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The Market Metaphor, Radicalized: How a Capitalist Theology Trumped Democracy 激进的市场隐喻:资本主义神学如何扭曲民主
IF 1.2 Q1 Social Sciences Pub Date : 2017-03-01 DOI: 10.1089/ELJ.2016.0402
Timothy K. Kuhner
Abstract An entanglement between economic and political thought stands as a causal factor behind Trump's 2016 victory. Enshrined as constitutional law, this way of thinking allows wealth, whether a candidate's personal wealth or the wealth of her supporters, to serve as a requirement for mounting a viable campaign (and for maintaining one beyond its natural life cycle). It also allows vulgar, misleading, and hateful speech to play as large a role as a campaign or its supporters desire. Plutocracy and illiberal populism are among the reasons to revisit the Supreme Court's longstanding use of a market metaphor to ascertain the First Amendment's demands. Now an unstable and politicized facet of constitutional interpretation, the “marketplace of ideas” demands attention. In the space of forty years (Buckley v. Valeo to McCutcheon v. FEC), the Court moved from (a) an open marketplace as a metaphor for a robust speech environment that would lead to democratic responsiveness and public welfare, to (b) an unregul...
经济与政治思想的纠缠是特朗普2016年胜选背后的一个因果因素。作为宪法的一部分,这种思维方式允许财富,无论是候选人的个人财富还是其支持者的财富,作为开展一场可行的竞选活动(以及维持一场超出其自然生命周期的竞选活动)的必要条件。它还允许庸俗、误导和仇恨的言论发挥竞选活动或其支持者所希望的巨大作用。富豪政治和狭隘的民粹主义是重新审视最高法院长期以来使用市场隐喻来确定第一修正案要求的原因之一。现在,作为宪法解释的一个不稳定和政治化的方面,“思想市场”需要引起注意。在四十年的时间里(巴克利诉法雷奥案到麦卡森诉联邦选举委员会案),最高法院从(a)一个开放的市场,比喻一个强有力的言论环境,这将导致民主反应和公共福利,到(b)一个不规范的……
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引用次数: 1
Does Same Day Registration Lead to Repeat Customers at the Ballot Box 当日登记是否会导致投票箱的回头客
IF 1.2 Q1 Social Sciences Pub Date : 2016-12-01 DOI: 10.1089/ELJ.2015.0350
Bryan ColeJ.
Abstract Do easier voter registration requirements improve voter turnout? Researchers have devoted much attention to laws allowing persons to complete voter registration at early voting sites and on Election Day, usually finding, at best, modest turnout increases. Nevertheless, researchers have yet to consider possible longer-term effects for the many people who do use these streamlined procedures to register. Are they as likely to vote subsequently as people who had registered at least a month before an election? Or do they vote only in the election for which they initially register and stay home during future elections? I explore this question with an empirical test of my hypotheses using the case study of North Carolina. I find that same day registrants (persons who registered at early voting sites just before the 2008 primaries and general elections) were slightly less likely to vote in the 2010 and 2012 general elections than earlier registrants. However, this disparity is larger for citizens who fir...
简化选民登记要求是否能提高投票率?研究人员对允许人们在提前投票地点和选举日完成选民登记的法律给予了很大的关注,通常最多只能发现投票率略有增加。然而,研究人员还没有考虑到使用这些简化程序注册的许多人可能产生的长期影响。他们是否和那些在选举前至少一个月登记的人一样有可能在选举后投票?或者他们只在他们最初登记的选举中投票,在未来的选举中呆在家里?我以北卡罗来纳州的案例研究为例,对我的假设进行了实证检验,探讨了这个问题。我发现当天登记者(在2008年初选和大选之前在提前投票网站登记的人)在2010年和2012年大选中投票的可能性略低于提前登记者。然而,这种差异对于那些……
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引用次数: 0
In the Shadows of Sunlight: The Effects of Transparency on State Political Campaigns 在阳光的阴影下:透明度对州政治运动的影响
IF 1.2 Q1 Social Sciences Pub Date : 2016-12-01 DOI: 10.1089/ELJ.2016.0365
K. WoodAbby, M. SpencerDouglas
Abstract In recent years, the courts have invalidated a variety of campaign finance laws while simultaneously upholding disclosure requirements. Courts view disclosure as a less-restrictive means to root out corruption while critics claim that disclosure chills speech and deters political participation. Using individual-level contribution data from state elections between 2000 and 2008, we find that the speech-chilling effects of disclosure are negligible. On average, less than one donor per candidate is likely to stop contributing when the public visibility of campaign contributions increases. Moreover, we do not observe heterogeneous effects for small donors or ideological outliers despite an assumption in First Amendment jurisprudence that these donors are disproportionately affected by campaign finance regulations. In short, the argument that disclosure chills speech is not strongly supported by the data.
