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Fertility in Romania: The Delay of the Second Gender Revolution 罗马尼亚的生育率:第二次性别革命的延迟
IF 1 4区 管理学 Q3 Social Sciences Pub Date : 2023-06-28 DOI: 10.24193/tras.69e.8
M. Voicu, R. Papuc
"Fertility in Romania dropped rapidly after the col lapse of the communist rule, placing the country among those with low fertility rates, and started to grow again after the year 2014. The paper approach es the dynamic of fertility in Romania, focusing on the period when fertility grew again. Using data from the semi-panel conducted by World Values Survey Romanian in 2012 and 2018, the paper looks at the changes in fertility in Romania based on mi cro-level data and studying trends in cohort fertility among women of fertile age and the drivers of these changes. The cohort analysis indicates that birth postponement is the main mechanism leading to the growth in fertility in Romania in the past decade. At the same time, the results provide support to the uncertainty explanation, the fear of job losing having negative impact on the number of children born by a woman. Altogether, the results suggest that Roma nia does not yet reach the second gender revolution, that has gender equality in private sphere at its core, fertility decision relying on traditional factors such as economic uncertainty and patriarchal model, with the male partner being the main breadwinner. "
“罗马尼亚的生育率在共产主义统治结束后迅速下降,成为生育率较低的国家之一,并在2014年后开始再次增长。本文探讨了罗马尼亚生育率的动态,重点关注生育率再次增长的时期。该论文利用罗马尼亚世界价值观调查在2012年和2018年进行的半小组数据,基于微观数据,研究了罗马尼亚生育率的变化,并研究了育龄妇女群体生育率的趋势和这些变化的驱动因素。队列分析表明,在过去十年中,推迟生育是导致罗马尼亚生育率增长的主要机制。同时,研究结果支持了不确定性的解释,即担心失业会对女性生育的孩子数量产生负面影响。总之,研究结果表明,罗姆尼亚还没有达到第二次性别革命,这场革命以私人领域的性别平等为核心,生育决策依赖于经济不确定性和父权制模式等传统因素,男性伴侣是主要的经济支柱。“
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引用次数: 0
"Digital Tools in Romanian Higher Education: The Influence of the COVID-19 Pandemic on the Digitalization of Universities" “罗马尼亚高等教育中的数字工具:COVID-19大流行对大学数字化的影响”
IF 1 4区 管理学 Q3 Social Sciences Pub Date : 2023-06-28 DOI: 10.24193/tras.69e.3
Adrian Hudrea, Dorin Spoaller, Nicolae Urs
"The goal of this research is to find out how much digital tools are used in Romanian institutions on a daily basis. These tools can be used for both admin istrative and instructional tasks and processes. Fur thermore, we investigate whether the COVID-19 pan demic aided or hampered the ongoing digitalization process, which had already begun prior to 2020, and whether any online tools implemented in response to lockdowns and a reduction in face-to-face interac tions were kept or abandoned after the restrictions were lifted in the spring of 2022. We conducted in terviews with Chief Information Officers (or compa rable positions) at the top 5 Romanian universities and surveyed 15 of the most important Romanian universities to determine the changes in teaching and administrative procedures brought about by digital technology."
“这项研究的目标是了解罗马尼亚机构每天使用多少数字工具。这些工具既可用于管理,也可用于教学任务和流程。此外,我们还调查新冠肺炎疫情是否有助于或阻碍了2020年之前已经开始的持续数字化进程,以及是否实施了任何在线工具为了应对封锁和面对面交流的减少,在2022年春季取消限制后,面对面交流被保留或放弃。我们与罗马尼亚排名前五的大学的首席信息官(或可竞争职位)进行了交流,并调查了罗马尼亚15所最重要的大学,以确定数字技术带来的教学和行政程序的变化。“
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引用次数: 0
"Could Financial Deepening Be the Solution to the Carbon Emission Problem? Empirical Evidence from CEE Countries" “金融深化能解决碳排放问题吗?来自中东欧国家的经验证据”
IF 1 4区 管理学 Q3 Social Sciences Pub Date : 2023-06-28 DOI: 10.24193/tras.69e.1
Hale Akbulut
"Financial deepening has increased in recent de cades in CEE countries that have transitioned from a centrally planned economy to a market economy. However, its impact on carbon emissions is con troversial. Although the determinants of emissions have been frequently examined in line with the EU’s goal of net zero carbon emissions, the empirical lit erature on the effects of financial deepening is insuf ficient. In that context, this study aims to investigate the impact of financial depth on the level of carbon emissions in CEE counties. A panel threshold regres sion model was carried out for a set of 11 countries, from 1995 to 2018. The main findings confirmed the existence of a double threshold effect. While in the low financial depth regime, financial deepening increases carbon emissions, in the medium regime it reduces them. In the high regime, however, no sta tistically significant effects were observed regarding the effects of the financial deepening. Moreover, emissions are reduced with taxes. None of the countries in the sample has financial depth index value between threshold values, according to the last three years’ averages. The findings argue that financial deepening will not be an adequate solution to reducing emissions and point to the importance of public tax policies."
