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Contemporaneous dependence between euro, crude oil, and gold returns and their respective implied volatility changes. Evidence from the local Gaussian correlation approach 欧元、原油和黄金收益与各自隐含波动率变化之间的同期依赖关系。来自局部高斯相关方法的证据
IF 1.9 Q2 Economics, Econometrics and Finance Pub Date : 2023-04-10 DOI: 10.1108/sef-11-2022-0531
P. Fousekis
PurposeThis study aims to assess the contemporaneous dependence between euro, crude oil and gold returns and their respective implied volatility changes.Design/methodology/approachThe empirical analysis relies on daily data for the period 2015–2022 and the local Gaussian correlation (LGC) approach that is suitable for estimating dependence between two stochastic processes at any point of their joint distribution.Findings(a) The global correlation coefficients are negative for the euro and crude oil and positive for gold, implying that in the first two markets’ traders are more concerned with sudden price downswings while in the third with sudden upswings. (b) The detailed local analysis, however, shows that traders 2019 attitudes may change with the underlying state of the market and that risk reversals are more likely to occur at the upper extremes of the joint distributions. (c) The pattern of dependence between price returns and implied volatility changes is asymmetric.Originality/valueTo the best of the author’s knowledge, this is the first work that uses the highly flexible LGC approach to analyze the link between price returns and implied volatility changes either in stock or in commodities futures markets. The empirical results provide useful insights into traders’ risk attitudes in different market states.
目的本研究旨在评估欧元、原油和黄金收益与其隐含波动率变化之间的同期依赖关系。设计/方法/方法实证分析依赖于2015-2022年期间的日常数据和局部高斯相关(LGC)方法,该方法适用于估计两个随机过程在其联合分布的任何点上的依赖性。发现(a)欧元和原油的全球相关系数为负,黄金的全球相关系数为正。这意味着在前两个市场中,交易者更关心价格的突然下跌,而在第三个市场中,交易者更关心价格的突然上涨。(b)然而,详细的本地分析表明,交易员2019年的态度可能会随着市场的基本状况而改变,风险逆转更有可能发生在联合分布的上极值。(c)价格收益与隐含波动率变化之间的依赖模式是不对称的。原创性/价值据作者所知,这是第一次使用高度灵活的LGC方法来分析股票或商品期货市场的价格回报与隐含波动率变化之间的联系。实证结果为交易者在不同市场状态下的风险态度提供了有益的见解。
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引用次数: 0
Spillover effects of foreign direct investment on manufacturing exports and imports in Indonesia 外商直接投资对印尼制造业进出口的溢出效应
IF 1.9 Q2 Economics, Econometrics and Finance Pub Date : 2023-04-04 DOI: 10.1108/sef-12-2022-0551
M. Yasin, M. A. Esquivias
PurposeThis study aims to identify extensive and intensive margins in exports and imports and examine whether incoming foreign direct investments (FDI) benefit local firms in Indonesia through the export and import channels.Design/methodology/approachUsing Heckman’s two-step selection model to consider the potential of bias of self-selection in export–import participation, this study uses the firm-level data from 2008 to 2015 collected from Statistik Industri and proximate both export and import spillovers.FindingsThe authors found that internal factors are critical for a firm to be an exporter, signaling self-selection in exports and imports. Spillover effects from FDI (spatial properties) support export but lower import propensity and intensity.Research limitations/implicationsThis study implies that improving human capital (absorptive capacity) is needed to accelerate export intensity and policies supporting FDI inflows in complementary sectors (noncompeting industries) can increase export propensity and intensity and reduce imports.Originality/valueThis study contributes to the literature in several ways. First, the proposed export spillovers model that accounts for impacts through a demonstration channel is applied to the import channel. Moreover, this study extends the model developed by Franco and Sasidharan (2010) and Yasin et al. (2022) by incorporating spatial spillover effects at the provincial level. Subsequently, the authors test whether a firm’s technological intensity determines export–import propensity and intensity. This can indicate whether specific sectors are more likely to participate in international activities based on their use of technology.
