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Authoritarian Successor Parties, Supporters, and Protest: Lessons from Asian Democracies 威权继承者政党、支持者和抗议:亚洲民主国家的经验教训
IF 1.3 3区 社会学 Q2 SOCIAL SCIENCES, INTERDISCIPLINARY Pub Date : 2023-02-17 DOI: 10.1017/jea.2022.34
Myunghee Lee
Abstract Are authoritarian successor party (ASP) supporters more likely to protest? I propose that ASP supporters are less likely to protest in general. The post-democratization mobilization environment is shaped upon the pre-democratization mobilization basis. During the pre-democratization period, protest was organized around the democracy movement. Thus, protest tactics and networks were accumulated through it. As former authoritarian ruling party supporters, ASP supporters are less likely to have legacies of participating in the democracy movement, which prevents them from accessing the accumulated protest resources from the democracy movement. However, I argue that this negative association varies based on the ASP qualities and supporters’ age. Supporters of ASPs that maintain strong pre-democratization legacies are more likely to participate in protests than supporters of ASPs that do not strongly highlight their authoritarian legacies. Also, when the ASPs’ characteristics are considered, older ASP supporters are more likely to participate in protests than younger supporters. Using both single-level and multilevel statistical analyses, I examine four Asian countries with politically powerful ASPs and find evidence supporting my hypotheses. Lastly, I compare two South Korean mass movements, the Candlelight movement and the Taegeukgi rallies to unpack the relationships between ASP supporters, protest resources, and mobilization. This study reveals authoritarian legacies among post-democratization citizens through ASP supporters’ protesting behavior.
摘要威权继承党(ASP)的支持者更有可能抗议吗?我建议ASP的支持者一般不太可能抗议。民主化后的动员环境是在民主化前的动员基础上形成的。在民主化之前的时期,围绕民主运动组织了抗议活动。因此,抗议策略和网络是通过它积累起来的。作为前威权执政党的支持者,ASP的支持者不太可能有参与民主运动的遗产,这使他们无法获得民主运动积累的抗议资源。然而,我认为,这种负面联系因ASP的素质和支持者的年龄而异。与没有强烈强调其独裁遗产的ASP的支持者相比,保持民主化前强大遗产的ASP支持者更有可能参加抗议活动。此外,当考虑到ASP的特点时,年长的ASP支持者比年轻的支持者更有可能参加抗议活动。通过单水平和多水平的统计分析,我考察了四个拥有强大政治ASP的亚洲国家,并找到了支持我的假设的证据。最后,我比较了两个韩国群众运动,烛光运动和Taegeukgi集会,以揭示ASP支持者、抗议资源和动员之间的关系。本研究通过ASP支持者的抗议行为揭示了民主化后公民的独裁遗产。
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引用次数: 0
External Threats and Public Opinion: The East Asian Security Environment and Japanese Views on the Nuclear Option 外部威胁与舆论:东亚安全环境与日本核选择观
IF 1.3 3区 社会学 Q2 SOCIAL SCIENCES, INTERDISCIPLINARY Pub Date : 2023-02-14 DOI: 10.1017/jea.2022.40
Naoko Matsumura, Atsushi Tago, Joseph Grieco
Abstract The Japanese public has been assumed to possess a deeply ingrained aversion toward the acquisition of nuclear weapons. We employ a survey experiment to ascertain whether this aversion is unconditional or may erode in the face of hypothetical deterioration in Japan's security situation, and in particular a hypothetical withdrawal of the US security-nuclear umbrella, increased North Korean nuclear weapons testing activities, and movement by South Korea toward the attainment of a nuclear arsenal. We find that the Japanese nuclear aversion may come under stress in the face of such developments. Additionally, we find that the elasticity of Japanese attitudes with respect to the nuclear option in the face of external security deterioration may be associated with an important individual-level demographic characteristic, namely, gender.