近年来,法院在支持披露要求的同时,宣布了各种竞选财务法律无效。法院认为,信息披露是一种限制较少的根除腐败的手段,而批评者则声称,信息披露会抑制言论,阻碍政治参与。利用2000年至2008年各州选举的个人层面捐款数据,我们发现披露的言论寒蝉效应可以忽略不计。平均而言,当竞选捐款的公众可见度提高时,每个候选人可能会停止捐款的捐赠者不到一个。此外,我们没有观察到小额捐赠者或意识形态异常者的异质效应,尽管第一修正案的判例假设这些捐赠者受到竞选财务法规的不成比例的影响。简而言之,信息披露使言论降温的观点并没有得到数据的有力支持。
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引用次数: 10
Three Practical Tests for Gerrymandering: Application to Maryland and Wisconsin 不公正划分选区的三个实践测试:马里兰州和威斯康星州的应用
IF 1.2 Q1 Social Sciences Pub Date : 2016-12-01 DOI: 10.1089/ELJ.2016.0387
W. S.H.
Abstract Partisan gerrymandering arises when many single-district gerrymanders are combined to obtain an overall advantage. The Supreme Court has held that partisan gerrymandering is recognizable by its asymmetry: for a given distribution of popular votes, if the parties switch places in popular vote, the numbers of seats would change in an unequal fashion. However, the asymmetry standard is only a broad statement of principle, and no analytical method for assessing asymmetry has yet been held to be manageable. Recently I proposed (68 Stanford Law Review 1263) three statistical tests to reliably assess asymmetry in state-level districting schemes: (a) a discrepancy in winning vote margins between the two parties' seats; (b) undue reliable wins for the party in charge of redistricting, as measured by the mean-median difference in vote share, or by an unusually even distribution of votes across districts; and (c) unrepresentative distortion in the number of seats won based on expectations from nationwide di...
当许多单一选区的不公正划分者联合起来以获得整体优势时,就会出现党派不公正划分。最高法院认为,党派不公正的划分可以通过其不对称性来识别:对于给定的普选选票分配,如果政党在普选中互换位置,席位数量就会以不平等的方式变化。然而,不对称标准只是一个宽泛的原则陈述,目前还没有评估不对称的分析方法被认为是可管理的。最近,我提出了三个统计测试(68 Stanford Law Review 1263),以可靠地评估州一级选区方案的不对称性:(a)两党席位之间获胜票数的差异;(b)负责重新划分选区的政党获得了不合理的可靠的胜利,以选票份额的中位数差异或不同地区的选票分配异常均匀来衡量;(c)根据全国选民的期望赢得的席位数量不具代表性。
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引用次数: 20
Conducting Credible Elections Under Threat: Results from a Survey of Election Administrators 在威胁下进行可信选举:对选举管理人员的调查结果
IF 1.2 Q1 Social Sciences Pub Date : 2016-12-01 DOI: 10.1089/ELJ.2015.0351
S. HerronErik, BoykoNazar
Abstract This article assesses how election administrators fulfill their responsibilities when state sovereignty is threatened, focusing on the case of Ukraine. Using data from a unique survey of administrators during the 2014 snap parliamentary elections, we explore how institutional, temporal, spatial, partisan, and experiential factors are associated with variation in responses to survey items designed to reveal administrative capabilities. We find evidence that some factors, notably spatial and experiential variables, are associated with assessments of readiness, security, and integrity. The findings speak to the scholarly literature on election administration and to the efforts of practitioners providing technical assistance in the conduct of democratic elections.
