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Urban industrial land misallocation and green total factor productivity: Evidence from China's Yellow River Basin regions 城市工业用地错配与绿色全要素生产率:来自中国黄河流域地区的证据
IF 1.2 4区 经济学 Q3 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2024-04-24 DOI: 10.1111/1467-8454.12359
Lei Nie, Zhenzhen Ren, Yanrui Wu, Qizhou Luo

This study aims to investigate the repercussions of urban industrial land misallocation on green total factor productivity (GTFP) within the context of China's Yellow River Basin regions. Utilising data from 99 prefecture-level cities over the period from 2007 to 2020, the analysis reveals that the misallocation of urban industrial land exhibits regional variations and exerts a significant and persistent negative influence on GTFP, with notable regional disparities. Further analysis shows the mechanism of this effect is the obstacle to urban innovation due to industrial land misallocation. In addition, education expenditure plays a moderating role both directly and indirectly. These findings imply the need to continuously improve the performance evaluation and financial system of local governments, reduce government intervention, and make use of the market mechanism in the allocation of urban industrial land.

本研究旨在探讨中国黄河流域地区城市工业用地错配对绿色全要素生产率(GTFP)的影响。利用 2007 年至 2020 年 99 个地级市的数据,分析表明城市工业用地配置失衡表现出区域差异,并对全要素生产率产生显著且持续的负面影响,区域差异明显。进一步分析表明,这种影响的机制是工业用地配置不当导致的城市创新障碍。此外,教育支出也起到了直接和间接的调节作用。这些研究结果表明,需要不断完善地方政府的绩效评估和财政制度,减少政府干预,并在城市工业用地的分配中利用市场机制。
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引用次数: 0
5A accreditation of tourist attractions in China and international tourist arrivals: A system generalised method of moments approach 5 中国旅游景点和国际游客人数的认证:系统广义矩方法
IF 1.2 4区 经济学 Q3 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2024-04-23 DOI: 10.1111/1467-8454.12349
Honghong Wei, Mingming Cheng, Li Huang

While international accreditations for tourist attractions have been extensively examined, the impact of nationally developed accreditations has been less systematically investigated. Employing the system generalised method of moments approach, this study investigates the relationship between 5A tourist attractions, based on China's accreditation system, and international tourist arrivals in China, using annual city-level panel data spanning from 2002 to 2017. The empirical results suggest that the 5A accreditation has a significantly positive effect on international tourists' arrivals. Furthermore, our findings indicate that the 5A accreditation has a substantial impact on the number of international tourists visiting lesser-known cities. Moreover, the study reveals that international tourists from different countries respond differently to cultural and natural sites. This research provides valuable insights into tourism development strategies for local governments and tourist attractions.

虽然国际旅游景点认证已被广泛研究,但对国内开发的旅游景点认证的影响却鲜有系统研究。本研究采用系统广义矩方法,利用 2002 年至 2017 年的年度城市级面板数据,研究了基于中国认证体系的 5A 级旅游景区与中国国际游客到访量之间的关系。实证结果表明,5A 级旅游景区对国际游客入境人数有显著的正向影响。此外,我们的研究结果表明,5A 认证对国际游客访问知名度较低城市的数量有很大影响。此外,研究还揭示了来自不同国家的国际游客对文化和自然景点的不同反应。这项研究为地方政府和旅游景点的旅游发展战略提供了宝贵的见解。
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引用次数: 0
Tackling barriers to (beneficial) housing mobility 消除(有益的)住房流动性障碍
IF 1.2 4区 经济学 Q3 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2024-04-17 DOI: 10.1111/1467-8454.12355
Andrew Barker, Aaron Korczak-Krzeczowski

Housing mobility can provide welfare benefits to households who move to more suitable housing, while also enabling productivity gains through better matching of skills to jobs. Compared with other developed countries, Australians regularly move home, but rarely do so for work. Tenure security for private renters is low and in stark contrast to the United States, Australian renters are more likely to be forced to move by their landlord than choose to move for work. Reforms are recommended to level the playing field, by removing landlords' capacity to evict tenants without due cause and enabling greater entry of institutional investors into the housing market. Opportunities to reduce barriers to moving for owner–occupiers are identified: stamp duties could be replaced with less distortionary forms of taxation and exclusion of the family home in pension asset testing should be reviewed, as this exclusion discourages downsizing where doing so would reduce pension income.

