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IF 1.7 Q2 Social Sciences Pub Date : 2024-03-15 DOI: 10.1016/S1757-7802(24)00168-9
Jolta Kacani
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引用次数: 0
Lessons from Regional Electricity Demand Change following Natural Disasters in Japan 日本自然灾害后地区电力需求变化的经验教训
IF 1.7 Q2 Social Sciences Pub Date : 2024-03-15 DOI: 10.1111/rsp3.12631
Akihiro Otsuka

Analyzing the impact of electricity price changes on electricity demand helps in energy supply planning. This study estimated the electricity demand functions of households and industries, as well as the impact of electricity price hikes on electricity demand following natural disasters. We found that structural changes occurred in various regions' electricity demand's price elasticity following natural disasters. Furthermore, the results showed that the decrease in consumer surplus associated with higher electricity prices was more significant in regions that depended on nuclear power. These results have important implications for regional energy policies.

分析电价变化对电力需求的影响有助于能源供应规划。本研究估算了自然灾害发生后家庭和工业的电力需求函数,以及电价上涨对电力需求的影响。我们发现,自然灾害发生后,不同地区的电力需求价格弹性发生了结构性变化。此外,研究结果表明,在依赖核电的地区,电价上涨带来的消费者剩余减少更为显著。这些结果对地区能源政策具有重要意义。
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引用次数: 0
Spatiotemporal analysis of urban development patterns and COVID-19 in Mashhad, Iran 伊朗马什哈德城市发展模式和 COVID-19 的时空分析
IF 1.7 Q2 Social Sciences Pub Date : 2024-03-15 DOI: 10.1016/j.rspp.2024.100027
Mahdi Shakibamanesh , Sahar Nedae Tousi , Farshid Aram

This study evaluates the impact of city spatial development patterns on the spread of airborne pandemics, focusing on Mashhad, Iran. Using ArcGIS spatial statistics, 91 spatial indices were examined between March 5, 2020, and October 2, 2021, during five distinct waves of the virus, revealing that private vehicle ownership and limited use of public transportation did not significantly reduce COVID-19 infection rates in Mashhad. Instead, factors such as proximity to transportation hubs, healthcare facility polarization, and retail shop distribution had a significant impact. Surprisingly, demographic vulnerability and conventional population-related factors had relatively minor effects. The study also highlights the influence of building concentration with high floor area ratios (FAR) and the impact of local authorities' optimism in reducing social distancing measures, especially in travel and traffic control, on the increased spread of the virus during recent waves.

本研究以伊朗马什哈德为重点,评估了城市空间发展模式对空气传播流行病传播的影响。在 2020 年 3 月 5 日至 2021 年 10 月 2 日期间,利用 ArcGIS 的空间统计功能,对五次不同的病毒传播浪潮中的 91 个空间指数进行了研究,结果显示,私家车拥有率和公共交通的有限使用并没有显著降低马什哈德的 COVID-19 感染率。相反,靠近交通枢纽、医疗机构两极分化和零售店分布等因素却有重大影响。令人惊讶的是,人口脆弱性和传统人口相关因素的影响相对较小。该研究还强调了高容积率(FAR)建筑集中的影响,以及地方当局乐观地减少社会隔离措施(尤其是在旅行和交通管制方面)对最近几波病毒传播增加的影响。
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引用次数: 0
Disaster vulnerability from Winter Storm Benji with Twitter data 利用 Twitter 数据了解冬季风暴 "本吉 "的灾害脆弱性
IF 1.7 Q2 Social Sciences Pub Date : 2024-03-15 DOI: 10.1111/rsp3.12563
Seungil Yum

This study highlights how Winter Storm Benji played a significant role in human responses and displacements on the basis of a multitude of periods, geographic scales, and social vulnerability. This study collects Twitter data between November 20 and December 24, 2017 for Winter Storm Benji in the United States, which was one of the heaviest December storms on record in the southern United States. This study finds that tweets during the week of the winter storm were roughly four times higher than those in the pre‐winter storm week. Second, the southern United States significantly shows a higher proportion of tweets during the winter storm week. Third, US states show different displacements with other variables controlled. For example, Texas and Louisiana show less displacements than Florida. Fourth, vulnerable people responded differently to the natural disaster according to social vulnerability categories. For instance, vulnerable people in the housing type & transportation category are highly associated with the natural disaster event, whereas those in the socioeconomic status category are not related to it.

