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Analytical stochastic framework for assessment of base- and mass-excited structures under equal input energy pertinent to multi-hazard engineering 多灾害工程中等输入能量下基础和质量激励结构的随机分析框架
IF 5.9 Q1 Social Sciences Pub Date : 2022-09-05 DOI: 10.1080/23789689.2022.2115263
Tathagata Roy, V. Matsagar
ABSTRACT Analytical framework for probabilistic assessment of dynamical system under base- and mass- excitations with equal input energy is presented with reference to multi-hazard engineering. Closed-form solutions for equivalent undamped and damped dynamical systems under harmonic sinusoidal base- and mass- excitations are obtained. Uncertainties are considered in the excitation frequency and peak amplitude for sinusoidal base excitations, whereas for the mass excitations, the input forcing functions have variations in excitation frequency, mean speed, and fluctuating wind speeds. Dynamic response quantities (acceleration and displacement) are obtained under the suite of stochastic base and mass excitation forces. Structural failure under the independent excitations is determined as joint probability density functions and fragility surfaces. Under equal input energy from such separate dynamic excitations, dissimilar vulnerability is exhibited by the structure when exposed to two independent time-dependent excitations, base-induced earthquake and mass-induced wind forces. Moreover, the uncertainty in the input excitation parameters has significant influence on the probability of failure in the design life of structure under the non-simultaneous excitations.
摘要参考多危险工程,提出了等输入能量基础和质量激励下动力系统概率评估的分析框架。得到了在谐波正弦基激励和质量激励下等效无阻尼和阻尼动力系统的闭式解。正弦基础激励的激励频率和峰值振幅考虑了不确定性,而对于质量激励,输入强迫函数具有激励频率、平均速度和波动风速的变化。动态响应量(加速度和位移)是在一组随机基础和质量激振力下获得的。独立激励下的结构失效被确定为联合概率密度函数和脆性面。在这种单独的动力激励的相同输入能量下,当暴露于两个独立的时间相关激励时,结构表现出不同的脆弱性,即基底诱导的地震和质量诱导的风力。此外,在非同时激励下,输入激励参数的不确定性对结构设计寿命中的失效概率有很大影响。
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引用次数: 0
From systemic financial risk to grid resilience: Embedding stress testing in electric utility investment strategies and regulatory processes 从系统性金融风险到电网弹性:在电力投资策略和监管流程中嵌入压力测试
IF 5.9 Q1 Social Sciences Pub Date : 2022-07-21 DOI: 10.1080/23789689.2021.2015833
M. DeMenno, R. Broderick, Robert Jeffers
ABSTRACT In response to major system disruptions, policymakers have prioritized enhancing the resilience of the financial services and energy sectors, with a particular focus on banking and electricity regulation. In both sectors, ‘regulating for resilience’ requires bridging system-level policy goals and institution-level policy instruments as well as tailoring institutional requirements to firms’ idiosyncratic risk profiles. Stress testing has enabled financial regulators to partially overcome these analytical and governance challenges, resulting in better capitalized and managed banks, increased attentiveness to systemic risk, and a more resilient financial system. Recognizing the opportunity for translation across sectors and disciplines, this article develops a novel methodology and an actionable policy framework for embedding stress testing in electric utility investment strategies and regulatory processes. It demonstrates how stress testing could enhance the resilience and sustainability of the U.S. electric grid and explores opportunities for regulatory coordination in multi-sector analyses of climate-related risk and resilience.
