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Labor market regulation and the cyclicality of involuntary part-time work 劳动力市场监管与非自愿兼职工作的周期性
IF 1.7 Q2 INDUSTRIAL RELATIONS & LABOR Pub Date : 2024-03-10 DOI: 10.1186/s12651-024-00363-0
Theresa Markefke, Rebekka Müller-Rehm

In times of economic crisis, many employers in liberal labor markets reduce their employees’ working hours, which leads to an increase in the incidence of involuntary part-time work. We analyze the effectiveness of working time regulation in preventing such an increase during downswings. For this we look at the case of Germany, where hours adjustments are highly restricted by law. Using a state-level panel regression approach, we find that the incidence of involuntary part-time work is positively associated with the unemployment rate but that the association is much weaker than in the US and in the UK. Transition probabilities between employment states over the cycle suggest two particular underlying mechanisms: First, already employed workers are more likely to want a full-time position in economic downturns (“added hours effect”). Second, job seekers make concessions with regards to their desired hours when labor market conditions are bad (“reservation hours effect”). We are the first to document these margins of cyclical hours adjustments which are fundamentally different from those in less regulated labor markets, where the cyclicality of involuntary part-time work is predominantly driven by hours changes at the same employer.

在经济危机时期,自由劳动力市场上的许多雇主都会减少员工的工作时间,从而导致非自愿兼职工作的发生率上升。我们分析了工作时间规定在防止经济下滑期间非自愿兼职工作增加方面的有效性。为此,我们研究了德国的案例,在德国,工时调整受到法律的严格限制。通过使用州级面板回归方法,我们发现非自愿兼职工作的发生率与失业率呈正相关,但这种相关性比美国和英国要弱得多。周期内就业状态之间的转换概率表明有两种特殊的内在机制:首先,已经就业的工人在经济不景气时更有可能想要一份全职工作("额外工时效应")。其次,当劳动力市场状况不佳时,求职者会在其期望工时方面做出让步("保留工时效应")。我们首次记录了这些周期性工时调整的边际,这与监管较少的劳动力市场上的周期性工时调整有着本质区别,在后者中,非自愿兼职工作的周期性主要由同一雇主的工时变化所驱动。
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引用次数: 0
Personnel adjustments during the Covid-19 pandemic: did co-determination make a difference? Covid-19 大流行期间的人事调整:共同决定是否起了作用?
IF 1.7 Q2 INDUSTRIAL RELATIONS & LABOR Pub Date : 2024-02-05 DOI: 10.1186/s12651-024-00362-1
Daniel Fackler, Claus Schnabel, Jens Stegmaier

Using a unique dataset of establishments in Germany surveyed during the Covid-19 pandemic, this study investigates whether personnel adjustments during the crisis differed between establishments with and without a works council. Our regression analyses show that the hiring and dismissal rate as well as the churning rate were lower in establishments with a works council. In contrast, the net employment growth rate over the pandemic and the implementation of short-time work did not differ significantly between establishments with and without a works council. We conclude that worker co-determination did indeed make a difference in terms of higher employment stability for the incumbent workforce during the pandemic.

本研究利用在科维德-19 大流行病期间调查的德国企业的独特数据集,研究了在危机期间,有职工委员会和没有职工委员会的企业在人事调整方面是否存在差异。我们的回归分析表明,在有职代会的企业中,雇佣率、解雇率和流失率都较低。相比之下,大流行病期间的净就业增长率和短时工作制的实施情况在有职工委员会和没有职工委员会的企业之间没有显著差异。我们的结论是,在大流行病期间,工人共同决策确实在提高在职员工的就业稳定性方面发挥了作用。
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引用次数: 0
Live longer, work longer? An investigation of the health capacity to work at older ages in Denmark using combined register and survey data 活得更长,工作得更久?利用综合登记和调查数据调查丹麦老年人的健康工作能力
IF 1.7 Q2 INDUSTRIAL RELATIONS & LABOR Pub Date : 2024-01-25 DOI: 10.1186/s12651-024-00360-3
Maiken Skovrider Aaskoven, Jørgen T. Lauridsen, Trine Kjær