摘要日本公众被认为对获得核武器有着根深蒂固的厌恶。我们进行了一项调查实验,以确定这种厌恶情绪是无条件的,还是在假设日本安全局势恶化的情况下可能会减弱,特别是假设美国退出安全核保护伞,朝鲜增加核武器试验活动,以及韩国朝着实现核武库的方向发展。我们发现,面对这样的事态发展,日本对核的厌恶可能会受到压力。此外,我们发现,面对外部安全恶化,日本人对核选择的态度具有弹性,这可能与一个重要的个人层面的人口特征有关,即性别。
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引用次数: 4
Korean NGOs and Reconciliation with Japan 韩国非政府组织与对日和解
IF 1.3 3区 社会学 Q2 SOCIAL SCIENCES, INTERDISCIPLINARY Pub Date : 2023-02-10 DOI: 10.1017/jea.2022.21
Leif-Eric Easley
Abstract Strained South Korea–Japan ties are frequently attributed to the use and abuse of history by national leaders. This article considers a more bottom-up explanation by examining how Korean civil society is taking three different pathways to exert influence on bilateral relations. First, non-governmental organizations are expanding domestic and international awareness of grievances regarding Japan's 1910–1945 colonization of the Korean Peninsula. Second, activists are pushing court cases in attempts to change legal interpretations and government policies. Third, certain civic groups demand maximalist positions on history and stigmatize cooperation with Tokyo. While influential over Korean public opinion, these efforts win few hearts and minds in Japan and complicate productive diplomacy. With particular attention to the 2015 Korea–Japan agreement for “comfort women” survivors and the 2018 South Korean Supreme Court decisions on wartime labor, this article unpacks the relationship between activist Korean civil society and historical reconciliation with Japan, offering implications for foreign policy and state-society relations.
摘要紧张的韩日关系经常被归咎于国家领导人对历史的利用和滥用。本文通过考察韩国民间社会如何通过三种不同的途径对双边关系施加影响,考虑了一种更自下而上的解释。首先,非政府组织正在扩大国内外对日本1910-1945年殖民朝鲜半岛的不满的认识。其次,活动人士正在推动法庭诉讼,试图改变法律解释和政府政策。第三,某些公民团体要求对历史采取最高主义立场,并污蔑与东京的合作。尽管这些努力影响了韩国公众舆论,但在日本却很少赢得人心,并使富有成效的外交复杂化。本文特别关注2015年韩日“慰安妇”幸存者协议和2018年韩国最高法院关于战时劳工的裁决,揭示了活跃的韩国民间社会与历史上与日本和解之间的关系,为外交政策和国家社会关系提供了启示。
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引用次数: 0
Bureaucrats and Budgets in South Korea: Evidence for Hometown Favoritism 韩国的官僚和预算:家乡主义的证据
IF 1.3 3区 社会学 Q2 SOCIAL SCIENCES, INTERDISCIPLINARY Pub Date : 2023-01-19 DOI: 10.1017/jea.2022.33
H. Jung
This article presents evidence that high-ranking public officials in the Ministry of Strategy and Finance in South Korea affect local budget allocation. Applying a regression model on a uniquely constructed panel dataset, I found that the growth rate of the per-capita National Subsidy, which is a subcomponent of the national budget susceptible to discretionary behaviors, increases approximately 7 percent in the hometowns of high-ranking bureaucrats. To validate these findings and address causality, I conducted a battery of auxiliary robustness checks, which yielded confirmatory results. This study also found that enhancing transparency in the budget allocation system can alleviate concerns about bureaucratic hometown favoritism, providing suggestive evidence of bureaucrats’ rent-seeking behaviors without government transparency.