本研究旨在确定出口和进口的广泛和密集的利润,并检查外国直接投资(FDI)是否通过出口和进口渠道使印度尼西亚的当地公司受益。本研究采用Heckman的两步选择模型来考虑自我选择偏差在进出口参与中的潜在影响,并使用2008年至2015年从统计产业收集的企业层面数据来估算出口和进口溢出效应。研究结果作者发现,内部因素对企业成为出口商至关重要,表明了企业在出口和进口方面的自我选择。FDI溢出效应(空间属性)支持出口,但降低了进口倾向和进口强度。研究局限/启示本研究表明,提高人力资本(吸收能力)是加速出口强度的必要条件,支持互补部门(非竞争行业)FDI流入的政策可以提高出口倾向和强度,减少进口。原创性/价值本研究在几个方面对文献有所贡献。首先,将考虑示范渠道影响的出口溢出效应模型应用于进口渠道。此外,本研究扩展了Franco and Sasidharan(2010)和Yasin et al.(2022)建立的模型,纳入省级层面的空间溢出效应。随后,作者检验了企业的技术强度是否决定进出口倾向和强度。这可以表明特定部门是否更有可能根据其对技术的使用来参与国际活动。
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引用次数: 1
A club convergence analysis of financial integration: cross-country evidence 金融一体化的俱乐部趋同分析:跨国证据
IF 1.9 Q2 Economics, Econometrics and Finance Pub Date : 2023-03-23 DOI: 10.1108/sef-11-2022-0543
Vaseem Akram, Sarbjit Singh, P. K. Sahoo
PurposeThe purpose of this study is to examine the club convergence of Financial integration (FI) in the case of 60 countries from 1970 to 2015. FI plays a vital role in economic growth through sharing the risk between countries, cross-border capital association, investment and financial information. It also leads to the efficient allocation of capital and capital accumulation, thereby improving the systematic growth and productivity of the economy. Literature on examining the convergence hypothesis of FI is scarce.Design/methodology/approachThis study applies the clustering algorithm to identify club convergence, advanced by the Phillips and Sul test, which enables the identification of multiple steady states or club convergence, unlike beta and sigma convergences.FindingsThe findings indicate the non-convergence when all 60 countries were taken together. This highlights that the selected countries' have unique transition paths in terms of FI. Hence, the authors implement the clustering algorithm, and the estimation shows that 56 countries are categorised into three different clubs. However, for the rest of four countries, the results are sort of ambiguous, favouring neither convergence nor divergence.Practical implicationsOn the basis of three country clubs, Club 1 presents the model countries such as the Netherlands, Singapore and Switzerland. The Club 2 and Club 3 countries can start making moves towards the model countries by making policy adaptations for trade, finance and business facilitation.Originality/valueThe existing literature provides a plethora of studies investigating the convergence of stock markets, exchange rates and equity markets, but studies on the convergence of FI, particularly across the countries, are scarce. This study contributes by bridging this gap. The study is unique in its type as it takes into account the multiple steady states or club convergence. This study also contributes in policymaking by suggesting Club 1 countries (the Netherlands, Singapore and Switzerland) as the model ones for the FI.