Publicly funded pension systems are facing the challenge of remaining financially sustainable without lowering pensions. Raising the statutory retirement age gradually in line with the increase in life expectancy has been a key measure to solve the problem. The implicit assumption is that the additional years of life are lived in good health, or as a minimum that health status is compatible with work. However, some individuals may not have the ability to work. Furthermore, a uniform retirement age ignores the different exposures to morbidity and mortality risks across social groups. Consequently, it is important to examine whether the health of older individuals will allow them to continue working and whether there is significant heterogeneity in the ability to work. Combining the Survey of Health, Ageing and Retirement in Europe (SHARE) with data from the Danish registers enables us to create a composite health index that includes an extensive range of health indicators. Utilising the health capacity to work approach, we estimate the health capacity to work among Danes aged 55 and above. We divide health capacity into physical and mental health. We investigate heterogeneity in health capacity across educational and occupational attainment. Substantial additional work capacity is found for older Danes. Depending on the type of health index applied, the health capacrk varies. There is evidence of a socio-economic gradient in work capacity. Results thereby show that policies that intend to utilise the additional work capacity should consider heterogeneity in health.

Highlights

  • We provide new evidence of the health capacity work in Denmark.

  • The combination of survey and register data allow for comprehensive health indices.

  • There is substantial additional health capacity to work.

  • There is variation across health indices.

  • There is variation across educational and occupational attainment.

公共资助的养老金制度面临着在不降低养老金的情况下保持财政可持续性的挑战。根据预期寿命的增长逐步提高法定退休年龄是解决这一问题的关键措施。其中隐含的假设是,增加的寿命是在健康状况良好的情况下度过的,或者至少是健康状况与工作相适应的情况下度过的。然而,有些人可能没有工作能力。此外,统一退休年龄忽略了不同社会群体所面临的发病率和死亡率风险。因此,必须研究老年人的健康状况是否允许他们继续工作,以及工作能力是否存在显著的异质性。结合《欧洲健康、老龄和退休调查》(SHARE)和丹麦登记册的数据,我们可以创建一个包含广泛健康指标的综合健康指数。利用健康工作能力方法,我们估算了 55 岁及以上丹麦人的健康工作能力。我们将健康能力分为身体健康和心理健康。我们调查了不同教育和职业水平的健康能力的异质性。我们发现,年长丹麦人的工作能力大幅提高。根据采用的健康指数类型,健康能力也有所不同。有证据表明,工作能力存在社会经济梯度。我们提供了丹麦健康工作能力的新证据。结合调查和登记数据,可以得出全面的健康指数。
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引用次数: 0
Going green: estimating the potential of green jobs in Argentina 走向绿色:估算阿根廷绿色工作岗位的潜力
IF 1.7 Q2 INDUSTRIAL RELATIONS & LABOR Pub Date : 2024-01-03 DOI: 10.1186/s12651-023-00359-2
Pablo de la Vega, Natalia Porto, Manuela Cerimelo

This paper aims to identify and characterize the potential of green jobs in Argentina, i.e., those workers that would benefit from a transition to a green economy, using occupational green potential scores calculated in US O*NET data for the period 2015–2021. We apply the greenness scores to Argentine household survey data and estimate that between 23 and 25 percent of workers are in green jobs, i.e., have a high green potential. However, to promote and ensure an inclusive and effective green transition, we consider the decent work dimension (through legal informality measures), and find that between 11 and 12 percent of wage earners are in green formal jobs. We then analyze the relationship between the green job indicators and various labor and demographic variables at the individual level. We find that the green potential is relatively greater for men, the elderly, those with very high qualifications, and those in specific sectors such as construction, transportation, mining, and industry. These are the groups that are likely to be the most benefited by the greening of the Argentine economy. The green potential score is positively associated with informality, thus the green transition may be incompatible with decent work.

本文旨在利用美国 2015-2021 年 O*NET 数据计算出的职业绿色潜力分数,识别和描述阿根廷绿色工作的潜力,即那些将从向绿色经济转型中受益的工人。我们将绿色得分应用于阿根廷家庭调查数据,估计有 23% 至 25% 的工人从事绿色工作,即具有较高的绿色潜力。然而,为了促进和确保包容、有效的绿色转型,我们考虑了体面工作的维度(通过法律非正规性措施),发现有 11% 至 12% 的工薪阶层从事绿色正规工作。然后,我们分析了绿色工作指标与个人层面的各种劳动力和人口变量之间的关系。我们发现,男性、老年人、高学历人群以及特定行业(如建筑、运输、采矿和工业)的绿色潜力相对较大。这些群体可能是阿根廷经济绿色化的最大受益者。绿色潜力得分与非正规性呈正相关,因此绿色转型可能与体面工作不相容。
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引用次数: 0
Short-time allowances in times of crisis: a survey experiment 危机时期的短时津贴:一项调查实验
IF 1.7 Q2 INDUSTRIAL RELATIONS & LABOR Pub Date : 2023-12-13 DOI: 10.1186/s12651-023-00358-3
Gesine Stephan, Matthias Dütsch, Christopher Osiander

