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A novel method for quantifying risks to climate change events using conditional value at risk: a multi-unit residential building case study in London, Ontario 一种利用风险条件值量化气候变化事件风险的新方法:安大略省伦敦多单元住宅楼案例研究
Q1 Social Sciences Pub Date : 2023-09-14 DOI: 10.1080/23789689.2023.2257511
Milad Rostami, Santinah Green-Mignacca, Scott Bucking
ABSTRACTClimate change may lead to more frequent and severe weather events, resulting in significant financial and human health impacts. This paper develops a risk metric using building performance simulation by associating thermal and incidental risks in buildings during power outages while considering multiple cold and hot events. Conditional Value at Risk (CVaR) is calculated using variations in outage events. According to the results, employing an integrated building design and a microgrid with photovoltaic panels that can be disconnected from the grid halves vulnerability related to ice storms and completely mitigates it for historical heatwave events. The variability study has revealed that a code-minimum design has eight times the CVaR of the as-built design. This novel methodology has the potential to inform future environmental, social, and corporate governance strategies and assist infrastructure operators in managing their risk exposure to future climate change events, considering various types of risks and multiple hazards.KEYWORDS: Riskthermal resilienceincidental damagesadaptationzero-net-energy Disclosure statementNo potential conflict of interest was reported by the author(s).Correction StatementThis article has been corrected with minor changes. These changes do not impact the academic content of the article.Additional informationNotes on contributorsMilad RostamiMilad Rostami is currently a Ph.D. student in Building Engineering at Carleton University. He earned his Master of Science degree in Civil Engineering from the University of Tehran. His research interests encompass climate change adaptation, risk analysis, and building performance simulation.Santinah Green-MignaccaSantinah Green-Mignacca is pursuing a Master's degree in Building Engineering at Carleton University. She holds a Bachelor's degree in Architectural Conservation and Sustainability Engineering, also from Carleton University. Her research interests include sustainable infrastructure, resilience and adaptation strategies, as well as biophilic design.Scott BuckingScott Bucking is an Associate Professor in the Department of Civil and Environmental Engineering at Carleton University. He completed his Ph.D. in Building Engineering at Concordia University. His research focuses on areas such as net-zero energy buildings, building performance simulation, and climate change resilience.
气候变化可能导致更频繁和更严重的天气事件,造成重大的经济和人类健康影响。本文在考虑多种冷热事件的同时,通过将停电期间建筑物的热和附带风险联系起来,开发了一种使用建筑性能模拟的风险度量。条件风险值(CVaR)是使用中断事件的变化来计算的。根据研究结果,采用一体化的建筑设计和带有光伏板的微电网(可以与电网断开),可以减少与冰暴相关的脆弱性,并完全减轻历史热浪事件的脆弱性。变异性研究表明,代码最小设计的CVaR是建成设计的8倍。这种新颖的方法有可能为未来的环境、社会和公司治理战略提供信息,并帮助基础设施运营商在考虑各种类型的风险和多重危害的情况下管理未来气候变化事件的风险。关键词:风险热弹性附带损害适应性零净能耗披露声明作者未报告潜在利益冲突这篇文章经过了细微的修改。这些变化不影响文章的学术内容。作者简介:milad Rostami目前是卡尔顿大学建筑工程专业的博士生。他在德黑兰大学(University of Tehran)获得土木工程硕士学位。他的研究兴趣包括气候变化适应、风险分析和建筑性能模拟。Santinah Green-Mignacca正在卡尔顿大学攻读建筑工程硕士学位。她拥有卡尔顿大学建筑保护和可持续发展工程学士学位。她的研究兴趣包括可持续基础设施,弹性和适应策略,以及亲生物设计。Scott buckking是卡尔顿大学土木与环境工程系的副教授。他在康考迪亚大学(Concordia University)完成了建筑工程博士学位。他的研究主要集中在净零能耗建筑、建筑性能模拟和气候变化适应能力等领域。
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引用次数: 0
Climate change induced disasters and highly vulnerable infrastructure in Uttarakhand, India: current status and way forward towards resilience and long-term sustainability 印度北阿坎德邦气候变化引发的灾害和高度脆弱的基础设施:当前状况和实现复原力和长期可持续性的前进道路
IF 5.9 Q1 Social Sciences Pub Date : 2023-09-07 DOI: 10.1080/23789689.2023.2253409
Gagandeep Singh, Ashish Pandey
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引用次数: 0
