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Energy Transition and Household Carbon Emissions in China 中国能源转型与家庭碳排放
IF 1.7 4区 经济学 Q3 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2025-04-24 DOI: 10.1111/1467-8454.12401
Su Yan, Lu Jin, Wang Tianhui

This paper uses CFPS 2014, 2016, and 2018 micro-survey data to measure the level of household carbon emissions and utilizes Chinese city data to construct a composite index to measure the development level of energy transition and then empirically examines the impact of city energy transition on household carbon emissions through macro–micro data matching. It is found that the higher the index level of energy transition, the more obvious the inhibitory effect on household carbon emissions. Subsequently, the robustness test and the estimation results considering the endogeneity problem are not significantly different from the baseline regression findings. The mechanism analysis suggests that energy transition will have an indirect effect on household carbon emissions through green technology innovation, environmental regulation and the adjustment of consumer lifestyles. The heterogeneity study found that the impacts of energy transition on different household age structures, housing sizes, geographic locations and energy structures show significant differences. This paper has important policy implications for accelerating city energy transition, promoting energy structure transformation, and guiding household decarbonization.

本文利用CFPS 2014年、2016年和2018年的微观调查数据测度居民碳排放水平,并利用中国城市数据构建衡量能源转型发展水平的综合指数,通过宏观微观数据匹配实证检验城市能源转型对居民碳排放的影响。研究发现,能源转型指标水平越高,对居民碳排放的抑制作用越明显。随后,鲁棒性检验和考虑内生性问题的估计结果与基线回归结果无显著差异。机制分析表明,能源转型将通过绿色技术创新、环境规制和消费者生活方式调整对居民碳排放产生间接影响。异质性研究发现,能源转型对不同家庭年龄结构、住房规模、地理位置和能源结构的影响存在显著差异。本文对加快城市能源转型、推进能源结构转型、引导居民脱碳具有重要的政策意义。
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引用次数: 0
Effect of the Membership in the World Trade Organization on Income Inequality
IF 1.7 4区 经济学 Q3 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2025-04-07 DOI: 10.1111/1467-8454.12400
Sèna Kimm Gnangnon

This note investigates empirically the effect of membership in the GATT/WTO on trade policy and income inequality in developing countries. The analysis has shown that GATT/WTO membership is associated with trade policy liberalization and lower income inequality, although the magnitudes of these effects vary across groups of countries.

本文实证研究了发展中国家加入关贸总协定/世界贸易组织对贸易政策和收入不平等的影响。分析表明,关贸总协定/世贸组织的成员资格与贸易政策自由化和收入不平等程度较低有关,尽管这些影响的程度因国家集团而异。
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引用次数: 0
Is There a Public Sector Wage Premium in Vietnam? New Evidence From the Vietnam Household Living Standard Survey 越南有公共部门工资溢价吗?越南家庭生活水平调查的新证据
IF 1.7 4区 经济学 Q3 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2025-03-26 DOI: 10.1111/1467-8454.12399
Van-Phuc Phan, Martin O'Brien

The identification of a public sector wage premium or penalty is of specific interest in fast and emerging economies, particularly those that have transitioned from state controlled to market economies. Using Vietnam as a case study, our initial descriptive statistics analysis showed that average hourly wage rates for public sector workers exceeded those for private sector workers from 2014 to 2020. However, after applying a propensity score matching (PSM) method and controlling for worker and job characteristics, remuneration for a public sector worker was between 17.6% and 27.8% lower than that for a private sector worker. Further exploration of this result revealed that the public sector employs a large proportion of university graduates; however, it pays a lower return to human capital compared to the private sector. The main policy implication from our findings is that the government is likely to face a public sector skills shortage in the future unless it significantly increases the returns to education in its remuneration policies.

