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Public Opinion in a Rising Power: National and International Orientations among the Chinese Public 崛起中的舆论:中国公众的国家取向与国际取向
IF 1.3 3区 社会学 Q2 Social Sciences Pub Date : 2023-03-01 DOI: 10.1017/jea.2023.3
Y. Zhai
Abstract China's involvement in the world and its economic modernization are expected to lead to its democratization and adherence to the liberal international order. However, after several decades of development, the authoritarian system remains resilient, and China's foreign policy appears to be more assertive. The limited nature of scholarship on the public opinion in a rising power has prevented a better understanding of China's domestic changes and foreign policy. This study seeks to unveil the micro-foundations of the unexpected trajectory of China's rise by investigating the public's national and international orientations using nationwide representative survey data. The results show that international orientations had a very limited effect on Chinese popular attitudes toward domestic politics and foreign relations, while national orientations strengthened public support for the authoritarian system and China's assertive foreign policy. Intergenerational variations existed in public opinion in China, with the Xi generation showing a different pattern of political values than the preceding generations.
摘要中国参与世界事务和经济现代化有望导致其民主化和对自由国际秩序的坚持。然而,经过几十年的发展,威权体制仍然具有韧性,中国的外交政策似乎更加自信。在一个崛起的大国,学术界对公众舆论的局限性阻碍了人们更好地了解中国的国内变化和外交政策。本研究试图通过使用具有全国代表性的调查数据调查公众的国家和国际取向,揭示中国崛起的意外轨迹的微观基础。研究结果表明,国际取向对中国民众对国内政治和外交关系的态度影响非常有限,而国家取向则加强了公众对威权体制和中国自信外交政策的支持。中国的民意存在代际差异,Xi一代表现出与前几代不同的政治价值观模式。
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引用次数: 0
JEA volume 23 issue 1 Cover and Back matter JEA第23卷第1期封面和封底
IF 1.3 3区 社会学 Q2 Social Sciences Pub Date : 2023-03-01 DOI: 10.1017/jea.2023.7
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引用次数: 0
The Political Economy of Automotive Industrialization in East Asia 东亚汽车工业化的政治经济学
IF 1.3 3区 社会学 Q2 Social Sciences Pub Date : 2023-02-27 DOI: 10.1093/oso/9780197520253.001.0001
Richard F. Doner, Gregory W. Noble, J. Ravenhill*
This book offers a political economy explanation for the striking cross-national differences in strategies and performance among East Asia’s automotive industries. Some countries—China, South Korea, and Taiwan—have successfully pursued “intensive” growth strategies by increasing local value added based on domestic inputs and technological competencies. Malaysia has attempted but failed to pursue this path. In contrast, Thailand has become a champion of “extensive” growth, relying on foreign assemblers and their suppliers to achieve an impressive expansion of production, assembly, and exports. Latecomer Indonesia has followed Thailand with some success, whereas the Philippines has remained an automotive backwater. Through cross-case and within-case analyses of the seven countries, the book argues that variation is a function of the institutional and political contexts in which firms operate. Different strategies require different institutions and institutional capacities. Intensive development is especially institutionally demanding. Effective institutions emerge when political leaders face severe claims on resources (security threats and domestic pressures for welfare improvement) in the absence of easily accessible revenues to satisfy such needs. Brief comparisons with Brazil, Mexico, and other developing countries confirm the utility of the analytic framework. This explanation is superior to neoclassical accounts. It is consistent with but provides more insight than other prominent approaches to development: national innovation systems, global value chains, and developmental states. New challenges facing auto assemblers and suppliers, such as the transition to electric and autonomous vehicles, will call heavily upon the institutional capacities highlighted in this book.