“近年来,从中央计划经济向市场经济过渡的中东欧国家的金融深化有所增加。然而,它对碳排放的影响是可逆的。尽管排放的决定因素经常根据欧盟的净零碳排放目标进行审查,但金融深化影响的实证研究是不够的。在此背景下,本研究旨在调查财政深度对中东欧国家碳排放水平的影响。从1995年到2018年,对11个国家进行了面板阈值重新划分模型。主要发现证实了双阈值效应的存在。在低金融深度制度下,金融深化会增加碳排放,而在中等制度下,则会减少碳排放。然而,在高级制度中,没有观察到金融深化的影响具有统计学意义的显著影响。此外,通过税收来减少排放。根据过去三年的平均值,样本中没有一个国家的金融深度指数值在阈值之间。研究结果认为,金融深化将不是减少排放的充分解决方案,并指出了公共税收政策的重要性。“
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引用次数: 0
"Strategies that Promote Sustainability of Community Development Projects in Southeast Nigeria" “促进尼日利亚东南部社区发展项目可持续性的战略”
IF 1 4区 管理学 Q3 Social Sciences Pub Date : 2023-02-24 DOI: 10.24193/tras.68e.8
O. Uche, C. N. Uzuegbu, I. Uche
"Project sustainability is a concern for community development practitioners. An aspect of community development is sustainability which implies that benefits derived from executed projects are maintained and continue as long as the project exists. The strong commitment of the local people, leadership and other local resources are needed to resuscitate executed projects in the community. This study explores strategies for promoting the sustainability of community development projects in South east Nigeria. The study adopted cluster and purposive sampling techniques. A total of eight communities from four Local Government Areas (LGAs) from two states in Southeast Nigeria were sampled for the study. The Focus Group Discussions (FGDs) and in-depth interviews (IDIs) served as data collection instruments. The study sample size comprised 88 participants. The information produced for the research was analyzed thematically. Findings showed that while the numerous community development projects in the study areas can account for some developmental interest, they also created opportunities for neglect. To promote the sustainability of community development projects, a holistic approach is crucial and interventions must be indigenous and people-oriented. Also, social workers need to create dialogue forums with community members to help attain the goal of project sustainability. "
“项目可持续性是社区发展从业者关注的问题。社区发展的一个方面是可持续性,这意味着只要项目存在,执行项目所带来的利益就会得到维持和持续。需要当地人民、领导层和其他当地资源的坚定承诺,才能重振社区中执行的项目dy探讨了促进尼日利亚东南部社区发展项目可持续性的战略。该研究采用了聚类和有目的的抽样技术。该研究共对尼日利亚东南部两个州的四个地方政府区的八个社区进行了抽样调查。焦点小组讨论和深入访谈是数据收集工具。研究样本量包括88名参与者。对为研究提供的信息进行了专题分析。研究结果表明,尽管研究领域的众多社区发展项目可以解释一些发展兴趣,但它们也创造了被忽视的机会。为了促进社区发展项目的可持续性,一种全面的方法至关重要,干预措施必须是本土的和以人为本的。此外,社会工作者需要与社区成员建立对话论坛,以帮助实现项目可持续性的目标。“
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引用次数: 0
Income Inequalities and Fiscal Policies. Evidence from EU Member States 收入不平等与财政政策。来自欧盟成员国的证据
IF 1 4区 管理学 Q3 Social Sciences Pub Date : 2023-02-24 DOI: 10.24193/tras.68e.4
M. Onofrei, G. Vintilă, Cosmina-Ștefania Chiricu, Florin Oprea
The main aim of our empirical analysis is to quantify the social impact of fiscal policies on income redistribution throughout the EU Member States on a database of fiscal, social and economic factors. Our research is conducted by using the Gini coefficient as the indicator of income redistribution, as well as the dependent variable, and the following influencing variables: taxes, index of perception of corruption, tax burden, education level, human development index, private property protection, unemployment rate, GDP per