确定公共部门的工资溢价或罚款对快速和新兴经济体,特别是那些已从国家控制向市场经济过渡的经济体具有特殊的意义。以越南为例,我们的初步描述性统计分析表明,从2014年到2020年,公共部门工人的平均时薪率超过了私营部门工人。然而,在运用倾向得分匹配(PSM)方法并控制工人和工作特征后,公营机构工人的薪酬比私营机构工人低17.6%至27.8%。对这一结果的进一步研究表明,公共部门雇用了很大比例的大学毕业生;然而,与私营部门相比,它的人力资本回报率较低。我们的研究结果的主要政策含义是,除非政府在其薪酬政策中显著提高教育回报,否则未来政府可能面临公共部门技能短缺。
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引用次数: 0
Understanding the Catalysts of China's Great Moderation During the Post-Crisis Era: An Industrial Structure Evolution Perspective 后危机时代中国大缓和的催化剂:一个产业结构演化的视角
IF 1.7 4区 经济学 Q3 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2025-03-21 DOI: 10.1111/1467-8454.12398
Liguo Xue, Yongyuan Ma

Previous research has primarily examined the driving dynamics of the Great Moderation through the lens of stochastic shocks or monetary policy, overlooking the influence of industrial structure evolution. To bridge this gap, our study aims to investigate the driving dynamics of China's Great Moderation during 2012–2019 by adopting an industrial structure evolution perspective. To elucidate the underlying driving dynamics, the time-varying parameter structural vector autoregressive (TVP-SVAR) model with sign restrictions, along with impulse response analysis, forecast error variance decomposition, and Granger causality test were employed. The results indicate that China's Great Moderation during the post-crisis era is mainly due to the upgrade of industrial structure and supply-side structural reform. Moreover, our paper assesses whether regional differences might influence the aforementioned conclusions. We also investigate the driving dynamics of the Great Moderation in China and other emerging economies, such as Russia and Brazil, which share similar industrial structure evolution patterns. The results consistently highlight the crucial role played by industrial structure upgrade in the Great Moderation. Our work offers valuable theoretical and policy insights for macroeconomic stability in emerging economies.

以往的研究主要是通过随机冲击或货币政策来考察大稳健的驱动动力,忽略了产业结构演变的影响。为了弥补这一差距,本文采用产业结构演化的视角,对2012-2019年中国经济“大缓和”的驱动机制进行了研究。为了阐明潜在的驱动动力,采用带符号约束的时变参数结构向量自回归(TVP-SVAR)模型,结合脉冲响应分析、预测误差方差分解和格兰杰因果检验。研究结果表明,后危机时代中国经济的大缓和主要是由于产业结构升级和供给侧结构性改革。此外,本文还评估了地区差异是否会影响上述结论。我们还研究了中国和其他新兴经济体(如俄罗斯和巴西)大缓和的驱动动力,这些经济体具有相似的产业结构演变模式。研究结果一致强调了产业结构升级在大缓和中的关键作用。我们的工作为新兴经济体的宏观经济稳定提供了宝贵的理论和政策见解。
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引用次数: 0
Correction to “The Australian Greens' Public Property Developer: An Input–Output Analysis” 更正“澳大利亚绿党的公共房地产开发商:投入产出分析”
IF 1.7 4区 经济学 Q3 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2025-03-14 DOI: 10.1111/1467-8454.12397

Satterlee, C. 2025. “The Australian Greens' Public Property Developer: An Input–Output Analysis” Australian Economic Papers, 64, 31–43, https://doi.org/10.1111/1467-8454.12376

In Section 4.5, in the paragraph that begins with “Here is a very basic first simulation to fix ideas,” the following sentences should be removed:

“Suppose we crudely assume that a typical FTE worker in the RBC industry works 1700 h per year. This assumes a 34-h workweek for 50 weeks of the year, which seems reasonably plausible for many industries including construction.”

Additionally, the sentence “This is carried out in the following two steps:” should be revised to: “This is carried out as follows:”

In the subsequent equation, remove the beginning “(i)” while keeping the rest of the equation unchanged, and remove the entirety of equation (ii).