目的本研究旨在考察1970年至2015年60个国家的金融一体化俱乐部趋同情况。金融机构通过分担国家之间的风险、跨境资本协会、投资和金融信息,在经济增长中发挥着至关重要的作用。它还导致资本的有效配置和资本积累,从而提高经济的系统增长和生产力。关于FI收敛假说的研究文献很少。设计/方法论/方法本研究将Phillips和Sul检验提出的聚类算法应用于识别球杆收敛性,该算法能够识别多个稳态或球杆收敛,与β和西格玛收敛不同。调查结果表明,当将所有60个国家放在一起时,结果并不一致。这突出表明,所选国家在FI方面有着独特的过渡路径。因此,作者实施了聚类算法,估计结果显示,56个国家被分为三个不同的俱乐部。然而,对于其余四个国家来说,结果有点模糊,既不赞成趋同,也不赞成分歧。实际含义在三个国家俱乐部的基础上,俱乐部1介绍了荷兰、新加坡和瑞士等示范国家。第二俱乐部和第三俱乐部国家可以通过调整贸易、金融和商业便利化的政策,开始向示范国家迈进。独创性/价值现有文献提供了大量关于股票市场、汇率和股票市场趋同的研究,但关于金融机构趋同的研究很少,尤其是在各国之间。这项研究弥补了这一差距。这项研究在其类型上是独特的,因为它考虑了多重稳态或俱乐部收敛。这项研究还建议俱乐部1国家(荷兰、新加坡和瑞士)作为FI的模式国家,从而为决策做出贡献。
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引用次数: 1
Consequences of the Russia-Ukraine war: evidence from DAX, ATX, and FTSEMIB 俄乌战争的后果:来自DAX、ATX和FTSEMIB的证据
IF 1.9 Q2 Economics, Econometrics and Finance Pub Date : 2023-03-14 DOI: 10.1108/sef-12-2022-0555
Florin Aliu, I. Mulaj, Simona Hašková
PurposeThe Russian invasion of Ukraine generated unprecedented panic in the European financial system. As expected, the European Union (EU) felt most of the negative effects of the war due to geographical proximity to Ukraine and energy dependence on Russia. This study aims to investigate the influence of Brent crude oil (BCO), Dutch Title Transfer Facility Natural Gas, and CBOE Volatility Index (VIX) on Deutscher Aktien Index (DAX), Austrian Traded Index (ATX) and Milano Indice di Borsa (FTSEMIB). The German, Austrian and Italian equity indexes were chosen due to the heavy dependence of these countries on Russian gas and oil.Design/methodology/approachThe data cover the period from November 24, 2021, to June 24, 2022, including five months of the Russia–Ukraine war. To generate the intended results, vector autoregressive, structural vector autoregressive, vector error correction model, Johansen test and Granger causality test were used.FindingsThe results highlight that natural gas and the VIX carried negative effects on DAX, ATX and FTSEMIB. The BCO was expected to have influenced three selected equity indexes, while the results suggest that it was priced only in ATX.Originality/valueThis research provides modest evidence for the policymakers on the systemic risk that Russian gas has for the EU equity markets. From a managerial perspective, changes in oil and gas prices are a permanently integral part of portfolio risk analysis.
俄罗斯入侵乌克兰在欧洲金融体系中引发了前所未有的恐慌。不出所料,由于地理位置靠近乌克兰,能源依赖俄罗斯,欧盟(EU)受到的负面影响最大。本研究旨在探讨布伦特原油(BCO)、荷兰产权转让设施天然气(Dutch Title Transfer Facility Natural Gas)和CBOE波动性指数(VIX)对德国Aktien指数(DAX)、奥地利交易指数(ATX)和米兰交易所指数(FTSEMIB)的影响。之所以选择德国、奥地利和意大利股指,是因为这些国家严重依赖俄罗斯的天然气和石油。数据涵盖的时间为2021年11月24日至2022年6月24日,其中包括5个月的俄乌战争。为了得到预期的结果,我们使用了向量自回归、结构向量自回归、向量误差修正模型、约翰森检验和格兰杰因果检验。结果表明,天然气和VIX对DAX、ATX和FTSEMIB均有负向影响。BCO预计会影响三个选定的股票指数,而结果表明,它只在ATX定价。独创性/价值这项研究为政策制定者提供了有关俄罗斯天然气对欧盟股票市场构成系统性风险的适度证据。从管理的角度来看,石油和天然气价格的变化是投资组合风险分析的一个永久组成部分。
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引用次数: 3
Religiosity and bank lending: evidence surrounding the pandemic in the USA 宗教信仰和银行贷款:围绕美国疫情的证据
IF 1.9 Q2 Economics, Econometrics and Finance Pub Date : 2023-02-28 DOI: 10.1108/sef-07-2022-0381
Babu G. Baradwaj, Michaël Dewally, Liu Hong, Yingying Shao