摘要本文以乌克兰为例,考察了在国家主权受到威胁的情况下,选举管理者如何履行其职责。利用2014年临时议会选举期间对行政人员的独特调查数据,我们探讨了制度、时间、空间、党派和经验因素如何与旨在揭示行政能力的调查项目的反应变化相关联。我们发现有证据表明,一些因素,特别是空间和经验变量,与准备度、安全性和完整性的评估有关。调查结果说明了关于选举管理的学术文献和在进行民主选举方面提供技术援助的从业人员的努力。
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引用次数: 0
Spoilers? Evaluating the Logic Behind Partisan Disaffiliation Requirements for Independent and Third-Party Candidates 剧透吗?评估独立候选人和第三党候选人脱离党派要求背后的逻辑
IF 1.2 Q1 Social Sciences Pub Date : 2016-12-01 DOI: 10.1089/ELJ.2016.0370
ChamberlainAdam, KlarnerCarl
Abstract In this article, we evaluate the rationale behind partisan disaffiliation laws, which prevent a candidate from running as an independent or from switching parties if they have not adequately severed their ties to an existing party. One prominent justification for these laws is that they help prevent voter confusion, which may result in the most preferred candidate losing. Utilizing a database of state legislative elections from 1968 to 2014, we categorize independent and third-party candidates into two groups: those who have run in the past as a Democrat or Republican, whom we refer to as former major-party candidates (FMPs), and those who have always run as a non-major party candidate (ANMs). The findings reveal that the latter appear less strategic about where to run, and they are unlikely to run again. In contrast, FMPs are much more likely to have held state legislative office and are more likely to have run multiple times; they are also more strategic, running under conditions that are advan...
在本文中,我们评估了党派分离法背后的基本原理,该法律禁止候选人在没有充分切断与现有政党的联系的情况下以独立人士身份竞选或转换政党。这些法律的一个重要理由是,它们有助于防止选民困惑,这可能导致最受欢迎的候选人失败。利用1968年至2014年的州立法选举数据库,我们将独立候选人和第三方候选人分为两组:过去曾以民主党或共和党身份参选的候选人,我们将其称为前主要政党候选人(fmp),以及一直以非主要政党候选人(ANMs)参选的候选人。研究结果显示,后者在选择逃跑地点时显得不那么有策略,而且他们不太可能再次逃跑。相比之下,fmp更有可能担任过州立法办公室,更有可能多次竞选;它们也更具战略性,在更先进的条件下运行……
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引用次数: 3
A Practical Procedure for Detecting a Partisan Gerrymander 发现党派不公正划分选区的实用程序
IF 1.2 Q1 Social Sciences Pub Date : 2016-12-01 DOI: 10.1089/ELJ.2016.0383
S. ArringtonTheodore
Abstract The United States Supreme Court may be open to reconsidering the standards for judging the constitutionality of partisan gerrymanders. This article presents a workable criteria for determining when districting arrangements so distort the process of translating votes into seats in a legislature that the process or the redistricting plan rises to a constitutional violation. The procedure uses an adjusted normal partisan vote (ANPV) measure to determine the number of seats that the preferred party would receive when the vote is equally divided between the parties and how that distribution of seats would change as the ANPV is adjusted up or down. This procedure would show that a gerrymander is long lasting, severe, and intentional.
摘要美国最高法院可能会重新考虑判断党派不公正划分是否合宪性的标准。本文提出了一个可行的标准,用于确定选区安排何时扭曲了将选票转化为立法机构席位的过程,以至于该过程或重新划分计划违反了宪法。该程序使用调整后的正常党派投票(ANPV)方法来确定在两党平均分配选票时,首选政党将获得的席位数量,以及席位分配如何随着ANPV的上下调整而变化。这一程序将表明,不公正的选区划分是长期的、严重的和故意的。
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引用次数: 2
Toward a Talismanic Redistricting Tool: A Computational Method for Identifying Extreme Redistricting Plans 走向一个护身符重划工具:一种识别极端重划计划的计算方法
IF 1.2 Q1 Social Sciences Pub Date : 2016-12-01 DOI: 10.1089/ELJ.2016.0384
K. T. ChoWendy, Y. Liuyan
Abstract Partisan gerrymandering is widely frowned upon by the citizenry as well as the Supreme Court. Despite broad disdain for the practice, the Supreme Court has found it difficult to identify a workable standard by which we might regulate political gerrymandering. We have lacked sufficient tools to analyze and synthesize redistricting data, in part, because the requisite computation is massive. At the same time, the recent proliferation of significant computing power has led to the discovery of the extensive and often surprising reach of technology, information, and computation in many realms of life. Our capacities to compile, organize, analyze, and disseminate information have increased dramatically and facilitated the creation of many tools to connect citizens and automate human tasks. We present a computational model that brings these significantly advanced computing capacities to the redistricting process. Our model allows us to understand redistricting in fundamentally new ways and allows us to ...