During the COVID-19 pandemic, many countries used short-time work schemes, i.e., subsidies for temporary working hours reductions due to production drops. In Germany, regulations on entitlements and benefits have been much more generous during the pandemic than they were in noncrisis times. This paper conducts a factorial survey experiment among the workforce to investigate which amounts of short-time benefits and which associated replacement rates were perceived as appropriate during the pandemic. We interpret our findings in the context of the deservingness theory. Our results show that the assessments are partly consistent with the legal design features in Germany. One of our key findings is that, according to respondents, the short-time allowance should decrease slightly with an increasing duration of short-time work. In Germany, however, with the onset of the pandemic, a rule was temporarily implemented that step-wise increased short-time work benefits with the duration of short-time work.

在2019冠状病毒病大流行期间,许多国家采用了短期工作计划,即为因产量下降而减少的临时工作时间提供补贴。在德国,与非危机时期相比,大流行期间对应享权利和福利的规定要慷慨得多。本文在劳动力中进行了一项析因调查实验,以调查在大流行期间,人们认为哪些短期福利数额和哪些相关的替代率是合适的。我们在应得性理论的背景下解释我们的发现。我们的研究结果表明,这些评估在一定程度上符合德国的法律设计特征。我们的主要发现之一是,根据受访者的说法,随着短期工作时间的增加,短期工作津贴应该会略有减少。然而,在德国,随着大流行的爆发,临时实施了一项规定,随着短工时间的延长,逐步增加短工福利。
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引用次数: 0
The impact of lower caseloads in public employment services on the unemployed 公共就业服务个案量减少对失业人士的影响
IF 1.7 Q2 INDUSTRIAL RELATIONS & LABOR Pub Date : 2023-11-28 DOI: 10.1186/s12651-023-00357-4
René Böheim, Rainer Eppel, Helmut Mahringer

In a randomised controlled trial in Austria, lowering caseloads for caseworkers in a Public Employment Office led to more meetings with unemployed clients, more job offers, more programme assignments, and more sanctions for noncompliance with job search requirements. It shortened unemployment spells through faster job entry, but also through more exits from the labour force in the 2 years following treatment. The duration of unemployment was reduced for a number of subgroups of the unemployed, but not all benefited from increased employment. For women and foreigners, lower caseloads led to more time out of the labour force. The quality of jobs after unemployment, measured by wages, did not change. A cost–benefit analysis suggests that lower caseloads not only shorten unemployment but also save public costs.