Thus, the whole paragraph and equation should read as follows:

Here is a very basic first simulation to fix ideas. Given (a) the direct employment coefficient calculated above, and (b) the required $84.14 billion increase in RBC industry product as calculated in Section 3.3, we can compute the direct number of RBC industry workers required to fulfill the first year of the Greens' plan. This is carried out as follows:

� � � � � � � � � � � � Additional FTE labour units� � � � =� � � � � � 1.3� � ×� � 84.14� � ×� � � � 10� � 9� � � � � � 10

萨特利,C. 2025。“澳大利亚绿党的公共房地产开发商:投入产出分析”澳大利亚经济论文,64,31-43,https://doi.org/10.1111/1467-8454.12376在第4.5节中,在以“这是一个非常基本的第一个模拟来修复想法”开头的段落中,应该删除以下句子:“假设我们粗略地假设RBC行业的典型FTE工人每年工作1700小时。假设一年有50周每周工作34小时,这对包括建筑业在内的许多行业来说似乎都是合理的。”另外,将“这将分以下两步执行”修改为:“这将按如下步骤执行:在随后的等式中,去掉开头的“(i)”,保持等式其余部分不变,并去掉整个等式(ii)。”因此,整个段落和等式应该是这样的:这是一个非常基本的第一个模拟来固定想法。给定(a)上述计算的直接就业系数,以及(b)第3.3节计算的RBC工业产品所需增加841.4亿美元,我们可以计算完成格林计划第一年所需的RBC工业工人的直接数量。具体工作如下:额外全职劳动单位=1.3 × 84.14 ×10 9 10 6= 109.38 ×3个全职劳动单位我们为这个错误道歉。
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引用次数: 0
Energy Market Uncertainties and Gold Return Volatility: A GARCH–MIDAS Approach 能源市场不确定性与黄金收益波动:GARCH-MIDAS方法
IF 1.7 4区 经济学 Q3 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2025-03-14 DOI: 10.1111/1467-8454.12396
Afees A. Salisu, Ahamuefula E. Ogbonna, Rangan Gupta, Sisa Shiba

In this study, the GARCH–MIDAS model is utilized to evaluate how predictable oil and energy market uncertainties are in relation to gold return volatility. We examine daily gold returns and monthly energy uncertainty measurements such as oil market uncertainty (OMU) and oil price uncertainty (OPU), as well as measurements of energy market uncertainties such as the global equally weighted energy uncertainty index (GEUI-EQ), GDP-weighted global energy uncertainty index (GEUI-GDP), and country-specific energy uncertainty indexes for 28 countries—spanning the period from January 1969 to October 2022. We calculate the total connectedness index (TCI) for the country-specific indexes as a measure of the composite energy uncertainty index. We find that higher uncertainties in the oil and energy markets lead to increased gold volatilities, suggesting that gold can serve as a reliable hedge against oil and energy market uncertainties. Enhanced trading in the gold market raises its volatility as oil and energy market uncertainties increase. Our analysis, both within the sample and out-of-sample, supports this conclusion, and our findings remain valid even when alternative measures of oil and energy market uncertainties are considered. Further valuable insights, including the practical implications of our findings, extending beyond the hedging prowess of gold against heightened energy uncertainty, are also provided for practitioners, including investors and policymakers.

在本研究中,GARCH-MIDAS模型被用来评估石油和能源市场的不确定性与黄金收益波动的关系。我们研究了从1969年1月到2022年10月28个国家的每日黄金收益和月度能源不确定性测量,如石油市场不确定性(OMU)和油价不确定性(OPU),以及能源市场不确定性测量,如全球等加权能源不确定性指数(GEUI-EQ)、gdp加权全球能源不确定性指数(GEUI-GDP)和特定国家的能源不确定性指数。我们计算了国家特定指数的总连通性指数(TCI),作为综合能源不确定性指数的衡量标准。我们发现,石油和能源市场的不确定性增加导致黄金波动性增加,这表明黄金可以作为对冲石油和能源市场不确定性的可靠工具。随着石油和能源市场不确定性的增加,黄金市场交易的增加增加了其波动性。我们的分析,无论是样本内还是样本外,都支持这一结论,即使考虑到石油和能源市场不确定性的替代措施,我们的发现仍然有效。进一步的有价值的见解,包括我们的研究结果的实际意义,延伸到黄金对冲能源不确定性加剧的能力,也为从业者,包括投资者和政策制定者提供。
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引用次数: 0
The Impact of Two-Way Mixing Path Choice on Corporate Innovation-A Quasi-Natural Experiment From China 双向混合路径选择对企业创新的影响——来自中国的准自然实验
IF 1.7 4区 经济学 Q3 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2025-03-06 DOI: 10.1111/1467-8454.12395
Kai Wan, Jia Zhao

