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Long memory in Bitcoin and ether returns and volatility and Covid-19 pandemic 对比特币和以太币回报、波动性和Covid-19大流行的长期记忆
IF 1.9 Q2 Economics, Econometrics and Finance Pub Date : 2022-12-01 DOI: 10.1108/sef-05-2022-0251
Miriam Sosa, E. Ortiz, Alejandra Cabello-Rosales
PurposeThe purpose of this research is to analyze the Bitcoin (BTC) and Ether (ETH) long memory and conditional volatility.Design/methodology/approachThe empirical approach includes ARFIMA-HYGARCH and ARFIMA-FIGARCH, both models under Student‘s t-distribution, during the period (ETH: November 9, 2017 to November 25, 2021 and BTC: September 17, 2014 to November 25, 2021).FindingsFindings suggest that ARFIMA-HYGARCH is the best model to analyze BTC volatility, and ARFIMA-FIGARCH is the best approach to model ETH volatility. Empirical evidence also confirms the existence of long memory on returns and on BTC volatility parameters. Results evidence that the models proposed are not as suitable for modeling ETH volatility as they are for the BTC.Originality/valueFindings allow to confirm the fractal market hypothesis in BTC market. The data confirm that, despite the impact of the Covid-19 crisis, the dynamics of BTC returns, and volatility maintained their patterns, i.e. the way in which they evolve, in relation to the prepandemic era, did not change, but it is rather reaffirmed. Yet, ETH conditional volatility was more affected, as it is apparently higher during Covid-19. The originality of the research lies in the focus of the analysis, the proposed methodology and the variables and periods of study.
本研究的目的是分析比特币(BTC)和以太坊(ETH)的长记忆和条件波动。设计/方法/方法实证方法包括ARFIMA-HYGARCH和ARFIMA-FIGARCH,这两个模型都是学生t分布下的模型,期间(ETH: 2017年11月9日至2021年11月25日,BTC: 2014年9月17日至2021年11月25日)。研究结果表明,ARFIMA-HYGARCH是分析BTC波动率的最佳模型,ARFIMA-FIGARCH是模拟ETH波动率的最佳方法。经验证据也证实了长期记忆在回报和比特币波动参数上的存在。结果表明,所提出的模型不适合模拟ETH的波动性,因为它们适合于BTC。原创性/价值研究结果证实了比特币市场的分形市场假说。数据证实,尽管受到Covid-19危机的影响,但比特币的回报动态和波动性保持了其模式,即它们相对于大流行前时代的演变方式没有改变,而是得到了肯定。然而,ETH有条件波动率受到的影响更大,因为它在Covid-19期间明显更高。本研究的独创性在于分析的重点、提出的研究方法、研究的变量和研究的时期。
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引用次数: 2
Behavioral economics and finance: a selective review of models, methods and tools 行为经济学和金融学:对模型、方法和工具的选择性回顾
IF 1.9 Q2 Economics, Econometrics and Finance Pub Date : 2022-11-21 DOI: 10.1108/sef-06-2022-0304
O. Gomes
PurposeThis paper aims to survey literature on behavioral economics and finance, with particular emphasis on a selection of models, methods and tools that this strand of thought uses to approach and explain observable phenomena.Design/methodology/approachAfter a brief discussion on the meaning and context of behavioral economics, the manuscript identifies five topics of special interest: time preference, heuristics, emotions, finance and macro behavior. For each of these topics, relevant models, methods and tools are identified and scrutinized.FindingsBehavioral economics and finance establish an effective bridge between orthodox economic thinking and new and revolutionary methods of analysis. Exploring the intricacies of human behavior can frequently be done by adapting the trivial and conventional intertemporal utility maximization models that economists insistently resort to, but to fully grasp such intricacies, a step forward is required. Agent-based models and other tools from complexity sciences constitute the analytical arsenal that is needed to improve our understanding of how behavioral issues attach to heterogeneity, local interaction, path-dependence, out-of-equilibrium dynamics and emergence.Originality/valueAlthough surveys on behavioral economics and finance abound in the specialized literature, this study has the peculiarity of emphasizing five relevant topics that are particularly illustrative of the pivotal role of behavioral science in promoting the transition from the strict neoclassical perspective to a less mechanic and more organic view of economics and finance.
目的本文旨在调查行为经济学和金融学的文献,特别强调这一思路用于处理和解释可观察现象的模型、方法和工具的选择。设计/方法论/方法在简要讨论了行为经济学的含义和背景后,手稿确定了五个特别感兴趣的主题:时间偏好、启发式、情感、金融和宏观行为。对于每一个主题,都确定并仔细审查了相关的模型、方法和工具。发现行为经济学和金融学在正统的经济思想和新的革命性分析方法之间架起了一座有效的桥梁。探索人类行为的复杂性通常可以通过调整经济学家坚持采用的琐碎和传统的跨期效用最大化模型来完成,但要充分理解这些复杂性,还需要向前迈出一步。基于代理的模型和复杂性科学的其他工具构成了分析武器库,需要这些武器库来提高我们对行为问题如何与异质性、局部交互、路径依赖、失衡动力学和涌现联系在一起的理解。原创性/价值尽管有关行为经济学和金融的调查在专业文献中比比皆是,但本研究的特点是强调了五个相关主题,这些主题特别说明了行为科学在促进从严格的新古典主义视角向不那么机械、更有机的经济学和金融观转变方面的关键作用。
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引用次数: 3
House energy efficiency retrofits and loan maturity 房屋节能改造和贷款到期
IF 1.9 Q2 Economics, Econometrics and Finance Pub Date : 2022-11-11 DOI: 10.1108/sef-06-2022-0293
Kyriakos Drivas, Prodromos Vlamis