在奥地利的一项随机对照试验中,降低公共就业办公室的个案工作者的工作量,导致与失业客户的更多会面、更多工作机会、更多项目任务,以及对不遵守求职要求的更多制裁。它通过更快的就业机会缩短了失业时间,但也通过在治疗后的两年内更多的劳动力退出来缩短了失业时间。失业时间在若干次失业群体中有所减少,但并非所有人都受益于就业的增加。对于妇女和外国人来说,较低的案件量导致更多的时间离开劳动力市场。失业后的工作质量,以工资衡量,没有改变。一项成本效益分析表明,减少案件数量不仅缩短了失业时间,还节省了公共成本。
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引用次数: 0
Job market polarization and American poverty 就业市场两极分化和美国贫困
Q2 INDUSTRIAL RELATIONS & LABOR Pub Date : 2023-11-02 DOI: 10.1186/s12651-023-00356-5
Abu Bakkar Siddique
Abstract The article posits that the puzzles of stagnating poverty rates amidst high growth and declining unemployment in the United States can be substantially explained by polarized job markets characterized by job quality and job distribution. In recent decades, there has been an increased number of poor-quality jobs and an unequal distribution of jobs in the developed world, particularly in the United States. I have calculated measures of uneven job distribution indices that account for the distribution of jobs across households. A higher value of the uneven job distribution indices implies that there are relatively large numbers of households with multiple employed people and households with no employed people. Similarly, poor-quality jobs are those jobs that do not offer full-time work. Two-way fixed-effect models estimate that higher uneven job distribution across households worsens aggregated poverty at the state level. Similarly, good-quality jobs help households escape poverty, whereas poor-quality jobs do not. This paper suggests that eradicating poverty requires the government to direct labor market policies to be tailored more toward distributing jobs from individuals to households and altering bad jobs into good jobs, rather than merely creating more jobs in the economy. This paper contributes by elaborating on relations of employment and poverty, addressing employment quality and distribution, and providing empirical evidence.
摘要本文认为,美国高增长和失业率下降中贫困率停滞的困惑可以用以就业质量和就业分配为特征的两极分化就业市场来解释。近几十年来,在发达国家,特别是在美国,低质量的工作岗位越来越多,工作岗位分配不均。我计算出了就业分配不均衡指数,该指数反映了家庭间的就业分配情况。就业分配不均衡指数越高,说明有多人就业的家庭和没有就业的家庭数量较多。同样,低质量的工作是那些不提供全职工作的工作。双向固定效应模型估计,家庭间工作分配的不平衡加剧了州一级的总体贫困。同样,高质量的工作可以帮助家庭摆脱贫困,而低质量的工作则不能。这篇论文表明,消除贫困需要政府指导劳动力市场政策,使其更适合于将工作从个人分配到家庭,并将坏工作转变为好工作,而不仅仅是在经济中创造更多的工作。本文的贡献在于阐述就业与贫困的关系,解决就业质量和分配问题,并提供经验证据。
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引用次数: 0
Determinants of overlapping mismatch in the Turkish labour market 土耳其劳动力市场重叠错配的决定因素
Q2 INDUSTRIAL RELATIONS & LABOR Pub Date : 2023-10-08 DOI: 10.1186/s12651-023-00355-6
Ahmet Alper Ege, Erkan Erdil
Abstract Using a micro dataset from labour force survey of Turkey and employing a multinomial logistic regression, this paper examines the determinants of mere overeducation, mere field of study mismatch and full-mismatch (who are both overeducated and field of study mismatched simultaneously). The target group consists of full-time wage-based employees who graduated from higher education and are aged 20–65. The determinants of mismatch are analysed under four variable groups which are labour market context, demography, field of study and job-specific characteristics. In line with the earlier empirical evidence, we find that the unfavourable economic conditions at the time of entry into the labour market might affect the behavioural pattern of individuals while searching for a matching job. Moreover, the sharp increase in university graduates increased further the fierce competition for the limited jobs available in the labour market, and resulted in a high likelihood of mismatch especially for the recent graduates. In sum, the estimation results yield that any mismatch category is responsive to those determinants where fully-mismatched employees are more responsive. Hence, we propose that the policy implications should better focus on the full-mismatch category.
摘要:本文利用土耳其劳动力调查的微观数据集,采用多项逻辑回归,研究了单纯过度教育,单纯学习领域不匹配和完全不匹配的决定因素(同时受教育过度和学习领域不匹配)。目标群体是年龄在20-65岁的受过高等教育的全职领薪员工。错配的决定因素在四个变量组下进行分析,这四个变量组是劳动力市场背景,人口统计,研究领域和工作特定特征。与先前的经验证据一致,我们发现进入劳动力市场时的不利经济条件可能会影响个人在寻找匹配工作时的行为模式。此外,大学毕业生的急剧增加进一步加剧了劳动力市场上有限工作的激烈竞争,并导致了高度不匹配的可能性,特别是对应届毕业生。总之,估计结果表明,任何不匹配的类别都对那些完全不匹配的员工更敏感的决定因素有反应。因此,我们建议政策建议应更好地关注完全不匹配类别。
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引用次数: 0