住房流动性可以为搬到更合适住房的家庭带来福利,同时还能通过更好地实现技能与工作的匹配来提高生产率。与其他发达国家相比,澳大利亚人经常搬家,但很少为了工作而搬家。私人租房者的租房保障很低,与美国形成鲜明对比的是,澳大利亚租房者更有可能被房东强迫搬家,而不是因为工作而选择搬家。建议进行改革,取消房东在没有正当理由的情况下驱逐租户的权力,让机构投资者更多地进入住房市场,从而创造公平的竞争环境。还指出了减少自住者搬迁障碍的机会:可以用扭曲程度较低的税收形式取代印花税,并应审查养老金资产测试中排除家庭住房的做法,因为这种排除做法会在减少养老金收入的情况下阻碍缩小规模。
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引用次数: 0
Australian first home ownership assistance schemes: International comparison and assessment 澳大利亚首次置业援助计划:国际比较与评估
IF 1.2 4区 经济学 Q3 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2024-04-15 DOI: 10.1111/1467-8454.12357
Chris Martin, Hal Pawson

Australia, like most developed countries, has promoted homeownership as an express housing policy goal for many decades. Domestically and internationally, recent years have seen growing efforts to enhance access to owner-occupation for prospective first home buyers (FHBs). FHB assistance takes many forms. Presenting a new typology of such measures, our multi-method study investigates current approaches in Australia and in seven high-income comparator countries. Australia stands out for its modern emphasis on demand-side assistance (e.g., grants and tax concessions), rather than supply-side measures (e.g., government-developed housing for low-cost sale). Lately, several Australian governments (federal and state) have diversified approaches to FHB assistance, particularly via shared equity and low-deposit mortgage schemes, taking cues from international practice. While more administratively demanding, these types of assistance are considered attractive because they require little outlay or operate on a ‘revolving fund’ basis, with government potentially sharing capital gains. However, they potentially place governments even more among housing's ‘insiders’, with a material interest in continually rising prices.

澳大利亚与大多数发达国家一样,几十年来一直把促进自置居所作为住房政策的明确目标。无论是在国内还是在国际上,近年来都在不断加大力度,为潜在的首次购房者(FHBs)提供更多的自住机会。对首次购房者的援助有多种形式。我们的这项多方法研究对澳大利亚和七个高收入参照国的现行方法进行了调查,提出了此类措施的新类型。澳大利亚的突出特点是,它在现代强调需求方援助(如补助金和税收优惠),而不是供应方措施(如政府开发的廉价销售住房)。最近,澳大利亚一些政府(联邦和州政府)借鉴国际惯例,对家庭住房援助采取了多样化的方法,特别是通过共有产权和低存款抵押计划。这些援助方式虽然在行政管理上要求较高,但却被认为很有吸引力,因为它们只需要很少的支出,或在 "循环基金 "的基础上运作,政府有可能分享资本收益。然而,它们可能会使政府成为住房的 "内部人",对持续上涨的房价有实质性的利益。
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引用次数: 0
Planning deregulation: What if land markets are monopolies? 放松规划管制:如果土地市场是垄断的怎么办?
IF 1.2 4区 经济学 Q3 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2024-03-20 DOI: 10.1111/1467-8454.12341
Emily Sims, Jesse Hermans

Upzoning and land-use reform are widely discussed as a way to improve housing supply and affordability. However, some literature contests this view and leads to apparent contradictions. We consider the theoretical frameworks and literature underpinning these divergent views in the hopes to establish mutual coherence, as well as questions for further research and the nascent but growing literature of empirical studies that could evaluate them.

作为改善住房供应和可负担性的一种方式,分区规划和土地使用改革被广泛讨论。然而,一些文献对这一观点提出了质疑,并导致了明显的矛盾。我们对支撑这些不同观点的理论框架和文献进行了研究,希望能够建立起相互的一致性,并提出了进一步研究的问题,以及可以对其进行评估的新兴但不断增长的实证研究文献。
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引用次数: 0
State capacity, tax evasion, and wage inequality 国家能力、逃税和工资不平等
IF 1.2 4区 经济学 Q3 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2024-03-11 DOI: 10.1111/1467-8454.12342
Jiancai Pi, Xinyi Liu

This paper explores how state capacity in the sense of controlling tax evasion affects wage inequality through constructing several general equilibrium models. We analyse six types of redistribution in urban areas, and find that effect variations in urban wage inequality arise depending on the specific recipients of redistribution. Notably, under redistribution to urban unskilled labour, changes in wage inequality will depend on the capital intensity of the urban skilled sector when state capacity increases.