摘要为应对重大系统中断,政策制定者已将提高金融服务和能源部门的弹性列为优先事项,特别关注银行和电力监管。在这两个部门,“弹性监管”需要将系统级政策目标和机构级政策工具联系起来,并根据企业的特殊风险状况调整机构要求。压力测试使金融监管机构能够部分克服这些分析和治理挑战,从而使银行资本化和管理更好,对系统性风险的关注度更高,金融体系更具弹性。认识到跨部门和跨学科翻译的机会,本文开发了一种新的方法和可操作的政策框架,用于将压力测试嵌入电力公司投资战略和监管流程。它展示了压力测试如何提高美国电网的弹性和可持续性,并探索了在气候相关风险和弹性的多部门分析中进行监管协调的机会。
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引用次数: 1
On the correlations between different chloride transport parameters and their role in service life estimation 不同氯化物传输参数之间的相关性及其在寿命估算中的作用
IF 5.9 Q1 Social Sciences Pub Date : 2022-07-19 DOI: 10.1080/23789689.2022.2097771
Yuvaraj Dhandapani, M. Santhanam
ABSTRACT In this article, the role of chloride transport parameters in the service life estimation of a reinforced concrete structure is discussed. This article also lists several qualitative and quantitative test methods used to measure resistance to ingress of chloride in concrete systems with their advantageous and critique properties. The relationship between the rapid assessment methods such as resistivity and the diffusion coefficient is put forward. A review of the ageing coefficient for different binder types is presented. The importance to characterise and account for the environmental factors such as exposure condition and ambient temperature variation is emphasised based on its impact on the chloride build-up rate. A parametric study is carried out to identify the role of different factors associated with chloride transport property in service life estimation. The prediction of chloride build-up rates for various binder composites based on analytical and numerical approaches is summarised along with relevant input parameters.
本文讨论了氯离子传输参数在钢筋混凝土结构使用寿命估算中的作用。本文还列出了几种用于测量混凝土系统中氯离子进入阻力的定性和定量测试方法,以及它们的优点和缺点。提出了电阻率和扩散系数等快速评价方法之间的关系。综述了不同粘结剂类型的老化系数。基于环境因素对氯化物积聚速率的影响,强调了表征和说明环境因素(如暴露条件和环境温度变化)的重要性。进行了一项参数研究,以确定与氯化物传输特性相关的不同因素在使用寿命估计中的作用。总结了基于分析和数值方法的各种粘合剂复合材料的氯化物积聚速率的预测以及相关的输入参数。
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引用次数: 1
The Canadian winter road infrastructure in a warming climate: Toward resiliency assessment and resource prioritization 气候变暖下的加拿大冬季道路基础设施:走向弹性评估和资源优先排序
IF 5.9 Q1 Social Sciences Pub Date : 2022-07-14 DOI: 10.1080/23789689.2022.2094124
P. Barrette, Y. Hori, Amy M. Kim
ABSTRACT Winter roads are seasonal roads that only exist during the winter – they run over frozen land and frozen lakes and rivers. Many northern communities in Canada rely on them for their yearly supplies of bulk goods, including fuel and building supplies, which are too costly to ship by air. Because of a warming climate, a progressive shortening of the operational time windows is observed, and is predicted to continue based on climate model projections. Compared to all-season roads, winter roads are less well understood; they are also unevenly managed across Canada. This state of affairs represents a liability for Northerners and could be addressed via the systematic characterization of individual roads. This would help the assessment of community vulnerability and costs for remediation measures. It would also guide decision-making and prioritization.