这本书为东亚汽车行业在战略和绩效方面的显著跨国差异提供了政治经济学解释。一些国家——中国、韩国和台湾——通过在国内投入和技术能力的基础上增加当地附加值,成功地实施了“密集型”增长战略。马来西亚曾试图走这条道路,但未能成功。相比之下,泰国已成为“广泛”增长的倡导者,依靠外国组装商及其供应商实现了令人印象深刻的生产、组装和出口扩张。后来者印度尼西亚紧随泰国之后取得了一些成功,而菲律宾仍然是汽车业的死水。通过对这七个国家的跨案例和案例内分析,该书认为,变化是企业经营的制度和政治背景的函数。不同的战略需要不同的机构和机构能力。集约发展在制度上要求特别高。当政治领导人面临严重的资源需求(安全威胁和国内改善福利的压力),而没有容易获得的收入来满足这些需求时,就会出现有效的机构。与巴西、墨西哥和其他发展中国家的简要比较证实了分析框架的实用性。这种解释优于新古典主义的解释。它与其他突出的发展方法相一致,但提供了更多的见解:国家创新体系、全球价值链和发展状态。汽车组装商和供应商面临的新挑战,如向电动汽车和自动驾驶汽车的过渡,将在很大程度上取决于本书中强调的机构能力。
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引用次数: 9
Banking on Beijing: The Aims and Impacts of China's Overseas Development Program By Axel Dreher, Andreas Fuchs, Bradley Parks, Austin Strange and Michael J. Tierney. Cambridge: Cambridge University Press, 2022. 396 pp. £26.99 (paper) - Globalizing Patient Capital: The Political Economy of Chinese Finance in the Americas By Stephen B. Kaplan. Cambridge: Cambridge University Press, 2021 410 pp. £26.99 (paper) 《寄望北京:中国海外发展计划的目标与影响》作者:阿克塞尔·德雷尔、安德烈亚斯·富克斯、布拉德利·帕克斯、奥斯汀·斯特兰奇和迈克尔·蒂尔尼。剑桥:剑桥大学出版社,2022。《全球化的患者资本:中国金融在美洲的政治经济学》,作者:斯蒂芬·b·卡普兰。剑桥:剑桥大学出版社,2021年,410页,26.99英镑(纸质版)
3区 社会学 Q2 Social Sciences Pub Date : 2023-02-27 DOI: 10.1017/jea.2022.39
Daniel McDowell
Banking on Beijing: The Aims and Impacts of China's Overseas Development Program By Axel Dreher, Andreas Fuchs, Bradley Parks, Austin Strange and Michael J. Tierney. Cambridge: Cambridge University Press, 2022. 396 pp. £26.99 (paper) - Globalizing Patient Capital: The Political Economy of Chinese Finance in the Americas By Stephen B. Kaplan. Cambridge: Cambridge University Press, 2021 410 pp. £26.99 (paper) - Volume 23 Issue 1
《寄望北京:中国海外发展计划的目标与影响》作者:阿克塞尔·德雷尔、安德烈亚斯·富克斯、布拉德利·帕克斯、奥斯汀·斯特兰奇和迈克尔·蒂尔尼。剑桥:剑桥大学出版社,2022。《全球化的患者资本:中国金融在美洲的政治经济学》,作者:斯蒂芬·b·卡普兰。剑桥:剑桥大学出版社,2021年410页。26.99英镑(纸)-第23卷第1期
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引用次数: 0
Circling the Wagons: How Perceived Injustice Increases Female Bureaucrats’ Support for Female Political Leaders 绕过马车:感知的不公正如何增加女性官僚对女性政治领导人的支持
IF 1.3 3区 社会学 Q2 Social Sciences Pub Date : 2023-02-24 DOI: 10.1017/jea.2022.36
Don S. Lee, P. Schuler, Soonae Park
Abstract Does female bureaucratic support for female political leaders change over time? Existing research focuses on factors that vary across countries. Little work examines how contingent events within a context impact gender-based solidarity. Drawing on collective identity theory, we argue that high-profile incidents of perceived gender-based injustice against a female president could increase female bureaucrats’ support for the leader. To explore this, we leverage a unique setting of a female president's impeachment in South Korea to assess the relationship between gender and bureaucrats’ support. Examining support for President Park before and after the impeachment, we find that her impeachment has a gendered impact on support, with female bureaucrats’ support increasing and male bureaucratic support remaining unchanged. Furthermore, mediation analysis provides suggestive evidence that the result operates through a heightened sense of injustice. Our findings suggest that support for female political leaders varies not only across countries, but also shifts within governments.
摘要女性官僚机构对女性政治领导人的支持是否会随着时间的推移而变化?现有的研究侧重于各国不同的因素。很少有研究探讨在一个背景下突发事件如何影响基于性别的团结。根据集体身份理论,我们认为,针对女性总统的基于性别的不公正事件可能会增加女性官僚对这位领导人的支持。为了探索这一点,我们利用韩国弹劾女总统的独特背景来评估性别与官僚支持之间的关系。考察弹劾前后对朴总统的支持,我们发现,弹劾对支持率有性别影响,女性官僚的支持率增加,男性官僚的支持度保持不变。此外,调解分析提供了暗示性证据,表明结果是通过增强不公正感来运作的。我们的研究结果表明,对女性政治领导人的支持不仅在各国不同,而且在政府内部也有所变化。
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引用次数: 0
The Domestic Political Economy of Japan's New Geoeconomic Strategy 日本新地缘经济战略的国内政治经济学
IF 1.3 3区 社会学 Q2 Social Sciences Pub Date : 2023-02-17 DOI: 10.1017/jea.2022.32
H. Takeuchi, Keely McNeme
Abstract Japan has long strived to acquire a more influential voice in trade negotiations but failed because of the lack of decisiveness rooted in the resistance from those who have vested interests. However, a series of domestic reforms undertaken since the 1990s have made it possible for Japan to play a leadership role in the new rulemaking of international trade. After the Trump administration withdrew the United States from the Trans-Pacific Partnership, Japan took the initiative to conclude a new agreement called the Comprehensive and Progressive Agreement for Trans-Pacific Partnership. How have domestic factors pushed Japan to step up as a new leader in the rulemaking of international trade? How have the economic rise of China and the relative decline of US hegemonic power impacted Japanese domestic politics and economics? What implications do Japan's new roles have for the security and prosperity of the Asia-Pacific region? By exploring empirical evidence drawn from five new books, we argue that the commitment to domestic economic reforms has enabled Japan to play a leadership role in the rulemaking of the international economic order.