本文通过构建几个一般均衡模型,探讨国家在控制逃税方面的能力如何影响工资不平等。我们分析了城市地区的六种再分配方式,发现城市工资不平等的效应变化取决于再分配的具体对象。值得注意的是,在对城市非熟练劳动力进行再分配的情况下,当国家能力增加时,工资不平等的变化将取决于城市熟练部门的资本密集度。
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引用次数: 0
Hiding the elephant: The tragedy of COVID policy and its economist apologists 隐藏大象:COVID 政策及其经济学家辩护士的悲剧
IF 1.9 4区 经济学 Q3 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2024-03-06 DOI: 10.1111/1467-8454.12293
Gigi Foster, Paul Frijters

In 2020 and 2021, the world witnessed policies that caused enormous net damage to most countries. We demonstrate the usefulness of the new WELLBY currency in gauging the costs and benefits of COVID policies and review the contributions of Australian economists to the scholarly and public debates about these policies. Our analysis documents the value of what was destroyed, the weak resistance mounted by the Australian economics profession during this period, and the role played by many Australian economists as apologists for what we view as Australia's most catastrophic peacetime economic policy failure. We close with ideas for working towards a better future.

2020 年和 2021 年,世界目睹了对大多数国家造成巨大净损失的政策。我们展示了新 WELLBY 货币在衡量 COVID 政策的成本和收益方面的实用性,并回顾了澳大利亚经济学家在有关这些政策的学术和公共辩论中所做的贡献。我们的分析记录了被破坏的东西的价值、澳大利亚经济学界在此期间发起的微弱抵抗,以及许多澳大利亚经济学家为我们所认为的澳大利亚和平时期最灾难性的经济政策失败辩护所扮演的角色。最后,我们提出了努力创造更美好未来的想法。
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引用次数: 0
Introduction to special issue: The economics of catastrophes 特刊导言:灾难经济学
IF 1.9 4区 经济学 Q3 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2024-03-06 DOI: 10.1111/1467-8454.12333
Markus Brueckner
<p>According to the Online Etymology Dictionary, the word <i>catastrophe</i> can be traced back to the 1530s when its meaning was ‘reversal of what is expected’ (especially a fatal turning point in a drama, the winding up of the plot)—from Latin <i>catastropha</i>, from Greek <i>katastrophē</i> ‘an overturning; a sudden end’. In contemporary macroeconomic textbooks, the reader will be familiar with the term ‘adverse (or negative) shocks’. Adverse shocks are those events that are unpredictable, that is, cannot be forecasted, and that negatively affect GDP, or its components. Adverse shocks are probably what is most closely related to the etymological meaning of the word <i>catastrophe</i>. This special issue, titled, ‘The Economics of Catastrophes’ brings together the work of leading scholars on the topic. It contains eight papers, five of which are specifically on the Australian economy. The following paragraphs provide a brief summary of each of the papers contained in the special issue.