Purpose

The purpose of this study is to examine how households opt for their loan’s duration when it comes to energy efficiency retrofits (EERs). The primary focus is on the time horizon that these types of EERs will provide benefits to the households.

Design/methodology/approach

This study examines the second wave of the largest EER support program in Greece in recent years. The authors exploit an idiosyncrasy of the support program which offered interest-free loans. The baseline sample of this study includes approximately 18,000 households awarded the support and opted for a loan. To provide robustness and complement the analysis, the authors also use data from 38,000 households that were awarded support from the first wave of the EER program.

Findings

This study finds that EER investments that are likely to deliver longer-term benefits, in the form of energy savings, are positively associated with longer duration. This finding implies that households view such EERs as long-term investments that will consistently provide benefits in the future, thereby tolerating a longer period of incurring the inconvenience of paying monthly installments.

Practical implications

This study posits that an EER can be perceived by the household as an investment that saves money in the long term because of more efficient energy use. To this end, the authors bring forward the duration of the benefits accrued to the household as a driving factor to the household’s decision over the length of the loan.

Originality/value

This study expands on prior literature that has focused on consumer and loans for durables (e.g. cars) by examining EERs. However, EERs are different, as they can save households money in future periods. In addition, house EERs are at the forefront of energy policies and the design of future support programs at the epicenter of several initiatives.