PurposeThe purpose of this study is to investigate the impact of religiosity on banks’ lending behavior during the COVID-19 pandemic in the USA.Design/methodology/approachThis study uses the evidence from the issuance of Paycheck Protection Program (PPP) loans to relate local religiosity to banks’ participation in the PPP loan program and to banks’ loan portfolio performance during the pandemic.FindingsThe results of this study show that banks located in more religious counties have a higher level of lending through the PPP, supporting the ethical and moral concerns cultivated by local religious beliefs. In addition, banks’ lending before the pandemic is more prudential in more religious areas, as reflected in lower losses and higher returns at the onset of the crisis, especially in areas where business activities were most disrupted, supporting the stewardship role encouraged by religiosity.Originality/valueThanks to the structure of the PPP loans programs, the authors are able to disentangle the conflicting effects of morality and prudence on banks’ behavior.
目的本研究的目的是调查在COVID-19大流行期间宗教信仰对美国银行贷款行为的影响。设计/方法/方法本研究使用来自发放工资保障计划(PPP)贷款的证据,将地方宗教信仰与银行参与PPP贷款计划以及银行在疫情期间的贷款组合表现联系起来。本研究的结果表明,宗教程度越高的县的银行通过PPP进行贷款的水平越高,这支持了当地宗教信仰培养的伦理和道德问题。此外,在大流行之前,银行在宗教信仰较多的地区的贷款更为审慎,这反映在危机开始时损失较低、回报较高,特别是在商业活动受到最严重干扰的地区,这支持了宗教信仰所鼓励的管理作用。独创性/价值由于PPP贷款项目的结构,作者能够理清道德和审慎对银行行为的冲突影响。
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引用次数: 1
Time and frequency uncertainty spillover among macro uncertainty, financial stress and asset markets 宏观不确定性、金融压力和资产市场之间的时间和频率不确定性溢出效应
IF 1.9 Q2 Economics, Econometrics and Finance Pub Date : 2023-01-20 DOI: 10.1108/sef-11-2022-0518
Ujjawal Sawarn, Pradyumna Dash
PurposeThis study aims to examine the uncertainty spillover among eight important asset classes (cryptocurrencies, US stocks, US bonds, US dollar, agriculture, metal, oil and gold) using weekly data from 2014 to 2020. This study also examines the US macro uncertainty and US financial stress spillover on these assets.Design/methodology/approachThe authors use time–frequency connectedness method to study the uncertainty spillover among the asset classes.FindingsThis study’s findings revealed that the uncertainty spillover is time-varying and peaked during the 2016 oil supply glut and COVID-19 pandemic. US stocks are the highest transmitter of uncertainty to all other assets, followed by the US dollar and oil. US stocks (US dollar and oil) transmit uncertainty in long (short) term. Furthermore, US macro uncertainty is the net transmitter of uncertainty to the US stocks, industrial metals and oil markets. In contrast, US financial stress is the net transmitter of uncertainty to the US bonds, cryptocurrencies, the US dollar and gold markets. US financial stress (US macro uncertainty) has long (short)-term effects on asset price volatility.Originality/valueThis study complements the studies on volatility spillover among the important asset classes. This study also includes recently financialized asset classes such as cryptocurrencies, agricultural and industrial commodities. This study examines the macro uncertainty and financial stress spillover on these assets.