</p><p>John Freebairn's paper, titled ‘Natural disasters and economic policy challenges’, evaluates the impacts of natural disasters on economic and policy decisions. Freebairn (<span>2024</span>) proposes that while governmental subsidies for flood-affected households aim to provide immediate relief, such subsidies may inadvertently incentivise lower-income individuals to continue living in more disaster-prone regions—causing long-term negative societal impacts. Freebairn critically evaluates the role governments play in shaping the decisions of households and businesses when opting for locations prone to natural disasters. He deliberates on the provision of special financial subsidies to disaster-affected households and businesses, a decision often influenced by media and political pressures. Freebairn argues that subsidies for flood-affected households can unintentionally discourage individuals from relocating to safer areas while also reducing incentives for implementing disaster mitigation strategies. As a result of subsidies, the costs of future disaster events to society may increase while contributing to inequity over the long term. It is important to note that Freebairn's argument applies to subsidies that are granted in case of expected natural disasters: that is, to people living in areas which are well-known to have a non-zero probability of being struck by major floods.</p><p>‘Catastrophe theory and economic modelling at the back of an envelope’ by Eduardo Pol (<span>2024</span>) provides a detailed examination of the application of catastrophe theory (CT) in economic modelling. Pol outlines a step-by-step process of how to use CT in economic modelling. Pol addresses prior critiques of CT's limited relevance in economic modelling. He discusses how CT combines optimisation, comparative statics, and dynamics into a single mathematical tool and gives a systematic procedure for its application in economics.</p><p>The paper ‘How Australia's economy gained
根据《在线词源词典》,"灾难"(catastrophe)一词可追溯到 15 世纪 30 年代,当时它的含义是 "预期的逆转"(尤其是戏剧中的致命转折点,情节的收尾)--源自拉丁文 catastropha,源于希腊文 katastrophē "倾覆;突然结束"。在当代宏观经济教科书中,读者会熟悉 "不利(或负面)冲击 "一词。不利冲击是指那些不可预测的事件,即无法预测的事件,这些事件会对国内生产总值或其组成部分产生负面影响。不利冲击可能与灾难一词的词源含义最为接近。本特刊的标题是 "灾难经济学",汇集了顶尖学者在这一主题上的研究成果。特刊包含八篇论文,其中五篇专门论述澳大利亚经济。约翰-弗里贝恩(John Freebairn)的论文题为《自然灾害与经济政策挑战》,评估了自然灾害对经济和政策决策的影响。Freebairn(2024 年)提出,虽然政府对洪水受灾家庭的补贴旨在提供即时救济,但这种补贴可能会无意中激励低收入者继续居住在更容易受灾的地区,从而造成长期的负面社会影响。Freebairn 批判性地评估了政府在影响家庭和企业选择自然灾害易发地区时所扮演的角色。他探讨了向受灾家庭和企业提供特殊财政补贴的问题,这一决定往往受到媒体和政治压力的影响。Freebairn 认为,为受灾家庭提供补贴可能会无意中阻碍个人搬迁到更安全的地区,同时也会降低实施减灾战略的积极性。