本研究的目的是研究家庭如何选择他们的贷款期限时,能源效率改造(EERs)。主要的重点是这些类型的EERs将为家庭带来好处的时间范围。设计/方法/方法本研究考察了近年来希腊规模最大的第二波EER支持计划。作者利用了提供无息贷款的支持计划的特性。本研究的基线样本包括获得支持并选择贷款的约18,000户家庭。为了提供稳健性和补充分析,作者还使用了38,000个家庭的数据,这些家庭获得了第一波EER计划的支持。研究结果本研究发现,能源效益投资可能以节约能源的形式带来长期效益,与更长的持续时间呈正相关。这一发现表明,家庭将此类EERs视为长期投资,将在未来持续提供收益,从而容忍较长时间的每月分期付款带来的不便。实际意义本研究认为,节能减排可以被家庭视为一项长期投资,因为它能更有效地利用能源。为此,作者提出了家庭累积收益的持续时间作为家庭决定贷款期限的驱动因素。独创性/价值本研究扩展了先前的文献,这些文献通过检查EERs来关注消费者和耐用品(如汽车)的贷款。然而,eer是不同的,因为它们可以为家庭在未来的时期省钱。此外,住宅eer处于能源政策和未来支持计划设计的最前沿,是几个倡议的中心。
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引用次数: 0
Risk hedging properties of infrastructure: a quantile regression approach 基础设施的风险对冲特性:分位数回归方法
IF 1.9 Q2 Economics, Econometrics and Finance Pub Date : 2022-11-09 DOI: 10.1108/sef-07-2022-0382
Surbhi Gupta, A. Sharma
PurposeThis paper aims to examine the hedge, diversifier and safe haven properties of the global listed infrastructure sector and subsector indices against two traditional asset classes, stocks and bonds, and four alternative asset classes, including commodities, real estate, private equity and hedge funds during extreme negative stock market movements.Design/methodology/approachUsing dynamic conditional correlation and quantile regression, the authors analyze a data set of 12 indices comprising listed infrastructure and traditional asset classes from 2010 to 2019.FindingsOverall, the findings indicate that listed infrastructure acts as an effective diversifier but not as a strong safe haven or hedge when considered in a multiasset context. With minor exceptions, listed infrastructure cannot be concluded as a safe haven against other asset classes under investigation.Practical implicationsThe present study has implications for institutional investors looking to incorporate infrastructure in their multiasset portfolios for increased portfolio diversification benefits.Originality/valueDespite the increased influence of infrastructure as an asset class, to the best of the authors’ knowledge, this is the first study to investigate the hedge, safe haven and diversifying properties of infrastructure in a multi-asset context.
目的本文旨在研究全球上市基础设施行业和分部门指数在股市极端负波动期间相对于股票和债券这两种传统资产类别以及大宗商品、房地产、私募股权和对冲基金这四种替代资产类别的对冲、多样化和避险性质。设计/方法/方法使用动态条件相关性和分位数回归,作者分析了2010年至2019年由12个指数组成的数据集,这些指数包括上市基础设施和传统资产类别。总体而言,研究结果表明,在多资产背景下,上市基础设施是一种有效的多样化工具,但不是一种强大的避风港或对冲工具。除了少数例外,上市基础设施不能被认定为针对其他正在调查的资产类别的避风港。实际意义本研究对希望将基础设施纳入其多资产投资组合以增加投资组合多元化收益的机构投资者具有意义。原创性/价值尽管基础设施作为一种资产类别的影响力越来越大,但据作者所知,这是第一项在多资产背景下调查基础设施的对冲、避风港和多样化性质的研究。
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引用次数: 0
Convergence analysis of science, technology, and environment expenditure: evidence from Indian states 科学、技术和环境支出的趋同分析:来自印度各州的证据
IF 1.9 Q2 Economics, Econometrics and Finance Pub Date : 2022-11-09 DOI: 10.1108/sef-10-2021-0442
Vaseem Akram
PurposeThere is vast disparity in public expenditure on science, technology and environment (STE) across various Indian states. Public expenditure on STE is crucial in maintaining symmetric growth, social cohesion and sustainable development. Literature on this topic is scarce, which prompted the investigation of club convergence of STE public expenditure. In particular, the purpose of this paper to study the club convergence of STE public expenditure in the case of 20 Indian states during the period from 1987–1988 to 2019–2020.Design/methodology/approachThis study applies the clustering algorithm to identify club convergence, advanced by the Phillips and Sul test, which enables identification of multiple steady states or club convergence, unlike beta and sigma convergences.FindingsThe findings of this paper show that all Indian states do not converge towards single steady states. This suggests a disparity in STE public expenditure across Indian states. Moreover, the findings favour three clubs that have their own unique transition paths. The results of this study are supported by the robustness check.Practical implicationsThe findings suggest that the allocation of public expenditure on STE can be made based on club convergence to achieve social