目的本研究旨在利用2014年至2020年的每周数据,检验八种重要资产类别(加密货币、美国股票、美国债券、美元、农业、金属、石油和黄金)之间的不确定性溢出。本研究还考察了美国宏观不确定性和美国金融压力对这些资产的溢出效应。设计/方法论/方法作者使用时频连通性方法来研究资产类别之间的不确定性溢出。发现这项研究的发现表明,不确定性溢出是随时间变化的,在2016年石油供应过剩和新冠肺炎大流行期间达到峰值。美国股市是所有其他资产不确定性的最高传导者,其次是美元和石油。美国股市(美元和石油)在长期(短期)传递不确定性。此外,美国宏观不确定性是美国股市、工业金属和石油市场不确定性的净传导者。相比之下,美国的金融压力是美国债券、加密货币、美元和黄金市场不确定性的净传递者。美国金融压力(美国宏观不确定性)对资产价格波动具有长期(短期)影响。原创性/价值本研究补充了重要资产类别之间波动溢出的研究。这项研究还包括最近金融化的资产类别,如加密货币、农业和工业商品。本研究考察了宏观不确定性和金融压力对这些资产的溢出效应。
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引用次数: 1
Corporate social responsibility and financial reporting quality: evidence from US firms 企业社会责任与财务报告质量:来自美国公司的证据
IF 1.9 Q2 Economics, Econometrics and Finance Pub Date : 2023-01-10 DOI: 10.1108/sef-09-2022-0462
D. Chulkov, Xiaoqiong Wang
PurposeThis study aims to examine the relationship between corporate social responsibility (CSR) and measures of financial reporting quality.Design/methodology/approachThe authors explore the link between CSR and several indicators of firms’ financial reporting quality. Estimation with firm and year fixed effects is based on a sample of US publicly traded firms covering the period from 1991 to 2018.FindingsEmpirical results demonstrate that firms with higher CSR scores are associated with higher accuracy of financial forecasts, fewer earnings surprises and greater coverage by financial analysts. This positive relationship is more profound for firms that face low agency concerns, firms that have a higher level of customer awareness, firms that have more long-term institutional ownership or firms that do not face financial constraints.Originality/valueThe study contributes to the ongoing debate on the value of CSR. The results support the stakeholder value maximization view of CSR and identify the impact of several factors on its relationship with the quality of financial reporting.
目的本研究旨在探讨企业社会责任(CSR)与财务报告质量指标之间的关系。作者探讨了企业社会责任与公司财务报告质量的几个指标之间的联系。公司和年份固定效应的估计基于1991年至2018年期间美国上市公司的样本。实证结果表明,企业社会责任得分越高,财务预测的准确性越高,盈利意外越少,财务分析师的覆盖率越高。对于代理关注度低的公司、客户认知度较高的公司、拥有更多长期机构所有权的公司或不面临财务约束的公司来说,这种积极关系更为深刻。原创性/价值该研究为正在进行的关于企业社会责任价值的辩论做出了贡献。研究结果支持企业社会责任的利益相关者价值最大化观点,并确定了几个因素对其与财务报告质量关系的影响。
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引用次数: 1
On the interdependencies between mortgage, credit card and auto loans delinquency rates: evidence from the US states plus the District of Columbia 关于抵押贷款、信用卡和汽车贷款拖欠率之间的相互依赖性:来自美国各州和哥伦比亚特区的证据
IF 1.9 Q2 Economics, Econometrics and Finance Pub Date : 2023-01-10 DOI: 10.1108/sef-08-2022-0405
J. Fuinhas, Nuno Silva, Joshua Duarte
PurposeThis study aims to explain how delinquency shocks in one type of debt contaminate the others. That is, the authors aim to shed light on the time pattern of delinquencies in different debt types.Design/methodology/approachThis study analyzes the interdependencies between mortgage, credit card and auto loans delinquency rates in the USA from 2003 to 2019, using a panel VAR-X, the panel Granger causality tests and the Geweke linear dependence measures. The authors also compute the impulse response functions of a shock to one kind of debt on the others and decompose the variance of the forecast errors.FindingsThe authors find a statistically significant bidirectional Granger causality between the delinquencies. The Geweke measures of linear dependence and the Dumitrescu and Hurlin Granger non-causality tests support that mortgage predominantly causes credit card and auto loan delinquencies. Auto loans also cause credit card delinquencies. The impulse response functions confirm this pattern. This scenario aligns with a sequence where debtors consider rational first to default on credit cards, second on auto loans and only on mortgages in the last instance. Indeed, credit card delinquencies Granger-cause delinquencies in other debts when it occurs.Originality/valueTo the best of the authors’ knowledge, this is the first study to focus on the temporal pattern of delinquency rates for all the US states, using panel data. Furthermore, the results call for policymakers to design regulations to break the transmission channel from debt delinquencies.