摘要冬季道路是只在冬季存在的季节性道路,它们穿越冻土、结冰的湖泊和河流。加拿大许多北方社区每年的大宗商品供应都依赖他们,包括燃料和建筑用品,这些商品的空运成本太高。由于气候变暖,观测到运行时间窗口逐渐缩短,并根据气候模型预测预测将继续。与全季节道路相比,冬季道路不太为人所知;加拿大各地对它们的管理也不均衡。这种情况对北方人来说是一种负担,可以通过对个别道路的系统描述来解决。这将有助于评估社区脆弱性和补救措施的成本。它还将指导决策和确定优先次序。
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引用次数: 2
Stochastic deterioration modelling of sidewalk performance using compound poisson processes 人行道性能的复合泊松随机退化模型
IF 5.9 Q1 Social Sciences Pub Date : 2022-07-13 DOI: 10.1080/23789689.2022.2094125
P. Lin, Arnold Yuan, Kainan Li, Henry Fang
ABSTRACT Pedestrian sidewalk plays an increasingly important role in urban transportation. Due to the traditional misconception of it being an infrastructure class of low risk, the current sidewalk asset management still largely relies on experiences and personal judgment. To promote rational asset management, the authors have recently developed two performance indicators namely, the maintenance repair index (MRI) and the sidewalk condition index (SCI). This paper advances the effort by developing two deterioration models using a compound Poisson process (CPP), which consists of a nonhomogeneous Poisson process for the jumping time and a Weibull distribution for the jumping size. Based on a real-life sidewalk defects database, the models also consider the heterogeneity of the sidewalks by including asset attributes such as sidewalk service age, foundation soil type, sidewalk size, pedestrian density, and intensity of construction activities in the vicinity of a sidewalk. The modelling approach presented in the paper – particularly the considerations in the selection of CPP model, the Bayesian statistical inference method, and the model validation process – serves as an excellent example for stochastic deterioration modelling for risk-informed infrastructure asset management.
人行人行道在城市交通中发挥着越来越重要的作用。由于传统的误解,它是一个低风险的基础设施类别,目前的人行道资产管理仍然很大程度上依赖于经验和个人判断。为了促进合理的资产管理,作者最近提出了两个绩效指标,即维护维修指数(MRI)和人行道状况指数(SCI)。本文利用复合泊松过程(CPP)建立了两个退化模型,该模型由非均匀泊松过程表示跳跃时间,威布尔分布表示跳跃大小。基于现实生活中的人行道缺陷数据库,该模型还考虑了人行道的异质性,包括人行道服务年限、基础土壤类型、人行道大小、行人密度和人行道附近建筑活动强度等资产属性。本文提出的建模方法——特别是在选择CPP模型、贝叶斯统计推断方法和模型验证过程中的考虑——是风险知情基础设施资产管理的随机恶化建模的一个很好的例子。
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引用次数: 0
Nonlinear seismic fragility analysis of a resilient precast post-tensioned segmental bridge pier 弹性预制后张节段桥墩非线性地震易损性分析
IF 5.9 Q1 Social Sciences Pub Date : 2022-06-08 DOI: 10.1080/23789689.2022.2082644
E. Ahmadi, Sedef Kocakaplan, M. Kashani
ABSTRACT The use of precast post-tensioned segmental (PPS) piers is growing in the bridge industry, particularly in Accelerated Bridge Construction (ABC). To increase their use in high-seismicity regions, this study focuses on the seismic performance of the PPS piers under pulse-like near-field earthquakes. Two ensembles of 40 pulse-like near-field ground motions and 44 far-field ground motions along with three bridge piers of various heights are used in a series of incremental dynamic analyses. The piers are analysed under the original pulse-like near-field ground motions, their extracted pulse ground motions, and their corresponding non-pulse ground motions. It is found that the effect of the pulse ground motion is pronounced, when the pulse period is in proximity to the natural period of the pier. It is also seen that pulse-like near-field and far-field ground motions generally have similar effects on the response of PPS piers.