补贴的结果是,未来灾害事件给社会造成的成本可能会增加,同时也会造成长期的不公平。值得注意的是,Freebairn 的论点适用于预期自然灾害情况下的补贴:即补贴给居住在众所周知遭受大洪水袭击的概率不为零的地区的人们。Eduardo Pol(2024 年)所著的《信封背面的灾难理论与经济建模》详细研究了灾难理论 (CT) 在经济建模中的应用。Pol 概述了如何在经济建模中逐步使用 CT 的过程。波尔回应了之前对 CT 在经济建模中相关性有限的批评。他讨论了 CT 如何将最优化、比较静力学和动力学结合成一个数学工具,并给出了将其应用于经济学的系统程序。皮埃尔-罗斯坦和亚历山德拉-罗斯坦(2024 年)撰写的论文《澳大利亚经济如何因 Covid-19 而获得动力》深入探讨了 Covid-19 对澳大利亚经济的影响。作者利用光谱分析预测技术,深入研究了澳大利亚政府对这一流行病的应对措施,其中包括对雇主和个人的支持。本文的一个重点是澳大利亚经济在危机期间的恢复能力。作者研究了 "创造就业者雇佣信贷计划"(JobMaker Hiring Credit scheme)和 "工作保持者支付计划"(JobKeeper Payment program)等计划的影响,这些计划为受影响的企业提供工资补贴。作者发现,这些计划的支出约为 3110 亿澳元,有助于使澳大利亚的实际 GDP 增长率在 2023 年第一季度之后保持正增长:Opoku Adabor(2024 年)撰写的《澳大利亚的赌博流行病:Covid-19 支持付款的作用》分析了 Covid-19 支持基金对澳大利亚赌博严重程度的影响。研究使用了澳大利亚家庭、收入和劳动力动态调查中 4622 名赌博者的数据。研究结果表明,各种 Covid-19 支持金,如求职者支持金、隔离支持金和刺激支持金都会增加赌博,尤其是男性赌徒和网络赌徒。作者提出了政策改革建议,建议减少向赌博者发放的 Covid-19 支持金的金额,以减少赌博支出。该研究得出结论认为,进一步的研究应探讨Covid-19支持金与赌博之间的中介因素,如锁定限制和价格波动:Jiang 等人(2024 年)撰写的题为《全球宏观经济因素对澳大利亚行业市场溢出效应的影响:基于小波分析的新发现》的论文研究了全球宏观经济因素与澳大利亚 10 个行业指数溢出动态之间的关系。 本研究采用时变参数向量自回归模型、小波相干性分析和基于小波分解的格兰杰因果关系来检验 2007 年 5 月 14 日至 2022 年 3 月 31 日的数据,以确定股市溢出效应的净传递者和接收者。研究结果表明,工业、消费品和金融等行业是溢出效应的净传递者,而健康、信息技术和公用事业等行业则主要是净接受者。研究表明,错综复杂的关联性是随时间变化的,在经济明显困难时期,如经济大衰退和目前的 COVID-19 大流行病,关联性往往会增强。研究表明,全球宏观经济因素,包括石油和汇率以及石油波动性、股市波动性和传染病追踪指数,在很大程度上推动了澳大利亚行业指数的关联性。研究结果为投资者和政策制定者提供了宝贵的见解。投资者可以从研究结果中了解最佳投资组合设计和风险管理策略。政策制定者可以从中了解澳大利亚各行业对全球影响和波动的重要反应,从而有助于在全球相互关联的经济环境中做出战略决策:吉吉-福斯特(Gigi Foster)和保罗-弗里耶特斯(Paul Frijters)(2024 年)撰写的《Covid 政策的悲剧及其经济学家的辩护》评估了应对 Covid-19 的封锁政策的成本和收益。2020 年和 2021 年期间,世界上许多国家的政府都宣布了封锁政策。封锁政策由警方执行。大多数人都遵守了这些政策。福斯特和弗里耶特斯提出的惊人观点是,在实施封锁政策之前,没有令人信服的证据表明封锁政策的收益会超过成本。因此,封锁政策违反了纽伦堡法典。基于 WELLBYs 概念的事后计算表明,封锁的成本远远超过其收益。根据 Foster 和 Frijters 的研究,来自盎格鲁-撒克逊世界的六个不同团队的估算结果表明,以整个人口的 WELLBYs 来衡量,整个社会的成本超过了封锁的收益,其比例在 4:1 到 1000:1 之间:Li等人(2024)的论文《政治风险对股市的因果效应:来自自然实验的证据》以2016年7月1日台湾误射导弹的突发事件作为外生冲击,考察了政治风险对股市的因果影响。具体而言,研究者关注的是中国股市中与台湾相关的 A 股公司。研究结果表明,与台湾相关的政治不确定性会对涉台 A 股公司的股票价格产生显著的负面影响。这种影响对于与台湾关系较密切的企业和非国有企业尤为明显。造成负面影响的主要原因是政治不确定性增加导致要求回报率上升。有趣的是,研究没有发现任何假设支持涉台企业在事件发生后经营业绩或分析师盈利预测恶化的说法。本研究扩展了现有文献,证明了政治风险对股市表现的重大影响,因此主张将其纳入市场参与者的投资策略和风险评估中:Su等人(2024 年)撰写的《金融市场的风险传染:使用文献计量学方法的系统回顾》对有关金融传染的研究进行了全面分析。分析强调,人们对加密货币等非常规资产的风险传染研究越来越感兴趣。论文还指出,自 2020 年以来,Covid-19 大流行病和金融传染研究有所增加。研究采用了共现网络和共引网络分析。此外,研究还显示,理论研究的数量仍然不平衡,而实证研究的数量则占绝大多数。所审查的大多数研究侧重于银行和股票市场的波动溢出,这表明未来的研究可以更多地倾向于投资者行为和宏观经济政策协调。
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引用次数: 0
Income diversification patterns and their impact on bank risk 收入多样化模式及其对银行风险的影响
IF 1.2 4区 经济学 Q3 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2024-02-20 DOI: 10.1111/1467-8454.12339
Parneet Kaur, Aanchal Bansal

