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A Middle East space race? Motivations, trajectories, and regional politics 中东太空竞赛?动机、轨迹和地区政治
IF 2 4区 社会学 Q2 INTERNATIONAL RELATIONS Pub Date : 2024-08-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.spacepol.2023.101608
Lawrence Rubin
In recent years, the Middle East has witnessed a tremendous growth in commercial, civil, and military space activities. For a region known for ethno-religious conflict and vast energy resources, what has motivated the birth and growth of these programs? To what extent do regional politics shape the development and trajectory of space programs? Is there a Middle East space race? This paper surveys the development of the Israeli, Egyptian, and the Emirati space programs to illustrate the extent to which the trajectories of their space programs are related to regional politics. These cases illustrate how a variety of regional political considerations related to security, prestige and economic development have and may continue to shape their space programs. For example, Israel developed its space program for national security reasons and focused its efforts on intelligence and reconnaissance. It has become a world leader in small-satellites because geopolitical realties have forced them to focus on less efficient launches with smaller payloads. Egypt established its program for economic development and to acquire status by claiming leadership in its peer-group of African nations. The U.A.E.’s ambitions in space are motivated by a vital need for economic diversification, driven by large-scale development plans, and by a desire to acquire prestige. This prestige is associated with space leadership at the regional as well as the international level, which Emiratis hope will inspire a STEM oriented, knowledge-based economy.
近年来,中东见证了商业、民用和军事空间活动的巨大增长。对于一个以民族宗教冲突和丰富的能源资源而闻名的地区,是什么推动了这些项目的诞生和发展?区域政治在多大程度上影响了太空计划的发展和轨迹?中东有太空竞赛吗?本文调查了以色列、埃及和阿联酋空间计划的发展,以说明其空间计划的轨迹与区域政治相关的程度。这些案例表明,与安全、声望和经济发展有关的各种区域政治考虑已经并可能继续影响它们的空间计划。例如,以色列出于国家安全的考虑发展了太空计划,并把精力集中在情报和侦察上。中国已经成为小型卫星领域的世界领先者,因为地缘政治现实迫使他们专注于效率较低、有效载荷较小的发射。埃及制定了自己的经济发展计划,并通过声称自己在非洲国家中的领导地位来获得地位。阿联酋在太空的雄心壮志是由经济多样化的迫切需求、大规模发展计划和获得声望的愿望所驱动的。这种声望与在区域和国际层面的空间领导地位有关,阿联酋希望这将激发以STEM为导向的知识经济。
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引用次数: 0
The transformation of India's space policy: From space for development to the pursuit of security and prestige 印度太空政策的转变:从太空促进发展到追求安全与声誉
IF 2 4区 社会学 Q2 INTERNATIONAL RELATIONS Pub Date : 2024-08-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.spacepol.2024.101633
Rajeswari Pillai Rajagopalan , Dimitrios Stroikos
This article explores the transformation of India's space policy from a focus on space for development to the pursuit of security and prestige. India's early space programme was largely defined by a developmental rationale, aimed at addressing socio-economic challenges through space technology and applications. However, in recent years, India's space policy has undergone a significant change, as the country tries to leverage its space capabilities for strategic objectives, including enhancing its national security, achieving greater status in the global space order, and projecting its great power aspirations. This article offers a comprehensive overview of India's space programme by highlighting the country's high-profile exploration projects, the involvement of the private sector, and the use of space technology as a foreign policy tool and a source of soft power. It also analyses changing perceptions of the country's strategic environment and evolving geopolitical dynamics that have resulted in a reorientation towards the military uses of space. It also assesses the implications of this transformation for India's space programme, its relations with other space actors, and the global governance of outer space.