目的本研究旨在解释一种类型债务的违约冲击如何污染其他类型债务。也就是说,作者的目的是阐明不同债务类型的拖欠时间模式。本研究采用VAR-X面板、格兰杰因果检验和Geweke线性依赖度量,分析了2003年至2019年美国抵押贷款、信用卡和汽车贷款拖欠率之间的相互依赖关系。作者还计算了一种债务对另一种债务冲击的脉冲响应函数,并对预测误差的方差进行了分解。研究结果作者发现犯罪行为之间存在统计学上显著的双向格兰杰因果关系。Geweke线性相关性测量和Dumitrescu和Hurlin Granger非因果检验支持抵押贷款主要导致信用卡和汽车贷款违约。汽车贷款也会导致信用卡拖欠。脉冲响应函数证实了这种模式。这种情况符合一个顺序,即债务人首先拖欠信用卡,其次拖欠汽车贷款,最后才拖欠抵押贷款。事实上,信用卡拖欠会导致其他债务的拖欠。原创性/价值据作者所知,这是第一个使用面板数据关注美国所有州拖欠率的时间模式的研究。此外,研究结果呼吁政策制定者设计法规,打破债务违约的传导渠道。
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引用次数: 0
FDI, digitalization and employment: empirical evidence from developing economies 外国直接投资、数字化和就业:来自发展中经济体的经验证据
IF 1.9 Q2 Economics, Econometrics and Finance Pub Date : 2022-12-30 DOI: 10.1108/sef-10-2021-0450
Madhabendra Sinha, Darius Tirtosuharto, Anjan Ray Chaudhury, Partha Basu
PurposeThe paper aims to empirically examine the impact of foreign direct investment (FDI) inflows and digitalization on employment opportunities in selected 70 developing economies across the world over the period of 2001–2019. The same empirical investigations are also carried out on two groups of these developing countries created on the basis of the levels of FDI inflows and digitalization.Design/methodology/approachThe study uses various panel unit root tests followed by the estimations of the generalized method of moments in the dynamic panel framework, using secondary data collected from the World Bank (2020), International Labour Organization (2020) and International Telecommunication Union (2020).FindingsEmpirical findings reveal that both FDI inflows and digitalization have positive effects on employment; however, the extent of the impact of digitalization is greater than that of FDI inflows in developing economies, mostly in countries with relatively low FDI inflows and low digitalization.Originality/valueConventionally, FDI inflows accelerate economic growth and thus improve the labour market in host countries. However, FDI inflows into developing countries with low-skilled labours may limit job creation, particularly during the process of digitalization. This study shows that despite a much moderate impact of FDI inflows, digital transformation supports a higher employment in developing economies with low level of FDI inflows and digitalization.
