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Analyzing the Dynamics of Customer Behavior: A New Perspective on Personalized Marketing through Counterfactual Analysis 分析客户行为动态:通过反事实分析看个性化营销的新视角
IF 5.6 3区 管理学 Q1 BUSINESS Pub Date : 2024-06-27 DOI: 10.3390/jtaer19030081
Mona Ebadi Jalal, Adel Elmaghraby
The existing body of research on dynamic customer segmentation has primarily focused on segment-level customer purchasing behavior (CPB) analysis to tailor marketing strategies for distinct customer groups. However, these approaches often lack the granularity required for personalized marketing at the individual level. Moreover, the analysis of customer transitions between different groups has largely been overlooked. This study addresses these gaps by developing an efficient framework that enables businesses to forecast customer behavior, assess the impact of various strategies on each customer separately, and analyze customer transition between segments. This can facilitate providing personalized marketing strategies, fostering a gradual transition toward a desired customer status, and enhancing the overall marketing precision. In this study, we employ time series feature vectors encompassing recency, frequency, monetary value, and lifespan, applying the K-means algorithm with a range of distance metrics for customer segmentation along with classification algorithms to predict customer behavior. Leveraging counterfactual analysis, we establish a solution for analyzing customer transitions between groups and evaluating personalized marketing strategies. Our findings underscore the superior performance of the Euclidean distance metric, closely followed by the Manhattan distance, in distinguishing the patterns in time series customer behavior, with logistic regression excelling in predicting customer status. This study enables decision-makers to forecast the impact of diverse marketing strategies on customer behavior which facilitates customer retention and engagement through well-informed decisions.
现有的动态客户细分研究主要侧重于细分层面的客户购买行为(CPB)分析,以便为不同的客户群体量身定制营销策略。然而,这些方法往往缺乏个体层面个性化营销所需的细粒度。此外,不同群体之间的客户转换分析在很大程度上也被忽视了。本研究针对这些不足,开发了一个高效的框架,使企业能够预测客户行为,分别评估各种策略对每个客户的影响,并分析细分客户之间的转换。这有助于提供个性化营销策略,促进客户逐步过渡到理想状态,并提高整体营销精准度。在本研究中,我们采用了时间序列特征向量,包括重复性、频率、货币价值和生命周期,应用 K-means 算法和一系列距离指标进行客户细分,并采用分类算法预测客户行为。利用反事实分析,我们建立了一套解决方案,用于分析客户在不同群体之间的转换,并评估个性化营销策略。我们的研究结果表明,在区分时间序列客户行为模式方面,欧几里得距离度量性能优越,曼哈顿距离紧随其后,而逻辑回归在预测客户状态方面表现出色。这项研究使决策者能够预测各种营销策略对客户行为的影响,从而通过充分知情的决策促进客户保留和参与。
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引用次数: 0
Is Smarter Better? A Moral Judgment Perspective on Consumer Attitudes about Different Types of AI Services 更智能更好吗?从道德判断角度看消费者对不同类型人工智能服务的态度
IF 5.6 3区 管理学 Q1 BUSINESS Pub Date : 2024-06-27 DOI: 10.3390/jtaer19030080
Qingji Fan, Yan Dai, Xue Wen
AI is considered a key driver of industrial transformation and a strategic technology that will shape future development. With AI services continuing to permeate various sectors, concerns have emerged about the ethics of AI. This study investigates the effects of different types of AI services (mechanical, thinking, and affective AI services) on consumers’ attitudes through offline and online AI service experiments. We also construct a model to explore the mediating roles of identity threat and perceived control. The findings reveal that mechanical AI services negatively affect consumers’ attitudes while thinking and affective AI services have a positive effect. Additionally, we explore how consumers’ attitudes vary across different service scenarios and ethical judgments (utilitarianism and deontology). Our findings could offer practical guidance for enterprises providing AI services.