本研究强调了冬季风暴 "本吉 "如何在多个时期、地理范围和社会脆弱性的基础上对人类的反应和流离失所发挥了重要作用。本研究收集了 2017 年 11 月 20 日至 12 月 24 日期间美国冬季风暴本吉的推特数据,这场风暴是美国南部有记录以来 12 月最猛烈的风暴之一。本研究发现,冬季风暴发生当周的推文数量大约是冬季风暴发生前一周的四倍。其次,美国南部在冬季风暴周期间的推文比例明显更高。第三,在控制其他变量的情况下,美国各州显示出不同的位移。例如,得克萨斯州和路易斯安那州的流离失所人数少于佛罗里达州。第四,根据社会弱势类别,弱势人群对自然灾害的反应不同。例如,住房类型和ampamp;交通类别中的弱势人群与自然灾害事件高度相关,而社会经济地位类别中的弱势人群与自然灾害事件无关。
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引用次数: 0
Carbon emissions drivers in Brazilian regional production chains: Value-added and consumption-based approaches 巴西地区生产链中的碳排放驱动因素:基于增值和消费的方法
IF 1.7 Q2 Social Sciences Pub Date : 2024-03-14 DOI: 10.1016/j.rspp.2024.100015
Eduardo Rodrigues Sanguinet , Carlos Roberto Azzoni

This article aims to analyse carbon emissions in Brazil by decomposing consumption and income-based structural factors from 2011 to 2018. It utilizes environmentally interregional input-output models to quantify these factors. The findings reveal an imbalanced pattern of carbon generation, with economically prosperous regions driving emissions due to demand and supply factors. Production structure and economic activity are key drivers of CO2 emissions on the consumption and value-added side. Wealthier areas in Brazil, known for diverse and value-added production, have lower emission-intensive industries. However, those areas economically benefit from emissions generated by resource-intensive sectors in less prosperous regions. These findings highlight the need to distribute emissions responsibility spatially and implement measures to penalize regions benefiting from primary factor utilization. By promoting equitable environmental responsibility, policies can encourage sustainability and discourage emissions concentration in economically advantaged areas.

本文旨在通过分解 2011 年至 2018 年基于消费和收入的结构性因素,分析巴西的碳排放量。文章利用环境区域间投入产出模型来量化这些因素。研究结果揭示了一种不平衡的碳生成模式,经济繁荣地区由于需求和供应因素推动了碳排放。在消费和增值方面,生产结构和经济活动是二氧化碳排放的主要驱动因素。巴西的富裕地区以多样化和高附加值生产著称,其排放密集型产业较少。然而,这些地区在经济上受益于欠发达地区资源密集型行业产生的排放。这些发现突出表明,有必要在空间上分配排放责任,并采取措施惩罚从初级要素利用中获益的地区。通过促进公平的环境责任,政策可以鼓励可持续性,并阻止排放集中在经济优势地区。
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引用次数: 0
Firm resilience as a moderating force for SMEs’ innovation performance: Evidence from an emerging economy perspective 企业复原力是中小企业创新绩效的调节力量:新兴经济体视角下的证据
IF 1.7 Q2 Social Sciences Pub Date : 2024-03-12 DOI: 10.1016/j.rspp.2024.100033
Amila Pilav – Velic, Hatidza Jahic, Lamija Krndzija

This study delves into the relationship between organizational resilience and organizational ambidexterity in the context of small and medium-sized enterprises (SMEs) facing exogenous shocks in emerging economies. Specifically, it investigates how firm resilience influences the connection between innovation capabilities and innovation performance. A cross-sectional database comprising 170 SMEs in Bosnia and Herzegovina forms the basis of this research. Utilizing multivariate linear regression analysis, the study tests its research hypotheses. The study reveals that exploitative innovation capabilities positively contribute to innovation performance, and firm resilience moderates this relationship. However, the analysis does not support the significance of explorative innovation capabilities in impacting innovation performance. The findings underscore the pivotal role of organizational resilience for SMEs in navigating external shocks within small emerging economies. Cultivating and enhancing resilience becomes imperative for coping with such challenges effectively. This paper contributes by linking resilience theories with existing literature on organizational ambidexterity. Additionally, it sheds light on the differing impacts of exploitative and explorative innovation capabilities on determining innovation performance.