cohesion, sustainable development and millennium development goals across states.Originality/valueAlthough several previous studies have investigated the convergence of public expenditure by considering either aggregate public expenditure or health/education expenditure, literature on the convergence hypothesis of STE public expenditure, particularly across Indian states, is scarce. Moreover, this paper is unique, as it examines multiple steady states or club convergence. Finally, this paper contributes to policymaking by suggesting which states should be given a push to achieve social cohesion and sustainable development.
目的印度各州在科学、技术和环境方面的公共支出存在巨大差异。STE的公共支出对于保持对称增长、社会凝聚力和可持续发展至关重要。关于这一主题的文献很少,这促使人们对STE公共支出的俱乐部趋同进行了研究。特别是,本文的目的是研究1987-1988年至2019-2020年期间印度20个邦STE公共支出的俱乐部收敛性。设计/方法/方法本研究应用Phillips和Sul检验提出的聚类算法来识别俱乐部收敛性,该算法能够识别多个稳态或俱乐部收敛,不同于贝塔和西格玛收敛。研究结果本文的研究结果表明,印度的所有邦并没有向单一的稳定邦趋同。这表明印度各州的STE公共支出存在差异。此外,调查结果有利于三家拥有自己独特过渡道路的俱乐部。这项研究的结果得到了稳健性检验的支持。实际意义研究结果表明,STE的公共支出分配可以基于俱乐部融合,以实现各州的社会凝聚力、可持续发展和千年发展目标。原创性/价值尽管之前的几项研究通过考虑公共支出总额或卫生/教育支出来调查公共支出的趋同,但关于STE公共支出趋同假说的文献很少,尤其是在印度各州。此外,这篇论文是独一无二的,因为它考察了多个稳态或俱乐部收敛。最后,本文建议应该推动哪些国家实现社会凝聚力和可持续发展,从而为政策制定做出贡献。
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引用次数: 0
The economic and environmental effects of an optimal emission reduction subsidy policy in the presence of business cycles 经济周期下最优减排补贴政策的经济和环境效应
IF 1.9 Q2 Economics, Econometrics and Finance Pub Date : 2022-10-19 DOI: 10.1108/sef-02-2022-0118
Fariba Ramezani, A. Arjomandi, C. Harvie
PurposeAs a by-product of the production process, emissions can follow output fluctuations. Hence, disregarding the relationship between economic fluctuations and emissions could result in undesirable environmental outcomes. This study aims to investigate the environmental and economic effects of abatement subsidies on overall emissions during business cycles in Australia.Design/methodology/approachA real business cycle (RBC) model is devised and parameterised in this paper. RBC models have been recently introduced to environmental policy analysis, and this study contributes to the literature by investigating the effects of a potential subsidy policy in an RBC framework. The model is also calibrated and provides solutions for the Australian economy.FindingsThe authors find that under a steady-state situation, supporting abatement can result in reducing emissions by 6.45% while it imposes welfare costs to the economy (by 0.61%). Simulation results show that an optimal abatement policy should be pro-cyclical, with the abatement subsidy increasing during expansions and decreasing during recessions. As well, in a subsidy policy setting, emissions would react pro-cyclically, i.e. emissions increase (decrease) when the gross domestic product increases (decreases). The abatement reaction by firms, however, is different, because when a positive productivity shock occurs, firms reduce abatement and allocate resources to production. Nonetheless, as time passes, the increased subsidy provides a strong enough incentive to allocate resources to abatement and, subsequently, abatement increases.Originality/valueThis paper investigates how an emission reduction subsidy should be adapted to macroeconomic fluctuations so that it can limit variations in emissions.
排放是生产过程的副产品,随产量波动而变化。因此,忽视经济波动与排放之间的关系可能导致不良的环境后果。本研究旨在调查澳大利亚商业周期中减排补贴对总排放量的环境和经济影响。设计/方法/途径本文设计并参数化了一个实际经济周期模型。RBC模型最近被引入到环境政策分析中,本研究通过在RBC框架下调查潜在补贴政策的影响,为文献做出了贡献。该模型也被校准并为澳大利亚经济提供解决方案。研究结果:作者发现,在稳定状态下,支持减排可以使排放量减少6.45%,同时给经济带来福利成本(0.61%)。模拟结果表明,最优的减排政策应该是顺周期的,在经济扩张时减排补贴增加,在经济衰退时减排补贴减少。此外,在补贴政策设置中,排放将顺周期反应,即当国内生产总值增加(减少)时,排放增加(减少)。然而,企业的减排反应是不同的,因为当积极的生产率冲击发生时,企业减少减排并将资源分配给生产。尽管如此,随着时间的推移,增加的补贴提供了足够强大的激励,将资源分配给减排,随后,减排增加。原创性/价值本文研究了减排补贴应如何适应宏观经济波动,从而限制排放的变化。
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引用次数: 0
COVID-19 and the ASEAN stock market: a wavelet analysis of conventional and Islamic equity indices 新冠肺炎与东盟股市:传统和伊斯兰股票指数的小波分析
IF 1.9 Q2 Economics, Econometrics and Finance Pub Date : 2022-10-14 DOI: 10.1108/sef-10-2021-0457
Mohsin Ali, M. A. Khattak, Shabeer Khan, Noureen A. Khan