摘要日本长期以来一直努力在贸易谈判中获得更具影响力的发言权,但由于既得利益者的抵制而缺乏果断,因此失败了。然而,自20世纪90年代以来进行的一系列国内改革使日本有可能在国际贸易的新规则制定中发挥领导作用。在特朗普政府让美国退出跨太平洋伙伴关系后,日本主动缔结了一项名为《跨太平洋伙伴全面与进步协定》的新协议。国内因素是如何推动日本成为国际贸易规则制定的新领导者的?中国经济的崛起和美国霸权的相对衰落对日本国内政治经济产生了怎样的影响?日本的新角色对亚太地区的安全与繁荣有什么影响?通过探索从五本新书中获得的经验证据,我们认为,对国内经济改革的承诺使日本能够在国际经济秩序的规则制定中发挥领导作用。
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引用次数: 0
Authoritarian Successor Parties, Supporters, and Protest: Lessons from Asian Democracies 威权继承者政党、支持者和抗议:亚洲民主国家的经验教训
IF 1.3 3区 社会学 Q2 Social Sciences Pub Date : 2023-02-17 DOI: 10.1017/jea.2022.34
Myunghee Lee
Abstract Are authoritarian successor party (ASP) supporters more likely to protest? I propose that ASP supporters are less likely to protest in general. The post-democratization mobilization environment is shaped upon the pre-democratization mobilization basis. During the pre-democratization period, protest was organized around the democracy movement. Thus, protest tactics and networks were accumulated through it. As former authoritarian ruling party supporters, ASP supporters are less likely to have legacies of participating in the democracy movement, which prevents them from accessing the accumulated protest resources from the democracy movement. However, I argue that this negative association varies based on the ASP qualities and supporters’ age. Supporters of ASPs that maintain strong pre-democratization legacies are more likely to participate in protests than supporters of ASPs that do not strongly highlight their authoritarian legacies. Also, when the ASPs’ characteristics are considered, older ASP supporters are more likely to participate in protests than younger supporters. Using both single-level and multilevel statistical analyses, I examine four Asian countries with politically powerful ASPs and find evidence supporting my hypotheses. Lastly, I compare two South Korean mass movements, the Candlelight movement and the Taegeukgi rallies to unpack the relationships between ASP supporters, protest resources, and mobilization. This study reveals authoritarian legacies among post-democratization citizens through ASP supporters’ protesting behavior.
摘要威权继承党(ASP)的支持者更有可能抗议吗?我建议ASP的支持者一般不太可能抗议。民主化后的动员环境是在民主化前的动员基础上形成的。在民主化之前的时期,围绕民主运动组织了抗议活动。因此,抗议策略和网络是通过它积累起来的。作为前威权执政党的支持者,ASP的支持者不太可能有参与民主运动的遗产,这使他们无法获得民主运动积累的抗议资源。然而,我认为,这种负面联系因ASP的素质和支持者的年龄而异。与没有强烈强调其独裁遗产的ASP的支持者相比,保持民主化前强大遗产的ASP支持者更有可能参加抗议活动。此外,当考虑到ASP的特点时,年长的ASP支持者比年轻的支持者更有可能参加抗议活动。通过单水平和多水平的统计分析,我考察了四个拥有强大政治ASP的亚洲国家,并找到了支持我的假设的证据。最后,我比较了两个韩国群众运动,烛光运动和Taegeukgi集会,以揭示ASP支持者、抗议资源和动员之间的关系。本研究通过ASP支持者的抗议行为揭示了民主化后公民的独裁遗产。
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引用次数: 0
External Threats and Public Opinion: The East Asian Security Environment and Japanese Views on the Nuclear Option 外部威胁与舆论:东亚安全环境与日本核选择观
IF 1.3 3区 社会学 Q2 Social Sciences Pub Date : 2023-02-14 DOI: 10.1017/jea.2022.40
Naoko Matsumura, Atsushi Tago, Joseph Grieco
Abstract The Japanese public has been assumed to possess a deeply ingrained aversion toward the acquisition of nuclear weapons. We employ a survey experiment to ascertain whether this aversion is unconditional or may erode in the face of hypothetical deterioration in Japan's security situation, and in particular a hypothetical withdrawal of the US security-nuclear umbrella, increased North Korean nuclear weapons testing activities, and movement by South Korea toward the attainment of a nuclear arsenal. We find that the Japanese nuclear aversion may come under stress in the face of such developments. Additionally, we find that the elasticity of Japanese attitudes with respect to the nuclear option in the face of external security deterioration may be associated with an important individual-level demographic characteristic, namely, gender.