人工智能被认为是产业转型的关键驱动力,也是影响未来发展的战略性技术。随着人工智能服务不断渗透到各个领域,人们开始关注人工智能的伦理问题。本研究通过线下和线上人工智能服务实验,研究了不同类型的人工智能服务(机械、思维和情感人工智能服务)对消费者态度的影响。我们还构建了一个模型来探讨身份威胁和感知控制的中介作用。研究结果表明,机械式人工智能服务会对消费者的态度产生负面影响,而思维式人工智能服务和情感式人工智能服务则会产生正面影响。此外,我们还探讨了消费者的态度在不同的服务场景和道德判断(功利主义和道义论)下是如何变化的。我们的研究结果可为提供人工智能服务的企业提供实际指导。
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引用次数: 0
Blockchain and Supply-Chain Financing: An Evolutionary Game Approach with Guarantee Considerations 区块链与供应链融资:考虑担保因素的进化博弈方法
IF 5.6 3区 管理学 Q1 BUSINESS Pub Date : 2024-06-19 DOI: 10.3390/jtaer19020079
Jizhou Zhan, Gewei Zhang, Heap-Yih Chong, Xiangfeng Chen
Blockchain technology enables innovative financing models in supply-chain finance. This research constructs a tripartite evolutionary game model that includes core enterprises as employers, small- and medium-sized enterprises (SMEs) as contractors, and banks as financial institutions, where they have been simulated for their impact on blockchain technology, especially on the strategic choices of supply-chain financing behavior and the system’s evolutionary path under core enterprises’ guarantee mechanism. The findings show the application of blockchain technology can effectively reduce the regulatory and review costs for financial institutions, thereby enhancing the efficiency of supply-chain financing. Particularly, blockchain technology provides a more reliable credit endorsement platform for SMEs in reducing their tendency to default. The guarantee mechanism of core enterprises is more effective with the support of blockchain technology, which helps to build more solid supply-chain financial cooperation relationships. The research contributes to the theoretical research on the integration of blockchain technology into supply-chain finance, especially for improving the operational efficiency of financial services. It also highlights the need for blockchain-backed guarantees from core enterprises in optimizing supply-chain financial services.
区块链技术实现了供应链金融中的创新融资模式。本研究构建了一个三方演化博弈模型,将核心企业作为雇主,中小企业作为承包商,银行作为金融机构,模拟其对区块链技术的影响,尤其是对核心企业担保机制下供应链融资行为的战略选择和系统演化路径的影响。研究结果表明,区块链技术的应用可以有效降低金融机构的监管和审查成本,从而提高供应链融资的效率。尤其是区块链技术为中小企业提供了更可靠的信用背书平台,降低了中小企业的违约倾向。在区块链技术的支持下,核心企业的担保机制更加有效,有助于建立更加稳固的供应链金融合作关系。该研究有助于区块链技术与供应链金融结合的理论研究,特别是提高金融服务的运营效率。研究还强调了在优化供应链金融服务时,需要核心企业提供区块链支持的担保。
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引用次数: 0
Technology and Innovation: Analyzing the Heterogeneity of the Hotel Guests’ Behavior 技术与创新:分析酒店客人行为的异质性
IF 5.6 3区 管理学 Q1 BUSINESS Pub Date : 2024-06-17 DOI: 10.3390/jtaer19020078
Mariia Bordian, María Fuentes-Blasco, Irene Gil-Saura, Beatriz Moliner-Velázquez
The study intends to identify and analyze different consumer segments. For this purpose, we examine why customers turn to electronic word-of-mouth (eWOM) before making a purchase and how they perceive a hotel’s information and communication technology (ICT) and relational innovation after making a purchase. The objective was empirically tested with data from a panel of consumers who stayed at hotels during the post-pandemic recovery period in Spain. In total, 393 valid questionnaires were obtained. The estimation of a finite mix model was applied to identify guest profiles. Estimation identified three guest profiles where the perceptions of the hotel’s relational innovation and ICT present a high discriminant power in the first two segments. Moreover, compared to the second segment, the first group is characterized by the low impact level of these variables. On the other hand, the motivation to consult eWOM in the prebooking stage significantly influences all three groups; however, the guests of the third segment present less motivation than the rest. Hotel managers may consider ICT, relational innovation, and eWOM factors when segmenting consumers. Understanding this would enhance the company’s service delivery and the hotel’s competitiveness. The contribution of this study lies in considering ICT, relational innovation, and eWOM as novel factors that help identify different guest profiles.