capita, private and public expenditure. Hence, by employing both the ‘Least squares’ method and the ‘Generalized Method of Moments’ we have identified significant results which highlight important social and economic development discrepancies throughout the EU Member States, as well as different fiscal policies and legislative frameworks. Moreover, by testing the robustness of the variables, we have identified that taxes exert more negative effects according to the degree of their regressivity. Our results offer strong empirical evidence supporting the idea that beyond designing more balanced fiscal systems (by the use or weight of direct/indirect taxes), public authorities should target the reduction of income inequalities using other instruments and reforms beside the fiscal ones (education, rule of law, legislative systems quality).
我们实证分析的主要目的是在财政、社会和经济因素数据库中量化财政政策对整个欧盟成员国收入再分配的社会影响。我们的研究使用基尼系数作为收入再分配的指标,以及因变量和以下影响变量:税收、腐败感知指数、税负、教育水平、人类发展指数、私人财产保护、失业率、人均GDP、私人和公共支出。因此,通过采用“最小二乘法”和“广义矩量法”,我们发现了显著的结果,这些结果突出了整个欧盟成员国的重要社会和经济发展差异,以及不同的财政政策和立法框架。此外,通过测试变量的稳健性,我们发现税收根据其回归程度产生了更多的负面影响。我们的研究结果提供了强有力的经验证据,支持这样一种观点,即除了设计更平衡的财政系统(通过使用或加权直接税)之外,公共当局还应该利用财政工具和改革(教育、法治、立法系统质量)之外的其他工具和改革来减少收入不平等。
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引用次数: 0
How Inflation is a Policy Nowadays 现在通货膨胀是一项政策吗
IF 1 4区 管理学 Q3 Social Sciences Pub Date : 2023-02-24 DOI: 10.24193/tras.68e.1
Lucian Croitoru
"After World War II, democracies witnessed trans formations that were and are much more lenient vis-à-vis the rise in inflation. The main institutional changes that have occurred gradually ever since and can combine nowadays to fuel inflation refer to (i) the shift in ideas referring to equality and redis tribution, (ii) the labor market policies, (iii) bringing man’s natural environment to the level of impor tance of the social environment, with a particular focus on climate, and (iv) preserving a large capacity of the government to produce inflation in a context in which political power has granted independence to the central bank in terms of monetary policy. We show how features of society listed under items (i)- (iv) had combined to lead to low and stable inflation during 1982-2008, to lower than desired inflation during 2009-2020, and to the high inflation starting with 2021. The inflation-taming efforts succeeded only when three elements acted jointly: (A) raising the interest rate while no longer considering the in flation-unemployment tradeoff, impacting features (ii) and (iv); (B) adjusting budget deficits and stabi lizing fiscal expectations, impacting feature (iv); (C) measures for reviving economic freedom, with an impact on features (i), (ii), and (iii)."
“第二次世界大战后,民主国家出现了对通胀上升过去和现在都更加宽容的转变。从那以后逐渐发生的主要制度变化,如今可能结合起来加剧通胀,指的是(i)平等和再分配观念的转变,(II)劳动力市场政策,(iii)将人类的自然环境提高到社会环境的重要程度,特别关注气候,以及(iv)在政治权力授予中央银行货币政策独立性的背景下,保持政府产生通货膨胀的巨大能力。我们展示了(i)-(iv)项下列出的社会特征是如何结合在一起,导致1982-2008年期间的低通胀和稳定通胀,2009-2020年期间的通胀低于预期,以及从2021年开始的高通胀。只有当三个因素共同作用时,抑制通货膨胀的努力才成功:(A)提高利率,同时不再考虑通货膨胀中的失业权衡,影响特征(ii)和(iv);(B) 调整预算赤字,稳定财政预期,影响特征(四);(C) 恢复经济自由的措施,对特征(i)、(ii)和(iii)产生影响。“
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引用次数: 0
Activation by the ‘Magic Wand’ – Does it Work? 通过“魔杖”激活——有效吗?