本研究以新兴经济体中面临外生冲击的中小企业为背景,深入探讨了组织复原力与组织灵活性之间的关系。具体而言,该研究探讨了企业复原力如何影响创新能力与创新绩效之间的联系。本研究以波斯尼亚和黑塞哥维那 170 家中小企业的横截面数据库为基础。本研究利用多元线性回归分析,对其研究假设进行了检验。研究结果表明,探索性创新能力对创新绩效有积极的促进作用,而企业的应变能力则对这种关系起到调节作用。然而,分析结果并不支持探索性创新能力对创新绩效的重要影响。研究结果突出表明,在小型新兴经济体中,中小型企业的组织复原力在抵御外部冲击方面发挥着举足轻重的作用。要想有效应对这些挑战,培养和提高抗冲击能力势在必行。本文将复原力理论与有关组织灵活性的现有文献联系起来,从而有所贡献。此外,本文还揭示了开发性创新能力和探索性创新能力对决定创新绩效的不同影响。
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引用次数: 0
Pandemic Vulnerability Index (PVI) and spatial distribution of coronavirus deaths in Brazil: Artificial intelligence with the boosting tree regression method 大流行脆弱性指数(PVI)与巴西冠状病毒死亡病例的空间分布:人工智能与提升树回归法
IF 1.7 Q2 Social Sciences Pub Date : 2024-03-08 DOI: 10.1016/j.rspp.2024.100013
Rogério Pereira , Erick Giovani Sperandio Nascimento

This article aims to calculate the COVID-19 Pandemic Vulnerability Index (COVID-19-PVI) across Brazilian municipalities, positing that vulnerability to the coronavirus is linked to socioeconomic disparities in this continental-sized country. From data collection on epidemiological, socioeconomic, demographic, and public health systems, it was possible to rank which features were most influential in the spread of COVID-19 using the artificial intelligence implicit in the boosting tree regression method. To ensure the robustness of the findings, this index is tested in Pearson correlations leading to conclusions about which regions were most vulnerable to the pandemic and its consequences, the importance of the spatial distribution of General Hospitals during the COVID-19 outbreak, and the influence of population density on the advancement of the coronavirus in the country.

本文旨在计算巴西各市的 COVID-19 大流行脆弱性指数 (COVID-19-PVI),认为在这个大陆性国家,冠状病毒的脆弱性与社会经济差异有关。通过收集有关流行病学、社会经济、人口和公共卫生系统的数据,利用提升树回归法中隐含的人工智能,可以对哪些特征对 COVID-19 的传播影响最大进行排序。为确保研究结果的稳健性,该指数通过皮尔逊相关性检验得出结论,即哪些地区最容易受到大流行病及其后果的影响,COVID-19 爆发期间综合医院空间分布的重要性,以及人口密度对冠状病毒在该国传播的影响。
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引用次数: 0
Location and health in an inequal city: Evidence for Salvador in Brazil 不平等城市的地理位置与健康:巴西萨尔瓦多的证据
IF 1.7 Q2 Social Sciences Pub Date : 2024-03-08 DOI: 10.1016/j.rspp.2024.100047
Geidson Uilson Seixas Santana , Gervásio Ferreira dos Santos

The objective of this paper is to verify the effect of the location of health facilities on amenable and child mortality in the city of Salvador in Brazil. Based on the theory of local public goods, we consider that the provision of public health facilities affects the local health condition, and should therefore be decentralized to achieve better outcomes and avoid congestion costs. Panel data with mortalities data, socioeconomic variables, and the georeferenced location and internal structure of local health facilities for 163 neighbourhoods of the city were used to estimate a panel Poisson model. Simultaneity bias between mortality rate and location of health facilities was controlled using an instrumental variable based on the location of day-care centres, pre-schools, and public elementary schools. The results show that the homogenous spatial urban coverage of health care facilities contributes to reducing mortality. An increase of one unit in the coverage of public health facilities can reduce amenable mortality by 2.57% and under-five mortality by 23.06%. This effect may be greater for neighbourhoods with less unequal socioeconomic conditions.