本研究旨在识别和分析不同的消费者群体。为此,我们研究了顾客在购买前求助于电子口碑(eWOM)的原因,以及顾客在购买后如何看待酒店的信息与通信技术(ICT)和关系创新。我们利用西班牙大流行病后恢复期间入住酒店的消费者小组的数据,对目标进行了实证检验。总共获得了 393 份有效问卷。通过对有限组合模型的估算,确定了客人的特征。估算结果显示,在前两个细分市场中,对酒店关系创新和信息与通信技术的感知具有较高的判别能力。此外,与第二组相比,第一组的特点是这些变量的影响程度较低。另一方面,在预订前阶段咨询电子口碑的动机对所有三个组别都有显著影响;但是,第三组客人的动机低于其他组别。酒店管理者在细分消费者时可以考虑信息和通信技术、关系创新和网络口碑因素。了解这一点将提高公司的服务质量和酒店的竞争力。本研究的贡献在于将信息与通信技术、关系创新和网络口碑视为有助于识别不同顾客特征的新因素。
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引用次数: 0
Leveraging Stacking Framework for Fake Review Detection in the Hospitality Sector 利用堆叠框架检测酒店业的虚假评论
IF 5.6 3区 管理学 Q1 BUSINESS Pub Date : 2024-06-15 DOI: 10.3390/jtaer19020075
Syed Abdullah Ashraf, Aariz Faizan Javed, Sreevatsa Bellary, Pradip Kumar Bala, Prabin Kumar Panigrahi
Driven by motives of profit and competition, fake reviews are increasingly used to manipulate product ratings. This trend has caught the attention of academic researchers and international regulatory bodies. Current methods for spotting fake reviews suffer from scalability and interpretability issues. This study focuses on identifying suspected fake reviews in the hospitality sector using a review aggregator platform. By combining features and leveraging various classifiers through a stacking architecture, we improve training outcomes. User-centric traits emerge as crucial in spotting fake reviews. Incorporating SHAP (Shapley Additive Explanations) enhances model interpretability. Our model consistently outperforms existing methods across diverse dataset sizes, proving its adaptable, explainable, and scalable nature. These findings hold implications for review platforms, decision-makers, and users, promoting transparency and reliability in reviews and decisions.
在利益和竞争动机的驱使下,虚假评论越来越多地被用来操纵产品评级。这一趋势引起了学术研究人员和国际监管机构的关注。目前发现虚假评论的方法存在可扩展性和可解释性问题。本研究的重点是利用评论聚合平台识别酒店业的可疑虚假评论。通过堆叠架构结合各种特征并利用各种分类器,我们提高了训练结果。以用户为中心的特征是发现虚假评论的关键。SHAP(夏普利相加解释)增强了模型的可解释性。在不同规模的数据集上,我们的模型始终优于现有方法,这证明了模型的适应性、可解释性和可扩展性。这些发现对评论平台、决策者和用户都有意义,可提高评论和决策的透明度和可靠性。
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引用次数: 0
E-Commerce in Brazil: An In-Depth Analysis of Digital Growth and Strategic Approaches for Online Retail 巴西的电子商务:深入分析在线零售的数字增长和战略方法
IF 5.6 3区 管理学 Q1 BUSINESS Pub Date : 2024-06-15 DOI: 10.3390/jtaer19020076
Claudimar Pereira da Veiga, Cássia Rita Pereira da Veiga, Júlia de Souza Silva Michel, Leandro Ferreira Di Iorio, Zhaohui Su
This article delves into Brazil’s rapidly expanding e-commerce sector, emphasizing its significant growth and evolving dynamics. Employing a meta-narrative review and a convergence-coding matrix, this research systematically analyzes and integrates findings from the existing literature to reveal critical industry patterns. The analysis identifies four pivotal clusters: consumer behavior, e-commerce structure, product distribution, and environmental sustainability. These elements collectively offer a comprehensive view of Brazil’s present and future e-commerce directions. This study underscores the imperative for strategies responsive to changing consumer behaviors, technological advancements, and environmental concerns. It also furnishes practical insights for enhancing online retail consumer engagement, logistical efficiency, and sustainability. Furthermore, this research advocates for e-commerce as a vehicle for digital inclusion, calling for policies that promote equitable access to online markets. This underscores its broader socio-economic importance, suggesting a path forward for stakeholders in shaping a more inclusive and sustainable e-commerce ecosystem.