IF 1 4区 管理学 Q3 Social Sciences Pub Date : 2023-02-24 DOI: 10.24193/tras.68e.9
Matija Vodopivec, Milan Vodopivec, S. Laporšek
Can activation programs be considered a ‘magic wand’ that triggers a change of incentives, with little or no costs, and produces real gains in terms of improved job-finding rates? The paper reviews the literature on the experience of OECD countries with such programs in five areas: strengthening job-search requirements, compulsory participation in active labor market programs, stricter monitoring, and imposing sanctions. Programs are judged in terms of duration of unemployment, probability of finding a job, and post-unemployment outcomes such as the level of wages and quality of jobs. Our review finds strong evidence that activation programs can increase the job-finding rates of individuals receiving unemployment or social assistance benefits. At the same time, it cautions that programs may have adverse side effects, ranging from increased exits into inactivity to lower quality of post-unemployment jobs, as well as negative indirect effects on the job prospects of non-participants.
激活计划是否可以被视为一根“魔法棒”,在很少或没有成本的情况下触发激励机制的变化,并在提高就业率方面产生实际收益?本文从五个方面回顾了经合组织国家实施此类计划的经验:加强求职要求、强制参与积极的劳动力市场计划、更严格的监督和实施制裁。根据失业持续时间、找到工作的可能性以及失业后的结果(如工资水平和工作质量)来判断项目。我们的研究发现强有力的证据表明,激活计划可以提高接受失业或社会援助福利的个人的就业率。与此同时,报告警告说,这些项目可能会产生不利的副作用,从退出人数增加到不活跃到失业后工作质量下降,以及对未参与的就业前景产生负面的间接影响。
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引用次数: 0
"How Did Local Governments Recover Their Financial Condition? Lessons from Citizen Participation" “地方政府是如何恢复财政状况的?公民参与的经验教训”
IF 1 4区 管理学 Q3 Social Sciences Pub Date : 2023-02-24 DOI: 10.24193/tras.68e.6
Ji Hyung Park
This study offers lessons for overcoming future economic crises by examining whether democratic management helped local governments recover their financial condition. During the Great Recession, local governments were forced to make painful decisions regarding increased taxes and user charges, and cuts in public services. Several case studies provide evidence that citizen participation allows localities to increase property taxes as well as cut public services. However, broader, systematic empirical research is lacking. This study found that local governments with participatory budgeting were more likely to improve their financial condition during the Great Recession. The results allow us to identify the role of citizens in fiscal decision-making, offering lessons on how local governments can overcome possible fiscal crises in the future.
