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The natural rate of interest of Hong Kong 香港的自然利率
4区 经济学 Q3 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2023-04-26 DOI: 10.1111/1468-0106.12420
Yunlu He, Bin Wang
Abstract We measure the natural rate of interest of Hong Kong in a flexible VAR model. We find that the natural rate of interest of Hong Kong fell below zero after the SARS shock in 2003 and reached the lowest after the great recession in 2007–2009. Variance decomposition shows that mainland China, instead of the USA, has a larger impact on the natural rate of interest of Hong Kong.
摘要本文采用弹性VAR模型对香港自然利率进行测度。我们发现,香港的自然利率在2003年SARS冲击后降至零以下,并在2007-2009年经济大衰退后达到最低。方差分解表明,中国大陆对香港自然利率的影响大于美国。
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引用次数: 0
National integration and institution building 国家一体化和制度建设
IF 1.5 4区 经济学 Q3 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2023-03-16 DOI: 10.1111/1468-0106.12419
Haiwen Zhou
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引用次数: 0
Zero population growth rate and eldercare hours: Are both optimal for some European Union countries? # 零人口增长率和老年护理时间:对于一些欧盟国家来说,两者都是最佳的吗#
IF 1.5 4区 经济学 Q3 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2023-03-16 DOI: 10.1111/1468-0106.12418
Tatsuyoshi Miyakoshi
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引用次数: 0
Where does the risk lie? Systemic risk and tail risk networks in the Chinese financial market 风险在哪里?中国金融市场的系统性风险与尾部风险网络
IF 1.5 4区 经济学 Q3 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2023-02-09 DOI: 10.1111/1468-0106.12417
Yang Deng, Chenyin Gao
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引用次数: 0
Gender quota in the civil service and female participation: Evidence from Nepal 公务员制度中的性别配额和女性参与:来自尼泊尔的证据
IF 1.5 4区 经济学 Q3 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2023-02-07 DOI: 10.1111/1468-0106.12416
Hari Prasad Upadhaya, Illoong Kwon
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引用次数: 0
Leadership and firm value among couples in charge: Evidence from Chinese listed family firms 夫妻领导能力与企业价值:来自中国上市家族企业的证据
IF 1.5 4区 经济学 Q3 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2023-02-06 DOI: 10.1111/1468-0106.12414
Na Wu, Xinping Xia, Yuguo Li
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引用次数: 0
Macroeconomic effects of family business inheritance tax reduction: Evidence from South Korea 家族企业遗产税减免的宏观经济效应:来自韩国的证据
IF 1.5 4区 经济学 Q3 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2023-02-01 DOI: 10.1111/1468-0106.12415
J. La
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引用次数: 0
Endogenous timing, strategic tariff game and bilateral trade in vertical oligopoly 纵向寡头垄断下的内生时机、战略关税博弈与双边贸易
IF 1.5 4区 经济学 Q3 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2022-10-19 DOI: 10.1111/1468-0106.12413
Tai-liang Chen, Yingxu Kuang
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引用次数: 0
Promotion or liberalization: The effect of targeted investment policies on foreign direct investment inflows 促进或自由化:定向投资政策对外国直接投资流入的影响
IF 1.5 4区 经济学 Q3 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2022-10-18 DOI: 10.1111/1468-0106.12412
M. Inada
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引用次数: 0
Evaluating economic benefits of the revitalization vouchers: The case of Taiwan's Triple Stimulus Vouchers 振兴券之经济效益评估:以台湾三重刺激券为例
IF 1.5 4区 经济学 Q3 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2022-10-17 DOI: 10.1111/1468-0106.12408
Chia‐Cheng Hua, Hao‐Yen Yang, Su-Ling Peng
This article takes Taiwan's Triple Stimulus Vouchers (TSVs) launched in the second half of 2020 as an example to evaluate the economic benefits of revitalization vouchers during the COVID-19 period. We apply scenario settings and input-output tables to evaluate the policy benefits. The main conclusions are as follows: (1) The issuance of TSVs will induce consumers to use revitalized triple vouchers. As the epidemic is under control domestically and border control continues that ruled out non-citizen consumptions, issuing the TSVs during summer vacations generates positive economic benefits. (2) Using promotional activities TSVs are indeed helpful to boost consumer confidence. (3) According to estimates, the benefit of TSVs to real GDP is between NT$45.062 and 83.727 billion;the economic growth rate increases by 0.1173-0.2156%. (4) TSVs have a significant impact on the service industry. The department stores benefited a lot from the TSV policy, and supermarkets and hypermarkets saw rising revenues. Merchants, small shops, and even hawkers in the streets or traditional markets also felt the strength of economic recovery from the retail consumption growth of TSVs, which also brings economic benefits expected by the policy.
本文以台湾于2020年下半年推出的三重刺激券(TSV)为例,评估新冠肺炎期间振兴券的经济效益。我们应用情景设置和投入产出表来评估政策效益。主要结论如下:(1)TSV的发行将诱导消费者使用振兴的三重券。随着疫情在国内得到控制,边境管制继续排除非公民消费,在暑假期间发放TSV产生了积极的经济效益。(2) 使用促销活动TSV确实有助于增强消费者信心。(3) 据估计,TSV对实际GDP的收益在新台币450.62亿至837.77亿之间;TSV对服务业的影响显著。百货公司从TSV政策中受益匪浅,超市和大卖场的收入也在增长。商户、小店,甚至街头或传统市场的小贩,也从TSV的零售消费增长中感受到了经济复苏的力量,这也带来了政策预期的经济效益。
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引用次数: 0
期刊
Pacific Economic Review
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