预制后张分段(PPS)桥墩的使用在桥梁行业中日益增长,特别是在加速桥梁建设(ABC)中。为了增加其在高地震活动性地区的应用,本研究重点研究了脉动型近场地震下PPS墩的抗震性能。利用40个脉冲式近场地面运动和44个远场地面运动的两个集合以及三个不同高度的桥墩进行了一系列的增量动力分析。分析了桥墩在原始脉冲型近场地震动、提取的脉冲型地震动和相应的非脉冲型地震动作用下的情况。研究发现,当脉冲周期接近桥墩的自然周期时,脉冲地震动对桥墩的影响是显著的。还可以看出,脉冲型近场和远场地面运动对PPS桥墩的响应一般具有相似的影响。
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引用次数: 0
The effect of different road pavement typologies on urban heat island: a case study 不同道路铺装类型对城市热岛的影响:个案研究
IF 5.9 Q1 Social Sciences Pub Date : 2022-05-06 DOI: 10.1080/23789689.2022.2067951
V. Ranieri, S. Coropulis, N. Berloco, V. Fedele, P. Intini, Claudio Laricchia, P. Colonna
ABSTRACT The Urban Heat Island (UHI) phenomenon is commonly solved by implementing materials with optimal thermic and evapotranspiration properties which help decreasing the air temperature in dense urban areas. This approach has been applied in this study, testing six different materials (replacing the current Macadam) in one parking area in Bari (Italy), which provides a large-scale testbed, by means of a thermal three-dimensional non-hydrostatic simulation: impervious asphalt pavement (IAP), asphalt permeable pavement (APP), green pavement (GP), green pavement-asphalt permeable pavement (GP+APP), grey porous concrete blocks (GCB), and light concrete permeable pavement (LCPP). The highest-performance pavements in terms of potential air temperature (PAT) reduction were the GP (−1.22°C), GCB (−1.26°C) and LCPP (−1.22°C), which also showed a constant relative humidity, suggesting their UHI mitigation benefits. A comparison of the structural properties as well as the construction and maintenance costs of such pavements is also provided, finding the best mitigation strategy (GCB).
摘要城市热岛(UHI)现象通常通过使用具有最佳热和蒸散特性的材料来解决,这些材料有助于降低密集城市地区的空气温度。该方法已应用于本研究,通过热三维非流体力学模拟,在意大利巴里的一个停车场测试了六种不同的材料(取代了目前的Macadam),该停车场提供了一个大型试验台:不透水沥青路面(IAP)、沥青透水路面(APP)、绿色路面(GP)、,灰色多孔混凝土块(GCB)和轻质混凝土透水路面(LCPP)。就潜在空气温度(PAT)降低而言,性能最高的路面是GP(-1.22°C)、GCB(-1.26°C)和LCPP(-1.22℃),它们也显示出恒定的相对湿度,这表明它们具有缓解UHI的好处。还对此类路面的结构特性以及施工和维护成本进行了比较,找到了最佳缓解策略(GCB)。
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引用次数: 5
Markov-based deterioration prediction and asset management of floodway structures 基于Markov的防洪建筑物劣化预测与资产管理
IF 5.9 Q1 Social Sciences Pub Date : 2022-05-05 DOI: 10.1080/23789689.2022.2067950
H. Tran, W. Lokuge, W. Karunasena, S. Setunge
ABSTRACT Floodway structures are sections of roads that have been designed to be overtopped by floodwater and to fully return to serviceable level after the flood water recedes. They are an alternative cost-effective solution to bridges and culverts while they play a significant role in the economy of a country by connecting regional communities, farmlands and agricultural areas to urban cities. To support proactive asset management of floodway structures, this study developed a Markov deterioration model to predict the rate of deterioration for a network of floodway structures by using their visual inspection data. A computational algorithm has also been developed for estimating the lowest-cost inspection interval for floodway structures. A case study with real floodway structures is used to demonstrate its practical application. Effects of maintenance assumption, traffic count and underneath drainage culverts on deterioration rate of floodway network together with a budget estimation are the outcomes of this study.