PurposeThe purpose of this study is to examine the impact of the COVID-19 pandemic on Association of Southeast Asian Nations (ASEAN) Islamic and conventional equities.Design/methodology/approachTo study the impact of the COVID-19 pandemic on ASEAN Islamic and conventional equities, first, the authors calculated the volatility by using exponential generalized autoregressive conditional heteroscedasticity methodology and then used Wavelet methodology to see the co-movement between the volatility and returns of ASEAN equity market indicators and COVID-19 cases.FindingsThe authors find that until the beginning of August, COVID-19 adversely relates to the returns of both the indices. The conventional index seemed to have increased volatility during the time period, whereas the Islamic index seemed to have declined volatility.Originality/valueTo the best of the authors’ knowledge, this is one of the very few studies examining the impact of the COVID-19 pandemic on ASEAN Islamic and conventional equities. Additionally, this study adds value by comparing Islamic and conventional equities.
本研究的目的是研究COVID-19大流行对东南亚国家联盟(东盟)伊斯兰和传统股票的影响。设计/方法/方法为研究2019冠状病毒病大流行对东盟伊斯兰和传统股票的影响,作者首先采用指数广义自回归条件异方差方法计算波动性,然后使用小波方法观察东盟股票市场指标的波动性和收益与COVID-19病例之间的共同运动。研究结果作者发现,直到8月初,COVID-19与这两个指数的回报率呈负相关。在此期间,传统指数的波动性似乎有所增加,而伊斯兰指数的波动性似乎有所下降。原创性/价值据作者所知,这是研究COVID-19大流行对东盟伊斯兰和传统股票影响的极少数研究之一。此外,本研究通过比较伊斯兰和传统股票增加了价值。
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引用次数: 3
Exchange rate volatility and trade flows in Indonesia and ten main trade partners: asymmetric effects 印度尼西亚和十个主要贸易伙伴的汇率波动和贸易流动:不对称效应
IF 1.9 Q2 Economics, Econometrics and Finance Pub Date : 2022-10-03 DOI: 10.1108/sef-10-2021-0451
Unggul Heriqbaldi, M. A. Esquivias, R. Handoyo, Alfira Cahyaning Rifami, Hilda Rohmawati
PurposeThis paper aims to examine whether Indonesian cross-border trade responds asymmetrically to exchange rate volatility (ERV).Design/methodology/approachAn exponential generalized autorgressive conditional heteroscedasticity model is applied to estimate the ERV of Indonesia and ten main trade partners using quarterly data from 2006 to 2020. A nonlinear autoregressive distributed lag estimation is applied to estimate the impact of ERV on cross-border trade. Impacts from the global financial crisis (GFC) of 2008 and the COVID-19 pandemic are covered. Dynamic panel data is used for the robustness test.FindingsIn the short-run, ERV significantly affects exports to most of the top partners (positively, negatively or both). In the long run, asymmetric effects occur in Indonesia’s exports to five top destinations. The weakening of the Indonesian Rupiah mainly supports exports in the short term. Imports from top partners are also affected by ERV in both the short run and, to a lesser extent, in the long run. Both the GFC and the COVID-19 pandemic reduced trade: for most cases, in the short run. The dynamic panel model suggests that ERV has asymmetric impact on cross-border trade in the long run.Practical implicationsExchange rate strategies need to avoid a single-side policy approach and, instead, account for exporter and importer differences in risk behaviour and an asymmetric response to ERV in trade. Policymakers need to consider policies that stabilise the currency.Originality/valueThis study provides evidence that cross-border trade can react asymmetrically to the exchange rate uncertainty and that the impacts of real ERV are asymmetric as well. The authors also apply a dynamic panel that signals that ERV matters in the long run for Indonesian trade with top partners.
目的本文旨在检验印尼跨境贸易是否对汇率波动(ERV)做出不对称反应。设计/方法/方法利用2006年至2020年的季度数据,应用指数广义自回归条件异方差模型估计印度尼西亚和十个主要贸易伙伴的ERV。采用非线性自回归分布滞后估计方法来估计ERV对跨境贸易的影响。涵盖了2008年全球金融危机和新冠肺炎大流行的影响。动态面板数据用于稳健性测试。发现从短期来看,ERV显著影响了对大多数顶级合作伙伴的出口(积极、消极或两者兼有)。从长远来看,印尼对五大目的地的出口会出现不对称效应。印尼盾走弱主要在短期内支持出口。从短期和长期来看,来自顶级合作伙伴的进口也受到ERV的影响。全球金融危机和新冠肺炎大流行都减少了贸易:在大多数情况下,短期内。动态面板模型表明,ERV对跨境贸易的长期影响是不对称的。实际含义汇率策略需要避免单边政策方法,而是考虑到出口商和进口商在风险行为方面的差异以及贸易中对ERV的不对称反应。政策制定者需要考虑稳定货币的政策。原创性/价值这项研究提供了证据,证明跨境贸易对汇率不确定性的反应是不对称的,实际ERV的影响也是不对称的。作者还应用了一个动态面板,该面板表明,从长远来看,ERV对印尼与顶级合作伙伴的贸易很重要。