本文提供了韩国战略财政部高级公职人员影响地方预算分配的证据。在一个独特构建的面板数据集上应用回归模型,我发现,在高级官员的家乡,人均国家补贴的增长率增加了约7%。人均国家补贴是国家预算的一个子组成部分,容易受到自由裁量行为的影响。为了验证这些发现并解决因果关系,我进行了一系列辅助稳健性检查,得出了验证性结果。本研究还发现,提高预算分配制度的透明度可以缓解人们对官僚家乡偏袒的担忧,为官僚在没有政府透明度的情况下的寻租行为提供了提示性证据。
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引用次数: 2
Guns, Guerillas, and The Great Leader: North Korea and the Third World By Benjamin R. Young. Stanford: Stanford University Press, 2021. 218 pp. $28 (Paper), $90 (Cloth). 《枪炮、游击队与伟大领袖:朝鲜与第三世界》,本杰明·R·杨著。斯坦福:斯坦福大学出版社,2021年。218页,28美元(纸),90美元(布)。
IF 1.3 3区 社会学 Q2 SOCIAL SCIENCES, INTERDISCIPLINARY Pub Date : 2022-11-08 DOI: 10.1017/jea.2022.30
David Hall
This monograph is based on Benjamin R. Young ’ s 2018 doctoral dissertation and investigates “ North Korea ’ s place within the Third World ” (p. 1). This fits into a recent trend in Cold War studies that emphasizes small state agency. Through this lens, Young critically examines North Korea in a de-westernised way, by treating the country as an independent actor rather than a Soviet-Chinese puppet state. Young ’ s central argument is that Third Worldism, a form of socialist internation-alism which sought to dismantle western economic and political hegemony over post-colonial states (Nash, 2003, 95), formed an important part of North Korea ’ s foreign policy and national identity construction. This allowed Kim Il Sung to establish economic and political relationships with emerging postcolonial states, export his Juche ideology and personality cult, and bolster North Korea ’ s international recognition vis-à-vis South Korea.
这本专著以本杰明·r·杨(Benjamin R. Young) 2018年的博士论文为基础,研究了“朝鲜在第三世界中的地位”(第1页)。这符合冷战研究中最近强调小型国家机构的趋势。通过这一视角,杨以一种去西方化的方式批判性地审视了朝鲜,将其视为一个独立的角色,而不是一个苏中傀儡国家。杨的核心论点是,第三世界主义是社会主义国际主义的一种形式,它试图拆除西方对后殖民国家的经济和政治霸权(Nash, 2003,95),是朝鲜外交政策和国家认同建设的重要组成部分。这使得金日成能够与新兴的后殖民国家建立经济和政治关系,输出他的主体思想和个人崇拜,并加强朝鲜对-à-vis韩国的国际认可。
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引用次数: 0
Roundtable on Rick Doner, Gregory Noble, and John Ravenhill, The Political Economy of Automotive Industrialization in East Asia 《东亚汽车工业化的政治经济学》,Rick Doner, Gregory Noble和John Ravenhill圆桌会议
IF 1.3 3区 社会学 Q2 SOCIAL SCIENCES, INTERDISCIPLINARY Pub Date : 2022-11-07 DOI: 10.1017/jea.2022.22
Stephan Haggard, Thomas B. Pepinsky
Research on the political economy of growth in East Asia from its inception was motivated by a focus on institutions. The early developmental state literature highlighted the role that government intervention played in rapid economic growth, but that literature centered largely on the question of which policies governments chose to implement. From Chalmers Johnson (1982) forward, political scientists have paid greater attention to political institutions—and particularly state institutions—as the enabling conditions for the growth process. Factors such as political autonomy, bureaucratic competence, and coordination with the private sector through business councils were seen as crucial to rapid capital accumulation, a relatively efficient allocation of resources, and corresponding increases in social welfare. In contrast to this macrolevel focus on national-level institutions, a second strand of the early literature on growth was decidedly micro in its approach, honing in much more closely on economic or what might be called “local” institutions. These institutions served to coordinate or regulate a diverse set of state and private actors, including both foreign and local firms. This literature—which included its share of classics as well—typically took an industry or sectoral focus with particular attention being paid to the relationship between multinational corporations and networks of local suppliers. This approach to the political economy of the region has continued in various guises, for example in a wide-ranging literature on international production networks. But as editors of the Journal of East Asian Studies, we have seen a decline in this qualitative, institutionally focused case study research on economic growth. Two related considerations thus motivate this roundtable on Rick Doner, Gregory Noble, and John Ravenhill’s (2021) book The Political Economy of Automotive Industrialization in East Asia (hereafter DNR). The first is its return to these core micro-institutional questions. But second, the book invites scholars of East Asian political economy to consider how such studies fit with other research approaches to the region’s development, including not only the earlier generation of sectoral studies, but also more recent quantitative research and the burgeoning revival of interest in a “new” or “open economy” industrial policy.