摘要:防洪道结构是指被洪水漫过并在洪水退去后完全恢复到可用水平的路段。它们是桥梁和涵洞的另一种成本效益高的解决方案,同时通过连接地区社区、农田和农业区与城市,在一个国家的经济中发挥着重要作用。为了支持防洪堤结构的主动资产管理,本研究开发了一个马尔可夫退化模型,通过使用其视觉检查数据来预测防洪堤结构网络的退化率。还开发了一种计算算法,用于估计泄洪道结构的最低成本检查间隔。以实际泄洪道结构为例,说明了该方法的实际应用。维护假设、交通量和排水涵洞对泄洪道网络恶化率的影响以及预算估算是本研究的结果。
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引用次数: 1
Metamodel-based metaheuristics in optimal responsive adaptation and recovery of traffic networks 基于元模型的交通网络最优响应适应与恢复元启发式研究
IF 5.9 Q1 Social Sciences Pub Date : 2022-03-11 DOI: 10.1080/23789689.2022.2029325
R. Teixeira, Beatriz Martinez-Pastor, M. Nogal, A. O'Connor
ABSTRACT Different emerging threats highlighted the relevance of recovery and adaptation modelling in the functioning of societal systems. However, as modelling of systems becomes more complex, its effort increases challenging the practicality of the engineering analyses required for efficient recovery and adaptation. In the present work, metamodels are researched as a tool to enable these analyses in traffic networks. One of the main advantages of metamodeling is their synergy with the short decision times required in recovery and adaptation. A sequential global metamodeling technique is proposed and applied to three macroscopic day-to-day user-equilibrium models. Two reference contexts of application are researched: optimal recovery to a perturbation (with response times reduced by 98% with loss of accuracy lower than 1%) and adaptation under uncertainty with perturbation-dependent optimality. Results show that metamodeling-based metaheuristics enable fast resource-intensive engineering analyses of traffic recovery and adaptation, which may change the paradigm of decision-making in this field
摘要不同的新出现的威胁突出了恢复和适应模型在社会系统运作中的相关性。然而,随着系统建模变得越来越复杂,其工作量也越来越大,对有效恢复和适应所需的工程分析的实用性提出了挑战。在目前的工作中,元模型被研究为在交通网络中进行这些分析的工具。元建模的主要优势之一是它们与恢复和适应所需的短决策时间的协同作用。提出了一种顺序全局元建模技术,并将其应用于三个宏观的日常用户平衡模型。研究了两种参考应用背景:扰动的最佳恢复(响应时间减少98%,精度损失低于1%)和扰动相关最优性的不确定性自适应。结果表明,基于元模型的元启发式方法能够对流量恢复和自适应进行快速的资源密集型工程分析,这可能会改变该领域的决策模式
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引用次数: 3
Engineering properties of very high volume fly ash composite 超高体积粉煤灰复合材料的工程性能
IF 5.9 Q1 Social Sciences Pub Date : 2022-03-11 DOI: 10.1080/23789689.2022.2033938
H. Myadaraboina, C. Gunasekara, D. Law
ABSTRACT The addition of a small quantity of lime has been recommended to enhance the early strength of High-Volume Fly Ash Concrete. However, the quantity of lime may not be adequate in the case of Very High Volume Fly Ash Concrete (VHVFAC). This study compares the mechanical properties of VHVFAC with 80% cement replacement with ultrafine fly ash with the addition of lime and silica fume (SF), with that of PC concrete over a 90-day period. Correlation between the compressive strength and other mechanical properties of VHVFAC are presented. The use of SF enhanced the mechanical properties of the VHVFAC, with the increase more predominant at early age. VHVFAC exhibited similar mechanical performance with PC concrete by the end of the 90 days.
摘要为了提高大体积粉煤灰混凝土的早期强度,建议在混凝土中加入少量石灰。然而,在超高体积粉煤灰混凝土(VHVFAC)的情况下,石灰的数量可能不够。本研究比较了超细粉煤灰替代80%水泥并添加石灰和硅灰(SF)的VHVFAC与PC混凝土在90天内的力学性能。给出了VHVFAC抗压强度与其他力学性能的相关性。SF的使用增强了VHVFAC的力学性能,且在早期增加更为明显。90天结束时,VHVFAC的力学性能与PC混凝土相似。
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引用次数: 0
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Sustainable and Resilient Infrastructure
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