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引用次数: 3
A note on financial literacy among literate people and their participation in different securities market segments 有文化人士的金融知识及其在不同证券市场的参与情况
IF 1.9 Q2 Economics, Econometrics and Finance Pub Date : 2022-09-27 DOI: 10.1108/sef-04-2022-0215
Carlos F. Alves
PurposeThis paper aims to investigate the relationship between perceived and actual financial literacy, among generally literate people, pertaining to market participation and market participation intensity. It examines such market participation in both the traditional segments of the financial markets and the new segments [cryptocurrencies, structured retail products (SRPs) and crowdfunding].Design/methodology/approachThe data are from a survey conducted in 2020 by the Portuguese Securities Commission in cooperation with 12 Portuguese universities. The final sample comprises 2,054 respondents. The basic and advanced financial literacy indexes were calculated following van Rooij et al. (2011). This paper uses probit regressions and ordinary least squares regressions with robust errors.FindingsThis study shows that even highly literate people are influenced by their perceived financial knowledge and its bias toward their actual skills. However, overconfidence has no significant association with securities market participation but rather is marginally correlated with the intensity of such participation. Underconfidence is negatively related to both. Moreover, the relationship between advanced financial literacy and overconfidence pertaining to participation in more complex market segments depends on the product type. Specifically, overconfidence has a positive relationship with participation in cryptocurrencies and SRPs but not with crowdfunding.Research limitations/implicationsThe securities market regulators should take note that participation in some complex market segments, even among literate people, is associated with investor overconfidence. Given that effective financial literacy correlates with participation in some more complex financial market segments and not others, the implication for future research is that the performance of individual investors may differ across these different segments. Additionally, this paper argues that the metrics used to assess financial literacy must take cognizance of the topics required to participate in the new market segments of financial markets.Originality/valueThis paper augments this stream of literature in several respects. First, it focuses on highly educated and trained people rather than the general population. Second, while the previous literature measures market participation using a simple dummy to identify respondents who invest in stocks, this paper also measures the intensity of participation. In addition, this study investigates the financial literacy effect from participation in the more complex segments of the securities markets, as in the case of cryptocurrencies and SRPs.
目的本文旨在调查一般识字人群的感知和实际金融素养与市场参与和市场参与强度之间的关系。它研究了金融市场传统细分市场和新细分市场[加密货币、结构化零售产品(SRP)和众筹]的市场参与情况。设计/方法/方法数据来自葡萄牙证券委员会与12所葡萄牙大学合作于2020年进行的一项调查。最终样本包括2054名受访者。基本和高级金融素养指数是根据van Rooij等人(2011)计算的。本文使用了具有稳健误差的probit回归和普通最小二乘回归。研究结果这项研究表明,即使是高文化水平的人也会受到他们所感知的金融知识及其对实际技能的偏见的影响。然而,过度自信与证券市场参与度没有显著关联,而是与证券市场的参与强度略有相关。不自信与两者都呈负相关。此外,先进的金融知识和参与更复杂细分市场的过度自信之间的关系取决于产品类型。具体而言,过度自信与参与加密货币和SRP呈正相关,但与众筹无关。研究局限性/含义证券市场监管机构应注意,参与一些复杂的细分市场,即使是有文化的人,也与投资者的过度自信有关。鉴于有效的金融知识与参与一些更复杂的金融细分市场相关,而与其他细分市场无关,未来研究的意义在于,个人投资者在这些不同细分市场的表现可能不同。此外,本文认为,用于评估金融素养的指标必须考虑到参与金融市场新细分市场所需的主题。原创性/价值本文在几个方面扩充了这一文学流。首先,它关注的是受过高等教育和培训的人,而不是普通人群。其次,虽然之前的文献使用一个简单的假人来衡量市场参与度,以识别投资股票的受访者,但本文也衡量了参与度的强度。此外,本研究调查了参与更复杂的证券市场领域的金融素养效应,如加密货币和SRP。
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引用次数: 0
VIX and major agricultural future markets: dynamic linkage and time-frequency relations around the COVID-19 outbreak 波动率指数与主要农产品期货市场:围绕COVID-19疫情的动态联系和时频关系
IF 1.9 Q2 Economics, Econometrics and Finance Pub Date : 2022-09-19 DOI: 10.1108/sef-02-2022-0121
Ran Lu, Hongjun Zeng