本文探讨了印度空间政策从注重空间发展到追求安全和声望的转变。印度早期的空间方案在很大程度上是根据发展的理由确定的,旨在通过空间技术和应用解决社会经济挑战。然而,近年来,印度的太空政策发生了重大变化,因为该国试图利用其太空能力实现战略目标,包括加强国家安全,在全球太空秩序中获得更大的地位,并投射其大国愿望。本文通过突出印度备受瞩目的探索项目、私营部门的参与以及将空间技术用作外交政策工具和软实力来源,对印度的太空计划进行了全面概述。它还分析了对国家战略环境的不断变化的看法和不断演变的地缘政治动态,这些因素导致了对空间军事用途的重新定位。报告还评估了这一转变对印度空间方案、印度与其他空间行为体的关系以及外层空间的全球治理的影响。
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引用次数: 0
A cosmopolitan approach to international law (CAIL) reflection on the space development experience of Africa 国际主义的国际法方法(CAIL)对非洲空间发展经验的反思
IF 2 4区 社会学 Q2 INTERNATIONAL RELATIONS Pub Date : 2024-08-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.spacepol.2024.101638
Timiebi Aganaba
Space power theory from the realist school states that the proliferation of space technology is a foe rather than a friend because it contributes to military and economic competition; and, above all, it empowers the exercise of threat of force in, through and from Outer Space. It is thus important to examine questions of justice in one's professional field and locate the analysis of one's practice within wider social, economic, and political context. While law is not justice and simply announces the form of justice sought, the approach taken in this paper is more precisely the lived experience or mental processes of consciousness and its aim begins a conversation to investigate this in a rigorous way. The cognitive act that characterizes the phenomenological reflection is “paying attention.” Therefore, this reflection contemplates the relevance of experience and reflective practice as a valuable methodology for using insights and learning from the past to support the assessment of the present and recommendations for the future. This is applied in the case of over 17 years of personal experience in following the development path of African space programs. The paper concludes that the African case confirms that multi-level governance is an approach that is of importance, and Africa is in a unique position to master this as stakeholders must think about how to engage in space development at all 4 levels: the global, regional, national, and local level.
现实主义学派的空间力量理论指出,空间技术的扩散是敌人而不是朋友,因为它有助于军事和经济竞争;最重要的是,它赋予了在外层空间、通过外层空间和从外层空间行使武力威胁的权力。因此,在一个人的专业领域审视正义问题,并在更广泛的社会、经济和政治背景下对一个人的实践进行分析,是很重要的。虽然法律不是正义,只是宣布寻求正义的形式,但本文采用的方法更准确地说是生活经验或意识的心理过程,其目的是开始一场对话,以一种严格的方式来调查这一点。表征现象学反思的认知行为是“注意”。因此,这一反思考虑了经验和反思实践的相关性,将其作为一种有价值的方法,利用过去的见解和学习来支持对当前的评估和对未来的建议。这适用于我在遵循非洲空间方案发展道路方面超过17年的个人经验。该论文的结论是,非洲的案例证实了多层次治理是一种重要的方法,非洲处于独特的地位,可以掌握这一方法,因为利益相关者必须考虑如何在全球、区域、国家和地方四个层面参与空间开发。
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引用次数: 0
Japan in the New Lunar Space Race 新月球太空竞赛中的日本
IF 2 4区 社会学 Q2 INTERNATIONAL RELATIONS Pub Date : 2024-08-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.spacepol.2023.101577
Saadia M. Pekkanen , Setsuko Aoki , Yumiko Takatori
The United States and China draw the most attention in the new lunar space race. But other spacefaring countries are also important to its peaceful evolution. In this paper, we focus on the activities of one of the world's preeminent space powers, which remains underappreciated in academic and policy circles concerned with the lunar landscape—Japan. We provide an overview of Japan's changed law and policy context and illuminate the historical, international, and institutional trajectories that are positioning Japan's role in the unfolding competition over celestial bodies. We conclude with the broader significance of Japan's activities for prosperity, stability, and leadership in the international space order.