This study utilizes data from Chinese publicly listed companies between 2008 and 2020 and applies the PSM-DID model to examine the impact of dual mixed-ownership reform and the shift in relative control rights on corporate innovation, as well as the underlying mechanisms. The results indicate that mixed-ownership reform significantly promotes corporate innovation, particularly enhancing innovation levels in state-owned enterprises. This positive impact of mixed-ownership reform on innovation is more pronounced in large state-owned enterprises. Moreover, when private shareholders acquire relative control, the innovation effect of mixed-ownership reform is amplified. The transfer of relative control rights in smaller private enterprises has an even greater positive effect on innovation. Further analysis reveals that market mechanisms can strengthen the innovation effect of mixed-ownership reform in private enterprises and that such reforms also significantly improve corporate economic performance. Our findings are of great significance for the breakthrough of mixed ownership reform from “quantitative change” to “qualitative change” as well as for promoting reform through classification and stratification.

本研究利用2008 - 2020年中国上市公司的数据,运用PSM-DID模型考察双混改和相对控制权转移对企业创新的影响及其机制。结果表明,混合所有制改革显著促进了企业创新,特别是国有企业的创新水平得到显著提升。混合所有制改革对创新的积极影响在大型国有企业中表现得更为明显。此外,当私人股东获得相对控制权时,混合所有制改革的创新效应被放大。小型民营企业相对控制权的转移对创新的积极作用更大。进一步分析发现,市场机制可以强化民营企业混合所有制改革的创新效应,混合所有制改革也显著提高了企业经济绩效。本文的研究结果对于实现混合所有制改革从“量变”向“质变”的突破,以及通过分类分层推进改革具有重要意义。
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引用次数: 0
An Exploration of Auction Price Concentration at the Artist Level 艺术家层面的拍卖价格集中度探讨
IF 1.7 4区 经济学 Q3 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2025-03-02 DOI: 10.1111/1467-8454.12394
Tim R. L. Fry

Auction price studies have typically had an object-based focus, employing models to understand the prices of artworks. In this paper, we take an alternative focus on price heterogeneity, considering the artist, not the artworks, as the level of observation. Understanding how factors relating to the artist, such as gender and region, and their work, such as how diverse their oeuvre is, provides new insights into our overall understanding of price heterogeneity in the art auction market. Using panel data from the Australian Art Sales Digest for auctions containing artworks by Australian Indigenous artists, we investigate artist-level price heterogeneity. We find significant impacts of product and supply diversity, regions, fame and the living status of the artist, particularly a strong death effect. Conversely, there are no significant effects of artist supply factors (number of works offered) or the gender of the artist.

拍卖价格研究通常以实物为重点,利用模型来理解艺术品的价格。在本文中,我们对价格异质性进行了另一种关注,将艺术家而非艺术品作为观察层面。了解与艺术家相关的因素,如性别和地区,以及他们的作品,如他们作品的多样性,为我们对艺术拍卖市场价格异质性的整体理解提供了新的见解。利用澳大利亚艺术销售文摘中包含澳大利亚土著艺术家作品的拍卖的面板数据,我们调查了艺术家层面的价格异质性。我们发现产品和供应的多样性、地域、名气和艺术家的生活状态都有显著的影响,尤其是强烈的死亡效应。相反,艺术家供应因素(提供作品的数量)或艺术家的性别没有显著影响。
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引用次数: 0
The Effectiveness of Macroprudential Policies on Credit Growth in Vietnam 宏观审慎政策对越南信贷增长的有效性
IF 1.2 4区 经济学 Q3 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2025-02-11 DOI: 10.1111/1467-8454.12393
Thi Thu Hong Dinh, Tuan Huu Nguyen