This study focuses on the crucial topic of income diversification and its implications for bank risk, using the context of India's public and private Sector banks. The research spans the years 2005–2021, investigating the influence of varying degrees of non-interest income on the risk profiles of Indian banks. Employing a program impact evaluation methodology, the study employs the generalised propensity score-fractional dose–response function technique to ascertain the impact of different levels of non-interest income on bank risk. The outcomes underscore the diverse effects of diversification contingent upon factors like bank size and ownership type, including large and small banks as well as public and private sector institutions. Notably, the aftermath of the Global Financial Crisis introduced distinctive dynamics to income diversification's impact. By segmenting the study timeline into two periods—2005–2013 and 2014–2021—it emerges that income diversification lowered bank risk in the earlier period, while conversely amplifying risk in the latter phase. These insights bear significance as an early warning mechanism for bank executives, policymakers, and regulatory authorities, enabling them to navigate strategic transitions associated with non-interest income. Employing a novel approach, this research contributes to the literature by evaluating the interplay between income diversification and bank risk across diverse levels of non-interest income mix. In contrast to conventional econometric methods, the use of the generalised propensity score method stands out as a robust technique to mitigate confounding biases inherent in non-experimental inquiries.

本研究以印度的公共和私营银行为背景,重点探讨了收入多样化这一重要课题及其对银行风险的影响。研究时间跨度为 2005-2021 年,调查了不同程度的非利息收入对印度银行风险状况的影响。研究采用项目影响评估方法,利用广义倾向得分-分数剂量-反应函数技术来确定不同程度的非利息收入对银行风险的影响。研究结果凸显了多样化对银行规模和所有权类型等因素的不同影响,包括大型银行和小型银行,以及公共部门机构和私营部门机构。值得注意的是,全球金融危机的后果为收入多样化的影响带来了独特的动力。通过将研究时间分为两个阶段--2005-2013 年和 2014-2021 年--可以发现,收入多样化在前期降低了银行风险,而在后期则相反地放大了风险。这些见解对于银行高管、政策制定者和监管机构来说是一种预警机制,使他们能够驾驭与非利息收入相关的战略转型。本研究采用了一种新颖的方法,通过评估不同水平的非利息收入组合中收入多样化与银行风险之间的相互作用,为相关文献做出了贡献。与传统的计量经济学方法相比,使用广义倾向得分法是一种稳健的技术,可减轻非实验调查中固有的混杂偏差。
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引用次数: 0
Housing affordability stress and mental health: The role of financial wellbeing 住房负担压力与心理健康:财务状况的作用
IF 1.2 4区 经济学 Q3 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2024-02-11 DOI: 10.1111/1467-8454.12340
Ferdi Botha, Rebecca Bentley, Ang Li, Ilan Wiesel

Using data from wave 20 of the Household, Income and Labour Dynamics in Australia Survey, we provide a descriptive examination of the relationship between housing affordability stress (HAS) and a multi-item measure of financial wellbeing across tenure types and test whether good financial wellbeing is protective of the negative mental health effects of HAS. We find that HAS is associated with lower financial wellbeing and that this is differentially distributed by tenure, with renters who experience HAS reporting, on average, lower financial wellbeing than owners. This suggests that HAS, which focuses on income to define housing stress, is different to financial wellbeing. Being in control of finances and feeling financially secure are important components of the way in which financial hardship impacts mental health. Renters may be more likely to experience these issues than owners; hence, they fare worse in terms of their mental health when in HAS than owners do.

利用澳大利亚家庭、收入和劳动力动态调查第 20 次调查的数据,我们对住房负担压力(HAS)与不同保有权类型的多项目财务健康衡量标准之间的关系进行了描述性研究,并检验了良好的财务健康是否能够抵御住房负担压力对心理健康的负面影响。我们发现,住房负担压力与较低的财务幸福感有关,而且这种影响在不同保有权类型中的分布也不同,平均而言,经历过住房负担压力的租房者的财务幸福感低于房主。这表明,以收入来定义住房压力的 "住房压力 "与财务状况不同。对财务的掌控和财务安全感是经济困难影响心理健康的重要组成部分。租房者可能比房主更容易遇到这些问题;因此,他们在 HAS 中的精神健康状况比房主更差。
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引用次数: 0
期刊
Australian Economic Papers
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