在新一轮的月球太空竞赛中,美国和中国最受关注。但其他航天国家对其和平发展也很重要。在本文中,我们关注的是世界上最杰出的太空大国之一的活动,在与月球景观有关的学术和政策圈中,日本仍然没有得到充分的重视。我们概述了日本变化的法律和政策背景,并阐明了日本在天体竞争中定位角色的历史、国际和制度轨迹。最后,我们认为日本的活动对国际空间秩序的繁荣、稳定和领导具有更广泛的意义。
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引用次数: 0
The Importance of ALCE's Role as a Political Actor Rather Than a Coordinator of Regional Space Activities ALCE作为政治行动者而不是区域空间活动协调员的重要性
IF 2 4区 社会学 Q2 INTERNATIONAL RELATIONS Pub Date : 2024-08-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.spacepol.2023.101578
Sandra Cabrera Alvarado
The Latin American and Caribbean Space Agency (ALCE) was formally created in 2020 with the ALCE Agreement signed by 19 countries from the region. ALCE can be considered a major step towards regional integration in the space sector, driven by its members' political willingness. Nevertheless, the integration process does not finish with the signature of the agreement; it's just the start. There are many levels of integration based on previous regional integration case studies such as Asia's Asia-Pacific Space Cooperation Organization (APSCO), African Space Agency (ASA), and most notably the most advanced European Union/European Space Agency (ESA) case. As ALCE is starting to construct a regional space ambition, the timing demands from its members how far in the integration process they want to go. From an intergovernmental organisation that only decides on cooperative technical space activities to a fullyintegrated organisation with its own regulatory framework enacting a regional space policy and a regional space programme.
Based on the ALCE Agreement, the organisation seems to have only a cooperative role as an intermediary that fosters technical cooperation without political power. This article claims that instead ALCE should go further and seek progressively full integration by shaping a coherent regional space policy by providing the organisation with the political capacity to shape a regional space policy and space programme that addresses the needs of the region in the short-term future.
The article presents, firstly, the political willingness of the two forerunners of the region, Mexico and Argentina, to shape regional integration and an overview of space activities in the region. Secondly, APSCO, ASA and Europe integration/ESA cases are introduced to understand levels of integration for ALCE. Thirdly, it is explained that ALCE's benefits of higher integration, notably spillovers and current regional space activities, will make sure Latin America catches up in the next phase of global space activity.
拉丁美洲和加勒比航天局(ALCE)于2020年正式成立,该地区19个国家签署了《ALCE协议》。在其成员的政治意愿的推动下,外空会议可被视为朝着空间部门区域一体化迈出的重要一步。然而,一体化进程并没有随着协议的签署而结束;这仅仅是个开始。基于以前的区域一体化案例研究,如亚洲的亚太空间合作组织(APSCO)、非洲航天局(ASA),以及最值得注意的最先进的欧洲联盟/欧洲航天局(ESA)案例,有许多层次的一体化。随着ALCE开始构建区域空间雄心,其成员希望在整合过程中走多远取决于时机。从一个只决定合作技术空间活动的政府间组织转变为一个完全一体化的组织,拥有自己的管理框架,制定区域空间政策和区域空间方案。基于ALCE协议,该组织似乎只有一个合作的角色,作为一个中介,促进技术合作,没有政治权力。这篇文章声称,相反,ALCE应该更进一步,通过为该组织提供政治能力,制定一项连贯的区域空间政策和空间方案,以解决该地区在短期内的需求,从而寻求逐步充分的一体化。本文首先介绍了该区域的两个先行者,墨西哥和阿根廷,对区域一体化的政治意愿,并概述了该区域的空间活动。其次,介绍了APSCO、ASA和欧洲一体化/欧空局案例,以了解ALCE的一体化水平。第三,报告解释说,拉丁美洲空间活动的高度一体化的好处,特别是溢出效应和目前的区域空间活动,将确保拉丁美洲在全球空间活动的下一阶段迎头赶上。
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引用次数: 0
Finding space for the European Space Agency 为欧洲航天局寻找空间
IF 2 4区 社会学 Q2 INTERNATIONAL RELATIONS Pub Date : 2024-08-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.spacepol.2024.101637
Sarah Lieberman , Thomas Hoerber
Europe has an interesting history on space policy, drawing on varied agencies through which to pursue its space ambitions since the end of WWII. The best known, and until recently most important, of these is the European Space Agency (ESA), an intergovernmental non-EU institution which oversaw the development of Galileo, Copernicus and EGNOS. Since 2021, a second agency, The European Union Agency for the Space Programme (EUSPA), has been in place, taking over the running of the EU’s space Programmes and flagship constellations from the GSA in Prague. This paper discusses the potential future of Europe's institutions for space, and critically analyses Thomas Hoerber's 2022 suggestion that ESA should become a Space University Institute.