Impacts of climate change and variability on the growth potential of global mangrove distribution 气候变化和可变性对全球红树林分布生长潜力的影响
IF 5.9 Q1 Social Sciences Pub Date : 2023-09-06 DOI: 10.1080/23789689.2023.2253412
T. Randhir, Keith Toffling, C. Griffin
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引用次数: 0
Sustainable and resilient infrastructure development: a systematic review 可持续和有弹性的基础设施发展:系统回顾
IF 5.9 Q1 Social Sciences Pub Date : 2023-09-01 DOI: 10.1080/23789689.2023.2249768
N. S. Nor Shahrudin, N. Mustaffa
ABSTRACT Establishing infrastructure that effectively coordinates social, economic, and environmental growth is crucial to sustainable development. This study aims to identify the current research trends for sustainable and resilient infrastructure in terms of years, classify the various types, research methods, and indicators of infrastructure projects, and compile an overview of indicators from the existing literature. The results are anticipated to contribute to the current knowledge body about sustainable and resilient infrastructure project development by highlighting recurrent themes and emerging trends in the field. This research applied the PRISMA strategy, which incorporates bibliometrics and visualisation tools, to analyse the 442 bibliographic papers published in databases on the topic between 2005 and 2022. According to the findings, the amount of research conducted increased between 2018 and 2021, with China and Europe being the most significant contributors. The total of 105 articles was selected, covering various infrastructural types and approaches. The examination led to the extraction of four sustainable infrastructure indicators: environmental, economic, social and resilient. This study provided valuable data on the latest research trends and indicators for designing sustainable and resilient infrastructure projects which will assist future research.
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引用次数: 0
A network-level management system to mitigate the global warming potential of road pavements 一个网络级管理系统,以减轻道路路面的全球变暖潜力
IF 5.9 Q1 Social Sciences Pub Date : 2023-08-30 DOI: 10.1080/23789689.2023.2253411
Miguel Pampolina, Anuarbek Onayev, Maxime Therrien, O. Swei
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引用次数: 0
An approach for data-driven time-varying flood resilience quantification of housing infrastructure system 数据驱动的住房基础设施系统时变抗洪能力量化方法
IF 5.9 Q1 Social Sciences Pub Date : 2023-08-24 DOI: 10.1080/23789689.2023.2246336
J. Laskar, M. Sen, Subhrajit Dutta, A. Gandomi, Sujit Tewari
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引用次数: 0
Managing infrastructure resilience and adaptation 管理基础设施的弹性和适应性
IF 5.9 Q1 Social Sciences Pub Date : 2023-08-10 DOI: 10.1080/23789689.2023.2241728
C. Lewin, M. Rossi, Evangelia Soultani, Kumar Sudheer Raj
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引用次数: 0
Leveraging inter-organizational coordination networks for housing climate change adaptation across Rural Alaska 利用组织间协调网络在阿拉斯加农村地区适应住房气候变化
IF 5.9 Q1 Social Sciences Pub Date : 2023-07-13 DOI: 10.1080/23789689.2023.2232580
Jessica E. Taylor, Cristina Poleacoschi, A. Opdyke, Kristen S. Cetin
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引用次数: 0
Special issue on adaptive planning for sustainable and resilient infrastructure II: an Introduction 可持续和有弹性基础设施适应性规划特刊二:导言
IF 5.9 Q1 Social Sciences Pub Date : 2023-07-11 DOI: 10.1080/23789689.2023.2223840
David M. Trejo
study
学习
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引用次数: 0
Indicative analysis of energy security at the regional level: methodology and practice exemplified by individual territories of Russia 区域一级能源安全的指示性分析:以俄罗斯个别领土为例的方法和做法
IF 5.9 Q1 Social Sciences Pub Date : 2023-07-10 DOI: 10.1080/23789689.2023.2233748
S. Senderov, E. Smirnova, S. Vorobev
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引用次数: 0
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