政策解决办法。
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引用次数: 34
The Economy, The Biosphere and Planetary Boundaries: Towards Biosphere Economics 经济、生物圈和地球边界:走向生物圈经济学
IF 1.8 Pub Date : 2015-05-19 DOI: 10.1561/101.00000066
A. Crépin, C. Folke
Nine planetary boundaries have been proposed, capturing essential biophysical processes that sustain the Earth System and its biosphere in an accommodating state for humanity. Drawing on economics literature, we propose conditions under which remaining within these boundaries is in line with economic policy. We assert that pervasive uncertainties combined with impacts of trespassing planetary boundaries clearly legitimate using safe minimum standards or precautionary approaches. Moreover, information about the risk structure of these processes, including potential large-scale regime shifts, could help refine policies for how to relate to the zones of uncertainty of the boundaries. Planetary boundaries may be interpreted as "growth within limits" especially in relation to the biophysical expansion of the human dimension. Here, we picture them as warning signs creating incentives for shifting development into new directions, new pathways, where growth in human well-being is the focus rather than growth in GDP. In this sense, we reiterate the framework of ecological economics of sustainable scale (i.e., developing within planetary boundaries), efficient allocation, and fair distribution, and emphasize the need for "biosphere economics" to help navigate globalization within the capacity of the biosphere as the complex adaptive system it truly is.
已经提出了九个行星边界,捕获了维持地球系统及其生物圈处于人类适应状态的基本生物物理过程。根据经济学文献,我们提出了保持在这些边界内符合经济政策的条件。我们认为,普遍存在的不确定性加上跨越地球边界的影响,使用安全的最低标准或预防措施显然是合理的。此外,关于这些过程的风险结构的信息,包括潜在的大规模制度转移,可以帮助完善如何与边界的不确定区域相联系的政策。行星边界可被解释为“在限度内增长”,特别是与人类层面的生物物理扩展有关。在这里,我们把它们描绘成一种警告信号,激励人们将发展转向新的方向和途径,在这些方向和途径中,关注的是人类福祉的增长,而不是GDP的增长。在这个意义上,我们重申可持续规模(即在地球边界内发展)、有效配置和公平分配的生态经济学框架,并强调“生物圈经济学”的必要性,以帮助在生物圈的能力范围内引导全球化,因为生物圈确实是一个复杂的适应系统。
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引用次数: 25
Environment, Well-Being, and Experienced Preference 环境、幸福感和经验偏好
IF 1.8 Pub Date : 2014-12-18 DOI: 10.1561/101.00000061
H. Welsch, Susana Ferreira
Recent years have seen a sharp increase in the use of subjective well-being data in environmental economics. This article discusses the conceptual underpinnings of using such data as a tool for preference elicitation and non-market valuation. Given the connection of those data to the notion of experienced utility, we refer to this approach as the experienced preference method and discuss recent methodological advances and applications of the approach to subject areas not previously reviewed. In addition, we discuss insights concerning environmental behavior that can be gained with the help of subjective well-being data.
近年来,在环境经济学中使用主观幸福感数据的情况急剧增加。本文讨论了使用此类数据作为偏好诱导和非市场评估工具的概念基础。鉴于这些数据与经验效用概念的联系,我们将这种方法称为经验偏好方法,并讨论了最近的方法进展以及该方法在以前未审查的主题领域的应用。此外,我们还讨论了在主观幸福感数据的帮助下可以获得的有关环境行为的见解。
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引用次数: 59
期刊
International Review of Environmental and Resource Economics
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