欧洲在太空政策方面有一段有趣的历史,二战结束以来,欧洲利用不同的机构来实现其太空野心。其中最著名的,也是最近最重要的,是欧洲航天局(ESA),一个非欧盟的政府间机构,负责监督伽利略、哥白尼和EGNOS的发展。自2021年以来,第二个机构——欧盟空间计划局(EUSPA)已经成立,从布拉格的GSA手中接管了欧盟空间计划和旗舰星座的运营。本文讨论了欧洲空间机构的潜在未来,并批判性地分析了托马斯·霍伯(Thomas Hoerber)在2022年提出的欧空局应该成为太空大学研究所的建议。
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引用次数: 0
U.S. Strategic Interest in the Moon: An Assessment of Economic, National Security, and Geopolitical Drivers 美国在月球的战略利益:对经济、国家安全和地缘政治驱动因素的评估
IF 2 4区 社会学 Q2 INTERNATIONAL RELATIONS Pub Date : 2024-08-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.spacepol.2023.101548
Mariel Borowitz , Althea Noonan , Reem El Ghazal
Since the 1980s, U.S. leaders have repeatedly directed the United States to return to the Moon, yet in each case, efforts were canceled within a few years of being announced. However, with the Artemis Program, for the first time in 30 years, a plan to return to the Moon has been endorsed by two successive presidential administrations. Today, interest in the Moon extends beyond the traditional scientific and inspirational motivations associated with the National Aeronautics and Space Administration’s exploration plans, with military, commercial, and international entities articulating corresponding, and sometimes independent, lunar goals. Some government leaders have argued that the return to the Moon has become a strategic interest for the United States. This paper investigates this claim, examining the economic, national security, and geopolitical drivers underlying U.S. lunar ambitions. We find that while rhetoric on the economic and national security importance of cislunar exploration and development is often overstated, there are some legitimate reasons for interest within these sectors. There are also strong geopolitical drivers for cislunar exploration and development.
自20世纪80年代以来,美国领导人多次指示美国重返月球,但每次都在宣布后的几年内被取消。然而,随着“阿尔忒弥斯计划”,30年来首次出现了连续两届总统政府批准的重返月球计划。如今,人们对月球的兴趣已经超越了与美国国家航空航天局探索计划相关的传统科学和鼓舞人心的动机,军事、商业和国际实体都在阐明相应的、有时是独立的月球目标。一些政府领导人认为,重返月球已经成为美国的战略利益。本文调查了这一说法,研究了美国月球野心背后的经济、国家安全和地缘政治驱动因素。我们发现,虽然关于月球探索和开发对经济和国家安全的重要性的言论经常被夸大,但这些部门内部也有一些合理的理由。月球探索和开发也有强大的地缘政治驱动因素。
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引用次数: 0
China's branding problem: Image management and the US-China space relationship 中国的品牌问题:形象管理与中美太空关系
IF 2 4区 社会学 Q2 INTERNATIONAL RELATIONS Pub Date : 2024-08-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.spacepol.2023.101598
R. Lincoln Hines
What image does China attempt to convey about its space program? And how is its program perceived in the United States? This article argues that as a rising power, China seeks to project a benign image to reassure dominant powers such as the United States of its intentions on Earth and in space. However, Chinese attempts at reassuring the United States have been largely unsuccessful. Factors such as China’s autocratic political system, military-dominated space sector, and bureaucratic politics undermine its image management strategies and ability to reassure. More broadly, China’s growing space ambitions are occurring against the backdrop of an increasingly deteriorating bilateral relationship with the United States. Taken together, these dynamics are exacerbating security dilemma dynamics between the two powers, which may have increasingly dire consequences for stability and governance of the space domain.