本文深入探讨了巴西快速发展的电子商务行业,强调了其显著的增长和不断变化的动态。本研究采用元叙事回顾和聚合编码矩阵,系统分析并整合了现有文献的研究成果,揭示了关键的行业模式。分析确定了四个关键集群:消费者行为、电子商务结构、产品分销和环境可持续性。这些要素共同为巴西当前和未来的电子商务发展方向提供了一个全面的视角。这项研究强调了制定战略以应对不断变化的消费行为、技术进步和环境问题的必要性。它还为提高在线零售消费者参与度、物流效率和可持续性提供了实用的见解。此外,这项研究还倡导将电子商务作为数字包容的载体,呼吁制定促进公平进入在线市场的政策。这凸显了电子商务在社会经济方面的重要意义,为利益相关方塑造更具包容性和可持续性的电子商务生态系统指明了前进的道路。
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引用次数: 0
Optimizing Sentiment Analysis Models for Customer Support: Methodology and Case Study in the Portuguese Retail Sector 优化客户支持的情感分析模型:葡萄牙零售业的方法和案例研究
IF 5.6 3区 管理学 Q1 Business, Management and Accounting Pub Date : 2024-06-10 DOI: 10.3390/jtaer19020074
Catarina Almeida, Cecilia Castro, Víctor Leiva, Ana Cristina Braga, Ana Freitas
Sentiment analysis is a cornerstone of natural language processing. However, it presents formidable challenges due to the intricacies of lexical diversity, complex linguistic structures, and the subtleties of context dependence. This study introduces a bespoke and integrated approach to analyzing customer sentiment, with a particular emphasis on a case study in the Portuguese retail market. Capitalizing on the strengths of SentiLex-PT, a sentiment lexicon curated for the Portuguese language, and an array of sophisticated machine learning algorithms, this research constructs advanced models that encapsulate both lexical features and the subtleties of linguistic composition. A meticulous comparative analysis singles out multinomial logistic regression as the pre-eminent model for its applicability and accuracy within our case study. The findings of this analysis highlight the pivotal role that sentiment data play in strategic decision-making processes such as reputation management, strategic planning, and forecasting market trends within the retail sector. To the extent of our knowledge, this work is pioneering in its provision of a holistic sentiment analysis framework tailored to the Portuguese retail context, marking an advancement for both the academic field and industry application.
情感分析是自然语言处理的基石。然而,由于词汇的多样性、复杂的语言结构以及上下文相关性的微妙性,情感分析面临着巨大的挑战。本研究介绍了一种定制的综合方法来分析客户情感,尤其侧重于葡萄牙零售市场的案例研究。本研究利用 SentiLex-PT 的优势(SentiLex-PT 是专为葡萄牙语设计的情感词典)和一系列复杂的机器学习算法,构建了先进的模型,囊括了词汇特征和语言构成的微妙之处。通过细致的比较分析,我们发现多叉逻辑回归模型在我们的案例研究中具有卓越的适用性和准确性。分析结果凸显了情感数据在零售业声誉管理、战略规划和市场趋势预测等战略决策过程中发挥的关键作用。据我们所知,这项工作开创性地提供了一个针对葡萄牙零售业背景的整体情感分析框架,标志着学术领域和行业应用的进步。
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引用次数: 0
Usefulness of Online Reviews of Sensory Experiences: Pre- vs. Post-Pandemic 感官体验在线评论的实用性:大流行前与大流行后
IF 5.6 3区 管理学 Q1 Business, Management and Accounting Pub Date : 2024-06-08 DOI: 10.3390/jtaer19020073
Jong Min Kim, K. Park, R. Marjerison
As a result of globalization and other factors, periodic shocks to economic activity have become more frequent in recent years. How these periods of economic uncertainty affect different business sectors and industries has become an important emerging area of research activity. Sensory experiences are increasingly recognized as an important aspect of the customer experience. Likewise, online reviews and the usefulness rating given by review consumers are important factors in the consumers’ purchasing decision-making process. How these factors are affected by periods of crisis is an underexplored area of research that this study addresses through the exploration and comparison of the perceived helpfulness of sensory experience online reviews, specifically in the hotel industry, before and since the COVID-19 pandemic. Primary data were harvested from the Booking.com website before and during the pandemic; 143,739 online reviews were analyzed using a keyword search based on six dimensions of hotel services to identify