从一开始就对东亚增长的政治经济进行研究,其动机是关注制度。早期的发展国家文献强调了政府干预在经济快速增长中所起的作用,但这些文献主要集中在政府选择实施哪些政策的问题上。从查默斯·约翰逊(1982)开始,政治学家就更加关注政治机构,尤其是国家机构,将其作为增长过程的有利条件。政治自主权、官僚能力以及通过商业委员会与私营部门的协调等因素被视为对快速资本积累、相对有效的资源分配和相应增加社会福利至关重要。与这种宏观层面对国家层面机构的关注形成对比的是,早期关于增长的第二批文献的方法显然是微观的,更密切地关注经济或所谓的“地方”机构。这些机构负责协调或监管一系列不同的国家和私人行为者,包括外国和当地公司。这些文献——包括其经典作品——通常以行业或部门为重点,特别关注跨国公司与当地供应商网络之间的关系。这种处理该地区政治经济的方法以各种形式继续存在,例如在关于国际生产网络的广泛文献中。但作为《东亚研究杂志》的编辑,我们看到这种定性的、以制度为重点的经济增长案例研究有所下降。因此,有两个相关的考虑因素推动了这次关于Rick Doner、Gregory Noble和John Ravenhill(2021)的著作《东亚汽车工业化的政治经济学》(以下简称DNR)的圆桌会议。首先是回归到这些核心的微观制度问题。但第二,这本书邀请东亚政治经济学的学者考虑这些研究如何与该地区发展的其他研究方法相结合,不仅包括早期的部门研究,还包括最近的定量研究,以及人们对“新”或“开放经济”产业政策兴趣的迅速复苏。
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引用次数: 1
Southeast Asia under Great-Power Competition: Public Opinion About Hedging in the Philippines 大国竞争下的东南亚:菲律宾关于对冲的民意
IF 1.3 3区 社会学 Q2 SOCIAL SCIENCES, INTERDISCIPLINARY Pub Date : 2022-11-01 DOI: 10.1017/jea.2022.35
Songying Fang, Xiaojun Li
Abstract Under pressure to choose between the U.S. and China, Southeast Asian countries have adopted a hedging strategy: deepening economic relations with China while strengthening security cooperation with the U.S. How does the region's public view this strategy? With tensions rising in South China Sea territorial disputes, are more nationalistic individuals more likely to oppose hedging? Using an original public opinion survey conducted in the Philippines, we find that while an overwhelming majority of respondents were concerned about the territorial disputes, more nationalistic Filipinos were no more concerned than less nationalistic ones. Further, more nationalistic Filipinos were more likely to view economic relations with China as important for the Philippines and to approve of Duterte's China policy, which follows the logic of hedging. These surprising findings suggest that under the shadow of great-power competition, the link between domestic politics and foreign policy is nuanced in the Philippines, and Southeast Asia in general.