摘要日本公众被认为对获得核武器有着根深蒂固的厌恶。我们进行了一项调查实验,以确定这种厌恶情绪是无条件的,还是在假设日本安全局势恶化的情况下可能会减弱,特别是假设美国退出安全核保护伞,朝鲜增加核武器试验活动,以及韩国朝着实现核武库的方向发展。我们发现,面对这样的事态发展,日本对核的厌恶可能会受到压力。此外,我们发现,面对外部安全恶化,日本人对核选择的态度具有弹性,这可能与一个重要的个人层面的人口特征有关,即性别。
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引用次数: 4
Korean NGOs and Reconciliation with Japan 韩国非政府组织与对日和解
IF 1.3 3区 社会学 Q2 Social Sciences Pub Date : 2023-02-10 DOI: 10.1017/jea.2022.21
Leif-Eric Easley
Abstract Strained South Korea–Japan ties are frequently attributed to the use and abuse of history by national leaders. This article considers a more bottom-up explanation by examining how Korean civil society is taking three different pathways to exert influence on bilateral relations. First, non-governmental organizations are expanding domestic and international awareness of grievances regarding Japan's 1910–1945 colonization of the Korean Peninsula. Second, activists are pushing court cases in attempts to change legal interpretations and government policies. Third, certain civic groups demand maximalist positions on history and stigmatize cooperation with Tokyo. While influential over Korean public opinion, these efforts win few hearts and minds in Japan and complicate productive diplomacy. With particular attention to the 2015 Korea–Japan agreement for “comfort women” survivors and the 2018 South Korean Supreme Court decisions on wartime labor, this article unpacks the relationship between activist Korean civil society and historical reconciliation with Japan, offering implications for foreign policy and state-society relations.
摘要紧张的韩日关系经常被归咎于国家领导人对历史的利用和滥用。本文通过考察韩国民间社会如何通过三种不同的途径对双边关系施加影响,考虑了一种更自下而上的解释。首先,非政府组织正在扩大国内外对日本1910-1945年殖民朝鲜半岛的不满的认识。其次,活动人士正在推动法庭诉讼,试图改变法律解释和政府政策。第三,某些公民团体要求对历史采取最高主义立场,并污蔑与东京的合作。尽管这些努力影响了韩国公众舆论,但在日本却很少赢得人心,并使富有成效的外交复杂化。本文特别关注2015年韩日“慰安妇”幸存者协议和2018年韩国最高法院关于战时劳工的裁决,揭示了活跃的韩国民间社会与历史上与日本和解之间的关系,为外交政策和国家社会关系提供了启示。
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引用次数: 0
Bureaucrats and Budgets in South Korea: Evidence for Hometown Favoritism 韩国的官僚和预算:家乡主义的证据
IF 1.3 3区 社会学 Q2 Social Sciences Pub Date : 2023-01-19 DOI: 10.1017/jea.2022.33
H. Jung
This article presents evidence that high-ranking public officials in the Ministry of Strategy and Finance in South Korea affect local budget allocation. Applying a regression model on a uniquely constructed panel dataset, I found that the growth rate of the per-capita National Subsidy, which is a subcomponent of the national budget susceptible to discretionary behaviors, increases approximately 7 percent in the hometowns of high-ranking bureaucrats. To validate these findings and address causality, I conducted a battery of auxiliary robustness checks, which yielded confirmatory results. This study also found that enhancing transparency in the budget allocation system can alleviate concerns about bureaucratic hometown favoritism, providing suggestive evidence of bureaucrats’ rent-seeking behaviors without government transparency.
本文提供了韩国战略财政部高级公职人员影响地方预算分配的证据。在一个独特构建的面板数据集上应用回归模型,我发现,在高级官员的家乡,人均国家补贴的增长率增加了约7%。人均国家补贴是国家预算的一个子组成部分,容易受到自由裁量行为的影响。为了验证这些发现并解决因果关系,我进行了一系列辅助稳健性检查,得出了验证性结果。本研究还发现,提高预算分配制度的透明度可以缓解人们对官僚家乡偏袒的担忧,为官僚在没有政府透明度的情况下的寻租行为提供了提示性证据。
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引用次数: 2
期刊
Journal of East Asian Studies
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