This study presents a comprehensive analysis of the effectiveness of macroprudential policies on credit growth in Vietnam. It introduces an advanced approach to create a macroprudential index (MPI) that measures the state of macroprudential policy. The MPI is then applied to a high-frequency database on a monthly basis to estimate its impact on real credit growth and the country's credit growth cycle. The study's comprehensive nature is evident in the manual survey of the policies of the State Bank of Vietnam and the information published by commercial banks from January 1999 to June 2023. The findings reveal that, unlike flexible monetary policy, macroprudential policy tools have gained prominence and have been tightened since 1999. Moreover, empirical evidence suggests that tightening macroprudential policies in Vietnam has helped reduce real credit growth, although they have not been effective in smoothing real credit growth cycles.

本研究全面分析了越南宏观审慎政策对信贷增长的影响。它引入了一种先进的方法来创建宏观审慎指数(MPI),以衡量宏观审慎政策的状况。然后将 MPI 按月应用于高频数据库,以估计其对实际信贷增长和国家信贷增长周期的影响。这项研究的全面性体现在对越南国家银行政策的人工调查以及商业银行从 1999 年 1 月至 2023 年 6 月公布的信息。研究结果表明,与灵活的货币政策不同,宏观审慎政策工具的作用日益突出,并自 1999 年以来不断收紧。此外,经验证据表明,越南收紧宏观审慎政策有助于降低实际信贷增长,尽管这些政策未能有效平滑实际信贷增长周期。
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引用次数: 0
Dynamic Interconnectedness of ESG Indices and Crude Oil Prices: A Wavelet Coherence Approach in Asia-Pacific Markets 亚太市场ESG指数与原油价格的动态关联:小波相干性方法
IF 1.7 4区 经济学 Q3 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2025-01-30 DOI: 10.1111/1467-8454.12392
Chandan Sharma, Priya Rani

This study examines the interconnectedness between crude oil prices and ESG (environmental, social, and governance) indices in major Asian economies, using wavelet coherence analysis to explore their dynamic co-movements. The analysis includes daily data from January 2019 to March 2024 for nine economy-specific ESG indices, an ASEAN regional ESG index, and the Dow Jones Brent Crude Oil Index. Wavelet coherence results reveal high coherence amidst ESG indices and the crude oil index during the COVID-19 pandemic, indicating a significant synchronized impact on global markets. Post-2020, the relationship becomes more variable, with intermittent coherence reflecting different phases of economic recovery and responses to new market conditions. Notably, ESG indices often lead crude oil prices, suggesting that they respond anticipatorily to economic signals, sustainability trends, and policy changes. The results highlight the complex and diverse relationships between oil prices and ESG indices. This underscores important implications for investors and policy-makers striving to balance sustainability goals with economic stability. By contributing to the understanding of regional market dynamics, this research offers valuable insights for developing resilient investment strategies and policies in the context of sustainable finance in Asia.

本研究考察了亚洲主要经济体中原油价格与ESG(环境、社会和治理)指数之间的相互联系,使用小波相干性分析来探索它们的动态协同运动。该分析包括2019年1月至2024年3月的9个特定经济体ESG指数、东盟地区ESG指数和道琼斯布伦特原油指数的每日数据。小波相干性结果显示,2019冠状病毒病大流行期间,ESG指数与原油指数高度相干,表明对全球市场的同步影响显著。2020年后,这种关系变得更加多变,断断续续的一致性反映了经济复苏的不同阶段和对新市场条件的反应。值得注意的是,ESG指数通常会引领原油价格,这表明它们会对经济信号、可持续性趋势和政策变化做出预期反应。结果表明,油价与ESG指数之间的关系复杂多样。这对努力平衡可持续性目标与经济稳定的投资者和决策者具有重要意义。通过促进对区域市场动态的理解,本研究为在亚洲可持续金融背景下制定弹性投资战略和政策提供了有价值的见解。
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引用次数: 0
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Australian Economic Papers
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