在美国和中国之间做出选择的压力下,东南亚国家采取了一种对冲策略:深化与中国的经济关系,同时加强与美国的安全合作。该地区公众如何看待这一策略?随着南中国海(South China Sea,中国称南海)领土争端的紧张局势升级,更多民族主义人士是否更有可能反对对冲?我们利用在菲律宾进行的一项原始民意调查发现,尽管绝大多数受访者担心领土争端,但更民族主义的菲律宾人并不比不那么民族主义的菲律宾人更担心领土争端。此外,更民族主义的菲律宾人更有可能认为与中国的经济关系对菲律宾很重要,并赞成杜特尔特的对华政策,这符合对冲逻辑。这些令人惊讶的发现表明,在大国竞争的阴影下,国内政治与外交政策之间的联系在菲律宾和整个东南亚都是微妙的。
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引用次数: 3
JEA volume 22 issue 3 Cover and Back matter JEA第22卷第3期封面和封底
IF 1.3 3区 社会学 Q2 SOCIAL SCIENCES, INTERDISCIPLINARY Pub Date : 2022-11-01 DOI: 10.1017/jea.2023.1
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引用次数: 0
JEA volume 22 issue 3 Cover and Front matter JEA第22卷第3期封面和封面
IF 1.3 3区 社会学 Q2 SOCIAL SCIENCES, INTERDISCIPLINARY Pub Date : 2022-11-01 DOI: 10.1017/jea.2023.2
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引用次数: 0
Only Right Makes Might? Center-Right Policy Competition Among Major Japanese Parties After Electoral Reform 只有权利才有可能?选举改革后日本主要政党的中间偏右政策竞争
IF 1.3 3区 社会学 Q2 SOCIAL SCIENCES, INTERDISCIPLINARY Pub Date : 2022-11-01 DOI: 10.1017/jea.2022.28
Christian G. Winkler, N. Taniguchi
The effects of the 1990s reforms to the electoral system of Japan's House of Representatives have been among the most frequently discussed topics in political science research on the country. These reforms saw the replacement of a hitherto single nontransferable vote (SNTV) system by a mixed-member majoritarian (MMM) system with a strong Single Member District (SMD) and a weaker Proportional Representation (PR) component. Many studies have suggested that the reforms may have had significant impact on the strategies of political parties. Generally, SMD systems have been widely thought to favor larger parties, while PR systems are more beneficial to small and medium-sized parties. On the content side, larger parties seeking control of the government would try to win the support of large numbers of floating voters by campaigning on universal/programmatic policy appeals, as opposed to particularistic interests. In contrast, smaller parties would cater towards their core supporters’ preferences. Previous studies have noted that the old SNTV system in Japan had produced results similar to PR systems (Reed 2003). Japan's electoral reform may have thus changed the strategy of large parties, which would need to win more seats in the SMDs to gain (or hold onto) power, while smaller parties have continued to try and win seats via the PR tier. Therefore, the reform provides valuable research material in so far as we can simultaneously observe different effects by the SMD and the PR systems on parties of different sizes.
上世纪90年代日本众议院选举制度改革的影响一直是日本政治科学研究中最常讨论的话题之一。这些改革看到了迄今为止单一的不可转让投票(SNTV)系统被混合成员多数主义(MMM)系统所取代,该系统具有强大的单一成员区(SMD)和较弱的比例代表制(PR)组成部分。许多研究表明,改革可能对政党的战略产生了重大影响。一般来说,人们普遍认为SMD制度有利于较大的政党,而PR制度则更有利于中小型政党。在内容方面,寻求控制政府的大党将试图赢得大量流动选民的支持,通过宣传普遍/纲领性的政策呼吁,而不是特殊利益。相比之下,较小的政党会迎合其核心支持者的偏好。以前的研究指出,日本旧的SNTV系统产生了类似于PR系统的结果(Reed 2003)。日本的选举改革可能因此改变了大政党的策略,它们需要在smd中赢得更多席位才能获得(或保持)权力,而小政党则继续试图通过PR层赢得席位。因此,改革提供了有价值的研究材料,因为我们可以同时观察到SMD和PR制度对不同规模政党的不同影响。
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引用次数: 0
期刊
Journal of East Asian Studies
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