Purpose

The purpose of this paper is to examine the volatility spillover and lead-lag relationship between the Chicago Board Options Exchange volatility index (VIX) and the major agricultural future markets before and during the Coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) outbreak.

Design/methodology/approach

The methods used were the vector autoregression-Baba, Engle, Kraft and Kroner-generalized autoregressive conditional heteroskedasticity method, the Wald test and wavelet transform method.

Findings

The findings indicate that prior to the COVID-19 outbreak, there was a two-way volatility spillover impact between the majority of the sample markets. In comparison, volatility transmission between the VIX index and the agricultural future market was significantly lower following the COVID-19 outbreak, the authors observed greater coherence at higher frequencies than at lower frequencies, implying that the interdependence between the two VIX indices and the agricultural future market was stronger over a longer time-frequency domain and the VIX’s signalling effect on various agricultural future prices after the COVID-19 outbreak was significantly lower.

Originality/value

The authors conducted the first comprehensive investigation of the VIX’s correlation with major agricultural futures, especially during COVID-19. The findings contribute to a better understanding of the risk transmission mechanism between the VIX and major agricultural commodities futures contracts. And our findings have significant implications for investors and portfolio managers, as well as for policymakers who are concerned about the price of agricultural futures.

目的研究2019冠状病毒病(COVID-19)爆发前后,芝加哥期权交易所波动率指数(VIX)与主要农产品期货市场之间的波动溢出和领先滞后关系。设计/方法/方法采用向量自回归- baba, Engle, Kraft和kroner -广义自回归条件异方差法,Wald检验和小波变换方法。研究结果表明,在COVID-19疫情爆发之前,大多数样本市场之间存在双向波动溢出影响。相比之下,2019冠状病毒病爆发后,波动率指数与农业期货市场之间的波动率传导显著降低,作者观察到高频比低频的一致性更强。这意味着两个VIX指数与农产品期货市场在更长的时频域上的相互依赖性更强,且疫情后VIX对各类农产品期货价格的信号效应显著降低。作者首次对波动率指数与主要农产品期货的相关性进行了全面调查,特别是在2019冠状病毒病疫情期间。研究结果有助于更好地理解波动率指数与主要农产品期货合约之间的风险传导机制。我们的研究结果对投资者和投资组合经理以及关心农产品期货价格的政策制定者具有重要意义。
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Studies in Economics and Finance
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