How tuition fees affected student enrollment at higher education institutions: the aftermath of a German quasi-experiment 学费如何影响高等教育机构的学生入学:德国准实验的后果
Q2 INDUSTRIAL RELATIONS & LABOR Pub Date : 2023-10-06 DOI: 10.1186/s12651-023-00354-7
Ralf Minor
Abstract This study examines the impact of the charging of tuition fees between 2006 and 2014 in several German federal states on the number of first-year student enrollments. Since Germany is known for a tuition-free education policy at public institutions, the fundamental question arises of whether, and if so, to what extent, the temporary tuitions influenced the number of first-year-student enrollments. In this regard, Becker’s human capital theory suggests that rising fees should be associated with declining enrollment rates. The analyses to test the hypothesis are based on a longitudinal administrative panel data set for 206 universities and universities of applied sciences from 2003 to 2018; this means there are 3296 observations before, during, and after the tuition treatment. While no previous study has covered the full period of the policy or undertook more aggregate-level analyses, this study applies an analytical research design that uses several panel-data models and robustness checks to examine causal relations based on a quasi-experimental setting. The results of Fixed effects regressions confirm the hypothesized negative impact and even reveal a persistent negative effect of the treatment. The comparison of higher education institutions with and without tuition fees shows that the former institutions lost approximately between 3.8 and 7 percent of their first-year student enrollments on average.
摘要本研究考察了2006年至2014年德国几个联邦州收取学费对一年级学生入学人数的影响。由于德国以公共机构的免学费教育政策而闻名,根本性的问题出现了,即临时学费是否,如果是,在多大程度上影响了一年级学生的入学人数。在这方面,贝克尔的人力资本理论表明,学费上涨应该与入学率下降有关。检验假设的分析基于2003年至2018年206所大学和应用科学大学的纵向管理面板数据集;这意味着在学费处理之前,期间和之后有3296个观察值。虽然以前的研究没有涵盖政策的整个时期或进行更多的总体水平分析,但本研究采用分析研究设计,使用几个面板数据模型和鲁棒性检查来检查基于准实验设置的因果关系。固定效应回归的结果证实了假设的负面影响,甚至揭示了治疗的持续负面影响。对有学费和不收学费的高等教育机构的比较表明,有学费的高等教育机构平均减少了大约3.8%至7%的第一年入学人数。
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引用次数: 0
Neither backlash nor convergence: dynamics of intra-couple childcare division during the Covid-19 pandemic in Germany 既不反弹,也不趋同:新冠肺炎大流行期间德国夫妻之间育儿分工的动态
Q2 INDUSTRIAL RELATIONS & LABOR Pub Date : 2023-09-12 DOI: 10.1186/s12651-023-00353-8
Christina Boll, Dana Müller, Simone Schüller
Abstract Using unique (bi)monthly panel data (IAB-HOPP) covering the immediate postlockdown period from June to August 2020, as well as the subsequent period up until the second lockdown in January/February 2021, we investigate opposing claims of widening/closing the gender gap in parental childcare during the Covid-19 pandemic in Germany. We consider prepandemic division as a reference point and provide dynamics rather than snapshots. Our results suggest a slight initial shift toward a more egalitarian division that, however, faded out in subsequent months. Starting from a fairly “traditional” prepandemic childcare division, the lockdown stimulus was not nearly strong enough to level the playing field. Subgroup analysis differentiating between individual lockdown-specific work arrangements shows that the drivers of the observed shift were mothers with relatively intense labor market participation who cannot work from home. Fathers’ work arrangement instead did not play a significant role. We conclude that the shift emerged out of necessity rather than opportunity, which makes it likely to fade once the necessity vanishes. Further, a shift is observed only if fathers were to some extent involved in childcare prepandemic, which points to the crucial role of initial conditions.
利用覆盖2020年6月至8月封市后以及随后直到2021年1月/ 2月第二次封市期间的唯一(双)月度面板数据(ab - hopp),我们调查了在德国Covid-19大流行期间扩大/缩小父母育儿方面性别差距的对立说法。我们将大流行前的划分视为参考点,并提供动态而非快照。我们的研究结果表明,最初出现了向更平等的划分的轻微转变,然而,在随后的几个月里,这种转变逐渐消失。从一个相当“传统”的流行病前儿童保育部门开始,封锁刺激措施远不足以创造公平的竞争环境。区分个别封锁具体工作安排的亚组分析表明,观察到的转变的驱动因素是劳动力市场参与度相对较高、无法在家工作的母亲。相反,父亲的工作安排并没有发挥重要作用。我们得出的结论是,这种转变是出于必要性而不是机遇,这使得它很可能在必要性消失后消失。此外,只有在父亲在某种程度上参与大流行前的儿童保育时,才会观察到这种转变,这表明初始条件的关键作用。
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引用次数: 0
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Journal for Labour Market Research
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