本文旨在验证巴西萨尔瓦多市的医疗设施位置对适龄儿童死亡率的影响。根据当地公共产品理论,我们认为公共医疗设施的提供会影响当地的健康状况,因此应分散提供,以取得更好的效果并避免拥堵成本。我们使用了包含死亡率数据、社会经济变量以及当地 163 个社区医疗设施的地理位置和内部结构的面板数据,对面板泊松模型进行了估计。利用基于日托中心、学前班和公立小学位置的工具变量控制了死亡率与医疗设施位置之间的同时性偏差。结果表明,医疗设施在城市空间上的均匀覆盖有助于降低死亡率。公共医疗设施的覆盖率每增加一个单位,可使可治疗死亡率降低 2.57%,五岁以下儿童死亡率降低 23.06%。对于社会经济条件不那么不平等的社区,这种效果可能更大。
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引用次数: 0
Financial development and economic growth: New evidence from Mexican States 金融发展与经济增长:墨西哥国家的新证据
IF 1.7 Q2 Social Sciences Pub Date : 2024-03-07 DOI: 10.1016/j.rspp.2024.100028
Miguel A. Flores Segovia , Leonardo E. Torre Cepeda

This paper investigates whether bank credit extended to the non-financial private business sector may be boosting regional economic growth in Mexico. For this purpose, a panel of annual data by state for the period 2005–2018 was constructed and dynamic model estimations were carried out using the Generalized Method of Moments (GMM). The results suggest that increases in the level of bank credit extended to private non-financial firms increased the state´s GDP per capita growth, a result consistent with the emphasis in Mexico – and internationally – regarding the need to promote policy measures that stimulate the healthy development of a country’s financial system. Furthermore, the research offers some counterfactuals to analyze the effect on a state’s GDP per capita growth rate when it moves from a lower to a higher quartile within the CREDIT allocation. This analysis is therefore expected to reveal more information about the systemic efficiency of the banking system and better capture the contractual relationships between banks and their clients, something that is impossible to obtain from country-level data from international studies.

本文研究了向非金融私营企业部门提供的银行信贷是否会促进墨西哥的地区经济增长。为此,本文构建了 2005-2018 年期间各州的年度数据面板,并使用广义矩量法(GMM)进行了动态模型估计。结果表明,向私营非金融企业提供的银行信贷水平的提高提高了该州的人均 GDP 增长率,这一结果与墨西哥和国际上强调的促进国家金融体系健康发展的政策措施的必要性是一致的。此外,研究还提供了一些反事实,以分析一个州在 CREDIT 分配中从较低四分位数向较高四分位数移动时对其人均 GDP 增长率的影响。因此,这一分析有望揭示更多有关银行系统效率的信息,并更好地捕捉银行与其客户之间的契约关系,而这是无法从国际研究的国家级数据中获得的。
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引用次数: 0
Socially innovative experiments for transformative local development: Putting more-than-growth-oriented local interventions in spatial context 促进地方转型发展的社会创新实验:将超越增长导向的地方干预措施置于空间背景之中
IF 1.7 Q2 GEOGRAPHY Pub Date : 2024-03-07 DOI: 10.1016/j.rspp.2024.100035

Experimentation is key for accelerating local transformations. Experimentation discourse, however, is often biased towards technology. We introduce the notion of socially innovative experiments (SIX) and their contribution to transformative local development as a counterbalance. We conceptualize SIX in local development and study over 100 SIX in Austria in terms of spatial context and their interactions with space. Results show that (1) SIX with a place-based approach are more likely to spark change than unbound interventions, (2) rural SIX face more barriers while at the same time being more substantial for successful local transformations, and (3) thorough spatial embedding is thus key for ensuring SIX’ contribution to local transformations. We hence advocate for local caretakers and transformation hubs to oversee local challenges, promote exchange and learning between experiments, and take on the patronage of SIX for transformative local development.

实验是加快地方转型的关键。然而,关于实验的论述往往偏重于技术。作为一种平衡,我们引入了社会创新实验(SIX)的概念及其对地方转型发展的贡献。我们对地方发展中的 SIX 进行了概念化,并从空间环境及其与空间的互动角度对奥地利的 100 多个 SIX 进行了研究。研究结果表明:(1) 与无约束的干预措施相比,以地方为基础的 SIX 更有可能引发变革;(2) 农村 SIX 面临的障碍更多,但同时对成功的地方转型也更具实质性;(3) 因此,彻底的空间嵌入是确保 SIX 促进地方转型的关键。因此,我们主张由地方管理者和转型中心来监督地方面临的挑战,促进实验之间的交流和学习,并承担起促进地方转型发展的 SIX 赞助工作。
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引用次数: 0
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Regional Science Policy and Practice
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