这项研究通过考察民主管理是否有助于地方政府恢复财政状况,为克服未来的经济危机提供了经验教训。在大衰退期间,地方政府被迫就增加税收和用户收费以及削减公共服务做出痛苦的决定。一些案例研究提供了证据,证明公民的参与使地方能够提高财产税并削减公共服务。然而,缺乏更广泛、系统的实证研究。这项研究发现,在大衰退期间,参与式预算的地方政府更有可能改善其财政状况。研究结果使我们能够确定公民在财政决策中的作用,为地方政府如何克服未来可能发生的财政危机提供经验教训。
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引用次数: 0
Administrative and Technological Innovation: The Indirect Effects of Organizational Culture and Leadership 行政与技术创新:组织文化与领导的间接影响
IF 1 4区 管理学 Q3 Social Sciences Pub Date : 2023-02-24 DOI: 10.24193/tras.68e.3
Hakyeon Lee, J. S. Butler, Joowon Jeong
"Administrative innovation is defined as changes to the rules and structures that characterize the communication methods and work of employees within an organization, and technological innovation refers to the implementation of programs and services. This study examines the relationship between administrative and technological innovation using two environmental factors, namely leadership and organizational culture, as indirect variables. Using structural equation modeling on a 2015 Korea Institute of Public Administration survey, this study finds that there are no direct effects between administrative innovation and technological innovation. However, results indicate that a strong organizational culture positively affects the relationship between administrative and technological innovation, and leadership in an organization plays a similar role to that of organizational culture. These findings suggest that changing the rules of are organization alone is not enough to lead to technological innovation, which must be supported by a strong culture and leadership. "
“行政创新被定义为改变组织内员工沟通方法和工作的规则和结构,技术创新指的是项目和服务的实施。本研究以领导与组织文化两个环境因素作为间接变量,探讨行政与技术创新的关系。利用结构方程模型对2015年韩国行政研究院的调查结果进行分析,发现行政创新与技术创新之间不存在直接影响。然而,研究结果表明,强大的组织文化正向影响管理创新与技术创新的关系,并且组织中的领导与组织文化具有相似的作用。这些发现表明,仅仅改变组织的规则不足以导致技术创新,技术创新必须得到强大的文化和领导力的支持。”
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引用次数: 0
Quality Evaluation of E-Government Services – The Case of Albania 电子政务服务质量评估——以阿尔巴尼亚为例
IF 1 4区 管理学 Q3 Social Sciences Pub Date : 2023-02-24 DOI: 10.24193/tras.68e.2
R. Keco, Ilir Tomorri, Kejsi Tomorri
"Albania has passed a period of three decades in the shift from a centralized to a market economy. In this context, the public sector is confronted by structural changes at the institutional level and the extension and improvement of public services. Electronic services’ quality is a critical issue for the failure or success of e-government objectives. It promotes government efficiency and effectiveness, citizen engagement, and satisfaction. The trend to use electronic services in Albania is similarly driven by efforts to reduce public sector corruption, improve service performance, and reduce costs. The goal of this paper is to evaluate the citizen’s perception of the importance and the quality of e-services provision by the e-Albania gateway, as well as obstacles and challenges of the future. Based on the main types of services provided by the e-Albania platform, twelve indicators were considered. The survey took place in Albania (Tirana region), wherein 190 questionnaires are applied. The main reason for this selection is that Tirana is the largest region of the country, with about 50% of the population concentration and the highest number of users of the government electronic platform. The variables used are qualitative variables and were measured according to the Likert scale (1–5 estimation, from 1–strongly disagree to 5–strongly agree). Each of the main variables is explained and measured through the evaluation of three to five explanatory questions. Through the SPSS program, cluster analysis was used to evaluate the main variables. By analyzing the collected data, it turns out that there is an obvious increase in the number of public services offered, as well as the perception of citizens for the e-services provided by the government platform."
“阿尔巴尼亚已经度过了从中央集权经济向市场经济转变的三十年。在这种情况下,公共部门面临着体制层面的结构变化以及公共服务的扩展和改进。电子服务的质量是电子政务目标成败的关键问题。它提高了政府的效率和效果积极性、公民参与度和满意度。阿尔巴尼亚使用电子服务的趋势同样受到减少公共部门腐败、提高服务绩效和降低成本的努力的推动。本文的目标是评估公民对电子阿尔巴尼亚门户提供电子服务的重要性和质量的看法,以及未来的障碍和挑战。根据电子阿尔巴尼亚平台提供的主要服务类型,审议了12项指标。调查在阿尔巴尼亚(地拉那地区)进行,共使用190份问卷。之所以选择地拉那,主要是因为地拉那是该国最大的地区,人口集中度约为50%,也是政府电子平台用户数量最多的地区。使用的变量是定性变量,并根据Likert量表进行测量(1-5估计,从1-强烈不同意到5-强烈同意)。每一个主要变量都是通过对三到五个解释性问题的评估来解释和衡量的。通过SPSS软件对主要变量进行聚类分析。通过分析收集的数据,发现提供的公共服务数量明显增加,公民对政府平台提供的电子服务的感知也明显增加。“
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引用次数: 0
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Transylvanian Review of Administrative Sciences
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