those reviews with sensory experience content. The analysis applied Herzberg’s two-factor theory, where each service attribute was examined as both positive (satisfier) and negative (dissatisfier). Empirical analytical methods were applied to produce compelling findings. The findings indicate that the reviews of multisensory experiences affect the perceived value of a post both negatively and positively, respectively, and that the pandemic did not affect the relationship between reviews and the perceived helpfulness of the reviews. This study has both theoretical and practical implications for researchers and practitioners by applying and building on Herzberg’s two-factor theory of online reviews in the hospitality sector during a period of crisis, as well as addressing a gap in the existing literature on how the pandemic affected the relationships between the online reviews of sensory experiences and their perceived usefulness. Practitioners may find the results useful in how they allocate their resources and focus during such periods to optimize their competitiveness.
近年来,由于全球化和其他因素,经济活动受到的周期性冲击越来越频繁。这些经济不确定时期如何影响不同的商业部门和行业,已成为一个重要的新兴研究领域。感官体验日益被视为客户体验的一个重要方面。同样,在线评论和评论消费者给出的有用性评级也是消费者购买决策过程中的重要因素。这些因素如何受到危机时期的影响是一个尚未充分探索的研究领域,本研究通过探索和比较感官体验在线评论的感知有用性来解决这一问题,特别是在 COVID-19 大流行之前和之后的酒店业。研究人员从大流行之前和期间的 Booking.com 网站上获取了原始数据,并根据酒店服务的六个维度对 143,739 条在线评论进行了关键词搜索分析,以识别出包含感官体验内容的评论。分析应用了赫茨伯格的双因素理论,其中每个服务属性都被视为积极(满意)和消极(不满意)因素。应用实证分析方法得出了令人信服的结果。研究结果表明,对多感官体验的评论分别会对帖子的感知价值产生负面和正面影响,而大流行并不会影响评论与评论的感知有用性之间的关系。本研究在赫茨伯格关于危机时期酒店业在线评论的双因素理论基础上进行了应用,并解决了现有文献中关于大流行如何影响感官体验的在线评论与其感知有用性之间关系的空白,从而对研究人员和从业人员具有理论和实践意义。实践者可能会发现,研究结果有助于他们在危机时期如何分配资源和集中精力,以优化竞争力。
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引用次数: 0
Examining the Retail Delivery Choice Behavior in a Technology-Aware Market 研究技术意识市场中的零售配送选择行为
IF 5.6 3区 管理学 Q1 Business, Management and Accounting Pub Date : 2024-06-04 DOI: 10.3390/jtaer19020070
Jocelyn Tapia, Paula Fariña, Ignacio Urbina, Diego Dujovne
This study aims to provide valuable insights into consumer preferences for delivery services in online shopping in Chile. The COVID-19 pandemic has accelerated the evolution of delivery and logistics services, leading to increased competition among online stores. Chile, with its highly digitally enabled population and a competitive landscape of online retailers, serves as an ideal reference case for Latin America. By analyzing key delivery attributes such as delivery time, order arrival time range, compensation policies for delivery delays, and delivery prices, we offer valuable insights into consumer behavior. These insights will, in turn, inform the formulation of effective strategies within the online shopping industry. We examine the following aspects: (a) The willingness of consumers to pay for the service attributes; (b) The relative importance assigned to these attributes by consumers; and (c) The relationship between consumer preferences and socioeconomic characteristics. Using Multinomial Logit Models and a database from a Discrete Choice Experiment, we have discovered that the most significant attributes of delivery service are the time until product arrival and the existence of compensation in case of delivery delays. Additionally, we found that consumers are willing to pay more for the same delivery service if the product is large, as large products generally have higher prices. Furthermore, we observed that delivery time preferences vary by gender and for small products, and price sensitivity varies according to educational level, household size, and socioeconomic status. To the best of our knowledge, no previous research of this kind has been conducted for Chile.