党派不公正地划分选区的做法不仅受到最高法院的反对,也受到公民的普遍不满。尽管这种做法受到广泛的蔑视,但最高法院发现,很难确定一个可行的标准,我们可以以此来规范政治上的不公正划分。我们缺乏足够的工具来分析和综合重新划分选区的数据,部分原因是必要的计算量很大。与此同时,最近计算能力的显著增长导致人们发现,技术、信息和计算在生活的许多领域中有着广泛的、常常令人惊讶的影响。我们编译、组织、分析和传播信息的能力大大提高,并促进了许多工具的创建,以连接公民和自动化人工任务。我们提出了一个计算模型,将这些非常先进的计算能力引入重划过程。我们的模型使我们能够以全新的方式理解重新划分,并允许我们……
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引用次数: 41
Judicial Partisanship in Voter Identification Litigation 选民身份识别诉讼中的司法党派关系
IF 1.2 Q1 Social Sciences Pub Date : 2016-09-01 DOI: 10.1089/ELJ.2015.0352
PerettiTerri
Abstract Voter identification laws have exploded onto the state legislative scene over the last decade. Observers of this powerful movement correctly note its strongly partisan character. Democrats and Republicans have staked out distinctive and opposed positions; Republican electoral gains consistently precede a state's adoption of new voter identification (ID) requirements, and legislative voting patterns are strictly partisan. There is little evidence thus far, however, regarding the role of judicial partisanship in voter identification litigation. This study seeks to fill that empirical gap. I examine voter identification cases from 2005 through 2015 and find a striking partisan divide, with Democratic judges far more skeptical of voter ID laws than Republican judges. Overall, nearly three-quarters of judicial votes in these cases conformed to the position of the party to which a judge belonged. The votes of judges on this contentious issue are not, however, as starkly partisan as those of elected off...
在过去的十年里,选民身份法在各州的立法舞台上迅速发展。观察这场声势浩大的运动的人正确地注意到了它强烈的党派特征。民主党人和共和党人已经表明了截然不同的对立立场;共和党在选举中获得的胜利总是在一个州采用新的选民身份证明(ID)要求之前,而且立法机关的投票模式也有严格的党派之分。然而,到目前为止,几乎没有证据表明司法党派在选民身份诉讼中的作用。本研究试图填补这一经验空白。我研究了2005年至2015年的选民身份证明案件,发现了明显的党派分歧,民主党法官对选民身份法的怀疑程度远高于共和党法官。总的来说,在这些案件中,近四分之三的司法投票符合法官所属政党的立场。然而,在这个有争议的问题上,法官的投票并不像选举出来的那样带有明显的党派色彩。
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引用次数: 3
The Boundary Problem and the Changing Case Against Deference in Election Law Cases: Lessons from Local Government Law 选举法案例中的边界问题与反服从的变化案例:来自地方政府法的启示
IF 1.2 Q1 Social Sciences Pub Date : 2016-09-01 DOI: 10.1089/ELJ.2016.0364
SchleicherDavid
Abstract This essay for the 2016 AALS Section on Election Law Program, “Election Law at the Local Level,” applies lessons from local government law to election law problems. Both local government and international law scholars discuss something sometimes called the “boundary problem.” A simple belief in democracy or self-determination—or the decision of some group of voters—cannot provide much guidance about what the boundaries of a city, state, or nation should be. Before a geographically bounded group of voters can decide its own boundaries, who comprises the relevant group must itself be determined. Any such choice will exclude some people who claim an interest in the decision. The group of deciders cannot be determined democratically, as a vote to decide who decides would face the same problem. Some value other than self-determination must be introduced to determine who decides before any boundaries can be set. The implication is that any city, state, or country's decision about its own boundaries is ...
本文为2016年AALS选举法学专题“地方层面的选举法”,将地方政府法的经验教训应用于选举法问题。当地政府和国际法律学者都会讨论一些有时被称为“边界问题”的问题。对民主或自决的简单信念,或对某些选民群体的决定,并不能提供多少关于城市、州或国家边界应该是什么的指导。在地理上有界限的选民群体决定自己的界限之前,必须先确定由谁组成相关群体。任何这样的选择都将把一些声称与该决定有利害关系的人排除在外。决策者群体不能民主地决定,因为投票决定谁来决定也会面临同样的问题。在设定任何界限之前,必须引入自决以外的一些价值来确定谁来决定。言下之意是,任何城市、州或国家对自己边界的决定都是……
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引用次数: 0
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Election Law Journal
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