本文旨在实证研究2001-2019年期间全球70个发展中经济体的外国直接投资(FDI)流入和数字化对就业机会的影响。根据外国直接投资流入和数字化水平,对这些发展中国家的两组进行了同样的实证调查。设计/方法/方法本研究使用各种面板单位根检验,然后使用从世界银行(2020年)、国际劳工组织(2020年)和国际电信联盟(2020年)收集的二手数据,对动态面板框架中的广义矩量法进行估计。实证结果表明,FDI流入和数字化对就业均有正向影响;然而,在发展中经济体中,数字化的影响程度大于FDI流入的影响程度,主要是在FDI流入相对较低和数字化程度较低的国家。传统上,外国直接投资流入加速东道国的经济增长,从而改善东道国的劳动力市场。然而,外国直接投资流入拥有低技能劳动力的发展中国家可能会限制就业创造,特别是在数字化进程中。本研究表明,尽管FDI流入的影响非常温和,但在FDI流入和数字化水平较低的发展中经济体,数字化转型支持了更高的就业。
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引用次数: 0
The interconnectedness across risk appetite of distinct investor types in Borsa Istanbul 伊斯坦布尔Borsa不同投资者类型的风险偏好之间的相互关联
IF 1.9 Q2 Economics, Econometrics and Finance Pub Date : 2022-12-19 DOI: 10.1108/sef-09-2022-0460
Zeliha Can Ergün, E. C. Cagli, M. B. Durukan Salı
PurposeThis study aims to investigate the interconnectedness across the risk appetite of distinct investor types in Borsa Istanbul. This study also examines the causal impact of global implied volatility indices on the risk appetite of these investor groups.Design/methodology/approachThe authors use a novel time-varying frequency connectedness framework of Chatziantoniou et al. and a new time-varying Granger causality test with a recursive evolving procedure by Shi et al. over June 2008 and July 2022.FindingsThe results show a high level of interconnectedness across the risk appetite of different investor types. The sizable spillovers to domestic types of investors either occur from professional or foreign investors, indicating the long-term dominant effect of foreign and more qualified investors on the domestic investors in Borsa Istanbul. The authors provide significant evidence of causality from the global implied volatility to the Borsa Istanbul risk appetite indices, which are getting stronger after the COVID-19 outbreak.Originality/valueUnlike the previous studies, the authors analyze the risk appetite sub-indices of various types of investors to reveal behavioral distinctions and interconnectedness across them. The authors use a novel econometric framework to assess investors’ risk appetite in different investment horizons in a time-varying system. Together with volatility index (VIX), the authors also use volatilities of oil (OVX), gold (GVZ) and currency (EVZ), considering the information transmission not only from stock markets but also energy, metals and currency markets. The present data set covers significant financial crises, socioeconomic events and the COVID-19 outbreak.
目的本研究旨在调查伊斯坦布尔Borsa不同投资者类型的风险偏好之间的相互关联性。本研究还考察了全球隐含波动率指数对这些投资者群体风险偏好的因果影响。设计/方法论/方法作者使用了Chatziantoniou等人的一个新的时变频率连通性框架。以及Shi等人在2008年6月和2022年7月使用的一个带有递归进化程序的新的时变性Granger因果关系检验。结果表明,不同投资者类型的风险偏好之间存在高度的相互联系。对国内类型投资者的巨大溢出效应要么来自专业投资者,要么来自外国投资者,这表明外国和更合格的投资者对Borsa Istanbul的国内投资者具有长期主导作用。作者提供了从全球隐含波动到Borsa Istanbul风险偏好指数的因果关系的重要证据,该指数在新冠肺炎爆发后变得越来越强。原创性/价值与之前的研究不同,作者分析了各种类型投资者的风险偏好子指数,以揭示他们之间的行为差异和相互联系。作者使用一个新的计量经济学框架来评估投资者在时变系统中不同投资领域的风险偏好。与波动率指数(VIX)一起,作者还使用了石油(OVX)、黄金(GVZ)和货币(EVZ)的波动率,不仅考虑了股市的信息传输,还考虑了能源、金属和货币市场的信息传输。目前的数据集涵盖重大金融危机、社会经济事件和新冠肺炎疫情。
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引用次数: 0
期刊
Studies in Economics and Finance
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