本研究旨在就智利网购中消费者对送货服务的偏好提供有价值的见解。COVID-19 的流行加速了送货和物流服务的发展,导致网店之间的竞争加剧。智利拥有高度数字化的人口和竞争激烈的在线零售商,是拉丁美洲理想的参考案例。通过分析送货时间、订单到达时间范围、送货延迟补偿政策和送货价格等关键送货属性,我们提供了对消费者行为的宝贵见解。这些洞察力反过来将为制定网上购物行业的有效战略提供参考。我们研究了以下几个方面:(a)消费者为服务属性付费的意愿;(b)消费者赋予这些属性的相对重要性;以及(c)消费者偏好与社会经济特征之间的关系。通过使用多叉 Logit 模型和离散选择实验数据库,我们发现送货服务最重要的属性是产品到达时间和送货延迟时的赔偿。此外,我们还发现,如果产品体积较大,消费者愿意为相同的送货服务支付更多费用,因为体积大的产品一般价格较高。此外,我们还观察到,不同性别的消费者对送货时间的偏好不同,对小型产品的偏好也不同,而对价格的敏感度则因教育水平、家庭规模和社会经济地位而异。据我们所知,智利以前从未开展过此类研究。
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引用次数: 0
Driving Success: Unveiling the Synergy of E-Marketing, Sustainability, and Technology Orientation in Online SME 推动成功:揭示在线中小企业中电子营销、可持续性和技术导向的协同作用
IF 5.6 3区 管理学 Q1 Business, Management and Accounting Pub Date : 2024-06-04 DOI: 10.3390/jtaer19020071
Mirela Cătălina Türkeș
In Romania, the pandemic and post-pandemic effects, coupled with the nearly 80% increase in internet service penetration, have led to an extraordinary acceleration of e-commerce activity. Rising rents and operational costs, heightened financial challenges, and the improved quality and accessibility of internet connectivity have prompted some Romanian SMEs to sell their products and services online or through other online communication networks. In this context, it becomes essential to conduct marketing research to identify factors that could stimulate business performance. The purpose of this study is to assess the impact of e-marketing orientation, sustainability orientation, and technology orientation on the performance of online SMEs in Romania. Hypothesis testing and validation of the proposed construct model were conducted using structural equation modeling with partial least squares (SEM-PLS) and multi-group analysis (PLS-MGA). The research results have indicated that all three independent variables have positive and significant effects on online SMEs’ business performance. Finally, the study suggests that SME managers should focus on integrating these three variables and on selling products and services both nationally and internationally through the internet if they aim for long-term business performance growth.
在罗马尼亚,大流行病和大流行病后的影响,再加上互联网服务普及率提高了近 80%,导致电子商务活动异常加速。租金和运营成本的上升、财务挑战的加剧,以及互联网连接质量和便利性的提高,促使罗马尼亚一些中小企业通过网络或其他在线通信网络销售产品和服务。在这种情况下,有必要开展营销研究,以确定可促进企业业绩的因素。本研究旨在评估电子营销导向、可持续发展导向和技术导向对罗马尼亚在线中小企业绩效的影响。使用偏最小二乘法结构方程模型(SEM-PLS)和多组分析法(PLS-MGA)对提出的构建模型进行了假设检验和验证。研究结果表明,所有三个自变量都对在线中小型企业的经营业绩产生了积极而显著的影响。最后,研究建议中小企业管理者应注重整合这三个变量,并通过互联网在国内外销售产品和服务,以实现长期的经营业绩增长目标。
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引用次数: 0
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Journal of Theoretical and Applied Electronic Commerce Research
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