关于中国的太空计划,中国试图传达什么样的形象?它的项目在美国是如何被理解的?本文认为,作为一个正在崛起的大国,中国试图树立一个良好的形象,让美国等主导大国放心,中国在地球和太空的意图。然而,中国安抚美国的努力基本上是不成功的。中国的专制政治体制、军事主导的航天部门和官僚政治等因素削弱了其形象管理策略和安抚能力。更广泛地说,中国日益增长的太空野心是在与美国双边关系日益恶化的背景下发生的。总之,这些动态正在加剧两个大国之间的安全困境动态,这可能对太空领域的稳定和治理产生越来越严重的后果。
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引用次数: 0
Reprint of Introduction to the special issue on international space politics 国际空间政治特刊导言再版
IF 2 4区 社会学 Q2 INTERNATIONAL RELATIONS Pub Date : 2024-08-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.spacepol.2024.101656
Thomas Hoerber
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引用次数: 0
Russia in Outer Space: A Shrinking Space Power in the Era of Global Change 外太空中的俄罗斯:全球变化时代日益萎缩的太空大国
IF 2 4区 社会学 Q2 INTERNATIONAL RELATIONS Pub Date : 2024-08-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.spacepol.2023.101579
Florian Vidal , Roman Privalov
Since 2014, the Russian space sector has handled institutional rearrangement and external economic pressure. On the one hand, the establishment of the State Space Corporation Roscosmos intended to renovate a critical segment and save an industry that is one of the jewels of the Soviet legacy. On the other hand, the Russian annexation of Crimea triggered waves of financial and economic sanctions that crippled the country's access to space technologies and broader international cooperation in outer space. As a result of the dynamic, the Russian space program has been in a grey zone in recent years. On the eve of the war in Ukraine, the Russian government made a strategic choice for total decoupling from Western countries. The Russian decision stresses a trajectory already taken where space activities are increasingly becoming an instrument of deterrence. The military dimension increasingly defines the Russian space program, while LEO becomes an area for confrontation. To circumvent complete isolation in the international arena, Russia will attempt to maintain vigorous diplomatic actions to curb the technology desert and maintain vital space activities in the foreseeable future. Hence, this article aims to identify available tools that Russia may use to envision a new strategy in outer space. Considering the rupture between the West and Russia, we describe the long-term effects on the space industry. We finally highlight potential alternative cooperations that may allow Russia to build its space diplomacy around a network of peripheral states while the partnership with China remains restricted.
自2014年以来,俄罗斯航天部门应对了机构重组和外部经济压力。一方面,俄罗斯国家航天公司(Roscosmos)的成立旨在革新一个关键环节,拯救一个作为苏联遗产瑰宝之一的行业。另一方面,俄罗斯吞并克里米亚引发了一波又一波的金融和经济制裁,使俄罗斯无法获得空间技术,也无法在外层空间开展更广泛的国际合作。由于这种动态,俄罗斯的太空计划近年来一直处于灰色地带。在乌克兰战争前夕,俄罗斯政府做出了与西方国家全面脱钩的战略选择。俄罗斯的决定强调了已经采取的轨道,即空间活动日益成为威慑工具。军事层面越来越多地决定了俄罗斯的太空计划,而近地轨道成为一个对抗的领域。为了避免在国际舞台上完全孤立,俄罗斯将努力保持积极的外交行动,以遏制技术沙漠,并在可预见的未来维持重要的空间活动。因此,本文旨在确定俄罗斯可能用来设想外层空间新战略的可用工具。考虑到西方和俄罗斯之间的破裂,我们描述了对航天工业的长期影响。我们最后强调了潜在的替代合作,这可能使俄罗斯在与中国的伙伴关系仍然受到限制的情况下,围绕外围国家网络建立其太空外交。
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引用次数: 0
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Space Policy
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